teekay tankers q1-2016 earnings presentation

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TEEKAY TANKERS FIRST QUARTER 2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION May 19, 2016

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TEEKAY TANKERS FIRST QUARTER 2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION May 19, 2016

Forward Looking Statements

This release contains forward-looking statements (as defined in Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as

amended) which reflect management’s current views with respect to certain future events and performance, including

statements regarding: expected higher revenue days in the second quarter of 2016 as the Company’s owned fleet returns

to near full utilization; the impact of the tanker market on the Company’s earnings, free cash flow, net asset value, balance

sheet leverage and future dividends; crude oil and refined product tanker market fundamentals, including the balance of

supply and demand in the tanker market, the amount of new orders for tankers and the estimated growth in the world

tanker fleet, new trade routes, estimated growth in global oil demand and supply, crude oil tanker demand and OPEC crude

oil supply; tanker fleet utilization and spot tanker rates; the effect of changes in oil prices, including the potential impact on

oil stockpiling, refinery throughput and bunker fuel prices. The following factors are among those that could cause actual

results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements, which involve risks and uncertainties, and that should be

considered in evaluating any such statement: changes in the production of, or demand for, oil or refined products; changes

in trading patterns significantly affecting overall vessel tonnage requirements; greater or less than anticipated levels of

tanker newbuilding orders and deliveries and greater or less than anticipated rates of tanker scrapping; changes in global

oil prices; changes in applicable industry laws and regulations and the timing of implementation of new laws and

regulations; the number of off-hire days relating to the Company’s fleet; increased costs; and other factors discussed in

Teekay Tankers’ filings from time to time with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, including its Report

on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2015. The Company expressly disclaims any obligation or

undertaking to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any

change in the Company’s expectations with respect thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which

any such statement is based.

2

3 3

Recent Highlights

• Q1-16 Financial Results

○ Generated adjusted net income1 of

$46.0 million, or $0.29 per share,

versus adjusted net income of $39.0

million, or $0.34 per share in Q1-15

○ Generated free cash flow1 of $66.2

million, or $0.42 per share, versus

$53.0 million, or $0.46 per share in

Q1-15

○ Dividend of $0.09 per share for Q1-16

• Decreased net debt2 by ~$50 million

during Q1-16

• Positive tanker market fundamentals

expected to remain in place through

2016

(1) See the Q1-16 earnings release for explanations and reconciliation of these non-

GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable financial measures

under GAAP.

(2) Net debt is a non-GAAP financial measure and represents current and long-term

debt less cash and cash equivalents and, if applicable, restricted cash.

Q1-16 Tanker Earnings Remained Strong

Q1-16 earnings were negatively impacted by a number of factors:

• Mild winter weather in the Northern Hemisphere

• Heavier than normal refinery maintenance

• Atlantic oil supply disruptions impacting mid-size tankers more than VLCCs.

However, earnings down y-o-y due to seasonal factors

4

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

‘000 U

SD

/ d

ay

Q1 Crude Tanker Earnings Suezmax AframaxSuezmax 10-yr avg. Aframax 10-yr avg.

77

78

79

80

81

82

mb

/d

Global Refinery Throughput (2016)

Source: IEA

Underlying oil supply / demand fundamentals remain supportive for crude tankers

Source: 90% Clarksons

Tanker Supply / Demand Outlook Unchanged

• Tanker fleet growth set to accelerate

o Suezmax deliveries weighted more towards 2017

• Lack of access to capital is limiting new

tanker orders

o Only 1.1 mdwt ordered in 2016 YTD

o Lower fleet growth expected in 2018

High OPEC supply and rising oil demand to support rates through 2016

5

• Rising oil consumption and stockpiling in

India / China driving tanker demand

• OPEC crude oil production reached a

seven-year high in Apr-16

• US seaborne imports increasing as

domestic production declines

91

92

93

94

95

96

97

98

Mb

/d

Global Crude Supply & Demand

Oil Demand Oil Supply

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

% F

leet

Gro

wth

To

tal D

WT

Tanker Fleet Growth

Scrapping Forecast Scrapping Forecast Deliveries

Deliveries Fleet Growth (%)

Financial Highlights – Adjusted Net Income Q1-2016 vs. Q4-2015

6

Increase to Adjusted Net Income Decrease to Adjusted Net Income

48.5 46

13.8

8.5

0.5

3.5

2.7

1.9 1.0

Q4-15 AdjustedNet Income

Decrease inSpot Rates

Increase inRevenue Days

EmploymentChanges and

OtherRevenues*

Decrease inVessel Opex

Decrease in TCHire Expense

Increase inDepreciation &Amortization

Other** Q1-16 AdjustedNet Income

$ M

illio

ns

Changes in Expenses Changes in Revenues

* Includes changes offhire bunker expenses and ship-to-ship operations.

** Includes changes to equity income, interest expense and G&A expenses.

Financial Highlights • Rewarding shareholders through variable cash dividend

o Q1-16 dividend of $0.09 per share equating to 30% of adjusted net income

• Generating strong cash flows with low break-even of ~$10,000 per day

• Focus remains on total shareholder return through dividend payments and balance sheet

de-levering

7

FCF and Dividend Yield1,3

60%4

53%

44%

72%

41%

39%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Q4-2013 Q4-2014 Q1-2016 Q4-2016

Financial Leverage3

Aframax Equivalent TCE2

$25,000

$30,000

$35,000

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000

% Y

ield

Aframax Equivalent TCE2

FCF Yield

Dividend Yield

(1) Based on estimated results for 12 months ending March 31, 2017 assuming current fleet and a share price of $4.00 per share

(2) Aframax equivalent TCE: Suezmax = 1.30x, LR2 = 1.00x, MR = 0.70x

(3) Based on an assumed 30% dividend payout

(4) Pro-forma to include Q1-15 vessel acquisitions that were committed for in Q4-14

Q2-16 Spot Earnings Update

• Rates 2016 to-date have remained robust, albeit lower than 2015 highs

• Strong demand fundamentals to be supportive of tanker rates through 2016

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$39,400

$30,700

$24,900

$35,800

$27,500

$23,700

$-

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

Suezmax Aframax RSA LR2

Q1-15 Actual Q1-16 Actual

$38,800

$33,800

$29,000

$33,700

$24,100 $22,600

$-

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

Suezmax Aframax RSA LR2

Q2-15 Actual Q2-16 to-date

Suezmax Aframax LR2

Q2-16 spot ship

days 1,704 1,213 728

Q2-16 % booked

to-date 59% 57% 52%

APPENDIX

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Fleet Employment Profile

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In-Charter Portfolio

Aframax

Aframax

Aframax

Aframax

Aframax

Aframax

Aframax

Aframax

Aframax

Aframax

LR2

LR2

LR2

Out-Charter Porfolio

Aframax

Aframax

Aframax

Aframax

Aframax

Aframax

Aframax

Aframax

LR2

Suezmax

Suezmax

Suezmax

VLCC

1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18

$23,000

$24,000

$29,000

$19,500

$24,900

$37,500(3)

Optional Period

$18,066

$25,000

$22,000

$18,900

$16,000(2)

$20,500

$21,000

Optional Period

Optional Period

$15,500

$26,000

$32,906

$32,906

$25,000

$18,600

$17,750

$16,250

$22,750

$16,750

$15,600

$17,750

$22,000

Optional Period

$13,000(1)

$12,000(1)

(1) 50/50 profit share if earnings are above $12,000/day and $13,000/day, respectively

(2) 50/50 profit share if earnings are between $16,000 and $24,000 /day plus 75/25 profit share in TNK’s favor if earnings are above

$24,001/day

(3) The Company’s ownership interest in this vessel is 50%. 50/50 profit share if earnings are above $40,500/day

Drydock & Offhire Schedule

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Teekay Tankers

Segment

Vessels

Total

Off-hire

Days

Vessels

Total

Off-hire

Days

Vessels

Total

Off-hire

Days

Vessels

Total

Off-hire

Days

Vessels

Total

Off-hire

Days

Spot Tanker - 50 1 25 1 14 - - 2 89

Fixed-Rate Tanker 1 95 - 68 - - - - 1 163

1 145 1 93 1 14 - - 3 252

Note:

(1) In the case that a vessel drydock & offhire straddles between quarters, the drydock & offhire has been allocated to the quarter in which majority of drydock days occur.

(2) Only owned vessels were accounted for in this schedule. In addition, for the three months ended March 31, 2016, there were 30 offhire days for in-chartered vessels.

March 31, 2016 (A) June 30, 2016 (E) September 30, 2016 (E) December 31, 2016 (E) Total 2016

(3) For the three months ended March 31, 2016, 7 vessels contributed to 50 off-hire days in the spot tanker segment and 1 vessel contributed to 4 off-hire days in the fixed-rate tanker

segment.

Q1-16 vs. Q4-15 Results

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($’000’s, except share and per share data)

Q1-16 Adjusted

(unaudited)(1)

Q4-15 Adjusted

(unaudited)(1) Comments Net revenues 152,127 157,907 Decrease is primarily due to lower average realized Q1-16 spot TCE rates,

decrease in full service lightering and lightering support net voyage

revenues in Q1-16, which are partially offset by fewer net offhire days in

Q1-16 resulting from a heavier drydocking schedule in the prior quarter.

Vessel operating expenses (45,073) (48,558) Decrease is primarily due to timing and scope of repairs and maintenance

activities in Q1-16 and timing of pre-delivery costs incurred in Q4-15

resulting from the acquisition of the 12 Suezmax vessels and the timing of

transitional costs related to various vessels being transitioned from

external to in-house technical management.

Time charter hire expense (20,716) (23,403) Decrease is primarily due to the redeliveries of various in-chartered

vessels to their owners in Q1-16.

Depreciation and amortization (27,067) (25,130) Increase is primarily due to a full quarter of drydock amortization costs

related to various vessels which completed their drydock in the prior

quarter.

General and administrative expenses (5,433) (6,217) Decrease is primarily due to higher Q4-15 administrative costs for

transactions and financings.

Income from operations 53,838 54,599

Net interest expense and realized loss on derivative instruments (9,340) (10,002) Decrease is primarily due to lower average debt balances in Q1-16.

Equity income 3,943 5,606 Decrease is primarily due to an decrease in the equity income from High Q

JV resulting from a profit sharing component of a time charter contract

recognized in Q4-15 and an decrease in the equity income from TIL

resulting from the sale of vessels in Q1-16 and lower average spot rates

earned in Q1-16.

Other expense (2,483) (1,661) Other expense consists mainly of freight tax expenses. Increase due to

an increase in freight tax accrual made due to an increase in Suezmax

tankers activities with China during Q1-16.

Adjusted net income attributable to shareholders of Teekay Tankers 45,958 48,542

Adjusted net income per share 0.29 0.31

(1) Adjusted net income attributable to the shareholders of Teekay Tankers is a non-GAAP financial measure. Q4-15 period excludes the results of Entities under Common Control.

Please refer to Appendix A to the Earnings Release.

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Income Statement Item Q2-16 Outlook

(expected changes from Q1-16)

Net revenues

Decrease of approximately 200 net spot revenue days in TNK, mainly due to redeliveries of six in-chartered

vessels in Q2-16 and later half of Q1-16.

Approximately 60% of Q2-16 spot revenue days for Aframaxes and Suezmaxes fixed at $24,100/day and

$33,700/day, respectively, compared to $27,500/day and $35,800/day, respectively, in Q1-16.

Vessel operating expenses

$1.5m increase primarily due to higher number of operations in ship-to-ship support services in Q2-16, timing of

planned activities and transitional costs in Q2-16 for vessels that are expected to be brought in house for technical

management.

Time charter hire expense $5.3m decrease from the redeliveries of various in-chartered vessels.

Depreciation and amortization Expected to be consistent with Q1-16.

General and administrative expenses $0.5m decrease from accelerated stock-based compensation that is recognized annually in Q1 of each year.

Net interest expense and realized loss on derivative instruments $0.7m decrease from non-capitalized loan costs that were incurred in Q1-16.

Equity income $0.9m decrease due to the impact of lower forecasted average spot TCE rates on the income from our

conventional tanker franchise and from TIL.

Q2-16 Outlook

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