the competitive situation and perspective of chinese pig

04.07.19 Page 0 Claus Deblitz + Michael Groes Christiansen

Competitive situation + perspective of Chinese pig production agri benchmark / InterPIG

Pig Conference 2019

agri benchmark InterPIG Pig Conference 2019

The competitive situation and perspective of Chinese pig production

Dr. Claus Deblitz, Michael Groes-Christiansen

Beijing 04.07.2019


Competitive situation + perspective of Chinese pig production

Content

The networks behind

Global context

Results InterPIG

Results agri benchmark

Conclusion



Pig Conference 2019

Beijing 04.07.19

The networks behind



agri benchmark Pig and InterPIG Conference 2019



agri benchmark

• 1-n data sets of typical farms per country (Pig and non-pig enterprises)

• Sector data + country time series

Data sources (based on SOP)

• Producers and local experts

• Regional statistics , accounting and other data

Applications

• Int’l benchmarking, farm strategy analysis, animal welfare, environment …)

agri benchmark and InterPIG – 2 complementary networks

InterPIG

• Country average from farrow to finish

Data sources

• Averages from sometimes hundreds of farms

• Accounting and other data

Applications

• Int’l benchmarking



Countries in the agri benchmark Pig / InterPIG Network 2019

Participating countries 2019

Contacts for further growth

agri

benchmark No.

countries No.

farms

Pig total 19 86 *

Sows 18 41

Finishers 19 45

* 25 farms appear twice due to closed system (sows and finishing)

04.07.19 Claus Deblitz + Michael Groes Christiansen


Pig Conference 2019

Beijing 04.07.19

Market shares



Global pig meat production 2017 (‘000 t)

Source: FAOStat 12,2016



Annual pork production growth rates 1968-2017 - selected countries

Source: FAOStat 02/2019, own calculations

Percent

-10%

-8%

-6%

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

Wo

rld

Bra

zil

Can

ada

Ch

ina

Jap

an

Mex

ico

Sou

th K

ore

a

Ru

ssia

Sou

th A

fric

a

Thai

lan

d

Ukr

ain

e

USA EU

1968 - 1977 1978 - 1987 1988 - 1997 1998 - 2007 2008 - 2017



Per capita consumption changes in selected countries 2014-2018

Source: agri benchmark, national statistics

Kg pig meat per capita and year

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

'14 '15 '16 '17 '18



Pork – feed / grain price ratio recently improving

Based on USD per ton prices (until April 2019)

0

5

10

15

20

25

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

18

20

19

Pork vs. maize

Pork vs. wheat

Pork vs. soy

Source: The World Bank Pink Sheets, FAO Meat price index http://pubdocs.worldbank.org/pubdocs/publicdoc/2016/5/148131457048917308/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx



Pork prices for selected countries Jan-Jun 2019 Index 100 = average of the year 2018

Index based on national currencies

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

130

Jan 19 Feb 19 Mrz 19 Apr 19 Mai 19 Jun 19

Czechia

Germany

Spain

France

UK

US

Source: agri benchmark, national statistics



Top 10 pig trade flows 2014 (‘000 tons)

Source: UNComtrade 2016

279

649

357

383

277

370

314

209 329

383

• One to China • Six in Europe

Note: Trade flows to China include China Mainland, Hong Kong and Macao



Top 10 pig trade flows 2016 (‘000 tons)

718

361

376

346

641

361

304

508

430

322

• Five to China • Two in Europe

Note: Trade flows to China include China Mainland, Hong Kong and Macao Source: UNComtrade 2017



Top 10 pig trade flows 2017 (1,000 tons)

Source: UNComtrade 2018

776

335

343

461

348

310

380

459

288

283

• China demand lessening

Note: Trade flows to China include China Mainland, Hong Kong and Macao



Pig Conference 2019

InterPIG results



InterPIG provisional 2018 result and in the past

Prices on input

Some productivity levels

Production cost total

Payment

Production cost of 30 kg piglet

Conclusion InterPIG



Feed Prices



Cost of labour



Pigs born alive per litter



Live weight at slaughter



Total cost per kg live weight in Euro/kg



Obtained payment in 2018 per kg live weight



Profit 2018



Profit in 2017



Net profit before taxes



Production cost 30 kg piglet



EUROSTAT 10 years index sows and slaughterings



EU production in tonnes



Conclusion Profits

2017 a profitable year = increased production in EU

2018 not a profitable year = effect on 2019 as a whole?

Spain and USA is highly competitive on price of production and payment to the farmer



Conclusion InterPIG

Some countries in Europe very cost efficient 30 kg production = export 30 kg live pigs to Germany and Poland

East Europe go back in sows numbers but could return (ASF mostly in Eastern Europe)

Increasing focus on environmental issues in Europe eg. Ammonia emissions from farms



Pig Conference 2019

agri benchmark sow results



Chinese farms in the comparison

Farm name 1) Finished Type of farm Weights Carcass Finishing Daily Feed Mortality

pigs p.a. Start End End yield period weight gain conversion

No. LW LW CW % kg g 1:x %

CN_420_7800 4.800 Single operator 40 160 120 75% 150 800 3,2 4,0%

CN_460_8300 8.300 Single operator 27 110 79 72% 110 759 3,1 3,0%

CN_800_19K 18.750 Single operator 25 122 95 78% 105 924 2,9 3,0%

CN_1100_16K 18.000 Single operator 23 120 91 76% 150 647 3,7 4,0%

0 0 0 0 0 0 0% 0 0 0,0 0,0%

Farm name 1) Sows Type of farm Total Per sow Total live weight sold per sow Replace- Mortalities

Reared Reared Piglets Sows +

boars

Total ment rate Sows W. piglets R. piglets

No. No. No. kg kg kg % % % %

CN_420_7800 420 Single operator 3.162 19 753 80 833 80 2% 10% 4%

CN_460_8300 460 Single operator 2.273 19 494 97 592 97 2% 10% 3%

CN_800_19K 760 Single operator 7.109 23 935 79 1015 79 2% 10% 3%

CN_1100_16K 1.200 Single operator 5.198 19 433 178 611 178 2% 7% 4%

Anhui Heilongjiang

Henan Beijing



Number of sows

Number of sows

BR_1200_0 Farrow to weaner

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

DE_

17

0_0

DE_

22

0_6

30

0D

E_3

50

_0D

E_4

00

_12

KD

E_8

00

_0D

E_2

49

0_

0

DK

_3

50

_50

00

DK

_6

00

_20

KD

K_

11

00

_0

FI_4

50

_0FI

_11

40

_0

NL_

46

0_0

NL_

49

0_3

90

0N

L_1

10

0_0

ES_1

00

0_2

1K

FR_2

00

_6

00

0FR

_27

5_

70

00

PL_

20

0_4

22

0

HU

_55

_0H

U_2

30

0_6

8K

CZ_

12

00

_1

9K

BG

_16

00

_43

K

CA

_14

00

_0

CN

_42

0_7

80

0C

N_4

60

_83

00

CN

_80

0_1

9K

CN

_11

00

_16

K

VN

_30

_40

0

JP_

80

_20

00

KR

_23

0_

53

50

ZA_6

00

_13

KZA

_12

50

_32

K

ES_4

50

_0ES

_24

00

_0ES

_25

00

_0

RU

_32

00

_83

KR

U_1

5K

_45

0K

BR

_12

00

_0

BR

_45

00

_0

VN

_40

0_1

0K

ZA_1

88

0_5

0K

Number Integrated

Single operator

Ge

rman

y

De

nm

ark

FIn

lan

d

Ne

the

rlan

ds

Spai

n Sp

ain

Fran

ce

Po

lan

d Hu

nga

ry

Cze

chia

B

ulg

aria

Can

ada

Ch

ina

Vie

tnam

Ja

pan

Ko

rea

Sou

th A

fric

a

Ru

ssia

Vie

tnam

Sou

th A

fric

a



Number of reared piglets: Chinese farms are at the lower end …

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

BR

_12

00

_0

VN

_40

0_1

0K

BR

_45

00

_0

ZA_1

88

0_5

0K

ES_2

40

0_0

ES_4

50

_0R

U_3

20

0_8

3K

ES_2

50

0_0

RU

_15

K_4

50

K

HU

_55

_0C

N_4

60

_83

00

CN

_42

0_7

80

0C

N_1

10

0_1

6K

VN

_30

_40

0K

R_2

30

_5

35

0P

L_2

00

_42

20

ZA_6

00

_13

KES

_10

00

_21

KC

N_8

00

_19

KD

E_1

70

_0C

A_1

40

0_0

JP_

80

_20

00

ZA_1

25

0_3

2K

FR_2

00

_6

00

0FR

_27

5_

70

00

DE_

35

0_0

CZ_

12

00

_1

9K

DE_

40

0_1

2K

FI_1

14

0_0

BG

_16

00

_43

KN

L_4

60

_0D

K_

35

0_5

00

0N

L_1

10

0_0

NL_

49

0_3

90

0H

U_2

30

0_6

8K

DK

_1

10

0_0

DE_

24

90

_0

DE_

80

0_0

DE_

22

0_6

30

0FI

_45

0_0

DK

_6

00

_20

K

Number per sow and year

Integrated Single operator BR_1200_0 Farrow to weaner



… and similar applies to total liveweight produced per sow and year

Kg liveweight per sow and year

Integrated Single operator

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

BR

_12

00

_0

VN

_40

0_1

0K

ES_2

40

0_0

ES_4

50

_0ES

_25

00

_0B

R_4

50

0_

0R

U_3

20

0_8

3K

RU

_15

K_4

50

KZA

_18

80

_50

K

VN

_30

_40

0H

U_5

5_0

CN

_46

0_8

30

0C

N_1

10

0_1

6K

PL_

20

0_4

22

0ZA

_60

0_1

3K

KR

_23

0_

53

50

CZ_

12

00

_1

9K

CA

_14

00

_0C

N_4

20

_78

00

NL_

11

00

_0N

L_4

60

_0D

E_1

70

_0D

E_3

50

_0N

L_4

90

_39

00

ZA_1

25

0_3

2K

JP_

80

_20

00

DK

_3

50

_50

00

FI_1

14

0_0

FR_2

00

_6

00

0FR

_27

5_

70

00

DE_

40

0_1

2K

DE_

22

0_6

30

0ES

_10

00

_21

KD

E_2

49

0_

0C

N_8

00

_19

KB

G_1

60

0_4

3K

HU

_23

00

_68

KD

E_8

00

_0FI

_45

0_0

DK

_1

10

0_0

DK

_6

00

_20

K




Piglet prices and total returns per sow and year are at the upper end in the Chinese farms

USD per 100 kg total liveweight

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

VN

_40

0_1

0K

BR

_45

00

_0

ZA_1

88

0_5

0K

ES_4

50

_0ES

_24

00

_0ES

_25

00

_0B

R_1

20

0_

0R

U_1

5K

_45

0K

RU

_32

00

_83

K

VN

_30

_40

0FR

_20

0_

60

00

FR_2

75

_7

00

0C

A_1

40

0_0

DK

_6

00

_20

KD

K_

35

0_5

00

0N

L_4

90

_39

00

DE_

40

0_1

2K

DK

_1

10

0_0

NL_

11

00

_0N

L_4

60

_0D

E_2

49

0_

0D

E_1

70

_0ES

_10

00

_21

KD

E_8

00

_0D

E_2

20

_63

00

DE_

35

0_0

ZA_1

25

0_3

2K

BG

_16

00

_43

KC

Z_1

20

0_

19

KFI

_45

0_0

ZA_6

00

_13

KH

U_2

30

0_6

8K

PL_

20

0_4

22

0FI

_11

40

_0C

N_8

00

_19

KC

N_4

20

_78

00

CN

_11

00

_16

KK

R_2

30

_5

35

0C

N_4

60

_83

00

HU

_55

_0JP

_8

0_2

00

0

Integrated

Single operator



Chinese sow farms with a wide range of cost levels

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

RU

_32

00

_83

KB

R_4

50

0_

0R

U_1

5K

_45

0K

ZA_1

88

0_5

0K

ES_2

40

0_0

ES_2

50

0_0

VN

_40

0_1

0K

ES_4

50

_0B

R_1

20

0_

0

CN

_80

0_1

9K

DE_

40

0_1

2K

ES_1

00

0_2

1K

DK

_6

00

_20

KD

K_

35

0_5

00

0FI

_45

0_0

NL_

49

0_3

90

0P

L_2

00

_42

20

CN

_46

0_8

30

0ZA

_12

50

_32

KN

L_1

10

0_0

DK

_1

10

0_0

FR_2

00

_6

00

0C

A_1

40

0_0

FR_2

75

_7

00

0H

U_2

30

0_6

8K

FI_1

14

0_0

DE_

24

90

_0

CN

_42

0_7

80

0N

L_4

60

_0D

E_8

00

_0D

E_3

50

_0D

E_1

70

_0D

E_2

20

_63

00

ZA_6

00

_13

KC

N_1

10

0_1

6K

CZ_

12

00

_1

9K

BG

_16

00

_43

KV

N_3

0_4

00

KR

_23

0_

53

50

HU

_55

_0JP

_8

0_2

00

0


Integrated

Single operator



Chinese sow farms with very low labour productivity

kg liveweight per hour of labour input

Integrated

Single operator

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

VN

_40

0_1

0K

ZA_1

88

0_5

0K

RU

_32

00

_83

KR

U_1

5K

_45

0K

BR

_12

00

_0

BR

_45

00

_0

ES_4

50

_0ES

_24

00

_0ES

_25

00

_0

VN

_30

_40

0H

U_5

5_0

CN

_11

00

_16

KC

N_4

20

_78

00

CN

_46

0_8

30

0ZA

_60

0_1

3K

ZA_1

25

0_3

2K

CZ_

12

00

_1

9K

BG

_16

00

_43

KC

N_8

00

_19

KK

R_2

30

_5

35

0JP

_8

0_2

00

0H

U_2

30

0_6

8K

PL_

20

0_4

22

0D

E_1

70

_0ES

_10

00

_21

KD

E_3

50

_0D

E_8

00

_0D

E_4

00

_12

KD

E_2

20

_63

00

DK

_3

50

_50

00

NL_

46

0_0

DE_

24

90

_0

DK

_1

10

0_0

CA

_14

00

_0FI

_45

0_0

DK

_6

00

_20

KN

L_1

10

0_0

FR_2

75

_7

00

0N

L_4

90

_39

00

FR_2

00

_6

00

0FI

_11

40

_0



Chinese sow farms belong to the most profitable

-200

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

VN

_40

0_1

0K

ES_4

50

_0B

R_1

20

0_

0ES

_25

00

_0ES

_24

00

_0ZA

_18

80

_50

KB

R_4

50

0_

0R

U_1

5K

_45

0K

RU

_32

00

_83

K

VN

_30

_40

0FR

_27

5_

70

00

FR_2

00

_6

00

0B

G_1

60

0_4

3K

CZ_

12

00

_1

9K

CA

_14

00

_0D

E_2

49

0_

0D

E_2

20

_63

00

NL_

46

0_0

DE_

80

0_0

DK

_1

10

0_0

ZA_6

00

_13

KN

L_1

10

0_0

DE_

17

0_0

KR

_23

0_

53

50

DK

_6

00

_20

KD

E_3

50

_0N

L_4

90

_39

00

DK

_3

50

_50

00

DE_

40

0_1

2K

ZA_1

25

0_3

2K

ES_1

00

0_2

1K

FI_1

14

0_0

HU

_23

00

_68

KH

U_5

5_0

CN

_11

00

_16

KFI

_45

0_0

CN

_42

0_7

80

0P

L_2

00

_42

20

CN

_80

0_1

9K

JP_

80

_20

00

CN

_46

0_8

30

0





Pig Conference 2019

agri benchmark finishing results



Feed conversion rates are a weak point of the Chinese farms …

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

3,5

4,0

ES_0

_39

00

ES_0

_41

00

ES_0

_22

00

BR

_0_1

3K

BR

_0_3

00

0R

U_3

20

0_8

3K

RU

_15

K_4

50

KV

N_4

00

_10

KZA

_18

80

_50

K

ZA_6

00

_13

KZA

_12

50

_32

KD

K_

35

0_5

00

0ES

_10

00

_21

KD

K_

60

0_2

0K

NL_

0_1

5K

FI_0

_13

KN

L_0

_58

00

DE_

40

0_1

2K

DK

_0

_37

KC

A_0

_11

KD

K_

0_1

3K

VN

_30

_40

0FI

_0_7

30

0FR

_20

0_

60

00

DE_

0_6

30

0D

E_2

20

_63

00

DE_

0_3

80

0D

E_0

_36

00

NL_

49

0_3

90

0C

Z_1

20

0_

19

KD

E_0

_50

00

FR_2

75

_7

00

0C

N_8

00

_19

KJP

_8

0_2

00

0B

G_1

60

0_4

3K

DE_

0_6

00

0H

U_0

_14

KC

N_4

60

_83

00

HU

_23

00

_68

KK

R_2

30

_5

35

0C

N_4

20

_78

00

HU

_0_7

50

0P

L_2

00

_42

20

IT_0

_8

75

0C

N_1

10

0_1

6K

Kg feed per kg gain




… especially as average weighted feed prices are relatively high …

USD per ton

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

DE_

0_3

60

0D

E_0

_38

00

DE_

0_5

00

0D

E_0

_60

00

DE_

0_6

30

0D

E_2

20

_63

00

DE_

40

0_1

2K

DK

_3

50

_50

00

DK

_0

_13

KD

K_

60

0_2

0K

DK

_0

_37

K

FI_0

_13

KFI

_0_7

30

0

NL_

49

0_3

90

0N

L_0

_58

00

NL_

0_1

5K

ES_1

00

0_2

1K

FR_2

00

_6

00

0FR

_27

5_

70

00

IT_0

_8

75

0

CZ_

12

00

_1

9K

PL_

20

0_4

22

0

HU

_0_1

4K

HU

_0_7

50

0H

U_2

30

0_6

8K

BG

_16

00

_43

K

CA

_0_1

1K

CN

_42

0_7

80

0C

N_4

60

_83

00

CN

_80

0_1

9K

CN

_11

00

_16

K

VN

_30

_40

0

JP_

80

_20

00

KR

_23

0_

53

50

ZA_6

00

_13

KZA

_12

50

_32

K

ES_0

_22

00

ES_0

_39

00

ES_0

_41

00

RU

_32

00

_83

KR

U_1

5K

_45

0K

BR

_0_3

00

0B

R_0

_13

K

VN

_40

0_1

0K

ZA_1

88

0_5

0K




… pork prices rather moderate in 2018 …

USD per 100 kg carcass weight

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

DE_

0_3

60

0D

E_0

_38

00

DE_

0_5

00

0D

E_0

_60

00

DE_

0_6

30

0D

E_2

20

_63

00

DE_

40

0_1

2K

DK

_3

50

_50

00

DK

_0

_13

KD

K_

60

0_2

0K

DK

_0

_37

K

FI_0

_13

KFI

_0_7

30

0

NL_

49

0_3

90

0N

L_0

_58

00

NL_

0_1

5K

ES_1

00

0_2

1K

FR_2

00

_6

00

0FR

_27

5_

70

00

IT_0

_8

75

0

CZ_

12

00

_1

9K

PL_

20

0_4

22

0

HU

_0_1

4K

HU

_0_7

50

0H

U_2

30

0_6

8K

BG

_16

00

_43

K

CA

_0_1

1K

CN

_42

0_7

80

0C

N_4

60

_83

00

CN

_80

0_1

9K

CN

_11

00

_16

K

VN

_30

_40

0

JP_

80

_20

00

KR

_23

0_

53

50

ZA_6

00

_13

KZA

_12

50

_32

K

ES_0

_22

00

ES_0

_39

00

ES_0

_41

00

RU

_32

00

_83

KR

U_1

5K

_45

0K

BR

_0_3

00

0B

R_0

_13

K

VN

_40

0_1

0K

ZA_1

88

0_5

0K




… and piglet prices elavated …

USD per head USD per kg live weight

0

50

100

150

200

250

0,00

1,00

2,00

3,00

4,00

5,00

6,00

7,00

DE_

0_3

60

0D

E_0

_38

00

DE_

0_5

00

0D

E_0

_60

00

DE_

0_6

30

0D

E_2

20

_63

00

DE_

40

0_1

2K

DK

_3

50

_50

00

DK

_0

_13

KD

K_

60

0_2

0K

DK

_0

_37

K

FI_0

_13

KFI

_0_7

30

0

NL_

49

0_3

90

0N

L_0

_58

00

NL_

0_1

5K

ES_1

00

0_2

1K

FR_2

00

_6

00

0FR

_27

5_

70

00

IT_0

_8

75

0

CZ_

12

00

_1

9K

PL_

20

0_4

22

0

HU

_0_1

4K

HU

_0_7

50

0H

U_2

30

0_6

8K

BG

_16

00

_43

K

CA

_0_1

1K

CN

_42

0_7

80

0C

N_4

60

_83

00

CN

_80

0_1

9K

CN

_11

00

_16

K

VN

_30

_40

0

JP_

80

_20

00

KR

_23

0_

53

50

ZA_6

00

_13

KZA

_12

50

_32

K

ES_0

_22

00

ES_0

_39

00

ES_0

_41

00

RU

_32

00

_83

KR

U_1

5K

_45

0K

BR

_0_3

00

0B

R_0

_13

K

VN

_40

0_1

0K

ZA_1

88

0_5

0K

Female and barrow price per kg

Female and barrow price per head




… resulting in high costs …

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

BR

_0_1

3K

BR

_0_3

00

0ES

_0_4

10

0ES

_0_2

20

0ES

_0_3

90

0R

U_1

5K

_45

0K

VN

_40

0_1

0K

ZA_1

88

0_5

0K

RU

_32

00

_83

K

CA

_0_1

1K

NL_

0_5

80

0D

K_

0_3

7K

FI_0

_73

00

DE_

40

0_1

2K

DK

_0

_13

KFI

_0_1

3K

DK

_6

00

_20

KN

L_0

_15

KFR

_20

0_

60

00

DK

_3

50

_50

00

DE_

0_5

00

0P

L_2

00

_42

20

ZA_6

00

_13

KFR

_27

5_

70

00

DE_

0_3

80

0ZA

_12

50

_32

KH

U_0

_75

00

NL_

49

0_3

90

0D

E_2

20

_63

00

HU

_23

00

_68

KD

E_0

_63

00

DE_

0_3

60

0C

N_8

00

_19

KES

_10

00

_21

KC

Z_1

20

0_

19

KB

G_1

60

0_4

3K

DE_

0_6

00

0H

U_0

_14

KIT

_0_

87

50

VN

_30

_40

0C

N_4

60

_83

00

CN

_42

0_7

80

0C

N_1

10

0_1

6K

KR

_23

0_

53

50

JP_

80

_20

00





… and low profitability

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

VN

_40

0_1

0K

BR

_0_3

00

0B

R_0

_13

KR

U_1

5K

_45

0K

ZA_1

88

0_5

0K

ES_0

_39

00

ES_0

_41

00

ES_0

_22

00

RU

_32

00

_83

K

VN

_30

_40

0C

N_1

10

0_1

6K

CN

_46

0_8

30

0C

N_4

20

_78

00

BG

_16

00

_43

KH

U_0

_14

KN

L_0

_58

00

HU

_0_7

50

0C

Z_1

20

0_

19

KES

_10

00

_21

KH

U_2

30

0_6

8K

DE_

22

0_6

30

0D

E_0

_63

00

PL_

20

0_4

22

0D

E_0

_36

00

ZA_1

25

0_3

2K

NL_

49

0_3

90

0D

E_0

_60

00

IT_0

_8

75

0FR

_27

5_

70

00

DK

_0

_13

KD

K_

60

0_2

0K

FI_0

_73

00

DK

_3

50

_50

00

DK

_0

_37

KD

E_4

00

_12

KN

L_0

_15

KC

A_0

_11

KC

N_8

00

_19

KK

R_2

30

_5

35

0FR

_20

0_

60

00

DE_

0_3

80

0ZA

_60

0_1

3K

DE_

0_5

00

0FI

_0_1

3K

JP_

80

_20

00





Summary and conclusions

Relatively low productivity: - sows: rearing percentage - finishing: feed conversion

High feed prices, relatively high costs

Low labour productivity with increasing wages problematic

ASF

Trade dispute with the US

Biggest player in the world with high impact on world market

High piglet (and pork) prices

Strong domestic market

High potential to develop towards a world leading industry

Negativ Positiv Less positive Positive

How fast will be the transformation of the sector after ASF?



agri benchmark – passionate about facts

Dr. Claus Deblitz

Thünen Institute of Farm Economics Bundesallee 50 38116 Braunschweig, Germany

Tel.: +49-531-596-5141 Fax: +49-531-596-5199 E-mail: [email protected] Internet: www.agribenchmark.org www.thuenen.de/en/bw/

the competitive situation and perspective of chinese pig

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