task3 proposed transit center sites v9 · 3/18/2015 · task3_proposed transit center sites_v9.2b...
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Task3_Proposed Transit Center Sites_v9.2b
Memorandum To: Kern COG & Stakeholders From: CDM Smith Date: March 18, 2015 Subject: Task 3: Proposed Transit Center Sites
ThepurposeofthismemorandumistoprovideaninitialselectionofproposedtransitcentersitesfortheMetropolitanBakersfieldarea.ThismemodocumentsthelogicbehindtheselectionofeachsiteandoffersastartingpointforexaminingeachlocationanditspotentialforTransitOrientedDevelopment(TOD).Theinformationgatheredfromthemappingexercisesforthesocioeconomicdatawasalsoutilizedindeterminingthetransitcenterlocations.Thereweretentransitcenterlocationsidentified:
1. BakersfieldCollege
2. DowntownTransitCenter
3. SouthwestTransitCenter
4. CaliforniaStateUniversityBakersfield
5. DowntownTrainStation
a. AmtrakStation(withoutHSR)
b. HighSpeedRailStation(withHSR)
6. NilesandMt.VernonAvenue
7. PanamaLaneandHighway99
8. Mt.VernonAvenueandHighway178
9. FStreetandGoldenStateAvenue(LocallyGeneratedAlternative)
Ofthetenlocations,severalwouldbesuitablefornear‐term(Year2020)transitcenterlocationswhileotherswouldbemoresuitableforthelong‐term(Year2040)locations.
DemographicandTransitMapsDemographicmapsfortheMetroBakersfieldareshowninthefiguresbelowincludingexistingLow‐IncomePopulations,HouseholdswithNoVehicles,MinorityPopulations,SeniorPopulations,YouthPopulations,andPopulationandEmploymentprojectionsfor2020,2035,and2040.In
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addition,existingLandUseandTransitMapsareincluded.TheseweremappedtoprovideperspectiveonthegeographiclocationsofthedemographicsofMetroBakersfield;specifically,therelationshipbetweenexistingtransitlinesandthedemographicsoftheadjacentareas.Employmentandpopulationprojectionsweremappedtounderstandwheregrowthisanticipatedtooccurforplanningoffuturetransitcenters.
Ingeneral,populationandemploymentinthelong‐termisexpectedtogrowoutwardfromthecenterofMetroBakersfieldwithhighconcentrationsofemploymentinthecenter.DenseyouthandminoritypopulationsareobservedtobeinthesamevicinitiesandhouseholdswithnovehiclesaremorecommoninthecenterofMetroBakersfield.TheDemographicandTransitMapsareshownbelowinthefollowingpagesinFigures1‐13.
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Figure1:Low‐IncomePopulationbyTAZ
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Figure2:HouseholdswithNoVehiclesbyTAZ
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Figure3:MinorityPopulationbyTAZ
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Figure4:SeniorPopulationbyTAZ
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Figure5:YouthPopulationbyTAZ
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Figure6:Projected2020PopulationbyTAZ
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Figure7:Projected2035PopulationbyTAZ
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Figure8:Projected2040PopulationbyTAZ
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Figure9:ProjectedEmployment2020byTAZ
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Figure10:ProjectedEmployment2035byTAZ
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Figure11:ProjectedEmployment2040byTAZ
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Figure12:ExistingLandUse
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Figure13:ExistingTransit
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RecommendedSiteLocationsAtotaloftensiteswereidentifiedincludingexistingandproposedlocations(shownbelowinFigure14).Eachsiteisdescribedinfurtherdetailinthefollowingsection;sitesarenotlistedinorderofpriority.ExistingtransitcenterlocationsareincludedforabaselinecomparisonagainstpotentialfuturelocationsandforevaluatingthepotentialforTransitOrientedDevelopment(TOD).Proposedtransitcenterlocationsarebasedonseveralfactorsincluding,theplansandgoalsoutlinedintheBakersfieldTransitSystemLong‐RangePlan(LRTP),CityofBakersfieldBicycleTransportationPlan,CaliforniaHighSpeedRailStationAreaPlans,existingandplannedtransitroutes,landusesanddemographicsofsurroundingpotentialsites,firstandlastmileconnections,potentialforTOD,andpopulationandemploymentgrowthtrends.
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Figure14:ProposedSites
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ExistingSites#1BakersfieldCollegeTheBakersfieldCollegeisincludedasapotentialtransitcentersiteduetothehightripattractionofthecollege.TheBakersfieldCollegewasidentifiedintheBakersfieldLRTPasalocationplannedforfastandfrequentservice.ThesiteprovidesaccesstosixGETbusroutes(21,41,43,44,61,andthe81)andthreeoftheKernTransitbusroutes(100,140,and150).FirstandlastmileconnectionsareprovidedwithexistingClass1andClass2bikeroutesandtwofutureClass2andfiveClass3routesareplannedintheCityofBakersfieldBicycleTransportationPlan.Whilethereisnotasignificantamountoftransitdependentpopulationssuchasyouth,senior,orhouseholdswithnovehicles,thereis a moderate low‐income andminority population.1 In addition, employment is expected to bemoderatelyhighintheshort‐termandlong‐term(seeemploymentandseniorpopulationfigurestotheright)withdenseemploymentwithina¼mile.SimilartotheCaliforniaStateUniversityBakersfieldsite,thissiteisalsocomprisedofprimarilypubliclandusemakingitanidealsiteforatransitcentertoimproveaccesstopublicfacilitiessuchasthecollege.
1Mapsdisplaya¼mileand½milebufferandareshownbyTAZ.Highconcentrationsareshowninorangetoredforemploymenthigherthan995andseniorpopulationshigherthan146.
Existing
Distance Low‐Income Population
Minority Population
Youth Population
Senior Population
Households with No Vehicle
1/4 Mile 87 (42%) 102 (50%) 38 (18%) 40 (19%) 2 (2%)
1/2 Mile 548 (37%) 505 (34%) 345 (23%) 238 (16%) 28 (5%)
Note:Percentagesindicateproportionoftotalpopulationorhouseholds.
Future
Distance Base (2008) 2020 2040
People Jobs People Jobs People Jobs
1/4 Mile 357 2,141 357 2,227 1,604 2,312
1/2 Mile 1,557 1,506 1,613 1,558 3,120 1,645
Note:Unitspresentedaredensity(people/jobspersquaremile).
LandUse
51.8%48.0%
0.1%
Quarter MileFederal/State Land
Public Use
Public/Resources
Residential
Mixed Use
Retail/Service
Service/Office
Production/Service/Warehouse
34.7%
45.2%
18.2%
1.8%
Half Mile
Employment2020
Employment2040
SeniorPopulation
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#2DowntownTransitCenterTheDowntownTransitCenterwasidentifiedintheBakersfieldLRTPasanexistingtransitcenterthatwouldbephasedout in themidterm(2021‐2025)and long‐term(2026‐2035)serviceplans.However,thesiteitselfcanbeutilizedforthepotentialforTransitOrientedDevelopment(TOD)duetoitsaccesstotransitandthehighamountofmixed‐uselandusesurroundingthesitetoallowforcompactanddensedevelopment.Inaddition,thesiteislocatedneartheCaliforniaHighSpeedRailStationPlanAreatofurtherenhanceaccess.ThesiteisnearbynineoftheGETbusroutes(22,42,43,45,81,82,83,84,and92)andsevenKernTransitbusroutes(100,110,115,120,130,140,and150).Two existing bike routes are present with three additional routesplanned in theCity’sBicycle TransportationPlan.Among the transitdependent populations, a moderately high concentration of low‐incomeandminoritypopulationsarepresentwhileotherpopulationsare relatively low. Population is expected to become significantlydenser in the short‐term and continue to grow in the long‐term;employmentisalsoexpectedtogrowbetweentheshortandlong‐term(seefigurestotheright).2
2Mapsdisplaya¼mileand½milebufferandareshownbyTAZ.Highconcentrationsareshowninorangetoredforemploymenthigherthan995.
Employment2020
Employment2040
Existing
Distance Low‐Income Population
Minority Population
Youth Population
Senior Population
Households with No Vehicle
1/4 Mile 113 (63%) 94 (53%) 24 (13%) 15 (8%) 18 (29%)
1/2 Mile 699 (60%) 519 (45%) 168 (15%) 111 (10%) 106 (21%)
Note:Percentagesindicateproportionoftotalpopulationorhouseholds.
Future
Distance Base (2008) 2020 2040
People Jobs People Jobs People Jobs
1/4 Mile 1,391 17,888 11,549 18,077 12,666 26,894
1/2 Mile 1,448 14,806 8,694 14,912 9,882 26,725
Note: Units presented are density (people/jobs per square mile).
LandUse
72.8%
27.2%
Quarter MileFederal/State Land
Public Use
Public/Resources
Residential
Mixed Use
Retail/Service
Service/Office
Production/Service/Warehouse
1.7%
4.4%
49.2%43.8%
0.8%
Half Mile
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#3SouthwestTransitCenterTheSouthwestTransitCenterisalsoidentifiedintheBakersfieldLRTPasatransitcenterthatwillbephasedoutinthemidterm(2021‐2025)andlong‐range(2026‐2035)serviceplans,similartotheDowntownTransitCenter.AlsosimilartotheDowntownTransitCentersite,theSouthwestTransitCentersitecanbeutilizedforTODpotential.ThesiteprovidesaccesstoeightGETbusroutes(22,41,42,44,62,81,83,and92)andtwoKernTransitbusroutes(130and145)withina¼milewalkingdistance.Withina½milethereisanadditionalKernTransitbusroute(110)andaCommunityHealthCenter(ClinicaSierraSite).AnexistingClass2bikerouteisadjacenttothesitewithanadditionalClass2bikerouteplanned in theCity’sBicycleTransportationPlan,providing first and lastmileconnections.TheValleyPlazashoppingmall isalsoimmediatelyadjacentwhichfurtherenhancesTODpotential.However,sincetheValleyPlazashoppingmallcurrentlyhasseverallargeretailersonthe site, a relocationof theexisting transit center site to the southat the shopping center at thesouthwestcornerofWilsonRoadandWibleRoadcouldoptimizeTODpotentialbyprovidingahighervariety indense landuses.Theexistingtransitcenter isusedprimarily for transfersand isnotadestinationstation.Thisexistingnatureofthetransitcenterindicatesthatarelocationofthesitewouldnot inhibitexistingGETroutesandservice. Inaddition, the lengthof theexistingbusbayscannot accommodate newer articulatedbuses. The site is also suitable as high concentrations ofemploymentareexpectedintheshort‐term(2020)andthoseprojectionswillmorethandoublebythelong‐term(2040),whichcanhelpsupporttransitcenteractivity.3Amoderateamountoftransitdependentpopulationsarealsopresentwithlow‐income,minority,andyouthpopulations.
3Mapsdisplaya¼mileand½milebufferandareshownbyTAZ.Highconcentrationsareshowninorangetoredforemploymenthigherthan995.
LandUse
17.6%
25.5%56.9%
Quarter MileFederal/State Land
Public Use
Public/Resources
Residential
Mixed Use
Retail/Service
Service/Office
Production/Service/Warehouse
8.1%
46.7%
45.0%
0.2%Half Mile
Existing
Distance Low‐Income Population
Minority Population
Youth Population
Senior Population
Households with No Vehicle
1/4 Mile 515 (52%) 516 (52%) 417 (42%) 84 (8%) 20 (7%)
1/2 Mile 2,590 (55%) 2,126 (45%) 1,750 (37%) 405 (9%) 133 (9%)
Note:Percentagesindicateproportionoftotalpopulationorhouseholds.
Future
Distance Base (2008) 2020 2040
People Jobs People Jobs People Jobs
1/4 Mile 3,159 8,929 3,587 9,000 10,236 22,300
1/2 Mile 5,706 4,621 5,575 4,452 10,096 12,274
Note:Unitspresentedaredensity(people/jobspersquaremile).
Employment2020
Employment2040
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ProposedSites#4CaliforniaStateUniversityBakersfieldCaliforniaStateUniversityBakersfieldisasuitablelocationforatransitcenterasithasalreadybeenidentifiedintheBakersfieldLRTPasatransitcenter.Thesiteincludesaccesswithina¼miletofourGETBusRoutes(21,22,61,and82)andtheCaliforniaStateUniversityBakersfieldKernTransitbusstop(120).FirstandlastmileconnectionsaresupportedwithanexistingClass2bikerouteandtwoClass1routes;afutureClass1routeisplannedintheCityofBakersfieldBicycleTransportationPlan.In addition, the Bicycle Transportation Plan also recommends this site as a potential bike sharelocation. While there is not a high concentration of existing transitdependentpopulations(minority,youth,senior,andhouseholdswithnovehicles),existingemploymentishigh(seeemploymentfigurestotheright)andisanticipatedtoremainhighintheshort‐termandlong‐term.4Thesurroundinglanduseisprimarilypublicuse(mostlyduetothe University) in which a transit center can improve access to theUniversity.
4Mapsdisplaya¼mileand½milebufferandareshownbyTAZ.Highconcentrationofemploymentisshowninorangetored(995andhigher),mediumconcentrationsareinorange(between420and994),andyellowtogreensymbolizeslowconcentrations(lessthan419).
Employment2020
Employment2040
Existing
Distance Low‐Income Population
Minority Population
Youth Population
Senior Population
Households with No Vehicle
1/4 Mile 64 (32%) 52 (26%) 19 (10%) 14 (7%) 9 (10%)
1/2 Mile 284 (28%) 309 (30%) 174 (17%) 101 (10%) 40 (10%)
Note:Percentagesindicateproportionoftotalpopulationorhouseholds.
Future
Distance Base (2008) 2020 2040
People Jobs People Jobs People Jobs
1/4 Mile 163 3,433 163 3,458 621 3,458
1/2 Mile 647 3,103 708 3,138 1,366 3,138
Note:Unitspresentedaredensity(people/jobspersquaremile).
LandUse
96.7%
0.6%2.8%
Quarter MileFederal/State Land
Public Use
Public/Resources
Residential
Mixed Use
Retail/Service
Service/Office
Production/Service/Warehouse
67.6%
17.1%
4.1%
11.3%
Half Mile
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#5DowntownTrainStationTheDowntownTrainStationpertainstotheplanningareafortheCaliforniaHighSpeedRail(HSR).Thegoalofthissitelocationistoleveragetheopportunities,suchasTOD,oftheplannedHSRstation.Inordertomaximizefunctionalityandmutualbenefit,CaliforniaHSRstationsandsurroundingdevelopmentneedtobedesignedwithaneyetoeachother.Ifnotcarefullyplanned,conventionaltransitdesigncanseparatetransitstationsfromtheadjacentcommunityitisintendedtoserve.5Forthesereasons,itisimportanttoevaluateallaspectsoftheCaliforniaHSRandthepotentialopportunitiesthatareincludedwithrelationtoTOD.
TherearemanyopportunitiespresentedbytheCaliforniaHSRanditspotentialforTODwhichcanincludelocation,landuse,andtransportation.Locationcanattractemployerstothearea,suchasLosAngeles‐basedemployerstakingadvantageofthefasttraveltimebetweenthetworegions(approximately54minutes)andlookingforlessexpensiveofficespacewhilestillbeingabletomaintainapresenceinLosAngeles.TheareasurroundingtheCaliforniaHSRstationplanningareaofferspotentialforTODwithvacantandpublicly‐ownedparcels.Lastly,theplannedBakersfieldHybridHSRstationisuniqueinthatitwillbetheonlystationwherebothHSRandAmtrakwillmeetatthesamestationenhancingconnectivityandactingasamajorregionalandstatewidehub.6
InordertoleveragetheopportunitiesassociatedwiththeBakersfieldHybridHSRstation,twooptionsarepresentedforaDowntownTrainStationincludingtheexistingAmtrakstationandtheproposedHSRstation.Intheinterim,untiltheHSRstationisimplementedtheAmtrakstationwouldbeasuitablesiteforatransitcenterintheshort‐term;alternatively,asuitablesitecanalsobelocatedattheHSRstationuponimplementationinthelong‐term.Thesetwoscenariosaredescribedinthefollowingsection.
TheCityofBakersfieldhasproposedlocatingtheBakersfieldHSRstationattheFStreetandGoldenStateAvenuepotentialtransitcentersite(Site#9).ThisproposalhasbeendesignatedtheLocallyGeneratedAlternativetotheCAHSRAuthority’sBakersfieldHybridHSRstationsite.
5UrbanDesignGuidelinesCaliforniaHigh‐SpeedTrainProject.March2011.CaliforniaHigh‐SpeedRailAuthority6PlanningTransit‐OrientedDevelopmentaroundHigh‐SpeedRailStationsinFresnoandBakersfield.December2010.DanielKrause
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#5aAmtrakStation(Short‐Term)TheAmtrakStation is includedasapotential sitedue to its regionalaccess.Usersof theAmtrakStationareabletoaccessthe45GETbusrouteandfourKernTransitbusroutes(100,120,130,and150)withina¼milewalkingdistance;withina½mileuserscanalsoaccessthe44GETbusrouteand a Women, Infants, and Children (WIC) program (Clinica Sierra Site). First and last mileconnectionsare includedwithanexistingClass2bikeroutewithClass1andClass3bikeroutesplanned in theCity’sBicycleTransportationPlan. Station improvements are also included in theBicycleTransportationPlanandtheKernCOG2014RegionalTransportationPlan.Inaddition,theCaliforniaHighSpeedRail(HSR)BakersfieldStationPlanningAreaislocatedimmediatelysouthoftheAmtrakStation.WhileitislikelytheCaliforniaHSRStationwillreplacetheAmtrakStationasamajor transitcenter, thesiteof theAmtrakStationcouldbeutilizedasTODwithagrowinghighconcentrationofemploymentandamixtureoflandusesinthesurroundingarea.7Theareasurroundingthesite isalsocomprisedofahighamountoftransit dependent populations such as low‐income, minority populations,andhouseholdswithnoaccesstoavehicle.
7Mapsdisplaya¼mileand½milebufferandareshownbyTAZ.Highconcentrationsareshowninorangetoredforemploymenthigherthan995.
Employment2020
Employment2040
Existing
Distance Low‐Income Population
Minority Population
Youth Population
Senior Population
Households with No Vehicle
1/4 Mile 195 (75%) 168 (65%) 53 (21%) 34 (13%) 36 (36%)
1/2 Mile 1,660 (68%) 1,119 (46%) 475 (19%) 268 (11%) 175 (25%)
Note:Percentagesindicateproportionoftotalpopulationorhouseholds.
Future
Distance Base (2008) 2020 2040
People Jobs People Jobs People Jobs
1/4 Mile 825 20,368 4,014 28,370 6,255 37,156
1/2 Mile 1,909 12,411 7,511 15,800 9,566 22,113
Note:Unitspresentedaredensity(people/jobspersquaremile).
LandUse
40.9%
22.5%
36.6%
Quarter MileFederal/State Land
Public Use
Public/Resources
Residential
Mixed Use
Retail/Service
Service/Office
Production/Service/Warehouse
5.6%
39.4%
8.7%
16.4%
30.0%
Half Mile
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#5bCaliforniaHighSpeedRailHybridStation(Long‐Term)TheCaliforniaHigh SpeedRail (HSR)Hybrid Station is located immediately southof theAmtrakStationacrossfromtherailroadtracks.ThislocationmakesasuitablesiteduetoitsconnectivitytotheplannedCaliforniaHSRsystemprovidingregionalandstatewideaccess.SimilartotheAmtrakstation,usersareprovidedGETandKernTransitbusrouteswithinwalkingdistanceincludingthe45GETbusrouteandfourKernTransitbusroutes(100,120,130,and150)withina¼milewalkingdistance;withina½mileuserscanalsoaccess the44GETbusrouteandaWomen, Infants,andChildren(WIC)program(ClinicaSierraSite).Firstandlastmiletransitconnections consist of the existing Class 2 bike route along withplanned Class 1 and Class 3 bike routes in the City’s BicycleTransportationPlantoincreasingconnectivity.Highconcentrationsoftransitdependentpopulations(low‐income,minority,andhouseholdswith no vehicle) are present in the surrounding area, furthersupportingthissiteasasuitablelocationforatransitcenterand/oraTOD site.8 Employment density is also anticipated to drasticallyintensifybythelong‐termyear2040.Additionally,ahighportionofthesurroundinglandusesareidentifiedasmixed‐use,allowingfordenseandcompactdevelopment.
8Mapsdisplaya¼mileand½milebufferandareshownbyTAZ.Highconcentrationsareshowninorangetoredforemploymenthigherthan995.
Employment2020
Employment2040
Existing
Distance Low‐Income Population
Minority Population
Youth Population
Senior Population
Households with No Vehicle
1/4 Mile 251 (65%) 201 (52%) 80 (21%) 39 (10%) 34 (29%)
1/2 Mile 1,910 (66%) 1,174 (40%) 623 (21%) 240 (8%) 137 (19%)
Note:Percentagesindicateproportionoftotalpopulationorhouseholds.
Future
Distance Base (2008) 2020 2040
People Jobs People Jobs People Jobs
1/4 Mile 210 1,117 392 2,265 666 4,036
1/2 Mile 1,630 8,448 4,038 11,103 5,823 16,441
Note: Units presented are density (people/jobs per square mile).
LandUse
0.5%
25.4%
25.7%
48.4%
Quarter MileFederal/State Land
Public Use
Public/Resources
Residential
Mixed Use
Retail/Service
Service/Office
Production/Service/Warehouse
1.9%
17.3%
27.5%
15.6%
37.7%
Half Mile
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#6NilesandMtVernonAvenueTheparcelsimmediatelyadjacenttotheintersectionofNilesStreetandMtVernonAvenuemakesasuitabletransitcenterlocationwithaccesstotransitandahighconcentrationoftransitdependentpopulations.Atransitcentercouldbelocatedonanyofthefourquadrantsoftheintersection.ThesiteincludesaccesstothreeGETbusroutes(21,41,and45)andthreeKernTransitbusroutes(100,140,and150);firstandlastmileconnectionswillbeenhancedwithafutureClass3andthreefutureClass2bikeroutesthathavebeenidentifiedintheCity’sBicycleTransportationPlan.Inaddition,theEastBakersfieldHighSchoolandKernMedicalCenterarebothwithina½mile.Althoughthelandusesurroundingthesiteisprimarilyresidentialanddoesnotallowformixed‐usedevelopment,theareaisdenselypopulatedwithlow‐income,minority,youth,andhouseholdswithnovehicles(transitdependent users) making this site an ideal location for a transit center.9Populationisanticipatedtoremainrelativelyconsistentintheshortandlong‐termwithsmallgrowthinemploymentbythe long‐termyear2040.Whileasignificantamountofgrowthisnotanticipated,thissiteisstillanideallocationfor a transit center as it improves accessibility for transit dependentpopulationsinadenselypopulatedarea.
9Mapsdisplaya¼mileand½milebufferandareshownbyTAZ.Highconcentrationsareshowninorangetoredforminoritypopulationshigherthan548,youthpopulationshigherthan425,andhouseholdswithnovehiclehigherthan98.
Population 2020
Population2040
HouseholdswithNoVehicles
YouthPopulation
Existing
Distance Low‐Income Population
Minority Population
Youth Population
Senior Population
Households with No Vehicle
1/4 Mile 1,368 (66%) 1,012 (49%) 743 (36%) 72 (3%) 162 (28%)
1/2 Mile 4,490 (66%) 3,455 (51%) 2,609 (38%) 476 (4%) 527 (30%)
Note:Percentagesindicateproportionoftotalpopulationorhouseholds.
Future
Distance Base (2008) 2020 2040
People Jobs People Jobs People Jobs
1/4 Mile 10,041 276 10,041 292 11,448 482
1/2 Mile 8,620 780 8,640 798 10,209 983
Note:Unitspresentedaredensity(people/jobspersquaremile).
LandUse
2.0%
75.3%
22.8%
Quarter MileFederal/State Land
Public Use
Public/Resources
Residential
Mixed Use
Retail/Service
Service/Office
Production/Service/Warehouse
17.3%
61.3%
11.6 %
9.9%
Half Mile
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#7PanamaLaneandHwy99WhilenotlocatedinthecenterofMetroBakersfield,theintersectionofPanamaLaneandHighway99 is a site location for apotential transit center. The site is anticipated todouble in populationdensitybetweentheshortandlong‐termyearsandprovidesaccesstomultipletransitlines.RegionalandlocalaccessisavailablewithsixGETbusroutes(41,42,47,61,62,and92)andtwoKernTransitbus routes (130 and 145). First and lastmile connections to the transit center are offeredwithproposed future Class 2 and Class 1 routes in the City’s Bicycle Transportation Plan. Thedemographicsforthesurroundingareaincludeamoderatelyhighamountoflow‐income,minority,andyouthpopulations(transitdependentpopulations).10 Althoughtheland uses for the site are primarily retail and residential, thedemographics for thearea indicate thepopulation is transitdependentwith a moderately high amount of low‐income, minority, and youthpopulations. A transit center at this location can improve upon theexistingaccessibilityfortheseusersandassistwiththepopulationgrowthbetweenshortandlong‐termyears.
10Mapsdisplaya¼mileand½milebufferandareshownbyTAZ.Highconcentrationsareshowninorangetoredforpopulationshigherthan1,670,minoritypopulationshigherthan548,andyouthpopulationshigherthan425.
Population2020
Population2040
YouthPopulation
MinorityPopulation
Existing
Distance Low‐Income Population
Minority Population
Youth Population
Senior Population
Households with No Vehicle
1/4 Mile 610 (57%) 530 (49%) 360 (33%) 51 (5%) 18 (7%)
1/2 Mile 2,329 (55%) 2,065 (48%) 1,414 (33%) 225 (5%) 58 (5%)
Note:Percentagesindicateproportionoftotalpopulationorhouseholds.
Future
Distance Base (2008) 2020 2040
People Jobs People Jobs People Jobs
1/4 Mile 616 1,861 820 197 1,745 197
1/2 Mile 4,233 835 5,655 1,077 9,353 1,491
Note: Units presented are density (people/jobs per square mile).
LandUse
33.3%
16.8%
50.0%
Quarter Mile
Federal/State Land
Public Use
Public/Resources
Residential
Mixed Use
Retail/Service
Service/Office
Production/Service/Warehouse
10.8%
55.1%
31.5%
2.7%
Half Mile
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#8MtVernonAveandHwy178SouthalongMountVernonAvenueattheintersectionofHighway178isasitelocationforapotentialtransitcenter.ThislocationisanidealsiteforapotentialtransitcenterasitiswithincloseproximityoftheEastHillsShoppingMall.RegionalandlocalaccessisavailablewiththreeGETbusroutes(21,43,and44)withina¼mileradiusandaWomen,Infants,andChildren(WIC)program(ClinicaSierraSite)iswithincloseproximity.FirstandlastmileconnectionstothetransitcenterareenhancedwithanexistingClass2bikeroutesandanadditionalfutureClass2routeproposedintheCity’sBicycleTransportationPlan.Althoughpopulationdensitybetween theshortand long‐termyearsremainrelativelyconstant,amoderatelyhighamountof low‐income,minority,andyouthpopulations(transitdependentpopulations(transitdependentpopulations)arewithinthesurroundareas.11Thelandusesforthesiteareprimarilyretailandresidentialwithamixtureofpublicuse.Thesite’sadjacentlocationtotheEastHillsShoppingMallanditsconcentrationoftransitdependentpopulationsenhancesitspotentialtobecomeeligiblefor TOD. A transit center at this location can improve access forneighboringpopulationsandassist inprovidingaccesstotheEastHillsShoppingMall.
11Mapsdisplaya¼mileand½milebufferandareshownbyTAZ.Highconcentrationsareshowninorangetoredforpopulationshigherthan1,670,minoritypopulationshigherthan548,andyouthpopulationshigherthan425.
Low‐IncomePopulation
MinorityPopulation
YouthPopulation
Existing
Distance Low‐Income Population
Minority Population
Youth Population
Senior Population
Households with No Vehicle
1/4 Mile 657 (53%) 554 (45%) 403 (32%) 146 (12%) 60 (15%)
1/2 Mile 2,530 (48%) 2,174 (41%) 1,588 (30%) 594 (11%) 201 (12%)
Note:Percentagesindicateproportionoftotalpopulationorhouseholds.
Future
Distance Base (2008) 2020 2040
People Jobs People Jobs People Jobs
1/4 Mile 842 785 850 695 1,001 695
1/2 Mile 4,128 2,124 4,053 2,069 5,868 2,069
Note:Unitspresentedaredensity(people/jobspersquaremile).
LandUse
12.5%
28.9%58.6%
Quarter Mile
Federal/State Land
Public Use
Public/Resources
Residential
Mixed Use
Retail/Service
Service/Office
Production/Service/Warehouse
8.3%
49.9%
41.6%
0.1%
Half Mile
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#9FStreetandGoldenStateAvenue(LocallyGeneratedAlternativeHSRStation)NorthoftheexistingAmtrakStationattheintersectionofFStreetandGoldenStateAvenue(Highway204) is also a site location for a potential transit center. The site location has a high amount ofretail/servicelandusewithina¼mileradiussupportingthesiteasatransitcenter;withina½mileradiusthereisalsopublicuse/resourceareas.RegionalandlocalaccessisavailablewithtwoGETbusroutes(22,and42),andtwoKernTransitbusroutes(110and150)withina½mileradius.FirstandlastmileconnectionstothetransitcenterincludeexistingLocal,Class1,andClass2bikeroutesandfutureLocalandClass2routesproposedinthe City’s Bicycle Transportation Plan. While there is not a highconcentration of existing transit dependent populations (low‐income,minority, youth, senior, andhouseholdswithno vehicles), employmentgrowthisanticipatedtotriplebylongtermyear2040(seeemploymentfigurestotheright).12Atransitcenteratthislocationcanassistwiththeanticipated employment growth andprovidemulti‐model access to thenearby future employment centers. However, the site is locatedimmediately north of Golden State Ave (Highway 204) and presents achallengeforaccessacrossthehighway;additionally,lineofsightfromtheroadisnotoptimalduetothegeographyofthesite.
12Mapsdisplaya¼mileand½milebufferandareshownbyTAZ.Highconcentrationofemploymentisshowninorangetored(995andhigher),mediumconcentrationsareinorange(between420and994),andyellowtogreensymbolizeslowconcentrations(lessthan419).
Employment2020
Employment2040
Existing
Distance Low‐Income Population
Minority Population
Youth Population
Senior Population
Households with No Vehicle
1/4 Mile 118 (38%) 94 (30%) 64 (21%) 33 (11%) 23 (19%)
1/2 Mile 1,108 (51%) 695 (32%) 468 (22%) 209 (10%) 158 (19%)
Note:Percentagesindicateproportionoftotalpopulationorhouseholds.
Future
Distance Base (2008) 2020 2040
People Jobs People Jobs People Jobs
1/4 Mile 424 978 361 1,044 424 2,693
1/2 Mile 1,952 3,494 2,123 3,598 2,913 9,079
Note:Unitspresentedaredensity(people/jobspersquaremile).
LandUse
3.8%16.5%
41.1%
38.6%
Quarter Mile
Federal/State Land
Public Use
Public/Resources
Residential
Mixed Use
Retail/Service
Service/Office
Production/Service/Warehouse
13.1%
3.6%
31.0%27.1%
25.2%
Half Mile
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DemographicSummaryThedemographicsforeachsitearesummarizedinthetablesbelowforexistingandprojected.Siteswerepartiallyselectedbasedontheirexistingandprojecteddemographics.Forexistingdemographicshighconcentrationoftransitdependentuserssuchaslow‐income,minority,youth,senior,andhouseholdswithnovehicleswerecriteriaforasiterecommendation.Theprojecteddemographicswereusedtodeterminethedegreeofgrowththatisanticipatedbetweenthebaseyear,shorttermandlongtermyears.Theselectedsitesalldisplayedahighconcentrationoftransitdependentpopulationsandanticipatedgrowthandwereselectedforthesereasons.
Quarter Mile (Existing)
Site Description Total
Population Total
Households Low‐Income Population
Minority Population
Youth Population
Senior Population
Households with No Vehicle
1 Bakersfield College 206 85 87 (42%) 102 (50%) 38 (18%) 40 (19%) 2 (2%)
2 Downtown Transit Center 180 63 113 (63%) 94 (53%) 24 (13%) 15 (8%) 18 (29%)
3 Southwest Transit Center 1,000 313 515 (52%) 516 (52%) 417 (42%) 84 (8%) 20 (7%)
4 Cal State Bakersfield 201 87 64 (32%) 52 (26%) 19 (10%) 14 (7%) 9 (10%)
5a Amtrak Station 258 102 195 (75%) 168 (65%) 53 (21%) 34 (13%) 36 (36%)
5b CA HSR 388 117 251 (65%) 201 (52%) 80 (21%) 39 (10%) 34 (29%)
6 Niles and Vernon Ave 2,069 588 1368 (66%) 1012 (49%) 743 (36%) 72 (3%) 162 (28%)
7 Panama Ln and Hwy 99 1,077 259 610 (57%) 530 (49%) 360 (33%) 51 (5%) 18 (7%)
8 Vernon Ave and Hwy 178 1,245 391 657 (53%) 554 (45%) 403 (32%) 146 (12%) 60 (15%)
9 F St and Golden State Ave 310 121 118 (38%) 94 (30%) 64 (21%) 33 (11%) 23 (19%)
Half Mile (Existing)
Site Description Total
Population Total
Households Low‐Income Population
Minority Population
Youth Population
Senior Population
Households with No Vehicle
1 Bakersfield College 1,493 552 548 (37%) 505 (34%) 345 (23%) 238 (16%) 28 (5%)
2 Downtown Transit Center 1,156 496 699 (60%) 519 (45%) 168 (15%) 111 (10%) 106 (21%)
3 Southwest Transit Center 4,681 1,448 2590 (55%) 2126 (45%) 1750 (37%) 405 (9%) 133 (9%)
4 Cal State Bakersfield 1,021 415 284 (28%) 309 (30%) 174 (17%) 101 (10%) 40 (10%)
5a Amtrak Station 2,440 700 1660 (68%) 1119 (46%) 475 (19%) 268 (11%) 175 (25%)
5b CA HSR 2,904 740 1910 (66%) 1174 (40%) 623 (21%) 240 (8%) 137 (19%)
6 Niles and Vernon Ave 6,790 1,780 4490 (66%) 3435 (51%) 2609 (38%) 276 (4%) 527 (30%)
7 Panama Ln and Hwy 99 4,262 1,062 2329 (55%) 2065 (48%) 1414 (33%) 225 (5%) 58 (5%)
8 Vernon Ave and Hwy 178 5,263 1,682 2,530 (48%) 2,174 (41%) 1,588 (30%) 594 (11%) 201 (12%)
9 F St and Golden State Ave 2,173 849 1,108 (51%) 695 (32%) 468 (22%) 209 (10%) 158 (19%)
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Quarter Mile (Projected)
Site Description Population Employment
Base 2020 2035 2040 Base 2020 2035 2040
1 Bakersfield College 71 70 237 315 420 437 452 454
2 Downtown Transit Center 274 2,267 2,469 2,486 3,511 3,548 5,249 5,279
3 Southwest Transit Center 620 704 2,007 2,009 1,753 1,767 4,377 4,377
4 Cal State Bakersfield 32 32 86 122 674 679 711 679
5a Amtrak Station 163 788 1,227 1,228 3,998 5,569 7,290 7,293
5b CA HSR 211 393 666 666 1,117 2,265 4,030 4,036
6 Niles and Mt. Vernon Ave 1,972 1,972 2,059 2,247 54 57 57 95
7 Panama Ln and Hwy 99 122 161 343 343 365 39 39 39
8 Mt. Vernon Ave and Hwy 178 842 850 880 1,001 785 695 695 695
9 F St and Golden State Ave 424 362 380 424 978 1,044 2,393 2,693
Half Mile (Projected)
Site Description Population Employment
Base 2020 2035 2040 Base 2020 2035 2040
1 Bakersfield College 1,223 1,266 2,179 2,450 1,183 1,224 1,249 1,292
2 Downtown Transit Center 1,137 6,827 7,649 7,760 11,627 11,710 20,837 20,986
3 Southwest Transit Center 4,481 4,378 7,862 7,928 3,628 3,496 9,553 9,638
4 Cal State Bakersfield 508 556 894 1,073 2,437 2,464 2,464 2,464
5a Amtrak Station 1,499 5,898 7,404 7,512 9,746 12,407 17,351 17,365
5b CA HSR 1,630 4,038 5,777 5,823 8,448 11,103 16,401 16,441
6 Niles and Mt. Vernon Ave 6,769 6,785 7,110 8,017 612 627 631 772
7 Panama Ln and Hwy 99 3,324 4,441 7,345 7,345 656 846 1,113 1,171
8 Mt. Vernon Ave and Hwy 178 4,128 4,053 4,494 5,868 2,124 2,069 2,069 2,069
9 F St and Golden State Ave 1,952 2,123 2,232 2,913 3,494 3,598 8,330 9,079
LandUseSummaryInadditiontothedemographicsofthesurroundingareas,siteswerealsoselectedbasedontheirsurroundinglanduses.Thesurroundinglandusesarevitaltosupportatransitcenter,astheimmediateadjacentarea’sabilitytoattractand/orproduceactivityofferridershipforatransitcenter.Sitescontainingahighportionofresidentiallanduseswereselectedfortheirpotentialtogeneratetripsonlyifthedemographicsoftheresidentsincludeahighconcentrationoftransitdependentpopulations.Sitescontainingheavyamountsofpublicusesandretailindicatedahighpotentialtoattracttrips.Inaddition,siteswithasignificantamountofmixeduselanduseswereincludedfortheirpotentialtopromotecompactdevelopmentandplayanimportantroleinTODdevelopment;thedenserdevelopmentisabletocaptureandservealargerpopulation,increasingtheefficiencyoftransitcenter.
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Quarter Mile
Site Description Public Use
Public Resources
Residential Mixed Use
Retail/ Service
Production/ Service/Warehouse
Total
1 Bakersfield College 51.8% 48.0% 0.1% ‐‐ ‐‐ ‐‐ 100.0%
2 Downtown Transit Center ‐‐ ‐‐ ‐‐ 72.8% 27.2% ‐‐ 100.0%
3 Southwest Transit Center 17.6% ‐‐ 25.5% ‐‐ 56.9% ‐‐ 100.0%
4 Cal State Bakersfield 96.7% 0.6% ‐‐ ‐‐ 2.8% ‐‐ 100.0%
5a Amtrak Station ‐‐ ‐‐ ‐‐ 71.9% 3.4% 24.7% 100.0%
5b CA HSR ‐‐ ‐‐ 0.5% 25.4% 25.7% 48.4% 100.0%
6 Niles and Vernon Ave 2.0% ‐‐ 75.3% ‐‐ 22.8% ‐‐ 100.0%
7 Panama Ln and Hwy 99 33.3% ‐‐ 16.8% ‐‐ 50.0% ‐‐ 100.0%
8 Mt. Vernon Ave and Hwy 178 12.5% ‐‐ 28.9% ‐‐ 58.6% ‐‐ 100.0%
9 F St and Golden State Ave 3.8% ‐‐ 16.5% ‐‐ 41.1% 38.6% 100.0%
Half Mile
Site Description Public Use
Public Resources
Residential Mixed Use
Retail/ Service
Production/ Service/Warehouse
Total
1 Bakersfield College 34.7% 45.2% 18.2% ‐‐ 1.8% ‐‐ 100.0%
2 Downtown Transit Center 1.7% ‐‐ 4.4% 49.2% 43.8% 0.8% 100.0%
3 Southwest Transit Center 8.1% ‐‐ 46.7% ‐‐ 45.0% 0.2% 100.0%
4 Cal State Bakersfield 67.6% 17.1% 4.1% ‐‐ 11.3% ‐‐ 100.0%
5a Amtrak Station 0.0% 5.6% 39.4% 8.7% 16.4% 30.0% 100.0%
5b CA HSR 1.9% ‐‐ 17.3% 27.5% 15.6% 37.7% 100.0%
6 Niles and Vernon Ave 17.3% ‐‐ 61.3% ‐‐ 11.6% 9.9% 100.0%
7 Panama Ln and Hwy 99 10.8% ‐‐ 55.1% ‐‐ 31.5% 2.7% 100.0%
8 Mt. Vernon Ave and Hwy 178 8.3% ‐‐ 49.9% ‐‐ 41.6% 0.1% 100.0%
9 F St and Golden State Ave 13.1% 3.6% 31.0% ‐‐ 27.1% 25.2% 100.0%
SecondaryPotentialSitesThroughouttheoutreachprocess,whichincludedgeneralpublicoutreachandmeetingswithstakeholdersandsteeringcommitteemembers,otheradditionalsiteswereidentified.Thesiteswereidentifiedbasedonthefeedbackofstakeholdersandthepubliccommunitytoidentifyareasoutsideoftherecommendedsitelocations.Theselocationswerenotincludedasrecommendedsitesduetolimitedlandusepatterns,population,employment,orothertransitdependentfactors,reducingthesitesabilitytobealocationforaTransitCenterorTODsite.However,shouldanyofthesefactorsunexpectedlyincrease;thesesiteshavethepotentialtobecomeideallocationsforaTransitCenteroraTODsite.ThesitelocationsareshowninFigure15andinclude:
SantaFeWayand7thStandardRoad
ChinaGradeLoopatAirportDrive
ChinaGradeLoopatNorthChesterAvenue
MorningDriveandHighway178
CaliforniaAvenueandHighway99
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Inaddition,resultingfromtheoutreachprocess,twosites(listedbelow)initiallyidentifiedasprimarypotentialsitesbytheconsultantteamweredeterminedmoresuitableassecondarypotentialsites.Duetopreviouslybeingconsideredprimarypotentialsites,analysesforthesesiteshadpreviouslybeenconducted.Theanalysesareshownbelowforreferencepurposes;detailedanalysisoftheremainingsecondarypotentialsiteswillnotbecompleted.
MorningDriveandHwy178
CaliforniaAvenueandHwy99
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Figure14:SecondarySites
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MorningDriveandHwy178AtransitcenterlocatedatMorningDriveandHighway178isrecommendedbasedonfutureprojections.WhilethereiscurrentlynoGETand/orKernTransitbusservice,thegrowthpatternofexpandingtotheeastwilllikelyimpactthedemandforservice;populationdensitiesareexpectedtoatleastdoubleinthelong‐term.Currently,thesurroundingarea(beyonda½miledistance)isprimarilyundevelopedand/orzonedforlow‐densityresidentialindicatingthatthissitemaybesuitableforparkandridefacilitiestocomplementitssurroundinglandusesandincreasemultimodalism.13Inaddition,thelocationofthissitecapturesthehighestvarietyoflandusestoenhanceTODfunctionality.Firstandlastmileconnectionsareanticipatedtobeenhancedwith2proposedClass2routeswithinproximityoftheproposedsite;additionally,GETandKernTransitbusrouteswouldneedtobeexpandedandincorporatedforthissitetobecomeaviablesitelocation.Basedonthecurrentprojectionsandthesurroundingandimmediatelanduses,thissiteismostsuitabletoassistinaddressingtheeasterngrowthpattern.
13Mapsdisplaya¼mileand½milebufferandareshownbyTAZ.Highconcentrationsareshowninorangetoredforpopulationshigherthan1,670.
Population2020
Population2040
Existing
Distance Low‐Income Population
Minority Population
Youth Population
Senior Population
Households with No Vehicle
1/4 Mile 290 (43%) 234 (35%) 145 (21%) 55 (8%) 13 (5%)
1/2 Mile 815 (43%) 635 (34%) 409 (22%) 170 (9%) 37 (5%)
Note:Percentagesindicateproportionoftotalpopulationorhouseholds.
Future
Distance Base (2008) 2020 2040
People Jobs People Jobs People Jobs
1/4 Mile 697 46 1,002 55 1,281 55
1/2 Mile 1,941 126 3,300 154 4,726 162
Note:Unitspresentedaredensity(people/jobspersquaremile).
LandUse
0.4%
56.1%43.5%
Quarter Mile
Federal/State Land
Public Use
Public/Resources
Residential
Mixed Use
Retail/Service
Service/Office
Production/Service/Warehouse
2.9%
77.8%
19.2%
Half Mile
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CaliforniaAveandHwy99ApotentialtransitcentersiteislocatedjusteastoftheintersectionofCaliforniaAvenueandHighway99duetoitsmixtureoflanduse,accesstotransit,andemploymentgrowthprojections.RegionalandlocalaccessisprovidedbyfiveGETbusroutes(21,43,81,83,and92)andthe130KernTransitbusroute;firstandlastmileconnectionsenhancemultimodalconnectivitywithanexistingClass1bikerouteandaproposedClass3bikerouteidentifiedintheCity’sBicycleTransportationPlan.Thesiteisalsolocatedalongaprimarycorridor(CaliforniaAve)whichprovidesaccesstotheCaliforniaHSRstationplanningarea.Althoughthereisnotanexistinghighconcentrationoftransitdependentpopulations,existingemploymentismoderatelyhighandisexpectedtogrowinthelong‐term.14Inaddition,amixtureoflanduseswillprovideserviceforemployers,residents,andretailshoppers.
14Mapsdisplaya¼mileand½milebufferandareshownbyTAZ.Highconcentrationofemploymentisshowninorangetored(995andhigher),mediumconcentrationsareinorange(between420and994),andyellowtogreensymbolizeslowconcentrations(lessthan419).
Employment2020
Employment2040
Existing
Distance Low‐Income Population
Minority Population
Youth Population
Senior Population
Households with No Vehicle
1/4 Mile 279 (43%) 190 (29%) 171 (26%) 62 (10%) 20 (8%)
1/2 Mile 1,189 (44%) 855 (32%) 730 (27%) 274 (10%) 82 (8%)
Note:Percentagesindicateproportionoftotalpopulationorhouseholds.
Future
Distance Base (2008) 2020 2040
People Jobs People Jobs People Jobs
1/4 Mile 473 2,159 448 2,153 765 3,445
1/2 Mile 2,467 4,707 2,414 4,699 3,585 9,587
Note:Unitspresentedaredensity(people/jobspersquaremile).
LandUse
9.2% 14.0%
56.9%
20.0%
Quarter Mile
Federal/State Land
Public Use
Public/Resources
Residential
Mixed Use
Retail/Service
Service/Office
Production/Service/Warehouse
10.0%1.7%
26.6%
41.6%
20.0%
Half Mile
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ConclusionsandNextStepsSeveralofthetenrecommendedtransitcentersidentifiedthroughoutthisstudywouldbesuitableforshort‐termimplementationwhileothersmoresuitableforthelongterm,horizonyearof2040.Ofthetensites,itisanticipatedthatthefollowingcouldbeenhanced(ifexisting)orimplementedintheshortterm.
Site#1:BakersfieldCollege
Site#2:DowntownTransitCenter
Site#3:SouthwestTransitCenter
Site#4:CaliforniaStateUniversityBakersfield
Site#5a:AmtrakStation
Thisrecommendationisbasedonitbeinganexistinglocation,alreadyidentifiedasapotentialtransitcenterintheLRTP,minimalimprovementsareneededforimplementation,orhighdemographicgrowthin2020isanticipated.WhilesomesiteswereidentifiedintheLRTPtobephasedoutintheinterimyears,thesesitesshouldberevisitedforimprovementsandpotentialforTODinthelong‐term.
Thelocationsmoresuitableforthelong‐termarehighlydependentonmajorfuturetransitservicesuchastheHSRtobesuccessful,significantgrowthdoesnotoccuruntil2035or2040,orlandusedesignationsorsignificantpropertyacquisitionswouldberequired.SomeoftheexistingtransitcentersitesplannedtobephasedoutinthefutureaccordingtotheLRTPcouldbesuitableforfutureTODdevelopmentandarethereforecouldseesignificantimprovementsinthelong‐termevenwhilenotidentifiedasalong‐termtransitcenter.Thefollowingsitesarerecommendedforlong‐termimplementation.
Site#5b:CaliforniaHighSpeedRailStation
Site#6:NilesandMt.VernonAvenue
Site#7:PanamaLaneandHighway99
Site#8:Mt.VernonAvenueandHighway178
Site#9:FStreetandGoldenStateAvenue
Inadditiontotherecommendedsites,otherlocationshavealsobeenidentifiedwhichhavethepotentialtobecomeTransitCenterorTODsitelocations.Thesesitesarenotrecommendedatthistime,however,shouldchangestolandusepatternsorunexpectedgrowthinpopulation,employment,orothertransitdependentfactorsincreasethesesitesshouldbereevaluated.
TobuildontheworkcompletedunderthisTasktoidentifysuitabletransitcenterlocations,thenextstepswillbetoperformamarketstudyontwooftheselectedsitesforpotentialTOD.The
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selectionofthetwositestobestudiedinthemarketstudywillbedeterminedbyinputfromtheprojectteamwhichincludesthestakeholdersandconsultantteam.AthoroughmarketstudywillbeperformedonthetwoselectedsitesandpresentedtotheprojectteamandprojectSteeringCommitteepriortopresentationtothegeneralpublic.