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Date: Analyst Presentation: Chapter 3 Act Responsibly Grow and Strengthen Our Product Portfolio December 10, 2020 The Mosaic Company

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  • Date:

    Analyst Presentation: Chapter 3 Act Responsibly Grow and Strengthen Our Product Portfolio

    December 10, 2020

    The Mosaic Company

  • Forward Looking Statements & Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    This release contains forward-look ing statements within the meaning of the Private

    Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements include, but are not limited to,

    statements about proposed or pending future transactions or strategic plans and other

    statements about future financial and operating results. Such statements are based upon

    the current beliefs and expectations of The Mosaic Company’s management and are subject to significant risks and uncertainties. These risks and uncertainties include, but are

    not limited to: the economic impact and operating impacts of the coronavirus (Covid-19)

    pandemic, the potential drop in oil demand/production and its impact on the availability

    and price of sulfur, political and economic instability in Brazil or changes in government

    policy in Brazil, such as higher costs associated with the new mining rules or the

    implementation of new f reight tables; the predictability and volatility of, and customer

    expectations about, agriculture, fertilizer, raw material, energy and transportation markets

    that are subject to competitive and other pressures and economic and credit market

    conditions; the level of inventories in the distribution channels for crop nutrients; the effect

    of future product innovations or development of new technologies on demand for our

    products; changes in foreign currency and exchange rates; international trade risks and

    other risks associated with Mosaic’s international operations and those of joint ventures in which Mosaic participates, including the performance of the Wa’ad Al Shamal Phosphate Company (also known as MWSPC), the timely development and commencement of

    operations of production facilities in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, and the future success

    of current plans for MWSPC and any future changes in those plans; difficulties with

    realization of the benefits of our long term natural gas based pricing ammonia supply

    agreement with CF Industries, Inc., including the risk that the cost savings initially

    anticipated from the agreement may not be fully realized over its term or that the price of

    natural gas or ammonia during the term are at levels at which the pricing is

    disadvantageous to Mosaic; customer defaults; the effects of Mosaic ’s decisions to exit business operations or locations; changes in government policy; changes in environmental

    and other governmental regulation, including expansion of the types and extent of water

    resources regulated under federal law, carbon taxes or other greenhouse gas regulation,

    implementation of numeric water quality standards for the discharge of nutrients into

    Florida waterways or efforts to reduce the flow of excess nutrients into the Mississippi

    River basin, the Gulf of Mexico or elsewhere; further developments in judicial or

    administrative proceedings, or complaints that Mosaic’s operations are adversely impacting nearby farms, business operations or properties; difficulties or delays in

    receiving, increased costs of or challenges to necessary governmental permits or

    approvals or increased financial assurance requirements; resolution of global tax audit

    activity; the effectiveness of Mosaic ’s processes for managing its strategic priorities; adverse weather conditions affecting operations in Central Florida, the Mississippi River

    basin, the Gulf Coast of the United States, Canada or Brazil, and including potential

    hurricanes, excess heat, cold, snow, rainfall or drought; actual costs of various items

    differing from management’s current estimates, including, among others, asset retirement, environmental remediation, reclamation or other environmental regulation, Canadian

    resources taxes and royalties, or the costs of the MWSPC; reduction of Mosaic’s available cash and liquidity, and increased leverage, due to its use of cash and/or available debt

    capacity to fund financial assurance requirements and strategic investments; brine inflows

    at Mosaic’s Esterhazy, Saskatchewan, potash mine or other potash shaft mines; other accidents and disruptions involving Mosaic ’s operations, including potential mine fires, floods, explosions, seismic events, sinkholes or releases of hazardous or volatile

    chemicals; and risks associated with cyber security, including reputational loss; as well as

    other risks and uncertainties reported from time to time in The Mosaic Company’s reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Actual results may differ f rom those

    set forth in the forward-look ing statements.

    This presentation includes the discussion of forward look ing EBITDA which is a non-GAAP

    financial measure. We are not providing quantitative reconciliation of forward look ing

    EBITDA because we are unable to predict with reasonable certainty our notable items

    without unreasonable effort. Historically, our notable items have included, but are not

    limited to, foreign currency transaction gain or loss, unrealized gain or loss on derivatives,

    acquisition-related fees, discrete tax items, contingencies and certain other gains or

    losses. These items are uncertain, depend on various factors, and could have a material

    impact on U.S. GAAP reported results for the guidance period.

    2

  • Mosaic’s Strategic Priorities

    North America Transformation

    Uncover and pursue new opportunities to improve the profitability and competitiveness of our Potash and Phosphates businesses

    Drive Functional Collaboration and Efficiency

    Rethink and re-engineer outdated and inefficient processes, and continue to look for new ways to improve

    South America Growth Engine

    Leverage Mosaic's in-country capabilities to drive additional growth and profitability

    Grow and Strengthen Our Product Portfolio

    Pursue diverse opportunities that make us stronger and that yield mutual benefits for Mosaic and our customers

    Act Responsibly

    Be a good corporate citizen and contribute to the vitality of the people and the communities around us

    Optimize Operating Assets and Capital Management

    Continually assess, prioritize and allocate capital across the business and make decision that strengthen our balance sheet

  • 4

    North America Transformation

    Drive Functional Collaboration and Efficiency

    South America Growth Engine

    Grow and Strengthen Our Product Portfolio

    Act Responsibly

    Optimize Operating Assets and Capital Management

    September 18, 2020

    Today

    November 9, 2020

    March 11, 2021

  • Countervailing Duty Petition Preliminary Ruling: Morocco/Russia Subsidies Established

    5 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce

    Country Exporter/Producer Subsidy Rates

    Morocco OCP S.A. 23.46%

    All Other Producers/Exporters 23.46%

    Russia

    Industrial Group Phosphorite LLC 72.50%

    Joint Stock Company Apatit 20.94%

    All Other Producers/Exporters 32.92%

    Event CVD Investigation(s)

    Petition(s) Filed June 26, 2020

    DOC Initiation Date July 16, 2020

    ITC Preliminary Determination August 10, 2020

    DOC Preliminary Determination November 23, 2020

    DOC Final Determination February 8, 2021

    ITC Final Determination March 25, 2021

    Issuance of Order [1] April 1, 2021

  • Countervailing Duty Petition Impact on Flows: Morocco/Russia Shift Tonnes; Global Prices Rise

    6

    Brazil Jan-Oct phosphate imports: +632,000 tonnes (+10%) y-o-y

    • Morocco: +712kt (+39%) • Russia: +453kt (+70%) • U.S.: -213kt (-13%) • Other: -321kt (-15%)

    Source: Genscape, China Customs, Orion, IHS Mark it, Mosaic

    India Jan-Oct DAP imports: +490,000 tonnes (+10%) y-o-y

    • Morocco: +1,007kt (+928%) • Russia: +246kt (+259%) • Saudi: -229kt (-11%) • China: -578kt (-28%) • Other: +45kt (+7%)

    U.S. Jan-Oct imports: -738,000 tonnes (-28%) y-o-y

    • Morocco: -859kt (-48%) • Russia: -189kt (-39%) • Saudi: -1kt (-1%) • Others: +312kt (+177%)

    U.S. Phosphate Imports

    India Imports Brazil Imports

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    500

    Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20

    $ per tonne Global DAP/MAP Benchmark Prices Published Spot Prices

    DAP fob NOLA DAP c&f India

    MAP fob NOLA MAP c&f Brazil

    Source: Argus; Green Markets

  • Presenter:

    Date:

    Act Responsibly

  • MOSAIC CONFIDENTIAL

    We’ve Come a Long Way

    8

    General commitments to “stewardship”

    First quantified water, energy, GHG targets

    2009 First sustainability disclosure – GRI framework

    Quantifiable targets representing broad

    ESG topics

    2020

    2015

    2012

    Alignment to UN sustainable development goals (SDGs)

    2018

  • MOSAIC CONFIDENTIAL

    Each Target Impacts Multiple Focus Areas and Contributes to Companywide Performance

    9

  • MOSAIC CONFIDENTIAL

    ESG in Action: People

    10

    A healthy and diverse workforce is critical to Mosaic’s success.

    Leading safety performance Continued focus on risk reduction

    Building capacity Training on issues related to psychological health and safety

    Addressing three pillars of wellness Efforts centered on financial, physical and psychological wellness

  • MOSAIC CONFIDENTIAL

    ESG in Action: Environment

    11

    Since 2012, we have reduced companywide GHG emissions by 12% — and we are redoubling our commitment to 2025.

    Site-level accountability Site targets and frontline engagement

    Promising outlook Cogeneration optimization, fuel substitution, equipment upgrades,

    use of renewables

    Project exploration Engaging across industries to explore opportunities for improvement

    Data governance Rigorous third-party assurance of data

    GHG Emissions Intensity 2015 - 2025

  • MOSAIC CONFIDENTIAL

    ESG in Action: Society

    12

    Science-based framework

    to maximize crop

    yields and minimize environmental impact

    Right Source

    Right Rate

    Right Time

    Right Place

    4R Nutrient Stewardship Empowering farmers to reduce the impact of crop nutrients on the environment

    Mosaic is supporting all programs financially and/or is a representative on governing body

    Study: +5 million tonnes of phosphorous avoided in Lake Erie as a result of 4R practice adoption

    2020

    +5M Acres under management

    2025

    25M Acres under management

    Validated 4R acre programs currently in agricultural regions in 11 states and provinces

  • MOSAIC CONFIDENTIAL

    ESG in Action: Company

    13

    Deforestation Our presence and actions to combat deforestation in Brazil

    Water Stewardship Mosaic’s role in preserving society’s resource

    Climate Change Our efforts to mitigate and adapt to threats of climate change

    Three New Commitment Statements

    Reinforce our position on material topics

    Board Oversight EHSS Committee of Board of Director

    Reporting Leadership Annual disclosure of impacts and opportunities.

    13 ESG Performance Targets Define our path forward on significant issues in four focus areas

    Cross-industry Engagement Engage in dialogue, advance our thinking and drive progress

    Management and Employee Compensation Link EHS Risk Reduction Program

    Strong governance and accountability underpin an effective sustainability practice

  • MOSAIC CONFIDENTIAL

    ESG in Action: Company | Esterhazy K3 Expansion

    14

    Creating Economic and Sustainability Value

    Potash ($ in mm) 2021 2022 2023

    K3 Brine management EBITDA* impact

    $50 $100 $100

    Colonsay idling EBITDA* impact $100 $100 $100

    Growth Capital Spending - K3

    $190 $80 $55

    World-class potash GHG performance On track to achieve additional GHG reductions

  • MOSAIC CONFIDENTIAL

    ESG in Action: Company | Our Cogeneration Strategy

    15

    1.5M MWh Production in 2019

    Avoided annual GHG

    impact of >900k

    tonnes CO2e

    Reduced electricity costs

    by >$75M

    Generated >$4M revenue from

    excess quantities

    sent to grid

  • Mosaic’s Role in Addressing Society’s Challenges

    2025 ESG Performance Targets Progress Toward Sustainable Outcomes

    Zero Hunger Sales of performance (high-yield) products

    Clean Water and Sanitation 2025 freshwater intensity target

    Decent Work and Economic Growth Safety and risk reduction target

    Climate Action 2025 GHG emissions intensity target

    Life Below Water Acres under 4R Certification target

  • Presenter:

    Date:

    Grow and Strengthen Our Product Portfolio

  • Mosaic’s Performance Products Portfolio

    18

    Mosaic

    Retailers

    Farmers

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    2017 Actual 2018 Actual 2019 Actual TTM 2023 Target

    Peformance Product Sales Tonnes

    5.2 mm

    3.4 mm

    3.8 mm

    3.7 mm 3.3

    mm

    Performance products improve value throughout

    the crop nutrition chain

  • Why Soil Health?

    19

    Soil health

    • Growing food demand necessitates growing productivity on each acre of farmed land • Changing expectations of society, weather cycles and advanced technologies are driving

    new solutions in nutrient use efficiency • Mosaic’s performance product portfolio and logistics platform enable value creation

    for all participants via improved yields, ESG benefits and profitability growth

    Growth in the soil health sector and the application of advances in biological science creates a unique opportunity for Mosaic to build upon a leadership position in balanced crop nutrition.

    New Avenues for Growth

    Crop Nutrient Focus Potential Opportunities

  • Target Markets

    Biostimulants

    Other Organic Acids Humic Acids

    Stimulate Natural Processes

    Microbials Plant & Seaweed Extracts

    Biofertilizers

    Nitrogen Fixing Potassium Mobilizers

    Nutrient Uptake Enhancers

    Phosphate Solubilizers Others

    Biofertilizer Market

    $3.3B by 2025

    50% in the Americas

    Biostimulant Market

    $3.0B by 2025

    Growing at

    11 - 12% CAGR

    40% in the Americas

    Compiled from

    Market and

    Markets, Dunham

    and Trimmer and

    other research

    20

    Deliver High Margins

  • Our Approach

    Make a series of small bets on the most promising technologies and intellectual property to build a soil health product portfolio.

    External inputs from:

    • Farmers • Retailers • University partners • Venture capital partners

    • Business transformation • AgTech networks

    Scan

    • Market studies and customer surveys

    • Economic analysis • Lab, field and

    production trials

    Evaluate Pursue Launch

    • Fund pipeline development and secure marketing rights in select geographies

    • Determine royalty splits and geography rights

    • Licensing agreements once efficacy proven through field trials

    Learning and building

    relationships

    Proving the promising

    Secure value

  • 22

    Building Relationships to Create Opportunities

    Anuvia Plant Nutrients

    • SusterraTM is a 14-24-0-10S bio-based, phosphate fertilizer with sulfur that uses

    recycled organic matter to

    efficiently deliver nutrients for

    improved yields and healthier

    soils

    Explore a Plant City lease

    Sept. 2018 Sept. 2019 Aug. 2020 Sept. 2020

    Finalize lease agreement

    Toll manufacturing agreement with

    Anuvia

    SusterraTM commercial launch

    Announced yesterday: Collaboration to develop and launch nitrogen-fixing microbial products

    using BioConsortia’s patented Advanced Microbial Selection process. • R&D support • Product licensing • Americas marketing rights Field testing to commence Spring 2021 in the U.S.

  • Benefits to Mosaic

    • Diversify the portfolio while staying close to our expertise in crop nutrition • Improve margin mix

    • Grow value capture on an acre

    • Optionality for new channels to market

  • QUESTIONS?