Sunday, September 6, 2020

8:30 a.m. ET

National Current Operations and Monitoring

Significant Incidents or Threats:

• Severe Thunderstorms, Heavy Rain & Flash Flooding possible – Upper Mississippi Valley

• Critical Fire Weather - ID, WY, UT, CO, SD, and NE

• Wildfires

• Tropical Cyclone Laura – Response / Recovery

• COVID-19

Tropical Activity:

• Atlantic:

o Post-Tropical Cyclone Omar (FINAL)

o Disturbance 1: High (90%)

o Disturbance 2: High (80%)

o Disturbance 3: Low (10%)

o Disturbance 4: Low (20%)

• Eastern Pacific:

o Tropical Storm Julio

• Central Pacific: No new tropical cyclones expected during the next five days

• Western Pacific: No activity affecting U.S. interests

Declaration Activity:

• Amendment No. 4 to FEMA-4559-DR-LA

• FMAG Approved – Bridger Foothills Fire, MT

• FMAG Approved – 316 Fire, WY

Tropical Outlook –AtlanticPost-Tropical Cyclone Omar (FINAL) (Advisory #21 as of 5:00 p.m. ET)

• 610 miles NE of Bermuda

• Moving N at 10 mph

• Maximum sustained winds 35 mph

• Last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center for this system

Disturbance 1 (Invest 92L) (as of 2:00 a.m. ET)

• Midway between the west coast of Africa and the Leeward Islands

• Gradual development expected; tropical depression likely to form in the next day or so

• 48-hour Formation chance: High (90%)

• 5-day Formation chance: High (90%)

Disturbance 2 (as of 2:00 a.m. ET)

• Just off the coast of west Africa

• Gradual development expected; tropical depression likely to form by the middle of the week

• 48-hour Formation chance: Medium (50%)

• 5-day Formation chance: High (80%)

Disturbance 3 (as of 2:00 a.m. ET)

• Over the central Caribbean Sea

• Development, if any, should be slow to occur during the next day or two

• 48-hour Formation chance: Low (10%)

• 5-day Formation chance: Low (10%)

Disturbance 4 (as of 2:00 a.m. ET)

• A couple hundred miles southeast of Bermuda

• Environmental conditions marginally conducive for development during the next several days

• 48-hour Formation chance: Low (10%)

• 5-day Formation chance: Low (10%)

2

(80%)

3

(10%) 1(90%)

4

(20%)

Tropical Outlook – Eastern Pacific

Tropical Storm Julio (Advisory #3 as of 5:00 a.m. ET)

• 150 miles SW of Manzanillo, Mexico

• Moving WNW at 18 mph

• Maximum sustained winds 45 mph

• Tropical-storm-force winds extend up to 35 miles

• Some slight strengthening possible through tonight

• Weakening should begin tomorrow; forecast to dissipate

within 72 hours

Tropical Outlook – Central Pacific

COVID-19 Update Situation: Upward trajectory in COVID-19 case count continues

across 21 states/territories, with 11 states/territories in a plateau

status, and 24 states/territories on a downward trajectory. 17,577

Federal employees deployed / activated; 1,728 FEMA employees

deployed. (COVID-19 SLB, as of Sep 4)

Nationwide Testing: 89,362,165 cumulative (as of Sep 4)

COVID-19 positive cases continue to increase globally (CDC COVID-19 update as of Sep 5)

• Confirmed Cases of COVID-19

o United States: 6,181,474 (+49,400)

o Worldwide: 26,468,031 (+296, 032)

• Deaths caused by COVID-19

o United States: 187,163 (+990)

o Worldwide: 871,166 (+6,027)

Response:

• NRCC conducting COVID Response Operations

• Regions I, II, III, V, VI, & X RRCCs at Level III

• Regions IV, VII, VIII, & IX RRCCs are rostered

• Regions VII, VIII, & IX COVID-19 working from the Virtual JFO

• NWC, all RWCs, and MOCs are monitoring

Tropical Cyclone Laura – Response / Recovery

Situation: Restoration of power and water/wastewater infrastructure, sheltering, support to

healthcare facilities, and debris removal remain critical priorities. Source: FEMA-4559-DR-LA SLB as of 11:00 a.m. ET, Sep 5

Food, Water, Shelter:

LA:

• 12,236 (+409) occupants in congregate and non-congregate shelters

• 58 (-4) public water system outages affecting 41k (-8k) customers; 113 (-23) systems under boil water

advisories affecting 411k (-77k) customers

• Wastewater: 83 of 113 systems operational, 11 partly operating, 5 inoperable, 14 status unknown

Health and Medical:

LA:

• Fatalities: 22 confirmed (4 from falling trees, 1 drowned, 9 from carbon monoxide poisoning, 6 heat

illness, 1 fall, 1 storm cleanup related (FEMA RVI as of 10:45 p.m. ET, Sep 4)

• 11 (-2) hospitals evacuated, 6 (-5) on generators; 8 (-3) nursing homes evacuated, 5 (-2) on

generators

• COVID-19 testing sites resuming across the state

Energy: (EAGLE-I as of 8:20 a.m. ET, Sep 6)

• Customers without power: LA: 152k (-16k);

• USACE: 84 generators assigned; 80 temporary emergency power assessments complete (42

water/wastewater facilities); 19 pre-installation inspections complete

FEMA / Federal Preparations/Response:• NRCC remains activated for COVID-19 Response Operations

• N-IMAT Red & Regions I, V, VI-2 IMATs deployed to LA

• SMTs (2) & N-ISB Team deployed to LA

• MERS (8 Teams) deployed LA

National Weather ForecastSun Mon

Tue

Tue

Precipitation & Excessive Rainfall

Mon

Sun

Sun – Tue

Severe Weather Outlook Sun Mon

Tue

Fire Weather Outlook

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html

Today Tomorrow

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/product

s/predictions/610day/610prcp.new.gif

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictio

ns/610day/610temp.new.gif

Long Range Outlooks – Sep 11-15

6-10 Day Temperature Probability 6-10 Day Precipitation Probability

Bridger Foothills Fire – MT

Current Situation:

• Fire began Sep 4 and is burning on State and Federal land in

and around the town of Bozeman, MT (pop. 18,532k)

• Threatening homes and structures in Bozeman and Lyman

Creek watershed

Response:

• FMAG approved Sep 5

• MT EOC at Partial Activation (COVID-19)

• Region VIII and NWC continue to monitor

Fire Name

(County, ST)FMAG #

Acres

Burned

Percent

ContainedEvacuations

Structures (Homes / Other) Fatalities /

InjuriesThreatened Damaged Destroyed

Bridger Foothills

(Gallatin, MT)XXXX-FM-MT 1,500 0%

M: 0

V: 0

H: 100

O: 0

H: 10

O: 0

H: 5

O: 00 / 1

316 Fire – WY

Current Situation:

• Fire began Sep 5, and is burning on private land

• Threatening homes and structures around Hanna, WY (pop.846)

• Fire has burned over the Hanna water treatment plant and has

destroyed one fire engine

Response:

• FMAG approved Sep 5

• WY EOC at Partial Activation (COVID-19)

• Region VIII and NWC continue to monitor

Fire Name

(County, ST)FMAG #

Acres

Burned

Percent

ContainedEvacuations

Structures (Homes / Other) Fatalities

/ InjuriesThreatened Damaged Destroyed

316 Fire

(Carbon County, WY)XXXX-FM-WY 1,500 0%

M: 1,000

V: 0

H: 200

O: 50

H: 0

O: 0

H: 0

O: 00 / 0

Wildfire Summary

(Evacuations: M = Mandatory / V = Voluntary

Structures: H = Homes and Mixed Commercial/Residential / O = Non-residential Commercial/Other Minor Structures)

Fire Name

(County, ST)FMAG #

Acres

Burned

Percent

ContainedEvacuations

Structures (Homes / Other)Fatalities / Injuries

Threatened Damaged Destroyed

White River

(Wasco, OR)5341-FM-OR 17,379 50%

M: 82 (-162) H: 82 H: 0 H: 01 / 2

V: 0 O: 0 O: 0 O: 0

LNU Lightning Complex Fire

(Napa, CA)5331-FM-CA 375,209 89% (1%)

M: 48 H: 1,250 H: 112 H: 7875 / 4

V: 0 O: 100 O: 101 O: 692

CZU Lightning Complex Fire

(Santa Cruz/San Mateo, CA)5336-FM-CA 86,509 64% (+6%)

M: 1,839 H: 7,647 H: 90 H: 9281 / 1

V: 0 O: 0 O: 50 O: 562

Evans Canyon Fire

(Yakima, WA)5342-FM-WA

75,817

(+1,949)40% (+20%)

M. 0 H: 924 H: 0 H: 60 / 0

V: 0 O: 0 O: 0 O: 6

Huff Fire

(Garfield, MT)

FINAL

5343-FM-MT 46,892 50% (+15%)M: 0 H: 0 H: 0 H: 0

0 / 0V: 0 O: 0 O: 0 O: 24

Bobcat Fire

(Musselshell/Yellowstone, MT)5344-FM-MT

15,766

(+1,730)0%

M: 400 H: 400 H: 0 H: 40 / 0

O: 0 O: 425 O: 0 O: 4

Snider/Rice Complex Fire

(Rosebud/Custer/Powder River, MT)5345-FM-MT 31, 588 60% (+10%)

M: 0 H: 100 H: 0 H: 00 / 0

V: 0 O: 200 O: 0 O: 2

(Evacuations: M = Mandatory / V = Voluntary

Structures: H = Homes and Mixed Commercial/Residential / O = Non-residential Commercial/Other Minor Structures)

Joint Preliminary Damage AssessmentsRegion

State /

LocationEvent

IA Number of CountiesStart – End

PA Requested Complete

I CTTropical Storm Isaias

Aug 4

IA 8 6 8/27 – TBD

PA 8 0 8/27 – TBD

II NYTropical Storm Isaias

Aug 4

IA 0 0 N/A

PA 8 2 (+2) 8/25 – TBD

III

DETornado

Aug 7

IA 0 0 N/A

PA 1 0 8/29 – TBD

MDTropical Storm Isaias

Aug 4-5

IA 0 0 N/A

PA 3 0 8/21 – TBD

PATropical Storm Isaias

Aug 4-5

IA 9 0 8/26 – TBD

PA 11 0 8/26 – TBD

IV NCHurricane Isaias

Aug 3

IA 0 0 N/A

PA 16 2 8/18 – TBD

VI

TX

Hurricane Hanna

Jul 25 and continuing

IA 6 6 7/29 – 8/20

PA 6 0 7/29 – TBD

Hurricane Laura

Aug 23 and continuing

IA 0 0 N/A

PA 6 0 9/2 – TBD

LAHurricane Laura

Aug 23-27

IA 0 0 N/A

PA 25 6 9/2 – TBD

VII IADerecho

Aug 10 and continuing

IA 27 27 8/15 – 8/29

PA 24 24 (+8) 8/15 – 9/4

Declaration Requests in Process – 8

State / Tribe / Territory – Incident Description Type IA PA HM Requested

Poarch Band of Creek Indians – COVID-19 Pandemic DR X X 5/15

LA – Severe Storm and Tornadoes DR X X 7/10

Sac & Fox Tribe of the Mississippi of Iowa – Severe Weather DR X X X 8/14

PR – Tropical Storm Isaias DR X 8/21

DE – Tropical Storm Isaias DR X X X 8/31

ND – Severe Storms and Flooding DR X X 8/31

NY – Tropical Storm Isaias DR X X 9/3

MD – Tropical Storm Isaias DR X X 9/3

Declaration Amendments

Declaration Number Issued Action

4559-DR-LA 4 Sep 5 Adds 6 parishes for Public Assistance

Team:Status

US&R>66%

MERS>66%

FCOs≤1 Type I

FDRCs= 1

IM

WORKFORCE

IM CADRE AVAILABILITY SUMMARY

Cadres with 25% or Less AvailabilityAssigned: 28 36 46 10 13,888

CVR 22% (17/79); DI 21% (14/67); EA 21% (99/468); EHP 19% (122/657); FL 15% (24/156);

FM 23% (56/247); HM 21% (258/1,233); LOG 21% (281/1,336); OPS 13% (41/326); PA 23%

(709/3,116); SAF 15% (8/55)

Unavailable 7 0 2 0 3,114

Deployed: 0 6 (-2) 39 9 6,449

Available: 21 30 (+2) 5 1 4,325 / 31%

N-IMATs1 Team

Red LA

Blue

Gold Reconstituting

R-IMATs4-6 Teams

I LA

II

III

IV-1

IV-2

V LA

VI-1

VI-2 LA

VII IA

VIII (1) VJFO

IX-1 CA

IX-2

X RRCC

FMC PMC

NMC Deployed

FEMA Common Operating PictureFEMA HQ

NWC NRCCMonitoring Level II

FEMA REGIONS

WATCH RRCC

Monitoring I Level III

Alt Location II Level III

Monitoring III Level III

Monitoring IV Rostered

Monitoring V Level III

Monitoring VI Level III

Alt. Location VII Rostered

Monitoring VIII Rostered

Monitoring IX Rostered

Monitoring X Level III

Notes:

NRCC: COVID-19

Response Operations

Activated RRCCs:

COVID-19

Region IV: Equipment

Region VI: COVID

All EOCs activated for

COVID-19

CA-Widfires

CT: Isaias

IA: Derecho

PR: Earthquakes

UT: Flooding

AR, LA, & TX: TC Laura

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