technical analysis
DESCRIPTION
Security analysis - (Technical Analysis)TRANSCRIPT
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Fundamental analysis is finding out the intrinsic value of the shareTechnical analyst studies the price movements in the marketPrice-volume and supply-demand for overall market and individual stockThe technical analyst tries to study the trend in the market by considering the historical share prices
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The price fluctuations reflects logical and emotional forcesThe technician mustIdentify the trendRecognise when one trend comes to an end and prices start in opposite direction.He seldom rely upon a single indicator, as no one indicator is sufficient for prediction
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Price is determined by supply and demandAll information is reflected in prices of shareMarket always moves in a trendPast prices predict the future
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Based on the doctrine given by Charles H. Dow in 1884.A J Nelson, formalised the Dow theory for economic forecastingThe Analysts used charts of individual stocks and moving averages in the early 1920s.Generally used techniques:Market indicators, volume indicators and other market indicators
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He identified three distinct cyclical trends that guide the general direction.Primary trend: long range cycle that carries the entire market up or downSecondary trend: corrects the deviations in the primary trendMinor trend: day to day fluctuationsCharles Dow known as the Godfather of TA
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A bull market is when the current up swing is more than the previous up swing and When the current downward movement is bellow the previous then the market is bearish
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Minor trend
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A support level exists at a price where considerable demand for that stock is expected to prevent further fall in the price level.In support level demand for the particular scrip is expected.The negative swing in the price may be halted.The price of the stocks will never move bellow that. For the time being it may result even in price reversal.
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The supply of scrip would be greater than the demand and further rise in price is prevented.The selling pressure is greater and the increase in price is halted for the time being.When the stock prices touches certain level and then drops, this is called resistance levelWhen the stock prices reaches down to a certain level and then rises there exists a support.
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If the scrip price reverses the support level and moves downward, it means that the selling pressure has overcome the potential buying pressure signaling the possibility of a further fall in the value of the scrip. It is violation of the support level and bearish market.
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If the scrip penetrates the previous top and moves above, it is the violation of resistance level. At this point buying pressure would be more than the selling pressure. If the scrip was to move above the double top or triple top formation, it indicates bullish market.
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It need not form on the tops or bottomsIt can also formed in gaps (time when the scrip does not change hands)If the prices are in the upward move and the high of any day is lower than the next days low , the gap is said to have occurred.If the price closes in a price and opens in another price then this indicates the stock has not traded but changes price.
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Indicators are used to find out the direction of the market. Indicators are normally price and volume of share tradeThose are price indicators and volume indicatorsAdvances and declines, New Highs and New lows and The most active list are the price indicatorsVolume of trade, Short sales and Odd Lot trading are volume indicators.
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Price IndicatorsAdvances and declinesNew Highs and New lowsThe most active listVolume IndicatorsVolume of trade Short salesOdd Lot tradingMathematical IndicatorsMoving AveragesExponential Moving AveragesOscillators:Relative Strength IndexRate of Change
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Advances and declines are also referred to as the breadth of the market. It is the difference between the number of shares moving up and number of shares moving down. The net difference is added to the previous day and plotted in a graph. A comparison with the index will show the future market direction. If there is a divergence the change in market is predicted.
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DayAdvanceDeclinesNetBreadthNSE NiftyMonday14867747127125876.89Tuesday131096634410565883.33Wednesday8981225-3277295646.46Thursday11081091177465810.17Friday9311279-3483985623.08
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Chart1
7125876.89
10565883.33
7295646.46
7465810.17
3985623.08
Bredth
Nifty
Sheet1
BredthNiftySeries 3
Monday7125876.892
Tuesday10565883.332
Wednesday7295646.463
Thursday7465810.175
Friday3985623.08
To resize chart data range, drag lower right corner of range.
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It is used as a supplementary to the breadthHigh low differential index is preparedNumber of new highs lead to a rising marketThe number of BSE stocks making new highs minus new lows is averaged for a five-day period.A moving average smooth out erratic daily fluctuations and exposes the trend. Such high-low index would normally move with the market. Divergence is a clue for future movement.
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The major newspapers and financial magazines publishes most active list of stock.The number of stocks hardly represents 1% of the total issues but account for around 15% of total volume.The most active list moves ahead of the marketThe movement of the active list helps in predicting the market
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Volume of Trade expands as along with the bull market and narrows down in a bear market.The volume will fall with rise in price and vice versaLarge rise in price or large fall in price leads to increase in volumeIf the volume decline for five consecutive days, then it will continue for another four days and the same is true in increasing volume.
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Short selling refers to selling shares that re not owned. (Short interest)Bears are short sellers who sell in the hope that they will buy the same in future with a low priceIncrease in short selling increases the future demand and market will become bullishThese indicators cannot be considered in isolation.
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Monthly short sales are compared with the average daily volume of the preceding month. The ratio between these two indicates how many days of trading it would take to use up the total short interest.When it is less 1, the market is weak or weakening. Between 1 to 1.5 considered as neutral. More than 1.5 or 2 indicates bullish and highly favorable.
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Small investors often do not buy more than 100 shares and such buyers and sellers are termed as odd-lotters.Ratio of odd lot purchases to odd lot sales is the odd lot index. (>1 more buying)If the odd lot volume is increasing shows a bullish market and reverse for bearishIf odd lotters dominates the market the market is considered as technically weak.
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Simple Moving AveragesExponential Moving AverageOscillators: Relative Strength IndexRate of Change IndicatorsMoving Average Convergence and Divergence
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To smoothen the data moving average technique is used. (Long Term and Short Term)Moving average of 5 days means on the 6th day while calculating average the 1st price is ignored and the 6th price is added and the process continues.It specifies the trend and predicts the future movement of the stockTen or thirty days moving average is used for short term forecasting
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DayPriceAverage1-Sep-09123.25-2-Sep-09120.75-3-Sep-09119.9121.34-Sep-09120.25120.37-Sep-09121.6120.58333338-Sep-09121.6121.159-Sep-09122.7121.966666710-Sep-09120.9121.733333311-Sep-09119.2120.933333314-Sep-09118.7119.6
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Individual stock price average is compared with market index moving average. Both are plotted in a graph and trend is comparedIf the stock price is below the market index then bearish and reverse for bullishIf the stock price penetrates the index from above then sell signal.If it pushes up from bellow then buy signal
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The closing price and the moving average of the stock prices are compared Both the line move along each otherTheir intersection indicates a shift in the moveDownward penetration indicates a fall and upward indicates a rise in the prices
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When LT and ST moving averages intersects with each other, a buy or sell signal is indicated.ST moving average intersects the LT curve and falls below, it is bearishWhen the prices are rising the ST intersects from blow giving a buy signalWhen LT is above the ST expect that the prices will rise in near future.
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DaysPrices
Chart1
331
352
37.53
364
3936.1
4037.5
40.538.6
38.538.8
4139.8
4240.4
4441.2
42.541.6
4242.3
4442.9
4543.5
Closing Prices
5 day MA
Sheet1
DaysClosing Prices5 day MA
133
235
337.5
436
53936.1
64037.5
740.538.6
838.538.8
94139.8
104240.4
114441.2
1242.541.6
134242.3
144442.9
154543.5
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EMA = (Current Closing price Previous EMA) x Factor + Previous EMA
Where n = number of days for which the average is to be calculated.If we are calculating 5 day EMA then the correct EMA will be from 6th day onwards.It is prepared with the price trend then the intersection points are decision points.Factor =
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Data sheet
Chart1
82.284.5950617284
81.483.5300411523
81.1582.7366941015
80.0581.841129401
82.0581.910752934
82.3582.0571686227
8181.7047790818
81.381.5698527212
8281.7132351475
83.582.3088234316
83.782.7725489544
80.982.1483659696
79.4581.2489106464
78.8580.4492737643
77.479.4328491762
7577.9552327841
75.277.0368218561
73.875.9578812374
74.175.3385874916
74.5575.0757249944
73.974.6838166629
73.374.222544442
74.2574.2316962946
75.174.5211308631
73.274.0807539087
73.7573.9705026058
74.274.0470017372
76.2574.7813344915
77.175.5542229943
Price
EMA
Sheet1
DaysClosing PriceEMA
190.990.9
290.7590.85
385.789.1333333333Factor0.3333333333`Factor is calculated by deviding 2/(n+1), where n = number of days for which moving avg. is calculated
483.687.2888888889
582.885.7925925926EMA`= (Current price - Previous EMA) x Factor + Previous EMA
682.284.5950617284
781.483.5300411523If we are calculating 5 day moving average the correct EMA will be from 6th day onwards
881.1582.7366941015
980.0581.841129401
1082.0581.910752934
1182.3582.0571686227
128181.7047790818
1381.381.5698527212
148281.7132351475
1583.582.3088234316
1683.782.7725489544
1780.982.1483659696
1879.4581.2489106464
1978.8580.4492737643
2077.479.4328491762
217577.9552327841
2275.277.0368218561
2373.875.9578812374
2474.175.3385874916
2574.5575.0757249944
2673.974.6838166629
2773.374.222544442
2874.2574.2316962946
2975.174.5211308631
3073.274.0807539087
3173.7573.9705026058
3274.274.0470017372
3376.2574.7813344915
3477.175.5542229943
357776.0361486629
367876.6907657753
3777.0576.8105105168
3877.3576.9903403446
3977.4577.1435602297
4076.176.7957068198
4179.4577.6804712132
4276.2577.2036474755
4378.277.5357649836
4480.278.4238433224
4579.478.7492288816
4686.8581.4494859211
4790.384.3996572807
4890.4586.4164381871
4990.987.9109587914
5093.489.7406391943
5192.790.7270927962
5294.8592.1013951975
5397.193.7675967983
5494.9594.1617311989
5594.894.3744874659
5695.194.6163249773
5795.6594.9608833182
5899.1596.3572555455
5992.7595.1548370303
6093.9594.7532246869
6196.195.2021497912
6295.0595.1514331942
6396.4595.5842887961
6495.0595.4061925307
6593.494.7374616872
6694.6594.7083077914
6795.1594.8555385276
6893.3594.3536923518
6992.793.8024615678
7090.5592.7183077119
7187.791.0455384746
7289.6590.5803589831
7384.888.6535726554
7487.4588.2523817702
7589.1588.5515878468
7692.3589.8177252312
7795.591.7118168208
7895.5592.9912112139
7996.294.0608074759
8093.593.8738716506
8192.5593.4325811004
8289.5592.1383874003
8391.791.9922582668
8492.592.1615055112
8591.391.8743370075
8689.290.9828913383
8789.0590.3385942256
8889.389.9923961504
8989.989.9615974336
9086.988.9410649557
9188.288.6940433038
9290.789.3626955359
9392.1590.2917970239
9492.1590.9111980159
9588.9590.257465344
9687.289.2383102293
9788.2588.9088734862
9890.589.4392489908
9991.390.0594993272
10090.6590.2563328848
10192.791.0708885899
10296.6592.9305923932
10395.6593.8370615955
10493.9593.8747077303
10591.7593.1664718202
10680.9589.0943145468
10782.386.8295430312
10879.0584.2363620208
10981.583.3242413472
1108483.5494942315
11183.7583.6163294876
11283.2583.4942196584
11382.983.296146439
11480.682.3974309593
11579.581.4316206395
11680.881.2210804264
11785.1582.5307202842
11883.182.7204801895
11980.9582.1303201263
12081.8582.0368800842
12181.681.8912533895
12281.5581.7775022597
12380.3581.3016681731
12481.2581.2844454487
12578.480.3229636325
1267678.881975755
12779.0578.9379838367
12879.479.0919892244
12980.779.6279928163
13079.3579.5353285442
13179.179.3902190295
13283.180.6268126863
13386.0582.4345417909
13480.481.7563611939
13579.180.8709074626
13680.680.7806049751
13780.3580.6370699834
13877.4579.5747133223
13976.1578.4331422148
14071.676.1554281432
14171.3574.5536187621
14271.473.5024125081
14366.571.1682750054
14466.0569.4621833369
14568.4569.1247888913
14665.7567.9998592609
14766.667.5332395072
14866.7567.2721596715
14968.367.6147731143
15072.2569.1598487429
15171.469.9065658286
15269.869.8710438857
15367.9569.2306959238
15469.169.1871306159
15567.9568.7747537439
15669.0568.8665024959
15773.470.3776683306
15874.371.6851122204
15972.271.8567414803
16071.271.6378276535
16170.2571.1752184357
16267.469.9168122905
16370.169.9778748603
16467.4569.1352499069
16568.5568.9401666046
16671.4569.7767777364
16770.0569.8678518243
16872.3570.6952345495
16975.872.396823033
17078.474.397882022
17180.8576.5485880147
17284.9579.3490586764
17385.381.3327057843
17484.782.4551371895
17588.384.403424793
17684.4584.418949862
17786.9585.2626332413
17892.0587.5250888276
17990.4588.5000592184
18090.789.2333728122
18188.7589.0722485415
18291.6589.9314990277
18388.389.3876660184
18489.189.2917773456
18588.1588.9111848971
18688.8588.8907899314
18792.7590.1771932876
18894.6591.6681288584
18990.191.1454192389
19088.0590.113612826
19189.7589.9924085506
19292.590.8282723671
19396.9592.8688482447
194100.695.4458988298
195105.198.6639325532
196109.9102.4092883688
197109.1104.6395255792
198110.2106.4930170528
199111.55108.1786780352
200110.05108.8024520235
201110.7109.4349680156
202109.25109.3733120104
203113.6110.782208007
204117.2112.9214720046
205120.1115.3143146698
206123.5118.0428764465
207123.85119.9785842977
208124.05121.3357228651
209121.1121.2571485767
210124.7122.4047657178
211123.3122.7031771452
212124.85123.4187847635
213123.6123.4791898423
214123.35123.4361265615
215121.95122.940751041
216124.6123.4938340274
217127.75124.9125560182
218129.7126.5083706788
219128.3127.1055804525
220126.95127.0537203017
Plot
DayPriceEMA
682.284.5950617284
781.483.5300411523
881.1582.7366941015
980.0581.841129401
1082.0581.910752934
1182.3582.0571686227
128181.7047790818
1381.381.5698527212
148281.7132351475
1583.582.3088234316
1683.782.7725489544
1780.982.1483659696
1879.4581.2489106464
1978.8580.4492737643
2077.479.4328491762
217577.9552327841
2275.277.0368218561
2373.875.9578812374
2474.175.3385874916
2574.5575.0757249944
2673.974.6838166629
2773.374.222544442
2874.2574.2316962946
2975.174.5211308631
3073.274.0807539087
3173.7573.9705026058
3274.274.0470017372
3376.2574.7813344915
3477.175.5542229943
Plot
Price
EMA
Sheet3
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Relative Strength IndexRate of Change IndicatorsMoving Average Convergence and Divergence
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It indicates the scrip momentum, shows the share price movement across a reference across a reference point from one extreme to another. The momentum indicates; Overbought and oversold conditionsSignals possible trend reversalRise or decline in the momentum
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Developed by Wells Wilder. An oscillator used to identify the inherent technical strength and weakness of a particular scrip or market.If the RSI crosses seventy there may be downturn and it is time to sell. If RSI falls below thirty time to buy the scrip.
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It is normally prepared for 14 days basisThe RSI of the 14 days interval are plotted in graphIf RSI is above the Overbought /Over sold zone time to take actionThis kind of situation occurs due to large buying or large sellingThe term oversold speaks that the market has declined to a new low The overbought speaks that the market has touched the new highs
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Data sheet
Chart1
37.8343949045
38.9254941713
45.4545454545
43.1034482759
41.1280846063
41.1280846063
39.3258426966
34.3473994112
30.7237813885
24.5883644347
24.5883644347
23.6501079914
26.6628766345
27.1969211033
22.8416043508
27.9365079365
29.6296296296
29.9610894942
27.6752767528
34.2789598109
39.378238342
46.4362850972
50.4657070279
51.5501081471
51.0204081633
47.0588235294
42.3248882265
49.5436766623
41.8886198547
45.6896551724
48.8843813387
53.1135531136
62.4082232012
65.6836461126
58.2166543847
57.5280898876
54.8903878583
61.1210282042
63.2715008432
62.1273166801
59.1857000993
72.3300970874
70.7692307692
69.2446043165
69.465648855
41.975308642
38.1578947368
41.5745856354
46.6155810983
44.6724023825
43.0759412891
43.1832593532
40.9360580092
38.9028325565
35.538814281
41.117245859
43.5865504359
36.684303351
46.0490463215
41.4285714286
43.0555555556
41.8009478673
46.0930640913
46.9437652812
42.3381189569
41.3062928721
43.2739059968
44.7111359196
40.9509202454
40.3016120645
38.648488441
41.3902509374
47.4066732739
49.822569198
46.5204236006
39.3653516295
28.6103542234
33.8662179218
40.3641881639
42.7222659323
37.443111295
36.9538587178
34.1584158416
34.9633251834
36.5474339036
35.8839050132
34.5177664975
38.2775119617
44.2363112392
50.8278145695
51.4087083791
48.5294117647
35.6171284635
38.5429189709
38.487394958
37.8059836809
40.1657217619
43.5009487666
49.1631276543
49.5343569091
50.78447564
47.2440944882
43.2364096081
47.9558565337
48.136958711
61.5384615385
60.626029654
67.2760511883
69.3486590038
68.1581685744
62.7515208236
57.6774193548
53.8770590599
58.2322357019
53.6180727144
53.6180727144
45.8149779736
49.7607655502
59.4660194175
63.6824936571
51.5702964485
49.3955580545
46.600331675
52.1973348455
52.108689499
54.1311379006
47.9382972412
55.2060396351
51.7941773866
47.2513897468
47.0190534726
41.874578557
35.1893095768
36.7346938776
31.4036478985
31.6205533597
37.9812064262
41.0415984278
40.5632890903
45.3164556962
48.2479784367
53.553967657
61.0287707062
63.7305699482
61.1419508327
63.248564397
65.4205607477
69.425119004
67.4181818182
64.5148514851
61.0340951667
58.7554269175
61.4530776993
55.7182067704
54.5777777778
58.0803937654
55.5265448216
57.8034682081
60.4026845638
55.4118018302
56.5357372827
62.2411693057
54.4371649792
56.5217391304
60.0818833163
61.2091408736
56.9701280228
57.5471698113
56.9892473118
53.9203247907
51.906779661
51.9262981575
52.4834437086
51.3387054848
49.0889311939
47.6378991818
47.9814862433
41.8845159437
42.0191765369
48.1593545134
48.1226864093
49.820971867
53.6667689475
60.1431980907
54.4194641207
54.9604382228
56.6792861006
55.4752640356
65.6578947368
70.0956937799
71.3958810069
71.4937286203
70.7943925234
68.3544303797
64.4886363636
54.2835481425
52.2267206478
55.3971486762
55.6380823768
56.4964004114
63.0730319317
63.2329635499
61.1390284757
60.5442176871
59.2267135325
57.1327433628
RSI
Relative Strength Index
Raw Data RSI
DaysClosing PriceGainsLossRSI
190.9-
290.750.15
385.75.05
483.62.1
582.80.8
682.20.6
781.40.8
881.150.25
980.051.1
1082.052
1182.350.3
12811.35
1381.30.3
14820.7
1583.51.537.8343949045
1683.70.238.9254941713
1780.92.845.4545454545
1879.451.4543.1034482759
1978.850.641.1280846063
2077.41.4541.1280846063
21752.439.3258426966
2275.20.234.3473994112
2373.81.430.7237813885
2474.10.324.5883644347
2574.550.4524.5883644347
2673.90.6523.6501079914
2773.30.626.6628766345
2874.250.9527.1969211033
2975.10.8522.8416043508
3073.21.927.9365079365
3173.750.5529.6296296296
3274.20.4529.9610894942
3376.252.0527.6752767528
3477.10.8534.2789598109
35770.139.378238342
3678146.4362850972
3777.050.9550.4657070279
3877.350.351.5501081471
3977.450.151.0204081633
4076.11.3547.0588235294
4179.453.3542.3248882265
4276.253.249.5436766623
4378.21.9541.8886198547
4480.2245.6896551724
4579.40.848.8843813387
4686.857.4553.1135531136
4790.33.4562.4082232012
4890.450.1565.6836461126
4990.90.4558.2166543847
5093.42.557.5280898876
5192.70.754.8903878583
5294.852.1561.1210282042
5397.12.2563.2715008432
5494.952.1562.1273166801
5594.80.1559.1857000993
5695.10.372.3300970874
5795.650.5570.7692307692
5899.153.569.2446043165
5992.756.469.465648855
6093.951.241.975308642
6196.12.1538.1578947368
6295.051.0541.5745856354
6396.451.446.6155810983
6495.051.444.6724023825
6593.41.6543.0759412891
6694.651.2543.1832593532
6795.150.540.9360580092
6893.351.838.9028325565
6992.70.6535.538814281
7090.552.1541.117245859
7187.72.8543.5865504359
7289.651.9536.684303351
7384.84.8546.0490463215
7487.452.6541.4285714286
7589.151.743.0555555556
7692.353.241.8009478673
7795.53.1546.0930640913
7895.550.0546.9437652812
7996.20.6542.3381189569
8093.52.741.3062928721
8192.550.9543.2739059968
8289.55344.7111359196
8391.72.1540.9509202454
8492.50.840.3016120645
8591.31.238.648488441
8689.22.141.3902509374
8789.050.1547.4066732739
8889.30.2549.822569198
8989.90.646.5204236006
9086.9339.3653516295
9188.21.328.6103542234
9290.72.533.8662179218
9392.151.4540.3641881639
9492.15042.7222659323
9588.953.237.443111295
9687.21.7536.9538587178
9788.251.0534.1584158416
9890.52.2534.9633251834
9991.30.836.5474339036
10090.650.6535.8839050132
10192.72.0534.5177664975
10296.653.9538.2775119617
10395.65144.2363112392
10493.951.750.8278145695
10591.752.251.4087083791
10680.9510.848.5294117647
10782.31.3535.6171284635
10879.053.2538.5429189709
10981.52.4538.487394958
110842.537.8059836809
11183.750.2540.1657217619
11283.250.543.5009487666
11382.90.3549.1631276543
11480.62.349.5343569091
11579.51.150.78447564
11680.81.347.2440944882
11785.154.3543.2364096081
11883.12.0547.9558565337
11980.952.1548.136958711
12081.850.961.5384615385
12181.60.2560.626029654
12281.550.0567.2760511883
12380.351.269.3486590038
12481.250.968.1581685744
12578.42.8562.7515208236
126762.457.6774193548
12779.053.0553.8770590599
12879.40.3558.2322357019
12980.71.353.6180727144
13079.351.3553.6180727144
13179.10.2545.8149779736
13283.1449.7607655502
13386.052.9559.4660194175
13480.45.6563.6824936571
13579.11.351.5702964485
13680.61.549.3955580545
13780.350.2546.600331675
13877.452.952.1973348455
13976.151.352.108689499
14071.64.5554.1311379006
14171.350.2547.9382972412
14271.40.0555.2060396351
14366.54.951.7941773866
14466.050.4547.2513897468
14568.452.447.0190534726
14665.752.741.874578557
14766.60.8535.1893095768
14866.750.1536.7346938776
14968.31.5531.4036478985
15072.253.9531.6205533597
15171.40.8537.9812064262
15269.81.641.0415984278
15367.951.8540.5632890903
15469.1-1.1545.3164556962
15567.951.1548.2479784367
15669.051.153.553967657
15773.44.3561.0287707062
15874.30.963.7305699482
15972.22.161.1419508327
16071.2163.248564397
16170.250.9565.4205607477
16267.42.8569.425119004
16370.12.767.4181818182
16467.452.6564.5148514851
16568.551.161.0340951667
16671.452.958.7554269175
16770.051.461.4530776993
16872.352.355.7182067704
16975.83.4554.5777777778
17078.42.658.0803937654
17180.852.4555.5265448216
17284.954.157.8034682081
17385.30.3560.4026845638
17484.70.655.4118018302
17588.33.656.5357372827
17684.453.8562.2411693057
17786.952.554.4371649792
17892.055.156.5217391304
17990.451.660.0818833163
18090.70.2561.2091408736
18188.751.9556.9701280228
18291.652.957.5471698113
18388.33.3556.9892473118
18489.10.853.9203247907
18588.150.9551.906779661
18688.850.751.9262981575
18792.753.952.4834437086
18894.651.951.3387054848
18990.14.5549.0889311939
19088.052.0547.6378991818
19189.751.747.9814862433
19292.52.7541.8845159437
19396.954.4542.0191765369
194100.63.6548.1593545134
195105.14.548.1226864093
196109.94.849.820971867
197109.10.853.6667689475
198110.21.160.1431980907
199111.551.3554.4194641207
200110.051.554.9604382228
201110.70.6556.6792861006
202109.251.4555.4752640356
203113.64.3565.6578947368
204117.23.670.0956937799
205120.12.971.3958810069
206123.53.471.4937286203
207123.850.3570.7943925234
208124.050.268.3544303797
209121.12.9564.4886363636
210124.73.654.2835481425
211123.31.452.2267206478
212124.851.5555.3971486762
213123.61.2555.6380823768
214123.350.2556.4964004114
215121.951.463.0730319317
216124.62.6563.2329635499
217127.753.1561.1390284757
218129.71.9560.5442176871
219128.31.459.2267135325
220126.951.3557.1327433628
Plot
RSI
37.8343949045
38.9254941713
45.4545454545
43.1034482759
41.1280846063
41.1280846063
39.3258426966
34.3473994112
30.7237813885
24.5883644347
24.5883644347
23.6501079914
26.6628766345
27.1969211033
22.8416043508
27.9365079365
29.6296296296
29.9610894942
27.6752767528
34.2789598109
39.378238342
46.4362850972
50.4657070279
51.5501081471
51.0204081633
47.0588235294
42.3248882265
49.5436766623
41.8886198547
45.6896551724
48.8843813387
53.1135531136
62.4082232012
65.6836461126
58.2166543847
57.5280898876
54.8903878583
61.1210282042
63.2715008432
62.1273166801
59.1857000993
72.3300970874
70.7692307692
69.2446043165
69.465648855
41.975308642
38.1578947368
41.5745856354
46.6155810983
44.6724023825
43.0759412891
43.1832593532
40.9360580092
38.9028325565
35.538814281
41.117245859
43.5865504359
36.684303351
46.0490463215
41.4285714286
43.0555555556
41.8009478673
46.0930640913
46.9437652812
42.3381189569
41.3062928721
43.2739059968
44.7111359196
40.9509202454
40.3016120645
38.648488441
41.3902509374
47.4066732739
49.822569198
46.5204236006
39.3653516295
28.6103542234
33.8662179218
40.3641881639
42.7222659323
37.443111295
36.9538587178
34.1584158416
34.9633251834
36.5474339036
35.8839050132
34.5177664975
38.2775119617
44.2363112392
50.8278145695
51.4087083791
48.5294117647
35.6171284635
38.5429189709
38.487394958
37.8059836809
40.1657217619
43.5009487666
49.1631276543
49.5343569091
50.78447564
47.2440944882
43.2364096081
47.9558565337
48.136958711
61.5384615385
60.626029654
67.2760511883
69.3486590038
68.1581685744
62.7515208236
57.6774193548
53.8770590599
58.2322357019
53.6180727144
53.6180727144
45.8149779736
49.7607655502
59.4660194175
63.6824936571
51.5702964485
49.3955580545
46.600331675
52.1973348455
52.108689499
54.1311379006
47.9382972412
55.2060396351
51.7941773866
47.2513897468
47.0190534726
41.874578557
35.1893095768
36.7346938776
31.4036478985
31.6205533597
37.9812064262
41.0415984278
40.5632890903
45.3164556962
48.2479784367
53.553967657
61.0287707062
63.7305699482
61.1419508327
63.248564397
65.4205607477
69.425119004
67.4181818182
64.5148514851
61.0340951667
58.7554269175
61.4530776993
55.7182067704
54.5777777778
58.0803937654
55.5265448216
57.8034682081
60.4026845638
55.4118018302
56.5357372827
62.2411693057
54.4371649792
56.5217391304
60.0818833163
61.2091408736
56.9701280228
57.5471698113
56.9892473118
53.9203247907
51.906779661
51.9262981575
52.4834437086
51.3387054848
49.0889311939
47.6378991818
47.9814862433
41.8845159437
42.0191765369
48.1593545134
48.1226864093
49.820971867
53.6667689475
60.1431980907
54.4194641207
54.9604382228
56.6792861006
55.4752640356
65.6578947368
70.0956937799
71.3958810069
71.4937286203
70.7943925234
68.3544303797
64.4886363636
54.2835481425
52.2267206478
55.3971486762
55.6380823768
56.4964004114
63.0730319317
63.2329635499
61.1390284757
60.5442176871
59.2267135325
57.1327433628
Plot
RSI
Relative Strength Index
Sheet3
-
Rate of change between the current price and the price n number of days in the past.It helps in finding out the overbought or oversold levelROC graph is prepared to find out the overbought and oversold limit (oscillators)
-
OversoldOverboughtData sheet
Chart1
-0.1072607261
-0.1179063361
-0.0425904317
-0.0149521531
-0.0217391304
-0.0109489051
0.0073710074
0.0289587184
0.0455965022
-0.014015844
-0.0352155434
-0.0265432099
-0.0479704797
-0.0853658537
-0.0994011976
-0.1182795699
-0.0840543881
-0.0616740088
-0.0627774255
-0.0529715762
-0.01
-0.0013297872
-0.0081300813
-0.0047233468
-0.0046948357
0.0317997294
0.0518417462
0.037037037
0.0386151798
0.0525956284
0.0488135593
0.0438005391
-0.0019672131
0.0304798962
-0.0097402597
0.0025641026
0.0408825438
0.0265029089
0.1213686249
0.1865965834
0.1384518565
0.1921311475
0.1943734015
0.1558603491
0.1945843829
0.118019574
0.0514950166
0.048092869
0.0462046205
0.0240899358
0.069579288
RoC
Rate of Change
Raw Data RSI
DaysClosing PriceGainsLossRSI
190.9-
290.750.15
385.75.05
483.62.1
582.80.8
682.20.6
781.40.8
881.150.25
980.051.1
1082.052
1182.350.3
12811.35
1381.30.3
14820.7
1583.51.537.8343949045
1683.70.238.9254941713
1780.92.845.4545454545
1879.451.4543.1034482759
1978.850.641.1280846063
2077.41.4541.1280846063
21752.439.3258426966
2275.20.234.3473994112
2373.81.430.7237813885
2474.10.324.5883644347
2574.550.4524.5883644347
2673.90.6523.6501079914
2773.30.626.6628766345
2874.250.9527.1969211033
2975.10.8522.8416043508
3073.21.927.9365079365
3173.750.5529.6296296296
3274.20.4529.9610894942
3376.252.0527.6752767528
3477.10.8534.2789598109
35770.139.378238342
3678146.4362850972
3777.050.9550.4657070279
3877.350.351.5501081471
3977.450.151.0204081633
4076.11.3547.0588235294
4179.453.3542.3248882265
4276.253.249.5436766623
4378.21.9541.8886198547
4480.2245.6896551724
4579.40.848.8843813387
4686.857.4553.1135531136
4790.33.4562.4082232012
4890.450.1565.6836461126
4990.90.4558.2166543847
5093.42.557.5280898876
5192.70.754.8903878583
5294.852.1561.1210282042
5397.12.2563.2715008432
5494.952.1562.1273166801
5594.80.1559.1857000993
5695.10.372.3300970874
5795.650.5570.7692307692
5899.153.569.2446043165
5992.756.469.465648855
6093.951.241.975308642
6196.12.1538.1578947368
6295.051.0541.5745856354
6396.451.446.6155810983
6495.051.444.6724023825
6593.41.6543.0759412891
6694.651.2543.1832593532
6795.150.540.9360580092
6893.351.838.9028325565
6992.70.6535.538814281
7090.552.1541.117245859
7187.72.8543.5865504359
7289.651.9536.684303351
7384.84.8546.0490463215
7487.452.6541.4285714286
7589.151.743.0555555556
7692.353.241.8009478673
7795.53.1546.0930640913
7895.550.0546.9437652812
7996.20.6542.3381189569
8093.52.741.3062928721
8192.550.9543.2739059968
8289.55344.7111359196
8391.72.1540.9509202454
8492.50.840.3016120645
8591.31.238.648488441
8689.22.141.3902509374
8789.050.1547.4066732739
8889.30.2549.822569198
8989.90.646.5204236006
9086.9339.3653516295
9188.21.328.6103542234
9290.72.533.8662179218
9392.151.4540.3641881639
9492.15042.7222659323
9588.953.237.443111295
9687.21.7536.9538587178
9788.251.0534.1584158416
9890.52.2534.9633251834
9991.30.836.5474339036
10090.650.6535.8839050132
10192.72.0534.5177664975
10296.653.9538.2775119617
10395.65144.2363112392
10493.951.750.8278145695
10591.752.251.4087083791
10680.9510.848.5294117647
10782.31.3535.6171284635
10879.053.2538.5429189709
10981.52.4538.487394958
110842.537.8059836809
11183.750.2540.1657217619
11283.250.543.5009487666
11382.90.3549.1631276543
11480.62.349.5343569091
11579.51.150.78447564
11680.81.347.2440944882
11785.154.3543.2364096081
11883.12.0547.9558565337
11980.952.1548.136958711
12081.850.961.5384615385
12181.60.2560.626029654
12281.550.0567.2760511883
12380.351.269.3486590038
12481.250.968.1581685744
12578.42.8562.7515208236
126762.457.6774193548
12779.053.0553.8770590599
12879.40.3558.2322357019
12980.71.353.6180727144
13079.351.3553.6180727144
13179.10.2545.8149779736
13283.1449.7607655502
13386.052.9559.4660194175
13480.45.6563.6824936571
13579.11.351.5702964485
13680.61.549.3955580545
13780.350.2546.600331675
13877.452.952.1973348455
13976.151.352.108689499
14071.64.5554.1311379006
14171.350.2547.9382972412
14271.40.0555.2060396351
14366.54.951.7941773866
14466.050.4547.2513897468
14568.452.447.0190534726
14665.752.741.874578557
14766.60.8535.1893095768
14866.750.1536.7346938776
14968.31.5531.4036478985
15072.253.9531.6205533597
15171.40.8537.9812064262
15269.81.641.0415984278
15367.951.8540.5632890903
15469.1-1.1545.3164556962
15567.951.1548.2479784367
15669.051.153.553967657
15773.44.3561.0287707062
15874.30.963.7305699482
15972.22.161.1419508327
16071.2163.248564397
16170.250.9565.4205607477
16267.42.8569.425119004
16370.12.767.4181818182
16467.452.6564.5148514851
16568.551.161.0340951667
16671.452.958.7554269175
16770.051.461.4530776993
16872.352.355.7182067704
16975.83.4554.5777777778
17078.42.658.0803937654
17180.852.4555.5265448216
17284.954.157.8034682081
17385.30.3560.4026845638
17484.70.655.4118018302
17588.33.656.5357372827
17684.453.8562.2411693057
17786.952.554.4371649792
17892.055.156.5217391304
17990.451.660.0818833163
18090.70.2561.2091408736
18188.751.9556.9701280228
18291.652.957.5471698113
18388.33.3556.9892473118
18489.10.853.9203247907
18588.150.9551.906779661
18688.850.751.9262981575
18792.753.952.4834437086
18894.651.951.3387054848
18990.14.5549.0889311939
19088.052.0547.6378991818
19189.751.747.9814862433
19292.52.7541.8845159437
19396.954.4542.0191765369
194100.63.6548.1593545134
195105.14.548.1226864093
196109.94.849.820971867
197109.10.853.6667689475
198110.21.160.1431980907
199111.551.3554.4194641207
200110.051.554.9604382228
201110.70.6556.6792861006
202109.251.4555.4752640356
203113.64.3565.6578947368
204117.23.670.0956937799
205120.12.971.3958810069
206123.53.471.4937286203
207123.850.3570.7943925234
208124.050.268.3544303797
209121.12.9564.4886363636
210124.73.654.2835481425
211123.31.452.2267206478
212124.851.5555.3971486762
213123.61.2555.6380823768
214123.350.2556.4964004114
215121.951.463.0730319317
216124.62.6563.2329635499
217127.753.1561.1390284757
218129.71.9560.5442176871
219128.31.459.2267135325
220126.951.3557.1327433628
Plot-RSI
DaysRSI
137.8343949045
238.9254941713
345.4545454545
443.1034482759
541.1280846063
641.1280846063
739.3258426966
834.3473994112
930.7237813885
1024.5883644347
1124.5883644347
1223.6501079914
1326.6628766345
1427.1969211033
1522.8416043508
1627.9365079365
1729.6296296296
1829.9610894942
1927.6752767528
2034.2789598109
2139.378238342
2246.4362850972
2350.4657070279
2451.5501081471
2551.0204081633
2647.0588235294
2742.3248882265
2849.5436766623
2941.8886198547
3045.6896551724
3148.8843813387
3253.1135531136
3362.4082232012
3465.6836461126
3558.2166543847
3657.5280898876
3754.8903878583
3861.1210282042
3963.2715008432
4062.1273166801
4159.1857000993
4272.3300970874
4370.7692307692
4469.2446043165
4569.465648855
4641.975308642
4738.1578947368
4841.5745856354
4946.6155810983
5044.6724023825
5143.0759412891
5243.1832593532
5340.9360580092
5438.9028325565
5535.538814281
5641.117245859
5743.5865504359
5836.684303351
5946.0490463215
6041.4285714286
6143.0555555556
6241.8009478673
6346.0930640913
6446.9437652812
6542.3381189569
6641.3062928721
6743.2739059968
6844.7111359196
6940.9509202454
7040.3016120645
7138.648488441
7241.3902509374
7347.4066732739
7449.822569198
7546.5204236006
7639.3653516295
7728.6103542234
7833.8662179218
7940.3641881639
8042.7222659323
8137.443111295
8236.9538587178
8334.1584158416
8434.9633251834
8536.5474339036
8635.8839050132
8734.5177664975
8838.2775119617
8944.2363112392
9050.8278145695
9151.4087083791
9248.5294117647
9335.6171284635
9438.5429189709
9538.487394958
9637.8059836809
9740.1657217619
9843.5009487666
9949.1631276543
10049.5343569091
10150.78447564
10247.2440944882
10343.2364096081
10447.9558565337
10548.136958711
10661.5384615385
10760.626029654
10867.2760511883
10969.3486590038
11068.1581685744
11162.7515208236
11257.6774193548
11353.8770590599
11458.2322357019
11553.6180727144
11653.6180727144
11745.8149779736
11849.7607655502
11959.4660194175
12063.6824936571
12151.5702964485
12249.3955580545
12346.600331675
12452.1973348455
12552.108689499
12654.1311379006
12747.9382972412
12855.2060396351
12951.7941773866
13047.2513897468
13147.0190534726
13241.874578557
13335.1893095768
13436.7346938776
13531.4036478985
13631.6205533597
13737.9812064262
13841.0415984278
13940.5632890903
14045.3164556962
14148.2479784367
14253.553967657
14361.0287707062
14463.7305699482
14561.1419508327
14663.248564397
14765.4205607477
14869.425119004
14967.4181818182
15064.5148514851
15161.0340951667
15258.7554269175
15361.4530776993
15455.7182067704
15554.5777777778
15658.0803937654
15755.5265448216
15857.8034682081
15960.4026845638
16055.4118018302
16156.5357372827
16262.2411693057
16354.4371649792
16456.5217391304
16560.0818833163
16661.2091408736
16756.9701280228
16857.5471698113
16956.9892473118
17053.9203247907
17151.906779661
17251.9262981575
17352.4834437086
17451.3387054848
17549.0889311939
17647.6378991818
17747.9814862433
17841.8845159437
17942.0191765369
18048.1593545134
18148.1226864093
18249.820971867
18353.6667689475
18460.1431980907
18554.4194641207
18654.9604382228
18756.6792861006
18855.4752640356
18965.6578947368
19070.0956937799
19171.3958810069
19271.4937286203
19370.7943925234
19468.3544303797
19564.4886363636
19654.2835481425
19752.2267206478
19855.3971486762
19955.6380823768
20056.4964004114
20163.0730319317
20263.2329635499
20361.1390284757
20460.5442176871
20559.2267135325
20657.1327433628
Plot-RSI
RSI
Relative Strength Index
RoC
DaysPrices7 day pricePrice ratioRoC = Ratio -1
190.9
290.75`RoC = (Current Price/Price 'n' period ago) - 1
385.7
483.6
582.8
682.2
781.4
881.1590.90.8927392739-0.1072607261
980.0590.750.8820936639-0.1179063361
1082.0585.70.9574095683-0.0425904317
1182.3583.60.9850478469-0.0149521531
128182.80.9782608696-0.0217391304
1381.382.20.9890510949-0.0109489051
148281.41.00737100740.0073710074
1583.581.151.02895871840.0289587184
1683.780.051.04559650220.0455965022
1780.982.050.985984156-0.014015844
1879.4582.350.9647844566-0.0352155434
1978.85810.9734567901-0.0265432099
2077.481.30.9520295203-0.0479704797
2175820.9146341463-0.0853658537
2275.283.50.9005988024-0.0994011976
2373.883.70.8817204301-0.1182795699
2474.180.90.9159456119-0.0840543881
2574.5579.450.9383259912-0.0616740088
2673.978.850.9372225745-0.0627774255
2773.377.40.9470284238-0.0529715762
2874.25750.99-0.01
2975.175.20.9986702128-0.0013297872
3073.273.80.9918699187-0.0081300813
3173.7574.10.9952766532-0.0047233468
3274.274.550.9953051643-0.0046948357
3376.2573.91.03179972940.0317997294
3477.173.31.05184174620.0518417462
357774.251.0370370370.037037037
367875.11.03861517980.0386151798
3777.0573.21.05259562840.0525956284
3877.3573.751.04881355930.0488135593
3977.4574.21.04380053910.0438005391
4076.176.250.9980327869-0.0019672131
4179.4577.11.03047989620.0304798962
4276.25770.9902597403-0.0097402597
4378.2781.00256410260.0025641026
4480.277.051.04088254380.0408825438
4579.477.351.02650290890.0265029089
4686.8577.451.12136862490.1213686249
4790.376.11.18659658340.1865965834
4890.4579.451.13845185650.1384518565
4990.976.251.19213114750.1921311475
5093.478.21.19437340150.1943734015
5192.780.21.15586034910.1558603491
5294.8579.41.19458438290.1945843829
5397.186.851.1180195740.118019574
5494.9590.31.05149501660.0514950166
5594.890.451.0480928690.048092869
5695.190.91.04620462050.0462046205
5795.6593.41.02408993580.0240899358
5899.1592.71.0695792880.069579288
5992.7594.850.9778597786-0.0221402214
6093.9597.10.9675592173-0.0324407827
6196.194.951.01211163770.0121116377
6295.0594.81.00263713080.0026371308
6396.4595.11.01419558360.0141955836
6495.0595.650.9937271302-0.0062728698
6593.499.150.94200706-0.05799294
6694.6592.751.02048517520.0204851752
6795.1593.951.01277275150.0127727515
6893.3596.10.971383975-0.028616025
6992.795.050.9752761704-0.0247238296
7090.5596.450.9388284085-0.0611715915
7187.795.050.9226722777-0.0773277223
7289.6593.40.9598501071-0.0401498929
7384.894.650.8959323825-0.1040676175
7487.4595.150.9190751445-0.0809248555
7589.1593.350.9550080343-0.0449919657
7692.3592.70.9962243797-0.0037756203
7795.590.551.05466593040.0546659304
7895.5587.71.08950969210.0895096921
7996.289.651.07306190740.0730619074
8093.584.81.10259433960.1025943396
8192.5587.451.05831903950.0583190395
8289.5589.151.004486820.00448682
8391.792.350.9929615593-0.0070384407
8492.595.50.9685863874-0.0314136126
8591.395.550.9555206698-0.0444793302
8689.296.20.9272349272-0.0727650728
8789.0593.50.9524064171-0.0475935829
8889.392.550.9648838466-0.0351161534
8989.989.551.0039084310.003908431
9086.991.70.947655398-0.052344602
(Current Price/Price 'n' period ago)
RoC-Plot
DayPricePrice 7 day beforeRatioRoC
881.1590.90.8927392739-0.1072607261
980.0590.750.8820936639-0.1179063361
1082.0585.70.9574095683-0.0425904317
1182.3583.60.9850478469-0.0149521531
128182.80.9782608696-0.0217391304
1381.382.20.9890510949-0.0109489051
148281.41.00737100740.0073710074
1583.581.151.02895871840.0289587184
1683.780.051.04559650220.0455965022
1780.982.050.985984156-0.014015844
1879.4582.350.9647844566-0.0352155434
1978.85810.9734567901-0.0265432099
2077.481.30.9520295203-0.0479704797
2175820.9146341463-0.0853658537
2275.283.50.9005988024-0.0994011976
2373.883.70.8817204301-0.1182795699
2474.180.90.9159456119-0.0840543881
2574.5579.450.9383259912-0.0616740088
2673.978.850.9372225745-0.0627774255
2773.377.40.9470284238-0.0529715762
2874.25750.99-0.01
2975.175.20.9986702128-0.0013297872
3073.273.80.9918699187-0.0081300813
3173.7574.10.9952766532-0.0047233468
3274.274.550.9953051643-0.0046948357
3376.2573.91.03179972940.0317997294
3477.173.31.05184174620.0518417462
357774.251.0370370370.037037037
367875.11.03861517980.0386151798
3777.0573.21.05259562840.0525956284
3877.3573.751.04881355930.0488135593
3977.4574.21.04380053910.0438005391
4076.176.250.9980327869-0.0019672131
4179.4577.11.03047989620.0304798962
4276.25770.9902597403-0.0097402597
4378.2781.00256410260.0025641026
4480.277.051.04088254380.0408825438
4579.477.351.02650290890.0265029089
4686.8577.451.12136862490.1213686249
4790.376.11.18659658340.1865965834
4890.4579.451.13845185650.1384518565
4990.976.251.19213114750.1921311475
5093.478.21.19437340150.1943734015
5192.780.21.15586034910.1558603491
5294.8579.41.19458438290.1945843829
5397.186.851.1180195740.118019574
5494.9590.31.05149501660.0514950166
5594.890.451.0480928690.048092869
5695.190.91.04620462050.0462046205
5795.6593.41.02408993580.0240899358
5899.1592.71.0695792880.069579288
5992.7594.850.9778597786-0.0221402214
6093.9597.10.9675592173-0.0324407827
6196.194.951.01211163770.0121116377
6295.0594.81.00263713080.0026371308
6396.4595.11.01419558360.0141955836
6495.0595.650.9937271302-0.0062728698
6593.499.150.94200706-0.05799294
6694.6592.751.02048517520.0204851752
6795.1593.951.01277275150.0127727515
6893.3596.10.971383975-0.028616025
6992.795.050.9752761704-0.0247238296
7090.5596.450.9388284085-0.0611715915
7187.795.050.9226722777-0.0773277223
7289.6593.40.9598501071-0.0401498929
7384.894.650.8959323825-0.1040676175
7487.4595.150.9190751445-0.0809248555
7589.1593.350.9550080343-0.0449919657
7692.3592.70.9962243797-0.0037756203
7795.590.551.05466593040.0546659304
7895.5587.71.08950969210.0895096921
7996.289.651.07306190740.0730619074
8093.584.81.10259433960.1025943396
8192.5587.451.05831903950.0583190395
8289.5589.151.004486820.00448682
8391.792.350.9929615593-0.0070384407
8492.595.50.9685863874-0.0314136126
8591.395.550.9555206698-0.0444793302
8689.296.20.9272349272-0.0727650728
8789.0593.50.9524064171-0.0475935829
8889.392.550.9648838466-0.0351161534
8989.989.551.0039084310.003908431
9086.991.70.947655398-0.052344602
RoC-Plot
RoC
Rate of Change
-
Easiest tools in technical analysis. Spot the current trend for buying and sellingIndicates the probable future actionShows the past historic movementIndicates the important areas of support and resistance level.James Dines said, Charts are like fire or electricity. They are brilliant tools if intelligently controlled and handled but dangerous to a novice.
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The PF charts are of one dimensional and there is no indication of time or volume. The price changes in relation to previous prices are shown. The change of price direction can be interpreted.The charts are drawn in the ruled paper. Only whole numbers are consideredThe price rise is shown as a X and O for a price fall.
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Sell signalBuy signal
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Simplest and most commonly used toolTo draw a bar a dot is entered to indicate the highest level and another dot is for the lowest level in a day. Both the pints are joined to form a bar and a small nub is drawn at the top and bottom of the bars to indicate the opening and closing price.
-
Each bar is composed of 4 elements:OpenHighLowCloseNote that the candlestick body is empty (white) on up days, and filled (some color) on down days
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DateOpen PriceHigh PriceLow PriceClose Price16-Aug-108686.483.283.4517-Aug-1084.58884.585.418-Aug-1085.5586.7583.984.9519-Aug-1085.486.484.6584.9520-Aug-1084.88584.184.2523-Aug-1084.585.6584.3584.624-Aug-108585.283.483.5525-Aug-1083.4584.0582.482.626-Aug-108383.1581.481.627-Aug-1081.481.980.0580.230-Aug-108182.6580.580.8531-Aug-1080.5580.978.5579.8
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Chart Patterns: used as a supplement to other information and confirmation.V formation: The V patterns occurs mostly in popular stocks where the market interest changes quickly from hope to fear and vice-versa. Tops and Bottoms: Buy at bottom and sell at topDouble top and bottom: End of a trend
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Head and Shoulders: Easy to identify and the signal generated by this is considered reliable. Three rallies resembling the left shoulder, a head and a right shoulder. A neckline is drawn connecting the lows of the tops. When the stock price cuts the neckline from above, it signals the bear market.
-
This formation is characterized by two small peaks on either side of a larger peak.This is a reversal pattern, meaning that it signifies a change in the trend.
-
Triangles are continuation formations.Three flavors:Ascending: Demand is high, bullishDescending: Bearish trendSymmetrical: Temporary halt and original trend to come soon
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Double bottomGap, should getfilledNov to Mar Trading rangeDescendingtriangles
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Fundamental analysis studies the stock based on the companys performance and other macro economic conditions. But TA mainly focuses on the historical prices of the stock and volume of trading.FA Find the long term value of the share but the TA forecasts the prices on a short term basis.FA opines that stock prices depends on the underlying factor, but TA focuses on price and volumeFundamental analysis is time consuming but Technical Analysis is not.
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Larry Williams, regarded as one of the great technicians, entered a trading competition and returned over 20,000% in a year trading TECHNICAL picksDaughter, actress Michelle Williams returns 10,000% in same competition using her fathers strategies
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Develop a strategy unique to your personality and comfort levelsTweak your strategy until it works the best that it canTest it using virtual (paper) tradingDO NOT STRAY FROM THE SYSTEM!Remember that 1% every day leads to about 290% a year! A little goes a long way!
*************************************************This chart was created on 10 Oct. 2001 as I was preparing these notes. The October 2000 to October 2001 time period has been rich in technical formations. The formations shown are:
A trading range from November 2000 to March 2001. The bottom of a trading range acts as a support level, and the top as resistance. We look for an eventual breakout of the range. In this case, it broke out to the downside signifying a trading opportunity on the short side of the market.
A double bottom formation in mid-March to early April. This formation gives a buy signal when the second bottom is higher (or equal to) the previous bottom. In this case that was in early April, though it takes a few days to be sure of the signal. A second buy signal was generated when the resistance level from the previous trading range was broken.
A Descending Triangle in May and June. This formation, which I find to be very reliable, is expected to break out to the downside. It did.
Another Descending Triangle from mid-July to late August. Again, it would be expected to breakout to the downside. It did, even before the September 11 tragedy.
The last formation shown was the gap down after the 11 Sept terrorist attacks. As noted on the chart, gaps are usually filled (that is, prices eventually should move back to the level before the gap). After a gap is filled (or, on a candlestick chart they say, the window was closed), prices will often reverse for at least a short time. The level at which the gap began becomes a resistance level. In fact, the gap was closed one month later on October 11. On October 12, the index declined by 66.29 points. ***