technology trendsidg.bg/idgevents/idgevents/2016/1124130528-1_9.10-9.30...—value realization it...
TRANSCRIPT
Technology trends
Capital Fort
17 November 2016
Without data you’re just
another person with an
opinion.”
— W. Edwards Deming“
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All rights reserved.
Qx "To what extent is your company investing in each of the following technologies?"
Base: 580 business and IT decision-makers at technology companies, 580 at media companies , and 580 at telecommunications companies
Source: A commissioned study conducted by Forrester Consulting on behalf of KPMG, January 2016
Tangible or strategic, significant disruptive tech investment
Total Technology Media Telecommunications
Cloud 64% 60% 68% 65%
Mobile 63% 58% 69% 64%
Data and analytics 59% 61% 60% 58%
Marketing platforms 59% 59% 58% 59%
Internet of Things 57% 61% 57% 55%
Digital payments and currency 56% 54% 59% 56%
On-demand marketplace platforms 56% 54% 58% 54%
Social media 56% 51% 61% 56%
Artificial intelligence/cognitive
computing 53% 53% 54% 51%
Wearable devices 52% 51% 55% 50%
Virtual reality/augmented reality 47% 48% 48% 46%
3D printing 45% 45% 50% 40%
Robotics 40% 47% 37% 33%
4© 2016 KPMG Bulgaria OOD, a Bulgarian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member f irms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity.
All rights reserved.
Qx "To what do you attribute the negative impact of disruptive technologies on your organization’s performance?"
29%
32%
38%
38%
46%
49%
61%
We only invest in proven technologies, whichleaves us behind the curve
We can’t invest quickly enough to keep up
We saw the new technology trend coming too late
Disruptive technologies are undermining our company’s business model
Our competitors are leveraging disruptivetechnologies to their advantage
New competitors have emerged from within ourindustry as a result of using disruptive technologies
Disruptive technologies brought new competitorsinto our industry from other industries
Base: 99 business and IT decision-makers at technology companies where disruptive technologies are having a somewhat or significant negative impact on their organization
Source: A commissioned study conducted by Forrester Consulting on behalf of KPMG, January 2016
There is an impact
Cloud
© 2016 KPMG Bulgaria OOD, a Bulgarian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member f irms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity.
All rights reserved.
Organizations are exploring and implementing a wide range of business and IT cloud use cases
Dev/Test/
Training
E-mail and
Collaboration
IT Separation
DC/DR
Rationalization
D&A
IoT
Application
Migration to SaaS
Digital/Mobile
Enablement
DevOps
Enablement
Application Migration
to I/PaaS (SharePoint,
SAP, etc.)
Industry
(Media/CDN,
etc.)
High-performance
Computing
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All rights reserved.
Organizations need to manage the fundamental changes introduced by cloud and the challenges they pose
Business — Cloud value business case
— New competition
— Business readiness for innovation
— Cloud solutions business governance
Risk — Limited transparency into provider practices
— Additional controls over third parties
— Information protection
— Identity and access management
— Records management and retention
— Regulation interpretation and compliance
Finance — Transition and integration costs
— Transparency of IT spend
— IT funding model
— Value realization
IT — Disintermediation of IT
— IT operating model, resources, and skills
— Legacy infrastructure and operations
— Integration with existing environments
— Hybrid cloud model
— Rapidly evolving market
D & A
9© 2016 KPMG Bulgaria OOD, a Bulgarian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member f irms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity.
All rights reserved.
Data and Analytics (D&A)
holds the power to
unlock untold value. But
first you need to trust
what it is telling you.”
“Trust (noun) \’trəst\— assured reliance on the character, ability, strength, or truth of
someone or something
Merriam-Webster
10© 2016 KPMG Bulgaria OOD, a Bulgarian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member f irms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity.
All rights reserved.
Why trust mattersFour reasons why we need to be talking about trusted analytics:
1. Analytics are becoming increasingly integral to business decisions
2. Lives now depend on analytics
3. ‘Black boxes’ are hard to trust
4. Using D&A increases reputational risk
One of the challenges is that
some of these newer techniques
are, by definition, black boxes.
You don’t know how it works, you
just think it works and you are
supposed to trust that, but you
just don’t know if it’s doing the
right thing.”
— Sanjay Krishnamurthi
Chief Architect, Microsoft Corporation,
a KPMG alliance partner
“
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All rights reserved.
A trust gap emergesFew executives are confident in the insights they are receiving from their D&A.
How confident are you in the insights gained from…
13© 2016 KPMG Bulgaria OOD, a Bulgarian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member f irms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity.
All rights reserved.
A cycle of mistrust
Trust is strongest at the beginning of
the cycle (at the data sourcing stage),
but falls apart when it comes to
implementation and the measurement
of its ultimate effectiveness. This
means that organizations are unable
to attribute the effectiveness of D&A
to business outcomes which, in turn,
creates a cycle of mistrust that
reverberates down into future
analytical investments and their
perceived returns.”
“
14© 2016 KPMG Bulgaria OOD, a Bulgarian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member f irms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity.
All rights reserved.
Four anchors of trust in D&A Organizations must take a systemic approach to trust, founded on four key anchors:
Quality
Are the fundamental building
blocks good enough?
Effectiveness
Do the analytics work as
intended?
Integrity
Is the D&A being used in an
acceptable way?
Resilience
Are long-term operations
optimized?
VR, AR, MR
16© 2016 KPMG Bulgaria OOD, a Bulgarian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member f irms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity.
All rights reserved.
A broad range of
developments including:
– 1966 flight simulator
– 1980 stereo vision glasses
– 1990 virtual games
– 1994 SEGA motion
simulator
– 1995 Nintendo Virtual
Boy
1935 2015
A science
fiction story
predicts VR
Oculus Rift,
HTC Vive and
Samsung
Gear launched
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021Present
Following the
success of
Pokémon Go, more
smartphone based
AR games go
mainstream.
Use of VR starts
picking up in
businesses, as the
awareness grows and
data/security concerns
are mitigated.
Businesses become
comfortable with
VR products and
begin to appreciate
the enhanced
possibilities provided
by AR platforms.
Early AR technologies
developed by
companies such as
Microsoft and Magic
Leap are making
headsets user
friendly enough to
appeal to the masses.
VR gaming goes
mainstream as the
adoption of Oculus
Rift and HTV Vive
increases and Sony
PlayStation VR is
launched.
As the technology
develops, VR centers
gradually become
more popular,
demonstrating
AR and VR's potential
to broader audiences.
VR becomes a
mass market
product as
techonolgy
companies improve
social engagement.
‘x’R trends
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All rights reserved.
‘x’R is real
VR for mass market
VR for advanced gaming
AR for massmarket
AR and VR centers
VR for businesses
AR for business
Co
nsu
mers
Bu
sin
esses
User friendly and affordable virtual reality devices: to improve
home entertainment experience.
High tech, expensive gear to redefine gaming experience:
proving full immersion into VR.
User-friendly, convenient, ‘cool’ and inexpensive technology:
initially smartphones, later headsets, eye implants, etc.
Sophisticated AR and VR centers (cinemas, theme parks, etc.)
that blend the real world with the digital: placing participants into
hyper-reality experiences.
Products similar to ‘VR for mass market’ but with more
emphasis on safety and security: applicable across many
industries.
Products similar to ‘AR for mass market’ but with less emphasis on
passing the ‘cool' test, and more focus on advanced functionality.
Applicable across most industries.
Increases gradually but only
reaches its true potential once social
interaction is enabled.
Fast growing, but limited to niche
(gaming), gradually increasing as price
becomes more affordable.
High potential via smartphones. Limited
uptake of AR headsets unless they are
considered 'cool.'
Launched in a matter of months (similar
to ‘The Void’ in the US) but staying niche
over the next 5 years.
High potential but slow adoption rates as
overall awareness grows.
High potential but delayed uptake
as the technology is not there yet.
xR product segments Expected developments
Thank you!
Nikola Nyagolov
Director, Advisory
+359 2 9697 320
kpmg.com/trust
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kpmg.com/strategy
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member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
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