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The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester on University of Rochester on 24 Nov 2008 24 Nov 2008 by Ed Tedesco by Ed Tedesco 1

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Page 1: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission:

Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite

The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission:

Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite

Seminar Presented at theSeminar Presented at theUniversity of Rochester onUniversity of Rochester on

24 Nov 200824 Nov 2008by Ed Tedescoby Ed Tedesco

11

Page 2: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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Spacecraft is named Spacecraft is named “NEOSSat”“NEOSSat”

((Near-Earth Object Surveillance Near-Earth Object Surveillance Satellite)Satellite)

Spacecraft is named Spacecraft is named “NEOSSat”“NEOSSat”

((Near-Earth Object Surveillance Near-Earth Object Surveillance Satellite)Satellite)

Microsatellite is funded by:Microsatellite is funded by:- Defence Research & Development Canada - Defence Research & Development Canada

(Department of National Defence)(Department of National Defence)

- Canadian Space Agency (Industry Canada)- Canadian Space Agency (Industry Canada)

- Canadian Science Team support from Space - Canadian Science Team support from Space Sciences Sector (CSA)Sciences Sector (CSA)

- Prime contractor is Dynacon Inc.- Prime contractor is Dynacon Inc.

- Currently in Phase C - Currently in Phase C

- Launch early in 2010- Launch early in 2010

Page 3: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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NEOSSat is a Dual-Use NEOSSat is a Dual-Use Mission...Mission...

NEOSSat is a Dual-Use NEOSSat is a Dual-Use Mission...Mission...

Asteroid Search:Asteroid Search:

NESS ProjectNESS Project

Some Near-Earth Asteroid Some Near-Earth Asteroid classes are difficult to observe classes are difficult to observe from the groundfrom the ground

Some are potentially Some are potentially hazardoushazardous

Some are potential future Some are potential future exploration targetsexploration targets

Searching and tracking from Searching and tracking from orbit offers advantagesorbit offers advantages

Satellite Satellite Tracking:Tracking:

HEOSS ProjectHEOSS Project

DND pursuing Surveillance DND pursuing Surveillance of Space (SoS) missionof Space (SoS) mission

Deeper understanding Deeper understanding needed in many areasneeded in many areas

DR&DC providing R&D DR&DC providing R&D supportsupport

A microsat is a fast, cheap A microsat is a fast, cheap way to test-fly SoS-way to test-fly SoS-relevant technologiesrelevant technologies

Page 4: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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NEOSSat Science TeamsNEOSSat Science TeamsNEOSSat Science TeamsNEOSSat Science TeamsAsteroid Science:Asteroid Science:(NESS Project)(NESS Project)Alan Hildebrand, U. Calgary (PI) Alan Hildebrand, U. Calgary (PI) Ed Tedesco, PSI (US Sci. Team PI)Ed Tedesco, PSI (US Sci. Team PI)Rob Cardinal, U. CalgaryRob Cardinal, U. CalgaryJaymie Matthews, UBCJaymie Matthews, UBCBrett Gladman, UBCBrett Gladman, UBCBrad Wallace, DR&DC Brad Wallace, DR&DC Peter Brown, UWOPeter Brown, UWOPaul Wiegert, UWOPaul Wiegert, UWOPaul Chodas, JPLPaul Chodas, JPLMikael Granvik, U. HelsinkiMikael Granvik, U. HelsinkiSteve Larson, U. Arizona Steve Larson, U. Arizona Simon P. Worden, ARCSimon P. Worden, ARCKieran Carroll, GEDEXKieran Carroll, GEDEXPete Gural, SAICPete Gural, SAIC

Satellite Tracking:Satellite Tracking:(HEOSS Project)(HEOSS Project)Brad Wallace, DRDC (PI) Brad Wallace, DRDC (PI) Frank Pinkney, DRDCFrank Pinkney, DRDCDoug Burrell, RMCDoug Burrell, RMCLauchie Scott, DRDCLauchie Scott, DRDCDon Bedard, DRDCDon Bedard, DRDCJim Rody, DRDCJim Rody, DRDCAaron Spaans, DRDCAaron Spaans, DRDCMartin Levesque, DRDCMartin Levesque, DRDCSylvie Buteau, DRDCSylvie Buteau, DRDCTom Racey, RMCTom Racey, RMCAlan Hildebrand, U.CalgaryAlan Hildebrand, U.Calgary

Page 5: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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Why NEOSSat and Small Why NEOSSat and Small Bodies? Bodies?

Why NEOSSat and Small Why NEOSSat and Small Bodies? Bodies?

Science GoalsScience Goals

NRC (1998) “The Exploration of NEO’s”

•“To understand the orbital distribution, physical characteristics, composition, origin, and history of near-Earth objects.”

• The interaction of the NEO population with the planets

Societal GoalsSocietal Goals

• Understand Impact Hazard

• Identify Extraterrestrial Resources

Page 6: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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MOST MOST (Microvariability and Oscillations of (Microvariability and Oscillations of

Stars)Stars)

MOST MOST (Microvariability and Oscillations of (Microvariability and Oscillations of

Stars)Stars)

Dynacon is Prime ContractorDynacon is Prime Contractor

Jaymie Matthews, PIJaymie Matthews, PI

Launched by Eurockot, June Launched by Eurockot, June 30, 200330, 2003

Stellar astronomy missionStellar astronomy mission

0.007 degree attitude control0.007 degree attitude control

Partner Universities:Partner Universities:

Univ. TorontoUniv. Toronto

Univ. British ColumbiaUniv. British Columbia

Page 7: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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NEOSSatNEOSSatNEOSSatNEOSSat

Page 8: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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Constraining the Atira (a.k.a. IEO) Constraining the Atira (a.k.a. IEO) Orbital Class Asteroid PopulationOrbital Class Asteroid Population

Constraining the Atira (a.k.a. IEO) Constraining the Atira (a.k.a. IEO) Orbital Class Asteroid PopulationOrbital Class Asteroid Population

Page 9: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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The Inner Solar SystemThe Inner Solar SystemThe Inner Solar SystemThe Inner Solar System

Page 10: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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The Inner most Solar SystemThe Inner most Solar SystemThe Inner most Solar SystemThe Inner most Solar System

Page 11: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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NEO Orbital ClassesNEO Orbital ClassesNEO Orbital ClassesNEO Orbital Classes

Page 12: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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We live in a historic timeWe live in a historic timeWe live in a historic timeWe live in a historic time

Page 13: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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The U.S. Congress’ GoalThe U.S. Congress’ GoalThe U.S. Congress’ GoalThe U.S. Congress’ Goal

Page 14: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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Rationale for U.S. Congressional Rationale for U.S. Congressional GoalGoal

Rationale for U.S. Congressional Rationale for U.S. Congressional GoalGoal

Page 15: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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NESS ObjectivesNESS Objectives

- Search for new Near-Earth Asteroids (NEAs), focusing on Atens and Atiras

- Do follow-up tracking of NEA’s

- Assess potentially hazardous asteroids (PHA’s)

- Monitor cometary behaviour

- Enable radar imaging

Page 16: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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NEOSSat Advantages for NEA Searching

NEOSSat Advantages for NEA Searching

Can look close to the Sun:Can look close to the Sun:- Can discover IEOs, constrain population characteristics- Can discover IEOs, constrain population characteristics- Accelerate discovery rate for Atens, Apollos- Accelerate discovery rate for Atens, Apollos- Create opportunities for future NEA exploration missions- Create opportunities for future NEA exploration missions- Create radar-imaging opportunities in daylight sky- Create radar-imaging opportunities in daylight sky- Interrogate “impact keyholes” in daylight sky- Interrogate “impact keyholes” in daylight sky- Observe cometary behaviour close to the Sun- Observe cometary behaviour close to the Sun

Parallax: - Baseline of orbit diameter- Allows immediate distinction of NEAs from main-belt objects

24/7 availability = higher productivity

Page 17: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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Cataloguing Search Cataloguing Search EfficienciesEfficiencies

Cataloguing Search Cataloguing Search EfficienciesEfficiencies

Page 18: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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Warning EfficienciesWarning Efficiencies Warning EfficienciesWarning Efficiencies

Page 19: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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Spaced-based Sensor WinsSpaced-based Sensor Wins

- 0.5 LEO telescope out performs 4.0 m ground-- 0.5 LEO telescope out performs 4.0 m ground-based telescope in both cataloguing and warningbased telescope in both cataloguing and warning

- LEO deployment is superior to other space-based sittings for warning capability

Page 20: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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The First WarningThe First Warning The First WarningThe First WarningAsteroid 2008 TC3 was discovered on 06 October 2008 as part of the NASA-funded Catalina Sky Survey for Near-Earth Objects and impacted the Earth on 07 October 2008. An asteroid the size of 2008 TC3 (~3 m in diameter) impacts the Earth every few months, but this is the first time one has been discovered before impact.

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The First WarningThe First Warning The First WarningThe First WarningThe brief flash created when 2008 TC3 entered the atmosphere was captured by Meteosat-8 in Rapid Scan Service, as shown in the image below. (IR3.9 channel, 07 October 2008 at 02:45:47 UTC).

Page 22: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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The First WarningThe First Warning The First WarningThe First WarningThe aftermath of the entry of 2008 TC3 into the atmosphere over northern Sudan was also captured in a video frame (below), showing the remnants of the long-lasting persistent, twisted, high altitude trail.

Credit:

Mohamed E. A. Mahir (Noub NGO), Dr. Muawia H. Shaddad (Univ. Khartoum), Dr. Peter Jenniskens (SETI Institute/NASA Ames).

Page 23: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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NESS NEO Search RegionsNESS NEO Search Regions

+/-45 deg

+/-55 deg

+/-40 deg

“Ecliptic East” Region“Ecliptic West” Region

Search each patch 4 times each, once per month

Search patches each 0.86x 0.86 deg

Page 24: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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Richness of NEO Fields near the Sun optimizes search performance

(Boattini and Carusi, 1998)

Richness of NEO Fields near the Sun optimizes search performance

(Boattini and Carusi, 1998)

Page 25: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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Asteroid sky distribution to 300 m

(Harris et al., 2006)

Asteroid sky distribution to 300 m

(Harris et al., 2006)

Page 26: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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Simulated Atira Sky Densities (Masi, 2003)

Simulated Atira Sky Densities (Masi, 2003)

Page 27: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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Search Parameters can be Optimized for NEO Orbital Class

Search Parameters can be Optimized for NEO Orbital Class

40 50 60 700.00

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.10

0.12

Solar Elongation (deg)

IEOAtenECAMBA

Page 28: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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Simulated Search Performance: Atens and Atiras D > 500 m

Simulated Search Performance: Atens and Atiras D > 500 m

0 1 2 3

0

20

40

60

80

IEO 19

Aten 20

D > 500m 45° to 70° solar elongation; ±20° ecliptic latitude scanned monthly

IEO 20

Aten 19

Time (Years)

Co

mp

lete

nes

s (%

)

Aten 21

IEO 21

Page 29: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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Discovery Sensitivity to Asteroid Limiting Magnitude

Discovery Sensitivity to Asteroid Limiting Magnitude

14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21

0

10

20

30

40

V mag at Discovery

AtensIEOs

% p

er

0.5

mag

bin

D > 500 m

Page 30: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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Discovery Magnitude Distribution for Survey to V = 21

(56% of discoveries have V between 20 and 21.)

Discovery Magnitude Distribution for Survey to V = 21

(56% of discoveries have V between 20 and 21.)

Page 31: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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Phase Effects vs. Distance at Low Solar Elongations

Phase Effects vs. Distance at Low Solar Elongations

Page 32: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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Discriminating NEA asteroids of interest: Proper motions at discovery?

Discriminating NEA asteroids of interest: Proper motions at discovery?

-100 0 100 200 300

Ecliptic Longitude Rate (arcsec/hr)

0

20

40

60

80IEOAtenECA

N

Page 33: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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Proper Motions of Main Belt Asteroids at Discovery

Proper Motions of Main Belt Asteroids at Discovery

-100 0 100 200 300

Ecliptic Longitude Rate (arcsec/hr)

Page 34: The Near-Earth Space Surveillance (NESS) Mission: Discovering Near-Earth Objects with a Microsatellite Seminar Presented at the University of Rochester

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Saved by Parallax – A Consequence of Orbiting Sensor

Saved by Parallax – A Consequence of Orbiting Sensor

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

Distance at Discovery (AU)

0

2

4

6D > 500 m and V 20 at discovery

IEOs

Atens

% D

isco

vere

d

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NEOSSat “Boldly Going”NEOSSat “Boldly Going”NEOSSat “Boldly Going”NEOSSat “Boldly Going”

- Will constrain Atira (IEO) population- Will constrain Atira (IEO) population

- Will explore the synergies between ground-based & space-based sensors- Will develop asteroid search software for a “parallatic” space-based sensor- NEOSSat will put Canada at No. 2 in the world at contributing to reduction of the NEO impact hazard in dollars invested