The Many Faces of South Dakota Past, Present and Future

Dr. Weiwei Zhang

State Demographer Director, State Data Center

Assistant Professor

Department of Sociology and Rural Studies South Dakota State University

Scobey Hall 234

weiwei.zhang@sdstate.edu

4th Annual South Dakota State Demography Conference May, 2016

This presentation is…

A demographic narrative of South Dakota With a look back to the history

And an focus on the present and future

Are We Growing?

YEAR

SOUTH DAKOTA - STATE POPULATION GROWTH FROM 1860 TO 2010

-49,888 -15,007

Sub-Geography • County: N=66 • County Based Statistical Area (CBSA): metropolitan counties

and micropolitan counties • Metropolitan: Sioux Falls, SD, Rapid City, SD, and partially

Sioux City, IA-NE-SD • contain at least one urbanized area of 50,000 population or more • 8 counties

• Micropolitan: Spearfish, Vermillion, Watertown, Yankton, Pierre, Aberdeen, Mitchell, Huron, Brookings

• areas with at least one urban cluster of at least 10,000 but less than 50,000 population

• 13 counties

# Change % Change

South Dakota 59,336 7.9

Minnehaha 21,187 14.3

Pennington 12,383 14.0

Lincoln 20,697 85.8

Clark -452 -10.9

Fall River -359 -4.8

Hutchinson -732 -9.1

From 2000 to 2010…

5896 9,143

12,161 12,712 13,893 13,918 13,171 12,767 12,371 11,761 13,942 15,427

24,131

44,828

8251

21,879 23,926 29,631

42,490

50,872 57,697

70,910

86,575

95,209

109,435

123,809

148,281

169,468

2244 6,540 5,610

12,453 12,720

20,079 23,799

34,053

58,195 59,349

70,361

81,343

88,565

100,948

Year

POPULATION GROWTH FROM 1880 TO 2010 OF SELECTED COUNTIES: MINNEHAHA, PENNINGTON, LINCOLN

Lincoln County Minnehaha County Pennington County

POPULATION CHANGE BETWEEN 1880 AND 2010 FALL RIVER, HUTCHINSON, ClARK COUNTY, SOUTH DAKOTA

Fall River County

Hutchinson County

Clark County

39.242.4

46.3 47.7

35.134.4

33.2 32.7

25.7 23.3 20.4 19.6

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Metropolitan Counties Urban Counties, non-metro Rural Counties

Percent of the State Population by Metro, Urban Non-Metro, Rural Status, 1990-2014

Many Faces: Youth and Elderly

South Dakota is one of:

The ten States With the Highest Percent's Under Age 15 and Age 65 and Over: 1900, 1950, and 2000

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Percent Youth and Elderly, South Dakota 1900-2010

Youth (Under 15 Years)

Elderly (65 Years and Over)

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009-2013 5-year ACS estimates. Prepared by State Data Center

Mean age: 33.5 Median age: 32.0 Dependency ratio: 53.2 Aging index: 9.0

Mean age: 44.1 Median age: 46 Dependency ratio: 79.0 Aging index: 25.0

Illinois 14.10% 19.90% 13.00% 8.50%

Indiana 15.40% 21.80% 14.50% 7.30%

Iowa 12.40% 16.10% 12.20% 7.40%

Kansas 13.70% 18.70% 13.00% 7.60%

Michigan 16.80% 23.60% 16.20% 8.20%

Minnesota 11.50% 14.70% 10.90% 8.00%

Missouri 15.50% 21.60% 14.60% 8.90%

Nebraska 12.80% 17.40% 12.00% 7.80%

North Dakota 11.90% 14.10% 11.40% 10.80%

Ohio 15.80% 22.80% 14.90% 8.00%

South Dakota 14.10% 18.20% 13.10% 11.00%

Wisconsin 13.00% 18.10% 12.30% 7.80%

Percent Population in Poor By Age Group

State Total Population Population

Under 18 years

Population 18 to 64 years

Population 65 years and

over

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009-2013 5-year ACS estimates. Universe: Population with poverty status determined

Many Faces: Non-White Populations

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009-2013 5-year ACS estimates. Prepared by State Data Center

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009-2013 5-year ACS estimates. Prepared by State Data Center

Race/Ethnicity 2000 2010

White, Alone 88.7% 85.9%

Black, Alone 0.6% 1.3%

American Indian and Alaska Native, Alone 8.3% 8.8%

Asian, Alone 0.6% 0.9%

Hispanic, Alone 1.4% 2.7%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census 2000 and 2010. Prepared by State Data Center

Race/Ethnicity Composition of the State Population, 2000 and 2010

Many Faces: Foreign-Born

Note: (1) Data shown for 1860 to 1880 for South Dakota are for the Dakota Territory and include North Dakota. South Dakota and North Dakota were formed from Dakota Territory and admitted as states in 1889. (2) Data shown for 1950 and after are sample data. (3) Source: U.S. Census Bureau

-

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

Foreign-Born Population and Percentage of Total Population South Dakota: 1860-2014

Foreign-Born PopulationPercent of Total Population

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013 one-year ACS estimates and Decennial Census 1990 and 2000. Prepared by State Data Center

Native Foreign bornEDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT

Less than high school graduate 8.50% 32.70%

High school graduate 31.70% 24.70%

Some college or associate's degree 33.00% 16.20%

Bachelor's degree 18.90% 11.80%

Graduate or professional degree 7.80% 14.60%

Median Household income (dollars) 50,712 38,923Average number of workers per household 1.25 1.47

End of this presentation. But,

there are many other changes in our state and local populations

beyond the coverage of this presentation…