the eurogas roadmap 2050 - epsu€¦ · bcm *incl. district heating, raw material and energy branch...
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Sector Social Dialogue Committee on Gas
Brussels, 16 April 2012
Beate RaabeSecretary General
The Eurogas Roadmap 2050
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Members’ areas of activity
Wholesale and retail
Distribution
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Members• 33 companies• 17 associations
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Eurogas Roadmap 2050
80% carbon dioxide reductions
By 2050 compared with 1990
In energy related sectors
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Residential & Services
Industry
Transport
Power generation
1990 2010 2030 2050
Energy related sectors + reductions
-82%
-71%
-83%
-69%
-93%
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Residential and Services
What is needed in the future ? • Energy efficiency • Behaviour change • Renovation • Switching to gas technologies• Promotion of hybrid technologies
• 18% of CO2 emissions• 200 million households• 5.5 billion m2 of offices• 70% of energy use for heating• Gas leader with 40%
The sector today:
-71%
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Industrial sector
The sector today: • 15% of CO2 emissions • Natural gas 30% market share• Energy intensity gains achieved• Mostly covered by ETS
What is needed in the future ? • Maintain EU industry • Ensure EU industry competitiveness• Switching to less polluting alternatives• CCS after 2030
-83%
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Transport sector
The sector today: • 30% of CO2 emissions• Quasi-monopoly of oil with 95% • 70% of energy used by cars • Natural gas is a niche with 0,4%
What is needed in the future ? • Switch to alternatives, e.g. gas/biomethane• More action on NOx, particulates and noise• Support infrastructure for alternatives• Promote public transport• Use rail + waterways more for freight • Behaviour change
-69%
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Power sector
The sector today:• 35% of CO2 emissions. • Nuclear:28%, Coal: 26%, Gas:22%• CHP represents 22%
What is needed in the future? • Switch to renewables • Switch to gas• Gas and renewables • No lock-in • CCS after 2030
-93%
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Gas increases its share + supports renewables
Primary energy consumption
Data for 2010 are estimates
422276
108
596
567
397
169
222
240
220
206
297443
456
387
78179
288
396
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
1990 2010 2030 2050
Electricity
(exchange)Hydrogen
RES
Nat. gas
Nuclear
Oil
SolidsMtoe
26%
32%
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enables progress towards a low-carbon economy
Gas consumption
Data for 2010 are estimates
63
162203 191
140
210 152
86120
106 114
112
28
33
34
4247
40
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1990 2010 2030 2050
Others*
Transport
Industry
Resid. & Service
Power
Bcm
*incl. district heating, raw material and energy branch
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Emissions
Data for 2010: ProspEner tool
4032
14
18
16
11
19
13
10
22
28
19
0
20
40
60
80
100
1990 2010 2030 2050
Transport
Industry
Resid. & Service
Power
%
Down, thanks to fuel switch to gas and increased energy efficiency in the short and medium term
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• Clear demand signals
• Good relations with exporting and transit countries
• Full, speedy + harmonisedimplementation of EU internal market
• Better information to the public
What are the EU issues around gas?
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Comparison: Commission Energy Roadmap Eurogas Roadmap
What do they have in common?
• Focus on energy efficiency
• Substitution of high carbon fuels in power generation and transport
• Implementation of CCS
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Comparison: Commission Energy Roadmap Eurogas Roadmap
Where is the Energy Roadmap different?
• Predominant role of electricity in residential, services and transport sectors
• No potential explored for natural gas in transport
• No more role for natural gas except for electricity back-up generation
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Comparison: Commission Energy Roadmap Eurogas Roadmap
Consequences of Energy Roadmap:
• Large investments in the electricity distribution system due to the penetration of RES
• Less use of the gas distribution and storage infrastructures in place –Stranded costs!
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Contact details
Av. de Cortenbergh 172 1000 BrusselsBELGIUM
Phone: +32 2 894 48 48
www.eurogas.org