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Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals

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Page 1: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next LevelThe High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals

Page 2: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

2

Quoted & Noted

“In B2B transactions, customer relationships

are the most critical driver of value.”

V.P. M&A$3.0 Billion Manufacturing Company

Page 3: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

DISCUSSION TOPICS

Why So Many Deals Fall Short

Customer DD – Good vs. Great

Use of NPS® in Customer Due Diligence

Customer Interviewing Best Practices

Using Insights for More than DD -Craft a Business Improvement Playbook

3

Page 4: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

POLL:

What percentage of deals do you think fail to live up to expectations?

a) 10-25%

b) 26-35%

c) 36-50%

d) 51-70%

e) Over 70%

4

Page 5: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

5

70 - 90% of Deals Fail to Live Up to Expectations

Harvard Business Review, June 2016

Page 6: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

6

DOES THIS SOUND FAMILIAR?

Sellers’ Picture – Rosy Scenario

Great customer Relationships

Expanding market share

Stable, secure pricing

Improving margins

New products that customers love

Competitive but controllable landscape

Expanding market and market interest

Page 7: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

7

AFTER CLOSING… REALITY SETS IN

A top account is lost

Price concession given

Competitor making in roads

New promising innovation doesn’t take off

Page 8: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

8

WHAT’S THE RESULT

Revenue Declines –

Resulting from Customer Losses

Innovation Platform

Underwhelms

Competitor Actions Not Detected –

Share Erosion

Unforeseen Changes in

Market Landscape

Profit Leakage –Due to

Unforeseen Price

Concessions RETURNS

FALL

SHORT

Page 9: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

“Due diligence is

inadequate in more than

40% of deals.”

McKinsey & Company Survey of Dealmakers

9

QUOTED&

NOTED

Page 10: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

10

2ND COMMON CULPRIT IMPACTING RETURNS

Page 11: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

POLL:

Do you believe hold times have grown longer, stayed the same, or gotten shorter over the last few years?

a) Longer

b) Stayed the same

c) Shorter

11

Page 12: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

THE FACTS AS WE KNOW THEM

Pitchbook & Preqin Research 2016

2010 average hold time4 – 4.5 yrs.

2015 average hold time5.5 – 6.5 yrs.

12

Page 13: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

Under $250M

Yr 3

13

RISK OF LANGUISHING RETURNS

Returns Improve, Then Flat Line by Year 3 to 5

Under

$250M

Yr. 3

$250-

$500M

Yr. 5

Page 14: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

VALUATIONS STAGNATE

Pitchbook & Preqin Research 2016

LMM value stagnates after year 3but holds average 5.8 yrs.

MM company value declines after year 5 while holds average 6.4 yrs.

14

Page 15: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

DRIVERS OF VALUE CREATION Revenue Growth

60%

Cost Reduction

20%

Other

20%

VALUE CREATION OVER A 5-YEAR HOLDING PERIOD

Revenue Growth

Cost Reduction

Other

15

Page 16: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

16

TRADITIONAL COMMERCIAL DUE DILIGENCE

Buying Process

Competitor Landscape

Market Growth & Trends

Size of the Market

Customer

Feedback

Page 17: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

17

SHIFTING THE EMPHASIS TOWARD THE CUSTOMER

Buying Process

Competitor Landscape

Market Growth & Trends

Size of the Market

Customer Feedback

Page 18: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

18

CUSTOMER INTERVIEWS

COMMON TRAPS

“Reference Check”

Brief Interviews

“Check the box” exercise

Weak Insights

Limited analysis

Page 19: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

THERE’S GOT TO BE A BETTER WAY.

Apply

Voice of the Customer techniques

to Customer Due Diligence.

19

Page 20: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

SPECIALIZED APPLICATION OF VOC

Quality of Customers®

20

®

Page 21: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

21

SMART QUESTIONING UNCOVERS…

Satisfaction & Loyalty (NPS®)

Pricing Risks / Opportunities

Who’s Been Awarded Recent Business and Why

Growth Outlook for the Market

Market’s Likely Adoption of New Innovations

Unmet Needs / Market Trends

Page 22: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

QofC®

INVESTIGATESKEY VALUEDRIVERS

Uncovers Improvement Areas

Insights to Win Business / Gain Share POST-CLOSE

PLAYBOOK

22

CONFIRMING

DUE

DILIGENCE

Validates the Revenue Forecast

Validates the Margin Projections

Investigates Competitive Landscape

Page 23: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

POLL:

Has a company you own, advised, or are attempting to acquire measured their Net Promoter Score®?

a) Yes

b) No

c) Not Certain

23

Page 24: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

24

THE LITERATURE EXISTS…

Page 25: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

25

THE NET PROMOTER SCORE® EXPLAINED

Q. How likely is it that you would recommend Company X to a friend or colleague?

■ Loyal buyers

– will refer

your business

■ Buyers not

loyal – open

to other

options

■ Trouble with the basics – this group drives negative

word of mouth for a company’s reputation and

discourages new customers

Extremely

Likely

Not at All

Likely

SOURCE: NET PROMOTER, NPS, AND NET PROMOTER SCORE ARE TRADEMARKS OF SATMETRIX SYSTEMS, INC., BAIN & COMPANY, AND FRED REICHHELD

A PROVEN TOOL TO CUSTOMER SATISFACTION AND MEASURE PERFORMANCE

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26

NPS® RANGES AND LEADERS

-40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Airlines

Auto Insurance

Banking

Brokerage &

Investments

Cable & Satellite TV

Cell Phone Service

Computer Tablets

Consumer Software

Credit Cards

Home Insurance

Hotels

Internet Service

Life Insurance

Online Services

Online Shopping

Travel Website

62%

81%

65%

81%

34%

39%

66%

58%

52%

84%

20%

45%

56%

64%

46%

HSBC -14%

CitiGroup 18%

Travelers 28%

Liberty Mutual 14%

Acer 28%

Blockbuster on Demand 11%

Google Shopping 19%

US Airways -8%

Orbitz 20%

Time Warner Cable -5%

Sprint 5%

-22% Medicacom

McAfee 7%

Morgan Stanley 29%

Travelers 16%

59%Motel 6 -15%

SATMETRIX NET PROMOTER BENCHMARKS 2014

Page 27: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

27

WHY NPS® MATTERS

Companies with

leading NPS®

results often

OUTGROW

THEIR PEERS

BY 2X +

COMPANIES WITH LEADING NPS

®RESULTS

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28

NPS® AND GROWTH

NPS® is

A RELIABLE

PREDICTOR

of a business’s

growth outlook.

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

0 2 4 6 8

NP

YEARS

GROWTH (INDEXED)

Loyalty Leader Average

Page 29: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

29

INTERPRETING NPS® SCORES

** Score ranges are illustrative. Vary by industry.

UNDER PERFORMER< 15 NPS

AVERAGE15 – 35 NPS

LEADING PERFORMER> +35 NPS

SCORING RANGES **

FINANCIAL / COMPETITIVE OUTLOOK

Lose Share ↓ Maintain Share ↔ Gain Share ↑

DEFINING CHARACTERISTICS

■ Product/Service

performance Issues

■Arrogance/Poor

Customer Service

■ Low value for the price

■Quality and delivery are

good, not great

■ Service is inconsistent

■ Little focus beyond the

basics

■Deliver a great customer

experience

■Consistently exhibit

“Customer First” Attitude

■Collaborative,

partnering approach

with customers

Page 30: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

NPS® IS NOT A PANACEA

A “40” is a good score only if it is

better than the competition.

30

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31

THOUGHTFUL QUESTIONING

COMPETITOR

BENCHMARKING

OVERALL

IMPRESSIONS

/ NPS®

CUSTOMER

EXPERIENCE

RATINGS

Results

Validated Ratings

Clear Areas of

Improvement

Detailed

Knowledge of

Issues

Page 32: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

32

CUSTOMER INTERVIEWING: Effective Methods

Customer Satisfaction Survey Approach

Interview accounts representing 60-70+% of sales

Conduct multiple interviews at top accounts

Capture customer commentary verbatim

Page 33: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

33

KEY TO SUCCESS

ROLL UP THE DATA

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34

IDENTIFYING AT RISK ACCOUNTS

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35

COMPARING RELATIVE STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Page 36: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

ASSESS TARGET VS. COMPETITION

36

Page 37: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

DEFINE SWOT THROUGH THE EYES OF THE CUSTOMER

37

Page 38: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

WHAT QofC®

DILIGENCE HAS UNCOVERED

38

Page 39: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

PRICE REDUCTIONREALIZED

CLIENT:

South African packaging company was

identified as well-run, with good quality and

reasonably good service.

QofC® FINDINGS:

However, lower cost imports were entering the

market. 16 of 17 customers threatened to move

business unless price concessions were made.

RESULTS:

Final price reduced by 30%, deal completed.

Renewed emphasis on innovation to regain

price-value.

NPS

7%

39

Page 40: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

OFFERWITHDRAWN

40

NPS

14%CLIENT:

LED Lighting Manufacturer – Majority of top

accounts (12 of 20) complained of late deliveries

and poor service. Even owner called out for

poor customer relations, “There’s nothing I like

about them.”

QofC® FINDINGS:

Further discovery uncovered competing supplier

was preferred and likely to win future business.

RESULTS:

Offer was withdrawn.

Page 41: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

41

3 COMMON APPROACHES TO FOCUSING ON TOP LINE GROWTH

Growth planning often takes a backseat to profit maximizing.

1) Strategic Planning Exercises

2) Board Reviews

3) 3rd party experts

Page 42: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

DEAL CLOSED,PLAYBOOK DEFINED

42

NPS

27%CLIENT:

Strategic acquisition in automotive identified

engineering priorities required by customers to

increase business going forward. The company was

able to isolate immediate synergies that enabled

the integration plan to move forward rapidly.

QofC® FINDINGS:

Full slate of improvements prioritized & actioned.

RESULTS:

Integration plan executed in advance of first 100

days.

Page 43: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

43

USING CUSTOMER DD POST-CLOSE: An Early Roadmap

Customer insights are very actionable

Clear roadmap of improvement priorities

Immediate steps to win business / gain share

Page 44: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

44

CLIENT PERSPECTIVE

“On the front end, insights into customer

relations is in many ways the most important

thing that we want to understand about a

company that we’re investing in. The value is

created at the customer relationship.”

Rob Ospalik,

Partner, Co-Head of

Global Operations

Page 45: Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level ACG Webinar...Taking Commercial Diligence to the Next Level The High Cost of What You Are Overlooking in M&A Deals 2 Quoted & Noted “In

Thank you for your time.

Questions?

CONTACT US

(312) 551-0505

[email protected]

[email protected]

www.strategex.com