technological change ten areas of accelerating opportunity, disruption, and threat envisioning...

Technological Change Ten Areas of Accelerating Opportunity, Disruption, and Threat

Envisioning TranshumanismTEDx Del Mar @ UCSDApr 2012 San Diego, CA

John Smart, President, Acceleration Studies FoundationWeb: Accelerating.org/slides

Los AngelesNew YorkPalo Alto

AccelerationStudiesFoundationA 501(c)(3) Nonprofit

© 2011 Accelerating.org

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There are now 22 universities where you can get a grad degree in foresight, and roughly ten good certificate programs, including SU.

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All good foresight relies on theories and hypotheses of change.

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Ten Areas of Technological Change

1. Nanoscience and Technologies

2. Information Technologies

3. Resource Technologies

4. Engineering Technologies

5. Security Technologies

6. Social Technologies

7. Economic Technologies

8. Health Technologies

9. Political Technologies

10. Cognitive Technologies

Environment

Humanity




Nanoscience and Nanotechnologies

▪ Small-Scale Physics

▪ Fission and Fusion

▪ Nanochemistry

▪ Nanocomputing

▪ Nanodevices



Information Technologies


▪ Computing (Super, Enterprise, Personal, Mobile, Web)

▪ Communication and Networks

▪ Big Data, Maps, and Algorithms

▪ Conversational Interface

▪ Agents and Cybertwins



Resource Technologies


▪ Energy

▪ Water

▪ Food

▪ Population

▪ Ecosystem and Other Resources



Engineering Technologies


▪ Smart Cities

▪ Dematerialization and Efficiency

▪ Greentech and Pollution

▪ Transportation and Logistics

▪ Manufacturing Automation and Robotics



Security Technologies


▪ Intelligence and Reciprocal Transparency

▪ Physical Security, Stability, and Openness

▪ Cybersecurity and Decentralization

▪ Machine Ethics and Autonomy

▪ Immunity and Resilence



Social Technologies


▪ Education and Individuation

▪ Social Freedom and Creativity

▪ Entertainment, Fun, and Positive-Sum Games

▪ Social and Symbiont Networks

▪ Values and Values-Mapped Web (Valuecosm)



Economic Technologies


▪ The West vs. the Rest

▪ Economic Equitability and Incentives

▪ Productivity, Collaboration, and Employment

▪ Finance, Entrepreneurship, and Innovation

▪ Development, Economic Freedom, Tech Disruption



©2012 Accelerating.org

Health Technologies

▪ Ambient Intelligence

▪ Public Health and Disease Control

▪ Medical Biotech, Implants, HMIs

▪ Regenerative Medicine and Longevity

▪ Big Pharma and Enhancement



Political Technologies


▪ Political Representation and Incentives

▪ Power Politics

▪ Laws, Justice, Corruption

▪ Political Freedom

▪ Military Power



Cognitive Technologies


▪ Personal Freedom and Creativity

▪ Ethics, Religion, Higher Purpose

▪ Privacy

▪ Mental Health and Corrections

▪ Human Performance and Extended Cognition

technological change ten areas of accelerating opportunity, disruption, and threat envisioning...

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