tax increment financing & proforma reviewbut for the assistance, the project would not have...
TRANSCRIPT
Tax Increment Financing &Proforma ReviewStan Riffle, Arenz, Molter, Macy & Riffle, S.C.Frank Roman, Ehlers
How TIF works
2
Eligible project costs
3
Public works & improvements
Financing costs
Real property assembly costs (land write-down)
Professional service costs
Administrative costs
Contribution to Community Development Authority or Redevelopment Authority
Relocation costs
Organizational costs
Pro-rated costs of utility infrastructure
Cash grants (requires developer agreement)
Environmental remediation
Projects within ½ mile of district
• Communities want to: encourage quality economic development
eliminate blight
rehabilitate property
provide housing
• Developers & investors need to: cover their costs
earn a reasonable, risk-adjusted profit
attract investment capital (equity and debt)
Why incentivize development?
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• Tax increment financing is THE most powerful tool in Wisconsin for economic development
• The “But For” test required per statute (Wis. Stats. 66.1105)
Is there a gap that needs to be filled to make project happen, as the proposed use and design, of the same quality, and in the same time frame expected?
Why incentivize development? (continued)
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A. Project development costs: Land / soils / environmental remediation Sitework / infrastructure cost
Utilities brought to siteOn-site roads, utilities
Stormwater detention Extraordinary building costs Structured parking vs. surface stalls Impact fees, assessments Pricing pressures: labor, materials
Determine if funding gap exists
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B. Funding sources and availability:
Construction, permanent debt
Loan-to-Value, debt coverage constraints
Equity returns
IRR, cash-on-cash requirements
State grants/programs (i.e. TEA grants)
Determine if funding gap exists
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B. Funding sources & availability:
Tax credits
Low income housing tax credits (LIHTC)
New market tax credits (NMTC)
Historic preservation
Tax increment financing structures
Grant, loan, PAYGO
Determine if funding gap exists
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C. Project operations shortfall
Inferior rental rate environment
Insufficient returns on equity
Debt service coverage / loan default
Investment hold period
• If gap can’t be bridged, project does not proceed
• Development capital will be directed to where it can earn competitive, risk-adjusted returns
Determine if funding gap exists
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Income-producing rental & commercial projects:Cash on cash (COC) returns
Example: Annual cash flow of $50,000 divided by $500,000 investment results in 10% COC return
Snapshot in time; 8 – 12% average over investment period
Internal rate of return (IRR) Discounted present value (annual cash flows + net proceeds after sale
of project) over entire investment period
Within reasonable market ranges ~12 – 18%
Net operating Income /capitalization rate = Project value
Measuring developer profit
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• At beginning of project - grant or loan City/Village cash contributed up front – may require borrowing
Lowers developer equity, increases investment returns
Highest risk to municipality – money out the door
• During TID term, pay-as-you-go (PAYGO) preferred Developer recoups portion of annual property tax payments
Higher equity required, reduces developer return
Developer may “monetize” MRO note, but incurs additional debt
Transfers risk to developer; must produce value or assistance reduced
When is assistance provided & who assumes risk
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Goal is to reduce municipality risk of debt exposure & repayment
When is assistance provided & who assumes risk
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• Municipality promises to pay developer a portion of tax increment collected, as it is collected (pay as you go)
Typically takes form of “Municipal Revenue Obligation” (MRO) issued under a development agreement
Developer typically needs cash up front for capital stack, so will look to monetize the MRO by assigning future payments to their lender and developer receives a discounted amount of future cash flows
When costs are paid by developer
13
• Corroborate developer base case for errors & assumptions
• Internal & external resources for applicable building costs, rents
• Discussion with assessor regarding comps, valuation & approach
• Examine alternate scenarios - with & without TIF assistance, structure of assistance (grant, loan, PAYGO)
• Determine if projected assistance is in compliance with community policies and funding abilities
Evaluate alternate scenarios, considerations
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• Does proposed project require requested assistance, within reasonable market return parameters (‘But For’)?
• What is optimal structure for providing assistance?
• How does increment generated by the project affect overall TID cash flows and other municipal financial obligations?
Fundamental considerations
15
• Used by assessors to remove impact of property taxes
Net Operating Income = Effective Gross Income (Revenues less Vacancy) less Operating Expenses
Add back Property Taxes to determine Adjusted NOI
Combine market capitalization rate and property tax mill rate (the “loaded” cap rate)
• Adjusted NOI divided by loaded cap rate = value
• Calculate correct tax
Review with assessor to affirm assessed values
Determine value: loaded cap rate analysis
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Project budget: PAYGO structure
17
Loaded cap rate analysis
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A1
Slide 18
A1 ExampleAuthor, 1/27/2020
Operating cash flow (without TIF assistance)
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Corrected taxes
Key Return Metrics
Sales analysis (without TIF assistance)
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YEAR 2029SALE ANALYSIS END OF YEAR 10Net Operating Income End of Year 1,859,976Divided By Cap Rate 6.25%Gross Sale Price 29,759,613DEVELOPER MORTGAGE FINANCING 15,621,573DEVELOPER SECONDARY FINANCING 0Net Sale Amount 14,138,040Sales Expense 3.0% (892,788)Final Amount 13,245,252
City of Stellar WI - Stellar Apartments
Sales Analysis
170 Market-Rate Multifamily UnitsNo TIF Assistance
Sales analysis (without TIF assistance)
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• Financial gap exists without TIF assistance
• Cash-on-cash Year 10 = 5.8%; 4.46% 10 year average
Typical range of 8 – 12% once stabilized
• IRR year 10 = 9.54%
Typical range of 12 - 18% at stabilization/sale
Under this scenario, project unlikely to attract investment capital, unlikely to be undertaken.
Investment return metrics – IRR, COC
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• Determine Tax Increment
Assessed value less base value at TID creation
• Timing of tax increment
Construction year 0
Valuation year 1
– Revenue year 2
• TID Costs & policy considerations
Evaluate TID assistance to developer
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• Administrative costs at formation, ongoing
• Policy or need for retainage for other TID projects
• Municipal Revenue Obligation Payments
Calculate principal & interest payments
Evaluate TID assistance to developer
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“Pay as You Go” model1.
3.
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Development value assumptions
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Proposed development
Tax increment projections
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Projected increment based upon tax rate and base value
Total projected increment
Value from previous slide
Tax increment cash flows: revenue
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Tax increment cash flows: expenditures
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Total development incentive of $2,726,350
Tax increment cash flows: Total
30
City of Stellar, WisconsinTax Increment District #1Cash Flow Projection
HIDE HIDEMRO calc MRO Total Dated Date:
Year avail totals Revenues Year Principal Est. Rate Interest Year1.5% 5.00% 30%
2019 0 2019 0 12,000 12,000 (12,000) (12,000) 2,195,000 20192020 (180) (180) 2020 0 5,000 5,000 (5,180) (17,180) 2,195,000 20202021 382,000 (258) 381,742 262,120 244,750 2021 135,000 5.00% 109,750 114,523 5,100 364,373 17,370 190 2,060,000 20212022 525,552 3 525,555 159,353 361,000 2022 258,000 5.00% 103,000 157,666 5,202 523,868 1,686 1,876 1,802,000 20222023 528,180 28 528,208 157,802 365,100 2023 275,000 5.00% 90,100 158,462 5,306 528,868 (661) 1,215 1,527,000 20232024 530,821 18 530,839 159,077 366,350 2024 290,000 5.00% 76,350 159,252 5,412 531,014 (175) 1,041 1,237,000 20242025 533,475 16 533,490 161,120 366,850 2025 305,000 5.00% 61,850 160,047 5,520 532,418 1,073 2,113 932,000 20252026 536,142 32 536,174 158,943 371,600 2026 325,000 5.00% 46,600 160,852 5,631 538,083 (1,909) 204 607,000 20262027 538,823 3 538,826 162,732 370,350 2027 340,000 5.00% 30,350 161,648 5,743 537,741 1,085 1,289 267,000 20272028 541,517 19 541,536 255,328 280,350 2028 267,000 5.00% 13,350 162,461 5,858 448,669 92,867 94,156 0 20282029 544,225 1,412 545,637 539,661 0 2029 5.00% 0 163,691 5,975 169,667 375,970 470,126 0 20292030 546,946 7,052 553,998 547,903 0 2030 5.00% 0 166,199 6,095 172,294 381,703 851,830 0 20302031 549,680 12,777 562,458 556,241 0 2031 5.00% 0 168,737 6,217 174,954 387,504 1,239,333 0 20312032 552,429 18,590 571,019 564,678 0 2032 5.00% 0 171,306 6,341 177,647 393,372 1,632,705 0 20322033 555,191 24,491 579,682 573,213 0 2033 5.00% 0 173,904 6,468 180,372 399,309 2,032,014 0 20332034 557,967 30,480 588,447 581,850 0 2034 5.00% 0 176,534 6,597 183,132 405,316 2,437,330 0 20342035 560,757 36,560 597,317 590,587 0 2035 5.00% 0 179,195 6,729 185,924 411,392 2,848,722 0 20352036 563,561 42,731 606,291 599,427 0 2036 5.00% 0 181,887 6,864 188,751 417,540 3,266,262 0 20362037 566,378 48,994 615,372 608,371 0 2037 5.00% 0 184,612 7,001 191,613 423,759 3,690,022 0 20372038 569,210 55,350 624,561 617,419 0 2038 5.00% 0 187,368 7,141 194,509 430,051 4,120,073 0 20382039 572,056 61,801 633,857 626,573 0 2039 5.00% 0 190,157 7,284 197,441 436,416 4,556,489 0 20392040 574,917 68,347 643,264 635,834 0 2040 5.00% 0 192,979 7,430 200,409 442,855 4,999,344 0 2040
Total 10,829,825 408,267 11,238,092 2,726,350 2,195,000 531,350 0 3,371,482 140,917 6,238,748 Total
Notes:1) Asumes initial years' negative balances funded by another source such as General Fund or Utility Bond revenues, repaid when increment is generated2) City to retain 30% of increment for other project costs within the TID
Projected Revenues Expenditures Balances
Municipal Revenue ObligationExpendituresProjected Revenues Expenditures
TBDTax Increments
Interest Earnings/ (Cost)
Total Revenues
2,195,000Other TID
Project Costs Admin.Total
Expenditures Annual CumulativePrincipal
OutstandingOther
Projected TID Closure
• Incorporating TIF revenues into PAYGO structure
• Re-evaluate developer returns
validate the “But For”
• Development agreement & policy parameters may now be established
How does tax increment fit: Gap analysis
31
Operating cash flow: with TIF assistance
32
PAYGO assistance added in
Sales analysis: with TIF assistance
33
Sales analysis: with TIF assistance
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• Financial Gap now solved, development likely to proceed Cash-On-Cash No TIF: Year 10 = 5.56%; 4.30% 10 year average
Cash-On-Cash With TIF: Year 10 = 5.88%; 8.48% 10 year average [Typical market range 8 – 12% as stabilized]
IRR No TIF: Year 10 = 9.54%
IRR With TIF: Year 10 = 12.44% [Typical market range of 12 – 18% at sale]
• Use metrics to establish allowable return limits in Development Agreement
Investment return metrics…revisited
35
• Minimum % equity in project – “skin in the game”
25% per example; 10% plus suggested
• Ratio of equity to assistance ( = or > )
2.625x Equity > Assistance per example
• Payback period for increment to recover assistance provided
• Shortfall guaranty, no contest on assessments below certain level
Municipal policies & other project costs
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• Portion of increment utilized for other costs
Percentage of Increment withheld by municipality for other TID project costs including ½ mile radius
Street lights, sidewalks, bike path
Retainage for TID administrative fee
Municipal policies & other project costs
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• Development incentives can help positively impact a community for blight, renovation, or economic growth
• Is it an appropriate use of public funds, and within policy / goals of the municipality
• Validate need for assistance; is the return reasonable to offset risk without unduly enriching the developer?
Final impressions
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• Utilization of TIF pro forma analysis to substantiate available project cash flows and recommended financial structure
Transparency, third-party validation of request
• Include “Lookback” provision in development agreement to share in project success above negotiated return thresholds
But for the assistance, the project would not have occurred!
Final impressions
39
Your presenters
2/19/2020 40
Stan RiffleAttorneyArenz, Molter, Macy & Riffle, [email protected]
Frank RomanEconomic Development [email protected](262) 796-6176