the mobile scenario: understanding mobile trends &...
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David Willis Chief of Research
Mobility and Communications
The Mobile Scenario: Understanding Mobile Trends & Directions Through 2017
Mobility Impacts Every Aspect of Your Business
1
Run
Grow
Transform
Consumer facing Employee facing
E.g. new mobile technologies, devices and interactions, mobile + internet of things, M2M, ...
E.g. multichannel integration, mobile commerce, mobile marketing, ...
Hygiene apps, e.g. m-banking, SMS notifications, ...
E.g. role specific solutions such as SFA, FFA, logistics,
mobile social networking
E.g. wireless office, cellular connectivity, mobile email,
cloud document sharing
E.g. process re-engineering using innovative apps, new ownership models such as
BYOD, BYOA
Key Issues
1. What will be the key mobile and wireless technology, and market trends through 2017?
2. How will corporations choose and use mobile technology, services and tools to support customers and employees?
Mobile Device Technology Trends
3
Screens 4K tablets A spectrum of flexibility
Processors More cores, faster CPUs & GPUs, power efficiency
Imaging More megapixels, 4K, New types of imaging e.g. Pelican, Light Field Burst mode, smart lighting
Sensors Environment, Fingerprint
Memory More onboard memory
NFC Slow deployment
User experience Gesture, face & eye scanning, voice
Future-proof content and compatibility with 4K TV. Curved or robust screens and eventually flexible form factors
New imaging behaviour, e.g. "click then think". New types of imaging apps, e.g. exploiting depth. 4K content capture. New experiences, e.g. smart lighting
Driven by megapixels, video and burst mode imaging
Business as usual Medium impact High impact
Payment remains disappointing
1.8B Devices Under Enterprise Management
4
Business smartphone Inst. Base is 35% BYO
Mostly Android + IoS; some Windows Phone
Ultramobile IB 30% BYO
44% of PCs are mobile .6% BYO PC
In 2017:
Derived from Forecast: PCs, Ultramobiles and Mobile Phones Worldwide, 2010-2017, 4Q13 Update (Dec 2013)
Smartphones
Ultramobiles
PCs
1 B
2 B
81% of devices under management are mobile
0"
100"
200"
300"
400"
500"
600"
700"
2010" 2013" 2016"
Symbian"
Other"
BlackBerry"
Windows"
iOS/MacOS"
Android"
Smartphone Installed Base
5
Pre
dict
ed in
stal
led
base
in N
A an
d W
E (M
)
Smartphones will be 52% total global handset shipments
Smartphones will be 78% total global handset shipments
Android
Windows
iOS
US: 2/3 of 18-24 year olds and 2/3 of households earning $75K have a smartphone in 2012
$50 Smartphones in 2014
Future Smartphone Platforms: A Mix Q. What percentage of your organization’s users do you estimate will be on the following smartphone platforms by 2016?
n=707 (excludes DK responses)
© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved 6
81%
54%
63%
36%
31%
9%
17%
34%
22%
34%
28%
23%
8%
7%
20%
26%
32%
3%
5%
8%
11%
20%
3%
4%
16%
Other
Windows Phone
Blackberry
Android
Samsung Android
Apple
0% 1%-24% 25%-49% 50%-74% 75%+
!!91%! 39.5
!!69%! 22.0
!!64%! 17.3
!!37%! 9.5
!!46%! 9.1
!!19%! 2.6
MEAN (average
proportion of users)
Total % of companies
using
RESEARCH CIRCLE RESULTS: The Future of Mobility
Percentage of users
Mobile Apps Will Become More Sophisticated and More Complex
Increasing sophistication Context, gamification, indoor location, augmented reality....
Improvements in quality Customers will become less tolerant of bugs and poor support
Cloud & partners For context, payment, marketing, navigation, location, social....
Better user experiences Cosmetic design,
psychology and motivation, usability
Multichannel integration Mobile becomes part of a broad
multichannel strategy
External integration Peripherals, ensemble interactions,
links to consumer electronics
Better user experiences
Multichannel integration
External integration
Increasing sophistication
Improving quality
Cloud partners
A Mobile App for Every Thing
8
• Increasing integration with a wide range of smart, networked consumer electronics via mobile apps
• Synergy between mobility and the internet of things
• Crowd funding and development driving product innovation, e,g. Kickstarter
• Key innovation areas include automotive, consumer electronics, toys, healthcare
• Key architecture: Smart device + mobile + cloud
• The handset becomes the hub of the personal / body area network
Enterprise Mobile Device Trends Design for a Diverse Future
9
Pocketable Portable Shared Areas Grab & Go
Desk
Touch, Voice, ... Keyboard, Mouse
Gesture
• Innovative BYO knowledge workers will use 3 to 5 devices by 2016 • Many form factors, screen sizes, interaction styles • No platform wins, but Microsoft declines as a proportion of the total • "Everything everywhere" is the wrong approach • No interaction style will dominate
Glanceable
Tactics are the New Strategy
Demand What must we deliver?
Supply Tools, techniques,
sourcing, skills
Risk Management Suppliers, apps, ...
Governance
• Application architectures and tools • Multiplatform applications
• Multiple mobile strategies, B2C, B2E • New AD tools portfolio
• New methods and processes
• Skills • New sourcing relationships
• Agility is essential • New sourcing partners
• New app principles, e.g. context
• Management and security • Build innovation into the strategy
• New approaches to security
Mobile Im
pact on IT Strategy
Key Mobile Delivery/Security Technologies
• MobileIron • AirWatch/VMWare • Fiberlink • Citrix XenMobile • Boxtone • SAP • IBM
• Kony • SAP • IBM
Application Delivery
Application Development
Device Management and Security
Application Management and Security
Mobile Device Management*
Native Development
Web Development
Mobile Enterprise Application Platforms*
Mobile Consumer Application Platforms*
Sample Vendors
*Gartner Magic Quadrants are available
Enterprise File Synchronization and Sharing*
Collaboration
• Citrix XenApp/XenDesktop/Framehawk
• VMWare Horizon View • Microsoft RDP
Virtual Desktop
Accellion, Box, Citrix Sharefile
Containerization, DLP, App Encryption Data
Protections Good, Mocana, Citrix Mobile Solutions, Excitor, Symantec, AirWatch, AppSense
• Sencha • Appcelerator • Verivo • Adobe
• Good Technology • Symantec
2014 : Enterprise Mobility Management
Beyond the Device In the Enterprise: Services and Software Matter
• Enterprise Mobile Platforms are key strategic solutions encompassing mobile applications, integration, management, and security.
Ser
vice
s LOB Apps
Integration
Common Apps
Management
App Development
Sec
urity
Enterprise Mobile Platform
• Cloud-delivered • Social-enabled • Multi-Channel • Device-aware • Device-agnostic
Removes complexity from mobile decisions Protects enterprise from mobile device wars Drives reuse and faster mobile adoption
…with more joining soon.
Mindshare Leaders
Shield or Containerize the Application
Harden the app Wrap the app Develop the app in a secure container
Add integrity to the app during development
Add security post development
Adopt a common container for all
apps
Workspace Isolation : Logical
15
Network Level
Host-Based Virtualization Remote Control Web
Website
Portal
Workspace Aggregator
Device Level
Cooperative Client Hardware Virtualization
Hypervisor Type I
Hypervisor Type II (Hosted)
Client OS Virtualization
Thinvisor
Container
OS-Linked
OS-Unlinked
From “Learn the Taxonomy of Endpoint Management Architectures” (G00257702)
How Many Mobile Strategies and Architectures Do You Need?
B2E 1 to 4 years Connectivity
Collaboration, communication
Role-specific solutions
Consumerization and BYO
Telemetry and M2M
B2C 12 to 18 months Tactical solutions in a fast-moving, competitive market
Opportunities for genuine innovation
1 to 3 years Strategy for slower-moving technologies and services
B2B Hybrid of B2B and B2C strategy and technology
Five Steps to Building a Road Map
Assemble Mobile Application Strategy Team
Assemble Mobile Application Strategy Team
Organising for Mobile Success
18
Steering Group IT + Business
Centre of
excellence
EA activities
Customer experience
team
B2C projects and initiatives
E.g. marketing, m-commerce, ........
B2E projects and initiatives
E.g. BYO, SFA, .........
Sourcing & procurement
High Level Governance and Policy
Common technologies & standards
Discovering opportunities is as important as delivering apps
Cross-functional teams
Agility is key
Security, compliance,
privacy
B2E strategy B2C strategy
Lifespan 12 - 24 months
Lifespan 6 - 12 months
Ideation Ideation
Your Action Plan
Monday Morning: - Identify new ways to provide, manage, and secure mobile devices
and applications to deal with the challenges of BYOD and BYOA.
- Define comprehensive mobile strategies covering B2C, B2B and B2E domains, and refresh them regularly.
Next 90 Days: - Select a small but sufficient portfolio of mobile development tools
to address current platform and application needs.
- Define a broad sourcing strategy to exploit new services and partners who can create the best mobile applications
Next 12 Months: - Find innovation opportunities exploiting both employee and
customer facing mobility.
Recommended Gartner Research: Strategy
! CIOs' Next-Generation Mobile Strategy Checklist (G00233616)
! Fit Mobility Into a Multichannel and Multiplatform Strategy (G00239468)
! Essential Steps to Take When Implementing a Mobile Application Strategy (G00237527)
! Toolkit: Writing a Mobile Strategy Document (G00206288)
! NEW: BYOD Mobile Device Policy Template (G00258603)
Recommended Gartner Research: Technology
! Magic Quadrant for Mobile Application Development Platforms (G00248487)
! Technology Overview of Mobile Application Containers for Enterprise Data Management and Security (G00247134)
! MarketScope for Enterprise File Synchronization and Sharing (G00226376)
! Magic Quadrant for Mobile Device Management Software (G00249820)