thailand’s utilities view - dede.go.ththailand’s utilities view workshop on pv and utilities...
TRANSCRIPT
Thailand’s Utilities View
Workshop on PV and Utilities
ASEAN Power Week 2015
September 3,2015
IMPACT Exhibition & Convention Center, Bangkok
Ms. Titiporn Sangpetch, PhD
Head, Distribution System Connection Planning SectionSystem Planning Division, Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT)
Enhanced Single Buyer (ESB) Model
IndependentPower
Producer
13,167 MW
Power Import
2,404 MW
SmallPower
Producers
4,530 MW
EndUsers
IndustrialEstate
Generation
Transmission
End User
Distribution
EGATGen.
15,482 MW
EGAT Trans.213 substations
32,527 circuit-km
SystemOperator
Go
ve
rnm
en
tal b
od
y a
nd
ER
C
Policy
Regulate
Vary SmallPower
Producers
2,029 MW
MEA30%
PEA68%
EGATDirect Customers
2%
Current Structure of Thailand ESI
ring fenced
Account Unbundling
Ele
ctric
+ S
team
Remark : ERC stands for Energy Regulatory Commission 2
OilEEDPPDP AEDP Gas
Security Economy Ecology
1) Security of Power System
To enhance power system security of Thailand in terms of generation, transmission, and distribution
To focus on fuel diversification in order to reduce the use of natural gas as the major energy source
2) Economy
To generate electricity with reasonable cost for all power consumers, as well as to support long-term country development
3) Ecology
To alleviate environmental and social impacts for sustainable development
3
Integration of all energy development plans
Integrated Regulation
National Energy Integration Plan
Principle of PDP2015
PDP2015 framework: Generation Mix
PDP 2015
Fuel typesAs of Sep 2014
(%)2026(%)
2036(%)
Imported Hydro 7 10-15 15 – 20
Coal & Lignite 20 20-25 20 – 25
Renewables 8 10-20 15 – 20
Natural gas 64 45-50 30 – 40
Nuclear - - 0 – 5
Diesel / Heavy oil 1 - -
Direction of PDP2015
4
Summary of PDP2015 (2015 - 2036)
Coal-fired Power Plant (Clean coal Technology)
Gas-fired Power Plant
Nuclear Power Plant
Gas Turbine Power Plant
Cogeneration
Renewable Energy
Pumped Storage
Power Purchase from Neighboring Countries
7,390 ( 9 Units)
17,478 (15 Units)
2,000 ( 2 Units)
1,250 ( 5 Units)
4,119
12,105
2,101 (3 Units)
11,016
Unit: MW
PDP2015
Total Capacity as of December 2014
Total Added Capacity
Total Retired Capacity
Grand Total Capacity at the End of 2036
37,612
57,459
-24,736
70,335
Numbers of Added Power Plants During 2015 - 2036
Capacity During 2015 - 2036
5
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036
Renewable
DomesticHydro
Lignite
Nuclear
Import Coal
Natural Gas
ImportHydro
5%
6%
17%
37%
2%
15%
18%
10%
10%
64%
3%
6%
7%
GWh
7%
16%
51%
2%
8%
16%
Energy Net Generation by Fuel Types
6
PDP2015
0
4,000
8,000
12,000
16,000
20,000
015 01 0 1 0 4 0 0 0 0 0
MW
Type Solar Wind Hydro MSW Biogas BiomassEnergyCrop
Total
End of 2014 1, 9 .5 224.5 3,048.4 65.7 311.5 2,541.8 - 7,490.4
End of 2036 6,000 3,002 3,282.4 500 600 5,570 680 19,634.4
Energy
Crop
Solar
Wind
Hydro
MSW
Biogas
Biomass
Alternative Energy Development Plan (AEDP)
7
RE Current Status(As of 13 August 2015)
8
1.55
. 9
954.19
0.
EGAT2,958.73 MW
1 4 . 1
19.
1 .59
.01
19 . 4
9 . 5
1 .5
( )
104. 0
Total 8,138.03MW
Imported Power2,104.60 MW
( จ )
2,104.60 MW
1. 1
19.
9 .0
45.01
9. 5
.00
4.5
VSPP 1,964.18 MW
5 1. 0
05.00
1 .00
1 0.00
1 . 0
1 .
SPP 1,110.52 MW
Current Status of SPPs/VSPPs(As of 13 August 2015)
9
ประเภทเชือ้เพลิง/เทคโนโลย ี
อยู่ระหว่างการพิจารณา ได้รับการตอบรับซือ้แล้ว ลงนาม PPA แล้ว ขายไฟฟ้าเข้าระบบแล้ว รวมทัง้หมด
SPP จ านวน ก าลังผลิต ขาย จ านวน ก าลังผลิต ขาย จ านวน ก าลังผลิต ขาย จ านวน ก าลังผลิต ขาย จ านวน ก าลังผลิต ขาย
ชีวมวล 14 505 322 - - - 2 70 56 30 866 582 46 1,441 959
ก๊าซชีวภาพ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
แสงอาทิตย์ - - - - - - 2 132 131 5 414 305 7 545 436
ขยะ 1 70 70 1 100 90 1 60 55 1 20 18 4 250 233
พลงังานลม 2 83 78 7 492 435 14 958 901 2 207 180 25 1,740 1,594
พลงัน า้ 2 220 180 1 10 10 - - - 1 13 12 4 243 202
พลงังานหมนุเวียนอื่นๆ - - - - - - - - - 2 21 14 2 21 14
Cogeneration - - - - - - 38 4,521 3,420 51 6,266 3,829 89 10,787 7,249
รวม 19 878 649 9 602 535 57 5,741 4,563 92 7,807 4,940 177 15,027 10,687
VSPP
ชีวมวล 16 81 73 40 302 199 55 403 299 123 1,501 762 234 2,287 1,333
ก๊าซชีวภาพ 9 25 24 22 44 41 50 95 84 125 269 219 206 433 367
แสงอาทิตย์ - - - 105 542 542 75 427 423 287 985 922 467 1,954 1,887
ขยะ 2 10 9 13 89 79 12 55 52 20 52 45 47 207 184
พลงังานลม - - - - - - 8 54 50 6 10 10 14 64 59
พลงัน า้ - - - - - - 8 14 13 8 2 2 16 16 15
พลงังานหมนุเวียนอื่นๆ 2 24 18 - - - - - - 2 5 5 4 29 23
Cogeneration 4 59 28 - - - 7 141 35 6 69 21 17 269 83
รวม 33 201 152 180 976 860 215 1,189 956 577 2,894 1,985 1,005 5,259 3,952
รวมทัง้สิน้ 52 1,078 801 189 1,578 1,395 272 6,930 5,519 669 10,700 6,924 1,182 20,287 14,639
1) Variation of solar power plant demonstrating through its generation profile over one year observation
2) Variation of wind power plant demonstrating through its generation profile over one year observation
High RE Penetration into the Grid
(1) Nature of Renewable Energy (RE)
September 3, 2015 10
(2) RE Performance
Fuel Types Plant Factor(%)
Dependable Capacity (%)
12 months (8,760 hr.) at peak-time of the year*
Solar 14 0 27
Wind 12 2 2
Biomass 30 15 36
Biogas 22 7 0
Municipal Solid Waste
43 32 36
Mini-hydro 50 27 36
Note: System peak-time is at 14:00 – 15:00 hr. during March – May of the year
High RE Penetration into the Grid
September 3, 2015 11
(3) RE Impact into the grid
voltage and power flow fluctuation
frequency fluctuation
difficulty of demand-supply management
High RE Penetration into the Grid
September 3, 2015 12
only EP
(EP + adder)
55 MW Solar Power Plant
RE Impact to the grid – Example
Contracted capacity : 55 MW
Connecting point: 115 kV Chai Badan Substation
Test run: 8 MW – on 22 Dec. 201140 MW – on 12 Feb. 20127 MW – in Mar. 2012
COD: March 2012
September 3, 2015 13
RE Impact to the grid – Example
September 3, 2015 14
1) Power flow study
Normal operation with Solar Project
N-1 (115 kV TTK-CBD tripped)
N-1 (115kV CBD-LB2 tripped)
2) Short-circuit study
3-phase faults
Single-line to ground fault
3) Transient stability study
3-phase faults at 115 kV CBD + Faults cleared
3-phase faults at 115 kV CBD + 115 kV CBD-LB2 tripped
3 Phase Faults at 115 kV CBD + 115 kV CBD-TTK tripped
Note: Faults clearing-time is 140 ms. ( 7 Cycles)
High RE Penetration into the Grid
September 3, 2015 15
106.0
108.0
110.0
112.0
114.0
116.0
118.0
120.0
122.0
124.0k
V
TIME
Bus Voltage ( 115 kV Feeder)
Voltage (Before)
Voltage (After)
Example of voltage fluctuation – before and after having the transmission system reinforcement in
order to improve the system voltages and to enhance system reliability.
High RE Penetration into the Grid
(3) RE Impact into the grid
September 3, 2015 16
-40.0
-30.0
-20.0
-10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
MW
TIME
MW (115 kV feeder from PV plant)
MW (Before)
MW (After)
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
MV
AR
TIME
MVAR (115 kV Feeder from PV plant)
MVAR (Before)
MVAR (After)
Example of power fluctuation – before and after having the transmission system reinforcement in order to
improve the system voltages and to enhance system reliability.
High RE Penetration into the Grid
(3) RE Impact into the grid
September 3, 2015 17
Transmission System Expansion andReinforcement Projects
500 kV Transmission Network(existing / under construction)
500 kV Transmission Network(Planning)
18
Feed-in Tariff(for VSPPs only)
19
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
MSW Biomass Biogas Hydro Wind Solar
Baht/kWh
www.egat.co.th