the influence of managerial power on post-merger financial
TRANSCRIPT
The influence of managerial power on post-merger
financial performance
Master Thesis
by
Martin Lutke
University of Groningen
Faculty Business and Economics
Msc Strategy and Innovation
23 June 2014
Verlengde Lodewijkstraat 19
9724 EK Groningen
(+ 31) 6 25420550
student number 1610430
First supervisor: Dr. J.Q. Dong
Second supervisor: Dr. W.G. Biemans
Word count: 15.996
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ABSTRACT
Merger and acquisition activity takes place with high peaks and deep declines over time, but even
after years of research on this topic, high failure rates for mergers and acquisitions are still
common. Many studies discuss the reasons for these high failure rates and present guidelines and
success factors for future mergers and acquisitions. Remarkably, the human factor is often
neglected and even when it is discussed, researchers argue about their influence. Most research so
far concludes that managerial power leads to value destruction for mergers and acquisitions.
However, a few studies give indications for a positive relation between the proportion of
managerial power and the success of mergers and acquisitions, in this research seen as post-
merger financial performance. Therefore, this study uses contradictory hypotheses and will
contribute to help resolving the paradox in the discussion about whether there is a positive or
negative influence of managerial power on post-merger financial performance. However, this
effect is stronger in some situations than in others. Therefore, this study takes two moderating
effects into account. First of all, the period of the wave is believed to influence the effect of
managerial power on post-merger financial performance. Secondly, the acquisition rate of the
target’s stocks (the proportion of target's stocks acquired) is believed to influence the effect of
managerial power on post-merger financial performance. Data was collected from databases
ZEPHYR and COMPUSTAT and the sample consist of 5.625 U.S. publicly listed deals in the
financial sector which were completed in the period 1997-2008. Empirical results show a positive
effect of managerial power on post-merger financial performance. These empirical results also
show positive effects for the moderating variables period of the wave and acquisition rate of the
target’s stocks. That means it is shown that the period of the wave and the acquisition rate of the
target’s stocks both positively influence the relation of managerial power on post-merger
financial performance. In conclusion, the proportion of managerial power positively influences
post-merger financial performance. Besides that, this effect is stronger in the fifth merger wave
and in cases where the acquisition rate of the target’s stocks is high.
Keywords: managerial power, success of-, mergers and acquisitions, post-merger financial
performance, merger waves, acquisition rate of the target’s stocks
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INDEX
1. Introduction 3
1.1 Problem statement 6
1.2 Importance of this research 7
1.3 Structure of the paper 9
2. Theory Development 10
2.1 The role of managerial power 12
2.2. Hypotheses development 15
3. Empirical Methodology 23
3.1 Data collection 23
3.2 Independent variable: managerial power 24
3.3 Dependent variable: post-merger financial performance 25
3.4 Moderating variables 27
3.5 Control variables 27
4. Results 30
4.1 The regression model 30
4.2 Descriptive statistics 32
4.3 Regression results 32
5. Discussion & Conclusions 35
References 39
Appendix I 49
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1. INTRODUCTION
In recent decades many large organizations have been developed created out of two or more
companies. A well-known example is the financial institution ING which is a merger of Postbank
and Nationale Nederlanden. But there are more examples in this financial sector, like the
takeover of ABN AMRO bank by the consortium of Royal Bank of Scotland, Fortis and Banco
Santander.
Both examples are categorized as mergers and acquisitions. Sherman & Hart (2006) define a
merger as two companies joining together (usually through the exchange of shares) as peers to
become one. Most of the time a new company develops, either with a new name, like ING, or
with a combination of both the names. An acquisition is defined as one company – the buyer –
which purchases the assets or shares of the seller, with the form of payment being cash, the
securities of the buyer, or other assets of value for the seller. An acquisition can be friendly, as in
the case of ING. That means that the buyer and seller negotiate. Or, an acquisition can be hostile.
In this case, one company buys the other company without cooperation or negotiation, like the
example of ABN AMRO. These authors (Sherman & Hart, 2006) have already mentioned that
the distinction in meaning between mergers and acquisitions may not really matter, since the net
result is the same: two (or more) companies that had separate ownership are now operating under
the same roof, usually to obtain some strategic or financial objective. Other authors also state that
mergers and acquisitions do have differences but they use only one definition. For example,
Weston, Mitchell and Mulherin (2004) state that mergers mostly occur between companies with
approximately the same size and work in the same industry, while with acquisitions the buying
company is in most cases larger than the selling company. Despite the differences they use
mergers and acquisitions as one term, including all types like mergers, acquisitions, divestures,
alliances, joint ventures, restructuring, minority investments, licensing and franchising.
Therefore, I will do the same and in this study call all these types mergers and acquisitions.
As stated above many authors have already covered the topic of mergers and acquisitions in their
research because the number of mergers and acquisitions has been growing significantly over the
last decades (Ravichandran, 2009; Straub, 2007; McCarthy & Dolfsma, 2012; Sudarsanam &
Mahate, 2003). Between 1995 and 1999 nine thousand billion U.S. dollars was spent by North
American and Western European firms on mergers and acquisitions, exceeding the Gross
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Domestic Product of several large countries (Schenk, 2003). Around 2000 approximately 40.000
transactions were counted worldwide (Straub, 2007; Ravichandran, 2009).
But, is this number of mergers and acquisitions rising endlessly? If some other data is
investigated, a whole different scenario could be outlined. For example, in 2008 a record number
of cancelled deals could be seen, more than 1100 versus 870 a year earlier (Vranceanu, 2008).
These figures should give some warnings to different companies who are willing to enter the
process of merging and acquisitioning. However, these dropping figures could be a negative
effect of the financial crisis. Moreover, it is only a comparison between 2008 and 2007 and
therefore it does not have to mean anything. If we take a broader view another pattern could be
seen.
Many authors have investigated the amount of merger and acquisition activity and concluded that
they come in waves (Martynova & Renneboog, 2008; Martynova & Renneboog, 2011; Andrade,
Mitchell & Stafford, 2001; McCarthy & Dolfsma, 2012; Gaughan, 2010, Straub, 2007). The
following figure, FIGURE 1, shows the waves even more clearly. It shows the number of
mergers and acquisitions on the vertical axe and the years 1897-2003 on the horizontal axe.
FIGURE 1 Total number of mergers and acquisitions 1897-2003 (Source: Martynova &
Renneboog, 2008)
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In this figure the waves are relatively easy to discover. In the chart there are six peaks which
represent the six takeover waves. In chapter 2.2 I will describe these six merger waves more
precisely.
FIGURE 1 shows that the number of mergers and acquisitions can fluctuate throughout a decade,
so a decline in the number of mergers and acquisitions in some years is historically logical. But
even in years with a large number of mergers and acquisitions, not all the deals are successful.
Considering research that has been conducted in the past, approximately half of all the mergers
and acquisitions have proven to be unsuccessful (Kitching, 1974; Covin, Kolenko, Sightler &
Tudor, 1997; Gadiesh & Ormiston, 2002; Gadiesh, Ormiston & Rovit, 2003; Weber, Shenkar &
Raveh, 1996). But what exactly is a successful merger or acquisition? In this article success of
mergers and acquisitions will be defined in financial terms, like Napier (1989) did. She chose to
combine all the definitions of success of mergers and acquisitions into two main categories in her
article. She mentioned that the success of a merger and acquisition could be measured by 1)
financial or other objective performance measures and 2) by employee reaction or morale
measures. Because the use of objective secondary data in this research is very important, the
definitions in the area of employee reaction or morale measures are less applicable. Therefore the
focus will lie on financial or other objective performance measures. Because this research deals
with completed deals only, in this article, success of mergers and acquisitions will be described as
post-merger financial performance.
Because, due to time and data limitations, it is not possible to investigate all the factors that
influence post-merger financial performance this research will only investigate one factor. For
three reasons the focus of this study will lie on the influence of managerial power on the post-
merger financial performance. The first reason is that the role of human factors has been
neglected in the literature for a long time. Past research focused on processes and firm- and deals-
specific characteristics instead of human factors (McCarthy & Dolfsma, 2012; Trautwein, 1990).
For a long time the same topics were discussed, for example: failures on strategic, financial and
economic decision-making processes and characteristics like size, relatedness, structure, methods
of payment, and liquidity. King, Dalton, Daily & Covin (2004) even gave researchers the advice
to incorporate other variables in the models than the one mentioned above, when investigating
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success of mergers and acquisitions. The second reason for choosing managerial power is that the
few authors who did investigate the role of managerial power on post-merger financial
performance did not agree whether this managerial power could positively or negatively
influence the post-merger financial performance (Covin et al., 1997; Cartwright & Cooper, 1990;
Roll, 1986; Haywood & Hambrick, 1997; Grinstein 7 Hribar, 2003; Dutta, MacAulay & Saadi,
2011; Harford & Li, 2007; Daily & Johnson, 1997). The third and last reason for choosing
managerial power is that managers’ decisions are one of the most important motives for starting a
merger and acquisition process (Trautwein, 1990).
It seems reasonable, due to these three reasons, to further investigate managerial power. But,
what exactly is meant with managerial power? In this study managerial power will be described
by using the framework of Finkelstein (1992), who stated that managerial power has four
dimensions. The structural power dimension is the one which describes managerial power best.
This power dimension is based upon the fact that managers who have a legislative right to exert
influence are more influential than other managers. It is about formal organizational structure and
hierarchical authority. The greater a manager’s structural power, the greater the control will be
over colleagues’ actions and the less he or she will be dependent on other members within the
organization. So managers who have managerial power will have control over colleagues’ actions
and can take decisions independent of other members in the organization based on their
hierarchical authority. In chapter 2.2 the whole framework and the reason why I chose structural
power as the most important dimension for this study will be discussed.
1.1 Problem statement
Figure 1 showed that the number of mergers and acquisitions can fluctuate throughout a decade,
so a decline in the number of mergers and acquisitions in some years is historically logical. But
even in years with a large number of mergers and acquisitions, not all the deals are successful.
Considering research that has been conducted in the past, approximately half of all the mergers
and acquisitions have proven to be unsuccessful (Kitching, 1974; Covin, Kolenko, Sightler &
Tudor, 1997; Gadiesh & Ormiston, 2002; Gadiesh, Ormiston & Rovit, 2003; Weber, Shenkar &
Raveh, 1996). It is striking that for so many years it has been clear that half of the mergers and
acquisitions are unsuccessful but that nothing has changed. One explanation could be that success
factors are not correctly interpreted. For example, Martynova & Renneboog (2008) already
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mentioned that success factors vary from period to period. Another explanation is that some
success factors have been neglected for a long time. Past research focused on processes and firm-
and deal-specific characteristics instead of on human factors (McCarthy & Dolfsma, 2012;
Trautwein, 1990; King et al., 2004). A final explanation is that multiple studies did not reach an
agreement about whether the influence of a particular factor was successful or less successful for
mergers and acquisitions. The purpose of this research therefore is to incorporate these three
issues and so it will contribute to help resolving the paradox in the discussion whether there is a
positive or negative influence of managerial power on post-merger financial performance.
Hopefully, this research can therefore contribute to the literature which describes the problems of
unsuccessful mergers and acquisitions.
In summary, the main question of this research will be: “How does the role of managerial power
influence the post-merger financial performance?”
1.2 Importance of this research
First of all, this research can help to get a better understanding of the processes of mergers and
acquisitions. So far we have seen that many mergers and acquisitions still fail, sometimes failure
rates of fifty percent were found. Therefore, it is important that all the causes for failures are
intensively investigated and that managers are aware of these causes so they can better steer the
processes within mergers and acquisitions. Although a lot of research has been conducted
already, the high failure rates still remain, so better understanding of the causes for failure is
necessary. This research will contribute to that by investigating the success of mergers and
acquisitions.
Secondly, this research helps to fulfill a gap in the literature. It has been shown that the topic of
human interference has been neglected for a long time, while it has been proven that managers
destroy or create value in many mergers and acquisitions (McCarthy & Dolfsma, 2012;
Trautwein, 1990; King et al., 2004). Therefore, this research will focus on the role of managerial
power and its influence on post-merger financial performance.
Thirdly, this study will contribute to the research by providing an empirical test of contradictory
perspectives. By doing that, this research will contribute to help resolving the paradox in the
discussion whether there is a positive or negative influence of managerial power on post-merger
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financial performance. Prior research shows no agreement on the nature of the relation and so this
leaves a gap in the literature. This article will fill this gap by testing whether this relation is
positive or negative.
In the fourth place, this research will build further on earlier research. Daily & Johnson (1997)
were one of the few who found a significant positive relation between managerial power and
post-merger financial performance. However, they only investigated the relation between basic
pay and post-merger financial performance. By using the total compensation of the CEO, the
limitations of their study will be overcome. Therefore, this study will have a higher
generalizability.
In the fifth place, this research will contribute to the literature and follow the advice of King et al.
(2004) by taking two moderators into account. The first one is the period of the wave. Because
earlier research showed that success factors vary from period to period (Martynova &
Renneboog, 2008) it seems logical that the relation between managerial power and post-merger
financial performance is stronger or weaker between the different merger waves. Test results
should prove the nature (positive or negative) of this effect. Prior research leaves a gap in the
literature that will be filled by this article by testing the relation in different periods. As a result,
the generalizability of the study will be higher. The second moderator is the acquisition rate of
the target’s stocks. Fowler & Schmidt (1989) used the acquisition rate of the target’s stocks as an
independent variable and found a significant positive relationship between the percentage of
stocks acquired and the post-merger financial performance. However, it was another part of their
research which gave an interesting insight into using the acquisition rate of the target’s stocks as
a moderator instead of an independent variable for this study. They stated that if a relationship
exists between the percentage of stocks acquired and the degree of influence over a target, the
effectiveness of integration presumably would be affected. This could be a reason for using the
acquisition rate of the target’s stocks not as an independent variable, but as a moderator. Because
they saw the effectiveness of integration as an indicator of the success of mergers and
acquisitions and influence as an indicator of managerial power, the variable acquisition rate of the
target’s stocks is applicable for my study. So far prior research did not test this moderating effect,
that is why this research can contribute to the literature. Moreover, the article gives substantiation
for using the acquisition rate of the target’s stocks as a moderator instead of an independent
variable for my own study.
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Finally, this research gives some managerial implications. Because this research gives an answer
to the question whether managerial power leads to more or less successful mergers and
acquisitions, the organizations concerned will be able to make a better choice in searching for the
right CEO.
1.3 Structure of the paper
In this section I will outline the structure of this paper. In chapter two the theory development
will be described. In this overview the existing literature about success factors will be reviewed
first. Furthermore, in 2.1 the reason for choosing managerial power as the most important
variable for investigation is given. In part 2.2 the hypotheses will be developed. Therefore, all the
important studies about the subject of managerial power, post-merger financial performance,
period of the waves and acquisition rate of the target’s stocks will be covered. At the end of
chapter 2.2 a conceptual model will be given with all the constructs and relations in it.
The third chapter of this paper will be the empirical methodology. In this part I will first lay out
the strategy for collecting data in 3.1. Secondly, I will give the objective operational definitions
of all the variables that are important in the conceptual model, independent (3.2), dependent (3.3),
moderating (3.4) and control (3.5).
In the fourth chapter of this paper I will discuss the results. Firstly, in 4.1 the test itself will be
explained. Secondly, in 4.2 and 4.3 the results of the regression analysis will be shown and
conclusions about rejecting or accepting the hypotheses can be made.
The fifth and last chapter will be the discussion & conclusions part. In this section the results of
the regression test will be analyzed and discussed. On the basis of earlier research I will discuss
whether there are similarities or differences in the results. Possible explanations for the
differences will be given. Furthermore, the limitations will be mentioned and suggestions for
further research will be given.
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2. THEORY DEVELOPMENT
The literature about success factors of mergers and acquisitions is very comprehensive and
elaborate. For many years authors from a variety of management disciplines investigated mergers
and acquisitions and their success factors. Some authors only investigate one success factor, like
size (Moeller, Schlingemann & Stulz, 2004). This article explains that smaller mergers perform
better than larger mergers.
Other authors focus on failures in the process (Child, Pitkethy & Faulkner, 1999; Schweiger &
Very, 2003). The process of a merger can be divided into three stages: the pre-merger
(identification & planning), the during-merger (negotiation & realization), and the post-merger
(integration) stage (Appelbaum, Gandell, Yortis, Proper & Jobin, 2000; Cartwright & Cooper,
2000; Chatterjee, 2009). For example, Straub (2007) focuses on the strategic failures and
describes three types: choosing the wrong target, paying too much for the target and integrating
the target poorly. These types correspond to the three-stage model with one failure in every stage.
Therefore, it is also important to look at the process by describing successes, because different
failures arise in different stages of the M&A process. ‘Paying too much for it’ is something which
is mentioned in many other articles (Jensen, 1986; Hitt, Harrison, Ireland & Best, 1998;
Haunschild, 1994; Hayward & Hambrick, 1997; Shimizu, Hitt, Vaidyanath & Pisano, 2004).
They all conclude that the more is paid, the weaker the post-merger financial performance will
be. Especially when there is an excess of liquidity and when premiums are paid.
Other authors try to make a more comprehensive overview. For example, Gadiesh and Ormiston
(2002) list five major causes of merger failure: poor strategic rationale, mismatch of cultures,
difficulties with communication and leading the organisation, poor integration planning and
execution, and paying too much for the target company. Cartwright & Schoenberg (2006) have
made a reflection on the advances in research in the topic of mergers and acquisitions of the last
thirty years. They summarized all the strategic and behavioral literature in three primary streams:
issues of strategic fit, organizational fit and the process itself. The organizational fit is cited as
relatedness most of the times. Merging firms may be considered related when a common skill,
resource, market or purpose applies to each of them, i.e. if they employ similar production
techniques, serve similar markets, use similar distribution systems, or employ science-based
research (Rumelt, 1974). Relatedness is one of the most discussed variables in mergers and
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acquisitions successes (Nahavandi & Malekzadeh, 1988; Shimizu, Hitt, Vaidyanath & Pisano,
2004; Hitt, Harrison, Ireland & Best, 1998; Salter and Weinhold, 1978; Porter, 1980; Lubatkin,
1983; Gugler, Mueller & Yurtoglu, 2003), although its results are very often inconsistent
(Lubatkin, 1987; Seth, 1990; Wansley, Lane and Yang, 1983).
The reason that relatedness is cited so much is because past research focused on processes and
firm- and deals-specific characteristics instead of human factors (McCarthy & Dolfsma, 2012).
For a long time the same topics were discussed, for example: failures on strategic, financial and
economic decision-making processes and characteristics like size, relatedness, structure, methods
of payment, and liquidity. King et al. (2004) conclude that past researchers almost all focused on
the same factors and gave researchers the advice to incorporate other variables in the models than
the one mentioned above, when investigating success of mergers and acquisitions. However,
King et al. (2004) did mention that some authors tried to focus on different factors, but those
authors needed more support. One example of authors who tried to focus on other factors is the
research of Seth, Song & Pettit (2002). They state that value creation by mergers and acquisitions
can be more or less successful depending on the motives behind the merger or acquisition.
Therefore, it is important to gain a deeper insight of these motives behind mergers and
acquisitions.
In general, theories concerning motivation can be divided into two broad streams. Of these
streams, the first presumes that managers of the merging companies seek to maximize profits or
shareholder wealth. Under this assumption any merger must be expected to either increase the
market power of the merging companies or reduce their costs. The second stream assumes other
managerial goals than profits, for example the growth of the firm, or quasi-irrational behavior
that might occur because managers are overcome by hubris, which is a form of overconfidence
(Gugler et al, 2003). Firth (1979) made the same distinction but named it differently. He
describes one stream as the profit maximizing and growth purpose and the other as the
management utility maximizing purpose. Trautwein (1990) is one of the few authors who made a
comprehensive overview of the different motives. He came up with seven motives for mergers
and acquisitions. The first motive is called the efficiency theory. This theory is based upon the
idea that mergers and acquisitions are planned and executed to achieve synergies. The second
motive is called the monopoly theory. This theory is based upon the idea that mergers and
acquisitions are planned and executed to achieve market power. The third motive is called the
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valuation theory. This theory is based upon the idea that mergers and acquisitions are planned
and executed by managers who have more knowledge of the value of the targeted firm than the
stock market. The fourth motive is called the empire-building theory. This theory is based upon
the idea that mergers and acquisitions are planned and executed by managers who thereby
maximize their own utility instead of their shareholders’ value. The fifth motive is called the
process theory. This theory is based upon the idea that the reasons behind mergers and
acquisitions are not rational choices but outcomes of processes influenced by the limited
information processing capabilities of individuals, the organizational routines and the political
power “games” of organization subunits and outsiders. The sixth motive is called the raider
theory. This theory is based upon the idea that the motive behind mergers and acquisitions is the
wealth transfer a person or company received from the stockholders of the firms bided for. The
seventh motive is called the disturbance theory. This theory is based upon the idea that economic
disturbances causes mergers and acquisitions. Trautwein (1990) gives a lot of criticism on many
of the motives in his article. According to him some theories are more important than others. He
cites other research to refute most of the theories above. The valuation theory, process theory and
empire-building theory can explain the motives behind mergers and acquisitions best according
to Trautwein (1990). Striking is the fact that all these theories include the role of human power.
Because human power plays such a huge role in the motives behind mergers and acquisitions it
seems logical that the role of human interference should get more attention, which is already
mentioned earlier. Human factors have been neglected for a long period, because it was always
assumed that mergers and acquisitions were a closed system with little room for human influence.
But, this part shows that the managers play a huge role in the motives for mergers and
acquisitions. Therefore, due to the important role managerial power has in the motives of mergers
and acquisitions and the fact that is has been neglected in the literature for a long time, there is
enough evidence to investigate managerial power further. I will do this in the next part.
2.1 The role of managerial power
As was stated above the desire for managerial power, prestige and empire could be a motive for
mergers and acquisitions. Many CEOs are striving for more control over resources, often because
of the linkage between company size and reward. The role of managerial power is even more
important because the targeted firm is chosen by the CEOs or by a select group of non-executives
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on the top management team most of the time. But, how is (managerial) power described in the
literature? The theory of power has been investigated over so many years, because people have
possessed power over other people ever since they existed (Dahl, 1957). Many wars have started
because of a search for (more) power, such as World War II or the wars of ancient Rome. But
power is not always a negative thing. In certain domains we accept the fact that people possess
power over us because it is laid down by law. Policemen, for example, have the authority to
intervene if necessary, and parents possess some power over their children, although it is not
explicitly written down. Because scholars in so many fields have investigated the subject of
power, a lot of different definitions exist. Dahl (1957) sees it as a social theory and he comes up
with the idea that “A has power over B to the extent that he can get B to do something that B
would not otherwise do.” He describes power as a relation between people. To describe that
relation best, four elements should be included. First, it should include references to the source,
domain or base of the power. This consists of all the resources – opportunities, acts, objects, etc.
– that someone can exploit in order to affect the behavior of others. Secondly, it should include
references to the means of power. This consists of the instruments that were actually used.
Thirdly, it should include references to the amount of power. This consists of the extent to which
the power is used. Lastly, it should include references to the scope of power. This means to what
extent it is possible to influence someone else.
This social theory about the base, means, amount and scope of power is supported by Foucault
(1982). He also says that power is a relationship between people, but he goes further by saying
that power only exists when it is put into action. If it is, of course, integrated into a disparate field
of possibilities brought to bear upon permanent structure, for example an organization. Because
that is much more interesting for this study than all the social definitions of power, the focus will
be on managerial power in organizations. One of the theories that discuss that role is the research
of French & Raven (1959). The reason why this theory is chosen is because French & Raven
discuss power in the context of change, which fits the topic of mergers and acquisitions. In their
original work they discuss five bases of power. By the basis of power they mean the relationship
between A and B, which is the source of that power. The first base of power is the reward power.
This is defined as power whose basis is the ability to reward. The second base of power is the
coercive power. This is defined as power whose basis is the ability to manipulate the attainment
of valences. It seems almost the same as reward power, because it is both about the ability to
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manipulate the attainment of valences. But in the case of reward power this is done with rewards
and in the case of coercive power this is done with punishments. The third power base is
legitimate power. This power base stems from the fact that internalized values in the subordinate
determine that the manager has a legitimate right to influence the subordinate. These values are
dependent of age, intelligence, social structure, or psychological characteristics. The fourth base
of power is the referent power. This power base stems from the fact that some people feel a
strong identification with another person. The last power base is expert power. The strength of
expert power varies with the extent of knowledge or perception that the subordinate attributes to
the manager within a given area. So it is not about ‘real knowledge’ but the perception of
knowledge.
These bases of power are very useful in getting more information about where power comes
from, but it does not describes managerial power in particular. Finkelstein (1992) changed the
framework a little and found four different power dimensions. These dimensions together should
describe the topic of managerial power completely. This framework is more specifically
developed with top managers in mind and therefore better usable than the framework of French &
Raven (1959). Besides that, in the article of Daily & Johnson (1997), which was one of the
motives for my own research, this framework was used in describing managerial power too.
Therefore, a deeper insight in this framework is necessary for this study. The four managerial
power dimensions Finkelstein (1992) uses are:
1) Structural power. This power dimension is based upon the fact that managers who have a
legislative right to exert influence are more influential than other managers. It is about
formal organizational structure and hierarchical authority. The greater a manager's
structural power, the greater the control will be over colleagues actions and the less he or
she will be dependent on other members within the organization.
2) Ownership power. This power dimension is based upon the fact that managers who have
significant shareholding within the organization have more managerial power than other
managers.
3) Expert power. This power dimension is based upon the fact that managers with relevant
expertise may have significant influence on a particular strategic choice and therefore
possess more managerial power than other managers. This managerial power will even be
higher when this expertise is critical to an organization.
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4) Prestige power. This power dimension is based upon the reputation of a manager in the
institutional environment of the organization and among stakeholders. The more he or she
stands in the ‘managerial elite’ or the more he or she interacts with other high valued
persons, the more managerial power he or she will have.
Not all these dimensions are within the scope of this research. For example, the dimension of
ownership power is difficult to investigate within my research. During the process of mergers and
acquisitions the amount or ratio of shares of both companies could change. Top managers who
possess a large number of shares in the pre-merger phase could possess a lot more or a lot fewer
shares in the post-merger phase after the aggregation. Data unavailability is therefore the main
reason for not using this dimension.
Because the proportion of expert power or prestige power a manager possesses is independent of
the hierarchical function of this manager, these two managerial power domains are less suitable
for this research. First of all, because it was stated earlier that the CEO plays a huge role in the
merger and acquisition process, it turns out that structural power is more important than expert or
prestige power. The targeted firm is very often chosen by the CEOs, simply because he or she is
the leader. Other managers could possess a lot of expert of prestige power, but the final decision
is made by the CEO. Secondly, and even more importantly, it was stated earlier that the desire for
managerial power, prestige and empire could be a motive for mergers and acquisitions. This is
why the CEO will decide what will happen, probably without listening to other managers, the
CEO’s only aim is empire-building. This shows that they make decisions independent of other
members within the organization, and this is exactly the definition of structural power. They can
strive for empire-building because, due to their hierarchical function ,they are in the position to
do that. These two arguments support the choice for taking the structural power dimension as the
most important aspect of managerial power for this study.
2.2. Hypotheses development
Managers have to use different bases of power to influence and motivate employees, especially in
processes of mergers and acquisitions when people have to change. However, prior research has
found different outcomes when the relation managerial power and post-merger financial
performance is investigated. Many studies show that the role of managerial power is not that
16
successful. For example, Covin et al. (1997) identified the leadership styles that influence post-
merger satisfaction of employees positively or negatively. They found, based on a single-case
study, that the different bases of power were not all that successful for post-merger satisfaction.
But in large-scale samples it is also concluded that managers destroy value (Cartwright &
Cooper, 1990). They state that managers are responsible for one third to one half of all the
failures of mergers and acquisitions. One of the reasons for managers’ failures is explained by the
hubris theory. In the pre-merger stage managers pay too much for their targets due to
overconfidence, which is called hubris. This overpricing leads to a higher failure rate of mergers
and acquisitions (Roll, 1986; Haywood & Hambrick, 1997). The article of Grinstein & Hribar
(2003) is even more suitable because, just like in this research, they incorporate the role of
managerial power. But their conclusion gives an even more dramatic impression. They found that
mergers and acquisitions which were led by CEOs with a significant proportion of managerial
power, were received more negatively by the market. In conclusion, it leads to the following
hypothesis.
Hypothesis 1a: The higher the proportion of managerial power, the less successful the
post-merger financial performance will be.
One can conclude that a powerful CEO is not a positive resource in the organization. But why
then do all companies still search for strong powerful CEOs? If these powerful CEOs only
destroy value they would never again be considered for a vacancy. Therefore, it sounds rather
unbelievable that managers only have a negative influence on post-merger financial performance.
Dutta, MacAulay & Saadi (2011) asked themselves the same question. They did not believe
either that managers only destroy value for two reasons. They said: “First, in an effective and
competitive labor market, CEOs are likely to be concerned about their reputation. Therefore, they
are not likely to make an acquisition which might hurt their reputation in the future without
rational analysis. Second, most of the CEOs have long-term performance incentive (such as stock
options and profit sharing schemes) in a firm. Therefore, they might not be interested just in
short-term M&A bonuses. Rather, they might be interested in acquiring a good target, which will
give long-term benefits to them (in terms of a total CEO compensation package).” (p, 258).
Harford & Li (2007) also investigated the relation of managerial power and post-merger financial
17
performance. They found that in companies with a strong board a relation exists between
negative post-merger performance and pay. In other words, in such companies CEOs will search
the best targets because their compensation is dependent on the financial results. So in these
organizations CEOs do not have the possibility to strive for their own interest. This result
supports the idea that managerial power could lead to better post-merger financial performance.
Furthermore, in the same article they found that only those firms that have extremely good post-
merger stock performance continue with additional acquisitions. And because the size of the
organization influences the amount of compensation for the CEO (Jensen, 1986; Grinstein &
Hribar, 2003), it is implied that managers will search for targets which have a positive influence
on the post-merger stock performance because then the basis for further merger & acquisition
activity is higher.
The most interesting assumption for further investigation can be found in the article of Daily &
Johnson (1997). These authors tested the relation between managerial power and the post-merger
financial performance. They took the relative compensation of the CEO as an objective
measurement for managerial power. They found a significant and positive relationship between
this relative compensation of the CEO and the post-merger financial performance. However, only
the basic compensation was included in the relative compensation of the CEO. Because most
CEOs have a lot of options, grants, bonuses, et cetera, this result could be different if the entire
compensation package is incorporated in the relative compensation of the CEO. If the
relationship between managerial power and post-merger financial performance is still significant
under this condition, a much better generalizable and valid research conclusion could be drawn.
That is an interesting challenge for this study. In conclusion, it leads to the following hypothesis.
Hypothesis 1b: The higher the proportion of managerial power, the more successful the
post-merger financial performance will be.
However, King, Dalton, Daily & Covin (2004) state that in research of post-merger financial
performance the role of moderating effects often is neglected. Therefore, they advise future
researchers to incorporate moderating variables into their models for better results. That is why I
will take these moderating effects into account. Here, period of the wave and the acquisition rate
of the target’s stocks will be used as a moderator. First, the reason for choosing the period of the
18
wave as a moderator will be outlined, but for a better understanding, the topic of merger waves
has to be shortly discussed.
As mentioned before mergers and acquisitions come in waves. A takeover wave, as these waves
are called, reflects the wave pattern of the number and the total value of takeover deals over time
(Martynova & Renneboog, 2008). Each takeover wave begins after a number of economic,
political, and regulatory changes. For a long time, five completed waves have been examined in
the literature. But lately more evidence was found for the existence of a sixth wave.
The first wave, which is also called the Great Merger Wave, started around 1890 in the United
States. This period was characterised by radical changes in technology, economic geographic
expansion, innovations in industrial processes, the introduction of new state corporate legislation,
and the development of industrial stock trading on the New York Stock Exchange. The main
characteristic of this wave was its horizontal character. By far, most of the mergers were
characterized by horizontal consolidation of industrial production. Due to the horizontal mergers
the first monopolies appeared in this time. It is therefore that Stigler (1950) called this pattern
merging to form monopolies. This wave came to an end at the beginning of the 20th
century,
when the equity stock market crashed.
The second wave started around 1918, when the First World War ended and economic recovery
was necessary. The main characteristic of this wave was its vertical character. Many small
companies merged to achieve economies of scale and build strength to compete with the
dominant monopolies, which were created in the first wave. Therefore, Stigler (1950) describes
this wave as a move towards oligopolies, because through this merging pattern more larger
companies were created. The large monopolies did not attempt to regain power through new
mergers. Stigler (1950) suggest that the lack of sufficient capital to finance the mergers and the
antimonopoly laws which were developed in the first years of the 20th
century were the reasons
for this. This second wave ended with the stock market crash and the subsequent economic
depression in 1929. In the following decades there was little merger and acquisition activity due
to the worldwide recession and the Second World War.
The third wave started around 1960 and lasted for almost two decades. The beginning of this
wave was initiated by the economic recovery and the anti-trust regime in the United States in
1950. The main feature of this wave was a very high number of diversifying takeovers that led to
the development of large conglomerates. The reason why companies started these large
19
conglomerates was to benefit from growth opportunities in new product markets unrelated to
their primary business. This allowed them to increase value, reduce their earnings uncertainty,
and to overcome imperfections in external capital markets. Another characteristic of this wave
was that the geographical scope widened beyond the United States for the first time, namely to
the United Kingdom. The third wave ended in 1973, when the oil crisis started and the world
economy fell into a recession.
The fourth wave started in 1981, when the stock market had recovered from the economic
recession. The start of the fourth wave was initiated by changes in anti-trust policy, the
deregulation of the financial services sector, the creation of new financial instruments and
markets, and by technological progress in the electronics industry. The conglomerate structures
created during the third wave had become inefficient by the 1980s and so companies were forced
to reorganize their businesses (Shleifer and Vishny, 1991). Therefore, this wave was
characterised by a huge number of divestitures, hostile takeovers, and privatization. The
geographical scope of this wave stretched beyond the United States and the United Kingdom and
also influenced the corporate structures in Western-Europe. The fourth wave ended with the stock
market crash of 1987.
The fifth takeover wave started in 1993. It was initiated by the increasing economic globalisation,
technological innovation, deregulation and privatisation, as well as by the economic and financial
markets boom. A main characteristic of this fifth wave is its international character. The
European takeover market was about as large as the market in the United States in the 1990s, and
an Asian takeover market also emerged. A second characteristic was that a substantial proportion
of the merger and acquisition activity consisted of cross-border transactions. Previously
domestically-oriented companies started takeovers abroad as a means to survive the international
competition created by global markets. The dominance of industry-related (both horizontal and
vertical) takeovers and the decline in the relative number of divestitures during the fifth wave
suggests that the main takeover motive was growth to participate in globalized markets.
Compared to the fourth takeover wave, this fifth wave had fewer hostile bids in the United Stated
and the United Kingdom. However, a huge number of hostile takeovers was started in
Continental Europe. The fifth wave ended with the attacks on 9/11 and the subsequent equity
market collapse in the beginning of the 21st century.
20
Some authors (Martynova & Renneboog, 2008) believe that a sixth wave emerged in 2003
because of the rise of cheap credit. This wave continued were the fifth wave stopped. A large
number of cross-border deals are still being made and thus the international industry
consolidation which started in the 1990s is continued. Remarkably, this sixth wave was the first
wave that was not led by the United States and had more activity in Europe. Recent acquirers
seem to prefer friendly negotiations to the aggressive bidding, as the number of hostile bids is at a
modest level. This sixth wave ended with the financial crisis around 2008.
Not all these merger waves are interesting for my study. For two reasons only the last two waves
will be included in this research. Firstly, because more recent information is more interesting for
research than older information. Secondly, and much more importantly, only in these two waves
does the financial sector belong to the industries with the most merger and acquisition activity.
And because I take a sample from the financial sector, only the fifth and sixth wave are
interesting for my study. Evidence is found that mergers and acquisitions in the sixth wave were
more successful than their predecessors in the fifth wave (McCarthy & Dolfsma, 2012). These
authors based their assumptions on the fact that the sixth wave has a number of factors acting in
its favour, compared to the fifth wave. Firstly, in the sixth wave more mergers and acquisitions
were financed with cash. Earlier research found that cash-financed deals are more beneficial to
the bidder’s shareholders (Carow, Heron & Saxton, 2004; Huang & Walkling, 1987; Loughran &
Vijh, 1997; Travlos, 1987; Goergen & Renneboog, 2004; Franks, Harris & Titman, 1991).
Secondly, McCarthy & Dolfsma (2012) found that in the sixth wave the number of hostile bids
had declined. Because hostile mergers and acquisitions lead to poorer performance and wastes
resources (Gaughan, 2010; Dong, Hirshleifer, Richardson & Teoh, 2006; Croci, 2007), the results
of mergers and acquisitions in the sixth wave had to be better. Lastly, the mergers and
acquisitions in the sixth wave tended to be more related. The opposite of related mergers and
acquisitions are diversifying mergers. Evidence is found that these diversifying mergers destroy
value (Gaughan, 2010; Chatterjee, 1986; Datta, 1991; Salter & Weinhold, 1978; Hitt, 1998;
Wansley, Lane & Yang, 1983). Furthermore, and more interesting for this research, these
diversifying mergers and acquisitions are more likely to be pursued by managers who strive for
more prestige, empires and self-entrenchment (Shleifer & Vishny, 1991; Mueller, 1969). So by
conducting more unrelated mergers and acquisitions in the fifth wave, the role of powerful
21
managers will be higher in that period and so their possibility to influence the post-merger
financial performance. Therefore the expectation is that:
Hypothesis 2: The effect of managerial power on post-merger financial performance will
be stronger in the fifth wave than in the sixth wave.
The other moderator in this study will be the acquisition rate of the target’s stocks. As stated
earlier the usage of the acquisition rate as a moderator stems from the article of Fowler &
Schmidt (1989). In their article they state that if an acquirer buys twenty percent of the target’s
stocks, it is presumed that the acquirer has the possibility to have influence over the target to
some extent. That means CEOs can use their power to influence post-merger performance and it
seems logical that the possibility to influence post-merger performance will increase if a higher
percentage of the target’s stocks is acquired. Fowler & Schmidt (1989) further stated that if a
relationship exists between the percentage of stocks acquired and the degree of influence over a
target, the effectiveness of integration (in their study an indicator of success of mergers and
acquisitions) presumably would be affected. So the firms that acquired a significant portion of a
target firm’s stocks may be able to exert more influence during integration than firms that
acquired a smaller percentage. This part of their study could prove that a relation between a
proportion of influence and the success of mergers and acquisitions will be influenced by the
degree of acquisition. Because managerial power is all about influence, I assume that the degree
of acquisition, also called the acquisition rate of the target’s stocks, influences the relation
between managerial power and post-merger financial performance. This assumption is also in
line with conclusions in earlier research, which stated that future researchers should use more
variables as moderators, because interaction effects could explain a lot of the so far unidentified
variances (King et al., 2004; Hitt et al., 1998). Therefore the expectation is that:
Hypothesis 3: The effect of managerial power on post-merger financial performance will
be stronger in cases with a higher acquisition rate of the target’s stocks
than in cases with a lower acquisition rate of the target’s stocks.
22
In short, in this research the effect of the role of managerial power on post-merger financial
performance will be investigated. The period of the wave and the acquisition rate of the target’s
stocks will act as moderator. The relations that will be tested are shown in FIGURE 2. It is not
sure whether the relations are positive or negative, therefore this is a neutral model.
FIGURE 2 Conceptual model
23
3. EMPIRICAL METHODOLOGY
Before collecting data for investigating the relation between managerial power and post-merger
financial performance, some issues of empirical methodology have to be discussed. Firstly, in
section 3.1 the strategy for collecting data will be outlined. Secondly, it is explained what is
understood by the independent (section 3.2) and dependent variables (section 3.3) within the
conceptual model. Thirdly, in section 3.4 it is explained in which way the moderating variables
will be measured. Finally, in section 3.5 the role of the control variables within the conceptual
model will be explained and theoretically supported.
3.1 Data collection
As mentioned before this research will make use of secondary data. The data source for mergers
and acquisitions that will be used is called the ZEPHYR database, which is a variant of ORBIS.
The extensive database contains all sorts of business deals including mergers, acquisitions and
international joint ventures. In making a sample some changes had to be made to make the
database more applicable for this research. Firstly, only mergers and acquisitions that are 100%
completed are incorporated in the sample, because this research is only focused on post-merger
financial performance. Secondly, as mentioned before, only mergers and acquisitions that are
completed in the fifth and sixth wave will be investigated. Because ZEPHYR only has data from
1997 onwards, the sample consists of mergers and acquisitions which are completed between
1997-2008. Thirdly, some studies found that cultural differences influence the success of mergers
and acquisitions (Lodorfos & Boateng, 2006; Morosini, Shane & Singh, 1998; Morosini, 2004;
Chatterjee, Lubatkin, Schweiger & Weber, 1992). To exclude the effects of culture, only US
firms are used in the sample. In the fourth place, because of greater data availability, only
mergers and acquisitions which were performed by companies who are publicly listed are
included in the sample. Finally, some studies found that industry differences influence the
success of mergers and acquisitions (Zollo & Singh, 2004; Kusewitt, 1985). Therefore, to exclude
the effects of industrial differences, this research will focus exclusively on one particular
industry. Because over the last decades a lot of mergers and acquisitions have taken place in the
financial sector (Martynova & Renneboog, 2008; Bliss & Rosen, 2001; Ramaswamy, 1997) only
24
mergers and acquisitions within this industry will be included in the sample. After all these steps
10.102 mergers and acquisitions were left in the sample.
The data for measuring the variables were extracted from the database of COMPUSTAT. With
use of SQL codes the different variables were linked to each other by TICKER symbol and
combined into one dataset. With use of SPSS all the data could be analyzed to test the hypothesis.
3.2 Independent variable: managerial power
Firstly, the independent variable, managerial power, will be described. The measurement of
managerial power causes some problems. One of the major problems has been an overreliance on
perceptual indicators of managerial power and a lack of objectivity in the resulting measures
(Finkelstein, 1992). Managerial power is a sensitive subject for many managers; the word itself is
heavily laden with meaning. Finkelstein (1992) refers in his article also to other authors (March,
1966; Pfeffer, 1981) who found the measurement of the concept managerial power as a major
obstacle in their investigations. Because perceptual measures of managerial power have a
questionable validity due to difficulties in measurement the importance of objective measures
within a research is high. That is one of the reasons why this research will rely on secondary data.
The framework of French & Raven (1959) implies the existence of perceptual indicators and is
therefore less suitable to this research, although it is widely used. Finkelstein (1992) changed the
framework a little and found some objective measures for the different power dimensions. The
model itself and the reason for choosing the structural power dimension as the only dimension
that will be investigated was already discussed within section 2.1
Right now, more important is how this variable will be measured. An objective measurement
should be chosen. Finkelstein (1992) states that the amount of compensation could be an
objective measurement for structural power. Managers' compensation is an exact, but less formal
reflection of their place in an organization. It seems logical that someone on the top of an
organization, with high structural power, earns more money than someone who is placed lower in
the organizations ranking. So the more structural power a manager possesses, the more this
manager will earn. This formal hypothesis leads to two measurement errors. Firstly, large
organizations will pay higher salaries than smaller organizations. But this does not mean
automatically that managers of larger organizations possess more structural power than managers
25
of smaller organizations. That means that the impact of the scale of the organization has to be
excluded. Secondly, some organizations will pay small salaries but they offer a lot of bonuses
while other organizations pay high salaries with small bonuses. That means that the impact of the
heterogeneity in payments also has to be excluded. Therefore the operation definition of the
proportion of managerial power will be: POWER = total compensation CEO acquirer / average
compensation of all other members in the top management team of the acquirer in the completed
year. With this approach, this study will go further than Daily & Johnson (1997). They only
found a significant positive relationship for basic pay and post-merger performance. By taking
the total compensation, a better generalizable conclusion is possible.
3.3 Dependent variable: post-merger financial performance
In this part the variable ‘post-merger financial performance’ will be explained. With the selection
of a good objective measurement for this variable, a wide range of different operational
definitions emerge. Zollo & Meier (2008) give a good overview of all the different definitions of
post-merger financial performance. They state that approaches to measure post-merger financial
performance vary from subjective to objective, from short-term to long-term time horizon and
from an organizational level of analysis to a process or transactional level. For the best possible
measure all these six elements should be included. Zollo & Meier (2008) present a very
comprehensive model in which they incorporate these six elements. But, it can also be explained
in a more compact manner, like Napier (1989) did. As I already mentioned earlier, this study will
follow her definition. She chose to combine all the definitions into two main categories in her
article. She mentioned that the success of a merger and acquisition could be measured by 1)
financial or other objective performance measures and 2) by employee reaction or morale
measures. Because in this research the use of objective secondary data is very important, the
definitions in the area of employee reaction or morale measures are less applicable. Therefore the
focus will lie on financial or other objective performance measures.
The literature about financial objective performance is very extensive and therefore various
performance measures can be used. Before 1970, studies that investigated post-merger
performance focused on accounting based performance measures (Lubatkin, 1983). However,
these measures do have a lot of limitations. First, these measures do not fit with the goal of
organizations, creating maximum shareholder wealth. Secondly, these measures ignore the
26
impact of risk. For example, shareholders could gain higher returns, but if the risk burden is
increased they would be no better off in the end. Finally, these measures are biased by specific
events which also influence firms profitability. For example, it takes years before a merger or
acquisition has its effect on profitability. In those years other firm specific or market specific
disturbance could bias these results.
After 1970, due to all the limitations, market-based performance measures were used to
investigate post-merger performance. One of the most widely used market-based measures is the
stock price (Jensen and Ruback, 1983; Lubatkin, 1987; Woo, 1992; Chatterjee, 1992; Singh &
Montgomery, 1987; Datta, 1991). Many variants are used, but in general it is about a comparison
between the stock price of the individual firms before the merger or acquisition and the new stock
price of the combined firm in the post-merger phase. Morosini, Shane & Singh (1998) decided to
use the percentage rate of growth sales because stock price related measures were not suitable to
their research. Firstly, by using stock price related measures for investigating success of mergers
and acquisitions, many companies, which were not listed on the stock market, were excluded for
research. Therefore, by using stock price related measures, the total activity of mergers and
acquisitions is not measured and the research is biased. Secondly, Morosini, Shane & Singh
(1998) argue that some stock markets are known for their lack of market efficiency and are
therefore not suitable for stock price related measures. Although these arguments sound rather
credible, the percentage of growth sales as a measurement of success of mergers and acquisitions
will not be used in this research, because this measure captures only one dimension of
performance and the importance of this measure will differ across strategic contexts (Lubatkin &
Shrieves, 1986).
Due to all these limitations the ideas of Zollo & Meier (2008), Kusewitt (1985), Lubatkin (1983),
Lubatkin & Shrieves (1986) and DeLong & DeYoung (2007) will be used. They all advise to use
measures related to abnormal returns by using the Return on Assets (ROA). Therefore the
operational definition of the success of mergers and acquisitions will be in line with these
authors: ROA = net income before depreciation acquirer / total assets acquirer one year after
completed date.
27
3.4 Moderating variables
In this research the period of the wave and the acquisition rate of the target’s stocks will be used
as a moderating variable. In this part the operational definitions will be given.
The way the moderating effect of the period of the wave is measured is on a quite objective base.
The fifth wave consist of the years 1993-2001 and therefore the influence of managerial power on
the success of mergers and acquisitions will first be tested on mergers and acquisitions
throughout those years. The sixth wave comprises the years 2003-2008 and therefore the
influence of managerial power on the success of mergers and acquisitions will be tested secondly
on mergers and acquisitions throughout those years. This moderator will be called ‘Wave’ and is
measured as a dummy variable in which the mergers and acquisitions which were completed in
the fifth wave will be labelled as ‘1’ and the ones which were completed in the sixth wave will be
labelled with ‘0.’
The other moderating effect in this study will be the acquisition rate of the target’s stocks. This
moderating variable will be measured as a dummy variable and is called ‘Type’. Cases in which
the target is acquired for 100% will be labelled as ‘1’ and the ones in which the target is acquired
for less than 100% will be labelled with ‘0.’
3.5 Control variables
To control the possible effects of other variables on the dependent variable some control
variables are necessary. By doing this, my research will be much more valid, especially when the
hypothesis is still confirmed under these circumstances. Earlier research has produced a lot of
options for possible control variables in studies on merger performance. In TABLE 1, an
overview of earlier research is given. TABLE 1 is shown in appendix 1.
It is striking that some control variables show up in every study, for example (relative) size.
Because size and relative size are quite different, both control variables will be used.
Relative size may influence post-merger financial performance, although not all authors agree on
the direction of this influence. Shrivastava (1986) concludes that the larger the size of the
acquirer relative to the target, the more difficult it is for the acquirer to understand all the areas
28
where integration is needed. This process has a negative influence on the post-merger financial
performance. Kitching (1967) also found that the greater the difference between acquirer and
target, the weaker the post-merger financial performance. Alternatively, Kusewitt (1985) says
that there is a tendency of firms to investigate larger targets more consistently and more thorough
than smaller targets. In that case the greater the relative size, the better the post-merger financial
performance. Besides that, relative organizational size may have a direct influence on shareholder
gains because larger firms might acquire smaller firms to realize scale-related synergies that
would otherwise be difficult to obtain (Kusewitt, 1985). Although the direction of the influence
is not quite clear, its impact on post-merger financial performance seems obvious. That is why it
would be wise to include relative size as a control variable in this study. In respect to relative
size, the operational definition of Kusewitt (1985), Fowler & Schmidt (1989), Ramaswamy
(1997), and Zollo & Singh (2004) will be used: RELSIZE = Total assets acquirer / Total assets
target in the year before completion of the merger. The reason to choose RELSIZE in the year
before completion is because in many cases the target company is incorporated in the acquirer
and does not exist as a company by itself anymore. In that case many figures, such as total assets,
are not available after completion. Therefore, for greater data availability the figures in the year
before completion are investigated. For size the operational definition will be: SIZE =
Sales/Turnover of the acquirer in the completed year. This definition is chosen because this
definition is also used in similar studies in which a relation between managerial power and post-
merger financial performance is tested (e.g. Harford & Li, 2007).
It is also expected that experience in merger and acquisition activity influences post-merger
financial performance (Fowler & Schmidt, 1989; DeLong & DeYoung, 2007; Carow, Heron &
Saxton, 2004; Harford & Li, 2007). Just like gaining economies of scales, organizations are also
learning by being active in the business of mergers and acquisitions. The idea is that the more
mergers and acquisitions an organization completes, the smoother the process will be with the
next merger or acquisition. Therefore this control variable will also be included in this research.
The definition of Carow, Heron & Saxton (2004) is more precise than those of other authors.
Carow, Heron & Saxton (2004) use a squared term because experience is expected to have a
curvilinear relationship with performance. It has a stronger effect in the beginning, but the effect
gets weaker when experience increases. Therefore in this research their operational definition will
29
be used: EXPERIENCE = (# acquisitions made by acquirer in past three years until completed
year).2
Because some variables in TABLE 1 are already part of the sampling process (e.g. year, industry
relatedness, country, uncertainty avoidance) and some qualitative variables could not be obtained
by using secondary data of ZEPHYR and COMPUSTAT (e.g. resource quality of target, post-
acquisition strategy, type) RELSIZE, SIZE, and EXPERIENCE will be used as control variables
in this study.
30
4. RESULTS
This section will give the results of the tested relations of the conceptual model. Firstly, the test
itself will be explained. Secondly, the results of the test will be shown and with that the
hypotheses 1a, 1b, 2 and 3 can be accepted or rejected.
4.1 The regression model
Because this study assumes that managerial power has an influence on post-merger financial
performance, a causal relation arises. To analyze causal relations the most common test is the
regression analysis. To make the test as valid as possible all the variables are incorporated in the
regression model. If all the variables for testing hypothesis 1a and 1b are incorporated in the
model the regression model looks like:
Y = β0 + β1 * POWER + β2 * RELSIZE + β3 * SIZE + β4 * EXPERIENCE + Ɛ
In which Y is the dependent variable post-merger financial performance, which is measured by
ROA.
Because the period of the wave acts as a moderator, this variable needs to be added to the model
also, otherwise there is no result for hypothesis 2. This hypothesis states that in the fifth wave the
effect of managerial power on post-merger financial performance will be stronger than in the
sixth wave. To add this moderating effect in the model an intersect variable had to be made. This
intersect variable will be called ‘Moderator_W’ and is computed by multiplying the dummy score
of the variable ‘Wave’ with the score on the variable POWER. Just like for hypothesis 1, to find
statistic evidence for hypothesis 2 a regression model had to be made. Because the effect will be
stronger in the fifth wave, the regression model will look like:
Y = β0 + β1 * POWER + β2 * RELSIZE + β3 * SIZE + β4 * EXPERIENCE + β5 * Wave + β6 *
Moderator_W + Ɛ
31
In which Y is still the dependent variable post-merger financial performance, which is measured
by ROA.
In the sixth wave the effect will be weaker. Because the scores of the dummy variable ‘Wave’ in
the sixth wave were labelled as ‘0,’ the interacting variable will also be ‘0.’ So in the sixth wave
the following regression model represents the situation:
Y = β0 + β1 * POWER + β2 * RELSIZE + β3 * SIZE + β4 * EXPERIENCE + β5 * Wave + Ɛ
In which Y is still the dependent variable post-merger financial performance, which is measured
by ROA.
Finally, the acquisition rate of the target’s stocks also acts as a moderator. To obtain a result for
hypothesis 3 this variable needs to be added to the model too. This hypothesis states that in cases
of a higher acquisition rate of the target’s stocks, the effect of managerial power on post-merger
financial performance will be stronger than in cases with a lower acquisition rate of the target’s
stocks. To add this moderating effect in the model, an intersect variable had to be made. This
intersect variable will be called Type_Control and is computed by multiplying the dummy score
of the variable ‘Type’ with the score on the variable POWER. Just like for the other hypotheses,
to find statistic evidence for hypothesis 3 a regression model had to be made. Because the effect
will be stronger in cases of a higher acquisition rate the regression model will look like:
Y = β0 + β1 * POWER + β2 * RELSIZE + β3 * SIZE + β4 * EXPERIENCE + β5 * Type + β6 *
Type_Control + Ɛ
In which Y is still the dependent variable post-merger financial performance, which is measured
by ROA.
In cases of a lower acquisition rate of the target’s stocks the effect will be weaker. Because the
scores of the dummy variable Type in cases of lower acquisition rate were labelled as ‘0’ the
interacting variable will also be ‘0.’ So in cases of a lower acquisition rate the following
regression model represents the situation:
32
Y = β0 + β1 * POWER + β2 * RELSIZE + β3 * SIZE + β4 * EXPERIENCE + β5 * Type + Ɛ
In which Y is still the dependent variable post-merger financial performance, which is measured
by ROA.
4.2 Descriptive statistics
Before the results of the regression analysis are shown, I will first present the descriptive
statistics in TABLE 2.
TABLE 2
Descriptive statistics
Minumum Maximum Mean
Statistic Statistic Statistic Std.
Error
ROA 0,00 1,03 0,08 0,00
Power 0,01 64,79 1,17 0,04
Wave 0 1 ,27 0,01
Relsize 0,20 37901,16 30,38 13,21
Size 0,00 345977,00 26029,63 488,95
Experience 0 626 51,09 1,47
Moderator_W 0 31,54 0,19 0,01
Type 0 1 0,43 0,01
Type_Control 0 0,81 0,03 0,00
N = 5625.
This table shows that the total number of deals is 5.625 instead of the 10.102 that was mentioned
earlier. This is because I only used the values that are above zero for the dependent variable. This
way, all the deals that do not have a value on ROA are left out the analysis, because there is no
possibility of testing an independent variable on a value that does not exist.
4.3 Regression results
In this section the results of the regression analysis will be presented. The regression method that
I have used, is the method ENTER, because I do not want to exclude any variables from the
model. All the important results are shown in TABLE 3.
33
TABLE 3
Results from Regression Analysis
Note: Dependent Variable is ROA, Standard errors are in parentheses
* p < .05, ** p < .01, *** p < .001
First, it is stated that R
2 = 0,465. That means that 46,5% of all the variance of the dependent
variable is explained by the independent variables. Although it is not an indicator of a very strong
relationship, it is enough for a valid study and further analysis of the regression model.
The results of the overall variance analysis give a significant value of F = 610,382 (p < .001) for
the whole model. That means that at least one of the variables in the regression model and the R2
differs significantly from zero. Therefore, there is enough support to look at the individual
variables in the model. By doing this, the relations stated in this study can be analyzed and the
hypotheses can be supported or rejected. For this analysis the output of the estimated regression
coefficients is needed. This output is also shown in TABLE 3.
Firstly, I will look at my main hypothesis, the relation between managerial power and post-
merger financial performance. In TABLE 3 it can be seen that POWER has a significant value of
β = .002 (p < .001). That means that there is enough evidence for supporting a relation between
managerial power and post-merger financial performance. But, because I used contradictory
hypotheses, the direction of the relation has to be analyzed. The positive value of β indicates that
there is a positive relation between managerial power and post-merger financial performance.
Therefore, there is enough evidence to support hypothesis 1b, and for rejecting hypothesis 1a.
Variables Model 1
Power .002*** (.000)
Wave -.002 (.002)
Relsize -.000 (.000)
Size -.000*** (.000)
Experience -.000*** (.000)
Moderator_W .002* (.001)
Type -.097 (.002)
Type_Control
R2
F
.996*** (.016)
.465
610,382***
34
Secondly, I will look at the moderating relations. The first moderating effect was the period of
the wave. I assumed that the effect of managerial power on post-merger financial performance
was stronger in the fifth wave than it was in the sixth wave. In TABLE 3 it can be seen that the
intersect variable Moderator_W has a significant value of β = .002 (p < .05). The positive value
of β indicates that there is a positive moderating effect of the period of the wave on the
relationship between managerial power and post-merger financial performance. That means that
there is enough evidence to support this moderating effect and therefore hypothesis 2 will be
accepted. The second moderator was the acquisition rate of the target’s stocks. I assumed that the
effect of managerial power on post-merger financial performance was stronger if the acquisition
rate of the target’s stocks was high. In TABLE 3 it can be seen that the intersect variable
Type_Control has a positive significant value of β = .996 (p < .001). The positive value of β
indicates that there is a positive moderating effect of the acquisition rate of the target’s stocks on
the relationship between managerial power and post-merger financial performance. That means
that there is also enough evidence to support this moderating effect and therefore hypothesis 3
will also be accepted.
Finally, I will look at the control variables and their effect on the dependent variable. The control
variables that I used in this study were RELSIZE, SIZE and EXPERIENCE. In TABLE 3 it is
shown that RELSIZE has a value of β = -.001, but that this result was not significant. That means
that there is not enough evidence that this control variable influences post-merger financial
performance. SIZE (β = -.001) and EXPERIENCE (β = -.001) both have a significant value that
is lower than .001. Because of the negative value of β, they both influence post-merger financial
performance in a negative way. So the bigger the size of the organization and the more
experienced they are in performing merger and acquisition activity, the less successful post-
merger financial performance will be.
35
5. DISCUSSION & CONCLUSIONS
In summary, this study addressed the topic of mergers and acquisitions. First of all, the topic was
introduced by discussing the high failure rate of mergers and acquisitions. Secondly, in the theory
development part the different failure factors were discussed and it became apparent that
managerial power needed further investigation. Earlier research discussed whether managerial
power was positively or negatively linked to post-merger financial performance. By using
contradictory hypotheses this study will contribute to help resolving the paradox in the discussion
whether there is a positive or negative influence of managerial power on post-merger financial
performance. The research question was: “How does the role of managerial power influence
post-merger financial performance?”
By executing a regression analysis, a significant positive relationship was found between the
independent variable managerial power and the dependent variable post-merger financial
performance. Therefore, there was sufficient evidence for supporting hypothesis 1b and rejecting
hypothesis 1a. So far most of the authors have supported the idea that managerial power leads to
value destruction (Covin et al, 1997; Cartwright & Cooper, 1990; Roll, 1986; Haywood &
Hambrick, 1997; Grinstein & Hribar, 2003). The outcomes of this research support the minority
of authors who claim that managerial power can lead to better post-merger financial
performances, but did not find any significant evidence (Dutta, MacAulay & Saadi, 2011;
Harford & Li, 2007). Daily & Johnson (1997) did find a significant positive relationship for
managerial power and post-merger financial performance. However, in describing managerial
power they only incorporated the basic pay of a CEO and they did not consider all the bonuses
and stock options of the CEO. Because CEOs make decisions based upon the impact they have
on their total compensation (Trautwein, 1990; Harford & Li, 1997) the results of this study give a
more valid and generalized result. Besides that, it gives organizations an argument to keep
searching for powerful CEOs because they can increase value in the process of mergers and
acquisitions. Furthermore, this conclusion helps organizations who are willing to enter the
process of mergers and acquisitions. After all, in the introduction the high failure rate of mergers
and acquisitions was addressed. Apparently, many organizations need some advice in dealing
with mergers and acquisitions. The results of this study indicate that CEOs who have a high
36
relative total compensation, also have a high proportion of managerial power and that is why
CEOs could positively influence post-merger financial performance. My conclusion shows that
organizations who are planning to enter a process of mergers and acquisitions could improve
their post-merger financial performances by searching for a powerful manager and give them a
high relative total compensation. Hopefully, these findings can help to decrease the high failure
rate of mergers and acquisitions.
This study also contributed to the research field by making use of two moderating variables. First,
the impact of the period of the wave on the relation of managerial power and post-merger
financial performance was tested. Earlier research showed that in the fifth wave more
diversifying and hostile mergers were conducted, and that diversifying and hostile mergers were
pursued more by managers who strive for more prestige, empires and self-entrenchment (Shleifer
& Vishny, 1991; Mueller, 1969).
By conducting a regression analysis, a significant positive moderating effect was found for the
period of the wave. Therefore sufficient evidence was presented to accept hypothesis 2. This
means that in the fifth wave the effect of managerial power on post-merger financial performance
will be higher. Firstly, this result helps to better understand the characteristics of the different
waves. The more we know about the past, the better the guidelines for future mergers and
acquisitions will be. Secondly, this result is in contradiction with most of the earlier research
which showed that the results of mergers and acquisitions in the sixth wave were better
(Gaughan, 2010; Dong, Hirshleifer, Richardson & Teoh, 2006; Croci, 2007; Chatterjee, 1986;
Datta, 1991; Salter & Weinhold, 1978; Hitt, 1998; Wansley, Lane & Yang, 1983). Therefore,
this study can activate further research on the characteristics of the different waves. A question
can be: Which characteristics of this fifth wave helped the powerful CEOs to positively influence
post-merger financial performance? An interesting starting question for future research. Lastly,
this result can be a start for further research on the role of diversifying and hostile firms. I found a
stronger effect of managerial power on post-merger financial performance and assumed that it
had to do with the relatedness or the hostility. But I did not test the real relation between
relatedness, hostility, managerial power, and post-merger financial performance.
37
The other moderating variable which was used in this study was the acquisition rate of the
target’s stocks. Fowler & Schmidt (1989) and Kusewitt (1985) stated that if a relationship exists
between the percentage of stocks acquired and the degree of influence over a target, the
effectiveness of integration (in their study an indicator of success of mergers and acquisitions)
presumably would be affected. So the firms that acquired a significant portion of a target firm’s
stocks may be able to exert more influence than firms that acquired a smaller percentage.
By conducting a regression analysis, a significant positive moderating effect was found for the
acquisition rate of the target’s stocks. Therefore there was sufficient evidence to accept
hypothesis 3. That means that in cases with a higher acquisition rate of the target’s stocks the
effect of managerial power on post-merger financial performance will be higher. This result has a
practical implication for organizations. If organizations have or search for a powerful CEO to
positively influence post-merger financial performance, it is better for these organizations to
obtain as much of the target’s stocks as possible. In that way the effect of the powerful CEO
positively influencing post-merger financial performance will be higher.
An unexpected result of this study is that experience in mergers and acquisitions has a significant
negative effect on post-merger financial performance. This is in contradiction with most of the
studies that used this variable (Fowler & Schmidt, 1989; DeLong & DeYoung, 2007; Carow,
Heron & Saxton, 2004; Harford & Li, 2007). The answer to how this is possible lies in the article
of Kusewitt (1985). He also found a negative relation between experience and post-merger
financial performance. The explanation Kusewitt (1985) gives, is that the relation is U-shaped
and can even be negative. He suggests that organizations should make a sufficient number of
mergers and acquisitions over time so that they can develop and maintain gains through expertise.
He states that this number of mergers and acquisitions over time should not be too high, because
then the attention which should be paid to a fully completed integration process cannot be given.
At the end of the article he even gives a guideline for proper acquisition programs in which he
states that a preferred number of mergers and acquisitions over time should be one with a
maximum of approximately one per year and a probable minimum of around one every four or
five years (Kusewitt, 1985). This way, the results from this study can lead to further
investigations of the role of experience within the relation of managerial power and post-merger
financial performance.
38
My work gives some additional suggestions for further research due to the limitations of this
study. First of all, this study is conducted in a very detailed setting, because only US firms in the
financial sector are incorporated in the sample. Further research should give an answer to the
question whether this result is in accordance with the situation on other markets or in other
countries. Secondly, I only used the structural power dimension of Finkelstein (1992) as an
indicator of managerial power and measured it with the relative total compensation. Future
research can build further on these results by incorporating other power dimensions of Finkelstein
(1992) in the model.
In conclusion, this study fulfills some gaps in the literature and helps resolve the paradox in the
discussion whether there is a positive or negative influence of managerial power on post-merger
financial performance. Besides that, this study gives a lot of suggestions for further research and
gives organizations some practical implications for improving their processes of mergers and
acquisitions. Therefore, this study has substantially added value to the literature about managerial
power and post-merger financial performance.
39
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49
APPENDIX I
TABLE 1
Overview of earlier studies with control variables on merger performance
Paper Control variable Formula
Chang (1996) Financial resources Total assets / Total liabilities
Size Log of total assets
Book value of long term debt to
market value of equity
Industry relatedness Average annual growth rate of
industry shipments
Carow, Heron & Saxton
(2004)
Number of firms within the target’s
industry
# firms within the target’s industry
the possibility that entry leads to more
targets
% change in the number of firms in
the target industry over the year
prior to each acquisition.
resource endowment of the early mover the log of the acquirer’s equity
market value
Experience in M&A activity (# acquisitions made by acquirer in
past three years)2
Relative size Market equity target / Market
equity acquirer
Liquidity position Acquirer cash & equivalents /
Acquirer total assets
Investment opportunity set Tobin’s Q ratio: ((Equity Market
Value + Liabilities Market Value) /
(Equity Book Value + Liabilities
Book Value))
Chatterjee, Lubatkin,
Schweiger & Weber (1992)
Relative size Total assets acquirer / Total assets
target
DeLong & DeYoung
(2007)
Geographic focus Dummy score (same country=1,
different country=0)
Size Log of total assets
50
Relative size Dummy score (same size=1,
different size=0)
Experience in M&A activity # acquisitions made by acquirer in
past three years
Type Dummy score (unfriendly=1,
friendly=0)
GDP growth % change in US GDP during
merger announcement
Fowler & Schmidt (1989) Relative size Total assets target / Total assets
acquirer
Experience in M&A activity # acquisitions made by acquirer in
past four years
Organizational age of acquirers # years
Industry relatedness Dummy score (same industry=1,
different industry=0)
Type Dummy score (unfriendly=1,
friendly=0)
% acquired % target firm outstanding common
stock owned by an acquiring firm
Harford & Li (2007) Size Total net sales
Growth opportunities Year-end market-to-book-ratio
averaged over the previous 5 years
Industry Dummy score (same industry=1,
different industry=0)
Kusewitt (1985) Relative size Total assets target / Total assets
acquirer
Acquisition rate Mean # acquisitions in a year
% acquired % of assets acquired
Industry relatedness % of acquired assets which were on
the same SIC number as the
acquirer (2-digit)
Type of payment % of asset acquisitions
accomplished with cash
Morosini, Shane & Singh
(1998)
Industry relatedness Dummy score (same industry=1,
different industry=0)
51
Size Dollar value of target’s net sales in
year of acquisition
Post-acquisition strategy Dummy score (independence=-1,
restructuring=0, integration=1)
Uncertainty avoidance National cultural score on
Hofstede’s dimension “uncertainty
avoidance”
Year Dummy score=Year
Ramaswamy (1997) Relative size Total assets target / Total assets
acquirer
Pre-merger performance Weighted average ROA pre-merger
acquirer
Zollo & Singh (2004) Relative size Total assets target / Total assets
acquirer
Market relatedness Dummy score (same industry=1,
different industry=0)
Resource quality of target Dummy score (bankrupt=-2, poor
performance=-1, average
performance=0, good
performance=1, outstanding
performance=2)