sunrise senior living nyse: srz

23
Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ April 1, 2008 Caitlin Bizzoto Ben Hier Jeremy Smith

Upload: harrison-mcintyre

Post on 16-Mar-2016

40 views

Category:

Documents


4 download

DESCRIPTION

Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ. April 1, 2008 Caitlin Bizzoto Ben Hier Jeremy Smith. Sunrise Senior Living. Agenda. Economic Overview Company & Industry Overview Accounting & Valuation Recommendation. Economic Overview. Tightening lending standards - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ

Sunrise Senior LivingNYSE: SRZ

April 1, 2008

Caitlin BizzotoBen Hier

Jeremy Smith

Page 2: Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ

Sunrise Senior Living Stock Price $22.28

Market Cap $1.12B

2006 EPS $0.40

2007 EPS TBD

P/E 55.7

Page 3: Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ

Agenda Economic Overview

Company & Industry Overview

Accounting & Valuation

Recommendation

Page 4: Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ

Economic Overview Tightening lending standards

Homeowners unwilling to sell at depressed prices

Housing market significantly affects SRZ

Slower GDP growth expected

Page 5: Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ

Economic Overview

Page 6: Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ

RCMP Transaction History1. Purchased 600 Shares @ $37.00

a. On May 1, 2006b. Total Investment of $22,200

2. Sold 300 Shares @ $32.06a. On November 27, 2007b. $1482 Loss on sale of 300 shares

Page 7: Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ

Company Overview Provide Senior Living Services

Independent Living Environment around peers with housekeeping, meals and activities Minimal reliance on assistance of activities

Assisted Living Seniors who need housing and daily support activities Alzheimer’s care and other memory loss patients

Nursing, and Rehabilitation 24/7 specialized care to help seniors following injuries

Hospice services End of life care and support services for terminally ill

Page 8: Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ

Company Overview Cont. Sunrise Revenues

1. Management Feesa. 5-30 year contracts to operate communities

2. Resident Feesa. Owned properties

3. Development and Pre-Opening Feesa. Communities under construction

4. Income from communities with ownership interest a. Ventures with SRZ

5. Sale of communities 6. Fees for hospice service

Page 9: Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ

Senior Living Services Three main components

Independent Living: Living communities with limited assistance. Assisted Living: Housing and supportive care Skilled Nursing: 24/7 rehab nursing services

Baby Boomers (1946-1964, 76 million) 44-62 Years of Age today, leaning toward the latter 67 years of age is the average age of full retirement

2/12/2008 Kathleen Casey-Kirschling (1st Boomer) receives S.S. retirement benefit

Over next 20 years 10,000 per day will begin receiving benefits Outlook is extremely bright

Large numbers of wealthy boomers poised to help fuel industry for decades

1. http://www.socialsecurity.gov/retire2/agereduction.htm

Page 10: Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ

Current Management Paul Klaassen – Founder and CEO

Teresa Klaassen – Founder and Chief Cultural Officer

Richard Nadeau – CFO

Tiffany Tomasso – Chief Operating Officer

John Gaul – General Counsel

Michael Lanahan – Chairman Greystone Division

Mark Ordan – Chief Investment and Administrative Officer

Julie Pangelinan – Interim CFO 2006 to 2007; Current Chief Accounting Officer

Page 11: Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ

Management Changes Thomas Newell – President from 2000 to 2007

Larry Hulse – CFO from 2000 to 2005

Carl Adams – Chief Accounting Officer 2000 to 2004 and Treasurer 2005 to 2007

Previous three executives were fired in 2007 after evidence of inappropriate accounting was found. The inappropriate actions took place between the third quarter of 2003 and the end of 2005.

Page 12: Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ

Board of Directors Lynn Krominga – Chair Board of Directors Paul Klaassen – Founder and CEO Teresa Klaassen – Founder, CCO, Executive Vice President and

Secretary Ronald Aprahamin – Business Consultant Craig Callen Thomas Donohue – President and CEO of the U.S. Chamber of

Commerce Stephen Harlan – Partner, Harlan Enterprises LLC J. Douglas Holladay – General Partner in Park Avenue Equity

Partners, LP and the Thornton Group, LLC William Little – President and CEO of the Quam-Nichols Company

Page 13: Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ

Board of Directors Lynn Krominga was appointed Chair in 2007 after

the company was required to extend the number of board members from 8 to 9

Shareholders approved a nonbinding resolution which states that the board of directors will be reelected every year instead of every three years

22% of shareholders did not support Paul Klaassen’s reelection to the board. He currently holds 10.5% of the company’s stock.

Page 14: Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ

Millennium Partners, LP Hedge Fund which owns 2.5% of the shares

In May of 2007 sent a letter to the Board of Directors and called for the replacement of top management or sale of the company

Three issues to be addressed: Sell or merge the company Restructure the company so that the different aspects of

business can be more easily valued and appraised Recruit new management that is capable of running a

company efficiently

Page 15: Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ

Rumors of Sale In July 2007 the Board of Directors in a press

release said the they were looking to “explore strategic alternatives intended to enhance shareholder value”

Mark Ordan was recently hired for his experience in selling companies. He founded Fresh Fields Markets which was sold to

Whole Foods Market. Was later the CEO of the Mills Corporation which was

sold to Simon Property Group & Farallon in May of 2007 Current CFO Richard Nadeau was the CFO of the Mills

Corporation and worked under Mark Ordan

Page 16: Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ

Accounting Restatements Real estate sales Cost of real estate projects Equity method investments with preferences Stock based compensation Revenue recognition for Greystone contracts Reimbursed expenses Other adjustments

Page 17: Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ

Liquidity “Our Bank Credit Facility requires us

not to exceed certain leverage ratios, to maintain certain fixed charge coverage ratios and to have a consolidated net worth of at least $450 million as adjusted each quarter and to meet other financial ratios”

“We cannot give any assurance that we or our ventures will generate sufficient cash flow from operations to cover required interest, principal, & operating lease payments.”

“We estimate that it will cost us or the applicable development ventures approximately $1.0 to $1.5 BILLION in debt and equity to develop the remaining communities in our 2008 development plan. Additional financing will be required…”

Market Capitalization $1.13 Billion (3/31/08)

Balance Sheet Debt $253.7M (12/31/07)

Venture Debt Guarantees $2.4 Billion (12/31/06)

Future Minimum Lease Payments

$508.6M (12/31/06)

Unrestricted Cash & Equivalents (Unaudited)

$150M (12/31/07)

Available Borrowing Capacity Under Credit Facility

$23.6M (2/28/08)

Page 18: Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ

Operating Margin

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Reported 22.08% 9.56% 4.86% 5.84% N/A

Restated 0.64% -0.52% -0.76% 2.73% -3.92%

Page 19: Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ

Ratio Reported Restated Impact

Fixed Charge Coverage

1.53 0.63 Negative

D/E 0.37 0.52 Negative

Current Ratio

1.31 1.38 Positive

$554M In Unreported Liabilities

2004 Balance Sheet Adjustments

Page 20: Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ

Ratio Reported Restated

Impact

Fixed Charge Coverage

2.98 1.47 Negative

D/E 0.32 0.50 Negative

Current Ratio

1.22 1.16 Negative

$391M In Unreported Liabilities

2005 Balance Sheet Adjustments

Page 21: Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ

2005 Upward Revision Misleading 2005: Ex-RE gain add stock option expense: Net Loss ($0.07)

2004: Add stock option expense: Net Loss ($0.17)

Page 22: Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ

DCFBeta 1.2

Rf 3.47%

Rm-Rf 8.53%

Re 13.71%

Rd 7.24%

   

Debt $253,700

Equity $1,136,680

Total Value $1,390,380

G 5.00%

Tax Rate 35.00%

Debt/Total Value 18.25%

Equity/Total Value 81.75%

WACC 12.06%

DCF Fair Value: $16+/- 10%: Between $18 and $15Current Price: $22Sell!!!

Page 23: Sunrise Senior Living NYSE: SRZ

Recommendation Sell Remaining 300 Shares at The Market

Significant Financial Reporting & Internal Control Risk

Excessive Off-Balance Liabilities

Bleak Housing Forecast

CEO’s Leadership Ability Remains Questionable at Best

Overvalued - Further Downside Risk Remains