the current renaissance of adolescent treatment michael dennis, ph.d. chestnut health systems,...
TRANSCRIPT
The Current Renaissance of Adolescent Treatment
Michael Dennis, Ph.D.Chestnut Health Systems, Bloomington, IL
Presentation for National Conference onBoys & Girls at Risk:The Emerging Science of Gender Differences , Madison, WI July 21-22, 2008. This presentation reports on treatment & research funded by the Center for Substance Abuse Treatment (CSAT), Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) under contracts 270-2003-00006 and 270-07-0191, as well as several individual CSAT, NIAAA, NIDA and private foundation grants. The opinions are those of the author and do not reflect official positions of the consortium or government. Available on line at www.chestnut.org/LI/Posters or by contacting Joan Unsicker at 720 West Chestnut, Bloomington, IL 61701, phone: (309) 827-6026, fax: (309) 829-4661, e-Mail: [email protected]
2
1. Examine the prevalence, course, and consequences of adolescent substance use, co-occurring disorders and the unmet need for treatment overall and by gender
2. Summarize major trends in the adolescent treatment system and Wisconsin
3. Highlight what it takes to move the field towards evidenced-based practice related to assessment, treatment, program evaluation and planning
4. Present the findings from several recent treatment outcome studies on substance abuse treatment research, trauma and violence/crime
Goals of this Presentation are to
3
Severity of Past Year Substance Use/Disorders (2002 U.S. Household Population age 12+= 235,143,246)
Dependence 5%
Abuse 4%
Regular AOD Use 8%
Any Infrequent Drug Use 4%
Light Alcohol Use Only 47%
No Alcohol or Drug Use
32%
Source: 2002 NSDUH
4
Problems Vary by Age
Source: 2002 NSDUH and Dennis et al forthcoming
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
12-13
14-15
16-17
18-20
21-29
30-34
35-49
50-64
65+
No Alcohol or Drug Use
Light Alcohol Use Only
Any Infrequent Drug Use
Regular AOD Use
Abuse
Dependence
NSDUH Age Groups
Severity CategoryAdolescent
OnsetRemission
Increasing rate of non-
users
5
Higher Severity is Associated with Higher Annual Cost to Society Per Person
Source: 2002 NSDUH
$0$231 $231
$725$406
$0$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
$4,000
No Alcohol orDrug Use
Light Alcohol
Use Only
AnyInfrequentDrug Use
Regular AODUse
Abuse Dependence
Median (50th percentile)
$948
$1,613
$1,078$1,309
$1,528
$3,058Mean (95% CI)
This includes people who are in recovery, elderly, or do not use
because of health problems Higher Costs
6
Past Year Alcohol or Drug Abuse or Dependence
Source: OAS, 2006
10.8% Wisc vs.9.3% National
7
Past Year Alcohol Abuse or Dependence
Source: OAS, 2006
10.6% Wisc vs.7.7% National
8
Pattern of Teen Substance Use in WI by Gender\a
18%
3%
23%
24%
15%
14%
10%
9%
19%
21%
30%
27%
45%
42%
19%
20%
19%
20%
2%
20%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Female
Male
Female
Male
More than Marijuana
Marijuana use
Alcohol Intoxication
Alcohol or Tobacco Use
No Use
\a Each severity level includes any substance to the right \b More than marijuana is only Cocaine for Past month
Lif
etim
e .
Pas
t M
onth
\b
Source: Wisconsin 2005 YRBSMost drug users also drink to intoxication
9
Behavior Problems by Substance Severity in WI\a
More than Marijuana
Marijuana use
Alcohol Intoxication
Alcohol or Tobacco Use
No Use
\a Each lifetime severity level includes any substance to the right
Behavior Problems by Lifetime Substance Severity\a
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
Times fighting(year)*
Days carryingweapon (month)*
Times driving underthe influence
(month)*
Times fighting atschool (year)*
Days carried a gun(month)*
Days carriedweapon at school
(month)*
Tim
es/D
ays
\a Each severity level includes any substance to the right *p<.05Source: Wisconsin YRBS
Source: Wisconsin 2005 YRBS * p<.05
Behavior problems increase with substance use severity
10
Victimization by Substance Severity in WI\a
More than Marijuana
Marijuana use
Alcohol Intoxication
Alcohol or Tobacco Use
No Use
Victimization Problems by Lifetime Substance Severity\a
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
Times hurt on school property(year)*
Times had property stolen atschool (year)*
Times threatened at school(year)*
Days felt unsafe at school(month)*
Tim
es/D
ays
\a Each severity level includes any substance to the right *p<.05Source: Wisconsin YRBS
Source: Wisconsin 2005 YRBS * p<.05\a Each lifetime severity level includes any substance to the right
Victimization also goes up with substance use severity
11
Mental Health by Substance Severity in WI\a
More than Marijuana
Marijuana use
Alcohol Intoxication
Alcohol or Tobacco Use
No Use
Source: Wisconsin 2005 YRBS * p<.05
Depression-Suicide Problems by Lifetime Substance Severity\a
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Felt sad or hopeless(year)*
Considered suicide(year)*
Made suicide plan(year)*
Attempted suicide(year)*
Injured from suicideattempt (year)*
Per
cent
\a Each severity level includes any substance to the right *p<.05Source: Wisconsin YRBS\a Each lifetime severity level includes any substance to the right
As does mental health…
12
Other Problems by Substance Severity in WI\a
More than Marijuana
Marijuana use
Alcohol Intoxication
Alcohol or Tobacco Use
No Use
Source: Wisconsin 2005 YRBS * p<.05
Other Problems by Lifetime Substance Severity\a
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Uncomfortable touch, pictureat school (year)*
Harassed at school (year)* Grades mostly Ds/Fs (year)* Usually do not feel safe atschool (year)*
Per
cent
\a Each severity level includes any substance to the right *p<.05Source: Wisconsin YRBS\a Each lifetime severity level includes any substance to the right
..and other problems
13
Count of Problems by Substance Severity in WI\a
More than Marijuana
Marijuana use
Alcohol Intoxication
Alcohol or Tobacco Use
No Use
Source: Wisconsin 2005 YRBS * p<.05\a Each severity level includes any substance to the right
13.3
20.4
7.1
9.0
6.7
9.4
3.94.8
2.6 2.6
-
5
10
15
20
25
Lifetime Past Month
Num
ber
of P
robl
ems
\a Each severity level includes any substance to the right *p<.05
The number of different types of problems also
up with severity
The relationship between the number of problems and substance
use severity is even greater if we focus on
past month use
14
Brain Activity on PET Scan Brain Activity on PET Scan After Using CocaineAfter Using Cocaine
1-2 Min 3-4 5-6
6-7 7-8 8-9
9-10 10-20 20-30
Photo courtesy of Nora Volkow, Ph.D. Mapping cocaine binding sites in human and baboon brain in vivo. Fowler JS, Volkow ND, Wolf AP, Dewey SL, Schlyer DJ, Macgregor RIR, Hitzemann R, Logan J, Bendreim B, Gatley ST. et al. Synapse 1989;4(4):371-377.
Rapid rise in brain activity after taking
cocaine
Actually ends up lower than they
started
15
Normal
Cocaine Abuser (10 days)
Cocaine Abuser (100 days)Photo courtesy of Nora Volkow, Ph.D. Volkow ND, Hitzemann R, Wang C-I, Fowler IS, Wolf AP,
Dewey SL. Long-term frontal brain metabolic changes in cocaine abusers. Synapse 11:184-190, 1992; Volkow ND, Fowler JS, Wang G-J, Hitzemann R, Logan J, Schlyer D, Dewey 5, Wolf AP. Decreased dopamine D2 receptor availability is associated with reduced frontal metabolism in cocaine abusers. Synapse 14:169-177, 1993.
Brain Activity on PET Scan Brain Activity on PET Scan After Using CocaineAfter Using Cocaine
With repeated use, there is a cumulative
effect of reduced brain activity which
requires increasingly more stimulation (i.e.,
tolerance)
Even after 100 days of abstinence
activity is still low
16Image courtesy of Dr. GA Ricaurte, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine
17
Photo courtesy of the NIDA Web site. From A Slide Teaching Packet: The Brain and the Actions of Cocaine, Opiates, and Marijuana.
pain
Adolescent Brain Development Occurs from the
Inside to Out and from Back to Front
18
Substance Use Careers Last for Decades C
um
ula
tive
Su
rviv
al
Years from first use to 1+ years abstinence302520151050
1.0
.9
.8
.7
.6
.5
.4
.3
.2
.10.0
Median of 27 years from
first use to 1+ years
abstinence
Source: Dennis et al., 2005
19
Substance Use Careers are Longer the Younger the Age of First Use
Cu
mu
lati
ve S
urv
ival
Years from first use to 1+ years abstinence
under 15*
21+
15-20*
Age of 1st UseGroups
* p<.05 (different from 21+)
302520151050
1.0
.9
.8
.7
.6
.5
.4
.3
.2
.10.0
Source: Dennis et al., 2005
20
Substance Use Careers are Shorter the Sooner People Get to Treatment
Cu
mu
lati
ve S
urv
ival
20+
0-9*
10-19*
Year to 1st TxGroups
302520151050
1.0
.9
.8
.7
.6
.5
.4
.3
.2
.10.0
* p<.05 (different from 20+)Source: Dennis et al., 2005
Years from first use to 1+ years abstinence
21
Treatment Careers Last for Years C
um
ula
tive
Su
rviv
al
Years from first Tx to 1+ years abstinence2520151050
1.0
.9
.8
.7
.6
.5
.4
.3
.2
.10.0
Median of 3 to 4 episodes of treatment over 9 years
Source: Dennis et al., 2005
22
Key Implications
Adolescence is the peak period of risk for and actual on-set of substance use disorders
Adolescent substance use can have short and long terms costs to society
There are real and often lasting consequence of adolescent substance use on brain functioning and brain development
Earlier Intervention during adolescence and young adult hood can reduce the duration of addiction careers
23
Trends in Adolescent (Age 12-17) Treatment Trends in Adolescent (Age 12-17) Treatment Admissions in the U.S.Admissions in the U.S.
Source: Office of Applied Studies 1992- 2005 Treatment Episode Data Set (TEDS) http://www.samhsa.gov/oas/dasis.htm
95,0
17
95,2
71 109,
123
122,
910
129,
859
131,
194
139,
129
137,
596
140,
542
148,
772
160,
750
158,
752
157,
036
142,
646
136,
660
10,000
30,000
50,000
70,000
90,000
110,000
130,000
150,000
170,000
190,000
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Year of Admission
Num
ber
of A
dmis
sion
s A
ge 1
2-17
.
69% increase from95,017 in 1992
to 160,750 in 2002
15% drop off from 160,750 in 2002 to
136,660 in 2006
24
Change in WI Public Treatment Admissions:
Age at Admission from 1995 to 200511
,00
4
13,4
91
15,5
58
14,6
06
16,4
72
17,5
96
17,3
22
16,8
40 20
,35
4
20,1
54
20,5
06 23
,84
5
22,8
18
25,5
59
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,00019
92
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,00026+18-2512-17Total
Little Change in Adolescent Admissions
Has led to growing admissions in young
and older adults
25
Variation by State in the Percentage of Adolescent Residential Treatment: 1995 to 2005
10/07
1.6 to 5.9%
Indiana
Kansas
MaineMontana
NebraskaNevada
North Dakota
Puerto Rico
Hawaii
New Mexico
South Dakota
Alabama
Arkansas
Iowa
Oklahoma
Rhode Island
South CarolinaDistrict Of ColumbiaTennessee
Utah
Louisiana
W. Virginia
Minnesota
Wisconsin
New Jersey
North Carolina
Alaska
Delaware
Maryland
Pennsylvania
Georgia
KentuckyVirginia
MichiganNew York
Oregon
Colorado
Texas
New Hampshire
Connecticut
Illinois
Missouri
Arizona
Florida
Ohio
Vermont
Idaho
Massachusetts
California
Washington
Wyoming
% ResidentialMississippi
6.0 to 10.5%
10.6 to 18.7%
18.8 to 29.9%30.0 to 52.3%
Wisconsin significantly lower than the 16%
11 year average for U.S.
26
Median Length of Stay is only 50 days
Source: Data received through August 4, 2004 from 23 States (CA, CO, GA, HI, IA, IL, KS, MA, MD, ME, MI, MN, MO, MT, NE, NJ, OH, OK, RI, SC, TX, UT, WY) as reported in Office of Applied Studies (OAS; 2005). Treatment Episode Data Set (TEDS): 2002. Discharges from Substance Abuse Treatment Services, DASIS Series: S-25, DHHS Publication No. (SMA) 04-3967, Rockville, MD: Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration. Retrieved from http://wwwdasis.samhsa.gov/teds02/2002_teds_rpt_d.pdf .
0 30 60 90
Outpatient(37,048 discharges)
IOP(10,292 discharges)
Detox(3,185 discharges)
STR(5,152 discharges)
LTR(5,476 discharges)
Total(61,153 discharges)
Lev
el o
f C
are
Median Length of Stay
50 days
49 days
46 days
59 days
21 days
3 days
Less than 25% stay the
90 days or longer time
recommended by NIDA
Researchers
27
53% Have Unfavorable Discharges
Source: Data received through August 4, 2004 from 23 States (CA, CO, GA, HI, IA, IL, KS, MA, MD, ME, MI, MN, MO, MT, NE, NJ, OH, OK, RI, SC, TX, UT, WY) as reported in Office of Applied Studies (OAS; 2005). Treatment Episode Data Set (TEDS): 2002. Discharges from Substance Abuse Treatment Services, DASIS Series: S-25, DHHS Publication No. (SMA) 04-3967, Rockville, MD: Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration. Retrieved from http://wwwdasis.samhsa.gov/teds02/2002_teds_rpt_d.pdf .
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Outpatient(37,048 discharges)
IOP(10,292 discharges)
Detox(3,185 discharges)
STR(5,152 discharges)
LTR(5,476 discharges)
Total(61,153 discharges)
Completed Transferred ASA/ Drop out AD/Terminated
Despite being widely recommended, only 10% step down after intensive treatment
28
Key Problems
Lack of standardized assessment for substance use disorders, mental health disorders, crime/violence, HIV risk and child maltreatment
No or inconsistent use of placement criteria - knowing nothing about the person other than what door they walked through we can correctly predict 75% (kappa=.51) of the adolescent level of care placements (including ASAM systems)
Virtually no link to actual data on the expected outcomes by level of care to inform decision making related to placement
The lack of the full continuum of care to refer people due to availability or finance
29
Summary of Problems in the Treatment System
The public systems is changing size, referral source, and focus
Less than 50% stay 50 days (~7 weeks) Less the 25% stay the 3 months recommended by
NIDA researchers Less than half have positive discharges After intensive treatment, less than 10% step down to
outpatient care Major problems are not reliably assessed (if at all) Difficult to link assessment data to placement or
treatment planning decisions
30
So what does it mean to move the field towards Evidence Based Practice (EBP)?
Introducing explicit intervention protocols that are– Targeted at specific problems/subgroups and outcomes– Having explicit quality assurance procedures to cause adherence
at the individual level and implementation at the program level
Having the ability to evaluate performance and outcomes – For the same program over time, – Relative to other interventions
Introducing reliable and valid assessment that can be used – At the individual level to immediately guide clinical judgments
about diagnosis/severity, placement, treatment planning, and the response to treatment
– At the program level to drive program evaluation, needs assessment, performance monitoring and long term program planning
31
Major Predictors of Bigger Effects
1. Chose a strong intervention protocol based on prior evidence
2. Used quality assurance to ensure protocol adherence and project implementation
3. Used proactive case supervision of individual
4. Used triage to focus on the highest severity subgroup
32
Impact of the numbers of Favorable features on Recidivism (509 JJ studies)
Source: Adapted from Lipsey, 1997, 2005
Average Practice
33
Cognitive Behavioral Therapy (CBT) Interventions that Typically do Better than Usual Practice in Reducing Recidivism (29% vs. 40%)
Aggression Replacement Training Reasoning & Rehabilitation Moral Reconation Therapy Thinking for a Change Interpersonal Social Problem Solving MET/CBT combinations and Other manualized CBT Multisystemic Therapy (MST) Functional Family Therapy (FFT) Multidimensional Family Therapy (MDFT) Adolescent Community Reinforcement Approach (ACRA) Assertive Continuing Care
Source: Adapted from Lipsey et al 2001, Waldron et al, 2001, Dennis et al, 2004
NOTE: There is generally little or no differences in mean effect size between these brand names
34
Need for Short Protocols Targeted at Specific Issues:
Detoxification services and medication, particularly related to opioid and methamphetamine use
Tobacco cessation Adolescent psychiatric services related to depression,
anxiety, ADHD, and conduct disorder Trauma, suicide ideation, & parasuicidal behavior Need for child maltreatment interventions (not just
reporting protocols) HIV Intervention to reduce high risk pattern of sexual
behavior Anger Management Problems with family, school, work, and probation Recovery coaches, recovery schools, recovery housing and
other adolescent oriented self help groups / services
35
Recovery* by Level of Care
* Recovery defined as no past month use, abuse, or dependence symptoms while living in the community. Percentages in parentheses are the treatment outcome (intake to 12 month change) and the stability of the outcomes (3months to 12 month change) Source: CSAT Adolescent Treatment Outcome Data Set (n-9,276)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Pre-Intake Mon 1-3 Mon 4-6 Mon 7-9 Mon 10-12
Per
cent
in P
ast
Mon
th R
ecov
ery* Outpatient (+79%, -1%)
Residential(+143%, +17%)
Post Corr/Res (+220%, +18%)
OP & Resid
Similar
CC better
36
Need for Tracks, Phases and Continuing Care
Almost a third of the adolescents are “returning” to treatment, 23% for the second or more time
We need to understand what did and did not work the last time and have alternative approaches
We need tracks or phases that recognize that they may need something different or be frustrated by repeating the same material again and again
We need to have better step down and continuing care protocols
37
Implementation is Essential (Reduction in Recidivism from .50 Control Group Rate)
The effect of a well implemented weak program is
as big as a strong program implemented poorly
The best is to have a strong
program implemented
well
Thus one should optimally pick the strongest intervention that one can
implement wellSource: Adapted from Lipsey, 1997, 2005
38
On-site proactive urine testing can be used to reduce false negatives by more than half
Reduction in false negative reports at no
additional cost Effects grow when
protocol is repeated
39
Implications of Implementation Science
Can identify complex and simple protocols that improve outcomes
Interventions have to be reliably delivered in order to achieve reliable outcomes
Simple targeted protocols can make a big difference
Need for reliable assessment of need, implementation, and outcomes
40
GAIN Clinical CollaboratorsAdolescent and Adult Treatment Program
10/07
GAIN State System
Virgin Islands
01 to 1011 to 25
26 to 130
Indiana
Kansas
MaineMontana
NebraskaNevada
North Dakota
Puerto Rico
Hawaii
New Mexico
South Dakota
Alabama
Arkansas
Iowa
Oklahoma
Rhode Island
South CarolinaDistrict Of ColumbiaTennessee
Utah
Louisiana
W. Virginia
Minnesota
Wisconsin
New Jersey
North Carolina
Alaska
Delaware
Maryland
Pennsylvania
Georgia
KentuckyVirginia
MichiganNew York
Oregon
Colorado
Texas
New Hampshire
Connecticut
Illinois
Missouri
Arizona
Florida
Ohio
Vermont
Idaho
Massachusetts
California
Washington
Wyoming
GAIN-SS State or County System
Number of GAIN SitesMississippi
41
CSAT GAIN Data (n=15,254)
*Any Hispanic ethnicity separate from race group.
Sources: CSAT AT 2007 dataset subset to adolescent studies (includes 2% 18 or older).
3%
17%
9%
71%
79%
28%
32%
42%
16%
27%
19%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Short Term Residential
Long Term Residential
Intensive Outpatient
Outpatient
15 to 17 years old
12 to 14 years old
Hispanic*
Mixed/Other
Caucasian
African American
Female
CSAT data dominated by
Male, Caucasians, age 15 to 17
CSAT data dominated by
Outpatient
CSAT residential more likely to be over 30 days
42
Substance Use Problems
83%
50%
29%
7%
34%
29%
26%
94%
0% 10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Past Year Substance Diagnosis
Any Past Year Dependence
Any withdrawal symptoms in the past week
Severe withdrawal (11+ symptoms) in past week
Can Give 1+ Reasons to Quit
Any prior substance abuse treatment
Acknowledges having an AOD problem
Client believes Need ANY Treatment
Source: CSAT 2007 AT Outcome Data Set (n=12,601)
43
Past Year Substance Severity by Level of Care
38%
57%
72% 75%86%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
OP IOP LTR MTR STR
UseAbuseDependence
Note: OP=Outpatient, IOP=Intensive Outpatient; LTR= Long Term Residential (90+ days); MTR= Moderate Term Residential (30-90 days); STR=Short Term Residential (0-30 days)
Source: CSAT 2007 AT Outcome Data Set (n=12,824)
44
Past Year Substance Severity by Gender
46%54%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Male Female
UseAbuseDependence
Source: CSAT 2007 AT Outcome Data Set (n=15,254)
45
Past 90 day HIV Risk Behaviors
Source: CSAT AT 2007 dataset subset to adolescent studies (N=15,254)
64%
33%
29%
25%
20%
2%
0% 10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Sexually active
Sex Under the Influence of AOD
Multiple Sex partners
Any Unprotected Sex
Victimized Physically, Sexually, orEmotionally
Any Needle use
46
Sexual Partners by Level of Care
27%33%
39% 38%52%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
OP IOP LTR MTR STR
No SexualPartners
OneSexualPartner
MultipleSexualPartners
Source: CSAT 2007 AT Outcome Data Set (n=12,824)
47
Sexual Partners by Gender
32%23%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Male Female
No SexualPartners
OneSexualPartner
MultipleSexualPartners
Source: CSAT 2007 AT Outcome Data Set (n=15,254)
48
Co-Occurring Psychiatric Problems
Source: CSAT AT 2007 dataset subset to adolescent studies (N=15,254)
66%
50%
42%
35%
24%
14%
63%
45%
31%
22%
9%
0% 10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Any Co-occurring Psychiatric
Conduct Disorder
Attention Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder
Major Depressive Disorder
Traumatic Stress Disorder
General Anxiety Disorder
Ever Physical, Sexual or Emotional Victimization
High severity victimization (GVS>3)
Ever Homeless or Runaway
Any homicidal/suicidal thoughts past year
Any Self Mutilation
49
Co-Occurring Psychiatric Diagnoses by Level of Care
29%42%
54% 52%68%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
OP IOP LTR MTR STR
None
One
Multiple
Source: CSAT 2007 AT Outcome Data Set (n=12,824)
50
Severity of Victimization by Level of Care
38%
53%64% 59%
70%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
OP IOP LTR MTR STR
Low
Moderate
High
Source: CSAT 2007 AT Outcome Data Set (n=12,824)
51
Co-Occurring Psychiatric Diagnoses by Gender
29%
52%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Male Female
None
One
Multiple
Source: CSAT 2007 AT Outcome Data Set (n=15,254)
52
Severity of Victimization by Gender
41%55%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Male Female
Low
Moderate
High
Source: CSAT 2007 AT Outcome Data Set (n=15,254)
53
Past Year Violence & Crime
*Dealing, manufacturing, prostitution, gambling (does not include simple possession or use)
Source: CSAT AT 2007 dataset subset to adolescent studies (N=15,254)
80%
68%
63%
48%
45%
43%
85%
71%
39%
0% 10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Any violence or illegal activity
Physical Violence
Any Illegal Activity
Any Property Crimes
Other Drug Related Crimes*
Any Interpersonal/ Violent Crime
Lifetime Juvenile Justice Involvement
Current Juvenile Justice involvement
1+/90 days In Controlled Environment
54
Type of Crime by Level of Care
36%
53%64%
54%67%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
OP IOP LTR MTR STR
Drug Useonly
OtherCrime
ViolentCrime
Source: CSAT 2007 AT Outcome Data Set (n=12,824)
55
Type of Crime by Gender
46%35%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Male Female
Drug Useonly
OtherCrime
ViolentCrime
Source: CSAT 2007 AT Outcome Data Set (n=15,254)
56
Three
None
Five to Twelve
Four
Two
One
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Multiple Problems* are the Norm
Source: CSAT AT 2007 dataset subset to adolescent studies (N=15,254)
Most acknowledge 1+ problems
Few present with just one problem (the
focus of traditional research)
In fact, 45%present acknowledging 5+
major problems
* (Alcohol, cannabis, or other drug disorder, depression, anxiety, trauma, suicide, ADHD, CD, victimization, violence/ illegal activity)
57
Number of Problems by Level of Care
39%50% 55%
67%78%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
OP IOP LTR MTR STR
0 to 1
2 to 4
5 or more
Source: CSAT 2007 AT Outcome Data Set (n=12,824)
58
Number of Problems by Level of Care
41%55%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Male Female
0 to 1
2 to 4
5 or more
Source: CSAT 2007 AT Outcome Data Set (n=15,254)
59
15%
45%
70%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
Low (OR 1.0)
Mod.(OR=4.8)
High(OR=13.8)
NoneOneTwoThreeFourFive+
No. of Problems* by Severity of Victimization
Source: CSAT AT 2007 dataset subset to adolescent studies (N=15,254)
Those with high lifetime
levels of victimization
have 117 times higher odds of
having 5+ major
problems** (Alcohol, cannabis, or other drug disorder, depression, anxiety, trauma, suicide, ADHD, CD, victimization, violence/ illegal activity)
Severity of Victimization
60
CSAT Adolescent Treatment GAIN Data from 203 level of care x site combinations
Outpatient
General Group Home
Short-Term Residential
Outpatient Continuing CareIntensive Outpatient
Long-term ResidentialModerate-Term Residential
Early InterventionOtherCorrections
Levels of Care
Source: Dennis, Funk & Hanes-Stevens, 2008
61
Ratings of Problem Severity (x-axis) by Treatment Utilization (y-axis) by Population Size (circle size)
12%
20%
14%
8%
14%
12%
-0.20
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
-0.20 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00
Average Current Problem Severity
Ave
rage
Cur
rent
Tre
atm
ent U
tili
zati
on
.
A Low-Low
B Low- Mod
C Mod-Mod
DHi-Low
EHi-Mod
F. Hi-Hi (CC)
G. Hi-Mod(Env Sx/ PH Tx)
9%
H. Hi-Hi(Intx Sx; PH/MH Tx) 12%
62
Variance Explained in 10 NOMS Outcomes
\1 Past month \2 Past 90 days *All statistically Significant
26%
24%
11%
25%
15%
33%
26%
18%
14%
8%
24%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
No AOD Use \1
No AOD related Prob.\1
No Health Problems \2
No Mental Health Prob.\2
No Illegal Activity \2
No JJ System Involve. \1
Living in Community \1
No Family Prob. \2
Vocationally Engaged \1
Social Support \2
Count of above
Percent of Variance Explained
63
Best Level of Care*: Cluster A Low - Low (n=1,025)Best Level of Care*:
Cluster A Low - Low (n=1,025)
99.6%
0.4%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Outpatient Higher LOC
% B
est P
redi
cted
Out
com
es
* Based on Maximum Predicted Count of Positive Outcomes
64
Best Level of Care*: Cluster C Mod-Mod (n=1209)
30.2%
7.6%
23.6%
38.6%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Outpatient IOP OPCC Residential
% B
est P
redi
cted
Out
com
es
* Based on Maximum Predicted Count of Positive Outcomes
65
Best Level of Care*: Cluster F Hi-Hi (CC) (n=968)
81.5%
8.6%
0.0%
9.9%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Outpatient IOP OPCC Residential
% B
est P
redi
cted
Out
com
es
* Based on Maximum Predicted Count of Positive Outcomes
66
Best Level of Care*: Cluster G Hi-Mod (Env/PH) (n=749)Best Level of Care*:
Cluster G Hi-Mod (Env/PH) (n=749)
94.1%
5.9%0.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Outpatient IOP/OPCC Residential
* Based on Maximum Predicted Count of Positive Outcomes
67
NOMS Outcome: Treatment Received by Gender
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Initiation with 14 days
Evidenced Based Practice
Engagement for at least 6 weeks
Any Continuing Care (91-180 days)
Substance Use-Abstinent/Reduced 50% at3 Months
12 Month Cost Within Bands for InitialType of Treatment
Male FemaleSource: CSAT 2007 AT Outcome Data Set (n=11,294)
68
NOMS Outcome: 50% Reduction or None
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Substance Use
Substance Problems
Health Problems
Emotional Problems
Behavioral Problems
Illegal Acitvity
Family Problems
Social Risk
Recovery Environment Risk
Trouble at School or Work
Nights in Psychiatric Inpatient Unit
Costs to Society
Male FemaleSource: CSAT 2007 AT Outcome Data Set (n=11,294)
69
NOMS Outcome at 12 months post-intake
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Abstinent (Past Month)
Early Remission (Past Month)
No major health problems
No major mental health problems
No Illegal Activity
Free of the Justice System
Living in the Community
No Family/home problems
In School or Work
Social Support
Male FemaleSource: CSAT 2007 AT Outcome Data Set (n=11,013)
70
Change in Days Abstinent (while in community) by Level of Care and Gender
Source: CSAT 2007 AT Outcome Data Set (n=11,013)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Intake Last Followup
Day
s o
f A
bst
inen
ce
Female - OP (d=0.43)
Males - OP (d=0.33)
Female - Resid (d=0.82)
Males -Res (d=0.74)
71
MALES: Change in Adjusted Days Abstinent by type of Outpatient Approach
Source: CSAT 2007 AT Outcome Data Set (n=11,013)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Intake Last Followup
Day
s of
ab
stin
ence
FSN (d=0.48)
Other (d=0.44)
METCBT5 (d=0.33)
Total (d=0.33)
Other CBT (d=0.32)
Seven Challenges (d=0.27)
METCBT12 (d=0.2)
EMPACT (d=0.18)
CHS OP (d=0.15)
MDFT (d=0.07)
Manualized Practice Tx (d=0.03)
METCBT7 (d=-0.03)
MST (d=0.87)
Motivational Interviewing (d=0.79)
ACRA/ACC (d=0.53)
72
FEMALES: Change in Adjusted Days Abstinent by type of Outpatient Approach
Source: CSAT 2007 AT Outcome Data Set (n=11,013)
=
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Intake Last Follow-up
Day
s of
abs
tine
nce
Other (d=0.51)
CHS OP (d=0.48)
METCBT12 (d=0.48)
Seven Challenges (d=0.44)
Total (d=0.42)
FSN (d=0.41)
Other CBT (d=0.41)
METCBT5 (d=0.4)
METCBT7 (d=0.38)
MDFT (d=0.36)
ACRA/ACC (d=0.35)
EMPACT (d=0.02)
Manualized Practice Tx (d=0.94)
Motivational Interviewing (d=0.87)
MST (d=0.86)
73
36 Site Replication on MET/CBT5
AK
AL
ARAZ
CA CO
CT
DC
DE
FL
GA
HI
IA
ID
IL IN
KS KY
LA
MA
MD
ME
MI
MN
MO
MS
MT
NC
ND
NE
NH
NJ
NM
NV
NY
OH
OK
OR
PARI
SC
SD
TN
TX
UTVA
VTWA
WI
WV
WY
CYT: 4 Sites
EAT: 36 Sites
Source: Dennis, Ives, & Muck, 2008
74
Replication and Site Effects
Treatment can vary by implementation within site/clinic
We want to compare the range of implementation in practice with the clinical trials
In order to compare sites, we will at both the central tendency (median) and distribution using a Tukey Box Plot like the one shown here.
Criteria
Median
Middle 50%
“Range”
-2.00
-1.50
-1.00
-0.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
75
Range of Effect Sizes (d) for Change in Days of Abstinence (intake to 12 months) by Site
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
4 CYT Sites (f=0.39)(median within site d=0.29)
36 EAT Sites (f=0.21)(median within site d=0.49)
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
Coh
en’s
d
Source: Dennis, Ives, & Muck, 2008
EAT Programs did Better than CYT on
average
75% above CYT median
6 programs completely above CYT
Findings from the Assertive Continuing Care (ACC)
Experiment
183 adolescents admitted to residential substance abuse treatment
Treated for 30-90 days inpatient, then discharged to outpatient treatment
Random assignment to usual continuing care (UCC) or “assertive continuing care” (ACC)
Over 90% follow-up 3, 6, & 9 months post discharge
Source: Godley et al 2002, 2007
77
Time to Enter Continuing Care and Relapse after Residential Treatment (Age 12-17)
Source: Godley et al., 2004 for relapse and 2000 Statewide Illinois DARTS data for CC admissions
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Days after Residential (capped at 90)
Per
cen
t of
Clie
nts
Cont.CareAdmis.
Relapse
78
ACC Enhancements
Continue to participate in UCC
Home Visits
Sessions for adolescent, parents, and together
Sessions based on ACRA manual (Godley, Meyers et al., 2001)
Case Management based on ACC manual (Godley et al, 2001) to assist with other issues (e.g., job finding, medication evaluation)
79
Assertive Continuing Care (ACC)Hypotheses
Assertive Continuin
g Care
General Continuin
g Care Adherence
Relative to UCC, ACC will increase General Continuing Care Adherence (GCCA)
Early Abstinence
GCCA (whether due to UCC or ACC) will be associated with higher rates of early abstinence
Sustained Abstinence
Early abstinence will be associated with higher rates of long term abstinence.
80
ACC Improved Adherence
Source: Godley et al 2002, 2007
0% 10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Weekly Tx Weekly 12 step meetings
Regular urine tests
Contact w/probation/school
Follow up on referrals*
ACC * p<.05
90%
100%
Relapse prevention*
Communication skills training*
Problem solving component*
Meet with parents 1-2x month*
Weekly telephone contact*
Referrals to other services*
Discuss probation/school compliance*
Adherence: Meets 7/12 criteria*
UCC
81
GCCA Improved Early (0-3 mon.) Abstinence
Source: Godley et al 2002, 2007
24%
36% 38%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Any AOD (OR=2.16*) Alcohol (OR=1.94*) Marijuana (OR=1.98*)
Low (0-6/12) GCCA
43%
55% 55%
High (7-12/12) GCCA * p<.05
82
Early (0-3 mon.) Abstinence Improved Sustained (4-9 mon.) Abstinence
Source: Godley et al 2002, 2007
19% 22% 22%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Any AOD (OR=11.16*) Alcohol (OR=5.47*) Marijuana (OR=11.15*)
Early(0-3 mon.) Relapse
69%
59%
73%
Early (0-3 mon.) Abstainer * p<.05
83
Post script on ACC
The ACC intervention improved adolescent adherence to the continuing care expectations of both residential and outpatient staff; doing so improved the rates of short term abstinence and, consequently, long term abstinence.
Despite these GAINs, many adolescents in ACC (and more in UCC) did not adhere to continuing care plans.
The ACC1 main findings are published and findings from two subsequent experiments are currently under review
CSAT is currently replicating ACRA/ACC in 32 sites
The ACC manual is being distributed via the website and the CD you have been provided.
84
Recommendations for Further Developments…
Evidenced based interventions can come from both research and practice
Evidence based interventions can improve implementation of treatment and treatment outcomes
Practice based evidence can be used to improve outcomes
Evidenced based interventions and their outcomes can be replicated in practice
Continuing care and is a key determinant of long term outcomes