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The Digital Age: So What? Roberto Gallardo, Ph.D. Purdue Center for Regional Development / Extension robertoge PCRD

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Page 1: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

The Digital Age: So What?Roberto Gallardo, Ph.D.

Purdue Center for Regional Development / Extension

robertogePCRD

Page 2: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

ARPANET December 1969

Page 3: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

Reaching 100 million users worldwide

• Telephone 75 years• Mobile phone 16 years• World Wide Web 7 years• Facebook 4 years• Instagram 2 years• Pokemon Go 1 month

Source: Twitter user @ValaAfshar; ITU; Statista; BCG Research

Page 4: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

Distance and Innovation

Source: Matt Clancy

“Average distance between all inventors listed on a patent tripled between

1975 and 2015”

Page 5: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

2017 Digital Economy in the U.S.

6.9%of GDP

$1.35 trillion

5.1million jobs $132,223

average compensation

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Page 6: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

What the Research Says• Broadband DOES matter for a whole host of social &

economic outcomes!• Household income• Employment levels• Firm attraction• Farm profits• Civic engagement• Increased housing values

• Adoption is (arguably) more important than simple availability

• The extent to which very fast speeds matter is TBD…

Page 7: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

Great ROI when investing in rural broadband

• Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co-operatives in Indiana

• $2.97 - $4.09 for every $1 invested• $1 billion/yr. (annuitized) over 20 years

• 27 percent in government revenue and health care cost savings

• Telemedicine & adult education (K-12, farm income and consumer savings benefitted as well) Source: Purdue Center for Regional Development

Page 8: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

Telework

• 50% of US workforce hold jobs that are compatible with telework

• Teleworkers can save $4,000 per year (gas, wardrobe, lunch expenses, etc.)

• Companies can save about $2,000 per employee per year

• Can reduce turnover by 50%Source: Flexjobs.com; GlobalWorkplaceAnalytics.com

Page 9: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

Telehealth Program Case Study

• 100 Type 2 Diabetes patients recruited in Georgia

• A1c levels down 2.5% after 6 months• $3,855 per patient per year in savings• Increased quality of life among

participantsSource: CoBank; FCC

Page 10: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

Unlocking Rural’s Digital Potential

• $47 billion per year to the U.S. GDP• 360,000 jobs in the next 3 years

Source: C_Tec; Amazon

Page 11: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

Potential of Precision Agriculture Row crops

Specialty cropsLivestock & dairy

Planning Production

Market coordination

Broadband infrastructureDigital technologies On-farm capabilities

$47-$65B/year $18-$23B

Source: USDA

Page 12: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

Houston, we have a problem …

Source: United Soybean Board

Farms that contribute $80 billion to the U.S. GDP run on limited internet connections.

“”

Page 13: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

% Housing Units: No Providers

0.8

0.5

3.4

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

Illinois Urban Rural

Source: FCC Form 477 Dec 18 v1

Page 14: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

% Housing Units: 100/20 Broadband

90.095.6

44.1

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

100.0

Illinois Urban Rural

Source: FCC Form 477 Dec 18 v1

Page 15: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

Median Advertised Speeds (Mbps)

24 24

18

24

2

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Illinois Urban Rural

Download Upload

Source: FCC Form 477 Dec 18 v1

Page 16: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

% Households: Digital Distress Indicators

9.0 8.5

13.7

15.6 15.1

20.0

10.5 10.411.611.7 11.3

14.9

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

Illinois Urban Rural

Cell Data Only No Internet Access Mobile Only No Computing Devices

Source: ACS 2014-2018

Page 17: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

Digital Readiness (2016)

14%

5%

33%31%

17%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Unprepared Traditional Learners Reluctant Cautious Clickers Digitally Ready

Source: Pew Research Internet

52%

Page 19: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

Middle & Digital Skills

Occupations that typically don’t require a bachelor’s degree and pay above the national living wage.Source: Capital One; Burning Glass

Page 20: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

Homework Gap

Barriers when completing online assignments and homework due to lack of appropriate devices and/or broadband

Lower graduation rates Score lower on tests

Source: Associated Press

17% of U.S. students with no computer access18% of U.S. students with no broadband access

Page 22: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

Digital Blindspot

• Technology today could automatize nearly one-third of work activities in 60% of jobs

• Focus not only on building new skills, but foundational digital literacy that undergirds a more resilient workforce.

Source: Rework America Business Network

Page 23: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

It is not only coding …

Source: Bloomberg; IBM

“Behavioral skills, such as the ability to work well on a team, communication, creativity, and empathy are best developed through experience rather than structured learning programs like a webinar.”

Page 24: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

Mobile only is not the solution …

On average, U.S. households used 344 GB per month during 2019

For a rural user on a fixed LTE service at the highest data tier this would cost $3,190/month due to overages

Source: OpenVault; Twitter user Ben Fineman (bfineman)

And users with an unlimited plan would be throttled to 0.6 Mbps for 95% of the month

Page 25: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

Moving forward …

Page 26: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

What is Digital Inclusion?

Refers to the adoption of broadband technologies and its meaningful use for social and economic benefits. Source: Community Developments Investments Magazine, November 2018

First-level divide: access yes/noSecond-level divide: differences in internet useThird-level divide: economic, cultural, social, & personal outcomes

Page 27: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

Rural Economic Development Implications

1. Make digital inclusion a priority; shed industrial age assumptions2. Treat broadband investment as you would industrial prospects3. Gather relevant data (infrastructure, skills, use)4. Ensure existing businesses can compete in digital economy5. Digital Entrepreneurial Ecosystem

Page 28: The Digital Age: So What? - Illinois Institute for Rural ... · Great ROI when investing in rural broadband • Cost/benefit analysis of 7 co- operatives in Indiana • $2.97 - $4.09

Rural Economic Development Implications

6. Telework friendly policies: businesses and workers7. Update workforce development: continuous learning; reskilling8. Make community more responsive and engaging9. Proactively manage community’s online reputation10. Improve leadership pipeline; engage youth