the changing geopolitical landscape in asia · 4/1/2013 · - keep focus on “asia for asians”...
TRANSCRIPT
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The Changing Geopolitical Landscape in Asia
Dr. Parag Khanna
Singapore Institute of International Affairs
Hybrid Reality Institute
New America Foundation
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An Unpredictable World
Policy
Disruptions
Markets
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From the “Unipolar Moment” of the
1990s….
European Union
Japan
India
China
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North America
South America
European Union
Africa
Asia Middle East
….To Today’s Global Marketplace
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Asia for Asians?
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How$will$the$new$silk$railroads$affect$Singapore?$
Asia’s New Iron “Silk Roads”
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Anti-Chinese Blowback Across the Region
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Obama’s Foreign Policy Headaches
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Obama’s Latest Asia Trip in November 2012
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What is the Pivot? (And what is it not?)
• Words as Strategy: “Pivot” versus “Rebalancing”
• Is it all about China?
• Burden-Sharing: Promoting Self-Defense – Australia, Japan, South Korea, India expanding military
expenditures and re-framing own grand strategies
• Economic Dimensions
– Beyond APEC: Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) – Exports and FTAs
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A Norwegian Solution for the South China Sea?
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2013: The Next Chain Reactions?
Iran conflict in Persian Gulf North Korea collapse
Avian flu pandemic South China Sea dispute
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2013: The Next Chain Reactions? Avian flu pandemic
Blowback against China in Myanmar
US “Fiscal Cliff”
South China Sea dispute
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What’s Next?
- Every region pivots to Asia: Europe, Mideast, India, South America, Russia
- Is the U.S. credible? South China Sea as “core national interest” versus “neutral mediation”?
- Beware of “Taiwanization”
- Keep focus on “Asia for Asians” regionalism: EAC, ASEAN FTA
- Trade Globally: Decouple from slow-growth Europe
- US-China Relations: Beyond the SED?
- ASEAN: From Non-Alignment to Multi-Alignment
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Contact PARAG KHANNA [email protected]