tangle creek corporate update 2018 agm · 2018. 6. 27. · bakken in the us estimated at ~50,000...
TRANSCRIPT
Tangle Creek Corporate Update – 2018 AGM
June 12 2018
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
2
This presentation contains forward-looking statements. More particularly, this presentation contains statements concerning anticipated:
business strategies, plans and objectives; potential development opportunities and drilling locations, expectations and assumptions concerning
the success of future drilling and development activities, the performance of existing wells, the performance of new wells, decline rates,
recovery factors, the successful application of technology and the geological characteristics of our properties; cash flow; timing and amount of
future dividend payments; oil & natural gas production growth and mix; reserves; debt and bank facilities; amounts and timing of capital
expenditures; hedging results; primary and secondary recovery potentials and implementation thereof; and drilling, completion and operating
costs.
Statements relating to "reserves" are deemed to be forward looking statements, as they involve the implied assessment, based on certain
estimates and assumptions, that the reserves described exist in the quantities predicted or estimated and that the reserves can be profitably
produced in the future. Actual reserve values may be greater than or less than the estimates provided in this presentation.
The forward-looking statements are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by Tangle Creek, including expectations and
assumptions concerning the performance of existing wells and success obtained in drilling new wells, anticipated expenses, cash flow and
capital expenditures and the application of regulatory and royalty regimes. Although Tangle Creek believes that the expectations and
assumptions on which the forward-looking statements are based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking
statements because Tangle Creek can give no assurance that they will prove to be correct. Since forward-looking statements address future
events and conditions, by their very nature they involve inherent risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially from those
currently anticipated due to a number of factors and risks. These include, but are not limited to, risks associated with the oil and gas industry in
general (e.g., operational risks in development, exploration and production; delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or
development projects or capital expenditures; the uncertainty of reserve estimates; the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to
production, costs and expenses, and health, safety and environmental risks), commodity price and exchange rate fluctuations and
uncertainties resulting from potential delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures.
Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of risk factors is not exhaustive. Furthermore, new risk factors emerge from time to time, and it is
not possible for Tangle Creek to predict all of such factors and to assess in advance the impact of each such factor on our business or the
extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking
statements. The above summary of assumptions and risks related to forward-looking statements in this presentation has been provided in
order to provide potential investors with a more complete perspective of our current and future operations and as such information may be not
appropriate for other purposes. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are made as of the date hereof and Tangle
Creek undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements or information, whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities laws.
Board of Directors
Company Summary
3
➢ Private energy company focused on quality, innovation, margins & operating efficiency:
✓ One operating area, two primary light-tight oil development projects - Montney and Dunvegan
✓ Top quartile netbacks and operating costs
✓ Concentrated, contiguous land position & infrastructure control
✓ Product egress secured
➢ Strong, motivated management team; track record of capturing large resource opportunities and
innovating – driven to quality & margins (well economics 40% to 100% IRR & 12 to 24 month payouts)
➢ Actively consolidating offsetting operators at discounted metrics - control of infrastructure
Experienced Leadership Team
Tangle Creek Overview
Ben Makar
Vice President
Engineering
Senior
Manager - Land
Jim JunkerNordegg, Burmis, Wascana,
Shell
Jeff Prentice
ARC Financial Corp
Ian
Fergusson
4
Five material follow-on light oil acquisition
opportunities identified within our operating area:
➢ Scale & organic growth potential
➢ Consolidation within operating fairway
➢ C$35 - $100+ million targets
➢ Acquisitions enables rapid growth to 20,000 boe/d
& beyond
Opportunities Available
Target – 18 to 36 months
Today
Production History
➢ Organic growth - delivers PE returns
➢ Increasing oil weighting with production growth
➢ Path to 20,000+ boed, 100 MMboe
➢ $120 MM+ / annum cash flow
➢ Debt : CF < 1x
➢ 500+ locations inventory
➢ 20% - 30% annual production growth
➢ Monetization options include IPO, sale, merger
or combination with other firm to affect IPO
➢ Private Company with 44 shareholders
➢ 8,000+ boed, 53 MMboe, 54% light crude
➢ Active development program – organic growth
of oil production
➢ $55-$60 MM / annum cash flow
➢ Debt : CF < 1.5x
➢ Substantial drilling inventory – 350+ locations
➢ Sustainable growth at 20%+ per year
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Growth
2011 - 2014(US$80 –$100/bbl WTI)
Consolidation
2015 – 2016(US$80 - $27/bbl WTI)
Growth
2017 -18+(US$45 - $65/bbl WTI)Production CAGR of 40% since 2012
– to over 8,000 boed H1 2018
Tangle Creek Business Plan – Value Creation Focused on Light Tight Oil
4
The Value Proposition – Total Return – Existing Assets
➢ Return 2x – 4x investment over 2 to 4 years – Flat Pricing ($US55/bbl)
5
Since Q1 2017…
✓ RESERVES UP 23% PER SHARE
✓ LOCATIONS UP 290% PER SHARE
…DRIVING GROWTH
➢ ARC-backed private company started late 2010
➢ Management team – technical, experienced & driven to quality
➢ Two high margin light-tight oil plays – Montney & Dunvegan
➢ Foundation - Industry leader Dunvegan light oil • 1st to drill multistage horizontal - 1st ball drop system - 1st cemented liner system
• 1st approval for Dunvegan water flood
• 1st approval to increase well density (up to eight wells per section)
• 1st Dunvegan slick-water completion
• Motivated management team (30+ deals to “own our plays”)
• 35% compound annual production growth from 2012-2017+
➢ Transition - become scalable, high value, light, tight oil producer via strategic acquisition & innovation
• Waskahigan Montney oil acquisition - October 2017✓ Financed with 88% new equity ½ of which came from existing shareholders.
✓ New equity investor support from Wells Fargo
➢ Position - consolidator of the Waskahigan Montney oil play
• Development inventory through mid-2020s
• Focused operations on high margin light sweet oil
• Infrastructure in place to double production without facilities capital
• Follow-on acquisitions identified and negotiated
Dec 2010 – Formation,
Q1 2011 initial capital
raised at $1/sh
2013 – Acquisition of
Talisman Dunvegan
assets, equity raise at
$1.25/share; enables
2014 organic growth
to 5,000 boe/d
Q4 2011 – Initial
Kaybob test well
leading to 2012
concept development
2015 – Acquisition to
Trilogy Dunvegan
assets, equity raise at
$1.25/sh; Windfall well
2016 – Beringer
acquisition to capture
Rock Creek oil &
Mannville liq. rich gas,
Dunvegan waterflood
implementation
6
TCE Corporate Events Business Strategy
Assemble experienced
technical team, seek
shallow oil exploration-
oriented asset base
Demonstrate Dunvegan
economics
Seek acquisitions to
consolidate economic
inventory during
commodity price
downturn; focus on oil-
weighted assets that
remain economic at or
below current strip
prices
Consolidate leading
Dunvegan land
position; de-risk
inventory; advance well
design and completion
practices
Slow capital investment
to maintain balance
sheet strength during
commodity price
downturn
2017 –
Transformational
acquisition of
Montney oil assets
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Tangle Creek History, Background & Drive to Quality
2018 – Organic growth
& Consolidation
Production Growth – Annual growth since Inception > 40%
35%
15%
25%
10%
Prio
r 12 m
onth
declin
e
2014
Drilling
2013
Drilling
2012
Drilling
2011 Drilling
2015
Drilling
3rd Party
Solution Gas
Processing
Restriction
Beringer
Acquisition
2017
Drilling
2016
Drilling
6%2011 Drilling
RMP
Acquisition
Commodity Price Decline
Restricted Drilling
7
8
Tangle Creek Today - Operating Metrics
Today May 2017%
Change
Current Production H1 2018 (boe/d) 8,000 boe/d 6,000 33%
% Oil 55% 60% -8%
2018 Forecast Cash Flow ($MM) $56 $40 40%
Cash Flow per Share $0.17 $0.16 (actual) 6%
June 30, 2018 est Net Debt ($MM) $80 MM $69 16%
Net Debt/CF 1.4x 1.7x -10%
Bank Line ($MM) $130 MM $100 30%
2P Reserves (mmboe) 53 29 83%
Total Land 345 net sections 265 30%
Total Montney Land 98 net sections 0 Game Changer!
Net Drilling Locations 400+ 90 290%
Q1 Operating Netback $24/boe(US$59/bbl & Fx=$0.80 & US$9 Diff)
$19 26%
Est 2018 Capital $60 MM $19
Shares Outstanding (million Mar 31, 2018) 336 226 49%
Equity Value (US$55/bbl flat pricing NPV10 Developed
NPV20 undeveloped)$300MM $146 100%
9
Background – North American Resource Plays
Unconventional Tight Oil
& Gas Plays
Basins
Dunvegan - Deep Basin
➢ The Montney is among the most
prolific & largest unconventional
resources plays, comparable to the
Permian, Marcellus, Eagle Ford &
Bakken in the US➢ Estimated at ~50,000 sq. miles in total
size
➢ Reservoir thickness exceeding 300
meters in certain areas, requiring > 12
wells / section to properly exploit the
resources
➢ Tangle Creek’s Dunvegan light oil
property at Kaybob is a water free
resource play within the Deep Basin
➢ Tangle Creek’s experience with
unconventional reservoirs uniquely
positions us to capture & create
significant shareholder value
Tangle Creek West Central Alberta Operating Fairway
Waskahigan,
Kaybob,
Windfall,
Carrot/Pembiina
Hwy 43
Hwy 32
Hwy 16
10
Waskahigan
Kaybob
Windfall
Carrot CreekTotal Land Montney
Gross Net Net
Sections Sections Sections
Waskahigan 86 85 73
Kaybob 125 82 25
Windfall 69 66
Carrot 130 102
Other 17 10
Total 345 98
Tangle
Field Office
March 1, 2018
Pembina
Stacked Oil Reservoirs – Dunvegan, Rock Creek and Montney
Montney
Montney
Gething
Rock Creek
/ Falher
11
Kaybob
Carrot/Pembina
Waskahigan
1,600 m
2,200 m
Innovation - Applying What We’ve Learned – Type Curves for Two Main Plays
Tier 1 – IP 365 = 222 boe/d
(35 wells)Tier 2 – IP 365 =117 boe/d
(23 wells)
Tier 3 – IP 365 = 65 boe/d
(16 wells)
All Wells
12
Kaybob
Dunvegan –
Type Curves➢Higher intensity
slickwater fracs are
shifting Tier 3 & Tier
2 locations into Tier
2 & Tier 1
Waskahigan
Montney – Type Curves➢higher intensity slick water fracs is unlocking
much higher productivity and recovery
➢Tangle Creek’s 10-15 & 15-15 Q1-2018
wells are tracking the three best wells drilled
in Waskahigan despite significant back
pressure and are currently flowing (artificial
lift not yet employed)Outdated completions IP365= 66bbl/d (53 wells)
1 mile oil based low intensity fracs earlier in Wask development
Low Case – IP365 = 137bbl/d (9 wells)
Predominantly 1 mile water based low
intensity fracs earlier in Wask development
Expected Case - IP365 = 262bbl/d (3 wells)
Higher intensity slick water fracs at 1.5 mi, forming the
basis for Tangle Creek‘s future development
0 50,000 100.000 150,000 200,000 250,000
Completion Technologies – Unlocking Light Tight Oil
Tangle Creek Montney Multistage Fracturing System ➢ One to two mile lateral length➢ 3,500m to 5,500m total measured well length➢ 50 to 75 frac ports
Lateral Schematic: http://www.loganinternationalinc.com/lcs/PDF/LCS_MS-Brochure_R1_web - Chart: RSEG Nov 2017
✓ 30m to 60m port spacing
✓ 30 tonnes to 100 tonnes proppant
✓ 1 T/m to 2 T/m proppant intensity
✓ (700 lbs/ft to 1400 lbs/ft)
13
Evolution of Completion Designs in North America
14
Industry Montney Oil Evolution – Modern Completion Techniques
~1.5mile wells
~2.0mile wells~No different than
Previous Operator,
majority of pre-2015
wells are likely under-
stimulated
TCE Target: 50T/stage
TCE Target: 50 stages
TCE Target: 1 - 2 T/m proppant placed
TCE Target: 40-50 interfrac spacing
TCE Target: 5-7 m3/m fluid pumped
Previous Operator
Average
Previous Operator Average
Previous Operator Average
Previous Operator Average Previous Operator Average
Previous Operator Average
Completed Well Length Average Proppant per Stage Number of Stages per Well
Fluid Pumped per meter Completed Proppant Placed per meter Completed Average Inter-frac spacing
14
2018 – Proof of Concept (Zero Free Cash Flow)➢ Prove completions hypothesis - increased proppant / tighter spacing = higher
reserves / IP’s
➢ Prove drilling hypothesis - Drill longer laterals lowers FDC
➢ Reduce CAPEX / well – balance with improved performance
➢ Address water handling issues / lower OPEX – both access & disposal
2019 – Expand (Growing Cash Flow)➢ Consolidate other operators➢ Increase # of wells drilled / annum to optimize existing infrastructure, maximize
returns & minimize cycle times – improve investment velocity
➢ Accelerate drilling to grow production /&cash flow (>25% / annum target)
2020+ – Crystalize (Growing FCF)➢ 8-10 years drilling inventory provides continuing production and FCF growth
➢ Increasing focus on technological optimizations to lower declines and improve
cash generation
Development Strategy – 3-year Development Plan for Waskahigan
15
16
2018 – Q1 2019 - Montney Activity
➢ Three Montney drills & one Belloy disposal well drilled
in H1 2018 - commenced installation of 12-7 refrig plant
➢ 4-23 completion plus 2 more Montney drills planned for
H2, 2018 (first spud – Jul/18)
➢ 12-7 refrig plant start-up planned for Q3
➢ Subsequent six well program in planning phase
➢ Optimizations & improvements over past practices
include:✓ Utilization of 100% produced water for fracturing
✓ Infrastructure to be in place prior to well completions to
facilitate fracturing with produced water and immediate
flowback to battery
✓ Utilization of alternate cemented liner systems to reduce
capital costs
✓ First monobore drill being designed
✓ Various improvements to surfactant and friction reducers
and elimination of N2 for fracturing
✓ Resin coat tail-ins to mitigate proppant flow-back
✓ Tighter inter-well spacing and changes to stage count &
tonnage/stage to increase per section recovery, increase
well count, optimally set up future flooding, reduce
overall program F&D
➢ Forecast CAPEX / well of $5.6MM (1.5 mile laterals)
with target of attaining sub-$5MM wells with on-going
refinements ✓ $2.10MM Drill
✓ $3.25MM Complete
✓ $0.25MM Equip / tie-in
Q3 – 2018 drills
12-7 Battery, new
refrig plant & Belloy
disposal well
Q1 – 2019 drills
04-23 Completion
Q1 – 2018 drills
Well #8: Tangle Creek Montney Well at Waskahigan
Tangle Creek brought on a new Montney well at Waskahigan (10-15 well, ranked #8) at an oil rate of ~540B/d
which is almost double the average initial oil rates achieved at Waskahigan by the previous operator on ten
wells brought on-stream throughout 2015-2017. This is notably the first well Tangle Creek has drilled and
brought on production since acquiring the asset …Source: - Peters and Co June 2018 Well Update Report
Best in Class Wells
➢ Tangle Creek drills top performing oil wells in Alberta
17
First two wells – Production Performance - boe and Oil
18
Equivalent – boe/d Oil - bopd
➢ 10-15-64-23 – commenced production Feb 25 – after tie-in & build-up has produced 42,000 bbls (63,000
boe) in 87 days
➢ 15-15-64-23 – commenced production May 15 – has produced 18,600 bbls (26,000 boe) in 26 days
➢ Both wells are tied in and free flowing - line pressure is 380 psi to 430 psi. No artificial lift installed to date
➢ Expected type curve shown for boe and oil – green dashed line
Innovation – Steady Improvement in Dunvegan Well Performance
19
Kaybob Dunvegan – Annual Drilling Programs➢Continuous improvement of drilling and completions – improved well performance
➢Improving IP365 – improving EUR’s
Cu
mu
lati
ve
Pro
du
cti
on
-b
oe
Days on Production
Kaybob DunveganWell Performance Improvements
Wells IP365
Year Drilled boe/d2011-2012 27 115
2013 13 131
2014 18 173
2015 1 1332016 4 2042017 9 259Total 72
Incre
asin
g IP
36
5
Best in Class Wells – Kaybob Dunvegan
20
➢ Tangle Creek drills top performing oil wells in Alberta – 12 months
RBC – April 2018 Top Wells Report
Value Creation - Dunvegan Enhanced Oil Recovery
➢ 1/2 section pilot, recently expanded to 1.5
sections late 2017 (now 3 producers, 3 injectors).
➢ Initial response seen 8 months into pilot –
improving response 2 years into flood✓ GOR Decreasing
✓ Oil Rate Increasing
✓ No Water Breakthrough
➢ Team evaluating configuration & timing of
further flood expansion
21
Water Injection
Oil Prod. Increasing
GOR Decreasing
➢ 18 sections - 175 mmbbls OOIP
➢ Enhanced Oil Recovery adds 10-15 mmbbls
➢ Oil Reserves increase – 50% to 100%
➢ Reserve Additions at $2.50/bbl
Kaybob Dunvegan Operational Excellence – Template for Ongoing Operations
22
Operating Cost Reduction focus:
• consistently driving down operating costs
• big wins in reducing trucking and road & lease
maintenance charges
• recent acquisition provides $/BOE reductions (i.e.
utilizing one field office for all assets, very few additional
staff requirements)
$8/boe
2018 Drilling Economics Matrix – IRR
23
Waskahigan 1-Mile Type Curve - Low Case Waskahigan 1-Mile Type Curve - Expected CasePrice of Oil (US$ / bbl) Price of Oil (US$ / bbl)
$40.00 $45.00 $50.00 $55.00 $60.00 $65.00 $40.00 $45.00 $50.00 $55.00 $60.00 $65.00
CA
PEX
/ W
ell
$2,500,000 54.2% 74.2% 97.8% 125.3% 157.3% 194.2%
CA
PEX
/ W
ell
$2,500,000 68.0% 91.9% 120.3% 153.8% 193.0% 238.5%$3,000,000 33.3% 46.6% 61.9% 79.4% 99.5% 122.2% $3,000,000 43.2% 58.8% 77.0% 98.0% 122.2% 149.9%$3,600,000 19.1% 28.3% 38.5% 50.0% 62.9% 77.2% $3,600,000 26.9% 37.3% 49.1% 62.6% 77.8% 95.1%$4,000,000 13.0% 20.5% 28.7% 37.9% 47.9% 59.0% $4,000,000 19.9% 28.3% 37.7% 48.1% 59.9% 73.1%$4,250,000 9.9% 16.7% 24.0% 32.1% 40.8% 50.4% $4,250,000 16.5% 23.9% 32.2% 41.3% 51.4% 62.8%
Waskahigan Type Curve - 1.5 Mile Wells - Low Case Waskahigan Type Curve - 1.5 Mile Wells - Expected CasePrice of Oil (US$ / bbl) Price of Oil (US$ / bbl)
$40.00 $45.00 $50.00 $55.00 $60.00 $65.00 $40.00 $45.00 $50.00 $55.00 $60.00 $65.00
CA
PEX
/ W
ell
$4,500,000 21.2% 29.7% 39.0% 49.2% 60.7% 73.3%
CA
PEX
/ W
ell
$4,500,000 38.4% 51.3% 65.9% 82.3% 100.6% 121.5%$5,000,000 15.1% 22.1% 29.6% 37.7% 46.6% 56.3% $5,000,000 29.2% 39.5% 50.9% 63.6% 77.6% 93.5%$5,500,000 10.6% 16.5% 22.6% 29.2% 36.4% 44.1% $5,500,000 22.4% 30.8% 40.0% 50.1% 61.2% 73.7%$5,750,000 8.7% 14.2% 19.8% 25.8% 32.3% 39.2% $5,750,000 19.6% 27.3% 35.7% 44.8% 54.7% 65.9%$6,500,000 4.1% 8.6% 13.1% 17.7% 22.7% 28.0% $6,500,000 13.0% 19.1% 25.5% 32.4% 39.8% 48.1%
Waskahigan Type Curve - 1.5 Mile Wells - High Case Dunvegan Type Curve - Tier 2 Type CurvePrice of Oil (US$ / bbl) Price of Oil (US$ / bbl)
$40.00 $45.00 $50.00 $55.00 $60.00 $65.00 $40.00 $45.00 $50.00 $55.00 $60.00 $65.00
CA
PEX
/ W
ell
$4,500,000 52.4% 70.8% 91.9% 116.0% 144.1% 175.4%
CA
PEX
/ W
ell
$1,900,000 36.9% 51.7% 68.5% 87.6% 109.5% 134.4%$5,000,000 40.3% 54.7% 71.0% 89.4% 110.5% 133.9% $2,000,000 32.7% 46.0% 60.9% 77.7% 96.9% 118.7%$5,500,000 31.5% 43.1% 56.1% 70.5% 87.0% 105.0% $2,100,000 29.1% 41.1% 54.5% 69.4% 86.3% 105.4%$5,750,000 27.9% 38.5% 50.1% 63.0% 77.7% 93.7% $2,250,000 24.6% 35.0% 46.4% 59.1% 73.3% 89.3%$6,500,000 19.6% 27.7% 36.5% 46.0% 56.8% 68.5% $2,500,000 18.8% 27.3% 36.3% 46.1% 57.1% 69.3%
➢Future development focused on high netback, low F&D, low risk projects within our portfolio
➢At WTI US$55 - type curves generate 40% to 60% IRR with recycle ratios of 2x or more✓ IP30 on expected Waskahigan 1.5 mi case is 480 bopd
✓ Both 10-15 (IP30 660 bopd) & 15-15 (IP17 770 bopd) have exceeded early TC forecast
EUR= 220 bbls oilEUR= 175 bbls oil
2018 Drilling Economics Matrix - Payout (months)
24
➢Payouts generally less than 2 years
Waskahigan 1-Mile Type Curve - Low Case Waskahigan 1-Mile Type Curve - Expected CasePrice of Oil (US$ / bbl) Price of Oil (US$ / bbl)
$40.00 $45.00 $50.00 $55.00 $60.00 $65.00 $40.00 $45.00 $50.00 $55.00 $60.00 $65.00
CA
PEX
/ W
ell
$2,500,000 20 16 13 11 10 9
CA
PEX
/ W
ell $2,500,000 17 14 12 10 9 8
$3,000,000 28 22 18 15 13 12 $3,000,000 24 19 16 13 12 10$3,600,000 42 32 25 21 18 15 $3,600,000 34 27 22 18 15 14$4,000,000 54 40 32 26 22 19 $4,000,000 43 33 27 22 19 16$4,250,000 63 46 36 29 24 21 $4,250,000 50 38 30 25 21 18
Waskahigan Type Curve - 1.5 Mile Wells - Low Case Waskahigan Type Curve - 1.5 Mile Wells - Expected CasePrice of Oil (US$ / bbl) Price of Oil (US$ / bbl)
$40.00 $45.00 $50.00 $55.00 $60.00 $65.00 $40.00 $45.00 $50.00 $55.00 $60.00 $65.00
CA
PEX
/ W
ell
$4,500,000 40 32 26 22 19 16
CA
PEX
/ W
ell
$4,500,000 26 21 18 15 13 12$5,000,000 51 39 32 26 22 19 $5,000,000 32 25 21 18 15 14$5,500,000 63 48 38 31 27 23 $5,500,000 39 30 25 21 18 16$5,750,000 70 53 42 34 29 25 $5,750,000 42 33 27 23 19 17$6,500,000 99 70 54 44 37 31 $6,500,000 55 42 34 28 24 21
Waskahigan Type Curve - 1.5 Mile Wells - High Case Dunvegan Type Curve - Tier 2 Type CurvePrice of Oil (US$ / bbl) Price of Oil (US$ / bbl)
$40.00 $45.00 $50.00 $55.00 $60.00 $65.00 $40.00 $45.00 $50.00 $55.00 $60.00 $65.00
CA
PEX
/ W
ell
$4,500,000 21 17 14 12 10 9C
AP
EX /
We
ll $1,900,000 30 22 18 15 12 11$5,000,000 25 20 17 14 12 11 $2,000,000 33 25 19 16 13 12$5,500,000 30 24 19 16 14 12 $2,100,000 37 27 21 17 15 12$5,750,000 33 26 21 18 15 13 $2,250,000 43 31 24 19 16 14$6,500,000 42 33 26 22 18 16 $2,500,000 54 39 29 24 19 17
Organic Investment – New Well Netbacks & Recycle Ratios – Current Commodity Prices
25
Waskahigan Dunvegan/Expected (1.5 mi) Rock Creek
Volumes oil (mbbls) 220 135mboe 380 180
$CAD $CAD
Prices
Oil 1 WTI US$64 $72.50 $72.50Gas 2 Wellhead C$/mcf $2.00 $2.00
Revenue $/boe $44.26 $54.83Royalties ($2.21) ($2.74)
Opex ($8.00) ($8.00)
Transportation ($4.00) ($4.00)
Field Netback ($boe) $30.05 $40.09
F&D ($/boe)3 $13.15 $13.89Field Recycle Ratio 2.3x 2.9x
Corp Cash Costs ($.boe) ($4.00) ($3.90)
Corporate Netback $26.05 $36.19
Corporate Recycle 2.0x 2.6x
Drilling Inventory 180 140(locations)
NPV10 ($million)4 $3.8 $1.8
1. Assume Cushing Diff US$6.00 CAD $0.80
2. Gas is 55% Chicago, 25% AECO and 20% ATP - Jan actual - C$3.50 - Q1 est C$2.203. Assumes current capex of $5mm for Montney and $2.5mm for Dunvegan4. Assume long term pricing of US$55 for WTI – AECO of CAD$2.90
1. Top Quartile Margins – Light oil yields best operating netbacks of over $20/boe (includes gas)
✓ Low cost structure – opex <$10/boe & focus on light crude production ensures high margins & economic sustainability
2. Egress - Firm service on Alliance (gas) and Pembina (oil)✓ Firm egress - unique among juniors ensures reliable takeaway, lower costs & higher realized pricing
✓ Oil via Pembina – 100% firm service
✓ Gas – 55% sold in Chicago via Alliance, 20% ATP via Alliance and 25% AECO via TCPL – 100% firm service
3. Hedging – protecting cash flows, capital programs & balance sheet✓ Over 60% of oil production hedged in 2018 at north of C$60/bbl (Cushing basis)
✓ Regular, disciplined program of layering on new hedges every quarter with volume targets of north of 50% hedged over coming 12
months and north of 25% over subsequent 12 months
4. Expanding Drilling Inventory Facilitates Growth✓ Innovation and application of evolving technologies to organic growth
✓ Consolidation opportunities identified
✓ Light oil drilling inventory of over 350+ locations
5. Environmental, Social and Governance – program of continuous improvement. ✓ Proactive businesses attract investor interest and fetch a premium price by developing and implementing technologies to
reduce emissions, reduce impact and by increase transparency & governance
6. Maintaining Optionality & Discipline – US$5/bbl price change impacts annual cash flow C$5mm
✓ Ability to quickly adjust drilling production and reserves growth
✓ Disciplined – “bullet-proof” balance sheet while growing the business
✓ Strong relationships – top quality partners and shareholders
Business Principles Focus on a Sustainable, High Margin Business
26
The Vision – Creating a Quality, Sustainable Growth Business
To create a “must own”, high quality, growth producer with the capital, cash
flow, balance sheet and assets to deliver value appreciation & multiple
expansion
✓ Strategically position Tangle in quality, high margin plays with
running room
✓ Capitalize on history of efficiency gains – depth of team expertise
✓ Consolidation - in core fairway with specific technical attributes
✓ High-grade development - focus on highest return highest margin projects
✓ Balanced risk profile – growth within cash flow
✓ Deliver 15% to 25% per year production & CFPS growth at strip
✓ Shareholder value creation by delivering steady, repeatable per share
growth of production, reserves, cash flow, re-investment and net
asset value
“Growing a quality business to position for liquidity
over coming 18 to 36 months”27
Logo
Placement
TANGLE CREEK ENERGY
June 2018
Contact:
Tangle Creek Energy LtdGlenn Gradeen
President and CEO
d: +1 (403) 648-4901
m: +1(403) 618-0434
2100, 715 – 5th Ave S.W.
Calgary, AB T2P 2X6