the future of market research in the world of connected data
TRANSCRIPT
“The Future of Market Research In a World of Connected Data”Justin Wheeler, VP Product
© 2016 Survey Sampling International
Key Consumer Trends Driving Revolution in MR
© 2016 Survey Sampling International
1. Consumers Are Radically Connected
2. Demographic & Behavioral Shifts Occurring Rapidly
3. Media Mobility
4. Peak Social
5. Peak Retail
6. Peak Accumulation
Consumers Are Radically Connected
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Trends – Radical Connection
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Receipt Upload Confirmed Visits: 1 Day
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Trends – Demographic Shift Toward Gen Z
© 2016 Survey Sampling International
76
6678
81
Population in Millions
BB Gen X Gen Y Gen Z
As of 2016, Gen Z has become the largest audience cohort (born 1996-97 to 2015)
Trends – Move Toward “Media In Hand”
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58%
Gen Z
39%
Gen Y
26%
Gen X
* Source = Nielsen Total Audience Report®
% of daily media consumption hours by Smartphone or Tablet
Trends – High Leverage = Less Discretionary Income
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• Gen Z projected to enter the job market with nearly 4x of the debt of BB did 40 years ago (inflation adjusted)
• Projected to have 33% less discretionary income than Gen X did during first 5 years in the workforce
$0
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
$35,000
$40,000
$45,000
Gen Z Gen Y Gen X BB
Debt on first day of first job
Avg Debt 1st Year Workers
Source: Atlanta Federal Reserve, 2015 (inflation adjusted)
Trends – Example Peak Retail
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• Total US Retail B&M Sales Down 18% from 2013 (inflation adjusted)
• US B&M Retailers Posted collective $578MM Loss in Q1
• $47.5 B in loans against US Retail collateral due in 2017, 31% non-performing*
• 41% of Gen Z have never purchased anything at a shopping mall
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
$14
$16
2013 2014 2105 2106
US Brick & Mortar Sales – Billions*
Malls Mass Merch Apparel
Linear (Malls) Linear (Mass Merch) Linear (Apparel)
* 2016 Projected, Source: Forbes & BISNOW.com & SSI® Note: Inflation Adjusted
Trends – Peak Social
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• Gen Z = Video, Video, Video
• Facebook is the #1 Video Site (2x daily video views over YouTube)
• Total FB Users Declined by 4% YoY (2014-2015)
• Total FB Hours per Member Declined by 14% YoY (2014-2015)
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Gen Z
Gen Y
Gen X
BB
% Cohort Logging on at Least Daily
Snapchat Pinterest Twitter Instagram Facebook YouTube
Source: SSI®
Trends – We Are Living In A Video World
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Trends – Email Dying, Are You Ready For It?
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• Gen X Retail Marketing relies heavily on email
• 85% of retailers report relying heavily/somewhat on email marketing
• Millennials less likely to open/read emails
• As Gen Z comes of age, email likely won’t be an effective marketing strategy for that cohort
0
20
40
60
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Gen Z Gen Y Gen X BB
Emails Sent/Received Daily
Total Daily Emails
Source: eMarketer, Jan 2016
Trends – Positive Attitude About Real-Time Proximity Ads
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48%
Gen Z
31%
Gen Y
22%
Gen X
* Source = SSI®
% of Cohort Identifying Proximity-based Mobile Ads as “Helpful” vs
“Intrusive”
Trends – Behavior Changes
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99%
92%
88%
78%
18%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120%
Written a Check
Boiled an Egg
Grilled a Steak
Walked Into a Bank
Driven a Car
“Never” Events
Gen Z Gen Y Gen X
* Source = SSI®. Gen Z = 18-22 year olds surveyed
Trends – Behavior Changes
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31%
5%
66%
14%
20%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Purchase a Car
Purchase a Home
Go On a Vacation Outside the US
Have/Adopt a Child
Get/Be Married
Next 10 Years “Definitely” Events
Gen Z Gen Y Gen X
* Source = SSI®. Gen Z = 18-22 year olds surveyed
5 Year Implications of These Trends
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1. Less foot-traffic to stores, less discretionary income available
2. Retail Experience will be key to capturing and keeping customers, both online and for brick & mortar stores
3. Email Marketing likely to decrease in effectiveness, especially among 18-25 year olds
4. More and more media hours will shift to handheld/mobile devices & video
5. Mobile / Proximity advertising likely to increase in acceptance & effectiveness especially among 18-25 year olds
Overview of Implications to Research
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1. ~70%+ of “online” surveys will be taken on Mobile Devices by 2020
2. Avg Length of Surveys will be <10 Minutes by 2020, so more data will have to come through behavioral rather than response
3. Deep access to data for same consumers will be vital for market researchers to understand customers…but it is available!
4. Consumer responses will shift to images/video both for online reviews & surveys
5. Media consumption & communication will shift to smaller screens, shorter engagements. Video/ Vlogs vs Articles/Blogs
Ideal Solution – Mobile & In Context
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Permissioned, App-based Mobile enables Location Tracking, Rich Media Responses and Device Metering
$10,000 Mobile Research Contest at Booth #110
© 2016 Survey Sampling International