the effect of periodic variations of thermospheric density

10
The effect of periodic variations of thermospheric density on CHAMP and GRACE orbits Jiyao Xu, 1 Wenbin Wang, 2 Jiuhou Lei, 3 E. K. Sutton, 4 and Guangming Chen 1 Received 5 August 2010; revised 2 November 2010; accepted 8 December 2010; published 17 February 2011. [1] In this paper thermosphere densities observed by the CHAMP and GRACE satellites and their orbital parameters are used to investigate the effect of periodic oscillations in thermospheric densities (727 days) caused by solar rotation and periodic magnetic activity on satellite orbits during 20032005. Two new results are obtained in this study. First, the response of the mean radius of the satellite orbit per revolution (MRPR) to the oscillations in the mean atmospheric density per revolution (MDPR) increased linearly with oscillation periods. Therefore, MRPR had a strong oscillation near the 27 day period. However, it had no obvious 7, 9, and 13.5 day oscillations, although there were strong oscillations at the same periods in MDPR. Second, there was a phase difference of % = 2 between the oscillations of MRPR and MDPR. The phases of the oscillations in MRPR led the phases of the variations in MDPR. The correlation coefficient between the 27 day oscillations in MRPR and those in MDPR was 0.83 with a phase difference of 6.8 days for CHAMP; the correlation for GRACE was 0.67 with a phase difference of 6.4 days. The amplitudes of the oscillations in MRPR of CHAMP were larger than those of GRACE because GRACE had a higher orbit than CHAMP. These features are in good agreement with our theoretical analysis. Citation: Xu, J., W. Wang, J. Lei, E. K. Sutton, and G. Chen (2011), The effect of periodic variations of thermospheric density on CHAMP and GRACE orbits, J. Geophys. Res., 116, A02315, doi:10.1029/2010JA015995. 1. Introduction [2] The orbits of Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellites decay with time because of the atmospheric dragging force that is closely related to thermospheric density. The changes in thermospheric density create variable satellite drag, thus affecting human space activity such as spacecraft maneuver, lifetime, and its reentry prediction, and the identification and tracking of space objects [Doornbos and Klinkrad, 2006]. For instance, Smith et al. [1997] investigated orbit decays of the international space station caused by thermospheric den- sity. On the other hand, thermospheric density retrieved from satellite drag data is a very important source for investigat- ing thermospheric dynamics and developing empirical models of the thermosphere [e.g., Picone et al., 2002, 2005]. [3] Previous studies show that there are significant globalscale fluctuations of different periods in thermospheric density. They are mostly the results of solar and geomag- netic activity [e.g., Sutton et al., 2005; Forbes et al., 2005; Liu and Lühr, 2005; Lathuillère et al., 2008]. The oscillation in solar radiation induced by solar rotation causes 27 day and its harmonic variations in thermospheric densities [e.g., Eastes et al., 2004; Guo et al., 2007]. Lei et al. [2008a, 2008b] showed that solar wind highspeed streams and their associated geomagnetic activity can drive 7, 9 and 13.5 day oscillations in thermospheric densities by the energy and momentum coupling within the solar windmagnetospherethermosphere/ionosphere system. [4] Thus the question needs to be answered is that how the orbits of satellites change with these thermospheric density variations. Walterscheid [1989] studied the effect of the solar cycle variation of thermospheric density on satellite lifetime, and pointed out that shortterm changes in ther- mospheric density might have important consequences in satellite tracking. Nevertheless, there have been very few studies on this subject, to our best knowledge. [5] In this paper, we use both the orbital height data and the thermospheric density data from the Challenging Minisatellite Payload (CHAMP) satellite and the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite to investigate variations of satellite orbits caused by the peri- odic changes of thermospheric density. In section 2 we will describe the data set and analysis method. Results will be shown in section 3. Discussion of the results will be pre- sented in section 4 and summary is given in section 5. 2. Data Set and Analysis Method [6] The CHAMP satellite was launched on 15 July 2000 to a polar, nearcircular orbit (the initial altitude was about 1 State Key Laboratory of Space Weather, Center for Space Sciences and Applied Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China. 2 High Altitude Observatory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA. 3 Department of Aerospace Engineering Sciences, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, Colorado, USA. 4 AFRL, Hanscom Air Force Base, Massachusetts, USA. Copyright 2011 by the American Geophysical Union. 01480227/11/2010JA015995 JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 116, A02315, doi:10.1029/2010JA015995, 2011 A02315 1 of 10

Upload: others

Post on 26-Jan-2022

4 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: The effect of periodic variations of thermospheric density

The effect of periodic variations of thermospheric densityon CHAMP and GRACE orbits

Jiyao Xu,1 Wenbin Wang,2 Jiuhou Lei,3 E. K. Sutton,4 and Guangming Chen1

Received 5 August 2010; revised 2 November 2010; accepted 8 December 2010; published 17 February 2011.

[1] In this paper thermosphere densities observed by the CHAMP and GRACE satellitesand their orbital parameters are used to investigate the effect of periodic oscillations inthermospheric densities (7–27 days) caused by solar rotation and periodic magneticactivity on satellite orbits during 2003–2005. Two new results are obtained in this study.First, the response of the mean radius of the satellite orbit per revolution (MRPR) to theoscillations in the mean atmospheric density per revolution (MDPR) increased linearlywith oscillation periods. Therefore, MRPR had a strong oscillation near the 27 day period.However, it had no obvious 7, 9, and 13.5 day oscillations, although there were strongoscillations at the same periods in MDPR. Second, there was a phase difference of �=2between the oscillations of MRPR and MDPR. The phases of the oscillations in MRPR ledthe phases of the variations in MDPR. The correlation coefficient between the 27 dayoscillations in MRPR and those in MDPR was 0.83 with a phase difference of −6.8 daysfor CHAMP; the correlation for GRACE was 0.67 with a phase difference of −6.4 days.The amplitudes of the oscillations in MRPR of CHAMP were larger than those ofGRACE because GRACE had a higher orbit than CHAMP. These features are in goodagreement with our theoretical analysis.

Citation: Xu, J., W. Wang, J. Lei, E. K. Sutton, and G. Chen (2011), The effect of periodic variations of thermospheric densityon CHAMP and GRACE orbits, J. Geophys. Res., 116, A02315, doi:10.1029/2010JA015995.

1. Introduction

[2] The orbits of Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellites decaywith time because of the atmospheric dragging force thatis closely related to thermospheric density. The changes inthermospheric density create variable satellite drag, thusaffecting human space activity such as spacecraft maneuver,lifetime, and its reentry prediction, and the identification andtracking of space objects [Doornbos and Klinkrad, 2006].For instance, Smith et al. [1997] investigated orbit decays ofthe international space station caused by thermospheric den-sity. On the other hand, thermospheric density retrieved fromsatellite drag data is a very important source for investigat-ing thermospheric dynamics and developing empirical modelsof the thermosphere [e.g., Picone et al., 2002, 2005].[3] Previous studies show that there are significant global‐

scale fluctuations of different periods in thermosphericdensity. They are mostly the results of solar and geomag-netic activity [e.g., Sutton et al., 2005; Forbes et al., 2005;Liu and Lühr, 2005; Lathuillère et al., 2008]. The oscillation

in solar radiation induced by solar rotation causes 27 dayand its harmonic variations in thermospheric densities [e.g.,Eastes et al., 2004; Guo et al., 2007]. Lei et al. [2008a,2008b] showed that solar wind high‐speed streams and theirassociated geomagnetic activity can drive 7, 9 and 13.5 dayoscillations in thermospheric densities by the energy andmomentum coupling within the solar wind‐magnetosphere‐thermosphere/ionosphere system.[4] Thus the question needs to be answered is that how the

orbits of satellites change with these thermospheric densityvariations. Walterscheid [1989] studied the effect of thesolar cycle variation of thermospheric density on satellitelifetime, and pointed out that short‐term changes in ther-mospheric density might have important consequences insatellite tracking. Nevertheless, there have been very fewstudies on this subject, to our best knowledge.[5] In this paper, we use both the orbital height data

and the thermospheric density data from the ChallengingMinisatellite Payload (CHAMP) satellite and the GravityRecovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite toinvestigate variations of satellite orbits caused by the peri-odic changes of thermospheric density. In section 2 we willdescribe the data set and analysis method. Results will beshown in section 3. Discussion of the results will be pre-sented in section 4 and summary is given in section 5.

2. Data Set and Analysis Method

[6] The CHAMP satellite was launched on 15 July 2000to a polar, near‐circular orbit (the initial altitude was about

1State Key Laboratory of Space Weather, Center for Space Sciencesand Applied Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.

2High Altitude Observatory, National Center for AtmosphericResearch, Boulder, Colorado, USA.

3Department of Aerospace Engineering Sciences, University ofColorado at Boulder, Boulder, Colorado, USA.

4AFRL, Hanscom Air Force Base, Massachusetts, USA.

Copyright 2011 by the American Geophysical Union.0148‐0227/11/2010JA015995

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 116, A02315, doi:10.1029/2010JA015995, 2011

A02315 1 of 10

Page 2: The effect of periodic variations of thermospheric density

430 km) with an inclination of 87.3° [Reigber et al., 2002].The GRACE mission contains twin satellites (GRACE Aand GRACE B) which were launched on 17 March 2002.They are in a circular orbit (with an eccentricity less than0.005) with an initial altitude of about 500 km. The incli-nations of the orbits of the two satellites are about 89degrees. These two satellites stay in coplanar orbits sepa-rated by about 220 km. In this study, we use thermosphericmass densities derived from the accelerometer data and theorbit parameters from the CHAMP and GRACE A satellites.The procedure of deriving thermospheric mass densitiesform the CHAMP and GRACE accelerometer data alongsatellite tracks was described in detail by Sutton et al. [2005,2007, 2009] and Bruinsma et al. [2004]. In the presentwork, we used the latest data set from Sutton et al. [2009].The largest sources of error in accelerometer density esti-mation are the drag coefficient CD and the atmosphericwind. The CD model used to derive thermospheric densitydepends on solar activity as in situ composition and tem-perature from the MSIS model are used to estimate thevariations of the CD parameter. Winds are not considered inthe derivations of thermospheric density because there areno independent measurements of the wind vector [Suttonet al., 2009]. It is assumed here that the effects of windsare not severe since we use orbital averaged data in this study.[7] In addition, total solar EUV radiation from 30 nm to

120 nm observed by the SEE instrument (Solar EUV

Experiment) onboard the TIMED (Thermosphere, Iono-sphere, Mesosphere, Energetics and Dynamics) satellite isused as a proxy for solar radiation.[8] The thermospheric drag force acts on a satellite in the

opposite direction of the satellite orbital motion and is givenby [e.g., King‐Hele, 1987; Wertz and Larson, 1999;Montenbruck and Gill, 2001]

FD ¼ � 1

2�ACDv

2; ð1Þ

where A is the satellite’s cross‐sectional area perpendicularto the direction of the motion, r is the atmospheric density atthe location of the satellite, v is the satellite velocity withrespect to the corotating atmosphere, CD is a dimensionlessdrag coefficient that describes the interaction between theatmospheric particles and the satellite. The above equationshows that atmospheric density is an important parameterfor satellite drag and its variations can produce changes insatellite orbits.[9] Although CHAMP and GRACE satellites are in near

circular orbits, there are still tens of kilometer differences inorbit heights between the satellite apogee and perigee. Forinstance, there were about 20 km differences for CHAMP in2003. Therefore, the distance between the satellite and theearth center varies along each satellite orbit. In this paper,we use the averaged distance between the satellite and the

Figure 1. Variations of (top) the Dst index and solar EUV flux and the mean atmospheric densityper revolution of the orbit (MDPR) and the mean radius of the satellite orbit per revolution (MRPR)of (middle) CHAMP and (bottom) GRACE from 2003 to 2005.

XU ET AL.: PERIODIC OSCILLATION OF SATELLITE ORBIT A02315A02315

2 of 10

Page 3: The effect of periodic variations of thermospheric density

center of the earth of each revolution of the orbit. Thisdistance is defined as the mean radius of the satellite orbitper revolution (MRPR). Similarly, we also use the meanatmospheric density per revolution (MDPR), which is theaveraged atmospheric density for each revolution of theorbit, in our analysis.

3. Results

[10] Figure 1 shows temporal variations of the meanatmospheric density per revolution (MDPR) and the meanradius of the satellite orbit per revolution (MRPR) of CHAMPand GRACE (Figure 1, middle and bottom) between 2003 and

2005. The Dst index and solar EUV flux are also given(Figure 1, top). There were several strong magnetic stormsfrom 2003 to 2005. For instance, two of them took place inOctober (minimumDst = −350 nT) and November (minimumDst = −420 nT) of 2003, respectively. The atmospheric den-sities observed by CHAMP and GRACE responded to thesetwo storms with changes of 200–400%, as already reportedby Sutton et al. [2005]. In 2004, two strong magnetic stormsoccurred near day 210 (minimumDst = −200 nT) and day 313(minimum Dst = −380 nT). The atmospheric densities at thealtitudes of CHAMP and GRACE had profound responsesto these storms. Meanwhile, these magnetic storms had stronginfluence on the altitude of satellite orbits. For instance, during

Figure 2. Lomb‐Scargle periodograms of EUV (first panel from top), Kp (second panel), thermosphericdensity (third panel) and the orbit height of CHAMP (fourth panel), and thermospheric density (fifthpanel) and the orbit height of Grace (sixth panel) for (a) 2003, (b) 2004, (c) 2005, and (d) total spectrafor 3 years. The horizontal dashed lines represent the 95% significance level.

XU ET AL.: PERIODIC OSCILLATION OF SATELLITE ORBIT A02315A02315

3 of 10

Page 4: The effect of periodic variations of thermospheric density

the storm of October 2003, the mean altitude of the CHAMPorbit decreased by about 500 m. So far most of the studieshave focused on the thermospheric density response tothese major storms [e.g., Sutton et al., 2005; Forbes et al.,2005]. The change of satellite orbits caused by geomag-netic storms, however, has not been fully investigated. Inparticular, there have not been many investigations on the

satellite orbit responses to recurrent geomagnetic activitycaused by solar wind high speed streams and corotatinginteraction regions as well as periodic solar EUV variationsthat are related to solar rotation. In this paper, we will focusour studies primarily on the effect of solar rotation andrecurrent magnetic activity on thermospheric density and,consequently, on the satellite orbit.

Figure 2. (continued)

XU ET AL.: PERIODIC OSCILLATION OF SATELLITE ORBIT A02315A02315

4 of 10

Page 5: The effect of periodic variations of thermospheric density

[11] In order to investigate the characteristics of theperiodic oscillations, Lomb‐Scargle (LS) periodograms[Lomb, 1976; Scargle, 1982] of the atmospheric density,satellite orbit altitude, solar EUV radiation, and the geo-magnetic activity index (Kp) for 2003, 2004, 2005, and thetotal spectra for 2003–2005 are calculated and shown inFigure 2 for CHAMP and GRACE. The dominant oscilla-tion in the EUV flux had a period of around 27 days, whichwas the result of solar active regions rotating into the fieldview of the Earth for each solar rotation. The strongestoscillations in the mean atmospheric density per revolution

(MDPR) and the mean radius of the satellite orbit perrevolution (MRPR) of both satellites were also at the periodof about 27 days. The quasi–27 day oscillations in 2003in EUV, MDPR, and MRPR were the strongest in these3 years. It is evident that in 2003 there was a distinct peak at29 days for EUV and a broad peak between 26 and 30 daysfor Kp. In 2004, EUV had a broad peak around 27 days,but Kp did not. In 2005, Kp had a peak at 29 days, but EUVdid not have one. The 29 day and 24 day peaks in EUV in thetotal spectra of 3 years could be the results of the emergingand disappearing of different active regions that changed the

Figure 3. The band‐pass filtered time series of EUV flux, the mean atmospheric density per revolution(MDPR), and the mean radius of the satellite orbit per revolution (MRPR). From top to bottom, firstpanel, EUV flux and CHAMP’s density; second panel, CHAMP’s density and CHAMP’s mean satelliteorbital radius; third panel, EUV flux and GRACE’s density; fourth panel, GRACE’s density andGRACE’s mean satellite orbital radius.

XU ET AL.: PERIODIC OSCILLATION OF SATELLITE ORBIT A02315A02315

5 of 10

Page 6: The effect of periodic variations of thermospheric density

regular variations of solar EUV radiation with solar rotation,and introduced the multipeak spectral structures.[12] In addition, for CHAMP and GRACE there were

quasi–9 day and 13.5 day oscillations in MDPR and the Kpindex. The quasi–9 day oscillations were associated withvariations of high‐speed solar wind and the resultant geo-magnetic activity [Lei et al., 2008a, 2008b]. On the otherhand, the 17 day spectral peak that occurred in these yearsappeared to be associated with the subharmonics of thequasi–9 day variations of Kp.[13] Figure 2 also shows that the spectra of EUV, MDPR,

and MRPR around the 27 day peak had very similar featuresin these 3 years. One striking feature of the CHAMP andGRACE MRPR is that the response of MRPR to the short‐period oscillations in MDPR (9 day and 13.5 day) was muchweaker than that to the longer‐period oscillations (27 day).On the other hand, for GRACE, there was a wealthy ofshort‐period (period of several days) oscillations in MRPR.Most of these oscillations were not seen in MDPR. Thepossible reasons for this are discussed in section 4.[14] We now focus our discussion on the strongest oscil-

lations in both MDPR and MRPR with a period of about27 days. In order to investigate the effect of 27 day oscilla-tion of the solar forcing on the upper atmosphere density andsatellite orbit, all time series (the mean atmospheric density,the mean radius of satellite orbit, and EUV flux) were firstprocessed to minimize variations at periods significantlylonger and shorter than the 27 day solar rotation period.[15] Figure 3 gives the results for solar EUV flux, atmo-

spheric densities observed by CHAMP and GRACE andorbital radiuses of the two satellites after a band‐pass filter,which was centered at the period of 27 days with half‐powerpoints at 22 and 32 days, was applied. It is obvious that boththe atmospheric densities and the satellite orbital radiuseshad a strong response to the 27 day oscillation in solarradiation. High correlations were found between MDPR,MRPR, and EUV, especially when a strong quasi–27 dayperiodicity was present. The 27 day variations in atmo-spheric densities had lags following the oscillation in solarradiation of the same periods. On the other hand, the rates oftemporal change of satellite orbit heights were anticorrelatedwith thermospheric densities.

[16] The amplitudes of the oscillations in the MDPR andMRPR of CHAMP were larger than those of GRACE.Given that the altitude of the GRACE was about 100 kmhigher than that of the CHAMP the effect of thermosphericdrag was weaker at the GRACE altitude. For instance, theoscillation of MRPR was about 0.1 km for the CHAMP,while it was about 0.05 km for the GRACE during the firsthalf of 2003.[17] In order to investigate the phase relationship between

the oscillations in solar radiation, atmospheric density andsatellite orbital radius, the correlation coefficients betweenthese parameters are computed and shown in Figure 4. It canbe seen that the correlation coefficients between the meanatmospheric density per revolution (MDPR) and EUV were0.88 with a phase lag of 0.8 day for CHAMP, and 0.89 witha phase lag of 0.7 day for GRACE. The two satellites hadalmost the same correlation coefficient between thermo-spheric density and EUV for the 27 day oscillation. This isvery close to the results of Guo et al. [2007], which showedthat the time delay between changes of solar irradiance andthose of thermospheric densities was about 1 day. For thecorrelation between the mean radius of the satellite orbitper revolution (MRPR) and the mean atmospheric densityper revolution (MDPR), CHAMP gave the best correlationcoefficient of 0.83 with a phase lag of −6.8 days. GRACEgave the best correlation coefficient of 0.67 with a phase lagof −6.4 days. The phase lags of two satellites were almostthe same. The negative phase lag implies that the phase ofthe oscillation of MRPR was ahead of the phase of thefluctuation of MDPR, although the fluctuation of MRPRwas caused by the oscillation of thermospheric density. Forthe correlation between the mean radius of the satellite orbitper revolution (MRPR) and the oscillation of EUV, CHAMPshowed a maximal correlation coefficient of 0.75 with phaselags of −6.0 days. GRACE had the best correlation coeffi-cient of 0.57 with a phase lag of −5.6 days.[18] From the time series of solar EUV, the mean atmo-

spheric density and the radius of satellite orbit we can seethat the intensities of their oscillations varied with time(Figure 3). In order to investigate the variation of theircorrelations, Figure 5 gives the temporal changes of thecorrelation between MDPR and MRPR for the two satellites

Figure 4. Correlation coefficients between (1) MDPR and EUV (solid line), (2) MRPR and MDPR(dashed line), and (3) MRPR and EUV (dotted line). (left) CHAMP and (right) GRACE.

XU ET AL.: PERIODIC OSCILLATION OF SATELLITE ORBIT A02315A02315

6 of 10

Page 7: The effect of periodic variations of thermospheric density

form 2003 to 2005. It is clear that the phase lag of thecorrelation peak remained as approximately a constantduring these 3 years. Correlations tended to increase duringintervals of strong quasi–27 day oscillations in EUV,MDPR, and MRPR. Figure 5 also shows that the correlationcoefficient between MDPR and MRPR of CHAMP waslarger than that of GRACE. We also calculated the corre-lations between EUV and MDPR, EUV and MRPR for thetwo satellites, and obtained similar results.

4. Discussion

[19] The positive phase lag of the fluctuation in thermo-spheric density relative to the oscillation in solar radiationwas discussed in many studies [e.g., Eastes et al., 2004; Guoet al., 2007]. In this section we focus on the explanation ofthe phase relationship between the oscillations in the radiusof the satellite orbit and atmospheric density. In the analysis,we only study the influence of atmospheric drag on thesatellite orbit. The effect of Earth’s gravitational perturba-tions (asphericity of the potential field) on the orbit of LEOsatellite is ignored [e.g., King‐Hele, 1987].

[20] The changes in the mean radius of the satellite orbitper revolution (MRPR) which, according to equation (6–24)of Wertz and Larson [1999], is

DrMRPR ¼ �2� CDA=m� �

�r20; ð2Þ

where m is the satellite mass, r0 is the averaged radius of thesatellite orbit during the period of our interest (for instance,from 2003 to 2005 in this study).[21] A satellite in a circular orbit experiences a centripetal

acceleration, which equals to gravitation:

Fr ¼ �mv2

r0¼ �GMm

r20; ð3Þ

where M is the mass of the Earth, G = 6.673 × 10−11 (m3 ·kg−1 · s−2) is the gravitational constant. Therefore, the speedof the satellite is

v ¼ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiGM

r0

r: ð4Þ

Figure 5. Time variations of the correlation coefficients between MDPR and MRPR of (top) CHAMPand (bottom) GRACE.

XU ET AL.: PERIODIC OSCILLATION OF SATELLITE ORBIT A02315A02315

7 of 10

Page 8: The effect of periodic variations of thermospheric density

Thus, the period of the satellite orbit per revolution is

Dt ¼ 2�r0v

¼ 2�r3=20ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi

GMp : ð5Þ

Form equations (2) and (5), the differential equation for theMRPR is

drMRPR

dt¼ ��ACD

ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiGM

p

m

ffiffiffiffir0

p: ð6Þ

Equation (6) indicates that the differential of the mean radiusof the satellite orbit per revolution with time is anticorrelatedwith atmospheric density. If the atmospheric density has anoscillation with a period of T,

� ¼ �0 þ "ei!t;

where r0 is the background density, " is the amplitude of theoscillation, w = 2�=T is the frequency of the oscillation, T isthe period of the oscillation, and i =

ffiffiffiffiffiffiffi�1p

. The solution ofequation (6) is

rMRPR tð Þ ¼ rt¼0 � �0ACD

ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiGM

p

m

ffiffiffiffir0

pt|fflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflffl{zfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflffl}

rMRPR tð Þ

þ "ACD

!

ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiGM

p

m

ffiffiffiffir0

pexp i !t þ �

2

� �h i|fflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflffl{zfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflffl}

�rMRPR tð Þ

;

ð7Þ

where, rt=0 is the initial radius of the satellite orbit.[22] The first term of above equation,

rMRPR tð Þ ¼ rt¼0 � �0ACD

ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiGM

p

m

ffiffiffiffir0

pt;

is the decay of the satellite orbit height due to the back-ground thermospheric density drag for a fixed atmosphericdensity. This term results in about a 70 km decline of theCHAMP satellite orbit height from 2003 to 2005, and about20 km satellite orbit decline for GRACE (Figure 1).[23] The second term in the right of equation (7) is the

deviation of the mean radius of satellite orbit per revolu-tion (MRPR) caused by periodic oscillations in thermo-spheric density, which is the focus of this study and can beexpressed as

�rMRPR tð Þ ¼ "

!~R exp i !t þ �

2

� �h i

¼ "T

2�~R exp i !t þ �

2

� �h i;

ð8Þ

where, ~R = ACD

ffiffiffiffiffiffiGM

pm

ffiffiffiffir0

pis a constant.

[24] From above equation, we can see that there is a �=2phase difference between the oscillations in atmosphericdensity and those in the radius of the satellite orbit. Thephase of the satellite orbit oscillation is �=2 (6.75 days for the27 day oscillation) ahead of the atmospheric density oscil-lation. This is consistent with the variation of the orbits ofCHAMP and GRACE shown in Figures 3 and 4, their phaselags are −6.8 days and −6.4 days, respectively.[25] It is worth noting here that the phase delays discussed

above are not directly related to the causal relationship

between the oscillations in thermospheric densities and thoseof satellite orbit heights. In fact, a close exam of the temporalvariations of the changes of the MDPR and MRPR devia-tions given in Figure 3 shows that the changes in MDPRwere the cause of the changes seen in MRPR. In general,when the deviation of MDPR becomes positive (enhancedthermospheric density), MRPR begins to decrease. Thisdecrease in satellite orbital height continues till the deviationof MDPR becomes negative (depleted thermospheric den-sity). The opposite situation or increase in MRPR thenoccurs. Thus, the positive and negative peaks of the deviationof MRPR correspond to the time when the deviation ofMDPR is about zero (∼6.75 phase shift for a 27 day oscil-lation). From equation (6), the negative phase lag of about �=2is not a spurious product of data analysis, instead, it showsthat the differential of the radius of the satellite orbit withtime is negatively correlated with atmospheric density [e.g.,Burns, 1976; King‐Hele, 1987; Wertz and Larson, 1999].[26] Equation (8) also shows that the amplitude of the

oscillation of MRPR was directly proportional to both theperiod (T) and the amplitude (") of the thermospheric den-sity oscillation. From Figures 2 and 3, the amplitude ofthe oscillation of CHAMP’s MRPR was larger than that ofGRACE since the amplitude of MDPR at the altitude ofCHAMP was larger than that of GRACE. Figure 6 gives thechange of the ratio between the amplitude of the MRPRfluctuation and the amplitude of the MDPR oscillationabove the 95% significance level, h, with the period of thefluctuation for the CHAMP and GRACE satellites

� ¼ AmpMRPR

AmpMDPR � 95% significance levelð Þ : ð9Þ

For CHAMP, it is evident that h increases with the period ofthe oscillation, which is consistent with equation (8). Thisindicates that the response of MRPR to fluctuations of MDPRis stronger for the longer‐period (27 days) oscillationsthan that for the shorter‐period fluctuations, for instance, the9 day oscillation. This is probably the main reason that inFigure 2 we observe much smaller amplitudes for the 7, 9 and13.5 day oscillations in MRPR, although there were rela-tively stronger oscillations in both the Kp index and MDPRof the same periods. For GRACE, h shows the same trendas that for CHAMP. The amplitude also increases with theperiod of the oscillation. However, the data is more scattered.This might be related to the oscillations of short periods(several days) as shown in Figure 2. These orbital oscillationswere not seen or very weak in thermospheric density, indi-cating that they might not be caused by density oscillations.The orbit of GRACE is higher than that of CHAMP by about100 km, thermospheric density is less dense at the GRACEorbit. Other factors, such as solar radiation pressure, solid andocean tides and nonuniform gravity, may not be neglectedwhen compared to the effect of atmospheric drag. They mayalso induce periodic oscillations to the GRACE orbit. Furtheranalysis is needed to fully understand the exact causes ofshort‐period oscillations in the GRACE orbits.

5. Summary

[27] The CHAMP and GRACE observations provide agood opportunity for investigating the effects of solar and

XU ET AL.: PERIODIC OSCILLATION OF SATELLITE ORBIT A02315A02315

8 of 10

Page 9: The effect of periodic variations of thermospheric density

magnetic activity on the LEO satellite orbit. In this paperthermosphere densities observed by the CHAMP and GRACEsatellites and their orbital parameters during 2003–2005 areused to investigate the periodic oscillations (7–27 days) ofthe satellite orbital altitudes caused by the effect of solarrotation and periodic solar wind and magnetic activity onthermospheric density. The main new results of this study areas follows.[28] 1. There were abundant oscillations in thermospheric

densities seen by CHAMP and GRACE between 2003 and2005. The oscillations with a period of quasi‐27 days werecaused by the oscillations in solar EUV radiation, whilethose with periods of quasi‐7, 9 and 13.5 days were theresults of recurrent magnetic activity. Both observations andtheoretical analysis indicate that the response of the satellitealtitude (MRPR) to thermospheric density oscillations de-pended on the period of the oscillation. The response wasstronger for oscillations with longer periods than those withshorter periods. Thus, the CHAMP and GRACE orbits didnot have obvious 7, 9 and 13.5 day oscillations between2003 and 2005, although there were strong oscillations ofthese periods in thermospheric density caused by solar windhigh‐speed streams and corotating interaction regions inthese years.[29] 2. Both the observations of CHAMP and GRACE and

theoretical analysis suggest that there was a phase differenceof �=2 (for instance, 6.75 days for the 27 day oscillation)between the oscillations of the mean radius per revolution ofsatellite orbit and the mean atmospheric density per revolu-tion. The phases of the oscillations in the satellite orbitalradius led the phases of the variations in atmospheric den-sities. There was a good correlation between 27 day oscil-lations in the mean radius of satellite orbit and those in themean atmospheric density. The correlation coefficientwas 0.83 with a phase lag of −6.8 days for CHAMP and 0.67with a phase lag of −6.4 days for GRACE. Because thephase difference between the 27 day oscillation of thermo-sphere density and the corresponding oscillation in solarEUV flux had a time delay of about 0.8 day, the phase dif-ference between oscillations in satellite orbital radius and solarEUV radiation was −6.0 days for CHAMP and −5.6 daysfor GRACE.

[30] In addition, the amplitudes of the oscillations in themean radius of satellite orbit per revolution of CHAMP arelarger than those of GRACE. The orbit altitude of GRACEis about 100 km higher than that of CHAMP. Thus, theeffect of thermospheric drag satellite orbit is weaker at theGRACE altitude.

[31] Acknowledgments. This work is supported by the NationalScience Foundation of China (40828003, 40890165, and 40921063), theNational Important basic Research Project (2011CB811405), and theSpecialized Research Fund for State Key Laboratories. It is also based uponwork supported in part by NASA grants NNH08AH37I and NNX08AQ91Gand by the Center for Integrated Space Weather Modeling (CISM) which isfunded by the STC Program of the National Science Foundation under agree-ment ATM‐0120950. One of the authors (J.L.) would like to acknowledgesupport provided by NASA grant NNX10AE62G and AFOSR MURI awardFA9550‐07‐1‐0565. The CHAMP and GRACE data used in this study wereobtained by Eric Sutton. The National Center for Atmospheric Research issponsored by NSF.[32] Robert Lysak thanks the reviewers for their assistance in evaluating

this paper.

ReferencesBruinsma, S., D. Tamagnan, and R. Biancale (2004), Atmospheric densitiesderived from CHAMP/STAR accelerometer observations, Planet. SpaceSci., 52, 297–312, doi:10.1016/j.pss.2003.11.004.

Burns, J. A. (1976), Elementary derivation of the perturbation equations ofcelestial mechanics, Am. J. Phys., 44(10), 944–949, doi:10.1119/1.10237.

Doornbos, E., and H. Klinkrad (2006), Modelling of space weather effectson satellite drag, Adv. Space Res., 37, 1229–1239, doi:10.1016/j.asr.2005.04.097.

Eastes, R., S. Bailey, B. Bowman, F. Marcos, J. Wise, and T. Woods(2004), The correspondence between thermospheric neutral densitiesand broadband measurements of the total solar soft X‐ray flux, Geophys.Res. Lett., 31, L19804, doi:10.1029/2004GL020801.

Forbes, J. M., G. Lu, S. Bruinsma, S. Nerem, and X. Zhang (2005), Ther-mosphere density variations due to the 15–24 April 2002 solar eventsfrom CHAMP/STAR accelerometer measurements, J. Geophys. Res.,110, A12S27, doi:10.1029/2004JA010856.

Guo, J., W. Wan, J. M. Forbes, E. Sutton, R. S. Nerem, T. N. Woods,S. Bruinsma, and L. Liu (2007), Effects of solar variability on thermo-sphere density from CHAMP accelerometer data, J. Geophys. Res.,112, A10308, doi:10.1029/2007JA012409.

King‐Hele, D. (1987), Satellite Orbits in an Atmosphere: Theory andApplications, Blackie, Glasgow, U. K.

Lathuillère, C., M. Menvielle, A. Marchaudon, and S. Bruinsma (2008),A statistical study of the observed and modeled global thermosphere

Figure 6. The change of the ratio (h) between the amplitude of MRPR and the amplitude of MDPRabove 95% significance level (dots) with period for (left) CHAMP and (right) GRACE, respectively.The solid line is the linear fitting.

XU ET AL.: PERIODIC OSCILLATION OF SATELLITE ORBIT A02315A02315

9 of 10

Page 10: The effect of periodic variations of thermospheric density

response to magnetic activity at middle and low latitudes, J. Geophys.Res., 113, A07311, doi:10.1029/2007JA012991.

Lei, J., J. P. Thayer, J. M. Forbes, E. K. Sutton, and R. S. Nerem (2008a),Rotating solar coronal holes and periodic modulation of the upper atmo-sphere, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L10109, doi:10.1029/2008GL033875.

Lei, J., J. P. Thayer, J. M. Forbes, E. K. Sutton, R. S. Nerem, M. Temmer,and A. M. Veronig (2008b), Global thermospheric density variationscaused by high‐speed solar wind streams during the declining phaseof solar cycle 23, J. Geophys. Res., 113, A11303, doi:10.1029/2008JA013433.

Liu, H., and H. Lühr (2005), Strong disturbance of the upper thermosphericdensity due to magnetic storms: CHAMP observations, J. Geophys. Res.,110, A09S29, doi:10.1029/2004JA010908.

Lomb, N. R. (1976), Least‐squares frequency analysis of unequally spaceddata, Astrophys. Space Sci., 39, 447–462, doi:10.1007/BF00648343.

Montenbruck, O., and E. Gill (2001), Satellite Orbits: Models, Methods,and Applications, Springer, Berlin.

Picone, J. M., A. E. Hedin, D. P. Drob, and A. C. Aikin (2002), NRLMSISE‐00 empirical model of the atmosphere: Statistical comparisons and scientificissues, J. Geophys. Res., 107(A12), 1468, doi:10.1029/2002JA009430.

Picone, J. M., J. T. Emmert, and J. L. Lean (2005), Thermospheric densitiesderived from spacecraft orbits: Accurate processing of two‐line elementsets, J. Geophys. Res., 110, A03301, doi:10.1029/2004JA010585.

Reigber, C., H. Lühr, and P. Schwintzer (2002), CHAMP mission status,Adv. Space Res., 30, 129–134, doi:10.1016/S0273-1177(02)00276-4.

Scargle, J. D. (1982), Studies in astronomical time series analysis. II—Statistical aspects of spectral analysis of unevenly spaced data, Astro-phys. J., 263, 835–853, doi:10.1086/160554.

Smith, O. E., S. I. Adelfang, and R. E. Smith (1997), Neutral orbital altitudedensity effects on the International Space Station, J. Spacecr. Rockets,34, 817–823, doi:10.2514/2.3292.

Sutton, E. K., J. M. Forbes, and R. S. Nerem (2005), Global thermosphericneutral density and wind response to the severe 2003 geomagnetic stormsfrom CHAMP accelerometer data, J. Geophys. Res., 110, A09S40,doi:10.1029/2004JA010985.

Sutton, E. K., R. S. Nerem, and J. M. Forbes (2007), Density and winds inthe thermosphere deduced from accelerometer data, J. Spacecr. Rockets,44, 1210–1219, doi:10.2514/1.28641.

Sutton, E. K., R. S. Nerem, and J. M. Forbes (2009), Normalized forcecoefficients for satellites with elongated shapes, J. Spacecr. Rockets,46, 112–116, doi:10.2514/1.40940.

Walterscheid, R. L. (1989), Solar cycle effects on the upper atmosphere:Implications for satellite drag, J. Spacecr. Rockets, 26, 439–444,doi:10.2514/3.26089.

Wertz, J. R., and W. J. Larson (1999), Space Mission Analysis and Design,3rd ed., Kluwer Acad., El Segundo, Calif.

G. Chen and J. Xu, State Key Laboratory of Space Weather, Center forSpace Sciences and Applied Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing, 100190, China. ([email protected])J. Lei, Department of Aerospace Engineering Sciences, University of

Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO 80309, USA.E. K. Sutton, AFRL, Hanscom Air Force Base, MA 01731, USA.W. Wang, High Altitude Observatory, National Center for Atmospheric

Research, Boulder, CO 80307, USA.

XU ET AL.: PERIODIC OSCILLATION OF SATELLITE ORBIT A02315A02315

10 of 10