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Copyright 2012. The NPD Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved. This presentation is Proprietary and Confidential and may not be disclosed in any manner, in whole or in part, to any third party without the express written consent of NPD. The European Outdoor market Picture, Trends & Opportunities, 2 nd Nature & Sports Euro’Meet Liptovsky Mikulas, Slovakia October 1 st 2013

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Page 1: The European Outdoor market - Enos Network › wp-content › ... · Sizing, describing the European outdoor market dynamics 3. Looking at sport participation through the prism of

Copyright 2012. The NPD Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved. This presentation is Proprietary

and Confidential and may not be disclosed in any manner, in whole or in part, to any third

party without the express written consent of NPD.

The European Outdoor

market

Picture, Trends & Opportunities,

2nd Nature & Sports Euro’Meet Liptovsky Mikulas, Slovakia

October 1st 2013

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1. Defining outdoor

2. Sizing, describing the European outdoor market

dynamics

3. Looking at sport participation through the prism

of sales

4. Outlook for the future

Agenda

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and Confidential 2

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Defining “Outdoor”

by the values

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Stadium World

Sea, Beach, Surf World

Indoor Fitness, Work-Out World

Urban Sports World

Outdoor World

=100% proximity to nature

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■ Sales to households measured at retail, generated by some activities:

– Summer outdoor sports

• Hiking-walking-trekking Camping, Fishing, hunting, horseback riding, rock climbing, paragliding, sailing, mountain biking

– Winter sports

• Ski Snowboard

– Estimated in this survey as part of the “grand total outdoor” however excluded in the figure shared with media

• MTB bikes

• Trail running

Defining “Outdoor”

as a market

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and Confidential 4

Sea, Beach,

Surf World

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Sizing the outdoor market correctly

Europe 34 (Russia inclusive)

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6

Core definition

European Outdoor Market Size

Estimate 2012, at retail,

excluding trail running and MTB

bikes

Trend 12/11

€ 16,7 Billion

+2%

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7

Large definition

European Outdoor Market Size

Estimate 2012, at retail,

including trail running and MTB

bikes

Trend 12/11

Can not be estimated by NPD

€ 20,1 Billion

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Question : How Does the

European outdoor Market

(large definition) Look

Segmented By sports in % ?

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and Confidential 8

Walking Hiking Camping

Ski

Snowboard

All terrain/ MTB bikes

Trail running

Other outdoor sports (Fishing, hunting, horseback riding, rock climbing,

paragliding, sailing, )

In %

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9

European outdoor market (large scope)

broken down by sports, year 2012, in % value

OTHER OUTDOOR

SPORTS 23%

SNOWBOARD

3,5%

WINTER SPORTS

(excl. Snowboard)

19%

WALKING

HIKING

CAMPING 38%

TRAIL RUNNING

FOOTWEAR 1,5%

MTB bikes 15%

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Other Outdoor European

Sport Market - Year 2012,

million €

Fishing 1352 Hunting 902

Other outdoor

Water environment 1397

Other outdoor

Earth environment 406

Horseback Riding 270

Other outdoor

Air environment 180

Water environment: Sailing, Kayaks and canoes, water skiing

Marine sports : Equipment for Scuba Diving/skin diving/Snorkeling

Earth environment: Rock climbing, canyoning

Air environment: Paragliding, Skydiving

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■ Sport use with competition & challenge being a strong psychological driver for a minority of heavy users

■ Mix use sport & daily use. For Sport use, the consumer here is NOT driven by work values (stress, competition). This is nature, family driven activities

■ Cool brands, derived daily use only

■ Never wear, never purchase sport brands !

The “Outdoor” market

by intended use of product

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Quantifying “Outdoor” market (large scope) in

Europe by intended use, in % of population &

market, year 2012

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and Confidential 13

Mixed use sport & casual

Competition driven

5%

Population in % Market share generated in %

casual/daily use only

45%

20%

30%

Never purchase sport brands & sport gear

60%

20% 20%

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14

Regional Highlights (34 countries)

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Hierarchy of Countries In 2012

Large definition European Outdoor Market

3,4

2,8

2,5

2,0

1,3 1,0

0,7 0,7 0,6 0,6

15

In Billion EUROS, Year

2012

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Hierarchy of Countries In 2012

Large definition European Outdoor Market

3,4

2,8

2,5

2,0

1,3 1,0

0,7 0,7 0,6 0,6

16

France UK Spain Russia Italy Belgium Switzerland Sweden Austria

In Billion EUROS, Year

2012

Germany

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Fast movers

Outdoor market

(trend 12/11)

17

Est.

+3%

France

Russia Est.

+5%

Trend

12/11

Netherlands Est.

+4%

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Stable markets

Outdoor market

(trend 12/11)

18

Est.

+2%

UK

Trend

12/11

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Slow movers

Outdoor market

(trend 12/11)

19

Est.

+0%

Germany

Italy

Sweden

Spain Est.

-3%

Trend

12/11

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Hierarchy of Countries (2) In 2012

Large definition European Outdoor Market

20

In Billion EUROS, Year

2012 0,6

0,5 0,5

0,3 0,3 0,3 0,3 0,3

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Looking at sport participation through the

prism of sales

Shoes declared for sport use

ski wear

purchases by age group

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Outdoor shoes used

for sport

any shoes used for

hiking walking

running shoes used for

running

FRANCE

4,9 7,6 4,4

GB

3,5 4,4 5,2

SPAIN

4,1 4,1 6,3

GERMANY

2,1 3,3 4,6

ITALY

1,3 1,6 3,3

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Everybody runs , the French have a

tradition of hiking while Italy falls behind on

these 2 types of sport

Average number of shoes purchased per 100 people in 5 European countries over 2012

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Participation in running (as measured by sales

of shoes) is increasing everywhere

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0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

3,5

4,0

2009 2010 2011 2012

GERMANY

GB

FRANCE

SPAIN

ITALY

Number of running shoes used for running (In million pairs) sold per year over the last 4 years in 5 European

countries

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Participation in hiking walking (as measured by

sales of outdoor shoes) shows a different picture

than the growth trumpeted by the industry

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and Confidential 25

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

3,5

4,0

2009 2010 2011 2012

FRANCE

GB

SPAIN

GERMANY

ITALY

Number of outdoor shoes used for sport (In million pairs) sold per year over the last 4 years in 5 European

countries

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Hierarchy of winter sport markets (Estimate)

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and Confidential 26

1 2-3 4-5 6 7 8-9 10

as per an estimate 2012 of local sales on winter sporting goods + rental activities

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Framing the future of the outdoor market

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A few number of Innovations & mostly hardware

MTB bikes

Snowboard

Pop up

Tents’

Windsurf

1970’s 1980’s 1990’s 2000’s

Nike Air

Electric bicycle

Skateboard

Paragliding

2010’s

Asymetrical

skis

kitesurf Compression

apparel?

roller quads

Polar fleece

In line skates

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Even fewer innovations are impacting the mass

market (> More than 10 million people impacted)

MTB bikes

Snowboard

Pop up

Tents’

Windsurf

1970’s 1980’s 1990’s 2000’s

Nike Air

Electric bicycle

Skateboard

Paragliding

2010’s

Asymetrical

skis

kitesurf Compression

apparel?

roller quads

Polar fleece

In line skates

X X X

X X

X

X

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Demographic considerations

■ Aging population

■ The casual market will expand and the share of sport brands within will grow because they make people dream

■ Sport participation & Sport Brands will thrive more and more on the fact that people want credit for their athletic activity

■ Sport participation is stable over long periods

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Age distribution by sport (in % of purchases

made for each age wearer group)

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and Confidential 31

Age distribution by sport (in % of purchases made for each age wearer group) over 2 years 2011 & 2012

More young

people active

More adult

people active

GYM AT

SCHOOL/PHYSICAL

EDUCATION FOOTBALL RUGBY

HORSE

RIDING BASKETBALL

MULTI-

ACTIVITIES

SUMMER

BOARD SNOWBOARDING

AGE 4 - 1153% 31% 26% 22% 18% 23% 11% 5%

AGE 12 - 1734% 24% 31% 22% 26% 19% 29% 13%

AGE 18 - 245% 17% 16% 22% 21% 13% 27% 33%

AGE 25 - 344% 17% 12% 15% 21% 16% 18% 35%

AGE 35 - 442% 8% 7% 11% 8% 13% 15% 11%

AGE 45 - 541% 3% 5% 5% 5% 9% 1% 2%

AGE 55 AND MORE1% 1% 2% 4% 1% 8% 0% 1%

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Age distribution by sport (in % of purchases

made for each age wearer group)

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and Confidential 32

Age distribution by sport (in % of purchases made for each age wearer group) over 2 years 2011 & 2012

More young

people active

More adult

people active

WORK-OUT

IN GYM

SWIMMING

ACT SKIING TENNIS

RUNNING/

JOGGING

CYCLING

(ROAD/MTB)

FITNESS/

DANCING

HIKING ALL

TYPES GOLF

AGE 4 - 111% 24% 18% 15% 4% 5% 4% 5% 2%

AGE 12 - 175% 12% 17% 16% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4%

AGE 18 - 2421% 12% 13% 12% 17% 12% 19% 8% 4%

AGE 25 - 3429% 15% 19% 19% 26% 22% 27% 17% 7%

AGE 35 - 4420% 14% 16% 17% 24% 23% 20% 19% 14%

AGE 45 - 5413% 10% 10% 12% 14% 17% 12% 19% 14%

AGE 55 AND MORE12% 12% 8% 11% 9% 15% 11% 29% 55%

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Outdoor & tourism : Align outdoor sports

offer to age groups & demand

Slow summer

activities

Slow winter activities age groups Summer Action

sports

Winter action sports

Fishing,

hiking, nordic walking

Swimming pool

hiking, nordic walking ,

cross country skiing Senior 55+

hiking, nordic walking

Camping Cycling

hiking, nordic walking,

cross country skiing Parents

30-55

Running Climbing

Paragliding

Downhill ski

Hiking treking

Camping

Cycling

Young adults

20-30

Running Climbing

Paragliding

All terrain bikes

Downhill ski

Snowboarding

Swimming pool Teenagers

15-20

MTB bikes

Horse riding

Climbing

Paragliding

Downhill Ski

Snowboarding

Swimming

Pool, camping Kids 5-15 Family hiking Downhill Ski

Snowboarding

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10 ideas to simulate sport participation in

outdoor sports

■ Hiking

■ Ski

■ Camping

■ Thematic Trekking

■ Make people dream

■ Encourage any initiative increasing the conversion rate from trying first time to training

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Q&A

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and Confidential 35

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Industries

Automotive

Beauty

Entertainment

Fashion

Food / Foodservice

Home

Office Supplies

Sports

Technology

Toys

Video Games

Wireless

Countries

Australia

Austria

Belgium

Brazil

Canada

China

France

Germany

Italy

Japan

Mexico

Netherlands

New Zealand

Poland

Portugal

Russia

South Korea

Spain

Sweden

Taiwan

United Kingdom

United States

Keep up with what’s new at The NPD Group.

Subscribe to our newsletter and other communications

by visiting npd.com and clicking “Subscribe.”

Thank You

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and Confidential 36