the economics of luxury goods: utility based on exclusivity

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Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1930361 The Economics of Luxury Goods: Utility Based on Exclusivity ¤ Stefka Petrova y Vitaly Pruzhansky z 19 September 2011 Abstract We propose a model describing consumer demand for a luxury good, in which the perceived quality of the good is related to its exclusivity, that in turn depends on the number of consumers buying it. We use this model to analyze the optimal production and price setting decisions of a luxury good manufacturer and contrast them with the decisions that would be made by a social planner. We show that irrespective of the way social welfare is de…ned, a monopoly producer of the luxury good may select socially optimal prices and quantity. Thus the incentives of the monopolist producer and the social planner may to some extent be aligned. . Keywords: welfare, luxury goods, competition policy, regulation JEL Classi…cation: L40, L42. ¤ We bene…ted from discussions with Jurjen Kamphorst and Mikhailo Trubskyy. The usual disclaimer applies. The views expressed therein are those of the authors only and do not necessarily represent the o¢cial views of the authors’ respective institutions, University of Antwerp and RBB Economics. y Department of Economics, University of Antwerp, Belgium. z RBB Economics, Bastion Tower, Place du Champ de Mars 5, 1050 Brussels, Belgium, vi- [email protected] (corresponding author). 1

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  • Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1930361

    The Economics of Luxury Goods: Utility Based on

    Exclusivity

    Stefka Petrovay Vitaly Pruzhanskyz

    19 September 2011

    Abstract

    We propose a model describing consumer demand for a luxury good, in which

    the perceived quality of the good is related to its exclusivity, that in turn depends

    on the number of consumers buying it. We use this model to analyze the optimal

    production and price setting decisions of a luxury good manufacturer and contrast

    them with the decisions that would be made by a social planner. We show that

    irrespective of the way social welfare is dened, a monopoly producer of the luxury

    good may select socially optimal prices and quantity. Thus the incentives of the

    monopolist producer and the social planner may to some extent be aligned.

    .

    Keywords: welfare, luxury goods, competition policy, regulation

    JEL Classication: L40, L42.

    We beneted from discussions with Jurjen Kamphorst and Mikhailo Trubskyy. The usual disclaimerapplies. The views expressed therein are those of the authors only and do not necessarily represent theocial views of the authors respective institutions, University of Antwerp and RBB Economics.

    yDepartment of Economics, University of Antwerp, Belgium.zRBB Economics, Bastion Tower, Place du Champ de Mars 5, 1050 Brussels, Belgium, vi-

    [email protected] (corresponding author).

    1

  • Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1930361

    1 Introduction and motivation

    The economic literature on luxury goods and conspicuous consumption originates from

    the work of Thorstein Veblen [13] and John Rae [11] in the nineteen century. One of

    main ideas of their work was that wealthy consumers buy conspicuous goods to show

    their social status or provide evidence of their wealth. A recent overview of this work

    can be found in, e.g. Trigg [12]. The work of Veblen and Rae spawned a fair body of

    research on the economics of luxury or status goods. For instance, the ability of the

    luxury good owner to signal the owners wealth, e.g. Bagwell and Bernheim [3], or the

    issues of optimal taxation of diamond goods, e.g. Ng [10].

    The purpose of the current paper is to study the welfare aspects of the luxury goods

    industry by contrasting the production decisions of the social planner and those of a

    monopolist producer. We adopt a partial equilibrium approach and consider decision

    making of a representative consumer for just one luxury good, disregarding the existence

    of ordinary goods and possible substitution eects between the two. We also assume

    that the luxury good is produced by a monopolist, and thus assume away competition

    between dierent producers of luxury goods.

    We model the luxury aspect of the good, based on its scarcity or exclusivity, an

    approach similar in spirit to Yao and Li [14]. This assumption is justied by the state-

    ments of some key luxury goods manufacturers, who argue that the chief value of a

    luxury good lies in that it is not too common, and that widespread sales may destroy

    this high end image of luxury goods, which mainly determines the consumers utility

    and willingness to pay. For instance, Patrick Thomas, CEO of one of the largest luxury

    goods companies - Hermes stated in an interview to The Wall Street Journal [8]:

    "...We are not fashionable, and we avoid being fashionable".

    Similarly, a luxury goods analyst at the leading investment bank J.P.Morgan notes:

    "...A luxury brand cannot be extended indenitely: if it becomes too common,

    it is devalued, as Pierre Cardin and Ralph Lauren proved by sticking their

    labels on everything from T-shirts to paint."

    We propose a model in which the consumer utility (or more specically, the per-

    ceived quality) of a luxury good negatively depends on the number of consumers who

    buy it, i.e. its exclusivity or scarcity.1 The more common the good is (e.g. because

    1Sometimes this is called the snob eect, see Leibenstein [7].

    2

  • many consumers buy it already), the less is its perceived value. This specication leads

    to the negative network externality eect, whereby an increase in consumption by new

    customers reduces the utility of those who already consume the good. We also show

    that modeling of the exclusivity eect does not require the use of an upward sloping de-

    mand function and can be adequately represented by a conventional downward slopping

    demand under suciently general conditions.

    We then apply this economic framework to analyze welfare aspects of the luxury

    good. We nd that the incentives of the social planner and monopolist producer may

    in some cases be aligned and that traditional loss of welfare associated with monopoly

    pricing does not always arise. One possible interpretation of this result is that the

    luxury industry should not be regulated: decentralized production and pricing decisions,

    even by monopolist suppliers, may maximize consumer (and total, i.e. consumer and

    producer) welfare.

    It is important to point out at the outset that the model developed in this paper

    does not intend to describe the signaling aspect of luxury goods. The latter takes place

    when customers buy an expensive luxury item in order to signal their overall wealth or

    social status. There are other economic models describing the signaling eect, see for

    instance Bagwell and Bernheim [3] or Yao and Li [14].

    The paper is structured as follows. Section 2 provides a basic introduction into the

    luxury goods industry and its key recent trends. Section 3 presents an economic model

    capturing the scarcity or exclusivity aspect. Section 4 extends this model by analyzing

    its welfare aspects from the viewpoint of the social planner and contrasts them those

    under monopolist production. Section 5 contains illustrative numerical examples.

    2 Overview of the luxury goods industry

    Households in all major economies (e.g. EU, US, Japan) spend about 1% of their

    nal consumption on personal luxury goods, such as apparel, leather accessories, shoes,

    watches, jewelry and perfumes. Of these, apparel (womenswear and menswear) are the

    two most important categories, followed by watches, cosmetics and leather goods, see

    Figure 1.

    The world-wide market size of these personal luxury goods is estimated to reach

    185 bln in 2011. During 2002-2008 the market has grown on average 6% per annum,but due to the global economic downturn, 2009 sales declined by 11%, see Figure 2.

    According to the consulting rm Bain & Company, 2010 was the year the customers

    3

  • 24.0

    8.0

    8.2

    18.4

    20.0

    22.4

    23.5

    23.6

    26.6

    Other

    Jewelry

    Shoes

    Perfumes

    Leather goods

    Cosmetics

    Menswear

    Womenswear

    Watches

    GLOBAL MARKET FOR PERSONAL LUXURY GOODS BY CATEGORIES

    2008 sales, bln Annual growth rate 98-08, %

    7.5

    7.0

    5.0

    10.0

    7.0

    6.0

    4.5

    8.0

    Source: Bain & Company presentation, available at www.altagamma.it

    Figure 1: Sales of personal luxury goods by categories.

    started loosening their purse strings and 2011 should see a return to normal luxury-

    goods consumption, in line with historical trends, see [9].

    The luxury market is perceived to have strong fundamentals and is expected to

    continue to grow due to constantly enlarging customer base. The latter is mainly driven

    by the increase in

    i) Personal income in developing countries, such as Brasil, China, India and Eastern

    Europe (mainly Russia).

    ii) Spending on luxury goods by working women.

    iii) Male interest luxury brands.

    Notably, Chinese buyers are already worlds number 2 luxury customers behind the

    Americans. Luxury sales in China have been a signicant driver of the global demand.

    Sales in mainland China rose 30% in 2010 and are forecast to grow 25% at constant

    currencies this year to 11.5bn, while US luxury sales are set to grow 8% to 52bn in2011, after rising 10% at constant currency terms in 2010 to 48.1 bln, see [9].

    Industry revenues are closely linked to international tourist ows, since tourists

    around the world are responsible for around a quarter of the worlds luxury purchases.

    4

  • 134 134 128 134146

    159170 175

    156172

    185

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    GLOBAL MARKET FOR PERSONAL LUXURY GOODS bln

    Source: Bain & Company presentation, available at www.altagamma.it, press clippings.

    Figure 2: Dynamics of the luxury goods market, 2001-2011.

    A stagnation in the worldwide industry sales during 2001-03, which can be seen from

    Figure 2, was mainly a consequence of reduction in foreign travel after the September

    11 attacks. Luxury tourism is mainly driven by the Japanese, who prefer to buy luxury

    abroad, where prices are up to 40% lower than at home.

    Europe has traditionally been the most signicant consumer and producer of luxury

    goods. Of the 175 bln of world-wide sales in 2008, Europe represented 38% or 67bln. Between 1998 and 2008 the European market has grown at 6% on average per

    annum. This exceeds the corresponding growth rates (5%) in other mature markets

    such as US and Japan during the same period. Europe is also home to major luxury

    goods companies owing top luxury brands, see Figure 3 below2.

    In recent years, the industry experienced some consolidation with major players ac-

    quiring other brands. For instance, LVMH bought Tag Heuer watches, Thomas Pink

    shirts and Phillips, a London auction house. Gucci acquired Yves Saint Laurent, Ba-

    lenciaga and Boucheron, before being bought by PPR, see [4]. Despite the presence of

    these signicant players the luxury goods industry still remains quite fragmented with

    2No ocial numbers are available for Chanel, as it is privately held company. The estimates in thetable are taken from www.portfolio.com.

    5

  • Company Headquarters Major product lines Related brands2008 sales,

    bln

    PPR France ApparelGucci, Yves Saint Laurent

    20.2

    L'Oral Group France Cosmetics L'Oral 17.5

    Mot Hennessy Louis Vuitton

    FranceWines and spirits, cosmetics, watches, jewellery, leather goods

    LVMH, Dior 17.2

    Chanel France Cosmetics, perfumes Chanel 10-15

    Richmont SwitzerlandWatches, jewellery, writing instruments

    Cartier, Piaget, Mont Blanc

    5.3

    Armani Italy Apparel, cosmetics, jewelry Armani 1.7

    Herms France Apparel, leather goods Herms 1.6

    Figure 3: Major producers of luxury goods.

    a large number of small, family owned, designers houses and boutiques.

    Luxury goods are typically sold by the manufacturers through directly owned and

    operated stores. Compared to other industries, on line sales in the industry are ex-

    tremely low. In 2006 on-line sales represented 1.5 bln, which was less than 1% ofthe total industry sales. The situation improved somewhat in 2007 when on-line sales

    increased to about 4.5 bln worldwide (less than 3%) of the total, according to theAltagamma Luxury Industry Report [2]. However, this is a far cry from on-lines sales

    of other consumer goods, as reported by a market research company JupiterResearch

    [6], see Figure 4. The other important distinction between on-line sales of luxury goods

    and other products is that almost all sales of luxury goods are made directly through

    either the manufacturers web-sites or specialized luxury portals3. Only a small fraction

    of genuine luxury goods is sold though on-line auction platforms, such as Yahoo! or

    e-Bay. This reticence to use the internet is rooted in several unfortunate attempts to

    do so in the past. As a recent article [5] puts it:

    "Some luxury brands jumped on the e-commerce bandwagon during the

    dotcom boom in the late 1990s, only to bust with the bubble in the early

    part of the current decade. So theyre reluctant to try again. Theres also

    3For instance, Net-a-Porter.com, Gilt.com, Bluey.com, Eluxury.com.

    6

  • 712

    5

    8

    11

    13

    8

    PERCENT OF GOODS BOUGHT ON LINE, 2008Consumer electronicsFootwear Toys

    5

    2

    15

    17

    20

    23

    28US

    UK

    France

    Germany

    Sweden

    Spain

    Italy 1

    1

    3

    4

    5

    10

    10

    1

    5

    5

    5

    8

    13

    13

    Clothes

    Source: JupiterResearch Global Online Retail

    Figure 4: On-line purchase behavior in select catagories and countries.

    an older wariness dating back to the 1980s, when too many designer brands

    went on licensing sprees that cheapened their pedigree. Since then, the

    mantra has all been about control of brand".

    Yet the future usage of internet by luxury goods companies cannot be completely

    ruled out. However, the way they will do it will probably be dierent from traditional

    on-line advertising or sales. Some experts, see [5], say that savvy luxury brands will

    eventually adopt Web 2.0 technologies, including social networking. This will allow fans

    of a specic brand to connect online with other like-minded, it could become like an

    exclusive club. Similarly, in a recent industry survey by Abrams Research [1] more than

    100 luxury industry leaders and experts were asked about how the internet can be best

    used by luxury goods companies. The majority of respondents (34%) answered:

    "Through innovation in advertising, e.g. Karl Lagerfelds mini-web movies",

    and further 27% answered:

    "Through partnerships with inuential fashion/luxury bloggers".

    7

  • Only a relatively low fraction of respondents (13%) thinks that the way forward may

    be to distribute luxury goods through lower price-point sites or a traditional on-line

    advertising (5%).

    3 The model

    3.1 Demand

    Suppose the consumers utility, if he consumes a luxury good, is given by

    () = (1)

    where 2 [0 ] is a parameter reecting consumer preferences towards the product(sometimes we will call the type of consumer), is a measure of product quality, and

    is the products price. This formulation states that utility (and ultimately demand)

    is not dependent on the income of potential consumers. Clearly, in reality demand for

    luxury may be subject to signicant wealth eects. Our model thus would apply to

    situations when consumers income does not change.

    As was explained in the Introduction, we suggest to model the luxury aspect of

    the good by assuming that consumers perceived quality is inversely related to the

    number of consumers who buy the good. That is, when only a few consumers buy the

    product, it is viewed by customers as exclusive and hence has a higher perceived quality.

    Conversely, when more consumers buy the good, its perceived luxury aspect of quality

    declines. Therefore, the utility of consuming the good declines as well.4 The validity of

    this assumption is conrmed, for instance, by a recent article in The Wall Street Journal

    [8], stating as follows.

    "...For years, Hermes International SA has kept an elite band of high-

    spending clients coming back for more by making them wait for what they

    crave most. Waiting lists, which can stretch for years for certain handbags,

    are part of the companys broader approach of keeping demand and prices

    high.

    ...The company is wary of products that could hurt its upscale image. In

    2005, for example, Hermes pulled its so-called Fourre-Tout canvas bag o

    4We can assume that in the extreme case when all consumers buy the good, it simply ceases to beluxury and becomes an ordinary good. This could be modeled by assuming that the perceived qualityreduces to zero when everyone buys the good. However, all interesting results can be derived withoutmaking this restrictive assumption.

    8

  • the shelves even though it was accounting for 10% of overall accessories sales.

    "We didnt want to make the brand too accessible. Suddenly Hermes bags

    were being associated with canvas, which is not what we wanted," says Mr.

    Thomas [CEO of Hermes]."

    Formally, if is the total mass of consumers5, then

    (0) = 0 () = 0 () 0 0 () 0

    where is the total demand for the luxury good. The above denition implies that the

    good may have some value even if no-one buys it, i.e. if (0) 0. In this case, one

    can loosely think of as the quality level that the rst buyer would attach to the good,

    when he is the only one who consumes it.

    Given the utility function in (1), a consumer with valuation buys exactly one unit

    of the product if and only if he obtains positive utility from it, that is if

    ()

    (2)

    The total demand for the good is then just the sum of unit demands from all consumers

    whose valuations satisfy (2), given the price corresponding quantity and quality

    level () Let us assume that the number (or mass) of those consumers whose valua-

    tions satisfy 0 is given by a function 0 for all 0 2 [0 ] Naturally, this functionis non-decreasing in 0 so 0

    0

    0 and moreover (0) = 0 and = Notethat if we normalize = 1 then

    0

    would represent a typical cumulative probability

    distribution over the set of consumer valuations [0 ] Assume () to be continuously

    dierentiable, and let () = 0 () When 0

    can be interpreted as a probability

    distribution, () can be the thought of as the associated probability density function.

    Based on these assumptions, the total demand for the luxury good can be written as

    follows

    =

    ()

    =

    ()

    (3)

    The inverse demand function would then be given by

    () = ()1 () (4)

    5One can also think of as the discrete number of consumers. However, to simplify computations itis more convenient to consider as a mass. In what follows we will use the terms consumer mass andnumber of consumers interchangeably.

    9

  • It is easy to check that given our assumptions on () and () the inverse demand

    function in (4) is downward slopping with (0) = and () = 0 This shows that

    it is possible to model the luxury aspect of the good by using a standard downward

    slopping demand function. This is in accordance with other luxury good models in the

    literature, e.g. Ng [10] or Yao and Li [14]. Notably, the result that the demand for

    luxury good is a declining function of price is not a consequence of the specic utility

    function we have assumed. In fact, it can be shown that the demand function will be

    downward slopping under suciently general conditions, see the Annex for details.

    Given that the demand for the luxury good is downward slopping, naturally any

    reduction in price should result in the increase of quantity sold, despite the reduction in

    perceived quality expressed by () As our model assumes unit demand, this implies

    that as the price declines, more customers buy the luxury good. Importantly, consumers

    who already bought the good before, continue to buy it after the price decline, even if

    they might obtain lower utility from it. The next proposition summarizes these results.

    Proposition 1 For any given initial price-quantity pair ( (0) 0) consider a reduc-

    tion in price (increase in quantity). Then the following two statements are true:

    (i) Regardless of the magnitude of price reduction (quantity increase) all those con-

    sumers who bought the good before (i.e. infra-marginal customers), would continue

    to buy it.

    (ii) There is no unambiguous relationship between the utility a particular consumer

    obtains before and after price (quantity) change, save for the consumers that were

    indierent between buying and not buying the good initially (i.e. marginal cus-

    tomers). These marginal consumers clearly benet from price reduction (quantity

    increase). In other words, all customers that were not infra-marginal before, but

    become infra-marginal after the price decline, strictly benet from it.

    Proof. Fix a consumer with valuation 0 quantity 0 and a corresponding price

    0 (0) = (0)1 (0) If this consumer buys the good he obtains the utility

    00

    =

    0

    0 1 0 0

    Suppose now quantity increases to 00 0 The utility of consumer with valuation 0

    becomes

    000

    =

    00

    0 1 00

    10

  • To prove (i) we need to show that 000

    0 First, observe that by assumption (00) 0 Further, since () is increasing in and 1 () is decreasing in we have

    10 1 00

    and consequently

    0 1 00 0Therefore

    000

    =

    00

    0 1 00 0

    To prove (ii), consider Figure 5. On this gure the utility of a consumer with

    valuation 0 is shown as a rectangular area. The area of rectangular A represents an

    initial level of utility, while that of rectangular B - the utility following a reduction in

    price or an increase in quantity (note that the rectangles overlap - the area at the origin

    belongs to both rectangle A and B). Obviously, there is no unambiguous relationship

    between the areas of these rectangles. It may be the case that reduction in the received

    quality (i.e. the width of rectangle B compared to A) is compensated by the reduction

    in price (related to the height of rectangle B relative to A), but it need not be so.

    Thus, following a reduction in price, infra-marginal consumers may obtain either lower

    or higher utility as a result.

    On the other hand, marginal consumers who are indierent between buying and

    not before a price (quantity) change, clearly benet from the subsequent price re-

    duction. Before price reduction, such a marginal consumer obtains zero utility since

    0 = 1 (0) Thus the height of rectangle A is zero. Following a price reductionthe utility of this consumer is represented by rectangle B, with area larger than zero.

    The results of Proposition 1 are apparently at odds with the statements sometimes

    made by luxury goods manufacturers that a possible reduction in price is going to

    destroy the image of luxury goods and will result in some consumers refraining from

    buying it. In terms of the model developed here, this statement cannot be conrmed.

    The reason is that the eventual impact on consumer utility is a determined not only

    by the perceived quality, but also by prices. In terms of the model presented here, the

    eect of price reduction is stronger than that of quality reduction. In other words, price

    decrease outweighs a reduction in perceived quality.

    Whilst price reductions may decrease utility of some (infra-marginal) consumers,

    importantly Proposition 1 states that there are no infra-marginal consumers who would

    stop buying the luxury good following a price reduction. In addition to that, marginal

    11

  • )(1 QnF

    )(1 QnF

    )(Qs )(Qs

    A

    B

    Figure 5: Changes in utility following a reduction (increase) in price (quantity).

    consumers always benet from price reductions. It is therefore can already be guessed

    that welfare eects of price changes in general will be ambiguous.

    3.2 Supply

    3.2.1 Monopolist producer

    Let us now turn to the prot maximization problem of luxury good manufacturers. To

    this end we assume a single monopolist producer. By doing so we essentially assume

    away possible competition from rival (luxury goods) suppliers. This may be viewed

    as a limitation. However, our primary purpose is to analyze price/quantity choices

    and welfare eects. It is thus analytically convenient to focus on the behavior of a

    single monopolist producer. Further, as demand function for luxury good is shown to

    be downward slopping, competition between luxury good manufacturers is in no way

    dierent as between ordinary manufacturers, i.e. as such the luxury aspect of the good

    does not add much new to the nature of competition. For this reason, without loss of

    generality, we may assume away competition among manufacturers.6

    6 It is also an open question what type of competition to assume in the case of luxury good models.For instance, brand image of a particular manufacturer may be so strong that consumers would view,e.g. luxury bags of two producers as so distinct (i.e. dierentiated) that each producer would notexperience signicant competitive constraint from the other one. In this case, for all practical purposesone can safely assume that each of these producers is acting as a local monopolist in the correspondingproduct space.

    12

  • The monopolist producers prot maximization problem is given by

    max

    () = () () (5)

    where () is the manufacturers cost function and () is the inverse demand from

    (4). The solution to the problem would be to equate marginal revenues with marginal

    costs, i.e. to nd such level of production that satises

    () +0 () = 0 () (6)

    As the demand function for luxury good is downward slopping, in the optimum the

    monopolist will set prices that exceed marginal costs, and earn a margin specied by

    the inverse elasticity rule.

    3.2.2 Social planner

    It is interesting to contrast the production decision of the monopolist supplier with that

    of a social planner. For the moment let us assume that the social planner only cares

    about consumers and thus wants to choose such level of quantity and prices () that

    maximize consumer surplus.7 In order to determine the consumer surplus in the model,

    it will be helpful to denote by a cut-o level of valuation, i.e. the minimal valuation

    required to buy the good, given a certain level of and () Thus a consumer of type

    receives zero utility from buying the good

    = () ()

    = 1 () (7)

    Note that if () is a cumulative probability density function,8 then () can be

    interpreted as the mass of consumers who do not buy the good. Clearly we have

    0 and

    0 (8)

    In other words, when prices go down, more people buy the luxury good and the mass

    (or the number) of those consumers who cannot aord it decreases. This is in line with

    the conclusion we reached on the downward slopping demand in (4) and Proposition 1.

    7 Indeed, many competition authorities have explicitly stated their ultimate goal as the maximizationof consumer welfare and not the total welfare, dened as the sum of consumer and producer surplus.

    8Recall that it need not be; by denition () gives the number of consumers whose valuation doesnot exceed

    13

  • We can express the consumer surplus as the sum of utilities of those consumers

    who buy the good, when the overall demand is Formally,

    () =Z

    [ () ()] () = ()Z

    [ ] () (9)

    From the application of Kuhn-Tucker conditions, to the maximization of () given

    by (9), the social planner who wishes to maximize consumer surplus () chooses bsuch that

    b =8

  • Next, we know that for any function ( ) the following holds

    Z ()()

    ( )

    !=

    Z ()()

    0 ( )+ [ () ] 0 () [ () ]0 ()

    By applying this formula to (9) we get

    " ()

    Z

    ( ) ()#

    =

    "Z ()

    1 () ()#

    =

    Z () () | {z }

    Z ()1 () ()| {z }

    where is dened in (7).

    Now observe that

    =Z 0 () () () () 1

    ()(1)

    =Z

    0 ()1 () () 1

    ()

    () ()1 () () 1

    ()(1)

    And nally

    () ()

    = =Z 0 () ()

    Z

    0 ()1 () () 1

    ()

    ()

    =

    Z 0 () ( ) () +

    Z () (12)

    The rst term in (12) is negative because 0 () 0 by assumption and the relevantrange of lies above . The second term is positive. Thus the overall impact on the

    consumer surplus () due to changes in is ambiguous. This formally conrms the

    intuition behind part (ii) of Proposition 1.

    Next, we can analyze the behavior of 0 () at = 0 and = First of all, at

    = 0 we have = and thus from (12) it follows that 0 (0) = 0 Obviously this is the

    point where consumer surplus () is minimized. This is so because (0) = 0 and in

    general () 0 thus (0) can only increase for a suciently small Second, at = we have = 0 In this case (12) simplies to

    0 () = 0 ()Z 0 () + ()

    Z 0 (13)

    15

  • nQ

    Q

    ][Es

    Q

    )(Q

    0

    nQdQd

    Figure 6: Dynamic of the consumer surplus () when 0 () 0

    From (13) it can be checked that 0 () 0 if and only if

    ()0 ()

    2 []

    (14)

    This suggests that for any given distribution of preferences (or consumer types) charac-

    terized by () condition (14) is more likely to hold when: either () is low or 0 ()

    is high in absolute value (i.e. perceived quality decreases drastically with the number

    of units sold is close to ), or both. In particular, note that (14) always holds whenever

    () = 0 i.e. when the perceived quality is zero if everyone buys the good.

    Now observe that combining 0 (0) 0 together with 0 () 0 implies that there

    is an interior solution b to the social planners maximization problem, as is illustratedon Figure 6. We have thus proved the following.

    Proposition 2 There exists an interior solution b 2 (0 ) to the social plannersmaximization problem max () if (14) holds.

    Proof. In the text.

    The condition of 0 () 0 is only sucient, but not necessary for the interior

    solution b to exist. For instance, consumer surplus may be maximized at some b 2(0 ) even if 0 () 0 as can be easily observed by modifying Figure 6. However,

    in this case one cannot rule out that consumer surplus is maximized at = either.

    In terms of Figure 6 this would be the case, for instance, if the derivative 0 () is

    16

  • increasing everywhere on [0 ] and reaching its maximum at 9 In sum, a negative

    derivative of () at = implies the existence of an interior solution, whilst a

    positive derivative allows for both interior and boundary solution.

    In terms of practical application of these results to luxury goods industry, it would

    not be an overstatement to say that sucient condition (14) would hold in most cases.

    This is because it is quite probable that for status goods either their perceived value

    () is suciently small or the perceived value is decreasing sharply when everyone buys

    them, i.e. when = At the very least, it appears that the luxury good manufacturers

    are convinced that this might be the case, as is evidenced by some of their marketing

    strategies, see [8] or quotes in Section 3.1 above. Overall it implies therefore that there

    would be an interior solution to the social planners maximization problem.

    Recall that the social welfare has been dened in terms of consumer surplus only.

    Because production costs are not taken into account by such a measure of welfare, one

    can imagine that the social planner would wish to increase consumption as much as

    possible. Yet the existence of an interior solution makes it clear that the social planner

    would not want to increase consumption too much. In essence, it means that decreasing

    prices (or increasing quantity sold) does not always increase consumer welfare. (This is

    essentially a corollary of Proposition 2). What is the intuition behind this result?

    The existence of the interior solution to the social planners maximization problem

    is linked to the fact that changes in the quantity sold have an ambiguous eect on

    the consumer welfare. As an illustration of this eect, consider the special case of a

    linear distribution function () = with 2 [0 1] In this case there is exactly onecustomer of each type and the customer types are distributed uniformly. Under these

    conditions, () can be nicely represented graphically, as is shown on Figure 7, given

    some initial levels of and () The straight line sloping upwards gives the utility of

    a customer with valuation for all 2 [0 1] The vertical intercept on this utility lineequals the equilibrium price () taken with a negative sign; the slope of the utility

    line equals () The overall consumer surplus () thus equals to the shaded area

    and can be expressed as

    () = ()

    2[1 ]2 (15)

    where = 1 () see (7).From Figure 7 it is also convenient to get an intuition of how consumer surplus

    changes in response to changes in quantity and price () For instance, if increases

    9Obviously, this is not the only way in which it may happen that social welfare is maximized at =

    17

  • )(U

    QnFQs 1

    QnF 1 1

    )(Qs

    QnFQs 11

    Figure 7: Graphical illustration of consumer surplus (shaded area) as a function of when () is linear in

    and correspondingly () goes down, the intercept declines, reaching zero when = In the same time as the good becomes cheaper, more people buy it because the

    cut-o level of the quality parameter declines, reaching zero in the limit. This drives

    down the perceived quality () and the utility line becomes atter, reaching the slope

    of when = . The opposite happens if decreases. Specically, the intercept of

    the utility line increases in absolute value, reaching when = 0; tends to 1; andthe slope of the utility line goes up, reaching when = 0

    Figure 7 shows an important lesson formally stated in Proposition 2. A reduction

    in price of the luxury good may not always increase the aggregate consumer surplus

    (). On the one hand, decreasing prices increases the overall number of consumers

    that buy the good, and clearly benets marginal consumers, as we showed in Proposition

    1 above. On the other hand, the more consumers buy the good, the less is the utility

    of infra-marginal consumers, because the good ceases to be exclusive. Overall, whether

    changes in and () increase consumer surplus depends on the underlying parameters

    of the model, specically on the form of the perceived quality function () and the

    distribution of valuations ()

    Given that price reductions are not always in the interest of nal consumers, one can

    expect that the interests of the social planner and monopolist producer may be aligned.

    This is indeed the case, as we show in the proposition below: the social planner wishing

    to maximize consumer surplus may choose exactly the same prices and quantities as the

    monopolist producer of the luxury good. Whilst this may seem to be the consequence of

    a particular way in which the social welfare has been dened (i.e. as consumer surplus

    only), it fact it is not. Even if the social welfare is dened in a more conventional way,

    18

  • i.e. as the sum of both consumer and producer surpluses, it may be the case that the

    social planner chooses the same quantity and prices as the monopoly supplier would.

    The driving force behind this result is the scarcity eect that reduces perceived quality

    of the good for infra-marginal consumers when total consumption increases.

    Proposition 3 Let and b be correspondingly solutions to the manufacturers andsocial planners maximization problems, given that the latter maximizes only consumer

    surplus, in (6) and (10). Then for some values of () () and () it may be

    possible that = b Moreover, in this case the social planner who wishes to maximizethe sum of consumer and producer surpluses would also select = bProof. The intuition for the proof can already be grasped from observing that costs do

    not feature in (12). That is, the social planner wishing to maximize the sum of utilities

    of those consumers who buy the good does not take into account the manufacturers

    costs. Thus we in principle can choose any cost function () that ensures that = bNow lets assume that the optimal quantity produced by the monopolist b solves

    the optimization problem of the social planner, given by (10). Since the marginal costs

    of production are non-decreasing, 0 b 0 From the solution of the monopolist

    optimization problem, it follows that the manufacturers marginal revenue at b is alsopositive. Note that one condition for manufacturers marginal revenue to be positive

    is that demand elasticity exceeds 1. That implies that in the absence of production

    costs (or zero marginal costs), the monopoly producer of luxury goods would prefer to

    produce more than the social planner, who maximizes consumer surplus only. This is

    because the manufacturer cares only about utility of marginal consumers who will buy

    the good in case of a price reduction. (By Proposition 1, the monopolist knows that

    it will not lose any infra-marginal customers anyway). On the other hand, the social

    planner cares about balancing an increase in the utility of new (marginal consumers) and

    the loss of utility for infra-marginal consumers that will be reduced due to changes in

    the perceived quality () when too many consumers buy the good. Hence, generally

    there is a trade-o between increasing producer surplus at the expense of consumer

    surplus and vice versa. However, if both surpluses are maximized at the same level of

    = = b then clearly the joint surplus is also maximized at

    19

  • 5 Numerical examples

    In this section we present two numerical examples illustrating the ideas discussed in

    Sections 3 and 4.

    5.1 Derivation of the demand function and consumer surplus

    In order to explicitly derive demand function and consumer surplus, we will make the

    following four simplifying assumptions:

    i) Total mass of consumers is normalized to one, i.e. = 1

    ii) Consumer preferences for quality are distributed uniformly on [0 1] so that

    there if exactly one customer of each type thus () =

    iii) Quality function () enjoys () = 1 This assumption implies that whenall consumers buy the good, i.e. = 1 its perceived quality reduces to zero

    because the good ceases to be exclusive.

    iv) Marginal costs of production are xed at zero, 0 () = 0

    Given these assumptions the demand function becomes

    =

    ()

    = 1

    ()

    = 1

    1

    which simplies to

    = 1 p (16)

    Given that marginal costs are assumed to be zero, the manufacturer maximizes prot

    by solving the following maximization problem

    max

    () = p (17)

    This prot function is concave, therefore the problem in (17) is well-dened and has the

    solution = 49 Correspondingly we have

    =1

    3 () =

    2

    3 =

    2

    3 =

    1

    27

    Graphically the consumer surplus is depicted by the shaded area on Figure 8.

    The related question is what is the maximum total consumer welfare in this model.

    A little reection shows that this welfare is not maximized at prices that are equal

    20

  • )(U

    92

    31

    32 1

    Figure 8: Analysis of consumer surplus.

    to marginal costs, i.e. zero. When = 0 we have = 1 and () = 0 In this

    case, although all consumers buy the good (= 0), the utility line corresponds to the

    horizontal axis of valuations Hence the consumer surplus equals to zero.

    Let us now compute prices and quantities which would maximize the consumer

    surplus. By using the earlier derived formula for the linear valuation case (15), and

    noting that given our assumption about the distribution of valuations () = we

    have = 1 and = 1 we have to solve

    max

    =1

    22 (18)

    The maximization problem has a solution b = 23 Correspondingly we haveb = 1

    9 b () = 1

    3 b = 1

    3 b = 2

    27

    This maximal consumer surplus b is shown by the checkered area on Figure 8. Thischeckered area is clearly bigger than what is chosen by the manufacturer who is in a

    monopoly position.

    The important lesson from this example is that the social planner who wants to

    maximize consumer surplus will not equate marginal costs and prices. Although the

    optimal price for the social planners view is below the price which would be set by the

    monopolist producer, the social planner would not want to reduce prices to the level

    21

  • of marginal costs. This is because at prices below ^ the negative eect on the utility

    of infra-marginal consumers is not outweighed by a positive eect stemming from the

    increase in utility of marginal consumers. Thus, from the social viewpoint, the optimal

    price ^ is above the manufacturers marginal costs.

    5.2 Equivalence between the monopolists and social planners maxi-

    mization problem

    To illustrate the idea of Proposition 3, consider the following example. Suppose there

    are 3 consumers with valuations 1 = 1 2 = 34 3 =3548 Let the perceived quality

    function () and the manufacturers cost function () be given as in Table 1 below.

    Further let the price () be such that marginal consumer obtains zero utility. Then

    it is easy to verify that both the producers prot, consumer surplus and the overall

    welfare are maximized at = 2. Moreover, even if the social welfare is dened in a more

    conventional way, as the sum of consumer and producer surpluses, the joint surplus is

    still maximized at = 2

    Table 1: Example illustrating = b = 1 = 2 = 3

    Perceived quality, () 1 89 23

    Price, () 1 23 3572

    Production costs, () 1 23 2024

    Producers marginal revenue, () 1 43 3524

    Producers prot, () 12 23 1524

    Consumer surplus, () 0 29 736

    22

  • References

    [1] "Luxury Brands Survey and Report", Abrams Research, May 2009, available at

    http://www.abramsresearch.com.

    [2] Altagamma Luxury Industry Report, available at http://www.altagamma.it.

    [3] Bagwell, Laurie. S., B. Douglas Bernheim (1996) "Veblen Eects in a Theory of

    Conspicuous Consumption", The American Economic Review, Vol. 86, No. 3, pp.

    349-373.

    [4] "Every Cloud Has a Satin Lining", The Economist, March 21, 2002.

    [5] "Getting Luxury Goods On-Line", Time, June 23, 2008.

    [6] "Global On-line Retail 2008", JupiterResearch, available at

    http://www.demandware.com.

    [7] Leibenstein, H. (1950) "Bandwagon, Snob, and Veblen Eects in the Theory of

    Consumers Demand", The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 64 (2), pp. 183-

    207.

    [8] "Hermes Seduces the Elite by Selling Luxury Slowly", The Wall Street Journal,

    May 8, 2009.

    [9] "Luxury goods market back on track", The Guardian, May 3 2011, available

    at http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2011/may/03/luxury-goods-market-back-

    on-track.

    [10] Ng, Yew-Kwang (1987), "Diamonds Are a Governments Best Friend: Burden-Free

    Taxes on Goods Valued for Their Values", The American Economic Review, Vol.

    77, No. 1, pp. 186-191.

    [11] Rae, John The Sociological Theory of Capital, London: The Macmillan Co., 1905.

    [12] Trigg, Andrew (2001) "Veblen Bourdieu, and Conspicuous Consumption", Journal

    of Economic Issues, Vol. 35 (1), pp. 99-115..

    [13] Veblen, Thorstein (1989), The Theory of the Leisure Class: An Economic Study

    of Institutions. London: Unwin Books, reprinted New York: Dover Publications,

    1994.

    23

  • [14] Yao, Shuntian, Ke Li (2005), "Pricing Superior Goods: Utility Generated by

    Scarcity", Pacic Economic Review, 10 (4), pp. 529-38.

    24

  • Annex: downward slopping demandIn this Annex we present a proof that the demand function based on the scarcity

    or exclusivity of the luxury good is downward slopping under fairly general conditions.

    Thus, the particular functional form used in this paper, i.e. () = can indeedbe assumed without loss of generality.

    Suppose that consumer utility is given by

    () = ( )

    where is increasing in both of its arguments, i.e. 0 As before, ()represents the goods perceived quality and is a declining function of the total volume

    of consumption so 0 () 0Write the total demand equation like in (3)

    = [ ( ) ] (19)

    Suppose that, given ( ) = we can express = ( ) In this case (19) becomes

    = [ ( )] = [( )]

    from which it follows that

    ( ) = 1 () (20)

    where the right hand side of (20) is the minimal level of required to obtain a non-

    negative utility from buying the good when the overall demand is Following notation

    introduced in Section 3,

    ( ) = (21)

    Observe that because ( ) was constructed on the basis of ( ) = we can

    express from (21) as follows

    = ( ) (22)

    This is precisely the result we get in Section 2: we assumed ( ) = and showed

    that () = ()1() Had we, for instance, specied the consumer utility as () = + the resulting demand function would have been

    = () + 1 ()

    25

  • )(Qs

    psG ,Level sets, given

    ))(( pQs

    Consumers that purchase the good

    Figure 9: Existence of ( ) means that can be expressed given ( ) =

    as is easy to check by repeating calculations in (2) to (4).

    In order to show that the demand function is downward slopping, dierentiate (22)

    with respect to

    =

    1

    1

    (23)

    The rst term in (23) is negative because 0 and 0 () 0 The second term isnegative because is an increasing function, and so is 1

    The whole proof above hinges on the following two assumptions.

    i) There is a function ( ) expressing given some and Generally speaking,

    this is a very mild assumption. This assumption would be satised if the level

    sets (utility levels projected onto the plane) are smooth enough, see Figure 9

    above. If this is the case, can be uniquely be expressed as a function of and

    ii) The utility function ( ) is increasing in both of its arguments, i.e. 0However, it is entirely logical that utility is increasing in the perceived quality

    () and customer type Notably, the proof does not depend on the relationship

    between and i.e. on the sign of the mixed derivative

    26