the 2015 matric - bridge€¦ · 3/02/2016 · the 2015 matric: what are the results telling us?...
TRANSCRIPT
THE2015MATRIC:WHATARETHERESULTSTELLINGUS?
MaryMetcalfeWitsSchoolofGovernance
WHATTHEPUBLICDEBATETELLSUSWHATISIMPORTANT…
• Thepassrate• Whichprovincecamefirst!
WHATDOYOUTHINKARETHEIMPORTANTQUESTIONS?
QUICKBUZZ
GROUP!!!
DOESSIZEMATTER?HOW?
1. CANYOURANKTHEPROVINCESBYNUMBEROFNSCCANDIDATES?
ECFSGTKZNLMPMPNWNCWC
PASS
63897
MorefailuresinKZNthanpassesineachof5otherprovinces
ISEVERYONEPRESENT?(intheclassof2015)
2.and3.WHATPERCENTAGEOFLEARNERSDROPPEDOUTINGRADE11IN2011/12(NATIONAL)
a) 8%b) 15%c) 20%
HASTHIS:
a) Increasedsince2007/8?b) Decreasedsince2007/8?c) Stayedthesamesince2007/8?
REPEATERSANDPROGRESSEDLEARNERS
4.WHICHPROVINCEHASTHELARGESTNUMBEROFPART-TIMECANDIDATES
a) Kwa-ZuluNatalb) EasternCapec) Gauteng
5.WHICHPROVINCEHASTHELARGESTNUMBEROFREPEATCANDIDATES
a) Kwa-ZuluNatalb) EasternCapec) Gauteng
EC
FS
GT
KZN
LMP
MP
NW
NC
WC
NUMBEROFCANDIDATES
NUMBEROFPART-TIMECANDIDATES
NUMBEROFREPEATERS
16,4%OFTOTAL 2.2%OFTOTAL
NSCCANDIDATES,2015
6.PROGRESSEDLEARNERSIN2015PERFORMEDABOUT?LOWERTHANNON-PROGRESSEDCANDIDATES
a) 5%b) 26%c) 37%
DOESCLASS(SES)MATTER?
7.THEHIGHESTNUMBEROFNSCPASSESIN2015WEREACHIEVEDBY:
a) QuinSle1School?b) QuinSle3Schools?c) QuinSle5Schools?
SATISFIED?
INCREASINGMATHSPARTICIPATION
8.WHICHPROVINCEHASTHEHIGHESTPARTICIPATIONRATEINMATHS?
a) Gautengb) KwaZulu-Natalc) EasternCaped) WesternCape
9.WHICHPROVINCEHASTHEHIGHESTSUCCESSRATEINMATHS?
a) Gautengb) KwaZulu-Natalc) EasternCaped) WesternCape
MATHSPARTICIPATIONANDPASSRATESPROVINCE 2014%
TAKINGMATHS
RANK 2014PASSRATE(40%)
RANK 2015%TAKINGMATHS
RANK 2015PASSRATE(40%)
RANK
KZN 51.4 1 24.3 9 42.3 1 20 9EC 46 2 25.1 8 35.8 2 21.8 8L 44 3 35.8 6 34.2 3 32.4 7MP 39 4 35.6 7 33.5 4 36 6NW 36.4 6 40.3 5 28.9 5 37.3 4FS 38 5 44.5 3 28.6 6 46 3G 35.7 7 50.7 2 24.5 7 49.8 2WC 32 8 56.6 1 24.4 8 57.3 1NC 27 9 42.4 4 21.8 9 36.1 5NaSonal 42.3 35.1 31.9
0,0
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
50,0
60,0
70,0
80,0
EC KZN L M NC NW FS G WC
"Bunching"inthe30-39%range:thecaseofmaths
%ofoverallpasseswithin30-39% 30%+passoverall
PROVINCIALDIFFERENTIALSINQUALITYOFMATHSPASS,2011
SOMEPUZZLES
10.EXPLAINTHIS
• (Homework)
NUMBEROFCANDIDATESANDPASSRATESINNSC:1994TO2010
0,0
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
50,0
60,0
70,0
80,0
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
400000
450000
500000
550000
600000
Num
bero
fcandidates
31
644536
70.7
2015
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
NW FS L EC NC Mp G WC KZN Total
Gr12as%ofGr10FemGr12as%ofGr10MalePassrate
MATRICPASSRATEBYPROVINCE,ANDENROLMENTINGRADE12IN2011RELATIVETOGRADE10IN2009,BYGENDERANDPROVINCE
(DBE2011TechnicalReport,DoE/DBEStatsataGlance)
THANKYOU