the future of semiconductor system level integration · debate over moore’s law and economics...
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The Future ofSemiconductor System Level Integration
Dr. Peter J. ZdebelVice President and Chief Technical Officer
ON Semiconductor5005 East McDowell Road, Phoenix, AZ 85008
Semiconductor Industry Productivity Drivers- Four Curve Maturity Model -
Carrier Focus
Matu
rity
(1) SemiconductorManufacturing
(2) EDA Driven Product Design
~ 70%
~ 85%
~ 30%
e-SPS
ContentFocus
(3) Software Driven System Solutions(4) IP Driven Market Access
~ 10%
2010 20201970 1980 1990 2000
Moore’s Law and Fab Investments
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 0.01
0.10
1.00
100
1,000
Micr
ons
Fab
–Bui
ld –
Cost
(M$
)
Years of Introduction
3.00 um
2.00 um1.50 um
1.00 um
0.60 um0.50 um
0.40 um
0.35 um0.25 um
0.18 um0.15 um
0.13 um0.09 um
0.065 um
0.045 um
0.03 um
20.000 transistors
200.000 transistors
100.000.000 transistors
Today
~4,000
7.000.000 transistors
10.00 10,000
Debate over Moore’s Law and Economics
Intel’s co-founder Gordon Moore accurately predicted the number of transistorson a chip to double every 18 months
Moore’s Law appropriately applies to transistor size affecting the area of Silicon,which a transistor occupies
To further execute Moore’s Law, fundamentally new processes need to bedeveloped, adding huge additional costs for the industry
No exponential progress continues forever. However, it is technically entirelyfeasible to develop the next four to five technology nodes
Economics will potentially drive a slower rate of Moore’s Law. Cumulative industryrevenues are replacing time as the factor for tracking Moore’s Law
Moore’s Law today is more about wafer costs as compared to integrating moretransistors per chip over the past decade
Moore’s Law remains relevant; It is just a matter of affordability of investments
300 mm Wafer Fab Indices
Fab Indices Low End Typical High End Unit Wafer Diameter 300 300 300 mm Line Width 90 65 45 nm Number of Transistors per Chip 25 100 400 Million Supply Voltage 1.0 0.8 0.5 Volt Chip Size 35 50 100 mm2
Wafer Capacity 6,000 8,000 10,000 Wafers/week Process Cycle Time 30 40 60 Days Production Volume in Units 500 Million/year Production Volume in Value 2 5 10 Billion $ Average Selling Price 10 $ Cost of Mask Set 0.6 1.0 2.0 Million $ Fab Investment 2 4 6 Billion $
Increasingly higher mask costs require extremely high unit volumes to amortize costsIncreasingly higher process complexities stretch process cycle times
Digital versus Analog Integration Progression10.00
Oper
atin
g Vo
ltage
3.00 um
2.00 um1.50 um
1.00 um
0.60 um0.50 um
0.40 um
0.35 um0.25 um
0.18 um0.15 um
0.13 um0.09 um
0.065 um
0.05 um
0.03 um
Integration Density DrivenDigital Progression
Operating Voltage LimitedAnalog Progression
< 2.5V
< 3.3V
< 6.0V
< 10V
< 20V
< 500V
< 1.0V
1.00
Micr
ons
0.10
0.011980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Years of Introduction
Analog Separation from Digital IntegrationTechnology Conflicts: Analog and digital functions cannot always be co-integrated
Scaling Separation: Analog integration does not scale like digital integration, deepsub-micron devices degrade in analog performance characteristics
Signal-to-Noise Ratio: Voltage scaling presents limits to required analog S/N ratios
Signal Integrity: Digital signals interfere with low level analog signals
Signal Resolution Limits: Decreasing digital supply voltage levels will result in thedisintegration of some analog and mixed-signal functions from the Digital Integration Space
Digital Product Vulnerability: Deeply scaled device dimensions associated with smallerline width increase susceptibility and vulnerability of digital integrated products toelectrical upset events, i.e. ESD
Digital Product Protection: Analog devices can protect against larger than 20KV ESDevents, scaled digital devices are destroyed at a few hundred volts
Black Art: Analog integration has been lagging digital integration for one decade
The Mix: Most analog solutions are a mix of ICs, discrete components, power devices
Translation Layers between Analog Signal Transportand Digital Signal Processing
Signal ConditioningSignal ConditioningIncoming SignalsIncoming Signals
Signal ConditioningSignal ConditioningOutgoing SignalsOutgoing Signals
Analog Signal TransportOutside the ElectronicSystem in various Media:
WiresCablesFibersAir (Wireless)
Analog & Mixed-SignalProcessing Space
Practically Every Electronic SystemRequires Analog and Mixed-SignalProcessing Functions to ConditionAnalog Signals for Digital Processing
01000100100100100100100010
1101100011111100001010101000100100010100001111100101001001001011010
0010100010100010100100100100100010010010101010001000100010001011100010100001000100100
100010010001000001001000100100100100100010001011001110010100001110110001111110000101010100010001 111000010100010100010100100100100100010010010110010101000100010001000101110001010000100010010000 1110000101000101000101001001001001000100100101
0101010001000100010001011100010100001000100100100010010001000001001000100100100100100010001011100101000011101100011111100001010101000100
10010001010000111110010100100100101010100101000100100101 1001001001000100010
1011000111111000010101010001001100101001010010101010
1010
Digital SignalDigital SignalProcessingProcessing
SpaceSpace
Most Signals Are AnalogOut Here:
Signal Strength:From uV to KV
Signal Frequency:From DC to Optical
Analog Super-Integration Around the Digital Space
Functions for OutgoingAnalog Signals:
ProtectionFiltering
AmplificationPower Conversion
Frequency ConversionVoltage/Current Regulation
Signal ModulationD/A Signal Conversion
Functions for IncomingAnalog Signals:ProtectionFilteringAmplificationPower ConversionFrequency ConversionVoltage/Current RegulationSignal Processing & SamplingA/D Signal Conversion
DigitalDigitalSpaceSpace
AUTOMOTIVE:Power Train
Body Electronics
PORTABLE:Cell Phone,DSC, PDA
COMPUTING: Desktop & NotebookPOWER SUPPLY:
AC/DCDC/DC
Analog & MixedAnalog & Mixed--SignalSignalSpaceSpace Value Proposition:
Highly IntegratedAnalog & Mixed-SignalSolutions
Examples of Analog Content inPortable Power Management Products
AC-DC Conversion
LDO Voltage Regulation& Voltage
Supervisory
Power Management Unit
(PMU) ASSPs
Protection & Filtering
Battery Charging SIM/Smart Card
Interface
RF Power Amplifier Control
White LED Driving
DC-DC Conversion
Audio Amplification
Curve 2:How Have Design Methodologies Changed?
Year
2005
2000
1995
1990
1985
1980
1975
1970
# Transistors
100,000,000
10,000,000
1,000,000
100,000
10,000
1,000
100
10
HW SystemHW System
Behavioral Level
Layout Level
Transistor Level
RTL Level
GATE Level
Algorithmic LevelEntry
RTLRTL
Gate LevelGate Level
High Level Language
Machine Language
ASM Level
OO Language
SW SystemSW System
Advanced HW System Design FlowSystem Architecture DesignPhysical System DesignBehavioral System SynthesisHW/SW System Co-SimulationSystem Partitioning (Subsystems)Multiple-path Designs (Subsystems)High Level HDL EntryCustom Coded, Legacy & Core BlocksData Path CompilationRAM & ROM CompilationLogic Synthesis & Scan InsertionLogic compilationRTL FloorplanningRTL Power AnalysisRTL Static Code AnalysisRTL & Accelerated SimulationRTL Dynamic Coverage AnalysisStatic Timing AnalysisClock Tree SynthesisLogic Floorplanning, Placement, RoutingAutomatic Test Program GenerationFault GradingFormal verificationGate Level SimulationGate Power AnalysisTransistor Power AnalysisDelay CalculationRC Parasitic ExtractionSignal Integrity CheckingElectrical Rule CheckingDesign Rule CheckingLayout vs. Schematic CheckingIC Mask Generation
BEHAVIORAL SYNTHESISHW/SW CO-SIMULATION
FLOORPLANNING, PLACE & ROUTESTATIC TIMING ANALYSISRC PARAMETER EXTRACTIONBUFFERSIZING, BACK ANNOTATIONINCREMENTAL SYNTHESISTEST VECTOR GENERATIONDRC, LVSMASK PREPARATION
IC COMPONENTPROCUREMENT
SYSTEM HARDWARE INTEGRATION & ASSEMBLY
LINKS TO HIGHER LEVEL
FLASH - ROM - RAMMEMORY DATAPATH STANDARD
CELL LOGIC
PartitionedSubsystemIC DesignsWhere SOCIs Not Feasible
90% Effort of MostDigital Designs STRUCTURED
VHDL, VERILOG
Primary Design Steps
IC MANUFACTURING
Curve 2:EDA Driven Product Design
Evolution of Highly Automated and Synthesized Design Flows:
Synthesized Register Transfer Level (RTL) design methodologyAvailability of proven and qualified library componentsPortability of designs to alternative IC manufacturing processesAutomated formal verification methods
Curve 3:Software Driven System Solutions
Systems on Chip (SoC) Design Dictates a New Order:
The longest cycle, namely SOC design, is becoming a bigger andbigger fraction of what is going into applicationsAll HW and SW levels are derived from application specificationsVirtual Prototyping is needed with application flows modeled atthe highest level (cost of design error is prohibitive)All SW development will require a common languageHW development will have to be completely automatedAll software and hardware engineers will have to communicateSoftware, not Hardware, will provide IP leverage in the future
Integrated Design System from SW to HW
• Widely Untapped DesignApproach Today
• Missing Links BetweenSW and HW Offers StrategicMarket Opportunities
Software System Design UsingObject Oriented Code (C, C++, Java, etc.)
High Level Synthesis, Generally UsingOne-step Compiler Structures/processes
For HW/SW System Co-simulation
Behavioral System SynthesisSystem Partitioning (Subsystems)
Hardware System Design onIC, SoC, MCM, Integrated Module, PCB LevelHa
rdwa
re S
ynth
esis
from
Sof
twar
e Def
initi
on
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
Level 4
Manufacturing
TraditionalIC Products
System on Chip (SoC)Products
Multi-Chip-ModuleSystem Level Products
Integrated ModuleSystem Level Products
Curve 4:Intellectual Property Driven Market Access
Implications of IP on the Semiconductor Industry:
Content (knowledge, software, end-applications) will beincreasingly separated from carrier (silicon delivery channel)Vertically integrated structures will be challenged by open andnetworked organizational structuresMore and more internet-centric companies will be fablessSystems-solution providers will build on IP Driven Market Access Cycle time will be reduced by purchasing outside IP at all levelsSynthesis tools are needed to generate new IP and new productsThe creation of IP as a product will drive company market value
Design Engine and Marketable IP Generator
Design Mapping to Technologies
EDA Design Implementation
Behavioral C++ Level Design
S/W Applications Design
Client Inputs forIntegrated System Solution
RTL Level Design
Behavioral HDL Level Design
System Level Design
IP Input:Any Format Any SourceAny Design Level
IP Output:IP WrappingAny Design LevelTotal SolutionStandard FormatInternet Portable
Sell IP
Acquire IP
Semiconductor Production
Semiconductor Industry Productivity Drivers- Four Curve Linkage -
Matu
rity
(1) SemiconductorIC Manufacturing
(2) EDA Driven Product Design
~ 70%
~ 85%
~ 30%
Link And Hand-off
MechanismsAre CriticalElements!
(3) Software Driven System Solutions(4) IP Driven Market Access
~ 10%
Information
2010 20201970 1980 1990 2000
Summary and Outlook
Below the Inflection Points:Invest In Technology And Networked Businesses By Year 2010, 95% Of All Systems Shipped Will Use IP ProcuredFrom Outside Sources (Source: Dataquest)
Near The Inflection Point:Dominate The Space Or Exit!
Above The Inflection Point:Reduce Or Abandon R&D InvestmentsCreate Partnerships And Relationships For Outsourcing
Connecting All Four Maturity Curves:The Prosperity Of The Semiconductor Industry Depends On The Effective Linkage Of All Disciplines On All Four Curves With Value-added Distribution And Access To The MarketWith Many Different Suppliers In This Food Chain, The Development Of A Well-established Data and Information Flow Is Essential