support system of virtual organization for flood forecasting

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Cracow Grid Workshop November 5-6 Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood Forecasting L. Hluchy, J. Astalos, V.D. Tran, M. Dobrucky and G.T. Nguyen Institute of Informatics Slovak Academy of Sciences in cooperation with Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute

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Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood Forecasting. L. Hluchy, J. Astalos, V.D. Tran, M. Dobrucky and G.T. Nguyen Institute of Informatics Slovak Academy of Sciences in cooperation with Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute. Flood Warning and Forecasting System. . - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood Forecasting

Cracow Grid Workshop November 5-6

Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood

Forecasting

Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood

ForecastingL. Hluchy, J. Astalos, V.D. Tran, M. Dobrucky and

G.T. NguyenInstitute of Informatics

Slovak Academy of Sciencesin cooperation with

Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute

Page 2: Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood Forecasting

Cracow Grid Workshop, November 5-6

Flood Warning and Forecasting SystemFlood Warning and Forecasting System

Data Collection Network

Data Transmission System HF Radios Telemetry Telecom System

Rainfall Runoff Models:NLC, HBVRiver Flow Models:NLN

Meteorological models:ALADIN/LACE ,ALADIN/SLOVAKIA

Meteorological and hydrological information and forecasts

System of attendance of clients

User of information, warning and forecasts

Page 3: Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood Forecasting

Cracow Grid Workshop, November 5-6

Vah River Pilot SiteVah River Pilot Site

Area: 19700km2, 1/3 of Slovak population

Page 4: Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood Forecasting

Cracow Grid Workshop, November 5-6

Meteorological modelsMeteorological models

ALADIN/LACE, ALADIN/SLOVAKIA – numerical weather prediction

system.MM5

– PSU/NCAR mesoscale model

Page 5: Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood Forecasting

Cracow Grid Workshop, November 5-6

Hydrological modelsHydrological models

NLC - Lumped rainfall-runoff model capable of modeling groundwater flow and direct runoff

HBV - Semi-distributed rainfall-runoff model

HSPF - U.S. EPA (Environmental Protection Agency) program for simulation of watershed hydrology and water quality

Page 6: Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood Forecasting

Cracow Grid Workshop, November 5-6

Hydraulic modelsHydraulic models

NLN - Lumped river system model based on the non-linear cascade concept

FESWMS-2DH - hydrodynamic modeling code that supports both super and subcritical flow analysis including area wetting and drying

RMA2 - two-dimensional depth averaged finite element hydrodynamic numerical model

Page 7: Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood Forecasting

Cracow Grid Workshop, November 5-6

Data needed for modelingData needed for modeling

Topographical data (cross-sections, orthophotomap, LIDAR)

Roughness conditionsHydrological dataWind dataBoundary dataCalibration and validation data

Page 8: Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood Forecasting

Cracow Grid Workshop, November 5-6

Geographical Information SystemsGeographical Information Systems

Handles all spatial databases Transparent connection to the models

• Generation of input files for the models• Storage of model outputs

Visualization of model results Impact estimation Enhanced analysis of the model

results

Page 9: Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood Forecasting

Cracow Grid Workshop, November 5-6

Geographical Information SystemsGeographical Information Systems

Scanned maps

Page 10: Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood Forecasting

Cracow Grid Workshop, November 5-6

Geographical Information SystemsGeographical Information Systems

Orthophotomap

Page 11: Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood Forecasting

Cracow Grid Workshop, November 5-6

Geographical Information SystemsGeographical Information Systems

Elevations

Page 12: Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood Forecasting

Cracow Grid Workshop, November 5-6

Mesh (for Finite element method)Mesh (for Finite element method)

Page 13: Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood Forecasting

Cracow Grid Workshop, November 5-6

Computer visionComputer vision

Page 14: Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood Forecasting

Cracow Grid Workshop, November 5-6

SMS/FESWMS modeling systemSMS/FESWMS modeling system

SMS (Surface-water Modeling System) is commercial software package for modeling surface water. It contains GUI for pre- and post-processing and several modeling modules

FESWMS (Finite Element Surface-Water Modeling System) is a hydrodynamic, depth averaged, free surface, finite element modeling module included in SMS package.

Page 15: Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood Forecasting

Cracow Grid Workshop, November 5-6

Experimental parametersExperimental parameters

Inflow: 1500 m3s-1 Steady state Number of elements: 13480 Number of nodes: 38229 Average distance between two

neighbor nodes: 10m Number of equations: 95500

Page 16: Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood Forecasting

Cracow Grid Workshop, November 5-6

Results: flow + water depthsResults: flow + water depths

Page 17: Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood Forecasting

Cracow Grid Workshop, November 5-6

Results: flow + water depthsResults: flow + water depths

Page 18: Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood Forecasting

Cracow Grid Workshop, November 5-6

Results: flow trace animationResults: flow trace animation

Page 19: Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood Forecasting

Cracow Grid Workshop, November 5-6

ComplexityComplexity

If the simulated area increases 2 times in every dimension (or the distances between two neighbor nodes decrease 2 times for better accuracy), then:

– Number of nodes increases 4 times (O(N2))– Number of equations increase 4 times (O(N2))– Length of fronts in FESWMS increases 2 times

(O(N))– Total memory requirement increases 8 times (O(N3))– Computation time increases 16 times

(O(N4)) !!!

For modeling and simulation of large areas, parallel implementation is necessary.

Page 20: Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood Forecasting

Cracow Grid Workshop, November 5-6

Parallelization approachParallelization approach

Pre-processing

Post-processing

Processing input data

Save solutions

Parallelcomputational

kernel

Rem

ote processing

Page 21: Support System of Virtual Organization for Flood Forecasting

Cracow Grid Workshop, November 5-6

Support System for Virtual Organisation

Support System for Virtual Organisation

Storage systems

databases

surface automatic meteorological and hydrological stations

systems for acquisition and processing of satellite information

meteorological radars

External sources of informationGlobal and regional centers GTSEUMETSAT and NOAAHydrological services of other countries

Data sources

meteorological models

hydrological models

hydraulic models

High performance computers

Grid infrastructure

Flood crisis teams meteorologistshydrologistshydraulic engineers

Users

river authoritiesenergyinsurance companiesnavigation

mediapublic