t0653 uml mepa tech memo final draft · 2016. 10. 17. · fy 2011 fy 2016 % change 2011-2016 decal...

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MEMORANDUM T:\T0653\Docs\Memos & Trans\T0653_UML MEPA Tech Memo_FINAL DRAFT.docx Plan Permit Design Construct 65 Glenn Street Lawrence, MA 01843 169 Ocean Blvd. Unit 101, PO Box 249 Hampton, NH 03842 T he E ngineering C orp.com T:603.601.8154 T:978.794.1792 TEC, Inc. (TEC) has been retained by the University of Massachusetts Lowell (UMass Lowell) to update the transportation-related findings and recommendations associated with the implementation of the University’s Strategic Development Plan (SDP) for 2011-2016. These updated findings and recommendations are associated with a Notice of Project Change (NPC) for the University’s next five-year development horizon and requires review by the Massachusetts Environmental Policy Act (MEPA) office. Chapter 2 of UMass Lowell’s previous SDP for 2011–2016 1 focused on the role of transportation in efforts to reduce commuter- related Green House Gas (GHG) Emissions by promoting sustainable modes of transportation, introducing additional Transportation Demand Management (TDM) programs, and reducing the number of single occupant vehicle (SOV) trips to the several campuses. A copy of the compiled University’s SDP for 2011-2016 can be viewed via the link below: (https://www.uml.edu/docs/FINAL-UML-SDP-Press-PDF-August-2012_tcm18-197882.pdf) Over the next five years, UMass Lowell will expand upon the successful completion of the 2011-2016 SDP, including an expansion of its campus enrollment, further expanding TDM programs, and rehabilitating and acquiring new facilities within the three UMass Lowell campuses. This memorandum summarizes the estimated new Average Daily Traffic (ADT) volumes at key locations surrounding the three UMass Lowell campuses since the SDP’s inception and forecasts the change in ADT resulting from the further campus development plan through 2020. Based on the conservative trip generation analysis as summarized in this memorandum, the UMass Lowell SDP is anticipated to contribute up to 2,200 additional ADT per day from the 2015 to 2020. These new trips are anticipated to be spread over the major arterial corridors and local roadways leading to and from the three UMass Lowell campuses. As reported on Page 13 of this memorandum, the analysis of the recent 2011-2016 SDP and the supplemental SDP through 2020 indicates that traffic volumes immediately surrounding the UMass Lowell campuses will increase by approximately 0.41 percent per year through 2020, a negligible increase in daily traffic within the urban fabric of Lowell. 1 University of Massachusetts Lowell Strategic Development Plan 2011-2016; UMass Lowell; Lowell, Massachusetts, August 2012. TO: Mr. Adam Baacke, Director University of Massachusetts Lowell Campus Planning & Development Wannalancit 4 th Floor, Facilities Planning Lowell, MA 01854 DATE: October 17, 2016 FROM: Kevin R. Dandrade, P.E., PTOE, Principal Samuel W. Gregorio, P.E. PTOE, Senior Engineer PROJECT NO.: T0653 RE: UMass Lowell Campus Transportation Update MEPA Notice of Project Change for the Strategic Development Plan

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Page 1: T0653 UML MEPA Tech Memo FINAL DRAFT · 2016. 10. 17. · FY 2011 FY 2016 % Change 2011-2016 Decal Owners % of Pop. Yearly Decal Pricing Decal Owners % of Pop. Yearly Decal Pricing

MEMORANDUM

T:\T0653\Docs\Memos & Trans\T0653_UML MEPA Tech Memo_FINAL DRAFT.docx

Plan │ Permit │ Design │ Construct

65 G l enn S t ree t Lawrence, MA 01843

169 Ocean B l vd . Un i t 101 , PO Box 249 Hamp ton , NH 03842

TheEngineer ingCorp.com

T:603 .601 .8154 T:978.794.1792

TEC, Inc. (TEC) has been retained by the University of Massachusetts Lowell (UMass Lowell) to update the transportation-related findings and recommendations associated with the implementation of the University’s Strategic Development Plan (SDP) for 2011-2016. These updated findings and recommendations are associated with a Notice of Project Change (NPC) for the University’s next five-year development horizon and requires review by the Massachusetts Environmental Policy Act (MEPA) office. Chapter 2 of UMass Lowell’s previous SDP for 2011–20161 focused on the role of transportation in efforts to reduce commuter-related Green House Gas (GHG) Emissions by promoting sustainable modes of transportation, introducing additional Transportation Demand Management (TDM) programs, and reducing the number of single occupant vehicle (SOV) trips to the several campuses. A copy of the compiled University’s SDP for 2011-2016 can be viewed via the link below: (https://www.uml.edu/docs/FINAL-UML-SDP-Press-PDF-August-2012_tcm18-197882.pdf) Over the next five years, UMass Lowell will expand upon the successful completion of the 2011-2016 SDP, including an expansion of its campus enrollment, further expanding TDM programs, and rehabilitating and acquiring new facilities within the three UMass Lowell campuses. This memorandum summarizes the estimated new Average Daily Traffic (ADT) volumes at key locations surrounding the three UMass Lowell campuses since the SDP’s inception and forecasts the change in ADT resulting from the further campus development plan through 2020. Based on the conservative trip generation analysis as summarized in this memorandum, the UMass Lowell SDP is anticipated to contribute up to 2,200 additional ADT per day from the 2015 to 2020. These new trips are anticipated to be spread over the major arterial corridors and local roadways leading to and from the three UMass Lowell campuses. As reported on Page 13 of this memorandum, the analysis of the recent 2011-2016 SDP and the supplemental SDP through 2020 indicates that traffic volumes immediately surrounding the UMass Lowell campuses will increase by approximately 0.41 percent per year through 2020, a negligible increase in daily traffic within the urban fabric of Lowell.

1 University of Massachusetts Lowell Strategic Development Plan 2011-2016; UMass Lowell; Lowell, Massachusetts, August 2012.

TO: Mr. Adam Baacke, Director University of Massachusetts Lowell Campus Planning & Development Wannalancit 4th Floor, Facilities Planning Lowell, MA 01854

DATE: October 17, 2016

FROM: Kevin R. Dandrade, P.E., PTOE, Principal Samuel W. Gregorio, P.E. PTOE, Senior Engineer

PROJECT NO.: T0653

RE: UMass Lowell Campus Transportation Update MEPA Notice of Project Change for the Strategic Development Plan

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UMass Lowell Campus Transportation Update MEPA Notice of Project Change for the Strategic Development Plan October 17, 2016 Page 2 of 14

2016-2021 UMass Lowell Projects Planned As part of the SDP, UMass Lowell has constructed multiple projects across all three campuses between the years 2011-2016. A summary of these projects is provided in Table 1. These projects do not include renovations of existing space, which did not increase or decrease the total gross square footage (GSF) of the building, impervious area, or parking counts. Table 1 – UMass Lowell Projects Completed 2011-2016 Campus Projects

North Saab ETIC – 84,000 SF Research Facility (LEED Gold Certified) North Campus Garage – 650 new Spaces

South

Health & Social Sciences Building – 69,000 SF Academic Building (LEED Silver Certified) South Campus Garage -760 Spaces Wilder Parking Lot Expansion – Net increase of 80 spaces (to 455 total) McGauvran Addition/Renovation – 52,000 SF (LEED Silver Certified) South Dining Demolition South Campus Mall

East

University Suites – 500 Beds University Crossing – 230,000 SF Academic Building (LEED Silver Certified) University Crossing Parking Lots – Net increase of 156 spaces (to 368 total) 225 Aiken Street Acquisition – 4.5 Acre site

Continuing the UMass Lowell SDP to the 2020/2021 academic year, the University is currently planning additional construction and renovation projects at the three campuses. The focus of the future campus projects is to enhance the campus experience, utilizing existing facilities. UMass Lowell is anticipating the following projects summarized in Table 2. Table 2 – UMass Lowell Projects Planned 2016-2021

Campus Projects

North

Pulichino Tong Business Center – 54,000 SF Academic Building North Quad Pods Addition Southwick Courtyard Landscape Perry Hall Renovation/Addition Olsen/Life Sciences

South

Coburn Addition

Central Services and Facilities Operations Buildings Acquisition (1485 & 1499 Middlesex Street)

Pawtucket Street Pedestrian and Bicycle improvements

East

Fox Elevator Addition Perkins Properties Acquisition Aiken Street Recreation Fields – Existing P-Lot Removed Pawtucket Street Riverfront Park

Although the list of new projects is extensive, most of the projects are generally related to property acquisition, building rehabilitation, and environmental/multi-modal improvements. Therefore, the future campus projects, as identified, are not anticipated to contribute directly

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UMass Lowell Campus Transportation Update MEPA Notice of Project Change for the Strategic Development Plan October 17, 2016 Page 3 of 14

to new campus related vehicle trips. In order to estimate new campus related vehicle trips as part of the UMass Lowell SDP, TEC focused on the projections for student enrollment and faculty population. UMass Lowell Enrollment and Population Growth As part of the UMass Lowell SDP, the university has grown its student and faculty populations since 2010 and forecasts continued growth through 2020. The UMass Lowell 2016 Report Card, which highlights the immediate past enrollment populations and the anticipated projections, defined the projected student and faculty growth through 2020. A summary of the student enrollment growth is provided in Table 3. A copy of the UMass Lowell 2016 Report Card is provided in Attachment A. As of August 2015, UMass Lowell enrollment was approximately three percent lower than the 2015 projected headcount for student enrollment (includes all student categories), when compared to the 2012 MEPA submittal. The projected net new student population between 2015 and 2020 is expected to increase by 14.6 percent to approximately 20,000 students. UMass Lowell is also projecting a 13.4 percent increase in total faculty by 2020. No notable growth is expected for administrative positions while academic and student services staff positions are expected to grow proportionally to student enrollment, which yields a 6.0 percent increase in total staff by 2020. Table 3 – Projected vs. Actual Student / Faculty Enrollment(a)

Enrollment Fall 2010 Actual(b)

Fall 2015 Projection(c)

Fall 2015 Actual(b)

% Increase

2010-2015 Fall 2020

Projection(b)

% Increase

2015-2020 Undergraduate 8,675 10,000 10,457 20.5% 12,400 18.6% Graduate / NDD 3,426 5,000 4,184 22.1% 4,700 12.3% Cont. Ed / Online 2,585 3,000 2,809 8.7% 2,900 3.2% Total 14,686 18,000 17,450 18.8% 20,000 14.6% Faculty(d) 1,014 - 1,116 10.1% 1,266 13.4% a Enrollment values are approximate as enrollment fluctuates throughout school year and by semester b Data from UMass Lowell 2016 Report Card; UMass Lowell; Lowell, Massachusetts; 2016 c UMass Lowell Strategic Development Plan Trip Generation Analysis Technical Memorandum; Vanasse Hangen Brustlin, Inc.;

Watertown, MA; August 29, 2012. d Full-time faculty headcounts from UMass Lowell 2016 Report Card; UMass Lowell; Lowell, Massachusetts; 2016; Part-time faculty headcounts from UMass Lowell IR faculty/staff data NDD = Non-Degree Day Student The increases in both student and faculty populations will understandably increase the number of vehicle trips to/from the several UMass Lowell campuses. However, the increase in area traffic volumes is expected to be marginal based on the trends that have been witnessed over the past five years. To assess the potential effect of the UMass Lowell Strategic Plan, TEC estimated the net new ADT to/from the campus consistent with the methodology presented in the 2012 MEPA submittal. Table 4 depicts the net new average daily vehicle trip generation for 2015 to 2020.

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UMass Lowell Campus Transportation Update MEPA Notice of Project Change for the Strategic Development Plan October 17, 2016 Page 4 of 14

Table 4 – 2016 to 2021 - Net New Average Daily Vehicle Trip Generation Analysis

Enrollment Fall 2015 Actual(a)

Fall 2020 Projection(b)

Net Increase

Auto Ownership

Net Increase(c)

Mode Share / Multi

Modal Net Increase

Weekly Weekday Trips

per Vehicles Daily Weekday

Trips Undergraduate 10,457 12,400 1,943

On-Campus 4,238 5,306(d) 1,068 320 288 6 346 Off-Campus 6,207 7,094 887 541 487 10 974

Graduate 4,184 4,700 516 M.S. or Ph.D. 3,275 3,750 475 475 428 6 513 Non-Degree Day 909 950 41 41 37 4 30

Other 2,809 2,900 91 Cont. Education 1,405 1,450 45 45 41 4 33 Online 1,404 1,450 46 - - -

Faculty 1,116 1,266 150 Full Time 565 661 96 91 82 10 164 Part Time 551(e) 605(e) 54 35 32 4 26

Staff 1,443(f) 1,530(g) 87 Full Time 1,071 1,129 58 55 50 10 100 Part Time 372 401 29 19 17 4 14

New Daily Traffic 2,200 a Enrollment values are approximate as enrollment fluctuates throughout the school year and by semester b Data from UMass Lowell 2016 Report Card; UMass Lowell; Lowell, Massachusetts; 2016 c Based on Table 5 decal ownership percentages for undergraduate students, faculty and staff, but assumed conservatively that all graduate students and continuing education students own an automobile d Projected 4,876 on-campus beds plus 430 additional beds within known private housing marketed to students near campus (conservative for near-campus housing) e Part-time faculty headcounts from UMass Lowell IR faculty/staff data f Staff headcounts from UMass Lowell IR faculty/staff data g Academic and student services staff positions are projected to increase proportionally to projected student enrollment growth

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UMass Lowell Campus Transportation Update MEPA Notice of Project Change for the Strategic Development Plan October 17, 2016 Page 5 of 14

Auto Ownership Consistent with the 2012 MEPA submittal2, 100 percent auto ownership was conservatively assumed for all groups except undergraduate and graduate on-campus residents. A summary of UMass Lowell parking decal ownership for the period between 2011 and 2016 is provided in Table 5. For all student and faculty populations, UMass Lowell provided faculty/staff purchased parking decal data, indicating that 95% of full-time faculty and 65% of part-time faculty and staff possess a parking decal. Therefore, it was assumed that 5% and 35% percent of full-time and part-time faculty, respectively, would not regularly use a personal vehicle to and from the campus facilities. UMass Lowell parking decal ownership is provided in Attachment B. The purchased parking decal data also indicated that only 30 percent of resident students possess a parking decal. Therefore, it was assumed that the same percentage of on-campus students would regularly use a personal vehicle to/from the campus facilities. This assumption will provide a conservative trip generation projection because it is highly unlikely that on-campus students will use a personal vehicle a majority of the time. Table 5 – UMass Lowell Parking Decal Ownership FY 2011 FY 2016 % Change 2011-2016

Decal

Owners % of Pop.

Yearly Decal

Pricing Decal

Owners % of Pop.

Yearly Decal

Pricing Decal

Owners % of Pop.

Yearly Decal

Pricing Full-time Faculty/Staff 1,189 98% $144 1,564 95% $300 32% -3% 108%

Part-time Faculty/Staff 642 72% $0 578 65% $80/

150(d) -10% -7% n/a

Resident Students(a) 1,253 40% $175 1,262 30% $450 1% -10% 157%

Commuting Students(b) 4,448 80% $145 3,800 61% $450 -15% -19% 210%

Vendor/ Visitor 285 - $144 354 - $288 24% - 100% a Resident student population based on beds available on campus b Commuting student population includes only undergraduate students, as graduate students and continuing education students generally take classes during off-peak times when parking decals are not required. Graduate students with teaching and research assistantships are also eligible to purchase the less expensive staff decals (thus included as part of the faculty/staff decal ownership category) c FY 2016 Yearly decal pricing was $80 for adjunct faculty and $150 for part-time staff As noted above in Table 5, the percentage of university commuter students that desire to have a parking decal has reduced by 15 percent in the last five years. This same demographic is also a reducing percentage of overall student population.

2 UMass Lowell Strategic Development Plan Trip Generation Analysis Technical Memorandum; Vanasse Hangen Brustlin, Inc.; Watertown, MA; August 29, 2012.

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UMass Lowell Campus Transportation Update MEPA Notice of Project Change for the Strategic Development Plan October 17, 2016 Page 6 of 14

On-Campus Housing Availability Finding significant benefits in academic achievement and greater retention associated with on-campus living, UMass Lowell has transformed itself from a commuter-oriented campus to one with a significant student resident population, with 40-45% percent of the student population living on campus. UMass Lowell had 4,238 beds available as part of its on-campus housing supply. This housing almost exclusively served undergraduate students. The university is expected to increase the total number of beds to 4,876 by the year 2020. Overall, the number of off-campus students is anticipated to increase at a faster rate than on-campus students, which is primarily associated with partial or full web-based class formats. In addition to the UMass Lowell-owned housing, an additional 430 beds are currently proposed within a private housing development near campus at #1 Merrimack Plaza, which will be marketed towards students. Many other existing private housing opportunities in the vicinity of the campus are currently marketed for use by the student population. Due to their close proximity to the campus and the urban multi-modal fabric of Lowell, many of the students residing in these housing developments do not utilize personal vehicle transportation or only use such personal vehicle transportation for non-campus related trips. As the number of off-campus students residing in student-focused housing cannot be calculated precisely, only the number of beds in UMass Lowell-owned housing and known bed counts for privately-owned housings (430 beds) were utilized to calculate the “on-campus” housing population under the 2020 academic year projections. This will provide a conservative trip generation projection. Mode Share and Multi-Modal Trips To remain consistent with the 2012 MEPA submittal, the projected drive-alone car trips were assumed to be 90 percent. It should be noted that UMass Lowell has experienced a significant increase in usage of the public transportation network between the three main campuses since 2011. This increase is expected to continue with the recent completion of the University Avenue Bridge Reconstruction Project and the future completion of the Lowell Canal Bridge TIGER Grant Project. Once completed, the rehabilitation of the canal bridges will allow for more efficient and user-friendly RiverHawk Roadster bus routes between the campuses. In addition, the introduction of improved bicycle accommodations and other multi-modal facilities has contributed to a reduction in drive-alone car trips. Similar to the original 2012 MEPA submittal, a 10 percent mode share credit was utilized to estimate campus generated trips. This percentage is expected to be very conservative due to UMass Lowell’s continued commitment to an extensive TDM program, the presence of multi-modal opportunities, and is confirmed by the overall ADT traffic volumes noted in the following sections. The net change in ADT is based on the detailed and conservative analysis presented in Table 9 and described in this section. Based on the analysis, the UMass Lowell SDP is anticipated to contribute up to 2,200 additional ADT per day from the 2015 to 2020, below the MEPA threshold of 3,000 new vehicle trips.

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UMass Lowell Campus Transportation Update MEPA Notice of Project Change for the Strategic Development Plan October 17, 2016 Page 7 of 14

Transportation Demand Management (TDM) Programs As part of the 2011-2016 UMass Lowell SDP, the University committed to a series of TDM measures in order to limit the number of single-occupancy vehicles (SOV) travelling to and from the three campuses. The following section describes the several TDM measures that UMass Lowell has directed as part of the UMass Lowell SDP. Walking and Biking UMass Lowell published preferred walking and biking routes along with bike safety tips, laws on cycling, and connections to LRTA bus and MBTA commuter rail at locations around the UMass Lowell campuses. UMass Lowell, in its continued work with the City of Lowell, performed a subsequent Pawtucket Corridor Study in 2015 for corridor-wide improvements along Pawtucket Street to promote walking and biking to South Campus. The University and the City are continuing to implement low stress cycling accommodations by providing bicycle lanes, colored pavement, and traffic calming measures. The TIGER Grant Project, as noted above, will include the replacement of Pawtucket Street bridges over the Northern and Pawtucket Canals which will provide enhanced pedestrian and bicycle infrastructure improvements for not only UMass Lowell students, but other pedestrians within the City of Lowell. UMass Lowell’s “Free Wheelers” bike share program provides free bicycles for students, faculty, and staff on a first-come, first-serve basis. Nine bike stations are provided across the three campuses, and a free cell phone app lets users know how many bicycles are available at each location. This initiative, planned in 2011 by the Student Affairs Department, does not include the number of students that currently utilize their own bicycles and lock up at over 200 bike parking spaces on 21 campus bike rack locations. The reconstruction of the University Avenue Bridge provides dedicated bike lanes and a more direct route between North Campus and the other campuses south of the Merrimack River.

Public Transit UMass Lowell is serviced by three Lowell Regional Transit Authority (LRTA) bus routes, which provide access to each of the three campuses and the Lowell Line of the Massachusetts Bay Transportation Authority (MBTA) commuter rail. These two services overlap at the Gallagher Intermodal Terminal. UMass Lowell also has its own shuttle system, the RiverHawk Roadster, which currently provides eight shuttle bus routes to/from locations within Lowell to the UMass Lowell campuses. To enhance ridership, the University distributes a mailing to all students, faculty members, and staff each fall semester about the RiverHawk Roadster and has continued to promote its use. UMass Lowell Transit Ridership The 2011-2016 UMass Lowell SDP reported that the RiverHawk Roadster system had a daily ridership of approximately 3,000 to 3,500 passengers in 2011. With the implementation of public transportation and operational enhancements, ridership data is collected as part of the transit service. Bus ridership averaged 7,500 passengers on busy school days and reached

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UMass Lowell Campus Transportation Update MEPA Notice of Project Change for the Strategic Development Plan October 17, 2016 Page 8 of 14

as high as 8,400 passengers on the busiest day in FY 2016. UMass Lowell will continue to monitor ridership over the next five years. UMass Lowell recently completed a significant transit enhancement by constructing the new North Campus Bus Depot. This removed congested bus traffic from two prior bus stops along University Avenue and relocated the stops to a new centralized depot off Riverside Drive. This provides more efficient bus access immediately adjacent to the North Campus Garage, Riverside parking area, and the densest concentration of academic buildings on the campus. By removing the buses from University Avenue, it has improved efficiency for the bus system, increased vehicle capacity, and created a friendlier environment for pedestrians and bicyclists along University Avenue. Projecting Future Public Transportation Usage As part of the continued SDP, the University is seeking to implement future initiatives to enhance transit ridership and further decrease SOV trips. These measures include providing pre-tax transit passes, installing bicycle racks on RiverHawk Roadster buses, and continuing to petition the LRTA for improved direct service from Gallagher Terminal and other City locations to the three UMass Lowell campuses. As the University advances its TDM programs, and upon the completion of the Lowell Canal Bridges TIGER Grant Project, the ridership along the several campus shuttle routes is expected to increase significantly through 2020. Parking The 2011-2016 UMass Lowell SDP reported that approximately 400 trips per day were made by personal vehicle between campuses, as evidenced in a study based on parking lot use (measured by controlled gates) The University has promoted “leave your vehicle behind” and “park once” policies to remind commuters to take public transit or walk for intercampus trips. Additional changes were made to parking lots, including preferential parking for low emission vehicles and carpool/vanpool. To help meet the future parking demand, the University has constructed four parking lot/garage projects between 2011 and 2016. Resident students are assigned to a single parking lot to prohibit intercampus trips by vehicle. Future parking initiatives, as suggested by the University Parking Committee, are anticipated to include higher parking pass prices and increased enforcement of parking violations. In an effort to reduce parking demand, Zipcar was implemented in 2011 to allow students, faculty, and staff the option for a car on an “as needed” basis. The provision of Zipcar allows students and faculty without vehicles to rely mostly on public transit, but provides a few shared vehicles that students and faculty may use for infrequent trips that require the use of a personal vehicle.

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UMass Lowell Campus Transportation Update MEPA Notice of Project Change for the Strategic Development Plan October 17, 2016 Page 9 of 14

Future Policy UMass Lowell recently launched the Live in Lowell Program, which offers a housing rent or mortgage subsidy to faculty and staff who rent or own a home in the City of Lowell, to promote the local community and economy, as well as alternative modes of transportation. The University’s flex hours and telecommuting programs for both in-class and online courses have also helped reduce the number of trips, especially during typical peak commute hours. The University has stated their commitment for continued outreach to assess the success of implemented TDM measures and has hired a TDM Coordinator to oversee efforts. Continued support from their partnership with MassRIDES and the NuRide ride matching and travel rewards program provides free incentive for students, faculty, and staff to participate in “greener trips”. Approximately five percent (5.4%) of applicable commuters surveyed as part of the 2014 Rideshare Regulation Updated Report3, submitted to MEPA in December 2014, reported that they commuted via carpool. The University reported that 224 registered commuters were in the NuRide database as of December 2014. The University continues to hold monthly promotional events in conjunction with MassRIDES to raise awareness and allow employees to resister for the Electronic Health Records (EHR) program. These events began in the fall of 2014. The University’s Human Resources Department provides alternative commuting information as part of their new employee orientation. New students also receive similar information along with a survey to be submitted to the Department of TDM and Parking. Projecting City-Wide Average Daily Traffic TEC reviewed historical traffic data provided by the Northern Middlesex Council of Governments (NMCOG), the City of Lowell, UMass Lowell, and the Massachusetts Department of Transportation (MassDOT) to estimate the ADT at key locations within, and surrounding, the three UMass Lowell campuses and forecast the change in ADT resulting from the further campus development plan through 2020. This data was utilized to analyze the annual growth trends as impacted by background growth within the City of Lowell and the UMass Lowell campuses, as well as the routes that UMass Lowell students utilize to and from campus. Trip Distribution Assessment Student and faculty commuter data provided by UMass Lowell for the 2016 academic year was utilized to assess how vehicles typically traverse to/from the three campuses. The data was provided in the form of the zip codes of the purchaser of an on-campus parking decal. Using this zip code data, the logical route choice was estimated for the several major arterial routes leading into and out of the City of Lowell. The travel route breakdown summary is provided in Table 6 on the following page. Student and faculty zip code data is provided in Attachment C. 3 2014 Rideshare Regulation Base Report – University of Massachusetts Lowell, Lowell, Massachusetts 01854; prepared by TransAction Associates, Inc.; dated December 17, 2014

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UMass Lowell Campus Transportation Update MEPA Notice of Project Change for the Strategic Development Plan October 17, 2016 Page 10 of 14

Table 6 – Commuter Travel Routes by Zip Code Routes Students/Faculty

Lowell Connector 21% Route 113 to/from West 20% Route 113 to/from East 18% Route 133 12% Route 38 6% Dracut Road 6% Route 3A to/from South 4% Wood Street 4% Route 110 3% Mammoth Road 2% Route 3A to/from North 2% Route 3A to/from West 1% River Road 1% Total 100%

The three UMass Lowell campuses are located in close proximity to each other, with half-mile radii from the center of each campus overlapping one another. The University reported that approximately 33 percent of all commuters commute more than 20 miles, or 13.2% of the entire campus population. This helps support the travel patterns provided in Table 6, where the arterial roadways carry the majority of the commuter trips. The average driving distance for commuters is 24 miles while the median driving distance is 13 miles. Specific Developments by Others To assess a future-year projection of ADT, it is important to understand other developments that may contribute new traffic to the roadway network independent of the UMass Lowell SDP. TEC, Inc. coordinated with the City of Lowell Planning Departments to identify nearby private / public development projects in the vicinity of the study area that are either in the planning process or were recently approved by the City Planning Board. Based on these discussions, four identified projects may contribute significant new traffic volumes to the street network in the vicinity of the UMass Lowell campuses:

Hamilton Canal District (HCD) – The City of Lowell is currently planning a Transit Oriented Development (TOD) which will include residences, commercial/retail space, general office space, connection and expansion to local public transit services, and a new Lowell Trial Court, which will combine the uses of all existing courts in the City. This ±13 acre site is located just north of Middlesex Street and extends across the Hamilton Canal and along Dutton Street. The development is expected to contribute a significant amount of new traffic to the City of Lowell; however, a majority of this traffic is anticipated to occur south of Downtown Lowell.

1 Merrimack Plaza Vision Development – The redevelopment of the 1 Merrimack Plaza properties was recently approved by the City Planning Board and includes the redevelopment of an existing apartment complex into an approximately 430-bed residential development marketed toward UMass Lowell students.

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UMass Lowell Campus Transportation Update MEPA Notice of Project Change for the Strategic Development Plan October 17, 2016 Page 11 of 14

Construction is scheduled to begin in the fall of 2016, with an anticipated opening of fall 2017. [Included as part of on-campus housing projections]

Perkins Park Properties Redevelopment – UMass Lowell recently purchased the Perkins Park Apartments along Perkins Street. The redevelopment of the 230-unit Perkins Park Apartments is expected to consist of a conversion to on-campus housing comprised of approximately 700 beds. The housing is anticipated to reopen in the fall of 2017. [Included as part of on-campus housing projections]

Lowell Collegiate Charter School Expansion – This project officially opened at the start of the 2016 semester and includes the expansion of the existing school previously located at 25 Father John Sarantos Way. The current school caters to K-5th grade and accommodated approximately 525 students. The proposed expansion will accommodate grades 6th-8th and approximately 318 additional students. The school employs approximately 95 staff members and faculty. The school is now located at 1857 Middlesex Street and the previous driveway to Father John Sarantos Way has been eliminated.

Historical Average Daily Traffic Volumes TEC analyzed the historical traffic volume data from the City of Lowell, NMCOG, and MassDOT from 2010-2016 in order to gauge how traffic patterns and volumes have changed in and around the UMass Lowell campuses, as compared to the City of Lowell as a whole. The ADT data indicates that traffic volumes immediately surrounding the UMass Lowell campuses have increased by approximately 0.5 percent per year since 2010, while the annual growth rate along major arterial corridors throughout the City has grown at only 0.17 percent per year since 2010. This marginal level of traffic increase is consistent with other low traffic growth rates within urban environments and demonstrates that UMass Lowell’s aggressive growth in student enrollment and new building construction within the past five years has not resulted in a corresponding increase in vehicle traffic. Summaries of the historical traffic counts are provided in Tables 7 and 8. Historic traffic volume data is provided in Attachment D.

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UMass Lowell Campus Transportation Update MEPA Notice of Project Change for the Strategic Development Plan October 17, 2016 Page 12 of 14

Table 7 – NMCOG and City of Lowell Historical Counts – (Near or Within Campus)

Location Average Daily Traffic, ADT Annual

Growth Rate 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Aiken St S of Hall St 10,700 11,229 11,996 10,262 10,580 10,823 12,613 3.21% Mammoth Rd S of Eighth Ave 12,300 12,122 12,575 11,623 11,983 12,259 - 0.02% Middlesex St W of Burnside St 8,400 8,359 8,606 8,001 8,107 8,293 - -0.19% Route 3A (Westford St) @ Tyler Park - - - 7,133 7,525 7,608 - 3.30% Wilder St S of Pawtucket St 7,964 7,662 7,928 7,908 5,891 6,026 - -4.76% VFW Hwy E of University Ave (Textile Ave) 16,700 18,327 19,266 16,028 16,910 17,096 14,140 -2.10% VFW Hwy W of University Ave 13,394 14,764 15,499 15,380 15,772 15,945 - 3.62% Route 113 (Pawtucket Blvd) W of Mammoth Rd 25,076 24,564 25,504 25,329 25,946 26,231 - 0.93%

Average Rate - Campus 0.50% Table 8 – NMCOG and City of Lowell Historical Counts – (City Wide Major Corridor Counts)

Location Average Daily Traffic, ADT Annual

Growth Rate 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Route 38 (Rogers St) N of Boylston St 26,200 22,941 23,188 23,441 23,674 23,934 23,833 -1.43% Stevens St N of Princeton Blvd 4,600 4,575 4,708 4,155 4,284 4,383 - -0.79% Industrial Ave S of Route 110 (Chelmsford St) 12,225 12,125 12,532 12,584 12,974 13,272 11,941 -0.28% Varnum Ave W of Route 113 (Pawtucket Blvd) 10,900 - - 8,330 8,588 8,786 - -4.06% Route 3A (Gorham St) N of Elsworth St 17,060 - 17,344 17,500 18,463 17,288 - 0.34% Route 3A (Westford St) W of School St 10,637 - 12,012 12,069 12,733 12,749 - 3.73% Route 3A (Princeton St) @ Chelmsford TL - - 5,300 - 5,000 5,600 - 2.09% Lakeview Ave W of Route 38 (Bridge St) 5,600 5,756 6,698 5,939 6,123 6,000 - 1.78% Average Rate – Major Corridor 0.17% Combined Average Rate 0.34%

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UMass Lowell Campus Transportation Update MEPA Notice of Project Change for the Strategic Development Plan October 17, 2016 Page 13 of 14

Future Year Average Daily Traffic Volumes Utilizing the historical traffic volumes, UMass Lowell population data and projections, the existing annual growth rate near the UMass Lowell campuses, and the existing annual growth rate along major arterial corridors throughout the City, TEC forecasted a future year 2020 ADT for each of the roadways where historic traffic counts were conducted. TEC calculated an estimate for the future annual growth rate as a proportion of the historic growth rate, as compared to the general UMass Lowell student and faculty population projections. The projected 2020 enrollment increase indicates that traffic volumes immediately surrounding the UMass Lowell campuses will increase by approximately 0.41 percent per year through 2020, and the annual growth rate along the major arterial corridors throughout the City will increase at approximately 0.14 percent per year through 2020. A summary of the projected year 2020 ADTs is provided in Table 9. Calculations for the historic and forecasted traffic count data is provided in Attachment E. Table 9 – Forecasted Average Daily Traffic – City of Lowell

Location

Average Daily Traffic, ADT ADT

2015 or 2016 Growth Years ADT 2020

Aiken St S of Hall St 12,613 4 12,625 Mammoth Rd S of Eighth Ave 12,259 5 12,270 Middlesex St W of Burnside St 8,293 5 8,300 Route 3A (Westford St) @ Tyler Park 7,608 5 7,615 Wilder St S of Pawtucket St 6,026 5 6,030 VFW Hwy E of University Ave (Textile Ave) 14,140 4 14,155 VFW Hwy W of University Ave 15,945 5 15,960 Route 113 (Pawtucket Blvd) W of Mammoth Rd 26,231 5 26,255 Route 38 (Rogers St) N of Boylston St 23,833 4 23,840 Stevens St N of Princeton Blvd 4,383 5 4,385 Industrial Ave S of Route 110 (Chelmsford St) 11,941 4 11,945 Varnum Ave W of Route 113 (Pawtucket Blvd) 8,786 5 8,790 Route 3A (Gorham St) N of Elsworth St 17,288 5 17,295 Route 3A (Westford St) W of School St 12,749 5 12,755 Route 3A (Princeton St) @ Chelmsford TL 5,600 5 5,605 Lakeview Ave W of Route 38 (Bridge St) 6,000 5 6,005 Conclusions Since the inception of the 2011-2016 UMass Lowell SDP, the University has experienced a substantial increase in both student and faculty population, as well as a substantial increase in on-campus academic and residential building development. Throughout the surge in student and faculty population, the traffic volumes on the surrounding roadways have experienced a minimal increase in ADT. Whereas the student population has increased at approximately three percent per year, the ADT has only increased by 0.5 percent per year since 2010. The minimal impact to the area roadways can be attributed to the extensive TDM programs that UMass Lowell has implemented since 2010. Based on the conservative trip generation analysis, the UMass Lowell SDP is anticipated to contribute up to 2,200 additional ADT per day from the 2015 to 2020, below the MEPA

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UMass Lowell Campus Transportation Update MEPA Notice of Project Change for the Strategic Development Plan October 17, 2016 Page 14 of 14

project threshold of 3,000 new vehicle trips. These new trips are anticipated to be distributed over the major arterial corridors and local roadways leading to and from the three UMass Lowell campuses. Utilizing the historical traffic volumes and UMass Lowell population data and projections, the projected 2020 enrollment increase indicates that traffic volumes immediately surrounding the UMass Lowell campuses will increase by approximately 0.41 percent per year through 2020, while the annual growth rate along the major arterial corridors throughout the City will increase at approximately 0.14 percent per year through 2020. The University is committed to continuing the successful TDM programs and implementing new programs and services in order to limit the use of single-occupancy vehicles in and around the UMass Lowell campuses and Downtown Lowell, with the continued focus on the SDP. Overall, the increases in student enrollment and the construction of campus projects have had negligible impacts on City roadways since 2011. Although the enrollment is projected to increase with additional on-campus construction and on-line courses, historic traffic volumes in the vicinity of UMass Lowell indicate that further advancement of the Strategic Development Plan is not anticipated to noticeably alter future daily traffic volumes. List of Attachments Attachment A – UML 2016 Report Card Attachment B – UML Parking Decal Data Attachment C – UML Commuter Driving Distances Gravity Model Attachment D – City of Lowell / NMCOG Traffic Counts Attachment E – Historical / Forecasted Traffic Count Data

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Attachment A

UML 2016 Report Card

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Attachment B

UML Parking Decal Data

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Parking Decal Holders based on UCAPS DataDecal Holder 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Faculty/Staff ‐ FT 1,189 1,280 1,356 1,444 1,500 1,564

Faculty/Staff ‐ PT 642 653 531 500 551 578

All Faculty/Staff Holders 1,831 1,933 1,887 1,944 2,051 2,142

Student ‐ Commuter 4,448 4,275 4,360 4,062 4,057 3,800

Student ‐ Resident 1,253 1,130 1,037 1,141 1,237 1,262

All Student Holders 5,701 5,405 5,397 5,203 5,294 5,062

Vendor/Visitor 285 319 392 340 354 354

All Decal Holders 7,817 7,657 7,676 7,487 7,699 7,558

Campus Population based on Institutional Research DataPopulation Fall 2010 Fall 2011 Fall 2012 Fall 2013 Fall 2014 Fall 2015

Faculty/Staff ‐ FT 1,209 1,319 1,386 1,496 1,565 1,644

Faculty/Staff ‐ PT 886 870 796 817 857 887

Total Faculty/Staff 2,095 2,189 2,182 2,313 2,422 2,531

Student ‐ Commuter 1 5,560 5,831 6,013 6,081 6,151 6,219

Student ‐ Resident 2

3,115 3,195 3,388 3,723 4,003 4,238

Total Undergraduate Students 8,675 9,026 9,401 9,804 10,154 10,457

2. Student ‐ Resident based on estimated beds available on campus

Parking Decal OwnershipPer person decals purchased 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Faculty/Staff ‐ FT 98% 97% 98% 97% 96% 95%

Faculty/Staff ‐ PT 72% 75% 67% 61% 64% 65%

All Faculty/Staff 87% 88% 86% 84% 85% 85%

Student ‐ Commuter 1 80% 73% 73% 67% 66% 61%

Student ‐ Resident 2

40% 35% 31% 31% 31% 30%

All Undergraduate Students 66% 60% 57% 53% 52% 48%

2. Student ‐ Resident based on estimated beds available on campus

1. Student ‐ Commuter includes only undergraduate students, because graduate students and continuing education 

students generally take classes during off‐peak times when parking decals are not required. Graduate students with 

teaching and research assistantships are also eligible to purchase the less expensive staff decals (thus included as part of 

the faculty/staff decal ownership categories.

1. Student ‐ Commuter includes only undergraduate students, because graduate students and continuing education 

students generally take classes during off‐peak times when parking decals are not required. Graduate students with 

teaching and research assistantships are also eligible to purchase the less expensive staff decals (thus included as part of 

the faculty/staff decal ownership categories.

Decal Holders data used to calculate parking decal ownership is based on holder counts during peak parking time, 

collected on November 1st of each fall.

Decal Holders data based on holder counts during peak parking time, collected on November 1st of each fall.

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Parking Decal PricingCategory Decal Type FY11  FY12 FY13 FY14  FY15  FY16 

All Satellite* $0 $0 $0 N/A  N/A   N/A 

Faculty/Staff Adjunct Faculty $0 $0 $80 $80  $    80   $    80 

Faculty/Staff Full‐Time Faculty/Staff $144 $148 $175 $200  $  250   $  300 

Faculty/Staff Part‐Time Staff $0 $80 $80 $100  $  125   $  150 

Student Commuter $  145  $176 $200 $350  $  400   $  450 

Student Resident $  175  $224 $250 $350  $  400   $  450 

Vendor/Visitor Vendor/Visitor $  144  $144 $192 $192  $  240   $  288 

Parking Decal Ownership & Decal Prices at UMass Lowell, FY 2011‐FY 2016

* Satellite available to all FY11. Only available to faculty/staff FY12‐FY13

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400

$450

$500

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1 2 3 4 5 6

Decal Price per Academic Year

Percentage

 of Cam

pus Population

Purchasing Decals

Fiscal Year

% Faculty/Staff Decal Ownership % UG Student Decal Ownership

Full‐Time Faculty/Staff Decal Price Commuter Student Decal Price

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Attachment C

UML Commuter Driving Distances Gravity Model

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Distance to Campus (mi) Student Decal Holders Faculty/Staff Decal Holders All Decal Holders0 to 1 5.03% 5.86% 5.32%1 to 3 9.45% 11.36% 10.12%3 to 5 10.80% 15.32% 12.38%5 to 10 10.50% 11.73% 10.93%10 to 20 30.50% 24.50% 28.40%20 to 50 31.56% 27.91% 30.28%50+ 2.16% 3.32% 2.57%

Mean (mi) 18.95 32.33 23.64Median (mi) 13.00 12.00 13.00

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Attachment D

City of Lowell / NMCOG Traffic Counts

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NMCOG ID

MassDOT Station

Location Town ADT 2010 ADT 2011 ADT 2012 ADT 2013 ADT 2014 ADT 2015 ADT 2016

678 257407 Technology Dr W of Westford st Lowell 4,900 4,883 418 Varnum Ave S of Frechette St Lowell 7,600 408 250763 Stevens St S of Parker St Lowell 10,551 296 4081 Industrial Ave S of Rte 110 (Chelmsford St) Lowell 12,225 12,125 12,532 12,584 12,974 13,272 11,941 297 4148 Industrial Ave under Connector Lowell 11,700 12,600 238 4141 Aiken St S of Hall St Lowell 10,700 11,229 11,996 10,262 10,580 10,823 12,613 422 4093 VFW Hwy E of University Ave (Textile Ave) Lowell 16,700 18,327 19,266 16,028 16,910 17,096 14,140 384 4088 Rte 38 (Rogers St) N of Boylston St Lowell 26,200 22,941 23,188 23,441 23,674 23,934 23,833 820 257519 Cabot St N of Father Morrisette Blvd Lowell 3,400 539 556 569 246 Billerica St S of Lawrence St Lowell 960 1,100 312 4143 Lincoln St W of Rte 3A (Gorham St) Lowell 1,097 1,109 1,146 1,157 1,193 1,232 704 Carlisle St S of Rte 3A (Gorham St) Lowell 1,500 1,800 932 254093 Tanner St N of Lincoln St Lowell 1,784 1,825 193 0329 Methuen St @ Dracut/Lowell Town Line Multiple 2,000 2,400 311 250757 Lincoln St W of Autumn St Lowell 2,500 2,600 591 Varnum Ave/Sherburne Ave @ Lowell/Tyngsborough Town Line Multiple 2,800 2,700 684 216034 Walker Street S of Broadway Lowell 3,393 3,471 324 4144 Meadowcroft St S of Moore St Lowell 2,893 2,922 5,208 5,247 5,410 3,521 406 4074 Stevens St N of Princeton Blvd Lowell 4,600 4,575 4,708 4,155 4,284 4,383 348 254091 Parker St E of Stevens St Lowell 5,600 5,044 5,160 107 4044 Rte 3A (Princeton St) @ Lowell/Chelmsford Town Line Multiple 5,300 5,000 5,600 681 257395 Baldwin Street S of Middlesex Street Lowell 6,100 5,716 304 4086 Lakeview Ave W of Rte 38 (Bridge St) Lowell 5,600 5,756 6,698 5,939 6,123 6,000 433 4075 Wilder St S of Pawtucket St Lowell 7,964 7,662 7,928 7,908 5,891 6,026 431 235467 Westford St W of Pine St Lowell 9,300 6,629 393 250761 Rte 3A (Westford St) @ Tyler Park (W of Florence Ave) Lowell 7,133 7,525 7,608 436 4146 Woburn St W of I-495 Lowell 7,300 7,900 323 255967 West Meadow Rd N of Varnum Ave Lowell 5,800 7,715 7,954 8,137 334 4101 Middlesex St W of Burnside St Lowell 8,400 8,359 8,606 8,001 8,107 8,293 331 Middlesex St E of Pawtucket St Lowell 8,300 8,400 419 250764 Varnum Ave W of Rte 113 (Pawtucket Blvd) Lowell 10,900 8,330 8,588 8,786 164 Stedman St @ Lowell/Chelmsford Town Line Multiple 9,000 401 251250 School St S of Broadway St Lowell 9,048 9,328 9,543 758 Middlesex St @ Lowell/Chelmsford Town Line Multiple 11,700 9,700 957 3372335 Stedman St S of Westford St Lowell 10,001 306 4142 Lawrence St E of Billerica St Lowell 9,900 10,400 185 257528 Mammoth Rd @ Lowell/Dracut Town Line Multiple 14,500 11,674 11,943 777 4085 Mammoth Rd S of Eighth Ave Lowell 12,300 12,122 12,575 11,623 11,983 12,259 429 Westford St E of Wood St Lowell 12,200 12,300 394 4831 Rte 3A (Westford St) W of School St Lowell 10,637 12,012 12,069 12,733 12,749 322 4076 Market St W of Central/Bridge St Lowell 9,200 9,364 10,202 12,156 12,533 12,821 40 4100 VFW Hwy W of University Ave Lowell 13,394 14,764 15,499 15,380 15,772 15,945

386 4922 Rte 3A (Gorham St) N of Elsworth St Lowell 17,060 17,344 17,500 18,463 17,288 380 4082 Rte 38 (Bridge St) N of VFW Highway Lowell 19,669 20,132 29,725 29,679 31,311 17,586 423 4092 VFW Hwy W of Rte 38 (Bridge St) Lowell 17,200 17,693 30,925 18,788 288 4836 Gorham St S of Walnut St Lowell 17,361 17,486 17,601 18,569 20,434 375 4084 Rte 113 (Pawtucket Blvd) W of Mammoth Rd Lowell 25,076 24,564 25,504 25,329 25,946 26,231 382 4835 Rte 38 (Nesmith St) N of Merrimack St Lowell 30,206 27,571 27,729 29,254 30,959 396 4139 Rte I-495 N of Lowell Connector Lowell 102,800 124,472 134,032 120,361 128,029 126,035 397 4033 Rte I-495 S of Rte 38 (Main St in Tewksbury) Lowell 121,226 118,268 111,160 114,790 127,007 708 Wilder St N of Rte 3A (Westford St) Lowell 6,000 5,700 355 Pawtucket St W of Wilder St Lowell 7,900 7,800 250 Boylston St S of I-495 Lowell 6,800 7,900 301 Lakeview Ave S of Farmland Rd Lowell 8,300 300 Lakeview Ave @ Lowell/Dracut Town Line Multiple 8,200 8,600 345 Old Ferry Rd N of Rte 113 (Pawtucket Blvd) Lowell 8,400 8,900 294 Industrial Ave E of Lowell Connector Overpass Lowell 12,200 199 Rte 110 (VFW Highway/Merrimack Ave) @ Lowell/Dracut Town Line Multiple 14,600 441 4080 Lowell Connector S of Plain St Lowell 24,084 279 4145 Fleming St W of Stevens St Lowell 940 760 878 4th St E of Mammoth Rd Lowell 1,900 265 Douglas Rd N of Rte 38 (Rogers St) Lowell 2,700 262 Clark Rd N of Village St Lowell 5,400 899 Merrimack St E of Cabot St Lowell 7,600 767 Industrial Ave E of Lowell Connector NB Ramps Lowell 8,500 874 Middlesex St E Wilder St Lowell 8,600 873 Wilder St N of Middlesex St Lowell 8,600 879 Rte 110 (Chelmsford St) S of Rte 3A (Westford St) Lowell 12,900 721 Fletcher St N of Broadway St Lowell 13,100 378 Rte 133 (Andover St) @ Lowell/Tewksbury Town Line Multiple 18,100 313 4079 Lowell Connector N of Plain St Lowell 53,650 858 Howard St S of Lowell Connector Overpass Lowell 1,400 859 Lincoln St W of Tanner St Lowell 4,000 900 Rte 3A (Princeton St) W of Corey St Lowell 6,226 372 Rte 113 (Pawtucket Blvd) W of Old Ferry Rd Lowell 12,600 12,872 236 Aiken St S of Aiken St Bridge Lowell 14,400 819 VFW Highway W of Aiken St Lowell 15,200 367 Rourke Br (Wood St) S of Rte 113 (Pawtucket Blvd) Lowell 27,003

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NMCOG ID

MassDOT Station

Location Town ADT 2010 ADT 2011 ADT 2012 ADT 2013 ADT 2014 ADT 2015 ADT 2016

847 Fayette St N of Chestnut St Lowell 2,700 290 Hale St W of Rte 3A (Thorndike St) Lowell 3,700 404 Sixth St E of Rte 38 (Bridge St) Lowell 3,800 839 Rock St W of Mt Vernon St Lowell 4,300 407 Stevens St N of Rte 3A (Westford St) Lowell 4,700 754 Swan St W of Boston Rd Lowell 4,900 846 Rte 3A (Pine St) S of Princeton Blvd Lowell 5,000 432 Wilder St S of Middlesex St Lowell 5,200 267 Dummer St N of Broadway St Lowell 6,100 775 Broadway St W of Mount Vernon St Lowell 7,600 395 Rte 3A (Westford St) W of Stevens St Lowell 7,900 249 Boylston St N of Bishop St Lowell 8,800 335 Middlesex St W of Garnet St Lowell 8,800 849 Father Morissette Blvd E of Aiken St Lowell 9,000 365 Rogers St E of Concord St Lowell 9,000 305 Lawrence St @ Concord River Lowell 10,000 281 Fletcher St N of Thorndike St/Dutton St Lowell 18,800 707 Spencer St W of Rte 3A (Gorham St) Lowell 3,800 263 Clark Rd S of Rte 133 (Andover St) Lowell 4,500 734 4825 School St S of Pawtucket St Lowell 5,682 709 Broadway St W of Wilder St Lowell 6,500 825 John St N of Merrimack St Lowell 6,600 699 Rte 3A (Gorham St) S of Carlisle St Lowell 7,100 778 Prescott St S of Merrimack St Lowell 8,000 706 School St N of Branch St Lowell 8,400 774 High St S of Merrimack St Lowell 8,700 705 Rte 3A (Westford St) W of Wilder St Lowell 9,100 256 Broadway St W of Dutton St Lowell 9,600 830 Green St E of Central St Lowell 9,800 698 Rte 3A (Gorham St) S of Spencer St Lowell 10,100 831 French St E of Kirk St Lowell 10,500 243 Rte 110 (Appleton St) E of South St Lowell 11,000 259 4077 Central St S of Jackson St Lowell 11,900 368 Rte 110 (Chelmsford St) N of Stevens St Lowell 12,700 697 Merrmicak St E of John St Lowell 13,600 416 University Ave N of VFW Hwy Lowell 16,000 823 Rte 110 (Chelmsford St) S of Parker St Lowell 16,900 732 4827 Pawtucket St E of Arlington St Lowell 17,885 824 Rte 110 (Andover St) W of High St Lowell 19,500

Page 36: T0653 UML MEPA Tech Memo FINAL DRAFT · 2016. 10. 17. · FY 2011 FY 2016 % Change 2011-2016 Decal Owners % of Pop. Yearly Decal Pricing Decal Owners % of Pop. Yearly Decal Pricing

Attachment E

Historical / Forecasted Traffic Count Data

Page 37: T0653 UML MEPA Tech Memo FINAL DRAFT · 2016. 10. 17. · FY 2011 FY 2016 % Change 2011-2016 Decal Owners % of Pop. Yearly Decal Pricing Decal Owners % of Pop. Yearly Decal Pricing
Page 38: T0653 UML MEPA Tech Memo FINAL DRAFT · 2016. 10. 17. · FY 2011 FY 2016 % Change 2011-2016 Decal Owners % of Pop. Yearly Decal Pricing Decal Owners % of Pop. Yearly Decal Pricing

NM

COG

and

City

of L

owel

l His

toric

al C

ount

s - (

Nea

r or W

ithin

Cam

pus) 2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Rte

38

(Rog

ers

St) N

of B

oyls

ton

St2

6,2

00

22

,94

12

3,1

88

23

,44

12

3,6

74

23

,93

42

3,8

33

-1.4

3%

42

38

40

Stev

ens

St N

of P

rince

ton

Blv

d4

,60

04

,57

54

,70

84

,15

54

,28

44

,38

3-

-0.7

9%

54

38

5In

dust

rial A

ve S

of R

te 1

10

(Che

lmsf

ord

St)

12

,22

51

2,1

25

12

,53

21

2,5

84

12

,97

41

3,2

72

11

,94

1-0

.28

%4

11

94

5Va

rnum

Ave

W o

f Rte

11

3 (P

awtu

cket

Blv

d)1

0,9

00

--

8,3

30

8,5

88

8,7

86

--4

.06

%5

87

90

Rte

3A

(Gor

ham

St)

N o

f Els

wor

th S

t1

7,0

60

-1

7,3

44

17

,50

01

8,4

63

17

,28

8-

0.3

4%

51

72

95

Rte

3A

(Wes

tfor

d St

) W o

f Sch

ool S

t1

0,6

37

-1

2,0

12

12

,06

91

2,7

33

12

,74

9-

3.7

3%

51

27

55

Rou

te 3

A (P

rince

ton

St) @

Low

ell/

Chel

msf

ord

Tow

n Li

ne-

-5

,30

0-

5,0

00

5,6

00

-2

.09

%5

56

05

Lake

view

Ave

W o

f Rte

38

(Brid

ge S

t)5

,60

05

,75

66

,69

85

,93

96

,12

36

,00

0-

1.7

8%

56

00

5

Aver

age:

0.1

7%

Antic

ipat

ed R

ate:

0.1

4%

NM

COG

and

City

of L

owel

l His

toric

al C

ount

s - (

City

Wid

e M

ajor

Cor

ridor

Cou

nts)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Aike

n St

S o

f Hal

l St

10

,70

01

1,2

29

11

,99

61

0,2

62

10

,58

01

0,8

23

12

,61

33

.21

%4

12

62

5M

amm

oth

Rd

S of

Eig

hth

Ave

12

,30

01

2,1

22

12

,57

51

1,6

23

11

,98

31

2,2

59

-0

.02

%5

12

27

0M

iddl

esex

St W

of B

urns

ide

St8

,40

08

,35

98

,60

68

,00

18

,10

78

,29

3-

-0.1

9%

58

30

0R

te 3

A (W

estf

ord

St) @

Tyl

er P

ark

(W o

f Flo

renc

e Av

e)-

--

7,1

33

7,5

25

7,6

08

-3

.30

%5

76

15

Wild

er S

t S o

f Paw

tuck

et S

t7

,96

47

,66

27

,92

87

,90

85

,89

16

,02

6-

-4.7

6%

56

03

0VF

W H

wy

E of

Uni

vers

ity A

ve (T

extil

e Av

e)1

6,7

00

18

,32

71

9,2

66

16

,02

81

6,9

10

17

,09

61

4,1

40

-2.1

0%

41

41

55

VFW

Hw

y W

of U

nive

rsity

Ave

13

,39

41

4,7

64

15

,49

91

5,3

80

15

,77

21

5,9

45

-3

.62

%5

15

96

0R

te 1

13

(Paw

tuck

et B

lvd)

W o

f Mam

mot

h R

d2

5,0

76

24

,56

42

5,5

04

25

,32

92

5,9

46

26

,23

1-

0.9

3%

52

62

55

Aver

age:

0.5

0%

Antic

ipat

ed R

ate:

0.4

1%

20

20

AD

T

20

20

AD

T

Loca

tion

Ambi

ent

Gro

wth

Loca

tion

Ambi

ent

Gro

wth

Gro

wth

Ye

ar

Gro

wth

Ye

ar

Page 39: T0653 UML MEPA Tech Memo FINAL DRAFT · 2016. 10. 17. · FY 2011 FY 2016 % Change 2011-2016 Decal Owners % of Pop. Yearly Decal Pricing Decal Owners % of Pop. Yearly Decal Pricing

NM

COG

and

City

of L

owel

l His

toric

al C

ount

s - (

Com

bine

d Co

unts

)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Rte

38

(Rog

ers

St) N

of B

oyls

ton

St2

6,2

00

22

,94

12

3,1

88

23

,44

12

3,6

74

23

,93

42

3,8

33

-1.4

3%

Stev

ens

St N

of P

rince

ton

Blv

d4

,60

04

,57

54

,70

84

,15

54

,28

44

,38

3-

-0.7

9%

Indu

stria

l Ave

S o

f Rte

11

0 (C

helm

sfor

d St

)1

2,2

25

12

,12

51

2,5

32

12

,58

41

2,9

74

13

,27

21

1,9

41

-0.2

8%

Varn

um A

ve W

of R

te 1

13

(Paw

tuck

et B

lvd)

10

,90

0-

-8

,33

08

,58

88

,78

6-

-4.0

6%

Rte

3A

(Gor

ham

St)

N o

f Els

wor

th S

t1

7,0

60

-1

7,3

44

17

,50

01

8,4

63

17

,28

8-

0.3

4%

Rte

3A

(Wes

tfor

d St

) W o

f Sch

ool S

t1

0,6

37

-1

2,0

12

12

,06

91

2,7

33

12

,74

9-

3.7

3%

Rou

te 3

A (P

rince

ton

St) @

Low

ell/

Chel

msf

ord

Tow

n Li

ne-

-5

,30

0-

5,0

00

5,6

00

-2

.09

%La

kevi

ew A

ve W

of R

te 3

8 (B

ridge

St)

5,6

00

5,7

56

6,6

98

5,9

39

6,1

23

6,0

00

-1

.78

%

Aike

n St

S o

f Hal

l St

10

,70

01

1,2

29

11

,99

61

0,2

62

10

,58

01

0,8

23

12

,61

33

.21

%M

amm

oth

Rd

S of

Eig

hth

Ave

12

,30

01

2,1

22

12

,57

51

1,6

23

11

,98

31

2,2

59

-0

.02

%M

iddl

esex

St W

of B

urns

ide

St8

,40

08

,35

98

,60

68

,00

18

,10

78

,29

3-

-0.1

9%

Rte

3A

(Wes

tfor

d St

) @ T

yler

Par

k (W

of F

lore

nce

Ave)

--

-7

,13

37

,52

57

,60

8-

3.3

0%

Wild

er S

t S o

f Paw

tuck

et S

t7

,96

47

,66

27

,92

87

,90

85

,89

16

,02

6-

-4.7

6%

VFW

Hw

y E

of U

nive

rsity

Ave

(Tex

tile

Ave)

16

,70

01

8,3

27

19

,26

61

6,0

28

16

,91

01

7,0

96

14

,14

0-2

.10

%VF

W H

wy

W o

f Uni

vers

ity A

ve1

3,3

94

14

,76

41

5,4

99

15

,38

01

5,7

72

15

,94

5-

3.6

2%

Rte

11

3 (P

awtu

cket

Blv

d) W

of M

amm

oth

Rd

25

,07

62

4,5

64

25

,50

42

5,3

29

25

,94

62

6,2

31

-0

.93

%

Aver

age:

0.3

4%

20

10

20

15

20

20

Und

ergr

adua

te8

67

51

04

57

12

40

0G

radu

ate

34

26

41

84

47

00

Cont

Ed

12

93

14

05

14

50

Facu

lty1

01

41

11

61

26

61

44

08

17

16

21

98

16

% In

crea

se0

.19

11

40

.15

46

Loca

tion

Ambi

ent

Gro

wth