the human population is healthier than ever before · 2015. 7. 15. · planetary health planetary...

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0 1 2 3 4 The period of environmental changes induced by human exploitation of the planet defines a new geological era: the Anthropocene epoch GRAIN PRODUCTION REQUIREMENTS OCEAN ACIDIFICATION WATER USE ON OUR CURRENT TRAJECTORY WE WILL PUT EVEN MORE PRESSURE ON THE PLANET TO SAFEGUARD HUMAN HEALTH WE NEED TO MAINTAIN THE HEALTH OF THE PLANET ON WHICH WE DEPEND BUT TO ACHIEVE THIS WE’VE EXPLOITED THE PLANET AT AN UNPRECEDENTED RATE WATER DEMAND 2 2000 2050 THE HUMAN POPULATION IS HEALTHIER THAN EVER BEFORE THE HEALTH OF HUMAN CIVILISATION AND THE NATURAL SYSTEMS ON WHICH IT DEPENDS PLANETARY HEALTH Global ocean acidification (mean hydrogen ion concentration, nmol/kg) Water use (thousand km 3 ) 0 50 100 ENERGY USE FERTILISER USE 10 20 30 40 0 World primary energy use (EJ) Global tropical forest loss compared with 1700 baseline (%) POPULATION 2050 World population (billions) Total global cereal production (billions of tonnes) These environmental threats could also exacerbate each other DAMAGING THE PLANET DAMAGES HUMAN HEALTH WATER USE of the world’s population could be living in areas under severe water stress If unchecked climate change related impacts could cause an extra Overfishing together with increasing acidity and other environmental changes threaten fish supplies BIODIVERSITY LOSS Millions of people are at risk of under nutrition due to the combined effects of SOIL DEGRADATION CLIMATE CHANGE c. 4.2 bn 1 bn 1 billion 3,500 km 3 5,500 km 3 2014 1800 7 billion 9.6 billion Read the full series at http://www.thelancet.com/commissions/planetary-health 1960 2014 2050 LEARN ABOUT PLANETARY HEALTH Planetary health is the highest standard of health, wellbeing and equity worldwide. Human systems are responsible for shaping the future of human civilisation and the Earth’s natural systems 30-50% of all food produced is never consumed. Reducing food waste means less land is needed for agriculture; saving energy, water, helping to protect biodiversity and improving food security Diets low in red meat with plenty of fruit and vegetables reduce the risk of heart disease. Dietary changes could reduce greenhouse gas emissions and land use requirements by up to 50% REDUCE FOOD WASTE HEALTHY DIETS WITH A LOW ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT Coordinated global, national and local policies that reduce environmental damage and improve health need to be implemented BETTER GOVERNANCE Although drip or trickle irrigation methods are more expensive to install, they can be 33% more efficient in water use USE WATER MORE EFFICIENTLY Since 2000 we have cut down over 2.3 million km 2 of primary forest. The REDD+ mechanism aims to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and improve local livelihoods END DEFORESTATION Around 225 million women who want to avoid pregnancy are not using effective contraception. Access to family planning could cut maternal deaths by almost 30% and improve food security FAMILY PLANNING Planning healthy and sustainable cities can increase resilience to environmental change, reduce environmental impacts and improve people’s health CITY PLANNING NUTRITION UNDER climate change and other environmental changes By 2050 over 40% This leads to a loss of 1-2 million hectares of agricultural land per annum 250 300 350 400 Global fertiliser use (nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium; thousand tonnes) 1. http://data.unicef.org/child-survival/under-five 2. OECD, http://www.oecd.org/env/indicators-modelling-outlooks/49844953.pdf 3. Original source reference in: Watts N, Adger WN, Agnolucci P, et al. Health and climate change: policy responses to protect public health. Lancet 2015; published online June 23. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(15)60854-6 All other data is in: Whitmee S, Haines A, Beyrer C, et al. Safeguarding human health in the Anthropocene epoch: report of The Rockefeller Foundation–Lancet Commission on planetary health. Lancet 2015; published online July 16. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(15)60901-1 SOURCES 0 200 400 600 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 1950 2000 1950 2000 1950 2000 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 0 100 200 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 TROPICAL FOREST LOSS CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONS Atmospheric concentration of CO2 (ppm) LIFE EXPECTANCY Mean global life expectancy at birth (years) POVERTY Population of world in poverty (%) CHILD MORTALITY Recorded deaths of under-fives 1 20M 10M 0 60 80 40 6 7 8 9 250,000 deaths per year between 2030 and 2050 3

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Page 1: THE HUMAN POPULATION IS HEALTHIER THAN EVER BEFORE · 2015. 7. 15. · PLANETARY HEALTH Planetary health is the highest standard of health, wellbeing and equity worldwide. Human systems

0

1

2

3

4

The period of environmental changes induced by human exploitation of the planet defines a new geological era: the Anthropocene epoch�

GRAIN PRODUCTION REQUIREMENTS

OCEAN ACIDIFICATION

WATER USE

ON OUR CURRENT TRAJECTORY WE WILL PUT EVEN MORE PRESSURE ON THE PLANET

TO SAFEGUARD HUMAN HEALTH WE NEED TO MAINTAIN THE HEALTH OF THE

PLANET ON WHICH WE DEPEND

BUT TO ACHIEVE THIS WE’VE EXPLOITED THE PLANET AT AN UNPRECEDENTED RATE

WATER DEMAND2

2000 2050

THE HUMAN POPULATION IS HEALTHIER THAN EVER BEFORE

THE HEALTH OF HUMAN

CIVILISATION AND THE NATURAL

SYSTEMS ON WHICH

IT DEPENDS

PLANETARY HEALTH

Global ocean acidification (meanhydrogen ion concentration, nmol/kg)

Water use(thousand km3)

0

50

100

ENERGY USE

FERTILISER USE

10

20

30

40

0

World primaryenergy use (EJ)

Global tropical forest loss comparedwith 1700 baseline (%)

POPULATION

2050

World population (billions) Total global cereal production(billions of tonnes)

These environmental threats could also exacerbate each other

DAMAGING THE PLANET DAMAGES HUMAN HEALTH

WATER USE

of the world’s population could be living in areas under severe

water stress

If unchecked climate change related impacts could cause an extra

Overfishing together with increasing acidity and other environmental changes threaten fish supplies

BIODIVERSITY LOSS

Millions of people are at risk of under nutrition due to the

combined e�ects of

SOIL DEGRADATION

CLIMATE CHANGE

c. 4.2 bn

1 bn

1 billion

3,500 km3

5,500 km3

2014

1800

7 billion

9.6 billion

Read the full series at http://www.thelancet.com/commissions/planetary-health

1960 2014 2050

LEARN ABOUT PLANETARY

HEALTH

Planetary health is the highest standard of health,

wellbeing and equity worldwide. Human systems are responsible for shaping

the future of human civilisation and the Earth’s

natural systems

30-50% of all food produced is never consumed.

Reducing food waste means less land is needed for

agriculture; saving energy, water, helping to protect

biodiversity and improving food security

Diets low in red meat with plenty of fruit and

vegetables reduce the risk of heart disease. Dietary

changes could reduce greenhouse gas emissions and land use requirements

by up to 50%

REDUCE FOOD

WASTE

HEALTHY DIETS WITH A LOW

ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT

Coordinated global, national and local policies that reduce environmental

damage and improve health need to be

implemented

BETTER GOVERNANCE

Although drip or trickle irrigation methods are

more expensive to install, they can be

33% more e�cient in water use

USE WATER MORE EFFICIENTLY

Since 2000 we have cut down over 2.3 million km2 of primary forest.

The REDD+ mechanism aims to reduce greenhouse gas

emissions and improve local livelihoods

END DEFORESTATION

Around 225 million women who want to avoid pregnancy

are not using e�ective contraception. Access to family planning could cut

maternal deaths by almost 30% and improve food

security

FAMILY PLANNING

Planning healthy and sustainable cities can increase resilience to

environmental change, reduce environmental impacts and improve

people’s health

CITY PLANNING

NUTRITIONUNDER

climate change and other environmental changes

By 2050 over

40%This leads to a loss of

1-2million hectares

of agricultural land per annum

250

300

350

400

Global fertiliser use (nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium;

thousand tonnes)

1. http://data.unicef.org/child-survival/under-five

2. OECD, http://www.oecd.org/env/indicators-modelling-outlooks/49844953.pdf

3. Original source reference in: Watts N, Adger WN, Agnolucci P, et al. Health and climate change: policy responses to protect public health. Lancet 2015; published online June 23. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(15)60854-6

All other data is in: Whitmee S, Haines A, Beyrer C, et al. Safeguarding human health in the Anthropocene epoch: report of The Rockefeller Foundation–Lancet Commission on planetary health. Lancet 2015; published online July 16. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(15)60901-1

SOURCES

0

200

400

600

1800 1850 1900 1950 2000

1950 2000 1950 2000 1950 2000

1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000

1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 1800 1850 1900 1950 20000

100

200

1800 1850 1900 1950 2000

TROPICAL FOREST LOSS

CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONSAtmospheric concentration

of CO2 (ppm)

LIFE EXPECTANCYMean global life expectancy

at birth (years)

POVERTYPopulation of world in

poverty (%)

CHILD MORTALITYRecorded deaths of under-fives1

20M

10M

0

60

80

40

6

7

8

9

250,000 deaths per year

between 2030 and 20503