the future of recruiting: artificial intelligence? · the future of recruiting: artificial...
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TheFutureofRecruiting:ArtificialIntelligence?
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2•©HRExaminer•POBox1714Sebastopol,CA95472•415.683.0775•[email protected] •
The2018IndexofPredictiveToolsinHRTech:TheEmergenceofIntelligentSoftware
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TheFutureisAlreadyHere. It’sJustNotEvenlyDistributed- BruceSterling
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JCurves
YouAreAlwaysHere
Thepastisalwayshorizontal,thefutureisvertical
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11KeyTrends• ProcessingandStorageAreInexpensiveCommodities• AIToolsareLossLeadersForProcessingandStorageProviders• PredictionsGlutWillGetMuchWorse• FullTimeEmploymentisDeclining(GiggingisExpanding)• Cross-CompanyProjectWorkIsExpanding• SkillsEvolutionandJobHybridizationareAccelerating• EducationSystemCan’tMeetMarketSpeeds• RecruitingVendorsBuildingFasterHorses.MuchFasterHorses• TalentAcquisitionPowerBalanceinFlux• BigSoftwareCompaniesHaveSignificantAdvantage• TenureisDeclining
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MedianTenure(Years)
Facebook 0.9Google 1.0Amazon 1.0Apple 1.9Ebay 2.0Microsoft 2.0USAverage(DoL) 4.7
Source:DeepData
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SkillsEvolution• Accelerating• Specializing• Differentiating• CompanySpecific• FollowstheProfession
• IndependentlyObservable
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• Repetition• SystemswithRules• StaticTargets• TonsofData• BinaryDecisions
MachinesLove
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IntelligentSoftware
• It’sAllStatistics
• InterpretationIsKey
• Granularity
• FiniteAnswers,InfiniteQuestions
• PredictionGlut
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Components• MachineLearning• NaturalLanguageProcessing• NeuralNets• DecisionTrees(MostUsableChatBots)• Data-Hungry
• WhatMattersisInterpretation
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IfYouUsedMachineLearningtoPredicttheSuccessofthisRoundofAI,ItWouldPredictImminentFailureandaReturntoObscurity
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NaturalLanguageProcessing(NLP)The_Quick_Brown_Fox_Jumped_Over_The_Lazy_Dog
a+B+c+F+g+I+J+k+l+m+n+O+p
+Q+r+u+v+w+x+y+z+2T+8_+2(d+h)+3(e+o)
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• Thedumbestemployeesyouwilleverhire• Can’tstopwithoutinstruction• Can’tchangewithoutretraining• Takeyouliterallyeverytime
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AllSoftwareWillPredict
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Recruitin
gPred
ictio
nTools
Actual Forecast
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CurrentUseCases1) CandidateScreening(Olivia,Stella)2) AvailabilityForecasting(EngageTalent)3) BiasReduction(Multiple)4) CommunicationsAutomation- Pipeline(CRM)5) CommunicationsEffectiveness(text.io)6) Assessment(Multiple)7) DataRefresh(Crowded)8) DataIntegration(SwoopTalent)9) FastOrganizationalLearning/JobDescriptions(Bradio)10) ConversationalInterfaces(Chatbots)11) JobPathTrajectoryForecasting12) CareerPathAnalysis13) RecruitingSupplyChainManagement(Scout)14) EmploymentBranding
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KodakandPolaroidFocusedonBetterFilm
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Element Evolution Measurable? CurrentUseProfessionalSkillset Rapid ✔ Partial
CurrentTasks RealTime NotYet Partial
TeamRequirements Context Sensitive NotYet No
LearningCapacity Fixed NotYet No
NetworkRole Unknown NotYet No
PersonalityTraits Fixed ✔ Partial
Aptitudes Fixed ✔ Partial
SpecificJobSkills RealTime ✔ ✔
Qualifications RealTime ✔ ✔
IOTInput RealTime ✔ No
Temperament Fixed ✔ Partial
NextGenJobDescription
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NextGenSoftware
Aspect OldSchool NewSchool
Function DataInput DataExpression
Adoption More TimeInTool LessTimeInTool
Interface Intuitive Disappearing
Output SummaryReports Suggestions
TimeFrame Post Hoc Anticipatory
Purpose Review PerformanceImprovement
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EthicalIssues• WhatIsADecision?
• WhoMakestheDecision?• WhoIsResponsiblefortheConsequences?
• HowDoYouArgueWithAMachine?• CanYouEliminateBias?
• ShouldYou?
• WhoOwnstheData?(WhoShould?)
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QuestionsYouShouldBeAsking• HowDoWeCleanOurData?• WhoElseHasInterestingData?• HowAreOurJobsChangingandHowFast?• AreWeFixingToday’sPainorInvestingintheFuture?• HowDoesOurInvestmentPayInFiveYears?• Where,Exactly,DoesRecruitingCreateValue?• WhoElseIsDoingOurJob?• GigManagement• IOTData• ProjectandSocialNetworkAnalysis
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26•©HRExaminer•POBox1714Sebastopol,CA95472•415.683.0775•[email protected] •
The2018IndexofPredictiveToolsinHRTech:TheEmergenceofIntelligentSoftware
Discountcode– srsc
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FiveQuestionstoAsk?• Howlongdoesittakethemachinetolearnsomethingnew?Canyoudefinethatbothincalendartimeandthenumberoftransactions?
• Whatarethefeedbackloopsweshouldusetomonitorthetool’salignmentwithourculture,processes,andprocedures?
• Whatistheprocessbywhichweinformthedevicethatitismissingsomethingorneedstolearnsomethingnew?
• Ifthemachinemakesarecommendationandwethinkit’swrong,whatdowedo?
• Whatsortofstaffdoweneedtoensuretheperformanceofourintelligentsoftware?
27•©HRExaminer•POBox1714Sebastopol,CA95472•415.683.0775•[email protected] •