(super)systems and selection dynamics eörs szathmáry & mauro santos collegium budapesteötvös...

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(Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium Budapest Eötvös University Budapest

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Page 1: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

(Super)systems and selection dynamics

Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos

Collegium Budapest Eötvös University Budapest

Page 2: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

Haldane’s intellectual son: John Maynard Smith (1920-2004)

Page 3: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

Units of evolution

hereditary traits affecting survival and/or reproduction

1. multiplication

2. heredity

3. variation

Page 4: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

Parabolic replicators: survival of everybody

Szathmáry & Gladkih (1987)

Even a Lyapunov function could be proven:Varga & Szathmáry (1996) Bull. Math. Biol.

Page 5: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

Growth laws and selection consequences

Szathmáry (1989) Trend Ecol. Evol.

• Parabolic: p < 1 survival of everybody

• Exponential: p = 1 survival of the fittest

• Hyperbolic: p > 1 survival of the common

Page 6: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

Why would one do such a model?

Page 7: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

A crucial insight: Eigen’s paradox (1971)

• Early replication must have been error-prone

• Error threshold sets the limit of maximal genome size to <100 nucleotides

• Not enough for several genes• Unlinked genes will compete• Genome collapses• Resolution???

Page 8: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

Simplified error threshold

x + y = 1

Page 9: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

Molecular hypercycle (Eigen, 1971)

autocatalysis

heterocatalytic aid

Page 10: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

Parasites in the hypercycle (JMS)

parasite

short circuit

Page 11: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

The Lotka-Volterra equation

Page 12: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

The replicator equation

Page 13: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

Game dynamics

Page 14: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

Permanence

Page 15: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

“Hypercyles spring to life”…

• Cellular automaton simulation on a 2D surface

• Reaction-diffusion

• Emergence of mesoscopic structure

• Conducive to resistance against parasites

• Good-bye to the well-stirred flow reactor

Page 16: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

Mineral surfaces are a poor man’s form of compartmentation (?)

• A passive form of localisation (limited diffusion in 2D)

• Thermodynamic effect (when leaving group also leaves the surface)

• Kinetic effects: surface catalysis (cf. enzymes)• How general and diverse are these effects?• Good for polymerisation, not good for metabolism

(Orgel)• What about catalysis by the inner surface of the

bilayer (composomes)?

Page 17: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

Surface metabolism catalysed by replicators (Czárán & Szathmáry, 2000)

I1-I3: metabolic replicators(template and enzyme)

M: metabolism (not detailed)

P: parasite (only template)

M

I1

I2

I3

P

Page 18: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

Elements of the model• A cellular automaton model

simulating replication and dispersal in 2D

• ALL genes must be present in a limited METABOLIC neighbourhood for replication to occur

• Replication needs a template next door

• Replication probability proportional to rate constant (allowing for replication)

• Diffusion

X

i - 2 i - 1 i i + 1 i + 2

j -2

j - 1

j

j + 1

j + 2

S

Page 19: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

Robust conclusions• Protected polymorphism of competitive

replicators (cost of commonness and advantage of rarity)

• This does NOT depend on mesoscopic structures (such as spirals, etc.)

• Parasites cannot drive the system to extinction• Unless the neighbourhood is too large (approaches

a well-stirred system)• Parasites can evolve into metabolic replicators• System survives perturbation (e.g. when death

rates are different in adjacent cells), exactly because no mesocopic structure is needed.

Page 20: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

An interesting twist

• This system survives with arbitrary diffusion rates

• But metabolic neighbourhood size must remain small

• Why does excessive dispersal not ruin the system?

• Because it convergences to a trait-group model!

Page 21: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

The trait group model (Wilson, 1980)

Random dispersal

Harvest

Applied to early coexistence: Szathmáry (1992)

Mixed global pool

Mixed global pool

Page 22: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

Why does the trait group work?• It works only for cases when the “red hair

theorem” applies

• People with red hair overestimate the frequency of people with red hair, essentially because they know this about themselves

• “average subjective frequency”

• In short, molecules must be able to scratch their own back!

Page 23: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

Error rates and the origin of replicators

Page 24: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

Nature 420, 360-363 (2002).

Replicase RNA

Other RNA

Page 25: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

Increase in efficiency• Target efficiency:

the acceptance of help

• Replicase efficiency: how much help it gives

• Copying fidelity

• Trade-off among all three traits: worst case

The dynamics becomes interesting on the rocks!

Page 26: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

Evolving population

• Molecules interact with their neighbours• Have limited diffusion on the surface

Error rate Replicase activity

Page 27: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

The stochastic corrector model for compartmentalized genomes

Szathmáry, E. & Demeter L. (1987) Group selection of early replicators and the origin of life. J. theor Biol. 128, 463-486.

Grey, D., Hutson, V. & Szathmáry, E. (1995) A re-examination of the stochastic corrector model. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 262, 29-35.

Page 28: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

The stochastic corrector model (1986, ’87, ’95, 2002)

metabolic gene

replicase

membrane

Page 29: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

The mathematical model• Inside compartments, there are numbers rather

than concentrations• Stochastic kinetics was applied:• Master equations instead of rate equations: P’(n, t)

= ……. Probabilities• Coupling of two timescales: replicator dynamics

and compartment fission• A quasipecies at the compartment level appears• Characterized by gene composition rather than

sequence

Page 30: (Super)systems and selection dynamics Eörs Szathmáry & Mauro Santos Collegium BudapestEötvös University Budapest

Dynamics of the SC model• Independently reassorting genes (ribozymes

in compartments)• Selection for optimal gene composition

between compartments• Competition among genes within the same

compartment• Stochasticity in replication and fission

generates variation on which natural selection acts

• A stationary compartment population emerges