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18 February 2014
2013 Full Year Result
Terry Davis Group Managing DirectorJohn Murphy Managing Director Australian Beverages
Nessa O’Sullivan Group Chief Financial Officer
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2013 Result Overview
Difficult trading conditions in the Australian grocery channel resulted in a 9.3% decline in Australian beverage earnings
>10% volume growth in Indonesia. However, input cost inflation, currency depreciation and continued economic challenges in PNG impacted segment earnings
Strong return to growth in New Zealand with over 10% local currency EBIT growth
Strong cash flow generation and the continued strength of the balance sheet and financial ratios supports the maintenance of full year ordinary dividends in line with last year. Total dividends, including the special dividend, declined by 1.7%
Ongoing impact of the high Australian dollar on SPCA and the associated impact on the business’ competitiveness against imported packaged fruit and vegetable products led to the $404 million write down of SPCA intangibles and other assets
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Australia
Lower than target price recovery due to difficult trading conditions in the Australian grocery channel led to a 9.3% decline in Australian beverage earnings
$Am FY13 FY12 Change
Trading revenue 2,947.2 3,027.9 (2.7%)
Revenue per unit case $8.71 $8.67 0.5%
Volume (million unit cases) 338.2 349.3 (3.2%)
EBIT 566.0 624.0 (9.3%)
EBIT margin 19.2% 20.6% (1.4) pts
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Non-Grocery business continues to grow volume and earnings driven by increases in shelf share and the continued growth of frozen beverages
Source: Internal Systems
2.3%
-8.2%
-10%
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
Non-Grocery Grocery
Volu
me
Gro
wth
vs
LY (%
)
Australian Beverages Volume Growth 2013
Driven by aggressive competitor pricing & reduction in level of
warehouse inventories by
retailers during the year
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Cold drink shelf share increased through ongoing investment in product, technology and equipment innovation
60.7%
62.0%
60.0%
60.5%
61.0%
61.5%
62.0%
62.5%
2012 2013
Shel
f Sha
re (%
)
CCA Cold Drink Shelf Share
Source: Shelf Share for total IC (National and Operational accounts) based on our new Trax system. (2012 equivalent 65%)
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Using Business Intelligence capability to identify and target growth opportunities for our key account customers
Time of Day
Sal
es
Outlet CLate night food
Outlet BLunch focus
Outlet AEarly morning trade
Source: Internal Systems: BI
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Frozen category increased 5 fold since 2004 with ~159m serves sold during 2013 driven by continued innovation in flavour variants
~30m
~85m
~120m
~159m
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
2004 2008 2012 2013
Froz
en B
ever
age
Serv
es (m
illio
ns)
Frozen Beverages Serves
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Grocery channel materially affected by aggressive competitor pricing and retailer de-stocking
Source: Internal Systems
2.3%
-8.2%
-10%
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
Non-Grocery Grocery
Volu
me
Gro
wth
vs
LY (%
)
Australian Beverages Volume Growth 2013
Driven by aggressive competitor pricing & reduction in level of
warehouse inventories by
retailers during the year
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Carbonated beverages in the grocery channel materially impacted by a 6 pt increase in the price gap to the major competitor
43%
49%
40%
41%
42%
43%
44%
45%
46%
47%
48%
49%
50%
Year 2012 Year 2013
TCC
C S
oft D
rink
Pric
e Pr
emiu
m to
Pep
si S
chw
eppe
s
TCCC Soft Drinks Price Premium to Pepsi Schweppes in Grocery
Source: Aztec Grocery excludes 600ml
+6pts
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Mount Franklin Cold Drink Beverages Portion Control Packs
Non-CSD beverages grew volume by 10% in the grocery channel driven by Mount Franklin Water and continued momentum with convenience and portion control offerings
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50m
85m
120m
0m
20m
40m
60m
80m
100m
120m
140m
2012 2013 2014Target
Indi
vidu
la M
inca
ns S
old
(m)
Mini-Cans Sold
Continued shift to premium offerings. Mini-can volumes grew by ~70% in 2013 – targeting 120m cans in 2014
Source: Internal Systems
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Making diets cool
2014: Strong focus on building category trust and increasing focus on portion control and low calorie
Mini-sized refreshmentLeading with the facts
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“Only Coke can do” bespoke customer programmes
2014: Focus on reconnecting with and recruiting consumers through novel product forms and sampling; working even more closely with customers on bespoke solutions
Recruiting via >1 million samples
Recruiting via novel product forms and packages
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Revitalising old favourites
2014: Building our other power brands and power brands of the future
Capturing the adult soft drink opportunity
Continuing to set the standard in premium water
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2014: Commencement of review of the cost of doing business
Logistics Savings4
Sales Force Productivity2 Project Phoenix 3Additional Project Zero Benefits
1
Support Services Productivity
5 Equipment Services Efficiencies
6
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Alcoholic Beverages: Successful re-building of a beer and cider capability
STEP 1 // Acquired Paradise Beverages in Fiji/Pacific
Distribution agreements forCorona Carlsberg and Molson Coors in Fiji and Pacific/PNG
STEP 2 //Grow Fiji BusinessCreate Export opportunities from Fiji, led by Rum and Beer
STEP 3 // Secure Local Production CapabilityABC JV with Casella
STEP 4 //Secure International partnersInternational Beer and Cider partners for AustraliaMolson CoorsBoston BeerRekorderlig
STEP 5 // Re-entryRecommence selling Beer and Cider in Australia 17 December 2013
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The new beer and cider portfolio is well positioned in growth segments of the market
MAT to 1/12/13
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More new brands to be introduced over the coming months
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Initial highlights of the return to the Australian beer and cider market
Ranging achieved in over 2,500 outlets
Re-order rates well ahead of target
Consumer take-up of new products exceeding forecast with Coors sales rate at same levels as other long established comparable beers in the market in one large customer chain
The brewery is producing high quality product including Beam draught products, Alehouse, ARVO, Blue Moon draught, Rekorderlig draught and Pressmans cider
Targeting around 1% of incremental EBIT growth from alcoholic beverages in 2014
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New Zealand & FijiIn AUD, New Zealand & Fiji delivered 18.0% earnings growth driven by improved performances from both New Zealand and Fiji as well as a currency benefit on translation from the appreciation of the New Zealand dollar. Local currency regional EBIT increased by around 10%
$Am FY13 FY12 Change
Trading revenue 452.5 402.8 12.3%
Revenue per unit case $7.36 $6.72 9.5%
Volume (million unit cases) 61.5 59.9 2.7%
EBIT 82.7 70.1 18.0%
EBIT margin 18.3% 17.4% 0.9 pts
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New Zealand & Fiji
New Zealand Solid recovery with a return to growth following a strong summer trading season
Momentum improved throughout the year as a result of a number of successful new
product launches as well as benefitting from the improved economic conditions
Highlights for the year included the relaunch of Lift Plus driving energy drink volume
growth of 11% and Keri Pulpy was successfully launched in February driving total
Keri juice growth of over 11%
The successful implementation of Project Zero initiatives continues to reduce the
cost base in New Zealand
Fiji Strong volume and earnings growth as it cycles the impact of major floods last year
and continues to benefit from the strong growth of Minute Maid Pulpy
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Indonesia & PNGWhile strong volume momentum continued for the Indonesian business, rapid cost inflation, currency depreciation and continued economic challenges in PNG impacted segment earnings
$Am FY13 FY12 Change
Trading revenue 919.2 948.2 (3.1%)
Revenue per unit case $5.14 $5.66 (9.2%)
Volume (million unit cases) 178.7 167.4 6.8%
EBIT 91.6 105.5 (13.2%)
EBIT margin 10.0% 11.1% (1.1) pts
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Indonesia & PNG
Indonesia Volumes grew by >10% with local currency EBIT growth of 5% driven by the
successful launch of a number of new products and the rapid growth of the water
business. Significant wage and fuel inflation in the second half however limited local
currency earnings growth
OWPs grew 20% with both the modern food store and general trade performing well
supported by the acceleration of cold drink cooler placements, improved in-market
execution, new products and packs and a strong promotional programme
Highlights include strong growth of single serve carbonated beverages in OWP,
OWP Frestea grew over 15%, successful launch of Minute Maid Aloe Vera and
Minute Maid Nutriboost and water volumes growth of over 50%
PNG The PNG business experienced a significant decline in volumes and earnings due to
a slowdown in economic activity caused by falling commodity prices, reduced mining
activity, increased competition and increased unemployment levels
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Alcohol, Food & Services
Alcohol, Food & Services earnings declined by 2.2% with the growth in earnings from alcoholic beverages more than offset by the decline in earnings from SPCA
$Am FY13 FY12 Change
Trading revenue 717.5 718.5 (0.1%)
EBIT1 93.0 95.1 (2.2%)
1. before significant items
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Alcohol, Food & Services
Alcohol Solid earnings growth from Beam driven by improved mix
Launched Jim Beam and Canadian Club Draught products and Super Premium
products including Jim Beam Distillers Masterpiece and Jim Beam Signature Craft
Canadian Club brand grew 24% making it the Number 4 ARTD in Australia
Strong progress made on the revitalisation of Paradise Beverages in Fiji with capital
upgrades well advanced, a strong new product pipeline and the establishment of an
export business for the beer and Fiji rum portfolio
SPC Ardmona Restructure of production operations continued with initiatives being undertaken to
materially reduce the cost of doing business
High AUD as well as the high cost of operating in Australia continue to materially
impact SPCA's competitiveness against imported packaged fruit and vegetables
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Profit & Loss EBIT decline of 6.9%, before significant items, in line with guidance provided on 4 November
2013
Net finance costs increased by around $11 million to $124.8 million with the lapping of a timing
benefit of $8 million in the prior year
A$m FY13 FY12 % chg
EBIT (before significant items) 833.3 894.7 (6.9%)
Net finance costs (124.8) (114.1) (9.4%)
Taxation expense1 (205.0) (224.1) (8.5%)
Outside equity interests (Paradise Beverages) (0.7) (0.2)
NPAT (before significant items) 502.8 556.3 (9.6%)
Significant items – after tax (422.9) (98.5)
NPAT (reported) 79.9 457.8 (82.5%)
1. before significant items
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Write down of SPC Ardmona assets
$404.0 million write down to the carrying value of SPCA
– $277.0 million goodwill write-off
– $39.7 million write down in brand names
– $87.3 million charge covering write downs in inventory and property, plant & equipment and recognition
of the diminution in value of some onerous contracts
While CCA has undertaken a substantial restructuring of the SPCA business with initiatives
undertaken to materially reduce the cost of doing business, the write down of assets has been
made having regard to the ongoing impact of the high Australian dollar and the associated impact
on the business’ competitiveness against imported packaged fruit and vegetable products
These SPCA write downs are largely non-cash in nature and have minimal impact on operations,
cash flow or the ability of CCA to pay dividends
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Capital Expenditure2013 geographic spend – completion of investment in PET bottle self-manufacture lines in Australia and up-weight in Indonesia capex to support the rapid growth of this market
Key projects in 2013 – $392.5m Group capex
Australia – 47% of Group capex
4 PET bottle self-manufacture lines
13,800 Cold drink coolers (30% of country spend)
Indonesia & PNG – 48% of Group capex
Indonesia:
Install and upgrade 8 production lines
Commission Cibitung 32,000 sqm warehouse
Commission Cikedokan, Jakarta beverage facility
60,000+ cold drink coolers
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Cash FlowFree cash flow of $341.6 million, a $0.6 million increase on last year despite a reduction in earnings
A$m FY13 FY12 $ chg
EBIT (post significant items) 367.9 760.2 (392.3)
Depreciation & amortisation 251.5 233.4 18.1
Impairment of intangibles 316.7 48.0 268.7
Impairment of fixed assets 44.3 23.0 21.3
Other income – non-operational - (53.2) 53.2
Operating EBITDA 980.4 1,011.4 (31.0)
Change in working capital 30.3 14.0 16.3
Net interest paid (121.9) (104.0) (17.9)
Taxation paid (168.5) (167.0) (1.5)
Other 12.8 (12.5) 25.3
Operating cash flow 733.1 741.9 (8.8)
Capital expenditure (392.5) (464.8) 72.3
Proceeds from sale of trademarks, PPE & other 5.5 64.2 (58.7)
Additions of other non-current assets (4.5) (0.3) (4.2)
Free cash flow 341.6 341.0 0.6
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Capital EmployedThe decrease in capital employed was largely driven by the write down of the SPCA intangibles, inventories and other assets which more than offset the impact of up-weighted capital investment over the past 12 months
A$m FY13 FY12 $ chg
Working capital 812.4 842.7 (30.3)
Property, plant & equipment 2,062.2 1,993.8 68.4
IBAs & intangible assets 1,264.8 1,533.9 (269.1)
Deferred tax liabilities (173.1) (151.8) (21.3)
Derivatives – non-debt (32.2) (63.9) 31.7
Other net assets / (liabilities) (435.0) (458.7) 23.7
Capital employed 3,499.1 3,696.0 (196.9)
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Net Debt & Interest CoverEBIT interest cover* remains very strong at 6.7x
* before significant items
Net debt increased by $126.8m to $1.76bn
Cash deposits increased to $1.4bn as a result of favourable borrowing terms which have enabled the pre-funding of future debt maturities to Mar16. Funds raised have been placed on deposit and are earning interest income in excess of the related borrowing costs
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Priorities & Outlook for 2014
Australia
– Still concern over the generally weak consumer confidence and spending environment and
the continued softness of the carbonated beverage category in the grocery channel
– While the major competitor has taken price increases outside of the grocery channel, their
pricing in the grocery channel since January has declined. Easter trading will be the next
critical pricing period
– Given performance in 2013, the business shall undertake a comprehensive review of the
operating cost structure to adapt to a more competitive landscape
Indonesia
– Expects to again deliver volume growth of over 10% in 2014
– Expect high levels of cost inflation driven by increases in wages and fuel, as well as the
impact on costs from the 20-25% depreciation of the Rupiah, to reduce the rate of 2014
local currency earnings growth
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Priorities & Outlook for 2014
Alcoholic beverages
– Targeting around 1% in incremental earnings growth in 2014
SPCA
– $100 million co-investment agreed between CCA ($78 million) and the Victorian
Government ($22 million) to revitalise the SPC Ardmona business over the next 3 years
– The investment will be primarily directed towards investment in productivity and to support
innovation with modern production infrastructure including production lines for snack
products and new packaging formats as well as the upgrade and replacement of existing
equipment
– CCA will continue to seek the removal of unfair structural barriers including measures to
prevent the dumping of cheap imports, the levelling of the playing field with respect to tariffs
on imports and the enforcement of standards and inspection measures to prevent imports
which may have unsafe levels of contaminants
– Consumers responding and supporting SPCA with increases in scan sales post the
government rejection of support
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Q&A
2013 Full Year Result
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Disclaimer
Coca-Cola Amatil Limited (“CCA”) advises that these presentation slides contain forward looking statements which may be subject to significant uncertainties outside of CCA’s and its related entities’ control.
No representation is made as to the accuracy or reliability of forward looking statements or the assumptions on which they are based.
Actual future events may vary from these forward looking statements and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any forward looking statement. CCA does not accept any liability to any person or entity for any loss or damage suffered as a result of reliance on this presentation.
Unless otherwise indicated, all references to estimates, targets and forecasts and derivations of the same in this material are references to estimates, targets and forecasts by CCA. Management estimates, targets and forecasts are based on views held only at the date of this material, and actual events and results may be materially different from them. CCA does not undertake to review the material to reflect any future events or circumstances.
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