technical analysis by alan sutton. background history shift / change in markets strive for...

Technical AnalysisBy

Alan Sutton

Background History

• Shift / Change in Markets

• Strive for perfection

• Into the future

Variable Considerations

• Cultivar

• Soil types

• Height / Age of tree

• Pruning technique

• Weather conditions

Important points to note

• Method of application

• Chemical – active ingredient (resistance)

• DOSAGE

• Equipment calibration

• Scouting

• Record keeping

Farm comparisonsSpray programs and results

Example 1: Beaumonts – Kiepersol/HazyviewSpray Program

Date Product Details6 & 7/08/2014 Acephate (2kg/ha) Farm perimeter and bush spray

13/10/2014 Ampligo (400ml/ha) Entire farm

22/11/2014 Ampligo (400ml/ha) Entire farm

05/01/2015Delegate & Ampligo (300ml/ha & 400ml/ha) Entire farm

18/02/2015 Karate Zeon (400ml/ha) Entire farm (picked up that the product was failing to kill the bugs)

20/02/2015 Acephate (2kg/ha)Entire farm (effectively killing the bugs which were previously not being killed)

01/03/2015 Acephate (2kg/ha) 50% of the farm in identified hotspot areas

27/03/2015 Acephate (2kg/ha) Entire farm

14/04/2015 Acephate (2kg/ha) 5 hectacres In identified hotspot areas

06/06/2015 Acephate (2kg/ha) 50% of the farm in identified hotspot areas

Example 1: Beaumont Results

Month Tons Delivered

Average USK Average SKR

April 68 718kg 3.03% 34.43%

May 98 295kg 2.79% 35.04%

June 29 319kg 2.99% 34.74%

Year to date 196 332kg 2.88% 34.84%

Reason for USK:

1.63% Late Stinkbug

0.38% Onion ring

0.33% Early stinkbug

0.28% Immature0.10% Mould

Example 2: All VarietiesSpray Program

Date Product Details Date Product Details

July

AgriBoost (20L/2000L)

x 1Application January

Ampligo (400ml/2000L) x 1 application

AgriFulbor (2,5L/2000L) AgriZinc (5L/2000L)Surebuff (140ml/2000L) AgriIron (5L/2000L)Aquawett (500ml/2000L) AgriFulbor (5L/2000L)

August

Chess (2kg/2000L)

x 1 ApplicationJanuary

Ampligo (400ml/2000L)

1 applicationAmistar Top (500ml/2000L) Surebuff (1400ml/2000L)Surebuff (1400ml/2000L) Aquawett (500ml/2000L)Aquawett (500ml/2000L)

FebruaryAcephate (2kg/2000L)

x 2 application

SeptemberAcephate (2kg/2000L)

x 1 ApplicationSurebuff (1400ml/2000L)

Surebuff (1400ml/2000L) Aquawett (500ml/2000L)Aquawett (500ml/2000L)

MarchMethamex (1kg/2000L - Ha)

1 applicationOctober

Acephate (2kg/2000L) x 1 Application

Surebuff (5L/2000L - Ha)Surebuff (1400ml/2000L) Aquawett (5L/2000L)Aquawett (500ml/2000L)

OctoberImmodar (36L/2000L)

Soil drench : 1L per treeSurebuff (1400ml/2000L)

NovemberAmpligo (400ml/2000L)

x 2 applicationsSurebuff (1400ml/2000L)Aquawett (500ml/2000L)

DecemberAcephate (2kg/2000L)

x 1 ApplicationSurebuff (1400ml/2000L)Aquawett (500ml/2000L)

Example 2.1: Hazyview/Sabie RoadVariety Year to date

Tons DeliveredAverage USK Average SKR

246 5 864.2kg 0.75% 37.25%

344 2 190kg 1.13% 36.17%

741 3 640.6kg 1.86% 33.05%

788 13 698.2kg 2.69% 33.79%

791 28 796.8kg 2.74% 32.36%

816 22 108.4kg 0.87% 43.72%

Beaumont 57 250.2kg 1.03% 38.16%

Year to date 139 698.4kg 1,58% 36.32%

Reason for USK: 0.7% Late Stinkbug0.12% Nut Borer

0.21% Onion ring0.35% Mould

0.24% Early stinkbug0.45% Immature

Example 2.2: Sabaan Valley

Variety Year to dateTons Delivered


816 2 243.2kg 1.04% 43.57%

Beaumont 60 475kg 2.04% 34.82%

Year to date 62 718.8kg 1.54% 35.74%

Reason for USK: 0.58% Late Stinkbug


0.34% Early stinkbug0.60% Immature


Variety Year to date Tons Delivered


344 3 735.4kg 1.54% 30.01%

Beaumont 44 654.2kg 1.03% 35.19%

Year to date 48 389.6kg 1.28% 33.46%


0.11% Onion ring2,50% Mould

0.24% Early stinkbug0,28% Immature




Beaumont 25 804kg 1.27% 33.36%

Nelmac 1 000kg 2.66% 31.87%

Year to date 26 804kg 1.41% 33.21%

Reason for USK: 0.17% Late Stinkbug0,42% Immature

0.24% Onion ring

0.49% Early stinkbug

Example 2.5: Hazyview/Kiepersol



816 10 732.6kg 1.07% 40.42%

Beaumont 28 5674kg 1.87% 35.14%

Year to date 39 296.7kg 1.43% 38.04%


0.73% Mould 0.28% Immature

Example 2.6: Kiepersol



788 1 313kg 1.33% 37.51%

816 19 125.4kg 1.47% 41.05%

Beaumont 21 744.4kg 1.80% 36.97%

Year to date 42 182.8kg 1,53% 40.92%


0.13% Early stinkbug0.33% Mould

0.93% Immature

Example 2.7: White RiverVariety Year to date


791 30 848kg 2.51% 30.73%

816 12 804kg 1.05% 39.78%

Beaumont 56 140.6kg 2.28% 34.77%

Year to date 99 793.5kg 1.95% 34.53%

Reason for USK: 0.33% Late Stinkbug0.38% Early stinkbug


0.33% Immature

Example 2.8: LevubuVariety Year to date


344 19 655.5kg 5.41% 28.07%

788 22 148.5kg 5.03% 31.67%

BMT 89 966.5kg 6.91% 36.88%

KAU 18 132.5kg 9.35% 24.90%

MIX 922kg 4.10% 31.41%

N26 1 3852kg 3.51% 36.10%

Nelmac 2 22 308kg 4.21% 33.09%

Year to date 186 985kg 6.09% 32.29%

Reason for USK: 1.85% Late Stinkbug0.54% Early stinkbug


0.39% Immature

Example 3: Nelmac 26 & Beaumont - AlkmaarSpray Program

Date Product Details Date Product Details

August

Klartan 30ml/100L

November

Akito 25ml/100L

Defender 30ml/100L Metalosaat Sink 625ml/ha

Demeter 50gr/100L Metalosaat Yster 625ml/ha

Metalosaat Kalsium 625ml/ha In-Cap 50ml/100L

Citrifio 2L/haDecember

Orthene 100gr/100L

In-Cap 50ml/100L In-Cap 50ml/100L

September

Allice 50gr/100LJanuary

Akito 25ml/100L

Metalosaat Kalsium 625ml/ha In-Cap 50ml/100L

Metalosaat Sink 625ml/haFebruary

Orthene 100gr/100L

Metalosaat Yster 625ml/ha In-Cap 50ml/100L

Citrifio 2L/haMarch

Akito 25ml/100L

In-Cap 50ml/100L In-Cap 50ml/100L

October

Orthene 100gr/100LApril

Orthene 100gr/100L

Metalosaat Sink 625ml/ha In-Cap 50ml/100L

Metalosaat Yster 625ml/haMay

Akito 25ml/100L

Citrifio 50ml/100L In-Cap 50ml/100L

In-Cap 2L/ha

Example 3.1: Beaumont Results


Average USK Average SKR Variety

April 4831kg 0.48% 36.06%

May 33 794kg 1.36% 34.87%

June 23 808kg 1.66% 33.69%

Year to date 67 563kg 1.48% 34.87%

Reason for USK:

0.61% Late Stinkbug

0.56% Early Stinkbug

0.25% Immature

Example 3.2:Nelmac 26 Results



April 12 315kg 1.06% 34.37%

Reason for USK:

0.27% Late Stinkbug0.12% Mould

0.40% Immature0.09% Nut Borer

0.19 % Onion ring

Example 4: 791 & Beaumont - HazyviewVariety Year to date

Tons DeliveredAverage USK

October 2014 Asephate 2kg/ha 1 Application

November 2014 Avalance 500ml/ha 1 Application

Ampligo 350ml/ha 1 Application

December 2014 Avalance 500ml/ha 1 Application

January 2015 Cypervos 1.6L/ha 1 Application

February 2015 Bulldog 500ml/ha 1 Application

Asephate 2kg/ha 1 Application

March 2015 Avalance 1L/ha 2 Applications

Asephate 2kg/ha 1 Application

April 2015 Asephate 2kg/ha 1 Application

Avalance 500ml/ha 1 Application

Example 4.1: 791



January 6 536kg 6.20% 23.26%

February 3 286kg 5.92% 23.97%

April 8 563kg 11.37% 19.22%

May 22 496kg 10.44% 20.88%

Year to date 40 881kg 9.30% 20.63%

Reason for USK: 0.65% Early Stinkbug

4.25% Late Stinkbug

0.55% Immature

1.25% Mould/Rotten

1.52% 791 Spot

Example 4.2: Beaumont



June 22 496kg 2.46% 34.40%

Reason for USK: 1.76% late stink bug

0.70% Immature nuts

technical analysis by alan sutton. background history shift / change in markets strive for...

Documents

late stinkbug0

early stinkbug0

onion ring0

mlhaentire farm22112014ampligo

onion ring2

sabaan valleyvarietyyear

nut borer0

killed01032015acephate