“the multi-element, multi-form approach taken by the

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“The multi-element, multi-form approach taken by the Global NEWS group will generate improved scientific understanding and management tools.” What Is Global NEWS? Global NEWS is an international, interdisciplinary scientific taskforce, focused on understanding the relationship between human activity and coastal nutrient enrichment. Global NEWS was formed in spring of 2002 as a workgroup of UNESCO’s Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC) (with co-sponsorship by UNEP, US-NSF, and US-NOAA) The primary aim of Global NEWS is to construct and apply the next generation of spatially explicit, global nutrient export models. Dr. Sybil Seitzinger of Rutgers University’s Institute of Coastal and Marine Sciences is the chair of this workgroup. Why Global NEWS? Humans have dramatically altered the earth’s nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P), silica (Si), and carbon (C) cycles, resulting in considerable coastal environmental degradation (e.g. increased algal growth, alteration and loss of seagrass habitats, increase in extent and duration of anoxic and hypoxic water, harmful algal blooms, and coral reef degradation, among other effects.) Sources of nutrients to the coastal zone such as fertilizer use, sewage, livestock production, and fossil fuel combustion are projected to increase rapidly over the next several decades. Uneven spatial distribution of human population, agriculture, and industrial activity leads to spatial differences in nutrient inputs to coastal ecosystems (Fig. 1). DIN Export from Watersheds to Coastal Systems Figure 1. Nitrogen (inorganic N) export from watersheds to coastal systems. units: kg N km -2 watershed y -1 . From S.P. Seitzinger and C. Kroeze 1998. Global distribution of nitrous oxide production and N inputs in freshwater and coastal marine ecosystems. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 12(1): 93-113. Future nutrient export to the coastal zone is likely to be spatially diverse as well, with enormous relative and absolute increases concentrated in developing regions such as Africa, South America, and Eastern and Southern Asia (Fig. 2). Substantial increases are also predicted for Europe (primarily from eastern Europe) and N. America. Previous spatially explicit global models of nutrient export have focused on a single element or nutrient form. Because the relative availability of different nutrients and different nutrient forms (dissolved vs. particulate, inorganic vs. organic) can influence ecosystem response, single element approaches are often insufficient to predict ecosystem vulnerability or response. The multi-element, multi-form approach taken by the Global NEWS group will generate improved scientific understanding and management tools. Goals of Global NEWS Development of next generation of spatially explicit, multi-element (N, P, Si, and C), multi- form (particulate and dissolved, organic and inorganic) model systems to predict nutrient transport to coastal systems as a function of natural processes and human activities on the landscape

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“The multi-element, multi-form approach taken by the Global NEWS group will generate improved scientific

understanding and management tools.”

What Is Global NEWS? Global NEWS is an international, interdisciplinary scientific taskforce, focused on understanding the relationship between human activity and coastal nutrient enrichment. Global NEWS was formed in spring of 2002 as a workgroup of UNESCO’s Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC) (with co-sponsorship by UNEP, US-NSF, and US-NOAA) The primary aim of Global NEWS is to construct and apply the next generation of spatially explicit, global nutrient export models. Dr. Sybil Seitzinger of Rutgers University’s Institute of Coastal and Marine Sciences is the chair of this workgroup.

Why Global NEWS? • Humans have dramatically altered the earth’s

nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P), silica (Si), and carbon (C) cycles, resulting in considerable coastal environmental degradation (e.g. increased algal growth, alteration and loss of seagrass habitats, increase in extent and duration of anoxic and hypoxic water, harmful algal blooms, and coral reef degradation, among other effects.)

• Sources of nutrients to the coastal zone such as fertilizer use, sewage, livestock production, and fossil fuel combustion are projected to increase rapidly over the next several decades.

• Uneven spatial distribution of human population, agriculture, and industrial activity leads to spatial differences in nutrient inputs to coastal ecosystems (Fig. 1).

DIN Export from Watersheds to Coastal Systems

Figure 1. Nitrogen (inorganic N) export from watersheds to coastal systems. units: kg N km-2 watershed y-1. From S.P. Seitzinger and C. Kroeze 1998. Global distribution of nitrous oxide production and N inputs in freshwater and coastal marine ecosystems. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 12(1): 93-113.

• Future nutrient export to the coastal zone is likely to be spatially diverse as well, with enormous relative and absolute increases concentrated in developing regions such as Africa, South America, and Eastern and Southern Asia (Fig. 2). Substantial increases are also predicted for Europe (primarily from eastern Europe) and N. America.

• Previous spatially explicit global models of nutrient export have focused on a single element or nutrient form. Because the relative availability of different nutrients and different nutrient forms (dissolved vs. particulate, inorganic vs. organic) can influence ecosystem response, single element approaches are often insufficient to predict ecosystem vulnerability or response. The multi-element, multi-form approach taken by the Global NEWS group will generate improved scientific understanding and management tools.

Goals of Global NEWS

• Development of next generation of spatially explicit, multi-element (N, P, Si, and C), multi-form (particulate and dissolved, organic and inorganic) model systems to predict nutrient transport to coastal systems as a function of natural processes and human activities on the landscape

Goals of Global NEWS Continued… • Advance understanding of the relationships between

human activities and natural processes on land and nutrient inputs to coastal systems

• Analysis of past, current, and hypothetical future scenarios

• Guide environmentally sound economic development, particularly in less developed nations, through the creation and distribution of sound scientific understanding and analysis of nutrient sources and fates at the regional scale (e.g. through links with the UNEP-Mediterranean Action Plan)

• Publish results in peer-reviewed publications and on the internet via the IOC website

• Career development for postdoctoral fellows and training for graduate students

Possible Applications for Global NEWS

• Identification of areas prone to nutrient over-enrichment

• Explanation of regional patterns in coastal nutrient enrichment

• Prediction and mitigation of environmental impacts of nutrient over-enrichment (e.g. occurrence of harmful algal blooms)

• Identification of nutrient sources to the coastal zone and their relative importance

• Evaluation of potential environmental impacts of economic and policy decisions at the national, regional, and global levels.

Figure 2. Predicted increases in N export to coastal systems by the year 2050 under a Business as Usual (BAU) scenario. Model predictions from C. Kroeze and S. P. Seitzinger. 1998. Nitrogen inputs to rivers, estuaries and continental shelves and related nitrous oxide emissions in 1990 and 2050: A global model. Nutrient Cycling in Agroecosystems 52: 195-212.

Project Co-chairs

S. Seitzinger, Rutgers University, USA A.F. Bouwman, RIVM, Netherlands N. Caraco, Institute Ecosystem Studies, USA D. Conley, National Envir. Res. Inst., Denmark J. Garnier, UMR Sisyphe, France J. Harrison, Rutgers University, USA C. Kroeze, Univ. Wageningen, Netherlands W. Ludwig, Univ. Perpignan, France Other Participants A. Beusen RIVM, The Netherlands G. Billen UMR Sisyphe (CNRS-UPMC), France F. Dentener JRC, Ispra, Italy P. Döll Univ. Kassell, Germany J. Galloway Univ. Virginia, USA P. Green Univ. New Hampshire, USA V. Ittekkot Ctr. Mar. Trop. Ecology, Germany F.T. Mackenzie Univ. Hawaii, USA M. Meybeck UMR Sisyphe, France W. Moomaw Tufts Univ., USA S. Ollinger Univ. New Hampshire, USA C. Vörösmarty Univ. New Hampshire, USA W. Yan Chinese Academy Sciences, China

Global NEWS workshop, Paris, March 2003

Front Row, Left to Right: May Ver, Sybil Seitzinger, Charles Vörösmarty, John Harrison, Agata Sferatorre, Wolfgang Ludwig, and Lex Bouwman Back Row, Left to right: Dan Conley, Petra Döll, Carolien Kroeze, Egon Dumont, Nina Caraco, and Athur Beussen

http://marine.rutgers.edu/globalnews/