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Rosalie Lédée (reviewed by David Donnerer and Adrian Hiel) Energy Cities – April 2019 Investment needs for the local energy transition

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Page 1: the local energy transition...6 Introduction More and more cities are mobilizing to tackle climate change and catalyse the clean energy transition, in line with the Paris Agreement

Rosalie Lédée (reviewed by David Donnerer and Adrian Hiel)

Energy Cities – April 2019

Investment needs for the local energy transition

Page 2: the local energy transition...6 Introduction More and more cities are mobilizing to tackle climate change and catalyse the clean energy transition, in line with the Paris Agreement

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Executive summary

Cities’ actions for the energy transition are essential to achieve the Paris Agreement’s

objectives by 2050. Responsible for 80% of energy use and CO² emissions, local governments

understand that they need to invest for a sustainable future on a liveable and healthy planet.

The European Commission has estimated that it would require EUR 175 to 290

billion per year more to turn the EU into a net-zero greenhouse gas economy in 2050. For

example, the EU would need to invest an estimated EUR 8.5 trillion for implementing

sustainable heating systems for the period 2012-2050. To decarbonise the building stock by

2050, a staggering EUR 4.25 trillion more than normal investments would be necessary.

At the local level, such estimations are more difficult to establish. This publication

is therefore relying on five examples of European cities, that are frontrunners in the local

energy transition and which have put a number on their investment needs by 2050 in order

to succeed in their transition. Through our case studies of the cities Ghent (Belgium),

Frederikshavn (Denmark), Bordeaux-Métropole (France), Sevilla (Spain) and Tallinn

(Estonia), all signatories of the Covenant of Mayors - Europe initiative, we have identified

the local investment needs for the energy transition in different geographical, socio-

economic and sectorial circumstances. Moreover, this selection of a wide range of cities of

different sizes, territorial characteristics and resources will enable national governments to

make the right funding and investment choices for the future, thereby allowing local

authorities to thrive and play their key role to the fullest in supporting the EU and its

Member States to achieve the Paris Agreement’s objectives.

The city of Ghent in Belgium is implementing inclusive energy policies to allow

everyone to have access to cleaner energy and innovative technologies. Its flagship project

“Neighbourhood Power” (Buurzame Strom) supports the installation of solar panels in a

low-income district. The participation of citizens is a key priority in their strategy, as they

are included in the city’s projects and have also the opportunity to express what kind of

energy transition they want during the so-called Climate Arena, a citizen forum put in place

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by Ghent. In order to deliver its energy transition to a carbon neutral city by 2050, the

investment needs are estimated at EUR 750 million for Ghent.

The city of Frederikshavn in Denmark has the ambitious objective to achieve 100%

of renewable energy by 2030. Frederikshavn would need EUR 1 billion to achieve this target.

The main challenge for Frederikshavn is to encourage all citizens and private actors to join

in the transition. The city has opted to lead by example through ambitious building retrofit

and sustainable mobility actions. Furthermore, this Danish city seeks to attract funds from

sustainable companies and renewable energy producers, by providing a favourable

investment environment, while at the same time proposing policies to incentivize more

citizens to invest in the transition as well.

In France, the city of Bordeaux-Métropole is paving the way for the energy transition

by seeking to become an energy-plus metropole by 2050 through, in particular, the

collaboration between its urban and rural areas. In the period 2017-2022, investments are

planned worth EUR 535 million, which if maintained, would result in investment needs of

EUR 2.7 billion by 2050. The city focuses on acting as coordinator and facilitator by

supporting successful projects, such as the project of its flagship industrial cluster, the

ecoparc of Blanquefort. There, Bordeaux-Métropole mobilises sustainable companies to

follow the principle of industrial ecology, and share resources and expenses.

In Southern Europe, the Spanish city of Sevilla is also leading an ambitious energy

transition to become a role model for sustainable mobility. The city has planned to invest

EUR 264 million for the period 2012-2020, and up to EUR 1 billion by 2050. Sevilla is focusing

in particular on sustainable mobility in its energy transition, by establishing notably a large

cycling network and pedestrian zones to reduce air pollution and incentivize citizens to

move away from using their cars to commute.

Finally, the example of the Estonian capital of Tallinn highlights how the heating

and cooling sector also plays a critical role in the long-term investments for the energy

transition. Tallinn is currently mobilizing some EUR 300 million in energy and climate

actions, and is aspiring to become one of the first low-carbon cities in Eastern Europe with

Page 4: the local energy transition...6 Introduction More and more cities are mobilizing to tackle climate change and catalyse the clean energy transition, in line with the Paris Agreement

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its ambitions on smart buildings and smart mobility. The city has estimated its investment

needs at EUR 900 million by 2050.

The European Commission has recently published its assessment of progress on

structural reforms in 2019 and its in-depth macroeconomic review for the EU Member States

(country reports), and linked it for the first time with investment recommendations for the

next European Structural and Investment Funds (ESIF) program (2021-2027). The 5 new

priority objectives of ESIF are: Smarter Europe, Greener Europe, Connected Europe, Social

Europe and Europe closer to its citizens. In its recommendations, the European Commission

has identified similar areas as the ones defined by the cities analysed in this study, on which

Member States need to focus their investments. All actors must accelerate the energy

transition through innovative approaches on energy efficiency and renewable technologies.

The European Commission has also acknowledged in its recent assessment the necessity to

involve all stakeholders, especially municipalities, to lead a fair energy transition. However,

it has not estimated in its recommendations what amounts Member States would need to

meet their objectives, and what investments they should provide to local authorities under

the next ESIF program. The city examples of this publication have shown that local

investment needs by 2050 oscillate between EUR 1 and 3 billion, illustrating the significant

investments at local level that need to be leveraged for the energy transition. It becomes

evident hence that EU and national funds need to be rechannelled in the next ESIF to meet

these concrete and tangible local investment needs for the transition, not only in these cities,

but across all European cities taking action to fulfil the objectives of the Paris Agreement.

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Table of contents

Executive summary ................................................................................................................... 1

Introduction .............................................................................................................................. 6

Ghent: From a Smart City to the City of People ..................................................................... 11

What are the ambitions of ghent for its energy transtion? ................................................ 12

How does Ghent cover all sectors with its investment plan? ............................................. 13

The Neighbourhood Power (Buurzame Stroom) project................................................... 14

Conclusion ............................................................................................................................ 17

Frederikshavn: Achieving 100% renewable energy supply by 2030 ...................................... 18

How can Frederikshavn achieve 100% renewable energy by 2030? ................................... 19

What are the concrete actions needed to achieve the goals? ............................................ 20

How to initiate the energy transition? ................................................................................ 22

Conclusion ........................................................................................................................... 24

Bordeaux: Becoming an energy-plus metropole .................................................................... 25

Is Bordeaux-Métropole an example for the energy transition in France? ......................... 26

How does Bordeaux-Metropole intend to implement its goal? ........................................ 27

How does the Project ZIRI in The Ecoparc of Blanquefort embody Bordeaux-Metropole’s

strategy? ............................................................................................................................... 29

Conclusion ............................................................................................................................ 31

Sevilla: Becoming a role model for sustainable mobility ...................................................... 32

How Does Sevilla plan to Tackle climate change? ............................................................. 33

How much Has Sevilla planned to invest in energy and climate action? ......................... 34

How did Sevilla becOme the cycling capital of Southern Europe? ................................... 35

Conclusion ........................................................................................................................... 38

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Tallinn: On its way to becoming one of the first low-carbon cities in Eastern Europe ....... 39

Is Tallinn comMitted to the energy transition? ................................................................. 40

What are the priorities for Tallinn? .................................................................................... 41

Tallinn: at the forefront to renovate heating and cooling systems ................................... 44

Conclusion ........................................................................................................................... 45

Main findings .......................................................................................................................... 47

Sources.....................................................................................................................................49

Cities’ Climate plans ............................................................................................................49

Reports .................................................................................................................................49

News articles ........................................................................................................................ 50

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Introduction

More and more cities are mobilizing to tackle climate change and catalyse the clean

energy transition, in line with the Paris Agreement. But having only limited resources at

their disposal, local authorities won’t be able to leverage the necessary investments for the

transformations to come on their own. European cities need the broad support from their

national governments and the EU; so they can unlock their full potential in driving

investments for the energy transition. But how much investment will be needed?

Several studies have pointed out investment needs at different scales so far.

According to the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the International Renewable

Energy Agency (IRENA), the countries from the G20 should invest an additional EUR 25

trillion in order to achieve an ambitious energy transition. At the EU level, the European

Commission has estimated that average investments in the range of EUR 175 to 290 billion

per year are required to enable the EU to become a net-zero greenhouse gas economy in

2050. These investment volumes represent 2.8% of the European gross domestic product

(GDP). In comparison, the European Commission unlocked EUR 4,588.9 billion of aid to

save the financial institutions between 2008 and 2010 (the amount of public support actually

used in 2009 stood at EUR 1,106.6 billion and EUR 957 billion in 2008), which represents

around a quarter of the GDP of 2017.

The cost of inaction would be even more significant. The NGO Climate Action

Network Europe (CAN) has estimated that in 2017, extreme weather conditions already

cost Europe EUR 14 billion. And these estimates predict that this cost would rise

significantly over the years to come. For example, inaction would lead to skyrocketing

health costs due to pollution. According to the long-term decarbonisation strategy 2050

proposed by the EU Commission, a carbon neutral society will reduce premature deaths

caused by air pollution by more than 40% and health damage by around EUR 200 billion

per year. Not acting is therefore not an option, and deep transformations are now necessary

to ensure the achievement of the energy transition.

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Some countries have slowly woken up to these risks and are taking actions, driven

also by the youth climate protests that have swept across the European continent in the past

weeks. For instance, Spain seeks to mobilize more than EUR 200 billion of

investments to move towards climate neutrality by 2050. While France has increased by

EUR 10.4 billion the budget for the ecological transition for 2018, a recent report by the

French Parliament has underlined that actually France would need more than 3 times this

amount each year to stay on track in its energy transition1. The energy transition will entail

a great number of transformations: boosting renewables while moving away from fossil fuels,

improving energy efficiency and sufficiency, decarbonising transport, heating and cooling

and the building sectors. The investment needs at the EU level for each of these sectors are

significant: some EUR 8.5 trillion are needed for achieving a sustainable heating system for

the period 2012-2050, and decarbonizing the EU buildings stock would require an additional

EUR 4.25 trillion by 2050.

While the issue of achieving the Paris-proof energy transition is global, the answer

needs to be first and foremost local. Local governments have a key role to initiate and lead

the energy transition. The Covenant of Mayors – Europe initiative has shown that European

local authorities are keen to take ambitious energy and climate action to support national

governments and the EU in meeting its national, European and international commitments.

The European Commission is aware of these challenges, as illustrated by its recent 2019

European Semester, where it assesses progress on structural reforms, prevention and

correction of macroeconomic imbalances, and results of in-depth reviews in the EU Member

States. For the first time, this regular exercise of the EU Commission was linked with

investment recommendations for the next European Structural and Investment Funds

(ESIF) program (2021-2027). Through the five new priority objectives (Smarter Europe,

Greener Europe, Connected Europe, Social Europe and Europe closer to its citizens), the

European Commission seeks to accelerate an energy transition that tries to better

reflect the needs of cities. Member States have to tackle key issues of energy efficiency in

the residential sector, providing sustainable mobility and renewable energies or supporting

more initiatives for a circular economy under the next ESIF program. However, the

1 Information report by the finance commission presented at the French l’Assemblée Nationale on 30/01/2019

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European Commission did not estimate how much Member States should invest under the

next ESIF to meet the 5 priority objectives, nor what part of these investments should be

channeled to cities.

Yet, many cities have already underpinned their ambitions and concrete and

tangible investment needs in tackling climate change and catalysing the clean energy

transition with clear long-term strategies and investment plans. In this publication, we will

present examples from 5 pioneering European cities, all Covenant signatories, and their

investment needs for the energy transition by 2050. Ghent in Belgium is on its way to

become a climate neutral and inclusive city by 2050; Frederikshavn in Denmark aims to

achieve 100% renewable energy by 2030, while Bordeaux-Métropole in France wants to

become an energy plus city by 2050; Sevilla in Spain is aspiring to act as a role model for

sustainable mobility, and finally Tallinn in Estonia seeks to become one of the first low-

carbon cities in Eastern Europe. The challenges they face are different, and so are their

budgets. But this exercise provides a critical avenue for examining the resources that would

need to be channelled for the local energy transition by the EU Commission and Member

States through the next ESIF program – not only to these cities, but to all cities across

Europe keen to fulfil the Paris Agreement objectives.

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City Ghent Frederikshavn Bordeaux Sevilla Tallinn

Population 260.467 in

2018 61,576 in 2011

787,107 in

2018

688,711 in

2018

430,805 in

2018

Area 156.18 km2 648.6 km2 579,27 km2 140.8 km² 159.2 km2

Carbon

footprint

1,443 kton of

CO2 in 2011

Total CO2-

emissions in the

municipality

(2010): approx.

554,660 tons

per year (8.8 ton

per citizen

Trajectory

estimated on

the basis of

its

objectives: a

carbon

budget of

approx.134

MtgCO2

towards 2050

Carbon

footprint

2007:

3,523,185

CO2 ton

per year

3,523,185

CO2 ton per

year (2007)

Covenant of

Mayors

signatory

Since 2009 Since 2011 Since 2009 Since 2009 Since 2009

Short term

climate

commitments

-20% CO2

emissions

and -20%

energy

consumption

by 2020 +15%

local

renewable

energy

production

by 2020

Promote

sustainable

business

development in

the municipality

-20% CO2

emissions

and -20%

energy

consumption

by 2020 +

20%

renewable

energy by

2020

- 40%

carbon

emissions

by 2020

-20% CO2

emissions

and -20%

energy

consumption

by 2020

+20% local

renewable

energy

production

by 2020

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Long term

climate

commitments

Become a

climate

neutral city

by 2050

100% of

renewable

energy by 2030

Becoming an

energy-plus

metropole

by 2050

Becoming

a role

model for

sustainable

mobility

Becoming

one of the

first low-

carbon cities

in Eastern

Europe

City’s budget

EUR 811

million in

2018

DKK 3.9

billion (=EUR

522 million) in

2017

EUR 1.2

billion in

2016

EUR 852

million in

2019

EUR 761

million in

2019

Action plan

Ghent

Climate

Action plan

2014-2019

Master Plan for

Renewable

Energy 2030

Plan d’action

pour un

territoire

durable à

haute qualité

de vie

2017-2022

Plan de

Acción por

el Clima y

la Energía

Sostenibles

2012-2020

Tallinn

Sustainable

Energy

Action Plan

2011–2021

Current

climate

budget

EUR 150

million

DKK 7.5 - EUR 1

billion

EUR 535

million

EUR 264

million

EUR 300

million

Long term

investment

needs

EUR 750

million EUR 1 billion

EUR 2.7

billion

EUR 1

billion

EUR 900

million

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Ghent: From a Smart City to the City of People

-20% CO2 emissions and -20% energy consumption by 2020

+15% local renewable energy production by 2020

Budget 2014-2019: EUR 150 million

Become a climate neutral city by 2050

Investments needs 2020-2050: EUR 750 million

City of Ghent

260,467 inhabitants in 2018

City budget 2018: EUR 811 million

Joined the Covenant of

Mayors in 2009

156.18 km2

Main sucesses: very advanced on

renewable energy (the largest number

of solar panels in Flanders) and on

projects of commons

Carbon footprint:

1,443 ktonne of CO² in 2011

Main challenge: expand the pilot

projects to a larger scale

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WHAT ARE THE AMBITIONS OF GHENT FOR ITS ENERGY TRANSTION?

Ghent is a municipality in Belgium, and is the capital and largest city of the East

Flanders province with 260.467 inhabitants in 2018. It is a pioneer in taking both action on

climate mitigation and adaptation, as exemplified through their climate adaptation plan

2016-2019 and their global climate plan 2014-2019. The Ghent Multi-Annual plan 2014-2019

states: “Ghent is a city of openness, solidarity, wisdom, and child-friendliness. It pools all its

powers to develop the city into a continuously liveable whole, further shaping the future.

Ghent wishes to be a creative forerunner in the transition towards a climate neutral city. We

continue to build an environmentally friendly and diversified economy to bring prosperity to

all. This is how we develop into a society of responsible citizens who can thrive freely and count

on the necessary support.”2

Ghent was one of the first European cities to join the Covenant of Mayors - Europe

in 2009. The city is committed to reduce local CO2 emissions by at least 20% by 2020

compared to 2007, to lower their energy consumption by 20% compared to reference year

2007, to produce local renewable energy production for 15% of domestic energy demand by

2019 and to save 15% of energy consumption in city buildings and public lighting during the

period 2014-2019. Ghent wants to become a climate neutral city by 2050. To do so, the city

mainly seeks to develop the local production of renewable energy, in particular wind and

solar. Furthermore, the city of Ghent seeks to make sure that their energy transition is social

as well, with affordability being a key priority in their actions. This key priority is reflected

in their label; the municipality has changed its name from “Smart city” to “City of People”3.

Its ambitions concur on many aspects with the European Commission’s recent investment

recommendations for Belgium, as Belgium has to focus more on supporting small scale

renewable electricity production or on enabling disadvantaged households to get easier

access to renovation services.

City of Ghent, 2014.

2 Quote from Ghent climate plan 2014-2019, p5. 3 More details in this article on their website.

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HOW DOES GHENT COVER ALL SECTORS WITH ITS INVESTMENT PLAN?

What is Ghent’s current climate budget?

Ghent has devised a major investment plan for the period 2014-2019 to underpin its

efforts:

This budget is for the period 2014-2019: if it is maintained to become a climate

neutral city by 2050, it would represent investment needs of EUR 750 million toward

2050. The municipality is currently in political transition after the recent local elections in

Belgium, and will soon discuss an updated plan with a better indication of their future

investment needs. For their previous budget, the city made a distinction between 100%

climate actions (from different sectors), about EUR 105 million, and partial climate actions,

representing around EUR 45 million, that is to say policies with a positive impact on the

energy transition without it being the main goal. For instance, the municipality is providing

housing premiums for vulnerable people to improve their housing standard, also by making

them more energy efficient. The city can only cover a small part of investment from its own

budget, but will need co-financing for most projects, through e.g. European funding

programs such as LIFE or Horizon 2020. Ghent also uses alternative financing instruments

such as crowdfunding and a citizen’s budget to channel investments for its transition. EUR

1.35 million was allocated in 2016 in this way for projects which were led by the population.

Total EUR 150 million

Mobility: EUR 62 million

Renewable Energy: EUR 1.7 million

Residential sector:

EUR 30.8 million Companies,

tertiary sector & agriculture: EUR 7 million

Role Model: EUR 46.5 million

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What is the role of the municipality to implement the climate action plan?

The municipality of Ghent is the leader and initiator for some projects, but steps

down for others and plays the role of facilitator. For instance, for its actions towards SMEs,

Ghent mainly plans to encourage the uptake of a greener economy by coaching industries

to reduce their CO² emissions. For the actions classified as “role model”, the city is

promoting energy efficiency by leading by example. This includes the renovation of the

city’s fleet or purchasing 100% green energy for city buildings and public lighting. But as the

energy transition is still an ongoing process, Ghent is experimenting with several options

which could be expanded afterwards. This is the case for the project Neighbourhood Power

(Buurzame Stroom).

Daniël Termont, former Mayor of Ghent.

THE NEIGHBOURHOOD POWER (BUURZAME STROOM) PROJECT

How to reconcile affordability and innovative sustainable technology?

The Neighbourhood Power project was launched in 2014 during a Climate Arena, a

citizen forum where the municipality asked the citizens what project they would like to

initiate for the energy transition. Citizens suggested to set up solar panels on the Ghent

neighbourhood of St. Amandsberg, which should be affordable for all. The city

administration of Ghent sought to involve citizens for the construction of the future of their

city, and thus supported several projects led by citizens, civil society organisations and local

energy cooperatives. Many projects were launched during the Climate Arena, where the city

played a role of facilitator, and provided technical support. The Neighbourhood Power

project is part of a larger program from the city called “sustainable neighbourhoods”, which

is aiming to experiment with new ways of building the city with citizens’ initiatives. In this

regard, Ghent offers a subsidy of EUR 12.000 as a starting point to citizens to support them

in their initiatives.

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Neighbourhood Power was set up to produce local renewable energy for an entire

neighbourhood, focusing in particular on involving vulnerable people in the project. It has

an ecological and a social perspective, with the ambition to reduce energy poverty. It

encourages inhabitants to invest in solar panels, or in solar panels for schools or companies,

if one’s own roof is not suitable for this technology. Another perspective of the project is to

align consumption and production of energy, by realising energy savings, but also by using

more energy when the solar panels are at their highest capacity. The project is associated

with tools developed in the European Horizon 2020 WiseGRID-project4. WiseGRID aims at

providing tools and business models to create an open market and enable energy

stakeholders to participate fully in the democratic energy transition by financing batteries,

heat pumps or charging station for instance. The project is tested in four countries: Belgium,

Spain, Greece and Italy.

Does the city work alone?

Ghent built up a consortium to manage the project involving a large number of

partners: the city of Ghent, the local renewable energy cooperative EnerGent, the social

neighbourhood-based organisation Samenlevingsopbouw, the University of Ghent and the

distribution grid operator EANDIS. Energent is executing the project, while

Samenlevingsopbouw works with the inhabitants participating voluntarily and the

University of Ghent monitors the project’s progress. The city of Ghent is at the same time a

partner and a facilitator for the project. Neighbourhood Power became operational on the

4 More information about this project on their website.

Figure 2 Solar panel installation in Ghent. Photo courtesy of Johan Eyckens. From Resilience website.

Figure 1 The aim is to produce and consume collectively solar energy. From the City of Ghent Website

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11th of March 2018, and its first results are expected for the end of 2019. More than 200

inhabitants are participating in this experimental project. Sofia Verhoeven from the climate

service of Ghent, explains that the municipality would like to expand the project to a larger

scale if the results are good. The neighbourhood of St. Amandsberg is a difficult first location

for the project, due to its vulnerability and its cloudy weather, but it allows organisers to

find out about any shortcomings of the tools and then improve them for their next

application.

The total investment for the project was significant: about EUR 2 million was

allocated to finance the different components of Neighbourhood Power. The City of Ghent

allocated 13% of the total investments, as can be seen below5:

The municipality is mainly the local initiator, by funding the renewable cooperative

Energent, the social neighbourhood-based organisation Samenlevingsopbouw and the

University of Ghent. The EU is involved in many aspects, but mostly through its cVPP

funding program. CVPP stands for “Community-based Virtual Power Plant”, which finances

decarbonisation projects based on the empowerment of low-carbon community driven

5 The budget was detailed by Sofie Verhoeven, working in the service of environment and climate at the city of Ghent.

€ 140 000

€ 72 225

€ 55 249

€ 64 500

€ 360 950

€ 1 147 793

€ 20 000

€ 32 537€ 96 000

Investments in euros for Neighbourhood Power

Energent Samenlevingsopbouw

University of Ghent H2020

LIFE BE REEL Interreg cVPP

Province East-Flanders ICON

Call cabinet Tommelein

13%

79%

1% 2% 5%

Partners

City of Ghent

EU (through seveal funds)

Region

ICON call

Call cabinet Tommelein

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energy initiatives6. It has to involve individual consumers, local energy companies or SMEs,

as figures 3 shows:

CONCLUSION

The city of Ghent leads pilot projects to increase the share of renewable energy,

while at the same time involving its vulnerable citizens. In the period 2014-2019, Ghent’s

climate actions will cost EUR 150 million. Ghent’s actions have illustrated the possibilities

for a city to spearhead the energy transition. The period 2020-2050 needs to be as or even

more ambitious, in order to enable Ghent to achieve its long-term objective of becoming

climate-neutral by 2050. It will require significant investment needs of at least EUR 750

million, and also will have to take into account the following considerations:

The energy transition must involve vulnerable people in order to be perceived as fair

and just.

A long term goal is necessary, alongside with a clear budget per sector.

Collaboration is key: between investors, companies, citizens and public authorities.

A key challenge is to scale up pilot projects to the entire city.

Investment needs: EUR 750 million.

6 All the information about the program here.

Figure 3 How cVPP works? From the program website

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Frederikshavn: Achieving 100% renewable energy supply by 2030

Promote sustainable business development in the municipality

100% renewable energy by 2030

Investments needs 2014-2030: EUR 1 billion

Frederikshavn Municipality

61,576 inhabitants in 2011

City budget 2017: DKK 3.9 billion

(=EUR 522 million)

Joined the Covenant of

Mayors in 2011

648.6 km2

Main sucesses: on track to achieve its renewable energy

target

Carbon footprint: total CO2-

emissions in the municipality

(2010): approx. 554,660 ton per

year (8.8 ton per citizen)

Main challenge: convince the entire private

sector to join in the energy transition

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HOW CAN FREDERIKSHAVN ACHIEVE 100% RENEWABLE ENERGY BY 2030?

The city at the forefront of Danish climate policy

Located in the north of Denmark, the municipality of Frederikshavn is known for its

ambitious commitment to the energy transition. Initially, the city of Frederikshavn aspired

to achieve 100% renewable energy by 2015, but due to the merger in 2013 of the three

previous communities Skagen, Sæby and Frederikshavn, the city adapted its strategy with

2030 as the new target year. At the same time, this allows for the target to be more viable,

by increasing the possibilities of renewable energy supply. Frederikshavn joined the

Covenant of Mayors in 2011, with the aim to reduce 97% of its CO2 emissions by 2030

compared to 2010.

Frederikshavn may not be as famous as Copenhagen, but it is still at the forefront to

support Denmark’s ambition to become energy self-sufficient by 2050. Frederikshavn is a

pioneer city for the energy transition. It started with the creation of “Energy City

Frederikshavn”, which was established in order to lead by example in the implementation

of the Danish environmental policies, especially the 2012 energy agreement and its three

main goals: “Denmark will be a green and sustainable society, will be among the three

countries in the world which lifts its sustainable energy share the most towards 2030 and in

2030, Denmark will be among the three most energy efficient countries in the OECD”. For

Frederikshavn, the main obstacle to the energy transition stems from the politicians’ will:

“the big challenge is not the technology itself. It is the political process”.

Birgit Stenbak

Hansen, Mayor of Frederikshavn

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So far, Frederikshavn’s annual evaluation indicates positive results and underlines

that the city can reach its ambitious goal by 2030, as figure 4 shows.

WHAT ARE THE CONCRETE ACTIONS NEEDED TO ACHIEVE THE GOALS?

What are the challenges of long-term planning?

After a deep analysis of its carbon emissions and the evaluation of the needed

reforms, the city of Frederikshavn presented 32 actions to reach 100% of renewable energy.

Overall, the city planned a budget of DKK 7.5 billion, that is to say EUR 1 billion for

the period. But, as alternative renewable energy technologies are in constant evolution, the

annual investment plan is evolving as well. New technologies can affect both the

environmental impact and the required investment needs. Moreover, Frederikshavn’s

situation is different from other cities due to the 2030 target. The investments needs are

equivalent between different municipalities for the energy transition, with about EUR 1

billion being necessary by 2050, but Frederikshavn’s ambition requires to gather this sum

by 2030. It entails acting fast already with innovative and available technologies, especially

for renewables. The cost by sector reveals where Frederikshavn decided to invest the most

– in particular renewable energy to comply with the 2030 objective - and where the city

would need to invest in the future (mostly sustainable transportation).

Figure 4 Illustration of the reduction of CO² of Frederikshavn by year from their auto evaluation of 2017

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Frederikshavn’s investment needs hence don’t correlate fully with the latest

European Commission’s investment recommendations to Denmark, which mainly insist on

innovation.

Is Frederikshavn on its own in delivering its projects?

Many stakeholders are involved to implement the strategy and to participate in the

funding. The municipality finances in particular its public projects, specifically the energy

optimization of the building stock. General housing organizations are taking care of the

energy renovation of the general housing, where the municipality provides guarantees for

loans. The largest general housing association is affiliated with the European Local Energy

Assistance (ELENA) scheme7. ELENA is a European fund by the European Investment Bank

(EIB) and the Commission under the Horizon 2020 programme. ELENA provides technical

assistance for the implementation of energy efficiency, the distribution of renewable energy

and urban transport programmes. In general, projects supported by ELENA have a budget

above EUR 30 million, with a 3-year implementation period for energy efficiency, and a 4-

year period for urban transport and mobility. The largest housing association in

7 More information about ELENA here.

Total: DKK 7.5 billion

EUR 1 billion

Renewable energy production and

transmission (electricity and heat): DKK 5,602

billion

≈ EUR 750 million

Energy optimization of building stock (municipal

and private buildings): DKK 1,865 billion

≈ EUR 240 million

Optimization and expansion of collective

energy management networks and utilization of surplus heat: DKK 0.71

billion

≈ EUR 93 million

Establishment of sustainable infrastructure for renewable transport

and promotion of cycling: estimation 0.005 Billion

DKK.

≈ EUR 670 000

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Frederikshavn is planning to boost investments in energy renovation, with the expected

help of ELENA fund corresponding to DKK 450 million (about EUR 60 million). The rest of

the foreseen renewable energy projects are financed directly by the private organisations

and private energy companies. Hence, this becomes an asset for the city, in order to attract

green industries.

HOW TO INITIATE THE ENERGY TRANSITION?

How did Frederikshavn become a role model?

As a pioneer of the energy transition, the city of Frederikshavn has proven itself as

a role model for the renovation of public buildings. Since 2014, the city has reduced the

energy consumption of municipal buildings by 3% annually. The municipality as a company

has a fixed amount of DKK 45 million (≈EUR 60 000) for the energy renovation of its

buildings. The total amount of the investments in 2017 in the energy supply for housing in

the municipality is about DKK 651 million, i.e. EUR 87 million. The focus lies now on

promoting more energy renovations in the private sector.

Figure 6 The city has replaced some of its fleet with biogas cars, such as this one, photo by Tom Jensen on Energy City Frederikshavn website

Figure 5 picture of a public building of Frederikshavn equipped with solar panels, photo on the Energy City Frederikshavn website

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To do so, the city has established a partnership with local banks to encourage low-

interest loans for the renovation of private housing8. Those loans are between EUR 1,350 and

EUR 40,300 to assist private owners in their own energy transition. This initiative was made

possible thanks to the project Infinite Solutions9 , co-financed by the Intelligent Energy

Europe programme of the EU and which aimed at finding concrete solutions (such as soft

loans) to finance the energy transition in cities10.

What technologies does Frederikshavn rely on in its transition?

The city of Frederikshavn also participates in the development of innovative smart

grids to support its strategy to become 100% renewable by 203011. A smart grid is an electrical

grid which allows the measurement of a diversity of factors, such as smart meters, smart

appliances, renewable energy resources and energy efficient resources. The aim is to control

and share more information about the production and the consumption of energy. Hence,

it is a useful tool for the energy transition, which requires the cooperation of industries,

universities and public authorities. Frederikshavn’s Master Plan 2030 also mentions the

initiation of a broader smart grid. The cost is estimated at DKK 10 billion, EUR 1.3 billion,

and is not included in the final investment needs due to the fact that it would be a sharing

investment (between local companies, Aalborg University and the Institute for Energy

Technology). It would be in the form of a EUDP: Energy Technological Development and

Demonstration Program 12 , a public subsidy scheme supporting new technology in the

energy field. Leading this project would be a step further for the municipality in the

sustainable transformation of its buildings.

8 Details of their actions on an article by Energy Cities from January 2016 9 More information about Infinite Solutions here. 10 Two guide books by Energy Cities are available for more explanations: here and here. 11 Map of European smart grid projects gathered by the Commission here. 12 More information available here.

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CONCLUSION

The specificity of Frederikshavn is to aim for long-term goals (e.g. by 2050) already

by 2030, therefore their vision is actually much more short-term. Its strategy is to go deeper

in the objective of achieving 100% fossil-free energy supply by 2050, which is particularly

tricky in the transport sector. The evaluation report 2017 also calls for more direct

participation from citizens, as up to now the municipality has struggled to mobilize them.

Their reports are essential to know how to conduct and better finance the transition, as

moreover the European Commission has not provided detailed investment

recommendations for Denmark in its latest progress report.

Frederikshavn has proven to be at the forefront of the energy transition, and is

taking its energy and climate responsibilities seriously. Its investments have fostered growth

and employment, and have attracted green industries to its territory. Frederikshavn needs

EUR 1 billion by 2030 to become 100% renewable.

Bahram

Dehghan, Senior Project Manager at Energy City Frederikshavn.

Frederikshavn shows that it is possible to do an ambitious energy transition by 2030.

Municipalities can lead by example and thereby mobilize companies and citizens to

join in the transition.

The energy transition has multiple co-benefits, such as boosting local economic

development and growth.

Ambitious policies require significant investment needs even in the short-term, as

Frederikshavn needs EUR 1 billion by 2030 to meet its renewable energy ambition.

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Bordeaux: Becoming an energy-plus metropole

-20% CO2 emissions and -20% energy consumption by 2020

+ 20% renewable energy by 2020

Investment needs 2017-2022: EUR 535 million

Becoming an energy-plus metropole by 2050

Investment needs 2022-2050: EUR 2.7 billion

Bordeaux-Métropole

787,107 inhabitants in 2018

City budget 2016: EUR 1.2 billion

Joined the Covenant of

Mayors in 2009

579,27 km2

Main successes: since 2015,

greenhous gas emissions have been reduced by 4% per

inhabitant and successful public-

private cooperation

Carbon footprint: The trajectory estimated on

the basis of its objectives represents a

carbon budget of approximately

134 MtgCO2 towards 2050

Main challenges: the city

continues to grow and

become more and more congested

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IS BORDEAUX-MÉTROPOLE AN EXAMPLE FOR THE ENERGY TRANSITION IN FRANCE?

What climate strategy has Bordeaux-Métropole adopted?

The municipality of Bordeaux became a metropole in 2015 and now gathers 28 towns

from both sides of the river Garonne. Overall, it counts 787,107 inhabitants, of which a third

are living in the main city Bordeaux. Bordeaux joined the Covenant of Mayors - Europe in

2009, and has since then remained at the forefront in promoting the energy transition. For

instance, Bordeaux-Métropole has been a co-organiser of the European Energy Transition

Conference since 2015. It was also in 2015 that the metropole initiated the process of

elaborating an ambitious climate plan. Its “Plan d’action pour un territoire durable à haute

qualité de vie”, focuses on a clear goal: becoming an energy-plus metropole by 2050, which

means that Bordeaux-Métropole aims at producing more energy than it consumes. The

agglomeration has many assets to produce more renewable energy, mainly thanks to the

solar energy potential on its territory. At the same time, Bordeaux has set up a large energy

efficiency plan to reduce private and public consumption. This also entails cooperation

between the different territories that make up Bordeaux-Métropole. Bordeaux, as the

economic centre, consumes more than the smaller towns, which in return could produce

renewable energy, such as sustainable biomass through agriculture. However, this should

not be at the expense of the consumption of these neighbours. Therefore, there are ongoing

discussions about the collaboration that is needed between Bordeaux-Métropole and its

neighbouring territories, as can be seen on figure 7 for the estimations of flows between

Bordeaux and its neighbours. In its climate plan, the Bordeaux-Métropole puts forward its

role of coordinator and initiator of projects between all the relevant stakeholders.

Figure 7 Bordeaux and its neighborhood territories. From a seminar "Séminaire

interterritorialité et transition énergétique 2018"

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HOW DOES BORDEAUX-METROPOLE INTEND TO IMPLEMENT ITS GOAL?

What is their energy-plus metropole strategy?

Becoming an energy-plus metropole by 2050 requires several action plans in order

to achieve this ambitious objective. Its strategy follows the European Commission’s

recommendations with the focus on energy efficiency, renewables and connection with

rural areas. Bordeaux’s 2017-2022 action plan is divided in 3 parts: speeding up the energy

transition, preserving and enhancing half of its natural spaces and assisting all relevant

actors to be engaged in favour of the ecological and energy transition. Here, the analysis is

only on the first part, which in itself is divided in four goals: strengthen the authority of the

energy organisation, master the energy consumption of buildings, increase to 32% in 2030

the share of renewable energy and promote sustainable transportation. It gathers at the

same time mitigation and adaptation actions. Instead of just focusing on the cost, the plan

also puts forward some of the benefits of the transition. For instance, producing 3% of local

renewable energy would generate a gain worth EUR 32 million. Building on the same idea,

reducing energy consumption by 40% by 2050 would save the territory EUR 600 million per

year. The metropolitan administration is currently leading a public consultation to ask how

Bordeaux should look in 205013. So far, 12,500 answers have been gathered, which will all

feed into a new plan to be presented in spring 2019.

Alain Juppé in 2016, former President of

Bordeaux-Métropole.

How does Bordeaux-Métropole plan its energy and climate budget?

For the period 2017-2022, Bordeaux-Métropole has already foreseen significant

investment needs:

13 More information about the public concertation here.

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The budget for sustainable transportation is rather important, due to major

construction works that are needed. This includes the extension of the tramway and the bus

service, with an objective of achieving 415,000 trips per day in 2020, compared to 250,000

trips per day in 2009. This entails significant investments, shared between Bordeaux-

Metropole and its towns. For the first operational period, Bordeaux-Metropole decided to

focus on sustainable transportation for its energy transition. Bordeaux’s priority slightly

differs from the European Commission’s investment recommendations for France, which

are more focused on renewables and energy efficiency rather than mobility. So, if the same

budget is kept, even though funds are allocated on another priority, this would entail an

investment need of EUR 2.7 billion for Bordeaux-Métropole for the period 2022-2050.

The role of Bordeaux-Métropole is central to lead a coherent transition within the

metropolitan area, rather than just to focus on city level. At the same time, the aim is to be

a role model for the citizens and the private partners, by leading by example on specific

actions, such as retrofitting public lighting, improving energy efficiency within the

municipal buildings and implementing a sustainable mobility program within the

administration (e.g. by buying an electric fleet or by choosing the train over plane whenever

it is possible).

Total 2017-2022 EUR 535 million

Global energy transition

EUR 758,000

Renovation of buildings EUR

4.7 million

Renewable Energy EUR 13

million

Sustainable transportation

EUR 516 million

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HOW DOES THE PROJECT ZIRI IN THE ECOPARC OF BLANQUEFORT EMBODY

BORDEAUX-METROPOLE’S STRATEGY?

What is the project ZIRI?

The project ZIRI (zone d’intégration des réseaux intelligents – zone of integration of

smart networks) within the industrial cluster of the ecoparc of Blanquefort aims at

implementing smart technologies in the business park of 350 hectares intended for green

companies. Initiated in 2014 by Bordeaux Technowest, it gathers more than 200 companies

and supports about 5,200 jobs. Bordeaux Technowest is an association guiding innovative

green companies. Most companies in the park are committed to respecting the

environmental management system, sometimes labelled by the norm ISO 14001. The project

has created a positive dynamic for the sustainable economy and has enabled the

establishment of green companies within the territories of Bordeaux-Métropole. Pushing

for a circular economy through a cluster of green SMEs is in complete alignment with the

latest European Commission’s recommendations for France.

Jean-François Nothias, Director of the Blanquefort Ecopark.

Figure 8 picture of the ecopark by Fabien Cottereau, from an article Nicolas César on SudOuest

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The park follows the principle of industrial ecology. The aim is to optimize the

energy and waste flows by connecting several companies. Concretely, it means buying

electricity together, reusing water for different purposes, reusing waste in different ways or

simply organising common transportation to the workplace. It also entails the use of

innovative energy saving technologies. In 2017, it was estimated that this approach enabled

the companies to save EUR 130,000.

How is it financed?

Bordeaux-Métropole is financing Bordeaux Technowest, alongside with the region

of Nouvelle-Aquitaine, other cities, and the EU. For the ecoparc ZIRI project, Bordeaux

Technowest has several partners: the region of Nouvelle-Aquitaine, Bordeaux-Métropole,

the city of Blanquefort and the ADEME Nouvelle-Aquitaine (French agency for the

environment and energy). Overall, it cost EUR 268,000, split between the partners14, as the

figure below illustrates.

Industrial ecology is a critical part of Bordeaux-Métropole’s strategy. For Yves Miaux,

director of economic development at Bordeaux-Métropole, “industrial ecology creates

employment. The metropole has an ambition of creating 100,000 jobs by 2030”15. This project

is a success meant to be reproduced, perhaps at a national level, but first within the

14 All these information comes from this report and from recita website. 15 Quote from an article of Nicolas César, in SudOuest published on 23/12/2017. Original quote: "L’écologie industrielle est créatrice d’emplois. Et, la métropole s’est fixée l’ambition de créer 100 000 emplois d’ici 2030" Yves Miaud.

Financial Partners

ADEME Region Nouvelle-Aquitaine Bordeaux Métropole City of Blanquefort EU

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metropole at Artigues-près-Bordeaux and at OIM Bordeaux Aéroparc16 (a business park for

innovative aeronautic and defence companies). But for François Baffou, general director of

Bordeaux Technowest17, it will not be that easy to implement this principle elsewhere, as it

requires the commitment of local companies and financial support from local authorities.

CONCLUSION

Bordeaux-Métropole is engaged in the pathway to become an energy-plus metropole

by 2050. Their operational project for the period 2017-2022 is ambitious and is based on

cooperation between all the stakeholders. Overall, it appears that the needs of the city and

the EU Commission’s investment recommendations for France for the energy transition are

closely linked. The investment needs toward 2050 for Bordeaux-Métropole are

significant, estimated at EUR 2.7 billion if it is decided to keep the same investment

pattern. Nevertheless, it will allow Bordeaux-Métropole to continue to grow in a sustainable

manner, in accordance with the Paris Agreement’s goals.

The energy transition requires transversal policies across all sectors: economy,

mobility, governance, employment etc.

Collaboration between different cities, from urban centres to rural towns, is a

must for developing a sustainable and inclusive transition.

Long-term ambitions have to take into account the projected growth of a city.

Significant socio-economic benefits can be derived from the energy transition.

To become an energy-plus metropole, Bordeaux would need EUR 2.7 billion.

16 More information about this project here. 17 From an article of Nicolas César, in SudOuest published on 23/12/2017.

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Seville: Becoming a role model for sustainable mobility

- 40% carbon emissions by 2020

Budget 2012-2020: EUR 264 million

Becoming a role model for sustainable mobility

Investment needs 2020-2050: EUR 1 billion

City of Seville

688,711 inhabitants in 2018

City budget for 2019: EUR 852

million

Joined the Covenant of

Mayors in 2009

140.8 km²

Main sucess: impressive increase of cycling in mobility

Carbon footprint

2012: 2,061,592 CO²

ton per year

Main challenges: establish a clearer path to 2050 and

broaden its climate policy to

all sectors

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HOW DOES SEVILLA PLAN TO TACKLE CLIMATE CHANGE?

Seville, the capital of the autonomous community of Andalusia, is a major city in

Southern Europe. With 688,711 inhabitants, it is the fourth biggest city in Spain. Seville is a

tourist magnet and also attracts people and investments, thanks to its good economic

situation. Seville joined the Covenant of Mayors – Europe in 2009, but has been taking

energy and climate action plans since the 2000s. In 2016, the municipality adopted an action

plan for climate and renewable energy, with the ambition to reduce by 40% its carbon

emissions by 2020. The city of Seville is aware of the risks of non-action, and is already

suffering from the rise of temperature fuelled by climate change. As the Climate Data

Factory18 has calculated, the average annual temperature could rise to 32-33° by 2100 without

mitigation action, or be limited to 29-30° with an ambitious energy and climate policy.

Currently, the average annual temperature is 25-26°. Seville is therefore implementing

mitigation and adaption actions, such as increasing the green areas of the city to maintain

a cooler urban climate. Many citizens are putting pressure on the city to enact an even more

ambitious policy, and are also actively participating in the greening of their city. Volunteers

created the association “Red Sevilla por el clima”19 (meaning “Seville network for climate”),

which is leading its own projects, such as the creation of shared gardens or educating about

climate change in schools.

18 Data available on the climate data factory website. 19 Link to their website.

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Red Sevilla Por el Clima

HOW MUCH HAS SEVILLA PLANNED TO INVEST IN ENERGY AND CLIMATE ACTION?

The city leads ambitious actions to reduce its carbon emissions by 40% by 2020. In

its latest action plan for climate and renewable energy of 2016, Seville has presented a

budget of about EUR 264 million for the period 2012-2020. It includes some projects co-

financed by the EU through the Cohesion funds. It follows the action plan for renewable

energy of 2009, which was revised in 2013 and which covered the period 2007-2020 and had

a budget of EUR 402 million. Many actions are common between the two plans and are

complementary to each other. However, the superposition of action plans creates confusion

about the vision for the future of the city. Seville’s strategy towards 2030 and 2050 is not

clear yet. Based on its latest plan, the investment needs can be estimated at EUR 1

billion for the period 2020-2050.

The latest plan focuses on four main priorities: the improvement of energy efficiency

in municipal buildings, the development of a sustainable mobility model (representing

almost half of the measures presented, illustrating how sustainable mobility is a key priority

for the city), the promotion of renewable energies and energy saving and raising awareness

Figure 9 Communication picture by Red Sevilla for el clima, from their website

Figure 10 the logo of Red Sevilla for el clima

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and promoting responsible consumption. Seville’s priorities are also identified by the

European Commission as an investment priority for Spain in its latest recommendations.

But the EU executive has also emphasized in addition to this the challenges of smart

technologies and the renovation of heating and cooling systems in its investment

recommendations for Spain, which are not explicitly addressed by Seville in its plan.

HOW DID SEVILLA BECOME THE CYCLING CAPITAL OF SOUTHERN EUROPE?

Is building cycling paths enough to increase the number of cyclists?

Sustainable mobility is a key sector in Seville’s strategy towards sustainability. In

four years, from 2005 and 2009, the city has built a large bike network, that now totals an

impressive 120 kilometres. By 2018, the network was extended to 180 kilometres. It is not

traditional in Southern Europe to use bikes, and there were nearly 0% of bikers in 2006 in

Seville. Nowadays in 2018, 1 out of 10 citizens commutes by bike. Now, the aim is to improve

the current network even more and to also connect the suburbs to the network.

Following the pioneering Dutch cycling model with cycle paths separated from

motorised traffic, most of them being bidirectional and replacing former parking lanes,

Figure 11 Evolution of the network of cycle paths in Seville. Source: Municipality of Seville.

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Seville has built a large and compact network. In order to include as many people as possible,

even those who do not have the space for parking a bike at home, or cannot buy one, the

city introduced a bike-sharing system in 2007. It encompasses 2,500 bicycles in 250 docking

stations. Over time, the number of women cycling has risen to 36% in 2017, which is a

positive result, as the more cyclists there are, the higher the percentage of women among

them. Biking also motivates elderly people, as cyclists over 64 years of age is growing as well.

The policy is linked to a wider goal of promoting sustainable and active mobility, with the

creation of several pedestrian zones, mainly in the historical centre (for instance, the Plaza

Nueva, Avenida de la Constitución, Puerta de Jerez, San Fernando street etc.). About EUR

37 million in investments are planned for these pedestrian zones in Seville.

José Garcia Cebrián, Seville’s

Head of urban planning.

What is the role of the citizens in Seville’s mobility policy?

This mobility policy was initiated by the city council, after a long mobilisation of

some citizens. The association “A Contramano: Asamblea de Ciclistas de Sevilla” (assembly

of cyclists of Seville) was founded in 1987, with the aim to lobby for a network of cycling

paths in the city. They organised several demonstrations to call for political action. The

Figure 122 Press clipping showing a bike demonstration in Seville in demand of cycle paths organised by "A Contramano"

(1993).Photograph: Miguel Mesa ("El Correo de Andalucía"). From an Euronews article

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largest one took place in 1993 and gathered 10,000 people, as figure 12 illustrates. Some

members of the association actually have participated in the creation of Seville’s cycle

network.

Seville is leading by example in its successful mobility policy: by building the right

infrastructure for bikes, it has resulted in increasing the number of cyclists dramatically, as

figure 14 shows. In Seville, cycling has become a daily routine, and not only just a leisure-

activity. Seville’s ambitious cycling policy requires significant investments. We can see on

figure 13 that from 2006 to 2011, it cost about EUR 32 million to create the network. These

investments aimed at encouraging biking by making it simple, safe and comfortable for all.

The local authorities are continuing this policy with, for instance, the cycling plan of

Figure 13 Chronology and budget of the different phases of the development of the cycle network from 2006 to 2011. Source: (Muñoz, 2010), from this article.

Figure 14 Estimations for the total number of bicycle trips in a typical business day of November, and for the total number of bicycle trips per year. Source: Compiled by Marqués, R., Hernández-Herrador, V.,

Calvo, M. and García-Cebrián, J.A from data of (Ayuntamiento de Sevilla 2006, 2007, 2008, 2010) and (SIBUS, 2012)

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Andalusia 2014-2020, which has a budget of EUR 69 million to build a regional network of

3,080 kilometres20.

CONCLUSION

Thus, Seville’s future climate policy entails significant investment needs to carry on

its efforts, in particular in terms of sustainable urban mobility. The current estimations

foresee investment needs of EUR 1 billion for the period 2020-2050. The city of Seville

is seeking to keep promoting and improving its sustainable mobility policy, and will now

seek to establish a clear vision towards 2050. Several plans have been made for the current

period, and the next one is likely to feature a single, coherent and transversal strategy. Even

if Seville’s cycling policy is impressive, cars still remain at the centre of the city.

Cycling can be boosted with a dense and favourable network.

Focusing funds on one sector can be effective, but the energy transition requires

actions in all sectors at the same time in order to be thorough enough.

Local and regional climate plans complement each other.

By 2050, investment needs are estimated at EUR 1 billion.

20 The Andalusia cycle plan 2014-2020 is available here.

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Tallinn: On its way to becoming one of the first low-carbon cities

in Eastern Europe

City of Tallinn

430,805 inhabitants in 2018

City budget for 2019: EUR 761

million

Joined the Covenant of

Mayors in 2009

159.2 km2

Main sucesses: large improvement of the heating and

cooling systems and the renovation

of buildings

Carbon footprint

2007: 3,523,185 CO² tons per

year

Main challenges: find enough

investments to reach its 2050

ambitions

-20% CO² emissions and -20% energy consumption by 2020

+20% local renewable energy production by 2020

Budget 2011-2021: about EUR 300 million

Becoming the first low-carbon city of Eastern Europe

Investment needs 2020-2050: EUR 900 million

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IS TALLINN COMMITTED TO THE ENERGY TRANSITION?

A city historically committed

Capital city of Estonia with 430,805 inhabitants, Tallinn is the economical lung of

the country. Known for the impressive digitalisation of its public services21, the country is

seeking to achieve its energy transition, especially with the support of new technologies.

Tallinn joined the Covenant of Mayors –Europe in 2009 and has since then presented several

action plans, such as its energy efficiency action plan for the period 2011-2021. Already

between 2011- and 2013, EUR 347.7 million in total was invested by the city for all activities

related to reducing CO2 emissions: reconstruction of buildings in municipal ownership,

construction of bikeways, purchase of public transport vehicles and reconstruction of tram

tracks, and for covering expenses related to land-use planning. These examples of actions

are set to fulfil Tallinn’s goals of reducing its energy consumption and its CO2 emissions by

20%, and to increase by 20% the share of renewable energy in its energy mix. All these goals

have risen to 40% by 2030.

What is Tallinn’s vision for 2050?

In the meantime, Tallinn is currently planning its roadmap for 2050, thanks to its

involvement in the EU Horizon 2020 project Roadmaps for Energy (R4E)22. R4E allowed ten

European cities to imagine and define their sustainable future towards 2050 during several

workshop sessions in 2018. Each city focused on two out of three areas: smart buildings,

smart mobility and smart urban spaces in the planning of its roadmap. Tallinn’s

representatives and experts involved in the project worked on the two first areas. While no

action plan has been released yet by Tallinn, the outcomes of the project reveal where the

city is seeking to go. For instance, Tallinn’s buildings will be adaptable and energy efficient,

while high speed transportation would link Tallinn and Helsinki to form an integrated

metropole23. These are very ambitious projects and will entail large investments. As it has

not been planned yet, it is possible that our investment needs estimations are far inferior to

21 For instance, see an article published in Marianne by Laurence Dequay: “Estonie, le nirvana digital de l'Europe" on 21/07/2018 22 More information about the R4E project here. 23 All the plan and the proceedings of the project are available here and here.

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the actual ones. Tallinn’s 2050 strategy illustrates how cities are now aware that

sustainability is a lever for economic and social development, and facilitates cities becoming

fossil-fuel free as soon as possible.

WHAT ARE THE PRIORITIES FOR TALLINN?

What is the content of its action plan?

The municipality of Tallinn is leading several actions for its transition, with several

budgets. Its most-detailed planning concerns energy efficiency and renewable energy

actions, for which Tallinn has estimated a budget of around EUR 300 million for the

period 2011-2021. Thus, if the city maintains the same budget, it would need EUR 900

million for the period 2020-2050. Tallinn covers ten main actions in its planning: the

organisation of energy efficient days, the energy audit and energy passport issuing for city-

owned buildings, the renovation and heat-insulation of city-owned buildings, further

improvement of outdoor lighting control systems, the use of energy-saving lamps in

outdoor lighting, the use of energy-saving lamps in the city's organisations, the change of

energy consumption habits in the city's organisations, the use of sustainable biofuel in the

Figure 15 Illustration of Tallinn's 2050 roadmap by R4E

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urban transport sector, the use of fuel-efficient official cars and the construction of the tram

line in the Lasnamäe district. Tallinn’s priorities are similar to those that the EU

Commission is calling on Estonia to focus on in its investment recommendations, with the

difference that the Commission is also demanding stronger efforts by Estonia to support

circular economy initiatives.

It is also estimated that the expenses related to Tallinn’s Covenant of Mayors

Sustainable Energy Action Plan would reach EUR 135 million from 2015-2020, out of which

EUR 54 million would be financed by the Estonian state.

What has Tallinn accomplished so far?

Tallinn’s policy is ambitious in several aspects. For instance, public transportation

is free of charge for residents since 2013. Citizens only have to pay a 2-euro green card, and

finance transportation through their local taxes. And while EUR 475.3 million have been

spent for the period 2013-2020, the city claims it has turned a EUR 20 million profit each

year. The use of public transport has indeed increased after it became free (+14% in 2014),

however, the large part of this increase has stemmed from more pedestrians taking the bus.

It remains difficult to convince car users to make the transition to public transport. Free

transportation policy is easier in a medium-scale city, where transport congestion is not

such a critical issue.

Allan Alaküla, Head of Tallinn’s European Union Office.24

24 Quote from an article “Estonia is making public transport free” by Alex Gray published on the World Economic Forum website on the 01/06/2018

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In the housing sector, Tallinn has carried out its project “Fix the Facades” since 2010

to support residential renovation, illustrated on figure 17. It encourages renovation loans by

granting 10% of the amount needed for the renovation. 123 apartment associations received

support from 2010–2014, which amounts to a support worth EUR 1.7 million from the city.

The project was renewed in 2015. Furthermore, as regards the public sector, EUR 37.5 million

from sales of CO2 quotas was invested in the reconstruction of municipal buildings in

Tallinn from 2011–2013, which allowed the saving of 3,370 MWh of energy per year. Tallinn’s

ambitious renovation program could be used as a reference for supporting similar initiatives

in cities under the next ESIF program 2021-2027.

Figure 16 Residents only need a EUR 2 green card to use public transportation in Tallinn. Picture by

STRINGER/EPA

Figure 17 Reconstructed facade financed by Tallinn

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TALLINN: AT THE FOREFRONT TO RENOVATE HEATING AND COOLING SYSTEMS

What are Tallinn’s actions for renovating its heating and cooling systems?

Estonia is leading an important policy to renovate the heating and cooling system

and make it more sustainable. For instance, in 2017 at the national level, 44% of the district

heating sales are biomass supply, against 33% of gas25 . At the local level, the share of

renewable and local sustainable biofuel in heat generation in 2014 was 42%; the plan is now

to increase it to 80% by 2017. The sector still needs improvement, specifically when it comes

to limiting energy losses. Tallinn has taken up the challenge and has proposed several

measures in that direction. The current renovation and heat-insulation of the buildings

enabled the city to save up to 30% in energy. Tallinn’s main goal is to reduce the share of

natural gas in its energy supplies, thereby also decreasing its energy dependence. As of now,

this policy has been a success: from 80% in 2007, the share of natural gas has decreased to

58% in 2015. Tallinn has also tried to increase the share of sustainable local fuels, such as

wood chip and peat. Most of the local small boiler houses have been closed, in order to

implement a renewable energy system. This is also linked with the grants for residents to

improve the energy consumption in their homes.

25 Data from a presentation by the Estonian government, available here.

Energy audits &

performance certificates

Construction of dwellings with higher thermal

resistance

Use of solar energy

Renovation of district heating

networks

Expansion of the use of heat pumps

Renovation and

insulation of dwellings

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The city supports the expansion of its district heating and cooling system. It is a

centralized heating and cooling production system, which is then distributed between

buildings, as illustrated in figure 18. With this system, it is easier to use renewable supply

and it also increases energy efficiency. District heating is mainly provided by the energy

utility group Utilitas, which constructed a new sustainable biomass power plant in Väo in

201626, as figure 19 shows. It will use Estonian wood chip and peat, for a total investment of

EUR 65 million. The municipality is counting on this power plant (along with Tallinn Power

Plant, the waste-to-energy unit of Iru thermal power plant and Mustamäe boiler house) to

achieve its policy of using more sustainable biomass and reduce the biomass energy price.

Priit Koit, Head of the Utilitas group27.

CONCLUSION

Tallinn is preparing its sustainable future, with key investments needed in public

transport, renovation and sustainable heating and cooling systems - key investment areas

that have been also identified by the EU Commission for Estonia. For now, Tallinn’s

investment needs require EUR 900 million towards 2050, but as Tallinn targets

26 Presentation in Estonian of the project here. 27 Quote from the Utilitas website.

Figure 18 illustration of the functioning of district heating systems by power solutions France

Figure 19 Picture of power plant in Väo from Utilitas' website

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innovative solutions for smart mobility and smart buildings, this might be an

underestimation. The municipality is aware of the challenges that await, and requires

significant and necessary investments to face them.

Free public transportation is a strong action to foster sustainable mobility, but it is

still difficult to make car users switch to public transportation.

Sustainable heating and cooling systems is a top priority for cities, as it allows for

significant energy savings and the potential for renewable energy is important.

2050 vision is a necessity; however, it also requires a concrete translation through a

detailed action plan.

Current estimation of the investment needs: EUR 900 million.

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Main findings

Thus, these five examples illustrate how cities are acting to limit climate change and

catalyse the clean energy transition, and what investments they would need to achieve the

objectives of the Paris Agreement. Even though Frederikshavn is the smallest city of our

case studies, its investment needs of EUR 1 billion are nearly equivalent to those of Ghent,

Tallinn and Seville by 2050, while Bordeaux-Métropole would need more (almost EUR 3

billion) due to the its larger population. These five cities have also shown that the energy

transition is a multi-sector issue, which needs to be included in all policies.

The estimation of these cities’ investment needs presented here remains theoretical,

but still shows that many cities are already planning their investments till 2050. Long-term

planning requires a clear direction and while cities are taking action to mobilize private and

public investments, it is clear that they will need critical support from the EU and its

Member States under the next ESIF program in order to meet all their investment needs for

their Paris-proof energy transition.

The Commission shares its recommendations for each EU Member State at the

beginning of the year, and in 2019, it has linked this exercise for the first time with the next

ESIF program (2021-2027). The EU Commission is aware of the necessity of the energy

transition, and recommends Member States to go further in supporting the renovation of

buildings, sustainable heating and cooling systems, renewable energy and sustainable

mobility – all key sectors in which European cities are taking action and want to go further.

The investment needs of the five cities presented here concur with the European

Commission’s investment recommendations for EU Member States, and therefore

constitute a call for action: by channeling the necessary investments under the next ESIF

program to support their cities, Member States will also be able to go further in their energy

transition and take action to comply with the Paris Agreement’s objectives. While the EU

Commission’s investment recommendations lack precise figures, the 5 city examples

analyzed here provide clear direction and guidance to Member States on where, when and

how funding and investments needs to be redirected to the local energy transition. This

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publication has provided a clear picture of the investments needed for the transition at local

level, for cities of different sizes, characteristics and socio-economic status: between EUR 1

million and EUR 3 billion until 2050 are necessary according to our estimations. The EU and

its Member States must now unlock enough funds to support cities’ energy transition under

the next ESIF program 2021-2027, and couple this investment with critical technical support

to cities so they are empowered to fully implement their ambitious actions.

Investment needs toward 2050 from the smallest to the largest city:

Main conclusions:

Collaboration public -

private and citizens

Investment needs: EUR 1 to 3 billion

Energy transition

entails multi-sector actions

Plan ambitious

goals for 2030 and 2050

Frederikshavn EUR 1 billion

Ghent EUR 750 million

Tallinn

EUR 900 million

Sevilla

EUR 1 billion

Bordeaux

EUR 2.7 billion

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Sources

CITIES’ CLIMATE PLANS

- “Plan d’action pour un territoire durable à haute qualité de vie”, Bordeaux-Métropole,

France

- “Master plan for Renewable Energy 2030”, City of Frederikshavn, Denmark

- “Ghent Climate Plan 2014-2019”, City of Ghent, Belgium

- “Plan de Acción por el Clima y la Energía Sostenibles (PACES)”, City of Seville, Spain, 2016

- “Development plan for the environmental protection of Tallinn 2013-2018”, City of Tallinn,

Estonia, 2013

REPORTS

- “Infographics: Costs of inaction on climate change in Europe”, CAN, 2018

- “Energy Efficiency, Getting real: from EU law to action on the ground”, The Coalition for

Energy Savings, 2018

- “A Clean Planet for all, A European strategic long-term vision for a prosperous, modern,

competitive and climate neutral economy”, The European Commission, 2018

- “Renewable Energy Prospects for the European Union”, the European Commission & IRENA,

2018

- “State aid: Scoreboard shows continued trend towards less and better targeted aid despite

crisis-related spike”, the European Commission, 2010

- “Models of Local Energy Ownership and the Role of Local Energy Communities in Energy

Transition in Europe”, the European Committee of the Regions, 2018

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- “The involvement of the local and regional authorities in European Semester 2018”, the

European Committee of the Regions, 2018

- “Sustainable energy investment in European local authorities”, Report based on a survey,

the Covenant of Mayors Office, 2016

- “Energy Efficiency – the first fuel for the EU Economy. How to drive new finance for energy

efficiency investments”, The Energy Efficiency Financial Institutions Group, 2015

- “Building renovation in Europe - what are the choices?”, Ecofys, 2012

- “The Danish model - Danish experience with sustainable and low carbon urban

development”, the city of Frederikshavn

- “Energy Efficiency 2017”, the International Energy Agency, 2017

- “Perspectives for the energy transition - Investment Needs for a Low-Carbon Energy

System”, IRENA & IEA, 2017.

- “Climate adaption in local governance: institutional barriers in Danish municipalities”,

Anne Jensen, Helle Ørsted Nielsen and Maria Lilleøre Nielsen, Scientific Report from DCE

– Danish Centre for Environment and Energy, 2016

- “Perspectives for the Energy Transition; Investment Needs for a Low-Carbon Energy

System”, OECD/IEA and IRENA, 2017

- “How to decarbonise the European transport by 2050”, Transport and Environment, 2018

- « Le défi climatique des villes », WWF, 2018

NEWS ARTICLES

- Expansión.com/EP, “Ribera defiende ante los inversores que la transición energética

movilizará más de 200.000 millones hasta 2030” published on Expansion, 15/01/2019

- Evelyne Deceur and Jelle Monstrey, “Ghent: Citizens’ Budget: co-creation in practice”,

Eurocities website.

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- Alex Gray, “Estonia is making public transport free” published on the World Economic

Forum website, 01/06/2018

- Anne Lenormand avec AFP et AEF, “PLF 2018 - Transition écologique : un budget en hausse

mais recentré sur les priorités du Plan climat” published on Banque des Territoires,

28/09/2017.

- R. Marqués, J.A. García-Cebrían and M. Calvo-Salazar, “Seville: How a small Spanish city

became a cycling hub for all” published on Euronews, 12/10/2018

- Maeve Shearlaw “The Tallinn experiment: what happens when a city makes public

transport free?” published on The Guardian, 11/10/2016

- Peter Walker, “How Seville transformed itself into the cycling capital of southern Europe”

published on The Guardian, 28/01/2015

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Authored by Rosalie Lédée

Reviewed by David Donnerer and Adrian Hiel

April 2019

ISBN: 978-2-490384-10-5