technology webcast 21022007 slides
TRANSCRIPT
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Copyright200?
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Graeme Sweeney,
Executive Vice President,Shell Renewables, Hydrogen, CO2 and
Power
Carbon Management Technologies
February 21, 2007
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Agenda
1. Energy Challenge
2. Strategy and actions
Natural Gas
Fuels - Sustainable mobility
Unconventionals
Carbon Management
Renewables: Wind & Solar
3. Shell Response
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The Challenge
Portfolio diversity
Energy efficiency
CO2 solutions
Production efficiency through technology
Investment focused on upstream
Easy oil has peaked
Long life projects
Selected downstream growth
Rest of the WorldOECD
Low
High
0
50
100
150
200
250300
350
400
2000 2025*
Alternative EnergiesLarge Scale HydroNuclearGasOilCoal
* Shell estimates
Rising Global Energy Demand Changing Energy MixMillion barrels oil equivalent per day100= Global primary energy demand 2000
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2000 2025* 2050*
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The three Cs or three EsEfficiency/Economy(Cheap)
Energysecurity Environment(Clean)(Convenient)
NaturalGas
Hydro
ME Oil & GasGeothermal
Coal
HVO
Oil
Shale
Oil
Sands
CarbonCapture&
Storage
WindSolar Bio
Renewables
Wave
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Shells global LNG business
In operation
Under construction
Under development
LNG supply
Regas capacity
In operation
Under construction
Under development
*Sources: Shell Analysis, Poten & Partners, Platts, Wood Mackenzie, Shell share of sales amongst private companies
Coral in North America#3 energy marketer4 LNG import sites
Shell in Asia Pacific#1 LNG supplier*
India and China access
Shell in EuropePan-European marketer
#1 LNG importer*
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Nuclear
Coal
Biomass
Solar
Oil
Wind
Hydro
PartialOxidation
Hydrogen
ShiftReaction
Electricity
Liquid
Fuels
FischerTropsch
Conventional ICE
Electric Vehicle
FCV
CCGT
Electrolysis
Conventional & advanced biofuels Synthetic fuels
Plug-In hybrid diesel
Hydrogen ICE
Focus on Sustainable Fuels
Energysource
Drive-train options
Gas
SyngasCO, H2
Non Conv. Oil
Difficult CrudesUpgrading / Conversion
Refining
NotShell
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Synthetic fuel can also be made from coal (CTL) and biomass (BTL) These synthetic XTL products are identical
Flexible feedstock options (e.g. coal and biomass co-firing)
GTL Fuel:
Most cost-efficient alternative fuel to reduce emissions1
Well-to-wheels greenhouse gas comparable to refining2
Contributes significantly to reducing local emissions2
Synthetic Fuels XTL
Identical Products
GTL
Natural
Gas
Biomass
Coal
Fischer-Tropsch process
Syngas
BTL
CTL
ShellGasification
Process
Shell CoalGasification
Process
Gasifier
Em
issions[mg/km]
EU IV
emissionslimit
10
0
20
30
Diesel
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Integrated GTL Complex
North Field Ras Laffan
Clean liquidproducts
GTL fuel blends
Offshore gas
2 train GTL plant
140kb/d clean liquid products & fuels
Naphtha & GTL fuel
Paraffin & kerosene
Lubricant base oils
DownstreamUpstreamGas production, transport & treatment
1.6 bcf/d wellhead gas
~ 120kboe/d NGLs & ethane
plus dry gas feedstock
Approx. 3 bln boe resources
Qatar Pearl Gas to Liquids: world scale integration
Doha
Ras Laffan
Final investment decision taken Q2 2006
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Unlocking global hydrocarbon resources
(>13 trillion boe)*
* >13 Trillion boe scope for recovery (excluding hydrates) source: Reserves to Resources IEA 2005, WEO 2006
COAL
~4 Tboe
Clean coal
Coal to Liquids
OIL SHALES
EXTRA HEAVY OIL
OIL SANDS~3 Tboe
In-situ recovery
Novel crude upgrading
Oil sands mining &
upgrading
NATURAL GAS
~4 Tboe
CONVENTIONAL OIL
~3 Tboe
Exploration
Deepwater
Tight gas
LNG
GTL
Contaminated gas
Exploration
Deepwater
Maximised recovery
EOR
Refining & chemicals
Differentiated products
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Carbon Capture and Sequestration
(Offshore Norway)
PROJECT DESCRIPTION
Capturing CO2 from powergeneration onshore and using it
for EOR
PROJECT STATUS
Shell and Statoilagreement
Feasibility studiesongoing
Early days
Technically andcommercially
challenging
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Renewables: Pursing a Competitive Business
Shell Hydrogen
Worlds largestpublic transport JV(NL)
Demonstrationprojects in US,Europe and China
Shell Wind Energy
Leading windoperator
416 MW installed
capacity (Shell share) NoordZee Wind (50%
Shell), 108 MW
FID Mount Storm,
West Virginia
Offshore permitLondon Array
Shell Solar
New generation thinfilm technology (CIS)
Highest efficiency of
all thin-films 20 MW facility under
construction
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Why thin-film?
Lower consumption of materials
the number of process steps Simplified materials handling
Significantly streamlined assemblyWhy CIS?
Highest efficiency of all thin-films: Shell module has world record efficiency of 13.5 %
Superior energy yield Better reliability
Low direct materials cost
Uniform appearance / aesthetics
Solar: New Generation CIS
FID 11/06 to form JVAvancis
with
Saint-Gobain: 20MW joint facilityplanned for 2008
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WindEnergy: Developer, Owner & Operator
Total capacity*
849 MW (Shell share: 416MW) * Based on completion of offshore windfarm Egmond aan
Zee
Harburg, Germany3.6MW Blyth Offshore, UK
3.8MW
White Deer, Texas 80MWCabazon Pass, California
41MW
Whitewater Hill, California61.5 MW
Rock River, Wyoming50MW
La Muela, Spain99MW
Colorado Green162MW
Brazos, Texas160MW
Top of Iowa80MW
Egmond aan Zee, Netherlands
108MWThis project is now being developed
FID on Mount Storm, West Virginia
160MW
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Some Assumptions and Ideas Hydrocarbons will continue to provide the foundation of the world energy supply for at least the rest of the
century
Gas and Unconventionals growing components of energy mix
The challenge - to develop technology and hydrocarbon resources in environmentally and sociallyresponsible ways
One of the broadest portfolio of alternative energies
Leader in GTL; developing advanced bio-fuels (BtL) & longer-term future fuels, such as Hydrogen We are active in the development of a number of alternative energy sources. We are the largest distributor of
bio-fuels worldwide, and one of the biggest investors in wind energy. We are investing in new technology,such as 2nd generationbio-fuels, thin-film solar and hydrogen
We are a leader in unconventional oil and gas technology, and we have a portfolio of potential growth
opportunities in this area. In developing such resources, Shell will strive for 1st
quartile CO2 performance Playing a leading role in demonstrating ways to manage CO2 responsibly
No need for a trade-off between economic development and action on climate change
The CO2 Challenge cannot be met by one company or the energy industry alone public-privatepartnerships and a strong policy framework is needed
Better and more stable incentives are required for low carbon technologies, including Renewables. Incentives
need to be fairly applied, have a limited timeframe, and be declined over time What to do NOW?
A ton of CO2 stored is a s good as a ton of CO2 avoided, so credited under CDM and EU ETS
A system that allows for joint public private partnerships in the CCS infrastructure
A defined system for long term monitoring
A pipeline for innovative ideas
A regime post 2012
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Thank you
Questions
Shell Technology webcast February 21, 2007