survey of macedonian public opinion - iridetailed methodology • the survey was conducted on behalf...
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Survey of MacedonianPublic Opinion
April 19-25, 2016
Detailed Methodology• The survey was conducted on behalf of the International Republican Institute by the Brima market research
firm (member of Taylor Nelson Sofres and Gallup International) in cooperation with Chariot LLC in San
Francisco, California.
• Data was collected from April 19 to 25, 2016, using in-person, face-to-face methodology by trained
professional interviewers.
• A total of 1,104 interviews were completed, yielding an overall margin of error of plus or minus three
percent at the midrange of the 95-percent confidence level. A nationally representative sample was based
on a multistage stratification proportionate to population sample distribution, with a random selection of
households and respondents. The response rate was 75 percent.
• The sample was prepared using the State Statistical Office data (2002 census results) for the population aged
18 and older. It also considered the structure of the population according to age, gender, education, type of
housing, national affiliation and region while updating accordingly to estimates and primary information,
collected by Brima.
• Stratification was based on three stages: first, the number of respondents for each of region was specified in
proportion to the size of its population aged 18 and older. Second, the sampling plan consisted of 163
sampling points located according to urban/rural split, municipality size and nationality diffusion. Third, the
selection of households was based on a random route method, whereby in urban areas, every third
household on the left-hand side of the street was selected. In rural areas, the wave-wise approach was
applied to select every fourth inhabited house/dwelling on both sides of the interviewer’s route/track,
counting from the first house on the left.
• The next birthday method was used to select respondents 18 years and older.
• Figures in charts and tables may not add to 100 percent due to rounding error.
• This poll was conducted with support from the United States Agency for International Development.
The Political Situation in Macedonia
How would you describe the current internal political situation in Macedonia?
4
23%
44% 53% 54%
51%
56%
44%
28%
48%
42%
40% 39%
44%
39%42%
15%
29%
19%
5%
61%
43% 36% 36%
38%35%
43%
55%
41% 43%
45% 45%
41%
46%43%
61%
51%
59%
55%
13%
10%8%
7% 7% 6%10%
15%
9%13% 13% 12%
9%12% 12%
23%
16% 19%
38%
3% 3% 4% 3% 4%
3%
3% 2% 2%3% 3% 4%
6%4% 4% 2%
4%3%
2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Peaceful and Stable Intense and UncertainCritical and Unstable Don't Know/Refused to Answer
Is the Republic of Macedonia more or less stable today than it was one year ago?
5
21%
26%
33%30%
24%21% 22%
27%25%
14%
19%
18%
21%23% 22%
18% 16%
5%
18%15%
5%
35%
25% 17%23%
24%
17% 19% 18%20%
43%
26%29% 28%
33%
27%31%
31%
58%
42%
47%
67%
43%46% 47% 46%
51%
60%58%
54% 54%
42%
54%53%
50%
43%45%
47%51%
35%38%
35%
25%
1% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3%5% 4% 2% 2% 3% 3%
3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
More Less Same Don't Know/Refused to Answer
Overall, is Macedonia moving in the right or wrong direction?
6
28%
38%34%
32%
25% 24%26%
29%31%
23%19%
22%
27%
31%
39%
36%
29%
23%24%
28%
20%
33%
28%
31%
33%36%
38%40%
29%
32%
45%43%
48%
44%41%
33%
39% 39%
48% 48%
46%
58%
37%
32%33%
33%38%
36% 32%
40%
35%
31%
36%
30%
27%
26%27%
24%
31%
28% 26%
24%
21%
1% 2% 3% 2% 1%3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1%
2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1%2% 3% 2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Right Direction Wrong Direction Neutral Don't Know/Refused to Answer
In your opinion, what are the two most serious problems facing Macedonia today?(Open-Ended)
1%
2%
2%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
10%
12%
13%
12%
17%
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
3%
3%
5%
7%
10%
26%
27%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Security crisis, peace, stability,war, terrorism
Law and order, rule of law
Poor performance of the currentgovernment
The current protests
Immigration/youth
High prices
Crime
Corruption
Low or non-payment of salary orpension
Economic crisis and financial crisis
Poverty, low standard of living,problems of common people
General/current politicalsituation/the political crisis
Unemployment
First Mention Second Mention
6%
44%
38%
23%
19%
14%
9%
8%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
7
Do you support or do not support President Ivanov’s decision to pardon all politicians and their associates against whom there are judicial investigations in regards to the political
crisis and the wiretapping?
8
9%
14%
11%
53%
12%
I completely support it
I somewhat support it
I somewhat do not support it
I completely do not support it
Don't know/Refused to answer
Should the politicians who were pardoned by the President about deeds connected to the political crisis and the
wiretapping be eligible or not be eligible to be candidates for MPs in the upcoming parliamentary elections?
9
12%
70%
18%Yes, they should be eligible
No, they should not beeligible
Don't know/Refused to answer
A special public prosecutor, Katica Janeva, was appointed to investigate cases connected to the wiretapped conversations mentioned previously. Do you think that Ms. Janeva will be able to investigate these cases independently and without
obstruction?
10
33%
28%
22%
18%
27%
44%
13%
17%
38%35%
7%
20%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Yes No I have not heard ofthis appointment
Don’t know/Refused to answer
October 2015 January 2016 April 2016
Do you support the work of the Special Public Prosecutor for the resolution of the wiretapping
scandal?
11
42%
21%
9%
17%
12%
I completely support it
I somewhat support it
I somewhat do not support it
I completely do not support it
Don't know/Refused to answer
Some people think that the conditions for free and fair elections in Macedonia(including cleaning the voter list, increasing the capacity of the State ElectionCommission, and establishing regulations reducing political interference in themedia) have been met and because of this elections should take place on June 5;while others think that these conditions have not been met and because of this theelections should be postponed until the conditions are fulfilled.Which is closer to your opinion?
12
45%
39%
16%
47%
38%
15%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Elections should take place onJune 5
Elections should be postponed Don't know/Refused to answer
January 2016 April 2016
Note: Data taken for January 2016 relates to proposed April 24, 2016 election date.
How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next elections expected on June 5, 2016?*
13
52%
22%
8% 7%5% 6%
39%
19%
9%11% 10%
12%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhatunlikely
Very unlikely Would not vote Don't know/Refused to
answer
January 2016 April 2016
* In January, the question was phrased “How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next elections expected on April 24, 2016?”
How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next elections expected on June 5, 2016?
31%
40%
46%
22%
18%
16%
7%
11%
8%
8%
12%
13%
16%
8%
7%
16%
11%
10%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Age 18-34
Age 35-54
Age 55+
Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely
Very unlikely Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer
14
Do you think there are conditions in the country to hold free and fair elections?
63%
59%
48%
30%
35%
45%
7%
6%
7%
October 2015
January 2016
April 2016
Definitely Yes / Probably Yes Definitely No / Probably No Don't know
15
As you may know, a credible voter list should contain all eligible voters in the country and not have any ineligible or
duplicate voters in it. How confident are you in the accuracy of the voter list in Macedonia?
16
17%
29%
21%
24%
9%
12%
31%
27%
17%
13%15%
26%
23%
26%
10%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
I am veryconfident
I am somewhatconfident
I am not thatconfident
I am notconfident at all
Don’t know/Refused to
answer
October 2015 January 2016 April 2016
Do you think that state institutions are capable of sufficiently addressing any irregularities, should they
occur, on Election Day?
17
39%
35%
17%
10%
40%
33%
18%
9%
38%
32%
21%
9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Yes, they are capable No, they are notsufficiently capable
No, they are notcapable at all
Don't know
October 2015 January 2016 April 2016
What institution do you think is most responsible to ensure the elections will be free, democratic and with no
irregularities?
18
33%
25%
20%
11%
2%
11%
51%
13%
17%
7%
2%
10%
43%
17% 18%
9%
2%
11%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
State ElectionCommission
Ministry ofInternal
Affairs/Police
TheGovernment
Political Parties The Judiciary Don’t know/Refused to
answer
October 2015 January 2016 April 2016
To what degree did you trust the following according to their actions in the last 12 months?
19
16%
20%
20%
21%
23%
25%
26%
27%
27%
30%
33%
49%
52%
43%
52%
54%
46%
44%
53%
43%
52%
40%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Political Parties
State Commissionfor Prevention of Corruption
Media
Courts
The Assembly
Public Prosecution
State Election Commission
The Government
Ministries
The President
Special Public Prosecution
I Trust Them/I Fully Trust Them
I Have No Trust/I Have No Trust at All
Do you believe that your vote on Election Day is secret?
20
69%
39%
66%71%
62%66%
61%
23%
49%
27%
22%
31%
23%
28%
8%13%
7% 7% 7%11%
11%
Feb-14 May-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Oct-15 Jan-16 Apr-16
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Yes No Don't Know/Refused to Answer
Who do you think violates the secrecy of your vote?
Those who think that their vote on election day is not secret, n=309
21
19%
1%
6%
1%
6%
6%
19%
43%
20%
2%
8%
0%
5%
1%
12%
12%
39%
18%
0%
3%
1%
7%
1%
17%
15%
38%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Don't Know/Refused to Answer
The Police
State Election Commission
DPA
DUI
SDSM
VMRO-DPMNE
The Government
Political Parties, All of Them
April-16
January-16
October-15
Have you or has a member of your family, relative or someone you know personally ever been subject to pressure, such as force, threats,
vote-buying or other illegal means, to vote in a particular way?
22
18%
3%
72%
7%
17%
5%
75%
3%
15%
7%
72%
7%
18%
4%
74%
4%
24%
5%
67%
5%
19%
5%
71%
5%
24%
4%
67%
5%
19%
3%
70%
8%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
I Personally Know PeopleWho Were Subjected to
Pressure
I Was PersonallySubjected to Pressure
I Was Neither Subjectedto Pressure nor Know
People Who Were
Don't Know/Refused to Answer
February 2014 May 2014 September 2014 December 2014
June 2015 October 2015 January 2016 April 2016
In Feb. 2014 responses refer to 2011, 2013 and 2014 elections. In May 2014 responses refer to 2014 elections
Has Nikola Gruevski done his job well enough to deserve re-election?
59%
61%
54%
56%
54%
66%
61% 61%
51%
45%47%
45%43%42%
39%
36%
39%41%
44%
40%
37%
32%
35%38%
33%
23%
24%
30%
27%
33%
22%
27%
25%
38%
40% 39%
31%
40%
48%48%
53%
44%46%
38%
45%48%
55%
52%
47%
55%
18%15% 16%
17%
14%
12%
12%
15%
11%
15%
14%
23% 17%
11%
13%
11%
17%
13%
18%15%
15%
13%
13%
15%
13%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Yes No Don't Know/Refused to Answer
23
Euro Atlantic Orientation Prevails
How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statements?
Macedonia’s interests are best served by maintaining strong relations with:
25
16%
24%
29%
26%
33%
39%
30%
29%
29%
37%
37%
34%
14%
12%
14%
12%
9%
9%
23%
23%
17%
12%
10%
9%
17%
13%
11%
13%
11%
9%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
China
Russia
America
Turkey
Germany
European Union
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don't know
According to you, which one of these countries helps Macedonia’s national interests the most?
26
13%
5%
19%
1%
7%
10%
11%
12%
22%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Don't know
All of them
Neither
China
Germany
United States of America
Russia
Turkey
European Union
Do you support Macedonia becoming a member of the EU?
27
96%94% 93% 92%
95%93%
96%94% 92% 90%
87%84%
76%72% 72%
76%80%
72% 72% 71%
3% 4% 5% 7%4%
6%4%
6%7% 9% 9%
12%
19% 20%23%
20%
14%
22% 22% 23%
1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%4% 4% 6%
8%5% 4%
6%6%
6%7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Yes No Don't Know/Refused to Answer
In how many years do you think Macedonia will become a member of the EU?
28
17%
18%
25%
23%
18%
16%
17%
21%
25%
21%
14%
18%
27%
25%
16%
Don't KnowNo Answer
Never
More Than10
6-10
1-5
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
October 2015 January 2016 April 2016
1-5 years
6-10 years
More Than 10 years
Never
Don't Know/
Refused to Answer
Do you think Macedonia is closer to EU entry today, or was it closer when it got its EU candidate member
status?
29
32%
39%
32%28%
21%25% 24%
18%
45%
34%
43% 44%
51% 50% 50%
56%
23%
27%25%
28%
28%26% 26% 26%
Feb-14 May-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Apr-16
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Closer Today
When It Got the Status of EU Candidate Country
Don't Know/Refused to Answer
According to you, what is the reason for the slowdown in Macedonia’s EU integration?
30
3%
11%
17%
28%
41%
2%
9%
15%
27%
47%
0%
9%
15%
28%
45%
2%
11%
16%
23%
48%
Other
Don't Know/Refused to
Answer
New ConditionsSet by the EU
Lack ofDomesticReforms
The NameIssue
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
June 2015 October 2015 January 2016 April 2016
Do you support Macedonia becoming a member of NATO?
31
92%90% 90% 89%
94% 92%94%
91%89% 89%
91%87%
85%
78% 77%
83% 83%
74%76%
73%
5%8% 8% 9%
6% 7%5%
8%10% 10%
6%9%
11%
16% 15%13% 12%
19% 18%20%
3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1%1% 2%
2%3%
4% 4% 6% 7%4% 5%
7% 7% 8%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Yes No Don't Know/Refused to Answer
Given its capacities, how do you feel the Macedonian government has handled the refugee crisis?
32
11%
5%
14%
9%
35%
27%
5%
4%
16%
10%
37%
28%
12%
7%
16%
11%
34%
21%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Refuse to answer/Don't know
I am not aware of the current refugee crisis
It is not providing sufficient support to therefugees
It is providing some support, but needs to domore for the refugees
It is providing sufficient support to the refugees
It is providing too much support to the refugees
October 2015 January 2016 April 2016
In your opinion, how is the European Union’s handling of the refugee crisis affecting Macedonia?
33
16%
46%
21%
17%
10%
59%
18%
13%10%
54%
19%17%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Positively Negatively It Has No Effect Don't know/Refused to answer
October 2015 January 2016 April 2016
Citizens’ Everyday Concerns and Economic Issues
Speaking personally, is your overall quality of life…?
35
19%22%
20%
19%
15%13%
16% 16%14%
17%
13%15%
13%
17%15%
13% 12%11%
14%
18%
13%
49%
54% 53%
48%50% 49% 48%
50%48%
45%47% 47% 48%
51%53%
47%
53% 52%50%
45% 44%
31%
24%26%
32%35%
37% 36%
33%
37%
38%
40%
37%
39%
31% 32%
38%
34%
37%
36% 37%
42%
1% 0% <1% 1% 0% 1% <1% 1% <1% 0% 0% <1% 1% 0% 1% <1% 0% <1% 1% 1% 1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Getting Better Staying the Same Getting Worse Don't Know/Refused to Answer
How is your family’s economic situation compared with one year ago?
36
20%
18%20% 21%
16%
12%14%
16%
13% 13%11%
14% 13% 14%15% 16%
14% 13% 14%
20%
15%
33%
32% 32%
35%42%
44% 43%41%
42%
45% 46%
42%
44%
34%32%
30%
32%
35%
33%
35%
35%
45%
50%48%
44%42%
44%43% 44%
45%
43% 43%
44%
43%
51%53% 54% 54%
51%
52%
45%
50%
1% <1%<1% 0% 0% 0% <1% 0% 0% 0% <1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Much or Somewhat Better Much or Somewhat Worse
Same Don't Know/Refused to Answer
In the next two years, will the Macedonian economy get better, get worse or stay the same?
37
38%
50%
43%
33%
29%
31%30%31%
34%
29%
23% 28%
25% 25% 26%21%
23%
19% 20%
26%
21%
35%
29%
36%
29%
30%
29%30%
37%
30%32%
36%
34%
34%
40% 40%
44%43% 43%
39%
33%
32%
19%
15%15%
31%
37%35% 35%
28% 30%
35%37%
33%
35%
30%29% 29% 29% 29%
33%
32%
35%
9%
6%
6% 7%4% 5% 5% 4%
5%4% 4% 4%
6%5% 6%
7%5%
9% 9%10%
11%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Better Same Worse Don't Know/Refused to Answer
In your opinion, has unemployment increased or decreased over the last year?
38
58%54%
50%53%
61%
71%
76%75%
72%
71%74%75%
71%67%
52%
44%46%
55%
50%46%
49%
44%
30%
38% 37%34%
29%23%
17%19%21% 21%
19%19%24%
27%39%
43%42%
35%39%
45% 41%41%
12%8%
13% 13%10%
6% 7% 7% 7% 8% 7% 5% 6% 7%9%
13% 12%10% 11% 9% 10%
7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Increased Decreased Don't Know/Refused to Answer
According to you, does the government have an effective plan to address the economic problems
Macedonia is facing?
39
41% 40% 38% 38% 38%34%
32%
37% 36% 37%
45%
34%
38%
33% 32%
36%33%
42%
46%49% 49% 49%
56%59%
56%
51% 50%
42%
52%50%
58% 57%
53% 54%
18%14%
13% 13% 13%
10% 10%8%
13% 12% 13% 14% 12%9%
11% 11%
12%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Yes No Don't Know/Refused to Answer
How would you place your views on this scale?
1 means you agree completely with the statement on the left; 7 means you agree completely with the statement on the right; and if your views fall somewhere in between, you can choose any number in
between.
40
21% 24% 51% 4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Support more foreign
investments and
companies (1+2+3)
Don’t
know
In between
(4)
Support more domestic
investments and companies (5+6+7)
Using the scale in Macedonian schools, from one to five (one being the least important and five being the most
important), how important are each of these issues in your daily life?
41
3.8
4.6 4.64.8 4.8 4.7 4.8
4.5
3.7
4.7 4.7 4.6 4.74.8 4.8 4.8
3.7
4.7 4.7 4.6 4.64.8 4.8 4.8
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
EUMembership
PoliticalStability
ReducingCorruption
LowerTaxes
Employment LowerPrices
Security HigherWages
October 2015 January 2016 April 2016
For some people some types of personal security are more important than others. How important is each of
the following types of personal security to you?
42
54%
73%
88%
96%
97%
12%
4%
4%
3%
2%
33%
22%
7%
1%
1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Social Aid
Job Security
PensionInsurance
Physical Security
Health Insurance
Very Important/Important Very Unimportant/Unimportant Not applicable
Regardless of how you answered the previous question, can you tell me if the security of each of the following is getting worse, is the same, or is getting better for
you personally?
43
5%
7%
10%
13%
15%
27%
39%
57%
47%
57%
19%
23%
30%
23%
25%
40%
26%
2%
13%
1%
8%
4%
2%
4%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Social Aid
Job Security
Physical Security
Pension Insurance
Health Insurance
Better Same Worse Not Applicable Don't know
When was life better for you, today or before the breakup of Yugoslavia?
44
19%22% 20% 21% 21% 21% 22% 22% 22% 23% 22%
27%24%
21%24%
26%24%
22%24%
70%67%
70% 68% 69%67%
70%68% 70%
67%69%
64% 64% 63%60% 60%
62%64%
57%
12%12% 10% 11% 9%12%
8%10% 8% 10% 9% 9%
12%
16% 16%14% 14% 14%
18%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Today Before breakup Don't Know/Refused to Answer
If you could have only one or the other, which is more important to you: a democratic system of government
or a prosperous economy?
45
38%
15%16%
22%
9%
41%
14% 15%
25%
6%
28%
13%
20%
32%
7%
33%
14%
21%
27%
6%
32%
15%
18%
27%
7%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Democracy isDefinitely MoreImportant to Me
Democracy isSomewhat MoreImportant to Me
Prosperity isSomewhat MoreImportant to Me
Prosperity isDefinitely MoreImportant to Me
Don't Know/Refused to Answer
December 2014 June 2015 October 2015 January 2016 April 2016
Do you think that free speech and the free expression of ideas exists in Macedonia today?
46
48%49%
48% 48%
42%
45%
38%
44%46%
45%46% 47% 46%
43%
49%48%
55%
51%
48%51%
6%4%
6%9% 10%
7% 7%5% 6% 5%
Dec-10 Nov-12 Feb-14 May-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Apr-16
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Yes No Don't Know/Refused to Answer
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? “Politicians do not listen to the needs and ideas of
young people.”
47
69%
23%
8%
68%
24%
8%
63%
29%
7%
64%
29%
7%
60%
33%
7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Agree Disagree Don't Know/Refused to Answer
December 2014 June 2015 October 2015 January 2016 April 2016
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? “Politicians do not listen to the needs and ideas of
women.”
48
52%
36%
12%
50%
37%
14%
49%
39%
12%
49%
42%
9%
47%
39%
14%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Agree Disagree Don't Know/Refused to Answer
December 2014 June 2015 October 2015 January 2016 April 2016
If there are two candidates running for office and they have the same qualifications aside from the fact that one is a man and one is a woman, which candidate are you more likely to
support?
49
16%
23%
59%
2%
12%
19%
69%
1%
14%17%
66%
3%
12% 13%
73%
2%
9%
18%
72%
1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Man Woman Makes No Difference toMe
Don't Know/Refused to Answer
December 2014 June 2015 October 2015 January 2016 April 2016
Media
What is your primary source of political news?
51
90%
5%
12%15%
2%
19%
90%
4%
13%
18%
3%
23%
87%
7%
16%
23%
4%
23%
89%
8%12%
27%
4%
35%
88%
7%
13%
30%
5%
37%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Television Radio Print Media Family/Friends
Political Parties Internet/Web Pages
December 2014 June 2015 October 2015 January 2016 April 2016
Multiple Responses
Which television station do you watch most often for political news?
52
2%
3%
5%
6%
10%
12%
13%
23%
24%
1%
1%
5%
4%
8%
10%
14%
28%
22%
1%
2%
5%
6%
10%
13%
13%
20%
21%
MTV (Albanian Language)
Alfa
MTV (Macedonian Language)
Do Not Watch TV
Telma
24 Vesti
Kanal 5
SITEL
Alsat M
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
April 2016
January 2016
October 2015
Do the following TV stations favor or do not favor a particular political party?
53
2%
53%
7%
69%
47%
7%
3%
31%
1%
1%
18%
0%
2%
3% 19%
11%
23%
6%
15%
49%
31%
35%
22%
33%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Alsat-M
Kanal 5
Telma
Sitel
MTV
VMRO-DPMNE SDSM DUI DPA Not in favor of any party Don't know
Which daily newspaper do you read most often for political news?
54
1%
1%
2%
4%
4%
6%
7%
9%
63%
2%
2%
2%
3%
4%
4%
8%
8%
66%
1%
2%
1%
3%
4%
4%
7%
7%
67%
Nova Makedonija
Utrinski Vesnik
Vecer
Sloboden Pecat
Lajme
Vest
Dnevnik
Koha
Do Not Read Newspapers
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
April 2016
January 2016
October 2015
Which weekly newspaper do you read most often for political news?
55
1%
2%
5%
90%
1%
3%
5%
87%
1%
3%
5%
88%
1%
3%
5%
85%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Kapital
Republika
Fokus
Do Not Read Weekly Newspapers
April 2016
January 2016
October 2015
June 2015
To what level do you agree with the statement? “Government advertising in the media
negatively affects press freedom.”
56
15%
18%
22%
25%
26%
29%
14%
17%
21%
16%
18%
17%
36%
32%
26%
26%
23%
22%
11%
9%
10%
9%
10%
8%
11%
7%
8%
9%
11%
10%
13%
16%
14%
15%
12%
14%
May 2014
September 2014
December 2014
October 2015
January 2016
April 2016
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Completely Agree Somewhat Agree Neither Agree nor Disagree
Somewhat Disagree Completely Disagree Don't Know/Refused to Answer
Political Parties and Elections
To which political party do you belong or would you consider joining?
58
24%
12%
6%
4%
2%
4%
2%3%
16%
27%
23%
15%
6%
3%
1%
6%
2%
4%
18%
24%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
VMRO-DPMNE
SDSM DUI DPA NDR Other Undecided BESA Would NotJoin
NoAnswer/
Refused toAnswerJanuary 2016 April 2016
(If all parties participate), for which party would you vote if parliamentary elections were held today?
59
22%
31%
16%
4%
6%
2%
7%
3%
5%
7%
23%
27%
18%
3%
6%
1%
7%
4% 4%
9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
January 2016 April 2016
Which party, in your opinion, is most active in your village/town/city?
60
47%
7%
11%
2%
2%
2%
1%
14%
2%
13%
45%
6%
10%
2%
2%
2%
0%
15%
2%
17%
42%
9%
3%
1%
1%
1%
14%
3%
17%
45%
11%
9%
3%
1%
0%
13%
1%
15%
VMRO-DPMNE
SDSM
DUI
DPA
GROM
NDR
BESA
None
Other
Don't Know/Refused toAnswer
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
April 2016
January 2016
October 2015
June 2015
Which party, in your opinion, works the hardest to get your support?
61
30%
13%
6%
3%
2%
1%
28%
3%
14%
32%
9%
5%
3%
2%
1%
30%
3%
15%
27%
10%
2%
1%
2%
31%
3%
18%
27%
13%
7%
3%
1%
2%
33%
2%
11%
VMRO-DPMNE
SDSM
DUI
DPA
BESA
NDR
None
Other
Don't Know/Refused to Answer
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
June 2015 October 2015 January 2016 April 2016
62
Using the scale used in Macedonian schools, what grade would you give for the overall performance of … ?
2.17
1.87
2.73
1.79
1.91
2.12
1.87
2.36
1.74
2.54
1.6
1.9
1.992.04
2.21
2.29
1.65
2.58
1.57
1.84
2.021.92
1.87
2.16
1.79
2.7
1.77 1.8
1.95 2.021.98
2.26
1.72
2.48
1.66
1.82
1.961.89
1.84
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
SDSM DUI VMRO-DPMNE DPA NSDP DOM NDR BESA
December 2014 June 2015 October 2015 January 2016 April 2016
63
Using the scale used in Macedonian schools, what grade would you give for the overall performance of … ?
2.6
8
2.1
1
2.7
5
2.8
8
2.4
1 2.5
1
2.5
2
2.5
2.2
9
2.4
9 2.5
9
2.1
5
2.4
2.2
6
2.5
5
2.2
8
2.5
9 2.7
2.3
1
2.5
1
2.3
4
2.67
2.19
2.7
2.86
2.42
2.8
2.442.45
2.29
2.432.38
2.21
2.48
2.28
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3
Government Opposition (Former) PrimeMinister
President Parliament Media President ofParliament
December-14 June-15 October-15 January-16 April-16
64
When you think about people in public political life, who is the one person in Macedonia that you view most favorably?
(Open-Ended)
1%
2%
3%
1%
4%
4%
5%
18%
45%
1%
2%
2%
2%
4%
4%
8%
23%
35%
2%
1%
2%
2%
2%
4%
9%
21%
38%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
Zijadin Sela
Rufi Osmani
Branko Crvenkovski
Menduh Thaci
Gjorge Ivanov
Ali Ahmeti
Zoran Zaev
Nikola Gruevski
None
April 2016
January 2016
October 2015
34% 34% 33%
19%17%
12% 11% 11%
49%
-58% -55% -55% -54%
-64%
-72% -72%
-36% -37%
-24%-21% -22%
-35%
-47%
-61% -61%
-25%
12%
-75%
-55%
-35%
-15%
5%
25%
45%
Gjorge Ivanov
NikolaGruevski
ZoranZaev
LiljanaPopovska
TitoPetovski
AliAhmeti
MenduhThaci
BillalKasami
KaticaJaneva
65
I will read you a list of public figures in Macedonia. Please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorableopinion of that person. If you have never heard of that person please just say so…
66
Why do you support the party you vote for; is it because it can help you or your family personally or do you support it because you believe it is the best for the country as a whole?
6%
49%
10%
14%
21%
Because it can help me or my familypersonally
Because I believe it is the best for thecountry as a whole
Both at the same time
I do not vote
Don't know
67
Why do you support the party you vote for; is it because you identify with this party or do you support this party because you think they are the best choice for Macedonia right now?
7%
47%
11%
14%
22%
Because I identify with that party
Because I think that party is the best choiceright now
Both at the same time
I do not vote
Don't know
68
What do you consider to be the most important characteristic of a political leader?
Multiple responses
5%
13%
14%
14%
15%
22%
29%
34%
35%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Don't Know
Trustworthy
Hardworking
Consistent political views
Visionary
Qualified/Competent
Understands the problems of the people
Honest
Responsible/Fulfills promises
Demographics
Demographics
4%
1%
2%
3%
26%
64%
32%
36%
33%
50%
50%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Other
Serbian
Roma
Turkish
Albanian
Macedonian
55-65+
35-54
18-34
Male
FemaleETH
NIC
ITY
AG
EG
EN
DER
70
Demographics
24%
51%
21%
4%
29%
21%
21%
22%
7%
1%
23%
3%
9%
7%
9%
19%
23%
5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Higher Education/University
Secondary
Elementary
None/Incomplete Elementary
Don't know/Refused to Answer
27001 Denars or More
18001-27000 Denars
9001-18000 Denars
0-9000 Denars
Other
Blue Collar Worker
Agricultural
White Collar Worker
Professional
Housewife
Retired
Unemployed
Student
ED
UCATIO
NH
OU
SEH
OLD
IN
CO
ME
(MO
NTH
LY)
OCCU
PATIO
N
71