tanoak: conservation of an at risk tree · agriphos® (phosphonate) treatments reduce pathogen...

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Tanoak: conservation of an at risk tree Richard Cobb, Joao Filipe, Katy Hayden, Ross Meentemeyer, Yana Valachovic, Ted Swieki, Chris Gilligan, Everett Hansen, Susan Frankel, Matteo Garbelotto, Dave Rizzo

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Page 1: Tanoak: conservation of an at risk tree · Agriphos® (phosphonate) treatments reduce pathogen growth in tanoak and coast live oak . Models: forecasting spread and efficacy 20 40

Tanoak: conservation of an at risk tree

Richard Cobb, Joao Filipe, Katy Hayden, Ross Meentemeyer, Yana Valachovic, Ted Swieki,

Chris Gilligan, Everett Hansen, Susan Frankel, Matteo Garbelotto, Dave Rizzo

Page 2: Tanoak: conservation of an at risk tree · Agriphos® (phosphonate) treatments reduce pathogen growth in tanoak and coast live oak . Models: forecasting spread and efficacy 20 40

Perspectives and challenges

• Frederica Bowcutt : Tanoak, a persecuted species • John Shelly : changes in resources perspectives • Thomas Brown : traditional resource perspectives • Whalen Dillon: Comprehensive risk assessment

Page 3: Tanoak: conservation of an at risk tree · Agriphos® (phosphonate) treatments reduce pathogen growth in tanoak and coast live oak . Models: forecasting spread and efficacy 20 40

Ecological value and resources

•Richard Dodd (Jessica) : basic genetic understanding: bias of understudied species • Jessica Wright : Insect pollinators , scratching the biodiversity iceberg • Katy Hayden: finding resistance

Page 4: Tanoak: conservation of an at risk tree · Agriphos® (phosphonate) treatments reduce pathogen growth in tanoak and coast live oak . Models: forecasting spread and efficacy 20 40

Learning from failure

• Forest decline in N. America: Sudden Oak Death is a familiar threat

• Chestnut: management increased pathogen spread

• Eastern hemlock: management (cutting) increased tree decline

Page 5: Tanoak: conservation of an at risk tree · Agriphos® (phosphonate) treatments reduce pathogen growth in tanoak and coast live oak . Models: forecasting spread and efficacy 20 40

The twin traps of overtreatment and therapeutic nihilism*

• What are the management goals?

• Invaded Vs. uninvaded lands

• Goal: maximize tanoak resiliency and biodiversity

* Hippocratic oath

Page 6: Tanoak: conservation of an at risk tree · Agriphos® (phosphonate) treatments reduce pathogen growth in tanoak and coast live oak . Models: forecasting spread and efficacy 20 40

Sudden oak death impacts are greater in large trees

Sudden oak death caused mortality increases with tanoak size*

Sudden oak death: stands quickly lose tanoak biomass

*Davis et al 2010 *McPherson et al 2010 *Cobb et al. 2012

Page 7: Tanoak: conservation of an at risk tree · Agriphos® (phosphonate) treatments reduce pathogen growth in tanoak and coast live oak . Models: forecasting spread and efficacy 20 40

A toolbox for tanoak

conservation

• Change the conditions of disease:

– Reduce infection rate

– Reduce mortality rate

– Exclude pathogen

Page 8: Tanoak: conservation of an at risk tree · Agriphos® (phosphonate) treatments reduce pathogen growth in tanoak and coast live oak . Models: forecasting spread and efficacy 20 40

Local pathogen reduction

Valachovic et al. Southern Humboldt Unpublished data

0 1 2 3 4 5

Pro

bab

lity

of

infe

cti

on

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

Treated

Untreated

Survey (years)

Page 9: Tanoak: conservation of an at risk tree · Agriphos® (phosphonate) treatments reduce pathogen growth in tanoak and coast live oak . Models: forecasting spread and efficacy 20 40

13,000

800

10 sites,

229 trees

Garbelotto et al., unpublished

Page 10: Tanoak: conservation of an at risk tree · Agriphos® (phosphonate) treatments reduce pathogen growth in tanoak and coast live oak . Models: forecasting spread and efficacy 20 40

Preventative treatments

Garbelotto et al. 2008 Swiecki and Bernhardt 2008

Agriphos® (phosphonate) treatments reduce pathogen growth in tanoak and coast live oak

Page 11: Tanoak: conservation of an at risk tree · Agriphos® (phosphonate) treatments reduce pathogen growth in tanoak and coast live oak . Models: forecasting spread and efficacy 20 40

Models: forecasting spread and efficacy

20

40

60

80

100

0 20 40 60 80 100

Removed bay laurel (% of bay population)

Tan

oak y

ears

to

50%

declin

e

80% Protected tanoak

40%

0%

Cobb et al. 2012

Filipe et al. unpublished

Pro

po

rtio

n o

f ta

no

ak

Page 12: Tanoak: conservation of an at risk tree · Agriphos® (phosphonate) treatments reduce pathogen growth in tanoak and coast live oak . Models: forecasting spread and efficacy 20 40

• Plan ahead; slowing the spread saves tanoak, reduces impacts, and saves time/$$

• Act now to protect specific stands, trees

• Do not move infected plants

• Avoid doing to much; loss of genetic based resistance

Strategy: Uninvaded areas

Mendocino county

Page 13: Tanoak: conservation of an at risk tree · Agriphos® (phosphonate) treatments reduce pathogen growth in tanoak and coast live oak . Models: forecasting spread and efficacy 20 40

• Agriphos ®, host density reduction, planting of resistant stock

• Disease selects for more resistant individuals: do not cut/remove lone surviving tanoak

• Manage to reduce impacts (human suffering)

Strategy: Invaded areas

Big Sur

Page 14: Tanoak: conservation of an at risk tree · Agriphos® (phosphonate) treatments reduce pathogen growth in tanoak and coast live oak . Models: forecasting spread and efficacy 20 40

Acknowledgements

• Institutions and Organizations:

• UC Davis, UC Berkeley, UNC Charlotte, Univ Cambridge, UCCE, Oregon St., USDA Forest Service PSW, Phytosphere

• Funding: NSF-EEID, USFS, Moore Foundation, DEFRA, BBSRC, and USDA-APHIS, NRC

• People: Rizzo, Garbelotto, and Meentemeyer lab groups

Page 15: Tanoak: conservation of an at risk tree · Agriphos® (phosphonate) treatments reduce pathogen growth in tanoak and coast live oak . Models: forecasting spread and efficacy 20 40

K. Frangioso