survey report 2015 · automotive tech.ad detroit 2015 november 16-17, 2015 | the henry, detroit,...
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SURVEY REPORT 2015
l Autonomous Driving Scenarios l Legal and Liability Aspects of Autonomous
Driving l HMI Challenges l Urban Mobility Towards 2020 l The Whole Picture
of Automated Driving l The Safety / Availability Trade-off in Autonomous
Driving l Vehicle-to-Vehicle (V2V) and Vehicle-to-Infrastructure (V2I) l
Autonomous Systems for Off-Highway and Agriculture Applications l
www.autonomous-driving-detroit.com
AUTOMOTIVE TECH.AD DETROIT 2015 November 16-17, 2015 | The Henry, Detroit, USA
CONTENT
GENERAL INFORMATION
Benefits of autonomous driving 5
Major challenges 6
Future of autonomous driving 7
Traditional OEMs & the automotive industry 14
PROFILE OF SURVEY RESPONDENTS
Organisational size, job title 17
Geographical split, industry 18
EVENT ANNOUNCEMENT
Automotive Tech.AD Berlin 2016 20
Imprint 21
www.autonomous-driving-detroit.com
AUTOMOTIVE TECH.AD DETROIT 2015 November 16-17, 2015 | The Henry, Detroit, USA
RESEARCH PURPOSE
Autonomous driving industry research
TARGET SUBJECT
Senior level executives and experts from leading OEMs, Tier1, Tier2, suppliers, research
institutes etc. from approx. 30 countries worldwide
METHOD
Online-Survey
PARTICIPANT GENERATION
Email and social media invitations
STUDY SAMPLE SIZE
n = 229
ENQUIRY PERIOD
December 2015 / January 2016
REPORT PUBLISHED
January 2016
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AUTOMOTIVE TECH.AD DETROIT 2015 November 16-17, 2015 | The Henry, Detroit, USA
SURVEY RESULTS
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AUTOMOTIVE TECH.AD DETROIT 2015 November 16-17, 2015 | The Henry, Detroit, USA
Increased safety
Reduced traffic congestions / Increased road capacity
Reduced stress levels / Advanced ease of use
Increased productivity for the driver
Enhanced quality of life
Independent mobility of non-drivers
Emission and cost reductions
79%
58%
53%
49%
44%
47%
30%
According to you, what are the main benefits of autonomous
driving? (Multiple choice)
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AUTOMOTIVE TECH.AD DETROIT 2015 November 16-17, 2015 | The Henry, Detroit, USA
73% Safety concerns / Fail-safe concepts
Regulatory mandates / Legal restrictions
Liability issues
Cyber security
61%
48%
38% Limitations with regards to infrastructure
Social acceptance / Critical perception of self-driving vehicles
42%
58%
HMI driver attention management 24%
What do you think are the main challenges on the road to
autonomous driving? (Multiple choice)
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AUTOMOTIVE TECH.AD DETROIT 2015 November 16-17, 2015 | The Henry, Detroit, USA
Which mobility sectors do you expect to deploy autonomous driving soon?
2%
15%
26%
26%
31%
3%
15%
14%
34%
34%
Other (please specify)
Passenger cars
Commercial vehicles
Off-highway / Mining
Shuttle services / Public transport
2014
2015
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AUTOMOTIVE TECH.AD DETROIT 2015 November 16-17, 2015 | The Henry, Detroit, USA
Will shared vehicle fleets replace individual ownership?
No, they will coexist
82%
Yes, they will replace them;
18%
www.autonomous-driving-detroit.com
AUTOMOTIVE TECH.AD DETROIT 2015 November 16-17, 2015 | The Henry, Detroit, USA
When do you expect driving autonomy to become reality for vehicles on the road?
1%
16%
34%
44%
5%
9%
48%
27%
10%
6%
In less than 5 years
5-10 years
10-15 years
In more than 15 years
Never fully
2015
2014
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AUTOMOTIVE TECH.AD DETROIT 2015 November 16-17, 2015 | The Henry, Detroit, USA
Which regions will experience the highest market growth for
autonomous driving in the near future?
Asia 17%
Europe 30%
North America
53%
www.autonomous-driving-detroit.com
AUTOMOTIVE TECH.AD DETROIT 2015 November 16-17, 2015 | The Henry, Detroit, USA
Who will be the dominating players in the near future?
Traditional and
established OEMs
51%
New entrants incl.
Google, Apple and
Uber will play a
significant role
40% A
partnership
of both
8%
2015 2014*
* Participants’ answers in 2014 in response to the same questions
Established OEMs
will dominate
55%
Others will
be present in
the market
8%
New entrants will
play a significant
role
38%
www.autonomous-driving-detroit.com
AUTOMOTIVE TECH.AD DETROIT 2015 November 16-17, 2015 | The Henry, Detroit, USA
Security is an increasing concern in the online world.
Will consumers trust automated cars?
70%
Yes, they will in the long-term, but a lot of work has to be
done in order to gain their trust
19%
I think most people won't entirely trust automated
cars and will always have security concerns
11%
Yes, as there won't be any serious concerns
in the future and the benefits outweigh the risks
www.autonomous-driving-detroit.com
AUTOMOTIVE TECH.AD DETROIT 2015 November 16-17, 2015 | The Henry, Detroit, USA
Are regulations necessary to address emerging legal challenges and
liability issues related to autonomous driving? At which level?
Yes
90%
No,
probably not
7%
Not sure
3%
Federal level 64%
State level 24%
Undecided 12%
www.autonomous-driving-detroit.com
AUTOMOTIVE TECH.AD DETROIT 2015 November 16-17, 2015 | The Henry, Detroit, USA
How would traditional OEMs need to change in order to not be left behind
on the road to autonomous driving?
Partnerships and
cooperations
Data
collection /
Vehicle data
Focus on new business
models, e.g. mobility as
a service, security
Change
development
processes
Better
knowledge
about
digitalisation
Faster change
Incorporate new
technologies
Become more
flexible with
regards to
processes etc.
Faster
innovations
Major
investments
(e.g. in R&D)
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AUTOMOTIVE TECH.AD DETROIT 2015 November 16-17, 2015 | The Henry, Detroit, USA
75% A mixture of both
Which direction should the automotive industry take in order
to further progress with maximum speed?
Join forces within the automotive industry
Collaboration with start-ups
14%
11%
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AUTOMOTIVE TECH.AD DETROIT 2015 November 16-17, 2015 | The Henry, Detroit, USA
PROFILE OF SURVEY
RESPONDENTS
www.autonomous-driving-detroit.com
AUTOMOTIVE TECH.AD DETROIT 2015 November 16-17, 2015 | The Henry, Detroit, USA
Organisational size Job title
Senior Manager /
Team Leader
52%
Engineer /
Researcher
25%
Board
member /
Director
23%
50,000 - 100,000
employees 6%
5,000 - 10,000
employees 10%
10,000 - 50,000
employees 14%
more than 100,000
employees 15%
1,000 - 5,000 employees
18%
up to 1,000 employees
38%
www.autonomous-driving-detroit.com
AUTOMOTIVE TECH.AD DETROIT 2015 November 16-17, 2015 | The Henry, Detroit, USA
Geographical split
OEMS 31%
Tier 1 & 2 18 %
Driver Assistance Systems 15%
Research & Academia 11%
Engineering 10%
Electronics 7%
Software Engineering 7%
Industry
Other 1%
Europe (w/o Germany)
44%
Germany 33%
North America 17%
Asia Pacific 7%
www.autonomous-driving-detroit.com
AUTOMOTIVE TECH.AD DETROIT 2015 November 16-17, 2015 | The Henry, Detroit, USA
EVENT ANNOUNCEMENT
www.autonomous-driving-detroit.com
AUTOMOTIVE TECH.AD DETROIT 2015 November 16-17, 2015 | The Henry, Detroit, USA
The Automotive Tech.AD Detroit will be taking place on December 01-02, 2016 in Detroit, USA.
The event tackles the latest challenges and solutions in autonomous driving concepts, strategic
roadmaps, new systems and technologies for automated driving and HMI considerations.
Benchmark and discuss the most pressing industry tasks, cutting-edge technologies and new
mobility concepts with more than 200 senior level executives and leading professionals from the
global automotive industry.
Key topics for 2016:
• The big hurdle: Legal and liability aspects of autonomous driving
• HMI challenges – explore the changing role of the driver and the implications on HMI
• Defining the roadmap from assisted to automated driving
• Autonomy versus cooperation: The impact of communication on automated driving
• Painting the whole picture of vehicle automation
• Architecture needs for automated driving
• The long-term vision for autonomous driving
• Safety & security aspects for ADAS and automated driving
For further information about the programme, speakers and to register for the event visit:
http://autonomous-driving-detroit.com
Tech.AD Detroit 2016
www.autonomous-driving-detroit.com
AUTOMOTIVE TECH.AD DETROIT 2015 November 16-17, 2015 | The Henry, Detroit, USA
Publisher
we.CONECT Global Leaders GmbH
Reichenberger Str. 124
10999 Berlin
+49 (0)30 52 10 70 3 0
Managing Directors
Daniel Wolter
Henry Fuchs
Project Management
Klaudia Malowitz
Marketing Management
Christina Fricke
Stay up to date with trends and developments in the
automotive industry and visit us at one of our
automotive events worldwide.
April 25-26, 2016 June 20-21, 2016
Imprint
www.car-hmi-usa.com www.car-hmi.com
December 01-02, 2016
www.autonomous-driving-detroit.com
SURVEY REPORT 2015
l Autonomous Driving Scenarios l Legal and Liability Aspects of Autonomous
Driving l HMI Challenges l Urban Mobility Towards 2020 l The Whole Picture
of Automated Driving l The Safety / Availability Trade-off in Autonomous
Driving l Vehicle-to-Vehicle (V2V) and Vehicle-to-Infrastructure (V2I) l
Autonomous Systems for Off-Highway and Agriculture Applications l