the economic value of nature? - uc4life...2013/09/23 · @uc_4life 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022...
TRANSCRIPT
The economic value of nature?
Pricing habitats and species - Possibilities and constraints
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Ivan Olsson and Stefan Jendteg
Outline
- An introduction to ecosystem services and cost-benefit analyses (CBA) - The Fyledalen case study - Methods used - Cost estimates - Benefit estimates - Preliminary results
- Problems encountered: Biodiversity Species without commercial values Habitats without recreational values (mires, he he …?) Robustness of variables used by CBA´s
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Cost-Benefit Workshop
- Workshop exercise
Introduction
1) Providing/producing (eg goods; food, timber) 2) Regulating (eg pollination, predators regulating herbivores) 3) Supporting (eg hydrological cycle, transport of nutrients…) 4) Cultural (eg recreational, hunting, angling)
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Ecosystem services = goods and service provided by the ecosystem (beneficial for us).
Unio crassus filtering water, reducing nutrients
Threats …
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Sources responsible for loss of ecosystem services:
Habitat destruction (eg pollution, the impact of invasive species) Fragmentation (eg alteration of habitats resulting in loss of connectivity) - Loss of mechanisms driving ecosystems (eg pacific salmon as a “nutrient carrier”) - Loss of biodiversity and genetic diversity
Are traditional “ecological variables” (eg extinction rates, levels of pollutions, diversity index) - powerful enough for changing the negative trends (human behavior)?
In cases they are not…
The impact of canalizing; increase in extreme flooding events, nutrient transport, loss of diversity etc
The CBA as an additional (stronger?) tool describing, in monetary terms:
- the negative effects of having non-functional ecosystems - the positive effects of having functional ecosystems …Pricing and valuing ecosystem services by CBA´s may create an economic motivation for its protection… and for restoring habitats and re-introduction of species…
How about Cost-Benefit Analyses, CBA´s ?
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The Case study in Fyledalen
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Improved water quality
Increased biodiversity
Objectives
To learn a lot…
Recreation, post-hoc To disseminate a lot The Baltic perspective
Post-LIFE-conditions - Poor water quality, habitats - Poor aquatic biodiversity
The value of a mussel?
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As a pedagogue, indicator and symbol
- but also as a threatened “species”
and filter feeder…
Methods
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Transforming responding variables (objectives) into monetary values (SEK) before and after implementation of actions:
Biodiversity ???
Knowledge gained ???
Dissemination, catalyst effect ???
P-reduction, per kg = 1 023 SEK N-reduction, per kg = 31 SEK
Willingness to pay amongst visitors, but no fee (350 SEK per visit)
Salmonids, 108 SEK per kg Other species, 9 SEK per individual
Water quality
Recreation
Fish production
Filtering/storage capacity 0.1 – 1.2 g P per mussel (?) Mussel filtering
CBA Results - Recreation
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2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024
Accu
mu
late
d c
osts
vs b
en
efits
(S
EK
) Costs 10% of RV
50% of RV Recreation Value (RV)
Action costs c. 6 MSEK Benefits: Willingness to pay 350 SEK per visit, annually 20 000 visits in Fyledalen Willingness to pay for action costs (50% of RV), 175 SEK ? – Balance 2015 Willingness to pay for action costs (10% of RV), 35 SEK ? – Balance 2023
The study (questionnaire) will be repeated the following years for “new” RV and accurate “willingness to pay” numbers for actions…
CBA Predicted Results - Water quality
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2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024
Accu
mu
late
d c
osts
vs b
en
efits
(S
EK
)
Costs P-reduction
N-reduction
P-Mussels
Tot reduction
Action costs c. 6MSEK Benefits: P-reduction (range: -20 to 80 kg per month [1023 SEK per kg]) by floodplain actions N-reduction (range: 100 to 300 kg per month [31 SEK per kg]) by floodplain actions P-reduction by mussels (range 0.1 to 1.2 g per individual and year). Population density will level out 2030 (Carrying capacity 3 M)
Benefits will balance costs 2021 ?
CBA Predicted Results - Fish
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2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024
Time (YEARS)
Accu
mu
late
d c
osts
vs b
en
efits
(S
EK
) Costs
Salmonids
other fish sp
Action costs c. 6MSEK Benefits: Fish, annual production (range: 200 – 10000, 9 SEK/fish): Benefits: Salmonids, annual production (range: 100 – 250 kg, 108 SEK/kg)
Benefits will balance costs 2070
CBA Costs vs benefits, predicted (total)
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2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Accu
mu
late
d c
osts
vs b
en
efits
(S
EK
)
Costs
Benefits, total
Benefits = (recreation + water quality improvements + increased fish production)
balance project costs by 2018…
Conclusions
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Possible to value:
Costs
Improvements of recreation value +++
Improvements in water quality ++
Increased fish production +
Not possible to value(?):
Biodiversity
Dissemination
Gained knowledge
We were able to predict the time for when benefits balanced costs
We were able to estimate the benefits of having Unio crassus re-introduced
Robustness of variables/predictions(?), validation through monitoring
(before-after-impact-control-design)
Future LIFE-projects?
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Each proposal containing concrete conservation actions must also include an action aimed to assess the socio-economic impact of the project actions on the local economy and population, as well as on the ecosystem functions"
THANKS
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Workshop exercise
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Thematic (rivers and lakes, wetlands/bogs, grasslands, forest) groups?:
The tasks:
1) Define potential ecosystem services that are influenced by your project actions
2) Quantify, in monetary terms, ecosystem services (benefits) affected by your
project actions (optimal €/unit).
3) Define positive impacts on ecosystem services, not possible to quantify in
monetary terms. Why isn't it possible?
4) When should we use the concept of ecosystem services and
cost- benefit analyses? Why?