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The General Theory: a neglected work?! Mark Hayes Robinson College, Cambridge

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Page 1: The General Theory : a neglected work?! · The General Theory : a neglected work?! Mark Hayes Robinson College, Cambridge. Five Propositions of The General Theory • Equilibrium

The General Theory: a neglected work?!

Mark Hayes

Robinson College, Cambridge

Page 2: The General Theory : a neglected work?! · The General Theory : a neglected work?! Mark Hayes Robinson College, Cambridge. Five Propositions of The General Theory • Equilibrium
Page 3: The General Theory : a neglected work?! · The General Theory : a neglected work?! Mark Hayes Robinson College, Cambridge. Five Propositions of The General Theory • Equilibrium
Page 4: The General Theory : a neglected work?! · The General Theory : a neglected work?! Mark Hayes Robinson College, Cambridge. Five Propositions of The General Theory • Equilibrium
Page 5: The General Theory : a neglected work?! · The General Theory : a neglected work?! Mark Hayes Robinson College, Cambridge. Five Propositions of The General Theory • Equilibrium

Five Propositions of The General Theory

• Equilibrium

• Competition

• Money

• Expectation

• Liquidity

Page 6: The General Theory : a neglected work?! · The General Theory : a neglected work?! Mark Hayes Robinson College, Cambridge. Five Propositions of The General Theory • Equilibrium

1. Equilibrium

Employment is in continuous ‘daily’ equilibrium

corresponding to the point of effective demand.

Equilibrium does not mean that all available labour

and capital-goods are employed and that factor

markets clear.

Equilibrium does not mean that expectations are

fulfilled.

Page 7: The General Theory : a neglected work?! · The General Theory : a neglected work?! Mark Hayes Robinson College, Cambridge. Five Propositions of The General Theory • Equilibrium

2. Competition

Competition in supply and demand is the motive

force which holds the system in equilibrium.

Agents take prices in each market to be independent

of their own actions.

The degree of competition is not the same as the

degree of monopoly.

Page 8: The General Theory : a neglected work?! · The General Theory : a neglected work?! Mark Hayes Robinson College, Cambridge. Five Propositions of The General Theory • Equilibrium

3. Money

Equilibrium reflects spending decisions by

employers, investors and consumers, and not the

optimal allocation of factors of production.

Money is integral to production and income is

intrinsically monetary.

The wage-unit is not an equilibrium value.

Page 9: The General Theory : a neglected work?! · The General Theory : a neglected work?! Mark Hayes Robinson College, Cambridge. Five Propositions of The General Theory • Equilibrium

4. Expectation

Decisions to produce, consume and invest are based on expectation.

Effective demand corresponds to the state of expectation at any time.

The long and short term are not the same as the long and short equilibrium periods.

The future is unknown and long-term expectations are fundamentally uncertain.

Page 10: The General Theory : a neglected work?! · The General Theory : a neglected work?! Mark Hayes Robinson College, Cambridge. Five Propositions of The General Theory • Equilibrium

5. Liquidity

Liquidity means more than convertibility and includes

invariance of value to changes in the state of

expectation.

Assets possess this property in different degrees, so

that money is more liquid than bonds, and both are

more liquid than equities.

Page 11: The General Theory : a neglected work?! · The General Theory : a neglected work?! Mark Hayes Robinson College, Cambridge. Five Propositions of The General Theory • Equilibrium

Five Propositions

• Continuous equilibrium

• Perfect competition

• Flexible prices

• ‘Rational’ short-term expectations, but long-term

expectation quite a different matter

• Liquidity means more than convertibility

Page 12: The General Theory : a neglected work?! · The General Theory : a neglected work?! Mark Hayes Robinson College, Cambridge. Five Propositions of The General Theory • Equilibrium

Relationship to Classical doctrines

• Flexible labour markets

• Flexible exchange rates

• Financial liberalisation

o Free movement of financial capital

o Prudential regulation

Page 13: The General Theory : a neglected work?! · The General Theory : a neglected work?! Mark Hayes Robinson College, Cambridge. Five Propositions of The General Theory • Equilibrium
Page 14: The General Theory : a neglected work?! · The General Theory : a neglected work?! Mark Hayes Robinson College, Cambridge. Five Propositions of The General Theory • Equilibrium