texas timber price trends may/june 2020 · 2020. 8. 12. · texas timber price trends is a...

4
According to the latest statistics reported by the US Census Bureau, privately-owned hous- ing starts in June were at a seasonally adjust- ed annual rate of 1,241,000 which is 2.1% above the May rate of 1,216,000. Single-family housing starts in June were at a rate of 834,000 which is 11.8% above the May figure of 746,000. As the COVID-19 pandemic con- tinues, many industries have been impacted. Decreasing timber prices are likely the result of the oversupply of timber dating back to the Great Recession, slack demand, and market uncertainty related to the pandemic. Statewide pine sawtimber prices averaged $21.01 per ton, up 2% from last period and down 24% from a year ago. Average pine saw- timber price was $20.53 per ton in Northeast Texas and $24.14 per ton in Southeast Texas. The statewide average pine pulpwood price was $7.17 per ton. This was down 2% from last period and down 3% from the price a year ago. In Northeast Texas, the average pine pulpwood price was $6.64 per ton. It was $7.91 per ton in Southeast Texas. Chip-N-Saw averaged $11.75 per ton statewide, down 2% from last period. It was down 19% from the price a year ago. The statewide average mixed hardwood saw- timber price was $33.28 per ton, up 3% from last period and down 3% from the price a year ago. The statewide average hardwood pulpwood price was $9.81 per ton, up 67% from last peri- od and down 21% from the price a year ago. *The average prices reported here represent statewide volumes reported for 48,571 tons of pine sawtimber, 57,731 tons of pine pulpwood, 9,545 tons of pine Chip-N-Saw, 404 tons of mixed hardwood sawtimber, and 1,941 tons of hardwood pulpwood during May/June 2020. Market Overview* A Bimonthly Market Report Texas Timber Price Trends

Upload: others

Post on 24-Sep-2020

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

According to the latest statistics reported by

the US Census Bureau, privately-owned hous-

ing starts in June were at a seasonally adjust-

ed annual rate of 1,241,000 which is 2.1%

above the May rate of 1,216,000. Single-family

housing starts in June were at a rate of

834,000 which is 11.8% above the May figure

of 746,000. As the COVID-19 pandemic con-

tinues, many industries have been impacted.

Decreasing timber prices are likely the result of

the oversupply of timber dating back to the

Great Recession, slack demand, and market

uncertainty related to the pandemic.

Statewide pine sawtimber prices averaged

$21.01 per ton, up 2% from last period and

down 24% from a year ago. Average pine saw-

timber price was $20.53 per ton in Northeast

Texas and $24.14 per ton in Southeast Texas.

The statewide average pine pulpwood price

was $7.17 per ton. This was down 2% from

last period and down 3% from the price a year

ago. In Northeast Texas, the average pine

pulpwood price was $6.64 per ton. It was

$7.91 per ton in Southeast Texas.

Chip-N-Saw averaged $11.75 per ton

statewide, down 2% from last period. It was

down 19% from the price a year ago.

The statewide average mixed hardwood saw-

timber price was $33.28 per ton, up 3% from

last period and down 3% from the price a year

ago.

The statewide average hardwood pulpwood

price was $9.81 per ton, up 67% from last peri-

od and down 21% from the price a year ago.

*The average prices reported here represent

statewide volumes reported for 48,571 tons of

pine sawtimber, 57,731 tons of pine pulpwood,

9,545 tons of pine Chip-N-Saw, 404 tons of mixed

hardwood sawtimber, and 1,941 tons of hardwood

pulpwood during May/June 2020.

M a r k e t O ve r v i e w *

A Bimonthly Market Report

Texas Timber Price Trends

T e x a s T i m b e r P r i c e T r e n d s P a g e 2

Product /Region Average Price Last Period Year Ago Report

PINE

Sawtimber $/Ton $/MBF $/Ton $/MBF Chg $/Ton $/MBF Chg Number

Northeast TX

$20.53 $164.24 $20.37 $162.98 1% ↑ $27.85 $219.18 -26% ↓ 58

Southeast TX

$24.14 $193.12 $22.77 $182.15 6% ↑ $27.12 $196.93 -11% ↓ 16

Statewide

$21.01 $168.04 $20.51 $164.09 2% ↑ $27.67 $213.25 -24% ↓ 74

Pulpwood $/Ton $/Cord $/Ton $/Cord Chg $/Ton $/Cord Chg Number

Northeast TX $6.64 $17.93 $6.02 $16.24 10% ↑ $7.35 $19.33 -10% ↓ 31

Southeast TX $7.91 $21.37 $8.26 $22.29 -4% ↓ $7.66 $20.68 3% ↑ 20

Statewide $7.17 $19.35 $7.30 $19.70 -2% ↓ $7.37 $19.40 -3% ↓ 51

Chip-N-Saw $/Ton $/Cord $/Ton $/Cord Chg $/Ton $/Cord Chg Number

Northeast TX $12.80 $34.55 $12.00 $32.40 7% ↑ $15.11 $40.80 -15% ↓ 12

Southeast TX $11.27 $30.43 ** ** $14.45 $39.01 -22% ↓ 4

Statewide $11.75 $31.73 $12.00 $32.40 -2% ↓ $14.49 $39.12 -19% ↓ 16

HARDWOOD

Mixed Sawtimber $/Ton $/MBF $/Ton $/MBF Chg $/Ton $/MBF Chg Number

Northeast TX $33.28 $299.49 $32.22 $290.00 3% ↑ $35.51 $337.27 -6% ↓ 3

Southeast TX ** ** ** ** $32.89 $272.17 **

Statewide $33.28 $299.49 $32.22 $290.00 3% ↑ $34.17 $301.86 -3% ↓ 3

Pulpwood $/Ton $/Cord $/Ton $/Cord Chg $/Ton $/Cord Chg Number

Northeast TX $9.81 $27.46 $5.87 $16.45 67% ↑ $15.68 $43.90 -37% ↓ 3

Southeast TX ** ** ** ** $9.77 $27.34 **

Statewide $9.81 $27.46 $5.87 $16.45 67% ↑ $12.38 $34.68 -21% ↓ 3

S tu mp ag e P r i c e s i n Te x a s

M a y / J u n e 2 0 2 0

1. Stumpage price statistics include gatewood sales. Stumpage prices for gatewood sales are estimated by subtracting cut-and-haul costs, other expens-

es, and profits provided by reporter.

2. Price is calculated from a specific conversion factor reported for each sale if available; otherwise, the average conversion factors listed on page 4 are

used. MBF = Thousand Board Feet. The DOYLE LOG SCALE is used for board foot measurements.

3. ** indicates insufficient sales to report price statistics (less than three sales).

4. Prices listed for previous periods may differ from previously published values because additional data were received.

5. Price changes are calculated based on price per ton.

6. Extreme outliers from reported data are detected and removed using statistical methods.

P a g e 3 T e x a s T i m b e r P r i c e T r e n d s M a y / J u n e 2 0 2 0

S aw t i m be r P u l pw o o d

Note: A gap in the chart means less than 3 sales were reported and no price statistics were compiled.

For chart data, please go to http://tfsweb.tamu.edu/timberpricetrends/

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

M/J '86 M/J '88 M/J '90 M/J '92 M/J '94 M/J '96 M/J '98 M/J '00 M/J '02 M/J '04 M/J '06 M/J '08 M/J '10 M/J '12 M/J '14 M/J '16 M/J'18 M/J'20

$/MBF-Doyle Historical Statewide Sawtimber Prices

Pine Hardwood

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

M/J '86 M/J '88 M/J '90 M/J '92 M/J '94 M/J '96 M/J '98 M/J '00 M/J '02 M/J '04 M/J '06 M/J '08 M/J '10 M/J '12 M/J '14 M/J '16 M/J'18 M/J'20

$/cord Historical Statewide Pulpwood Prices

Pine Hardwood

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

M /J

'18

J/A

'18

S/O

'18

N/D

'18

J/F

'19

M /A

'19

M /J

'19

J/A

'19

S/O

'19

N/D

'19

J/F

'20

M /A

'20

M /J

'20

P ine

H ardwo o d

$/Ton

$/To

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

M /J

'18

J/A

'18

S/O

'18

N/D

'18

J/F

'19

M /A

'19

M /J

'19

J/A

'19

S/O

'19

N/D

'19

J/F

20

M /A

'20

M /J

'20

P ine

H ardwo o d

$/Ton

P a g e 4

Texas Timber Price Trends is a bi-

monthly publication reporting average

prices paid for standing timber and gate-

wood in Texas. This report is intended

only as a guide to general price levels.

Individuals interested in buying and selling timber can use this

report to monitor market trends and get a general idea of what

timber is worth. However, it should not be used to judge the fair

market value of a specific timber sale, which may vary

considerably due to many factors.

HOW ARE AVERAGE PRICES CALCULATED?

Data published in this report are from actual timber sales as

reported by as many as 60 cooperators active in the East Texas

timber market. Reporters include forest product companies,

logging contractors, consulting foresters, family forest landowners,

and financial institutions.

The prices are volume weighted average prices. The price

per ton for each product category is as reported or using a specific

conversion factor provided by the reporters. When a specific

conversion factor for each sale is not available, an average

conversion factor listed here is used instead.

T e x a s T i m b e r P r i c e T r e n d s M a y / J u n e 2 0 2 0

VOLUME CONVERSION FACTORS Sawtimber & Chip-N-Saw Pine— 8 tons=1 MBF-Doyle Pine Chip-N-Saw— 2.7 tons= 1 Cord Hardwood— 9 tons= 1 MBF-Doyle

Pulpwood Pine— 2.7 tons=1 Cord Hardwood— 2.8 tons= 1 Cord

This publication is also available on the Texas A&M Forest

Service website at: http://tfsweb.tamu.edu/timberpricetrends/

WANT TO BE A REPORTER?

If you are active in the East Texas timber market, please

consider becoming a cooperating price reporter. You will receive

report forms bi-monthly with a self-return envelope. In addition, you

will receive a hard copy of the report in exchange for your price

information.