the 4 industrial 6 october 2016 - safety and reliability ...€¦ · nanotechnology •new...
TRANSCRIPT
The First Three Industrial Revolutions
• 1780-1850:- coal, steam, iron, factories,
railways
• 1870-1914:- machine tools, electricity,
oil, internal combustion engine, flight
• 1975-2000:- computers, internet, digital
manufacturing
www.samiconsulting.co.uk 2© SAMI Consulting
The Fourth Industrial Revolution
• Robotics
• Artificial Intelligence
• Big Data
• Nanotechnology
• Biotechnology
• Genetech
• Abundant, Renewable Energy
www.samiconsulting.co.uk 3© SAMI Consulting
Robotics
• Safe Robots– Working alongside people
• Productive Robots– From building skyscrapers to flipping burgers
• Pioneering Robots– Space robots and robot wars
• Domestic Robots– Caring robots, robots for fun
• In the future: Enhanced Humans?????
www.samiconsulting.co.uk 4© SAMI Consulting
Artificial Intelligence
• Beating Humans at their Own Games– Chess, Jeopardy, Go!
• Virtual Assistance– Your shopping list; your PA; social insights
• Work– Data analysis, driving vehicles
– Legal casework, diagnostics, prescribing
• Creativity– Journalism, music, painting
• In the future: The Singularity????
www.samiconsulting.co.uk 5© SAMI Consulting
Big Data
• Smaller, Faster Processors
– Reinventing Moore’s Law
• Faster Transmission
– 5G and beyond
• The Internet of Things
– Everything is connected
• Blockchains
– Self-sufficient communities of interest
www.samiconsulting.co.uk 6© SAMI Consulting
Nanotechnology
• New Materials
– Lighter, tougher, more conductive
• Recycling
– An end to landfill?
• New “Stuff”
– Self-cleaning fabrics
– Nanoswarms in medicine
www.samiconsulting.co.uk 7© SAMI Consulting
Biotech and Genetech
• Earlier diagnosis … or prediagnosis
– … leading to better prevention and cure
• Gene-splicing
– Eliminating genetic defects in people
– Pest- and disease-resistant crops
• New ways to clean up pollution
– Cleaner rivers, cleaner oceans
• In the future … New life forms?
www.samiconsulting.co.uk 8© SAMI Consulting
Abundant, Renewable Energy
• Solar and Wind– Better cells and turbines and better batteries …
– … 25% of UK electricity in Q2 2015
• Cleaner technology for fossil fuels– Carbon capture and storage
• Cleaner, safer nuclear?– Smaller reactors; thorium
• The end of the age of oil
• In the Future??? … hydrogen cells from water
www.samiconsulting.co.uk 9© SAMI Consulting
Impact of the 4th Industrial Revolution
• Positives– Better, cleaner environment
– Better health care
– More connected society
– Access to information
– New areas of leisure & creativity
– New economic growth sectors
– More scope for self-sufficiency
– Energy security
www.samiconsulting.co.uk 10© SAMI Consulting
Impact of the 4th Industrial Revolution
• Challenges
– Job losses – whole sectors at risk
– Social & political instability
– “Precarisation”
– Wider inequalities of wealth
– Cybercrime and terror
– Mass-migration
www.samiconsulting.co.uk 11© SAMI Consulting
Impact of the 4th Industrial Revolution
• On the UK (and the rest of the Western
World)
– Job losses – 47%? 9%?
– Labour depreciation v capital growth
– What becomes of the unskilled?
– The erosion of the middle classes
– Rise of the Exponential Organisation
– The “Japanese disease”?
www.samiconsulting.co.uk 12© SAMI Consulting
Impact of the 4th Industrial Revolution
• On The Rest of the World
– End of the 3rd World development model
– Impact on poor countries with large populations
– Twilight of the oil economies
– Global tensions – in combination with other
causes
– Mass-migrations/movement of people
www.samiconsulting.co.uk 13© SAMI Consulting
Impact of the 4th Industrial Revolution
• Closer to Home
– Rise of the precariat – mortgages, pensions?
– Impact on government revenues
– Impact on public services
– The rise of the “new politics”
• Optimistic outcome – communities of interest, the
sharing economy
• Pessimistic outcome – impoverishment, cybercrime,
troubled times
www.samiconsulting.co.uk 14© SAMI Consulting
The Perils of Prediction
“MARCH OF THE
MACHINES MAKES
IDLE HANDS”New York Times, 1928
© SAMI Consulting www.samiconsulting.co.uk 15
SAMI
• www.samiconsulting.co.uk
• LinkedIn – SAMI Consulting
• @sami4insight
© SAMI Consulting www.samiconsulting.co.uk 17