the kingdom of sustainable energy: a new energy sector · 2010, the mission is to be: 3 …the...
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The Kingdom of Sustainable Energy:
A New Energy Sector
بسم هللا الرحمن الرحيم
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April 17 , 2010 ۳ ھـ ۱٤۳۱جمادى األولى
والمتجددةالذرية عبداهللا للطاقة الملك مدينة هـ١٤٣١جمادى األولى ٣في ٣٥/األمر الملكي رقم أ
“King Abdullah City for Atomic and Renewable Energy” Royal Decree No. A/35 3/5/1431 A.H.
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Established by Royal Order April 17, 2010, the Mission is to be:
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…The driving force for making atomic and renewable energy an integral part of a national
sustainable energy mix, creating and leveraging the competitive advantages of
relevant technologies for the social and economic development of the
Kingdom of Saudi Arabia…
“
”
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K∙A∙CARE Mandate
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إختصاصات المدینة
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المقر الدائم للمدینة
K.A.CARE City
االستثمار واألعمال
Investment & Business
العالقات الدولیة
International Relations
التنفیذ
Execution
التشریعات واالستراتیجیات
Policies & Strategies التنظیم
Regulatory
القوى البشریة
Human Capacity
األبحاث والتطویر واالبتكار
R&D & Innovation
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Key K.A.CARE Objectives
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• CREATE a sustainable economic sector for Saudi Arabia anchored by local alternative energy demand market
• CONTRIBUTE to job creation, GDP growth, environmental footprint reduction and sustainable development
• MAINTAIN highest levels of safety, security and transparency
قیادة بناء قطاع طاقة ذریة إقتصاديومتجددة
اإلستدامةیملك مقومات
خلق الفرص الوظیفیة
البصمة البیئیة االیجابیة
تكریس ثقافة األمانوبناء والشفافیة
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• SUGGEST alternative energy mix
Execution of K.A.CARE Mandate
Sustainable and efficient energy future for KSA
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• DEVELOP & LEAD execution plans
• PLAN for and BUILD physical city
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Building the Optimum New Energy Mix
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Maximizing Return
Oil Saved
Economic Sector Sustainability
How Much Can We Do ?
Demand Growth Demand Pattern Technology Characteristics
How Much Should We Do ?
Economics Sustainability Technology maturity
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Target Solar Capacity by 2032
41 GW
Maximizing solar deployment Return
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۲۰۳۲الطاقة الشمسیة بحلول عام استھدافات
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Target Solar Capacity by 2032
Maximizing solar deployment return
16 GW
25 GW
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Solar PV الكھروضوئیة
Solar CSP الحراریة
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Solar Energy Deployment Roadmap
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0 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 9 10 11 12 13 15 16 16
0 0 2
3 6
7 10 11
13 14 16
17 19
20 22
25 25
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Solar CSP
Solar PV
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Parameters Affecting Energy Mix Development
Value chain development
Economics of
hydrocarbons saved
Electricity and desalination
demand patterns
Technology choices
Regulatory and physical
infrastructure requirements
Human capacity
development
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Energy Mix
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Annual Electricity Demand Pattern in KSA
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Week Number (July 2009 – August 2010)
Seasonal change in peak load exceeds 40%
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GW
Day-Night Load Variation for Saudi Arabia
Uniform day-to-night variation year round
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Night
Day
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Capacity Identification Using Technology – Load Matching Approach
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Technology Installed Capacity Estimation 2032
Source: ECRA, SEC, Team Analysis
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Proposed Energy Mix 2032
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Load-Specific Technology Component of the Proposed Energy Mix by 2032
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• PV will meet total day time demand year round
• NUCLEAR + GEOTHERMAL + WASTE-TO-ENERGY will meet base-load demand up to night time demand during winter
• CSP with storage will meet maximum demand difference between PV and base-load technologies
• HYDROCARBONS will meet the rest of the demand
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The Energy Mix and the Grid
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Saudi Electric Power Industry
•IPPs •SEC
Generation
•SEC
Transmission •SEC
Distribution
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Saudi Electric Power Industry
•IPPs •SEC
Generation
•NG-SA
Transmission •SEC
Distribution
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Saudi Electric Power Industry
• IPPs • SEC • Generation
Company(s)
Generation
• NG-SA
Transmission • Distribution
Company(s)
Distribution
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Sustainable Energy
Sustainable Energy
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Factors Driving Present Industry to a New Energy Sector
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• K.A.CARE’ leadership in renewable and nuclear energy deployments.
• Unbundling vertically integrated electric
power industry. • Potential resources availability. • Technology evolving in accelerating the
deployment of sustainable energy.
• Significant variation of seasonal electric demand.
• Economic feasibility of exporting low-carbon electricity.
Regional Connection
Global Connection
Wholesale Electricity Market
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Current Assessment
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a grid code for Sustainable energy integration.
in such technology from planning and operating perspectives.
. may
counter off some of the cost.
for renewable energy integration.
in such technology from planning and operating perspectives.
is proportional to uncertainty.
is proportional to cost.
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Transition to a New Saudi Energy Sector
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Year
s to
mon
ths
Mon
ths t
o da
ys
Feed
back
(lea
rnin
g)
Year
s to
Mon
ths
Days
to h
ours
Year
s M
onth
s
Feed
back
(lea
rnin
g)
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K.A.CARE is Integral to the New Energy Sector and the Grid is a Critical Control System
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• Solar, Wind, Geothermal, Waste-to-Energy Sources.
• RRMM and SEPC.
• Distribution level, i.e., ≤ 33 kV
• Smart-Grid • DSM/efficiency • DG.
• Transmission level, i.e., > 33 kV.
• Conventional Fossil-Fueled Sources.
• Nuclear Power Sources.
• SAARA • SEPC
Nuclear Energy Control Center
National Control Center
Renewable Energy Control
Center
Distribution Control Center
Fully connected
Partially connected
≥ 2030
Regional Connection
Global Connection
Wholesale Electricity Market
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Dedicated RE Control Centers, examples…
• Red Eléctrica Control Centre of Renewable Energies (Cecre), June, 2006.
• First Solar, global operations center in Mesa, Arizona, October 2012.
• Saudi Arabia Renewable Energy Control Center (SA-RECC), .
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http://www.ree.es/ingles/operacion/cecre.asp
http://www.examiner.com/article/first-solar-launches-global-operations-center-mesa-az
SA-RECC
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Independent Energy-Mix Control Center
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Short-Term Accelerate the RE
deployment
Policy w.r.t. emissions
Minimize the intermittent impact
Centralized forecasting center
Knowledge transfer
Long-Term
Electricity Trade
Trust-worthy entity
Economic growth
Job creation
…etc.
EMCC
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Studying the Impact of Introducing the Sustainable Energy on the Saudi
Arabian Grid
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HIGH LEVEL OBJECTIVES
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Identify main barriers to
integration of Sustainable
Energy in the KSA grid
Anticipate impact of Sustainable Energy
Minimize cost of solutions to maintain the reliability &
integrity of the system
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Project’s Content Technical grid code
and standards
Planning of T&G
Operation of T&G
Grid hosting capacity for Sustainable
Energy
Barriers and mitigation measures
Nuclear high level system implications
Project Themes
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ILLUSTRATIVE Challenges for Sustainable Energy Integration
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Years ahead
KSA national objective
• Increased usage of existing grid and generation flexibility • Local, Regional, System network investments • Additional Network Code Requirements • Modified Operating Practices • International Trade of Electricity
Solutions to maintain /
improve system reliability &
minimize system cost
% of Sustainable penetration
level
Power System Hosting Capacity
Planned Mitigation measures
Additional Mitigation measures
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Project MAIN Results
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Technical requirements
Connection cost Generic model
Optimal Sequence for REN plan Roll Out & HL NPP implications
Dissemination, Workshops and Site visits
Reliable Grid Structure
(Adequacy & Security)
Assess grid Hosting capacity for Sustainable
energy
Impact on Grid Operation
Impact on Conventional
Gen Operation
Connection Requirement Studies Main Barriers and Mitigation solutions
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The Kingdom of Sustainable Energy
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مملكة الطاقة المستدامة
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Thank You …..
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.....شكرا جزیال