technology risk dsm analysis for indian space exploration missions - aiaa space 2013 vps

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AIAA SPACE 2013 Conference By Prasad Sundararajan Complex Project Interface and Technology Risk Assessment utilizing DSM Methods for Indian Space Exploration Missions

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Technology Risk DSM Analysis for Indian Space Exploration Missions - AIAA SPACE 2013 VPS

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Page 1: Technology Risk DSM Analysis for Indian Space Exploration Missions - AIAA SPACE 2013 VPS

AIAA SPACE 2013 ConferenceBy

Prasad Sundararajan

Complex Project Interface and Technology Risk Assessment utilizing DSM Methods for Indian Space Exploration Missions

Page 2: Technology Risk DSM Analysis for Indian Space Exploration Missions - AIAA SPACE 2013 VPS

Indian Space Program Earth Observation (IRS, INSAT, IRNSS) Space Science & Planetary Exploration

Design/Dependency Structure Matrix [DSM]

Chandrayaan-I Mission India’s first deep space mission Discoveries of the mission Interface DSM and Technology Risk DSM

Indian Mars Orbiter (“Mangalyaan”) Mission India’s first interplanetary mission to the Red Planet Technology Risk DSM

Astrosat-1 Mission Multi-wavelength Astronomy Satellite Technology Risk DSM

Indian Space Exploration Missions Technology Risk Assessment

Page 3: Technology Risk DSM Analysis for Indian Space Exploration Missions - AIAA SPACE 2013 VPS

A PSLV launch by ISRO

Indian Space Exploration Missions Technology Risk Assessment

Page 4: Technology Risk DSM Analysis for Indian Space Exploration Missions - AIAA SPACE 2013 VPS

Indian Space Exploration Missions Technology Risk Assessment

DSM is an N x N matrix network modeling tool

Represent the elements/ components in a complex engineering system and their interactions/ interfaces in a graphical matrix format.

Highlight the product system’s architecture, the principal design and project implementation behavior in the development of the complex product.

Design/ Dependency Structure Matrix (DSM) – A Systems Engineering Management Tool for gaining insights on architectural and Integration benefits in complex engineering product/ process.

Page 5: Technology Risk DSM Analysis for Indian Space Exploration Missions - AIAA SPACE 2013 VPS

Indian Space Exploration Missions Technology Risk Assessment

A B C D E F G H

A X

B

C X X

D X X

E X

F X X

G X X

H X X

Task A depends on information from Task E

Task C and D must be done concurrently

The Design/ Dependency Structure Matrix (DSM)

Page 6: Technology Risk DSM Analysis for Indian Space Exploration Missions - AIAA SPACE 2013 VPS

Indian Space Exploration Missions Technology Risk Assessment

Interface DSM Consists of a component interface dependency

section and a section identifying the dependencies of components on the operational phases.

The interface dependency value assigned to the DSM cell is obtained by summing values representing the physical, energy and information interactions that exist between a pair of elements.

The purpose of the rating is to identify the spacecraft component interfaces with high interdependence and to identify critical components for the operational phases.

Page 7: Technology Risk DSM Analysis for Indian Space Exploration Missions - AIAA SPACE 2013 VPS

Indian Space Exploration Missions Technology Risk Assessment

Type of Element Interaction Points

Physical Interface - a direct physical interface exists in the

defined system architecture 2

Energy Interface - a direct energy transfer exists between

components such as power, propulsion, or thermal loads 2Information interface -

a) direct transfer of information between the components

b) indirect information exchanged between the

components

2

1

Matrix Values for Strength of Component Interface Dependencies

Type of component interaction during

critical operations phase Points

Essential component - a single point or major component

failure can cause failure in the specific operational phase 4

Critical component - a single point or major component

failure can cause degraded operations during the specific

operational phase 2

Matrix Values for Strength of Operation's dependence on a Component

Page 8: Technology Risk DSM Analysis for Indian Space Exploration Missions - AIAA SPACE 2013 VPS

Indian Space Exploration Missions Technology Risk Assessment

TRF NASA Technology Readiness Level (TRL) Definition TRL1 Actual system 'flight proven' through successful mission operations 9

2 Actual system completed and "flight qualified" through test and demonstration 8

2 System prototype in a space environment 7

3 System/ subsystem model or prototype demonstrated in a relevant environment 6

4 Component validation in relevant environment 5

4 Component validation in laboratory environment 4

5 Analytical and experimental critical function and/ or characteristic proof-of-concept 3

5 Technology concept and/or application formulated 2

5 Basic principles observed and reported 1

TRF of

Component

A

XTRF of

Component

B

X

Interface

dependence

value between

A and B

=TR-DSM matrix

value for A-B

interface

Page 9: Technology Risk DSM Analysis for Indian Space Exploration Missions - AIAA SPACE 2013 VPS

Indian Space Exploration Missions Technology Risk Assessment

Technology Risk DSM The technology risk DSM is intended to provide

an overall view of the project’s technological and operational risk areas

TR-DSM can be utilized as an analytical tool throughout a project’s development life cycle for identifying and communicating high-risk areas in a single system view.

The high TRF values identify the components/ subsystems that require a thorough mitigation strategy during development.

Page 10: Technology Risk DSM Analysis for Indian Space Exploration Missions - AIAA SPACE 2013 VPS

Chandrayaan-1 MissionObjectives:

Place an unmanned spacecraft in polar

orbit around the moon

Conduct mineralogical and chemical

mapping of the entire lunar surface (95%)

Upgrade technological base for future

planetary missions

Orbit: Lunar Polar Orbit at 100 KM Circular

Launched by Indian PSLV XL.

Timeline: Oct 22, 2008 - Aug 29, 2009

Spacecraft:

Basic architecture derived from the IRS

satellite bus, Spacecraft mass 1380 kg.

Single solar panel generated 700 W power.

Onboard liquid engine with 440 N

performed orbit raising maneuvers.

Eleven Science Instruments

(ISRO - 5, NASA - 2, ESA - 3, Bulgaria - 1)Credit: NASA/ ISRO

Page 11: Technology Risk DSM Analysis for Indian Space Exploration Missions - AIAA SPACE 2013 VPS

Credit: ISRO

Page 12: Technology Risk DSM Analysis for Indian Space Exploration Missions - AIAA SPACE 2013 VPS

Credit: NASA/APL/ USGS

Magmatic Water detected

on Moon’s Surface at

Bullialdus impact crater

by M3 Instrument carried

aboard Chandrayaan-1

- NASA, August 27, 2013

Page 13: Technology Risk DSM Analysis for Indian Space Exploration Missions - AIAA SPACE 2013 VPS

Indian Space Exploration Missions Technology Risk Assessment

Page 14: Technology Risk DSM Analysis for Indian Space Exploration Missions - AIAA SPACE 2013 VPS

Indian Space Exploration Missions Technology Risk Assessment

Page 15: Technology Risk DSM Analysis for Indian Space Exploration Missions - AIAA SPACE 2013 VPS

Credit: ISRO Annual Report 2012-13

India’s First Interplanetary Mission to the Red Planet

Indian Space Exploration Missions Technology Risk Assessment

Page 16: Technology Risk DSM Analysis for Indian Space Exploration Missions - AIAA SPACE 2013 VPS

Credit: ISRO

Indian Space Exploration Missions Technology Risk Assessment

Page 17: Technology Risk DSM Analysis for Indian Space Exploration Missions - AIAA SPACE 2013 VPS

Science Objectives of

Indian Mars Orbiter Mission:Exploration of Martian Surface Features

Morphology Topography Mineralogy

Study of Martian Upper Atmosphere Detect and measure Methane with an accuracy of ppb Explore the Martian Exosphere (>= 400 km above the surface of Mars) neutral density and composition

Optical Imaging Mars Phobos and Deimos Context for Science Payloads

Indian Space Exploration Missions Technology Risk Assessment

Page 18: Technology Risk DSM Analysis for Indian Space Exploration Missions - AIAA SPACE 2013 VPS

Payload Mass

(kg)

Primary Scientific Objective

Lyman Alpha Photometer (LAP) 1.5 Escape processes of Mars upper atmosphere through

Deuterium/Hydrogen

Methane Sensor for MARS (MSM) 3.6 Detect presence of Methane

Martian Exospheric Composition

Explorer (MENCA)

4.3 Study the neutral composition of the Martian upper atmosphere

MARS Color Camera (MCC) 1.4 Optical imaging

TIR imaging spectrometer (TIS) 4.0 Map surface composition and mineralogy

Indian Mars Orbiter

Science Payloads

Indian Space Exploration Missions Technology Risk Assessment

Page 19: Technology Risk DSM Analysis for Indian Space Exploration Missions - AIAA SPACE 2013 VPS

Indian Space Exploration Missions Technology Risk Assessment

Page 20: Technology Risk DSM Analysis for Indian Space Exploration Missions - AIAA SPACE 2013 VPS

Astrosat-1 MissionObjectives:

To carry out simultaneous observations

of cosmic sources for high resolution

timing, spectral and imaging studies.

High-resolution UV imaging for

morphological studies of galactic and

extragalactic objects

Orbit: Circular near equatorial orbit of

about 650 km altitude with orbital inclination

of 8 degrees

Timeline: 2014 - 2018

Spacecraft:

Basic architecture derived from Cartosat

satellite bus, Spacecraft mass 1600 kg.

Two solar panels generating 1,250 Watts.

Pointing accuracy is < 0.05º and 0.2

arcsec/s drift.

Five Science Instruments (mass: 868 kg)

Single Solid State Recorder: 120 Gb

Credit: ISRO

Page 21: Technology Risk DSM Analysis for Indian Space Exploration Missions - AIAA SPACE 2013 VPS

Indian Space Exploration Missions Technology Risk Assessment