the data tsunami - spectrum allocation, infrastructure sharing and industry consolidation. london,...

11
The Data Tsunami Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation

Upload: coleago-consulting-ltd

Post on 05-Dec-2014

89 views

Category:

Mobile


0 download

DESCRIPTION

Chris Buist's presentation to the TMT M&A Forum in London 2014: Mobile data traffic is doubling every two years, driven by smartphones and LTE. EBITDA will be squeezed and ROI will fall unless operators act now to increase capacity and bandwidth to respond to demand. Network sharing and industry consolidation will change the face of the industry. Coleago helps operators respond to these challenges.

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: The Data Tsunami - Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation. London, March 2014

The Data TsunamiSpectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation

Page 2: The Data Tsunami - Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation. London, March 2014

Mobile data traffic is doubling every two years

© Copyright Coleago 2014

TMT Finance & Investment - M&A Forum 2014 - London 1

Source: Ericsson (November 2013)

Page 3: The Data Tsunami - Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation. London, March 2014

Smartphones and LTE drive traffic growth

© Copyright Coleago 2014

TMT Finance & Investment - M&A Forum 2014 - London 2

Source: Ericsson (November 2013)

Global subscriptions (m)

61%

Source: Ericsson (November 2013)

87%

Page 4: The Data Tsunami - Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation. London, March 2014

Traffic growth varies between regions/markets

© Copyright Coleago 2014

TMT Finance & Investment - M&A Forum 2014 - London 3

Page 5: The Data Tsunami - Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation. London, March 2014

Operators need to act now

Increase capacity and bandwidth to respond to demand

Re-farm spectrum

Add small cells

Invest in transmission

More spectrum

Introduce LTE and LTE-A

Increase revenues?

Data tariffs that reflect bandwidth and volume needs

New services

Superior network performance

Better customer segmentation

Better churn management

Revenues will not keep pace with

costs

Engage Managed Service providers,

particularly for cloud

Share network infrastructure

Merge or acquire

© Copyright Coleago 2014

TMT Finance & Investment - M&A Forum 2014 - London 4

$

Time

Costs

Page 6: The Data Tsunami - Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation. London, March 2014

Network sharing – 200% growth in 4 years

© Copyright Coleago 2014

TMT Finance & Investment - M&A Forum 2014 - London 5

Source: Coleago

2001-09 deals

2001-14 deals

+200%

Page 7: The Data Tsunami - Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation. London, March 2014

2014 – an uptick in MNO in-market M&A?

© Copyright Coleago 2014

TMT Finance & Investment - M&A Forum 2014 - London 6

In-market MNO M&A transactions

Source: Coleago

Page 8: The Data Tsunami - Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation. London, March 2014

Regulators have a difficult balancing act

© Copyright Coleago 2014

TMT Finance & Investment - M&A Forum 2014 - London 7

Clarity

Stability

Page 9: The Data Tsunami - Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation. London, March 2014

How Coleago helps operators

Spectrum services

Spectrum strategy, valuation and

auction support

More than 50 projects worldwide, on

every continent

Transaction services

Strategy and business planning

Information Memorandum

Due diligence

Implementation planning/execution

More than 20 projects to date

Network sharing services

TowerCos, active, passive and

spectrum sharing

End-to-end from strategy through to

transformation

Projects completed in 8 markets

We've written the book!

© Copyright Coleago 2014

TMT Finance & Investment - M&A Forum 2014 - London 8

Page 10: The Data Tsunami - Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation. London, March 2014

Key messages

© Copyright Coleago 2014

TMT Finance & Investment - M&A Forum 2014 - London 9

Data traffic will increase dramatically

$

Time

Costs

EBITDA will be squeezed and ROI

will fall unless operators act now

Sharing and consolidation will

change the face of the industry

Coleago helps operators respond to these challenges

Page 11: The Data Tsunami - Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation. London, March 2014

Thank you

This presentation and our white papers re Spectrum, Network Sharing and

Transaction services will be available to download from TMT shortly after this

conference.

© Copyright Coleago 2014

TMT Finance & Investment - M&A Forum 2014 - London 10

Chris Buist

+43 664 352 1068

[email protected]

www.coleago.com

Director

Coleago Consulting Ltd

Scott McKenzie

+44 7825 294 576

[email protected]

www.coleago.com

Director

Coleago Consulting Ltd