the missing piece in clean local energy
TRANSCRIPT
The MissingPiece
of America’s Clean Local Energy Transformation
John Farrell, Senior Researcher
Presentation to Biocycle Conference on Oct. 29, 2012
Image credit Shel Silverstein
How Much of Missouri’s Power from Rooftop Solar?
Residential and Commercial roofs
? %
Residential and Commercial roofs
21%
How Much of Missouri’s Power from Rooftop Solar?
Potential Percent of Electricity from Rooftop Solar PV
0 to 10%10 to 25%25 to 50%50 to 100%
20%
23%
49%
42%
31%
18%
23%
24%
19%
19%28%
23%
24%
24%
26%
21%
12%
11%52%51%
49%
22%
23%
21%23%
19%
14%
38%41%
26%
35%
28%
19%
25%
21%
25%
24%
20%
22%
21%
19%
23%
17%
23%
18% 20%
15%
24%
21%18%
How Much Power from Local, Rooftop Solar?
Residential and Commercial roofs
Potential Percent of Electricity from Onshore Wind Power
0 to 10%10 to 25%25 to 50%50 to 100%100% or more
2%
0%
0%
0%
1%
1%
2%
2%
2%
2%3%
3%
4%
9%
11%
12%
14%
25%52%97%
95%
0%
116%
311%543%
27,000%
14,000%
269%2900%
8900%
2500%
4100%
28,000%
35,000%
14,000%
9700%
3200%
5200%
912%
1500%
300%
10%
726%
478%
541% 223%
116%
780%
109%297%
100 meters, 30% c.f. or better
How Much Power from Local Wind?
Potential Percent of Electricity from Renewables
0 to 10%10 to 25%25 to 50%50 to 100%100% or more
How Much Power from Local Renewables?
32 states - 100%+
9 states - 50%+
TransformationCentralized PowerYesterday
Transmission network
Distribution network
House
Storage
Local CHP plant
Commercialbuilding
Factory
Storage
Storage
Storage
Solar PV power plant
Windpowerplant
House with domestic CHP
Clean, local powerTomorrow
-20¢
-15¢
-10¢
-5¢
0¢
5¢
10¢
Cost of solar Energy value Grid benefits Social benefits
4¢
$4/Watt
How the utility values distributed
generation
•prevent blackouts•reduce pollution•create jobs•on-site/near demand•lower transmission losses•reduce dist. system stress•hedge against fuel prices•avoided cost
Distributed Solar Power Worth Far More Than Electrons | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3tqmerh
0¢
-20¢
-20¢
-15¢
-10¢
-5¢
0¢
5¢
10¢
Cost of solar Energy value Grid benefits Social benefits
4¢
Distributed Solar Power Worth Far More Than Electrons | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3tqmerh
0¢
-20¢
8.5¢ But it’s worth more
•prevent blackouts•reduce pollution•create jobs•on-site/near demand•lower transmission losses•reduce dist. system stress•hedge against fuel prices•avoided cost
-20¢
-15¢
-10¢
-5¢
0¢
5¢
10¢
Cost of solar Energy value Grid benefits Social benefits
4¢
Distributed Solar Power Worth Far More Than Electrons | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3tqmerh
0¢
-20¢
and more
8.5¢
12.4¢
•prevent blackouts•reduce pollution•create jobs•on-site/near demand•lower transmission losses•reduce dist. system stress•hedge against fuel prices•avoided cost
It’s Real
Palo Alto, CA, municipal utility
$0
$0.03
$0.06
$0.09
$0.12
$0.15
Brown energy replacementAvoided transmission lossesEnvironmentalAvoided transmission accessLocal capacity value
Feed-In Tariff for PV in Palo Alto, Calif. Imminent: http://tinyurl.com/72sxgsb
7¢
It’s Real
6¢ per kWh in addition to
electricity
Palo Alto, CA, municipal utility
$0
$0.03
$0.06
$0.09
$0.12
$0.15
Brown energy replacementAvoided transmission lossesEnvironmentalAvoided transmission accessLocal capacity value
Feed-In Tariff for PV in Palo Alto, Calif. Imminent: http://tinyurl.com/72sxgsb
}7¢
Solar PV
Wind
Coal
Natural Gas
0 2 4 6 8 10
Putting Renewables to Work: How Many Jobs Can the Clean Energy Industry Create? (UC Berkeley)
Construction, manufacturing, and installationOngoing maintenance and fuel
Jobs per Megawatt
Local Economic Impact
Economic Development Impacts of Community Wind Projects: A Review and Empirical Evaluation (NREL)
Local ownership
Not localUp to 3.4x higher
Attitude towards increased use of local wind energy
Not local
0 25 50 75 100
very negative negative neutral positive very positive
-44%
+33%
+77% net approvalLocal
Ownership
Jobs
Votes
Clean, Local Energy
Money
Photo credits: (wind) Flickr user ali_pk, (solar, above) Ian-S, (solar, below) MN CERTS, (money) Flickr user epSos.de
Image credit Shel Silverstein
http://www.abc.net.au/science/articles/2010/12/02/3081889.htm
http://www.abc.net.au/science/articles/2010/12/02/3081889.htm
Biogas orBiomass CHP
What’s Missing?17%
Solar/wind electricity
Renewable energy policy
10%
Current RE policy
Geothermal electricityMicro hydropower
17%10%Solar/wind electricity
Current RE policy
Ground-source geothermalSolar heat (e.g. hot water)
Geothermal electricityMicro hydropower
17%10%Solar/wind electricity
Current RE policy
Ground-source geothermalSolar heat (e.g. hot water)
Biomass CHPBiogas Heat
Geothermal electricityMicro hydropower
17%10%Solar/wind electricity
Current RE policy
Ground-source geothermalSolar heat (e.g. hot water)
Biomass CHPBiogas Heat
Biogas Fuel CellsRenewable NG
Geothermal electricityMicro hydropower
17%10%
100%100%
Solar/wind electricity
States with Renewable Heat Policies
An Overview of Renewable Heating in the United States: Policy and Market Trends
States with Renewable Heat Policies(that offset non-electricity)
An Overview of Renewable Heating in the United States: Policy and Market Trends
Biogas Energy
Electricity, Heat, and Cogeneration
Pipeline Renewable Natural Gas
Biogas Policies
CLEAN Contracts (Feed-In Tariffs)
Enhanced Renewable Electricity Standards
Renewable Natural Gas Standards
Biogas: Rethinking the Midwest’s Potential
What’s Missing?
Flexible electricity
Renewable heat
Look for success: Germany, Denmark
Biogas and Biomass for: