the future for transport to canada’s north: airships and other options dr. barry prentice...
TRANSCRIPT
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The Future for Transport to
Canada’s North: Airships and Other
Options
Dr. Barry PrenticeProfessor, I.H. Asper School of Business,
University of ManitobaPresident,ISO Polar
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Hay River
Churchill
Western
Arctic
Eastern Arctic
Hudson Bay
Montreal
MacKenzie River
Winnipeg
Yellowknife
Iqaluit
Approximate northern limit of connecting all-weather roads and rail lines
Bathurst Inlet
Bakers Lake
Izok Lake
Vancouver
Beaufort Sea
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Transportation in Northern Canada
• Infrastructure Gaps– Vast Distances– Seasonal Service
• High Freight Rates– Thin Markets– Few Backhauls
• Harsh Conditions– Constant Climate
Change– Permafrost
• Ships• Barges• Trucks• Airplanes• Helicopters
Challenges Current Solutions
• Airships
Potential Solution
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Marine Transport in Northern Canada
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Climate Change, Northern Sovereignty and Oil Spills
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Permafrost Zones in Canada
ContinuousDiscontinuous
Sporadic
Isolated
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Ice Roads in Northern Canada
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Winter Roads East of Lake Winnipeg
60
54 55
49
59
52
22
51
20
59
25
53
35
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Year
Day
s o
pen
Shorter season, less reliable ice roads for remote communities and resource developments
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ESRA Statistics
Approximate road length – 872 kmApproximate cost - $2.7 billion (2010$)Approximate cost per km - $ 3 millionCurrent population served – 16,513Approximate cost per person - $163,000
Commitment - $315 million over 15 years ~ 105 kilometers built by 2026
Source: East Side Road Initiative, Vol. 3 Summer 2011
Manitoba All-weather Gravel Road Initiative
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Typical heavy Cargo Air Transport
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Aircraft Type
Cargo(kg)
Cost($/km)
Cost($/kg)
Airstrip(m)
Rates($/ T-km)
Twin Otter 955 $6.50 $4.09 310 $13.63
DC3 2500 $10.60 $2.46 925 $ 8.20
Curtis C-46 6800 $17.95 $1.58 1075 $5.27
DHC Buffalo 7500 $17.00 $1.37 925 $4.57
Hercules 20000 $28.50 $0.86 1700 $2.87
Aircraft Cost Comparison for a 300 km Flight
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Freight Rates, Food Prices and Poverty Winter 2005 St.Theresa Point Winnipeg • Milk 4 Litres $ 12.19 $ 3.48• Tomatoes $ 3.80 lb $ 1.99 lb • Bananas $ 2.31 lb $ 0.59 lb• Apples, Macintosh $ 2.94 lb $ 1.29 lb • Head Lettuce $ 2.69 each $ 1.49 each • Bread 60% $ 2.49 each $ 0.99 each • Ground Beef $ 9.19 Kilo $ 4.29 Kilo• Red Potatoes $ 1.60 lb $ 0.79 lb • Cheerios $ 8.45 box $ 3.50 box• Coke 2 Litres $ 7.99 $ 2.09 • Coffee $ 11.89 Kilo $ 6.99 Kilo ------------------------------------------------------------------
Total Basket $ 65.54 $ 27.49
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Food Prices,Food Choices
and Healthcare
Source: Diabetes in Aboriginal People in Canada: The Evidence, Health Canada, 2000.
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Poverty,Food Prices
and Healthcare
Source: Diabetes in Aboriginal People in Canada: The Evidence, Health Canada, 2000.
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Buoyant Aircraft History1783
1870
1926
1929
1783 Prof. Charles & Robert
1785 Blanchard & JeffriesEnglish Channel Flight
Paris airlift
Norge First flight across the North Pole
Graf Zeppelin Circumnavigation of the world
1670 Francisco de Lana
1784
Jean Baptiste Meusnier
1854 Henri Giffard
Montgolfier brothers
1930 R100 – Flight to Canada
1919R.34 Crosses Atlantic both ways
1901 Santos Dumont – first dirigible airship
2003
1935 DZR Regular air passenger service across the Atlantic
1961 USN 113,740 ft
1979 SkyShip 500
2000
Zeppelin NT
2006
21st Century Airships altitude record - 6,234-metres
LM P-791 flight
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Technological advances have been applied to a new generation of cargo transport airships.
1932
2012
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• Strength:– Robust, lightweight envelope
materials– Carbon fibre composites– All aluminum rigid designs
• Control:– Vectoring engines– Modern avionics/hydraulics– Tail and bow thrusters– Pressured gas ballasting
• Safety:– Computer design tools– Satellite weather information– “Glass” cockpit screens– GPS – No human contact during ground
handling
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New airships under development
LEMV (Hybrid Air Vehicles) P-791 (Lockheed-Martin)
250 ton and 50 ton (Varialifter) Aeroscraft (WorldwideAeros)
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Location and Company Aerostats LTA Vehicles Hybrid Vehicles
U.S.: Lockheed-Martin design/testing prototype
TCOM certified
Worldwide Aeros certified certified prototype
American Blimp Co. certified
Ohio Airships design/testing
Germany: CargoLifter KG testing
Zeppelin certified
U.K.: Varialift Airships design/testing
Hybrid Air Vehicles certified prototype
Canada: BASI prototype
Russia: RosAeroSystems certified certified design
Japan: National Research testing
South Korea: National Research testing
China: Vantage Airship Co. certified
Status of Airship Developers
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Obstacles to Commercialization
• Absence of Appropriate Infrastructure, i.e. Hangars
• Lack of Business Confidence• Policy Vacuum• Regulatory Gaps
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Building the MB-80
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The MB-80 First Airship built in Western Canada
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Airship Pilot Training
Transport CanadaRegulation
CARs 421.25
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Wicker basket with propane tank and burnerAltitude and temperature gaugesNo seat beltsNo landing gearNo flight plan or controlNo engines or propellersNo hangar or mooring mastNo ballonets, valves or blowers
PilotsHot Air
Balloons versusAirships
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Northern Future
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Conclusions• Airships are not just another aircraft
– They require a specific regulatory framework– Airships cannot operate without unique
infrastructure anymore than a ships can operate without dry-docks
• A worldwide competition is emerging for leadership in buoyant aircraft– Canada has the skills and the market to dominate
of the airship industry, with modest investment we can capture the business in Manitoba