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Security analysis - (Technical Analysis)

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  • Fundamental analysis is finding out the intrinsic value of the shareTechnical analyst studies the price movements in the marketPrice-volume and supply-demand for overall market and individual stockThe technical analyst tries to study the trend in the market by considering the historical share prices

  • The price fluctuations reflects logical and emotional forcesThe technician mustIdentify the trendRecognise when one trend comes to an end and prices start in opposite direction.He seldom rely upon a single indicator, as no one indicator is sufficient for prediction

  • Price is determined by supply and demandAll information is reflected in prices of shareMarket always moves in a trendPast prices predict the future

  • Based on the doctrine given by Charles H. Dow in 1884.A J Nelson, formalised the Dow theory for economic forecastingThe Analysts used charts of individual stocks and moving averages in the early 1920s.Generally used techniques:Market indicators, volume indicators and other market indicators

  • He identified three distinct cyclical trends that guide the general direction.Primary trend: long range cycle that carries the entire market up or downSecondary trend: corrects the deviations in the primary trendMinor trend: day to day fluctuationsCharles Dow known as the Godfather of TA

  • A bull market is when the current up swing is more than the previous up swing and When the current downward movement is bellow the previous then the market is bearish

  • Minor trend

  • A support level exists at a price where considerable demand for that stock is expected to prevent further fall in the price level.In support level demand for the particular scrip is expected.The negative swing in the price may be halted.The price of the stocks will never move bellow that. For the time being it may result even in price reversal.

  • The supply of scrip would be greater than the demand and further rise in price is prevented.The selling pressure is greater and the increase in price is halted for the time being.When the stock prices touches certain level and then drops, this is called resistance levelWhen the stock prices reaches down to a certain level and then rises there exists a support.

  • If the scrip price reverses the support level and moves downward, it means that the selling pressure has overcome the potential buying pressure signaling the possibility of a further fall in the value of the scrip. It is violation of the support level and bearish market.

  • If the scrip penetrates the previous top and moves above, it is the violation of resistance level. At this point buying pressure would be more than the selling pressure. If the scrip was to move above the double top or triple top formation, it indicates bullish market.

  • It need not form on the tops or bottomsIt can also formed in gaps (time when the scrip does not change hands)If the prices are in the upward move and the high of any day is lower than the next days low , the gap is said to have occurred.If the price closes in a price and opens in another price then this indicates the stock has not traded but changes price.

  • Indicators are used to find out the direction of the market. Indicators are normally price and volume of share tradeThose are price indicators and volume indicatorsAdvances and declines, New Highs and New lows and The most active list are the price indicatorsVolume of trade, Short sales and Odd Lot trading are volume indicators.

  • Price IndicatorsAdvances and declinesNew Highs and New lowsThe most active listVolume IndicatorsVolume of trade Short salesOdd Lot tradingMathematical IndicatorsMoving AveragesExponential Moving AveragesOscillators:Relative Strength IndexRate of Change

  • Advances and declines are also referred to as the breadth of the market. It is the difference between the number of shares moving up and number of shares moving down. The net difference is added to the previous day and plotted in a graph. A comparison with the index will show the future market direction. If there is a divergence the change in market is predicted.

  • DayAdvanceDeclinesNetBreadthNSE NiftyMonday14867747127125876.89Tuesday131096634410565883.33Wednesday8981225-3277295646.46Thursday11081091177465810.17Friday9311279-3483985623.08

  • Chart1

    7125876.89

    10565883.33

    7295646.46

    7465810.17

    3985623.08

    Bredth

    Nifty

    Sheet1

    BredthNiftySeries 3

    Monday7125876.892

    Tuesday10565883.332

    Wednesday7295646.463

    Thursday7465810.175

    Friday3985623.08

    To resize chart data range, drag lower right corner of range.

  • It is used as a supplementary to the breadthHigh low differential index is preparedNumber of new highs lead to a rising marketThe number of BSE stocks making new highs minus new lows is averaged for a five-day period.A moving average smooth out erratic daily fluctuations and exposes the trend. Such high-low index would normally move with the market. Divergence is a clue for future movement.

  • The major newspapers and financial magazines publishes most active list of stock.The number of stocks hardly represents 1% of the total issues but account for around 15% of total volume.The most active list moves ahead of the marketThe movement of the active list helps in predicting the market

  • Volume of Trade expands as along with the bull market and narrows down in a bear market.The volume will fall with rise in price and vice versaLarge rise in price or large fall in price leads to increase in volumeIf the volume decline for five consecutive days, then it will continue for another four days and the same is true in increasing volume.

  • Short selling refers to selling shares that re not owned. (Short interest)Bears are short sellers who sell in the hope that they will buy the same in future with a low priceIncrease in short selling increases the future demand and market will become bullishThese indicators cannot be considered in isolation.

  • Monthly short sales are compared with the average daily volume of the preceding month. The ratio between these two indicates how many days of trading it would take to use up the total short interest.When it is less 1, the market is weak or weakening. Between 1 to 1.5 considered as neutral. More than 1.5 or 2 indicates bullish and highly favorable.

  • Small investors often do not buy more than 100 shares and such buyers and sellers are termed as odd-lotters.Ratio of odd lot purchases to odd lot sales is the odd lot index. (>1 more buying)If the odd lot volume is increasing shows a bullish market and reverse for bearishIf odd lotters dominates the market the market is considered as technically weak.

  • Simple Moving AveragesExponential Moving AverageOscillators: Relative Strength IndexRate of Change IndicatorsMoving Average Convergence and Divergence

  • To smoothen the data moving average technique is used. (Long Term and Short Term)Moving average of 5 days means on the 6th day while calculating average the 1st price is ignored and the 6th price is added and the process continues.It specifies the trend and predicts the future movement of the stockTen or thirty days moving average is used for short term forecasting

  • DayPriceAverage1-Sep-09123.25-2-Sep-09120.75-3-Sep-09119.9121.34-Sep-09120.25120.37-Sep-09121.6120.58333338-Sep-09121.6121.159-Sep-09122.7121.966666710-Sep-09120.9121.733333311-Sep-09119.2120.933333314-Sep-09118.7119.6

  • Individual stock price average is compared with market index moving average. Both are plotted in a graph and trend is comparedIf the stock price is below the market index then bearish and reverse for bullishIf the stock price penetrates the index from above then sell signal.If it pushes up from bellow then buy signal

  • The closing price and the moving average of the stock prices are compared Both the line move along each otherTheir intersection indicates a shift in the moveDownward penetration indicates a fall and upward indicates a rise in the prices

  • When LT and ST moving averages intersects with each other, a buy or sell signal is indicated.ST moving average intersects the LT curve and falls below, it is bearishWhen the prices are rising the ST intersects from blow giving a buy signalWhen LT is above the ST expect that the prices will rise in near future.

  • DaysPrices

    Chart1

    331

    352

    37.53

    364

    3936.1

    4037.5

    40.538.6

    38.538.8

    4139.8

    4240.4

    4441.2

    42.541.6

    4242.3

    4442.9

    4543.5

    Closing Prices

    5 day MA

    Sheet1

    DaysClosing Prices5 day MA

    133

    235

    337.5

    436

    53936.1

    64037.5

    740.538.6

    838.538.8

    94139.8

    104240.4

    114441.2

    1242.541.6

    134242.3

    144442.9

    154543.5

  • EMA = (Current Closing price Previous EMA) x Factor + Previous EMA

    Where n = number of days for which the average is to be calculated.If we are calculating 5 day EMA then the correct EMA will be from 6th day onwards.It is prepared with the price trend then the intersection points are decision points.Factor =

  • Data sheet

    Chart1

    82.284.5950617284

    81.483.5300411523

    81.1582.7366941015

    80.0581.841129401

    82.0581.910752934

    82.3582.0571686227

    8181.7047790818

    81.381.5698527212

    8281.7132351475

    83.582.3088234316

    83.782.7725489544

    80.982.1483659696

    79.4581.2489106464

    78.8580.4492737643

    77.479.4328491762

    7577.9552327841

    75.277.0368218561

    73.875.9578812374

    74.175.3385874916

    74.5575.0757249944

    73.974.6838166629

    73.374.222544442

    74.2574.2316962946

    75.174.5211308631

    73.274.0807539087

    73.7573.9705026058

    74.274.0470017372

    76.2574.7813344915

    77.175.5542229943

    Price

    EMA

    Sheet1

    DaysClosing PriceEMA

    190.990.9

    290.7590.85

    385.789.1333333333Factor0.3333333333`Factor is calculated by deviding 2/(n+1), where n = number of days for which moving avg. is calculated

    483.687.2888888889

    582.885.7925925926EMA`= (Current price - Previous EMA) x Factor + Previous EMA

    682.284.5950617284

    781.483.5300411523If we are calculating 5 day moving average the correct EMA will be from 6th day onwards

    881.1582.7366941015

    980.0581.841129401

    1082.0581.910752934

    1182.3582.0571686227

    128181.7047790818

    1381.381.5698527212

    148281.7132351475

    1583.582.3088234316

    1683.782.7725489544

    1780.982.1483659696

    1879.4581.2489106464

    1978.8580.4492737643

    2077.479.4328491762

    217577.9552327841

    2275.277.0368218561

    2373.875.9578812374

    2474.175.3385874916

    2574.5575.0757249944

    2673.974.6838166629

    2773.374.222544442

    2874.2574.2316962946

    2975.174.5211308631

    3073.274.0807539087

    3173.7573.9705026058

    3274.274.0470017372

    3376.2574.7813344915

    3477.175.5542229943

    357776.0361486629

    367876.6907657753

    3777.0576.8105105168

    3877.3576.9903403446

    3977.4577.1435602297

    4076.176.7957068198

    4179.4577.6804712132

    4276.2577.2036474755

    4378.277.5357649836

    4480.278.4238433224

    4579.478.7492288816

    4686.8581.4494859211

    4790.384.3996572807

    4890.4586.4164381871

    4990.987.9109587914

    5093.489.7406391943

    5192.790.7270927962

    5294.8592.1013951975

    5397.193.7675967983

    5494.9594.1617311989

    5594.894.3744874659

    5695.194.6163249773

    5795.6594.9608833182

    5899.1596.3572555455

    5992.7595.1548370303

    6093.9594.7532246869

    6196.195.2021497912

    6295.0595.1514331942

    6396.4595.5842887961

    6495.0595.4061925307

    6593.494.7374616872

    6694.6594.7083077914

    6795.1594.8555385276

    6893.3594.3536923518

    6992.793.8024615678

    7090.5592.7183077119

    7187.791.0455384746

    7289.6590.5803589831

    7384.888.6535726554

    7487.4588.2523817702

    7589.1588.5515878468

    7692.3589.8177252312

    7795.591.7118168208

    7895.5592.9912112139

    7996.294.0608074759

    8093.593.8738716506

    8192.5593.4325811004

    8289.5592.1383874003

    8391.791.9922582668

    8492.592.1615055112

    8591.391.8743370075

    8689.290.9828913383

    8789.0590.3385942256

    8889.389.9923961504

    8989.989.9615974336

    9086.988.9410649557

    9188.288.6940433038

    9290.789.3626955359

    9392.1590.2917970239

    9492.1590.9111980159

    9588.9590.257465344

    9687.289.2383102293

    9788.2588.9088734862

    9890.589.4392489908

    9991.390.0594993272

    10090.6590.2563328848

    10192.791.0708885899

    10296.6592.9305923932

    10395.6593.8370615955

    10493.9593.8747077303

    10591.7593.1664718202

    10680.9589.0943145468

    10782.386.8295430312

    10879.0584.2363620208

    10981.583.3242413472

    1108483.5494942315

    11183.7583.6163294876

    11283.2583.4942196584

    11382.983.296146439

    11480.682.3974309593

    11579.581.4316206395

    11680.881.2210804264

    11785.1582.5307202842

    11883.182.7204801895

    11980.9582.1303201263

    12081.8582.0368800842

    12181.681.8912533895

    12281.5581.7775022597

    12380.3581.3016681731

    12481.2581.2844454487

    12578.480.3229636325

    1267678.881975755

    12779.0578.9379838367

    12879.479.0919892244

    12980.779.6279928163

    13079.3579.5353285442

    13179.179.3902190295

    13283.180.6268126863

    13386.0582.4345417909

    13480.481.7563611939

    13579.180.8709074626

    13680.680.7806049751

    13780.3580.6370699834

    13877.4579.5747133223

    13976.1578.4331422148

    14071.676.1554281432

    14171.3574.5536187621

    14271.473.5024125081

    14366.571.1682750054

    14466.0569.4621833369

    14568.4569.1247888913

    14665.7567.9998592609

    14766.667.5332395072

    14866.7567.2721596715

    14968.367.6147731143

    15072.2569.1598487429

    15171.469.9065658286

    15269.869.8710438857

    15367.9569.2306959238

    15469.169.1871306159

    15567.9568.7747537439

    15669.0568.8665024959

    15773.470.3776683306

    15874.371.6851122204

    15972.271.8567414803

    16071.271.6378276535

    16170.2571.1752184357

    16267.469.9168122905

    16370.169.9778748603

    16467.4569.1352499069

    16568.5568.9401666046

    16671.4569.7767777364

    16770.0569.8678518243

    16872.3570.6952345495

    16975.872.396823033

    17078.474.397882022

    17180.8576.5485880147

    17284.9579.3490586764

    17385.381.3327057843

    17484.782.4551371895

    17588.384.403424793

    17684.4584.418949862

    17786.9585.2626332413

    17892.0587.5250888276

    17990.4588.5000592184

    18090.789.2333728122

    18188.7589.0722485415

    18291.6589.9314990277

    18388.389.3876660184

    18489.189.2917773456

    18588.1588.9111848971

    18688.8588.8907899314

    18792.7590.1771932876

    18894.6591.6681288584

    18990.191.1454192389

    19088.0590.113612826

    19189.7589.9924085506

    19292.590.8282723671

    19396.9592.8688482447

    194100.695.4458988298

    195105.198.6639325532

    196109.9102.4092883688

    197109.1104.6395255792

    198110.2106.4930170528

    199111.55108.1786780352

    200110.05108.8024520235

    201110.7109.4349680156

    202109.25109.3733120104

    203113.6110.782208007

    204117.2112.9214720046

    205120.1115.3143146698

    206123.5118.0428764465

    207123.85119.9785842977

    208124.05121.3357228651

    209121.1121.2571485767

    210124.7122.4047657178

    211123.3122.7031771452

    212124.85123.4187847635

    213123.6123.4791898423

    214123.35123.4361265615

    215121.95122.940751041

    216124.6123.4938340274

    217127.75124.9125560182

    218129.7126.5083706788

    219128.3127.1055804525

    220126.95127.0537203017

    Plot

    DayPriceEMA

    682.284.5950617284

    781.483.5300411523

    881.1582.7366941015

    980.0581.841129401

    1082.0581.910752934

    1182.3582.0571686227

    128181.7047790818

    1381.381.5698527212

    148281.7132351475

    1583.582.3088234316

    1683.782.7725489544

    1780.982.1483659696

    1879.4581.2489106464

    1978.8580.4492737643

    2077.479.4328491762

    217577.9552327841

    2275.277.0368218561

    2373.875.9578812374

    2474.175.3385874916

    2574.5575.0757249944

    2673.974.6838166629

    2773.374.222544442

    2874.2574.2316962946

    2975.174.5211308631

    3073.274.0807539087

    3173.7573.9705026058

    3274.274.0470017372

    3376.2574.7813344915

    3477.175.5542229943

    Plot

    Price

    EMA

    Sheet3

  • Relative Strength IndexRate of Change IndicatorsMoving Average Convergence and Divergence

  • It indicates the scrip momentum, shows the share price movement across a reference across a reference point from one extreme to another. The momentum indicates; Overbought and oversold conditionsSignals possible trend reversalRise or decline in the momentum

  • Developed by Wells Wilder. An oscillator used to identify the inherent technical strength and weakness of a particular scrip or market.If the RSI crosses seventy there may be downturn and it is time to sell. If RSI falls below thirty time to buy the scrip.

  • It is normally prepared for 14 days basisThe RSI of the 14 days interval are plotted in graphIf RSI is above the Overbought /Over sold zone time to take actionThis kind of situation occurs due to large buying or large sellingThe term oversold speaks that the market has declined to a new low The overbought speaks that the market has touched the new highs

  • Data sheet

    Chart1

    37.8343949045

    38.9254941713

    45.4545454545

    43.1034482759

    41.1280846063

    41.1280846063

    39.3258426966

    34.3473994112

    30.7237813885

    24.5883644347

    24.5883644347

    23.6501079914

    26.6628766345

    27.1969211033

    22.8416043508

    27.9365079365

    29.6296296296

    29.9610894942

    27.6752767528

    34.2789598109

    39.378238342

    46.4362850972

    50.4657070279

    51.5501081471

    51.0204081633

    47.0588235294

    42.3248882265

    49.5436766623

    41.8886198547

    45.6896551724

    48.8843813387

    53.1135531136

    62.4082232012

    65.6836461126

    58.2166543847

    57.5280898876

    54.8903878583

    61.1210282042

    63.2715008432

    62.1273166801

    59.1857000993

    72.3300970874

    70.7692307692

    69.2446043165

    69.465648855

    41.975308642

    38.1578947368

    41.5745856354

    46.6155810983

    44.6724023825

    43.0759412891

    43.1832593532

    40.9360580092

    38.9028325565

    35.538814281

    41.117245859

    43.5865504359

    36.684303351

    46.0490463215

    41.4285714286

    43.0555555556

    41.8009478673

    46.0930640913

    46.9437652812

    42.3381189569

    41.3062928721

    43.2739059968

    44.7111359196

    40.9509202454

    40.3016120645

    38.648488441

    41.3902509374

    47.4066732739

    49.822569198

    46.5204236006

    39.3653516295

    28.6103542234

    33.8662179218

    40.3641881639

    42.7222659323

    37.443111295

    36.9538587178

    34.1584158416

    34.9633251834

    36.5474339036

    35.8839050132

    34.5177664975

    38.2775119617

    44.2363112392

    50.8278145695

    51.4087083791

    48.5294117647

    35.6171284635

    38.5429189709

    38.487394958

    37.8059836809

    40.1657217619

    43.5009487666

    49.1631276543

    49.5343569091

    50.78447564

    47.2440944882

    43.2364096081

    47.9558565337

    48.136958711

    61.5384615385

    60.626029654

    67.2760511883

    69.3486590038

    68.1581685744

    62.7515208236

    57.6774193548

    53.8770590599

    58.2322357019

    53.6180727144

    53.6180727144

    45.8149779736

    49.7607655502

    59.4660194175

    63.6824936571

    51.5702964485

    49.3955580545

    46.600331675

    52.1973348455

    52.108689499

    54.1311379006

    47.9382972412

    55.2060396351

    51.7941773866

    47.2513897468

    47.0190534726

    41.874578557

    35.1893095768

    36.7346938776

    31.4036478985

    31.6205533597

    37.9812064262

    41.0415984278

    40.5632890903

    45.3164556962

    48.2479784367

    53.553967657

    61.0287707062

    63.7305699482

    61.1419508327

    63.248564397

    65.4205607477

    69.425119004

    67.4181818182

    64.5148514851

    61.0340951667

    58.7554269175

    61.4530776993

    55.7182067704

    54.5777777778

    58.0803937654

    55.5265448216

    57.8034682081

    60.4026845638

    55.4118018302

    56.5357372827

    62.2411693057

    54.4371649792

    56.5217391304

    60.0818833163

    61.2091408736

    56.9701280228

    57.5471698113

    56.9892473118

    53.9203247907

    51.906779661

    51.9262981575

    52.4834437086

    51.3387054848

    49.0889311939

    47.6378991818

    47.9814862433

    41.8845159437

    42.0191765369

    48.1593545134

    48.1226864093

    49.820971867

    53.6667689475

    60.1431980907

    54.4194641207

    54.9604382228

    56.6792861006

    55.4752640356

    65.6578947368

    70.0956937799

    71.3958810069

    71.4937286203

    70.7943925234

    68.3544303797

    64.4886363636

    54.2835481425

    52.2267206478

    55.3971486762

    55.6380823768

    56.4964004114

    63.0730319317

    63.2329635499

    61.1390284757

    60.5442176871

    59.2267135325

    57.1327433628

    RSI

    Relative Strength Index

    Raw Data RSI

    DaysClosing PriceGainsLossRSI

    190.9-

    290.750.15

    385.75.05

    483.62.1

    582.80.8

    682.20.6

    781.40.8

    881.150.25

    980.051.1

    1082.052

    1182.350.3

    12811.35

    1381.30.3

    14820.7

    1583.51.537.8343949045

    1683.70.238.9254941713

    1780.92.845.4545454545

    1879.451.4543.1034482759

    1978.850.641.1280846063

    2077.41.4541.1280846063

    21752.439.3258426966

    2275.20.234.3473994112

    2373.81.430.7237813885

    2474.10.324.5883644347

    2574.550.4524.5883644347

    2673.90.6523.6501079914

    2773.30.626.6628766345

    2874.250.9527.1969211033

    2975.10.8522.8416043508

    3073.21.927.9365079365

    3173.750.5529.6296296296

    3274.20.4529.9610894942

    3376.252.0527.6752767528

    3477.10.8534.2789598109

    35770.139.378238342

    3678146.4362850972

    3777.050.9550.4657070279

    3877.350.351.5501081471

    3977.450.151.0204081633

    4076.11.3547.0588235294

    4179.453.3542.3248882265

    4276.253.249.5436766623

    4378.21.9541.8886198547

    4480.2245.6896551724

    4579.40.848.8843813387

    4686.857.4553.1135531136

    4790.33.4562.4082232012

    4890.450.1565.6836461126

    4990.90.4558.2166543847

    5093.42.557.5280898876

    5192.70.754.8903878583

    5294.852.1561.1210282042

    5397.12.2563.2715008432

    5494.952.1562.1273166801

    5594.80.1559.1857000993

    5695.10.372.3300970874

    5795.650.5570.7692307692

    5899.153.569.2446043165

    5992.756.469.465648855

    6093.951.241.975308642

    6196.12.1538.1578947368

    6295.051.0541.5745856354

    6396.451.446.6155810983

    6495.051.444.6724023825

    6593.41.6543.0759412891

    6694.651.2543.1832593532

    6795.150.540.9360580092

    6893.351.838.9028325565

    6992.70.6535.538814281

    7090.552.1541.117245859

    7187.72.8543.5865504359

    7289.651.9536.684303351

    7384.84.8546.0490463215

    7487.452.6541.4285714286

    7589.151.743.0555555556

    7692.353.241.8009478673

    7795.53.1546.0930640913

    7895.550.0546.9437652812

    7996.20.6542.3381189569

    8093.52.741.3062928721

    8192.550.9543.2739059968

    8289.55344.7111359196

    8391.72.1540.9509202454

    8492.50.840.3016120645

    8591.31.238.648488441

    8689.22.141.3902509374

    8789.050.1547.4066732739

    8889.30.2549.822569198

    8989.90.646.5204236006

    9086.9339.3653516295

    9188.21.328.6103542234

    9290.72.533.8662179218

    9392.151.4540.3641881639

    9492.15042.7222659323

    9588.953.237.443111295

    9687.21.7536.9538587178

    9788.251.0534.1584158416

    9890.52.2534.9633251834

    9991.30.836.5474339036

    10090.650.6535.8839050132

    10192.72.0534.5177664975

    10296.653.9538.2775119617

    10395.65144.2363112392

    10493.951.750.8278145695

    10591.752.251.4087083791

    10680.9510.848.5294117647

    10782.31.3535.6171284635

    10879.053.2538.5429189709

    10981.52.4538.487394958

    110842.537.8059836809

    11183.750.2540.1657217619

    11283.250.543.5009487666

    11382.90.3549.1631276543

    11480.62.349.5343569091

    11579.51.150.78447564

    11680.81.347.2440944882

    11785.154.3543.2364096081

    11883.12.0547.9558565337

    11980.952.1548.136958711

    12081.850.961.5384615385

    12181.60.2560.626029654

    12281.550.0567.2760511883

    12380.351.269.3486590038

    12481.250.968.1581685744

    12578.42.8562.7515208236

    126762.457.6774193548

    12779.053.0553.8770590599

    12879.40.3558.2322357019

    12980.71.353.6180727144

    13079.351.3553.6180727144

    13179.10.2545.8149779736

    13283.1449.7607655502

    13386.052.9559.4660194175

    13480.45.6563.6824936571

    13579.11.351.5702964485

    13680.61.549.3955580545

    13780.350.2546.600331675

    13877.452.952.1973348455

    13976.151.352.108689499

    14071.64.5554.1311379006

    14171.350.2547.9382972412

    14271.40.0555.2060396351

    14366.54.951.7941773866

    14466.050.4547.2513897468

    14568.452.447.0190534726

    14665.752.741.874578557

    14766.60.8535.1893095768

    14866.750.1536.7346938776

    14968.31.5531.4036478985

    15072.253.9531.6205533597

    15171.40.8537.9812064262

    15269.81.641.0415984278

    15367.951.8540.5632890903

    15469.1-1.1545.3164556962

    15567.951.1548.2479784367

    15669.051.153.553967657

    15773.44.3561.0287707062

    15874.30.963.7305699482

    15972.22.161.1419508327

    16071.2163.248564397

    16170.250.9565.4205607477

    16267.42.8569.425119004

    16370.12.767.4181818182

    16467.452.6564.5148514851

    16568.551.161.0340951667

    16671.452.958.7554269175

    16770.051.461.4530776993

    16872.352.355.7182067704

    16975.83.4554.5777777778

    17078.42.658.0803937654

    17180.852.4555.5265448216

    17284.954.157.8034682081

    17385.30.3560.4026845638

    17484.70.655.4118018302

    17588.33.656.5357372827

    17684.453.8562.2411693057

    17786.952.554.4371649792

    17892.055.156.5217391304

    17990.451.660.0818833163

    18090.70.2561.2091408736

    18188.751.9556.9701280228

    18291.652.957.5471698113

    18388.33.3556.9892473118

    18489.10.853.9203247907

    18588.150.9551.906779661

    18688.850.751.9262981575

    18792.753.952.4834437086

    18894.651.951.3387054848

    18990.14.5549.0889311939

    19088.052.0547.6378991818

    19189.751.747.9814862433

    19292.52.7541.8845159437

    19396.954.4542.0191765369

    194100.63.6548.1593545134

    195105.14.548.1226864093

    196109.94.849.820971867

    197109.10.853.6667689475

    198110.21.160.1431980907

    199111.551.3554.4194641207

    200110.051.554.9604382228

    201110.70.6556.6792861006

    202109.251.4555.4752640356

    203113.64.3565.6578947368

    204117.23.670.0956937799

    205120.12.971.3958810069

    206123.53.471.4937286203

    207123.850.3570.7943925234

    208124.050.268.3544303797

    209121.12.9564.4886363636

    210124.73.654.2835481425

    211123.31.452.2267206478

    212124.851.5555.3971486762

    213123.61.2555.6380823768

    214123.350.2556.4964004114

    215121.951.463.0730319317

    216124.62.6563.2329635499

    217127.753.1561.1390284757

    218129.71.9560.5442176871

    219128.31.459.2267135325

    220126.951.3557.1327433628

    Plot

    RSI

    37.8343949045

    38.9254941713

    45.4545454545

    43.1034482759

    41.1280846063

    41.1280846063

    39.3258426966

    34.3473994112

    30.7237813885

    24.5883644347

    24.5883644347

    23.6501079914

    26.6628766345

    27.1969211033

    22.8416043508

    27.9365079365

    29.6296296296

    29.9610894942

    27.6752767528

    34.2789598109

    39.378238342

    46.4362850972

    50.4657070279

    51.5501081471

    51.0204081633

    47.0588235294

    42.3248882265

    49.5436766623

    41.8886198547

    45.6896551724

    48.8843813387

    53.1135531136

    62.4082232012

    65.6836461126

    58.2166543847

    57.5280898876

    54.8903878583

    61.1210282042

    63.2715008432

    62.1273166801

    59.1857000993

    72.3300970874

    70.7692307692

    69.2446043165

    69.465648855

    41.975308642

    38.1578947368

    41.5745856354

    46.6155810983

    44.6724023825

    43.0759412891

    43.1832593532

    40.9360580092

    38.9028325565

    35.538814281

    41.117245859

    43.5865504359

    36.684303351

    46.0490463215

    41.4285714286

    43.0555555556

    41.8009478673

    46.0930640913

    46.9437652812

    42.3381189569

    41.3062928721

    43.2739059968

    44.7111359196

    40.9509202454

    40.3016120645

    38.648488441

    41.3902509374

    47.4066732739

    49.822569198

    46.5204236006

    39.3653516295

    28.6103542234

    33.8662179218

    40.3641881639

    42.7222659323

    37.443111295

    36.9538587178

    34.1584158416

    34.9633251834

    36.5474339036

    35.8839050132

    34.5177664975

    38.2775119617

    44.2363112392

    50.8278145695

    51.4087083791

    48.5294117647

    35.6171284635

    38.5429189709

    38.487394958

    37.8059836809

    40.1657217619

    43.5009487666

    49.1631276543

    49.5343569091

    50.78447564

    47.2440944882

    43.2364096081

    47.9558565337

    48.136958711

    61.5384615385

    60.626029654

    67.2760511883

    69.3486590038

    68.1581685744

    62.7515208236

    57.6774193548

    53.8770590599

    58.2322357019

    53.6180727144

    53.6180727144

    45.8149779736

    49.7607655502

    59.4660194175

    63.6824936571

    51.5702964485

    49.3955580545

    46.600331675

    52.1973348455

    52.108689499

    54.1311379006

    47.9382972412

    55.2060396351

    51.7941773866

    47.2513897468

    47.0190534726

    41.874578557

    35.1893095768

    36.7346938776

    31.4036478985

    31.6205533597

    37.9812064262

    41.0415984278

    40.5632890903

    45.3164556962

    48.2479784367

    53.553967657

    61.0287707062

    63.7305699482

    61.1419508327

    63.248564397

    65.4205607477

    69.425119004

    67.4181818182

    64.5148514851

    61.0340951667

    58.7554269175

    61.4530776993

    55.7182067704

    54.5777777778

    58.0803937654

    55.5265448216

    57.8034682081

    60.4026845638

    55.4118018302

    56.5357372827

    62.2411693057

    54.4371649792

    56.5217391304

    60.0818833163

    61.2091408736

    56.9701280228

    57.5471698113

    56.9892473118

    53.9203247907

    51.906779661

    51.9262981575

    52.4834437086

    51.3387054848

    49.0889311939

    47.6378991818

    47.9814862433

    41.8845159437

    42.0191765369

    48.1593545134

    48.1226864093

    49.820971867

    53.6667689475

    60.1431980907

    54.4194641207

    54.9604382228

    56.6792861006

    55.4752640356

    65.6578947368

    70.0956937799

    71.3958810069

    71.4937286203

    70.7943925234

    68.3544303797

    64.4886363636

    54.2835481425

    52.2267206478

    55.3971486762

    55.6380823768

    56.4964004114

    63.0730319317

    63.2329635499

    61.1390284757

    60.5442176871

    59.2267135325

    57.1327433628

    Plot

    RSI

    Relative Strength Index

    Sheet3

  • Rate of change between the current price and the price n number of days in the past.It helps in finding out the overbought or oversold levelROC graph is prepared to find out the overbought and oversold limit (oscillators)

  • OversoldOverboughtData sheet

    Chart1

    -0.1072607261

    -0.1179063361

    -0.0425904317

    -0.0149521531

    -0.0217391304

    -0.0109489051

    0.0073710074

    0.0289587184

    0.0455965022

    -0.014015844

    -0.0352155434

    -0.0265432099

    -0.0479704797

    -0.0853658537

    -0.0994011976

    -0.1182795699

    -0.0840543881

    -0.0616740088

    -0.0627774255

    -0.0529715762

    -0.01

    -0.0013297872

    -0.0081300813

    -0.0047233468

    -0.0046948357

    0.0317997294

    0.0518417462

    0.037037037

    0.0386151798

    0.0525956284

    0.0488135593

    0.0438005391

    -0.0019672131

    0.0304798962

    -0.0097402597

    0.0025641026

    0.0408825438

    0.0265029089

    0.1213686249

    0.1865965834

    0.1384518565

    0.1921311475

    0.1943734015

    0.1558603491

    0.1945843829

    0.118019574

    0.0514950166

    0.048092869

    0.0462046205

    0.0240899358

    0.069579288

    RoC

    Rate of Change

    Raw Data RSI

    DaysClosing PriceGainsLossRSI

    190.9-

    290.750.15

    385.75.05

    483.62.1

    582.80.8

    682.20.6

    781.40.8

    881.150.25

    980.051.1

    1082.052

    1182.350.3

    12811.35

    1381.30.3

    14820.7

    1583.51.537.8343949045

    1683.70.238.9254941713

    1780.92.845.4545454545

    1879.451.4543.1034482759

    1978.850.641.1280846063

    2077.41.4541.1280846063

    21752.439.3258426966

    2275.20.234.3473994112

    2373.81.430.7237813885

    2474.10.324.5883644347

    2574.550.4524.5883644347

    2673.90.6523.6501079914

    2773.30.626.6628766345

    2874.250.9527.1969211033

    2975.10.8522.8416043508

    3073.21.927.9365079365

    3173.750.5529.6296296296

    3274.20.4529.9610894942

    3376.252.0527.6752767528

    3477.10.8534.2789598109

    35770.139.378238342

    3678146.4362850972

    3777.050.9550.4657070279

    3877.350.351.5501081471

    3977.450.151.0204081633

    4076.11.3547.0588235294

    4179.453.3542.3248882265

    4276.253.249.5436766623

    4378.21.9541.8886198547

    4480.2245.6896551724

    4579.40.848.8843813387

    4686.857.4553.1135531136

    4790.33.4562.4082232012

    4890.450.1565.6836461126

    4990.90.4558.2166543847

    5093.42.557.5280898876

    5192.70.754.8903878583

    5294.852.1561.1210282042

    5397.12.2563.2715008432

    5494.952.1562.1273166801

    5594.80.1559.1857000993

    5695.10.372.3300970874

    5795.650.5570.7692307692

    5899.153.569.2446043165

    5992.756.469.465648855

    6093.951.241.975308642

    6196.12.1538.1578947368

    6295.051.0541.5745856354

    6396.451.446.6155810983

    6495.051.444.6724023825

    6593.41.6543.0759412891

    6694.651.2543.1832593532

    6795.150.540.9360580092

    6893.351.838.9028325565

    6992.70.6535.538814281

    7090.552.1541.117245859

    7187.72.8543.5865504359

    7289.651.9536.684303351

    7384.84.8546.0490463215

    7487.452.6541.4285714286

    7589.151.743.0555555556

    7692.353.241.8009478673

    7795.53.1546.0930640913

    7895.550.0546.9437652812

    7996.20.6542.3381189569

    8093.52.741.3062928721

    8192.550.9543.2739059968

    8289.55344.7111359196

    8391.72.1540.9509202454

    8492.50.840.3016120645

    8591.31.238.648488441

    8689.22.141.3902509374

    8789.050.1547.4066732739

    8889.30.2549.822569198

    8989.90.646.5204236006

    9086.9339.3653516295

    9188.21.328.6103542234

    9290.72.533.8662179218

    9392.151.4540.3641881639

    9492.15042.7222659323

    9588.953.237.443111295

    9687.21.7536.9538587178

    9788.251.0534.1584158416

    9890.52.2534.9633251834

    9991.30.836.5474339036

    10090.650.6535.8839050132

    10192.72.0534.5177664975

    10296.653.9538.2775119617

    10395.65144.2363112392

    10493.951.750.8278145695

    10591.752.251.4087083791

    10680.9510.848.5294117647

    10782.31.3535.6171284635

    10879.053.2538.5429189709

    10981.52.4538.487394958

    110842.537.8059836809

    11183.750.2540.1657217619

    11283.250.543.5009487666

    11382.90.3549.1631276543

    11480.62.349.5343569091

    11579.51.150.78447564

    11680.81.347.2440944882

    11785.154.3543.2364096081

    11883.12.0547.9558565337

    11980.952.1548.136958711

    12081.850.961.5384615385

    12181.60.2560.626029654

    12281.550.0567.2760511883

    12380.351.269.3486590038

    12481.250.968.1581685744

    12578.42.8562.7515208236

    126762.457.6774193548

    12779.053.0553.8770590599

    12879.40.3558.2322357019

    12980.71.353.6180727144

    13079.351.3553.6180727144

    13179.10.2545.8149779736

    13283.1449.7607655502

    13386.052.9559.4660194175

    13480.45.6563.6824936571

    13579.11.351.5702964485

    13680.61.549.3955580545

    13780.350.2546.600331675

    13877.452.952.1973348455

    13976.151.352.108689499

    14071.64.5554.1311379006

    14171.350.2547.9382972412

    14271.40.0555.2060396351

    14366.54.951.7941773866

    14466.050.4547.2513897468

    14568.452.447.0190534726

    14665.752.741.874578557

    14766.60.8535.1893095768

    14866.750.1536.7346938776

    14968.31.5531.4036478985

    15072.253.9531.6205533597

    15171.40.8537.9812064262

    15269.81.641.0415984278

    15367.951.8540.5632890903

    15469.1-1.1545.3164556962

    15567.951.1548.2479784367

    15669.051.153.553967657

    15773.44.3561.0287707062

    15874.30.963.7305699482

    15972.22.161.1419508327

    16071.2163.248564397

    16170.250.9565.4205607477

    16267.42.8569.425119004

    16370.12.767.4181818182

    16467.452.6564.5148514851

    16568.551.161.0340951667

    16671.452.958.7554269175

    16770.051.461.4530776993

    16872.352.355.7182067704

    16975.83.4554.5777777778

    17078.42.658.0803937654

    17180.852.4555.5265448216

    17284.954.157.8034682081

    17385.30.3560.4026845638

    17484.70.655.4118018302

    17588.33.656.5357372827

    17684.453.8562.2411693057

    17786.952.554.4371649792

    17892.055.156.5217391304

    17990.451.660.0818833163

    18090.70.2561.2091408736

    18188.751.9556.9701280228

    18291.652.957.5471698113

    18388.33.3556.9892473118

    18489.10.853.9203247907

    18588.150.9551.906779661

    18688.850.751.9262981575

    18792.753.952.4834437086

    18894.651.951.3387054848

    18990.14.5549.0889311939

    19088.052.0547.6378991818

    19189.751.747.9814862433

    19292.52.7541.8845159437

    19396.954.4542.0191765369

    194100.63.6548.1593545134

    195105.14.548.1226864093

    196109.94.849.820971867

    197109.10.853.6667689475

    198110.21.160.1431980907

    199111.551.3554.4194641207

    200110.051.554.9604382228

    201110.70.6556.6792861006

    202109.251.4555.4752640356

    203113.64.3565.6578947368

    204117.23.670.0956937799

    205120.12.971.3958810069

    206123.53.471.4937286203

    207123.850.3570.7943925234

    208124.050.268.3544303797

    209121.12.9564.4886363636

    210124.73.654.2835481425

    211123.31.452.2267206478

    212124.851.5555.3971486762

    213123.61.2555.6380823768

    214123.350.2556.4964004114

    215121.951.463.0730319317

    216124.62.6563.2329635499

    217127.753.1561.1390284757

    218129.71.9560.5442176871

    219128.31.459.2267135325

    220126.951.3557.1327433628

    Plot-RSI

    DaysRSI

    137.8343949045

    238.9254941713

    345.4545454545

    443.1034482759

    541.1280846063

    641.1280846063

    739.3258426966

    834.3473994112

    930.7237813885

    1024.5883644347

    1124.5883644347

    1223.6501079914

    1326.6628766345

    1427.1969211033

    1522.8416043508

    1627.9365079365

    1729.6296296296

    1829.9610894942

    1927.6752767528

    2034.2789598109

    2139.378238342

    2246.4362850972

    2350.4657070279

    2451.5501081471

    2551.0204081633

    2647.0588235294

    2742.3248882265

    2849.5436766623

    2941.8886198547

    3045.6896551724

    3148.8843813387

    3253.1135531136

    3362.4082232012

    3465.6836461126

    3558.2166543847

    3657.5280898876

    3754.8903878583

    3861.1210282042

    3963.2715008432

    4062.1273166801

    4159.1857000993

    4272.3300970874

    4370.7692307692

    4469.2446043165

    4569.465648855

    4641.975308642

    4738.1578947368

    4841.5745856354

    4946.6155810983

    5044.6724023825

    5143.0759412891

    5243.1832593532

    5340.9360580092

    5438.9028325565

    5535.538814281

    5641.117245859

    5743.5865504359

    5836.684303351

    5946.0490463215

    6041.4285714286

    6143.0555555556

    6241.8009478673

    6346.0930640913

    6446.9437652812

    6542.3381189569

    6641.3062928721

    6743.2739059968

    6844.7111359196

    6940.9509202454

    7040.3016120645

    7138.648488441

    7241.3902509374

    7347.4066732739

    7449.822569198

    7546.5204236006

    7639.3653516295

    7728.6103542234

    7833.8662179218

    7940.3641881639

    8042.7222659323

    8137.443111295

    8236.9538587178

    8334.1584158416

    8434.9633251834

    8536.5474339036

    8635.8839050132

    8734.5177664975

    8838.2775119617

    8944.2363112392

    9050.8278145695

    9151.4087083791

    9248.5294117647

    9335.6171284635

    9438.5429189709

    9538.487394958

    9637.8059836809

    9740.1657217619

    9843.5009487666

    9949.1631276543

    10049.5343569091

    10150.78447564

    10247.2440944882

    10343.2364096081

    10447.9558565337

    10548.136958711

    10661.5384615385

    10760.626029654

    10867.2760511883

    10969.3486590038

    11068.1581685744

    11162.7515208236

    11257.6774193548

    11353.8770590599

    11458.2322357019

    11553.6180727144

    11653.6180727144

    11745.8149779736

    11849.7607655502

    11959.4660194175

    12063.6824936571

    12151.5702964485

    12249.3955580545

    12346.600331675

    12452.1973348455

    12552.108689499

    12654.1311379006

    12747.9382972412

    12855.2060396351

    12951.7941773866

    13047.2513897468

    13147.0190534726

    13241.874578557

    13335.1893095768

    13436.7346938776

    13531.4036478985

    13631.6205533597

    13737.9812064262

    13841.0415984278

    13940.5632890903

    14045.3164556962

    14148.2479784367

    14253.553967657

    14361.0287707062

    14463.7305699482

    14561.1419508327

    14663.248564397

    14765.4205607477

    14869.425119004

    14967.4181818182

    15064.5148514851

    15161.0340951667

    15258.7554269175

    15361.4530776993

    15455.7182067704

    15554.5777777778

    15658.0803937654

    15755.5265448216

    15857.8034682081

    15960.4026845638

    16055.4118018302

    16156.5357372827

    16262.2411693057

    16354.4371649792

    16456.5217391304

    16560.0818833163

    16661.2091408736

    16756.9701280228

    16857.5471698113

    16956.9892473118

    17053.9203247907

    17151.906779661

    17251.9262981575

    17352.4834437086

    17451.3387054848

    17549.0889311939

    17647.6378991818

    17747.9814862433

    17841.8845159437

    17942.0191765369

    18048.1593545134

    18148.1226864093

    18249.820971867

    18353.6667689475

    18460.1431980907

    18554.4194641207

    18654.9604382228

    18756.6792861006

    18855.4752640356

    18965.6578947368

    19070.0956937799

    19171.3958810069

    19271.4937286203

    19370.7943925234

    19468.3544303797

    19564.4886363636

    19654.2835481425

    19752.2267206478

    19855.3971486762

    19955.6380823768

    20056.4964004114

    20163.0730319317

    20263.2329635499

    20361.1390284757

    20460.5442176871

    20559.2267135325

    20657.1327433628

    Plot-RSI

    RSI

    Relative Strength Index

    RoC

    DaysPrices7 day pricePrice ratioRoC = Ratio -1

    190.9

    290.75`RoC = (Current Price/Price 'n' period ago) - 1

    385.7

    483.6

    582.8

    682.2

    781.4

    881.1590.90.8927392739-0.1072607261

    980.0590.750.8820936639-0.1179063361

    1082.0585.70.9574095683-0.0425904317

    1182.3583.60.9850478469-0.0149521531

    128182.80.9782608696-0.0217391304

    1381.382.20.9890510949-0.0109489051

    148281.41.00737100740.0073710074

    1583.581.151.02895871840.0289587184

    1683.780.051.04559650220.0455965022

    1780.982.050.985984156-0.014015844

    1879.4582.350.9647844566-0.0352155434

    1978.85810.9734567901-0.0265432099

    2077.481.30.9520295203-0.0479704797

    2175820.9146341463-0.0853658537

    2275.283.50.9005988024-0.0994011976

    2373.883.70.8817204301-0.1182795699

    2474.180.90.9159456119-0.0840543881

    2574.5579.450.9383259912-0.0616740088

    2673.978.850.9372225745-0.0627774255

    2773.377.40.9470284238-0.0529715762

    2874.25750.99-0.01

    2975.175.20.9986702128-0.0013297872

    3073.273.80.9918699187-0.0081300813

    3173.7574.10.9952766532-0.0047233468

    3274.274.550.9953051643-0.0046948357

    3376.2573.91.03179972940.0317997294

    3477.173.31.05184174620.0518417462

    357774.251.0370370370.037037037

    367875.11.03861517980.0386151798

    3777.0573.21.05259562840.0525956284

    3877.3573.751.04881355930.0488135593

    3977.4574.21.04380053910.0438005391

    4076.176.250.9980327869-0.0019672131

    4179.4577.11.03047989620.0304798962

    4276.25770.9902597403-0.0097402597

    4378.2781.00256410260.0025641026

    4480.277.051.04088254380.0408825438

    4579.477.351.02650290890.0265029089

    4686.8577.451.12136862490.1213686249

    4790.376.11.18659658340.1865965834

    4890.4579.451.13845185650.1384518565

    4990.976.251.19213114750.1921311475

    5093.478.21.19437340150.1943734015

    5192.780.21.15586034910.1558603491

    5294.8579.41.19458438290.1945843829

    5397.186.851.1180195740.118019574

    5494.9590.31.05149501660.0514950166

    5594.890.451.0480928690.048092869

    5695.190.91.04620462050.0462046205

    5795.6593.41.02408993580.0240899358

    5899.1592.71.0695792880.069579288

    5992.7594.850.9778597786-0.0221402214

    6093.9597.10.9675592173-0.0324407827

    6196.194.951.01211163770.0121116377

    6295.0594.81.00263713080.0026371308

    6396.4595.11.01419558360.0141955836

    6495.0595.650.9937271302-0.0062728698

    6593.499.150.94200706-0.05799294

    6694.6592.751.02048517520.0204851752

    6795.1593.951.01277275150.0127727515

    6893.3596.10.971383975-0.028616025

    6992.795.050.9752761704-0.0247238296

    7090.5596.450.9388284085-0.0611715915

    7187.795.050.9226722777-0.0773277223

    7289.6593.40.9598501071-0.0401498929

    7384.894.650.8959323825-0.1040676175

    7487.4595.150.9190751445-0.0809248555

    7589.1593.350.9550080343-0.0449919657

    7692.3592.70.9962243797-0.0037756203

    7795.590.551.05466593040.0546659304

    7895.5587.71.08950969210.0895096921

    7996.289.651.07306190740.0730619074

    8093.584.81.10259433960.1025943396

    8192.5587.451.05831903950.0583190395

    8289.5589.151.004486820.00448682

    8391.792.350.9929615593-0.0070384407

    8492.595.50.9685863874-0.0314136126

    8591.395.550.9555206698-0.0444793302

    8689.296.20.9272349272-0.0727650728

    8789.0593.50.9524064171-0.0475935829

    8889.392.550.9648838466-0.0351161534

    8989.989.551.0039084310.003908431

    9086.991.70.947655398-0.052344602

    (Current Price/Price 'n' period ago)

    RoC-Plot

    DayPricePrice 7 day beforeRatioRoC

    881.1590.90.8927392739-0.1072607261

    980.0590.750.8820936639-0.1179063361

    1082.0585.70.9574095683-0.0425904317

    1182.3583.60.9850478469-0.0149521531

    128182.80.9782608696-0.0217391304

    1381.382.20.9890510949-0.0109489051

    148281.41.00737100740.0073710074

    1583.581.151.02895871840.0289587184

    1683.780.051.04559650220.0455965022

    1780.982.050.985984156-0.014015844

    1879.4582.350.9647844566-0.0352155434

    1978.85810.9734567901-0.0265432099

    2077.481.30.9520295203-0.0479704797

    2175820.9146341463-0.0853658537

    2275.283.50.9005988024-0.0994011976

    2373.883.70.8817204301-0.1182795699

    2474.180.90.9159456119-0.0840543881

    2574.5579.450.9383259912-0.0616740088

    2673.978.850.9372225745-0.0627774255

    2773.377.40.9470284238-0.0529715762

    2874.25750.99-0.01

    2975.175.20.9986702128-0.0013297872

    3073.273.80.9918699187-0.0081300813

    3173.7574.10.9952766532-0.0047233468

    3274.274.550.9953051643-0.0046948357

    3376.2573.91.03179972940.0317997294

    3477.173.31.05184174620.0518417462

    357774.251.0370370370.037037037

    367875.11.03861517980.0386151798

    3777.0573.21.05259562840.0525956284

    3877.3573.751.04881355930.0488135593

    3977.4574.21.04380053910.0438005391

    4076.176.250.9980327869-0.0019672131

    4179.4577.11.03047989620.0304798962

    4276.25770.9902597403-0.0097402597

    4378.2781.00256410260.0025641026

    4480.277.051.04088254380.0408825438

    4579.477.351.02650290890.0265029089

    4686.8577.451.12136862490.1213686249

    4790.376.11.18659658340.1865965834

    4890.4579.451.13845185650.1384518565

    4990.976.251.19213114750.1921311475

    5093.478.21.19437340150.1943734015

    5192.780.21.15586034910.1558603491

    5294.8579.41.19458438290.1945843829

    5397.186.851.1180195740.118019574

    5494.9590.31.05149501660.0514950166

    5594.890.451.0480928690.048092869

    5695.190.91.04620462050.0462046205

    5795.6593.41.02408993580.0240899358

    5899.1592.71.0695792880.069579288

    5992.7594.850.9778597786-0.0221402214

    6093.9597.10.9675592173-0.0324407827

    6196.194.951.01211163770.0121116377

    6295.0594.81.00263713080.0026371308

    6396.4595.11.01419558360.0141955836

    6495.0595.650.9937271302-0.0062728698

    6593.499.150.94200706-0.05799294

    6694.6592.751.02048517520.0204851752

    6795.1593.951.01277275150.0127727515

    6893.3596.10.971383975-0.028616025

    6992.795.050.9752761704-0.0247238296

    7090.5596.450.9388284085-0.0611715915

    7187.795.050.9226722777-0.0773277223

    7289.6593.40.9598501071-0.0401498929

    7384.894.650.8959323825-0.1040676175

    7487.4595.150.9190751445-0.0809248555

    7589.1593.350.9550080343-0.0449919657

    7692.3592.70.9962243797-0.0037756203

    7795.590.551.05466593040.0546659304

    7895.5587.71.08950969210.0895096921

    7996.289.651.07306190740.0730619074

    8093.584.81.10259433960.1025943396

    8192.5587.451.05831903950.0583190395

    8289.5589.151.004486820.00448682

    8391.792.350.9929615593-0.0070384407

    8492.595.50.9685863874-0.0314136126

    8591.395.550.9555206698-0.0444793302

    8689.296.20.9272349272-0.0727650728

    8789.0593.50.9524064171-0.0475935829

    8889.392.550.9648838466-0.0351161534

    8989.989.551.0039084310.003908431

    9086.991.70.947655398-0.052344602

    RoC-Plot

    RoC

    Rate of Change

  • Easiest tools in technical analysis. Spot the current trend for buying and sellingIndicates the probable future actionShows the past historic movementIndicates the important areas of support and resistance level.James Dines said, Charts are like fire or electricity. They are brilliant tools if intelligently controlled and handled but dangerous to a novice.

  • The PF charts are of one dimensional and there is no indication of time or volume. The price changes in relation to previous prices are shown. The change of price direction can be interpreted.The charts are drawn in the ruled paper. Only whole numbers are consideredThe price rise is shown as a X and O for a price fall.

  • Sell signalBuy signal

  • Simplest and most commonly used toolTo draw a bar a dot is entered to indicate the highest level and another dot is for the lowest level in a day. Both the pints are joined to form a bar and a small nub is drawn at the top and bottom of the bars to indicate the opening and closing price.

  • Each bar is composed of 4 elements:OpenHighLowCloseNote that the candlestick body is empty (white) on up days, and filled (some color) on down days

  • DateOpen PriceHigh PriceLow PriceClose Price16-Aug-108686.483.283.4517-Aug-1084.58884.585.418-Aug-1085.5586.7583.984.9519-Aug-1085.486.484.6584.9520-Aug-1084.88584.184.2523-Aug-1084.585.6584.3584.624-Aug-108585.283.483.5525-Aug-1083.4584.0582.482.626-Aug-108383.1581.481.627-Aug-1081.481.980.0580.230-Aug-108182.6580.580.8531-Aug-1080.5580.978.5579.8

  • Chart Patterns: used as a supplement to other information and confirmation.V formation: The V patterns occurs mostly in popular stocks where the market interest changes quickly from hope to fear and vice-versa. Tops and Bottoms: Buy at bottom and sell at topDouble top and bottom: End of a trend

  • Head and Shoulders: Easy to identify and the signal generated by this is considered reliable. Three rallies resembling the left shoulder, a head and a right shoulder. A neckline is drawn connecting the lows of the tops. When the stock price cuts the neckline from above, it signals the bear market.

  • This formation is characterized by two small peaks on either side of a larger peak.This is a reversal pattern, meaning that it signifies a change in the trend.

  • Triangles are continuation formations.Three flavors:Ascending: Demand is high, bullishDescending: Bearish trendSymmetrical: Temporary halt and original trend to come soon

  • Double bottomGap, should getfilledNov to Mar Trading rangeDescendingtriangles

  • Fundamental analysis studies the stock based on the companys performance and other macro economic conditions. But TA mainly focuses on the historical prices of the stock and volume of trading.FA Find the long term value of the share but the TA forecasts the prices on a short term basis.FA opines that stock prices depends on the underlying factor, but TA focuses on price and volumeFundamental analysis is time consuming but Technical Analysis is not.

  • Larry Williams, regarded as one of the great technicians, entered a trading competition and returned over 20,000% in a year trading TECHNICAL picksDaughter, actress Michelle Williams returns 10,000% in same competition using her fathers strategies

  • Develop a strategy unique to your personality and comfort levelsTweak your strategy until it works the best that it canTest it using virtual (paper) tradingDO NOT STRAY FROM THE SYSTEM!Remember that 1% every day leads to about 290% a year! A little goes a long way!

    *************************************************This chart was created on 10 Oct. 2001 as I was preparing these notes. The October 2000 to October 2001 time period has been rich in technical formations. The formations shown are:

    A trading range from November 2000 to March 2001. The bottom of a trading range acts as a support level, and the top as resistance. We look for an eventual breakout of the range. In this case, it broke out to the downside signifying a trading opportunity on the short side of the market.

    A double bottom formation in mid-March to early April. This formation gives a buy signal when the second bottom is higher (or equal to) the previous bottom. In this case that was in early April, though it takes a few days to be sure of the signal. A second buy signal was generated when the resistance level from the previous trading range was broken.

    A Descending Triangle in May and June. This formation, which I find to be very reliable, is expected to break out to the downside. It did.

    Another Descending Triangle from mid-July to late August. Again, it would be expected to breakout to the downside. It did, even before the September 11 tragedy.

    The last formation shown was the gap down after the 11 Sept terrorist attacks. As noted on the chart, gaps are usually filled (that is, prices eventually should move back to the level before the gap). After a gap is filled (or, on a candlestick chart they say, the window was closed), prices will often reverse for at least a short time. The level at which the gap began becomes a resistance level. In fact, the gap was closed one month later on October 11. On October 12, the index declined by 66.29 points. ***