the joy of wire
DESCRIPTION
The Joy of Wire. Steve Lampen Multimedia Technology Manager Product Line Manager – Entertainment Products Belden. Introduction. The Bhagavad-Gita A Story If you do know, who to see ?. Lack of Vision. The year is 1876 Internal Western Union memo: - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
The Joy of WireThe Joy of Wire
Steve LampenSteve LampenMultimedia Technology ManagerMultimedia Technology ManagerProduct Line Manager – Entertainment ProductsProduct Line Manager – Entertainment ProductsBeldenBelden
The Bhagavad-Gita
A Story
If you do know, who to see?
IntroductionIntroduction
Lack of VisionLack of Vision
The year is 1876
Internal Western Union memo:
“ The telephone has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us.”
Lack of VisionLack of Vision
The year is 1878
Talk to Parliament by head of the Royal Mail:
“The Americans have need of the telephone because of the great distances between cities. We British, however, have plenty of messenger boys.”
The year is 1916
Federal Radio Commission, on shutting down Lee DeForest’s radio station, which was playing music.
“There is no room in the ether for entertainment.”
But DeForest said: "Man will never reach the moon regardless of all future scientific advances."
Lack of VisionLack of Vision
The year is 1920
Reply to David Sarnoff trying to sell the idea of radio:
“The wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value. Who would pay for a message sent to nobody in particular?”
Lack of VisionLack of Vision
The year is 1943
Thomas P. Watson, Sr. Chairman of IBM:
“I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.”
Thomas P. Watson, Jr. "I don't know what use any one could find for a machine that would make copies of documents. It certainly couldn't be a feasible business by itself."
… forcing Chester Carlson to found Xerox.
Lack of VisionLack of Vision
The year is 1949Popular Mechanics:
“Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons!“
Lack of VisionLack of Vision
The year is 1977...Ken OlsonPresident, Chairman and Founder of
Digital Equipment Corp.
“There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home.”
Lack of VisionLack of Vision
The Year is 1980…
Dr. Joseph Flaherty,
Senior Vice President of Technology, CBS, the “father of HDTV”
“The day we have digital TV’s is the same day we’ll have an anti-gravity machine.”
Lack of VisionLack of Vision
The year is 2010…What are you saying is silly?What are you saying is impossible?What about your own company?
The Bible says (Proverbs 28:19 ):
“Where there is no vision, the people perish.”The Point is…ask the Question
-and don’t forget!
Lack of VisionLack of Vision
Lack of VisionLack of Vision
The Year is 1518The Year is 1518
Aztec Basketball The Ball was made of…Invented in 1870 by…. 1996, Michael TarkanianWhere would we be?
The Year is 1902The Year is 1902
Kellogg & Co.Silk-covered wireShoelacesHis name was….
The Year is 1928The Year is 1928
Waldo L. SemonGoodrichEPDMThrow-away petroleumShower curtainsOhio 1999
The Year is 1937The Year is 1937
E.W. Fawcett & R.O. GibsonRefrigerationMany ethylenesCrashed PlanesYour Veggie Bag
Don’t ForgetDon’t Forget
“My List of Things to Do”
What is Coming?What is Coming?
Room-temperature superconductors. Low resistance carbon nanotubes.
20,000 years of progress this century.– Ray Kurzweil
What is Coming?What is Coming? Nanobots Cure disease Make you smarter Talk about resolution! How long do you want to live? Talk about a population explosion!
More machine than human…– Ray Kurzweil
Where Have We Been?Where Have We Been?
That Missing Mass…
E
That Missing Mass…
E = m
That Missing Mass…
E = m c2
HabitsHabits
"Habits are like a cable. We weave a strand of it everyday and soon itcannot be broken."
Horace Mann 1796-1859, educator.
PossibilitiesPossibilities
“When you exhaust all possibilities, remember this: You haven’t.”
Thomas Edison
Machines of the Future
Will design themselves– Can you build a cellphone?
Will fix themselves– A self-repairing city– See Arthur C. Clarke “The City and the Stars”
We will not understand them– That’s OK, we just have to know how to use them
In 2006, the Internet passed the complexity of a human brain.
– Ray Kurzweil (again)
What is Coming?What is Coming?
The Internet will talk to us “The Day the Machine Laughed” What will it sound like? Who will talk to it? Ask questions? “Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy” “Are we alone in the Universe?” “Is this the way Evolution proceeds?”
Will You say “Yes”? Putting data into your laptop
– How slow is that?
– Computers transfer all that in a nanosecond.
So let’s put a chip in your head…– Think into your laptop
– A hundred times faster
And, while we’re at it…– Fix your diseases
– Make you smarter
Where Do we Stop?
Ray Kurzweil (again)– By the end of this century…
– More machine than man
Images of “The Borg”– Immortality
The Meek Shall Inherit the Earth– The rest of us will have to leave
– “No Immortals Allowed”
Living in Space – One tough and dangerous life
Make the WorldMake the World
“With our thoughts, we make the world.”
The Buddha.
